03:26.3
A camp is realizing that time is not necessarily on their side politically. And mukhang some in this camp are realizing that the best way to defend is to go on offense. So medyo parang Brazilian football national team, the best defense is offense, right?
03:44.2
Usually pag nanalad kayo ng football, makikita nyo yung Brazil usually doesn't have the best defenders but many good offenders, no?
04:03.1
And ganito nalang, huwag na tayo umopo dyan at hintayin lang na matatanggal tayo ng fund, na mabugbog tayo sa mga kritisismo, na unti-unti the noose is tightening eh. Nagigetsan na. And unti-unti napapil nila is the chains of power are slipping through their fingers. Parang yun ang medyo nakikita nila dito.
04:29.0
So siguro ang basa dito is let's go on the offensives. Siguro naman popular po naman tayo. Siguro po naman maraming pa rin nagmamahal sa atin dahil napakagaling naman natin nung pano na tayong presidente. Dahil nung pano na presidente na tayo wala naman tayong confidential funds. Ay! Pero meron nga.
04:49.9
So kung titignan niyo ito yung mga confidential funds nung pano ni Tatay. At of course alam naman natin yung mga confidential funds na yan. Kamusta ang pag-audit dyan?
05:13.8
So I'm not sure it's the smartest move to be honest. This is a risky move. But siguro ang basa dito is, well if we're just gonna sit here, we're gonna be sitting duck and the next thing you know is first they come after our confidential funds. Next thing you know baka mamaya papacheck pa nila yung mas sound nung panohan ganito. Mamaya papacheck nila nga ito. Mamaya don't know, there'll be criticisms, there'll be bukingan, there'll be whatever. So take the fight to them. Siguro ganun yung logic.
05:42.7
Siguro napuno na. But ganito na lang. Again all of this is speculation. We don't know what's going on. Maybe I'll just talk to Tatay Digong and intervene. Baka mag-meta na lang tayo with Tatay, hindi ka na natin nangisip niya. No, I mean these are all speculation so we don't know what's real but my sense is what perhaps we were expecting to happen a little bit later but what we actually predicted will happen way earlier.
06:12.6
So kung titignan niya 2021 pa lang may mga articles na tayo about what's happening right now. This kind of competition is almost unavoidable especially if traditional opposition is not seen as a big threat. So sila-sila na lang. So bakit, ganito kasi, bakit mo kailangan ng uniteam kung wala naman talaga kayong kalaban na malakas. So ang mangyari talaga dito is who's the boss? Who's the dominant faction within the ruling coalition?
06:42.5
So parang yun ang nangyari ngayon mga kamets. So my thing is in let's say first world cautious good Machiavellian kind of politics, ang mangyari dito is you realize, first of all, you recognize na what's the state of affairs now?
07:09.4
Yes, of course one side feels entitled because they were in power for so long until recently and they feel that they were really the dominant force in last year's elections. And guess what? I don't disagree with that. I actually agree with that that yung 60% so na napunta dun sa uniting, you could say a big part of that is because of the power and momentum of the Dutertes. I think I kind of agree with that.
07:38.3
But the reality is so many things have changed since last year. And the reality is that the president is the most powerful person in the country. Now we can talk a lot about the character of the president, if he's the best president ever, we can talk about whether he's conflict avoidant. But the thing is this, the levers of power is with the president.
08:03.2
At tulad nang sinabi ni, kadunan nang sinabi ni isang magaling na senador dyan na dating tumakbong vice president, spare tire lang naman yung vice president, spare tire lang yung president. So in that situation, you also add the element of foreign policy. And this is a very interesting thing, mga kamay.
08:23.1
Yung mga engot dyan na hindi nila guess. Nagpapatawa lang tayo but this is serious analysis. And for anyone who bothers actually kung medyo literate kayo, nagbasa kayo yung mga sinulat natin, the reason ngayon yung interview lang tayo all around the world is because alam natin sinasabi natin. But anyway, but with the caveats of course.
08:41.0
Now going back to this, one of the things that is happening here is very interesting because all of a sudden, and this is my problem dun sa analysis ng mga taga bakery-bakery forum na yan, it is true na maliit lang ng porsyento ng Pilipinos see foreign policy or West Philippines as an urgent issue. But that doesn't mean that only few Filipinos care about West Philippines issue. That's not true.
09:10.9
The vast majority of Filipinos care about the West Philippines issue. It's just that it's not their number one national concern. It's not as important as inflation because you have to eat food every day. While the West Philippines issue, unless mayinista ka sa West Philippines, is not an everyday issue. So mali yung analysis ng mga taga bakery dyan, nakakaalam nila dahil 7% or whatever lang nagsabi na most urgent, yung 7% lang may pakis sa West Philippines. That's not true. Anong kasungahan ng pag-iisip yan?
09:39.8
I-upgrade niyo naman yung thinking niyo. Now, clearly majority of Filipinos have very strong feelings about the West Philippine Sea. Clearly a majority of Filipinos...
10:10.8
Now, kung titignan mo, Romualdez right now is positioning himself as a man of the West Philippine Sea, as one of the defenders of the West Philippine Sea because under Romualdez... I mean, ito may picture dito. Si Romualdez pumunta pa sa pag-asa pala nung isang araw lang sa October 5. So ipopost ko yan sa inyo.
10:35.7
So what you're seeing right now is, Speaker Romualdez is clearly positioning himself as a patriot, as a defender of the West Philippine Sea, and the reallocation of the confidential funds that was requested by, among others, you know.
10:49.6
Reallocate yan to agencies na in charge sa pagdidevelop ng West Philippine Sea.
10:57.6
And the other thing that you have to also keep in mind here is that they're also allocating money. This is the Department of Transportation, pinakita natin yung isang araw.
11:12.5
They're also allocating funds dun sa pag-develop ng facilities dyan sa pag-asa. So this is very, very interesting.
11:19.5
So you have the Speaker of the House. I don't think... When was the last time? Belmonte? Hindi rin eh.
11:25.5
I haven't seen a Speaker of the House who's so front and center, at least positioning-wise, projection-wise, publicity-wise, as the defender of the West Philippine Sea.
11:38.4
Ipapost natin yan. We'll talk about this. The picture is here. It's this article. So noong October 5 pala, nandun sila sa pag-asa. Yeah.
11:48.4
Kasama pa yung mga AFP top generals, including General Romeo Bronner. So this is it. I mean, when was the last time you saw a Speaker of the House going to, I don't know, pag-asa? Right? Hindi eh.
12:00.3
And this coincides with the reallocation of funds from VP to West Philippine Sea. Or yung mga West Philippine Sea-relevant agencies or West Philippine Sea-relevant projects.
12:15.3
And look at yung statement ni Stella Kimbo na diniscuss natin. Sabi niya, we want to be on the right side of history.
12:22.2
So now, this is where you get to see that itong foreign policy issue na yan, itong West Philippine Sea foreign policy issue na yan, is becoming a clincher.
12:33.1
Na it's allowing for one faction, and I would hazard to say the more dominant faction, we didn't really caution, to come out and say, kami for the West Philippine Sea, kami ang mga patriots,
12:46.1
and we want funds to go dun sa mga hensya na nag-defend ng ating national security and defending us against real enemies, not some imaginary NPA communists taking over schools, whatever, yung mga blah blah blah.
13:01.0
We're here to fight against the real enemy, and I'm helping them. And as the Speaker of the House, because I have a lot of discretion about funds, et cetera, this is what we're going to do.
13:11.0
So, in a way, I'm not saying this is the strategy per se, but in a way you can see, you were able to hit two birds with one stone, right?
13:18.9
Through that reallocation, A, you emphasize yung commitment mo sa pagdipensa ng West Philippine Sea, and B, if ever there is indeed a rivalry, or B, if ever there's some ax to grind, then, right?
13:33.9
So, you accomplished multiple tasks at the same time with this move, and I think that's where the context whereby si Tatay, he saw what's going on here, and he responded accordingly.
13:43.8
Very, very interesting. Very, very interesting. So, as I argued, journalists say all politics is local politics, right?
13:54.8
Meaning, when it comes to foreign policy or national politics, this has to do with internal, domestic, local level kind of power plays and calculus.
14:05.7
What's happening in the Philippines is actually kind of like the opposite.
14:08.7
The West Philippine Sea issue, and yung issue na sino ba talagang para sa bayan at sinong pro-China lang, this is allowing for one faction, within a ruling faction, to assert its dominance.
14:22.7
And, at least, parang ito yata tingin yung Tatay, parang minamarginalize pa yung kabila, right?
14:29.6
So, this is fascinating. I think we haven't seen many cases whereby foreign policy becomes essentially a stepping stone for one faction within the ruling coalition to step it up, and also to allow them to push back against another faction, right?
14:50.5
And remember, the divisions and fault lines that took place dito sa ilalim ng ruling coalition, saan siya nagsimula?
15:00.5
Nagsimula ito dun sa demotion ni former president and speaker of the house, Arroyo.
15:08.4
And, according to some reports, this had something to do also with disagreements over Marcos Jr.'s policy towards China, meaning Marcos being a bit too critical towards China for some factions.
15:19.4
So, this is very, very interesting.
15:22.3
So, yung mga development sa West Philippine Sea is accelerating power play within the ruling coalition.
15:29.3
And now, more than one year until next midterm elections, but more or less one year until registration for the next elections, mukhang nagsimula na.
15:41.2
At mukhang medyo alam na natin ano yung maging potential alignments and ano yung mga maging potential rivalries there.
15:53.2
Now, the thing here is, and I think this is where things get interesting, ang tanong dito is ano naman ang gagawin ng totoong oposisyon?
16:04.1
Because I always make a distinction between two kinds of opposition.
16:07.1
Functional opposition and ideological opposition.
16:11.1
Ang ideological opposition ay isang opposition na kung saan talagang meron kang disagreement dun sa mga prinsipyo, sa ideologya, nung administrasyon.
16:22.0
So, karamihan ng mga oposisyon, ideological opposition ay ayaw kay Bongbo Marcos because of, of course, yung history, yung kasaysayan,
16:31.0
concerns about human rights violations in the past during the Marcos regime, also concerns about good governance, et cetera.
16:38.0
And some, more far left or progressive, they're even against the kind of oligarchic politics or quasi-democracy that we have.
16:49.9
That's the ideological opposition.
16:51.9
But right now, what's happening now is, dun sa ruling coalition, nagkakaroon ng split.
16:57.9
So, one part of the ruling coalition is becoming a functional opposition.
17:01.9
Meaning, hindi siya opposition ideologically or not a significant ideological or policy outlook difference.
17:07.9
Although there are some major policy differences, particularly in West Philippine Sea.
17:11.9
But overall, it's not like one is left, one is right in terms of, it's not.
17:16.8
They're both right. One is more far right than the other, okay, by any reasonable analysis.
17:24.8
But, so what's happening there is, magkakaroon ka kayo ng dalawang opposition.
17:31.8
Ideological opposition na ayaw sa Marcos administration because of the whole Marcos baggage.
17:35.8
And then you have now the functional opposition because of, eto, etong away over West Philippine Sea, away over confidential funds.
17:43.7
And some would even say power play, internal competition.
17:47.7
So, that's interesting.
17:48.7
Now, so is the 2025 elections going to be a three-way kind of competition, whereby you have one very dominant, essentially BBM, Ramadas, et cetera, administration bets.
18:04.7
And then you'll have ideological opposition here.
18:06.7
And then you'll have functional opposition here.
18:09.7
And then what's going to happen next, no?
18:11.6
So, some were saying, kasi ganito, if you're a never Marcos group, you might even contemplate teaming up with the functional opposition against the administration.
18:24.6
Now, my problem with that is, or I mean the criticism against that would be, I'm not sure about the chances there.
18:35.6
It's very hard to go against administration during midterm elections because midterm elections in the Philippines are pro-incumbency.
18:40.5
But the other one is, wait lang.
18:43.5
What are your concerns against with Marcos?
18:46.5
What happened against, again, under Duterte's, right?
18:49.5
I'm not talking about Marcos Senior.
18:51.5
I'm talking about Marcos Junior, right?
18:53.5
Between Marcos Junior and Marcos Senior, who is a bigger concern when it comes to human rights?
18:57.5
Who is a bigger concern when it comes to West Philippine Sea?
18:59.5
Who is a bigger concern when it comes to X, Y, and Z, right?
19:03.5
So, the problem with those who are just focused as never Marcos and maybe open to teaming up with the others, that has its own problem.
19:12.5
Now, and then I think there's another group within the ideological opposition who are saying, let's just stay out of this whole thing.
19:21.5
Maybe just pick up the popcorn and try to run as the third force in the 2025 elections or just sit out the 2025 elections.
19:33.5
Popularize some of your promising candidates.
19:36.5
But you're really there for 2028, right?
19:39.4
Don't let the 2025 to be uni-team contest, right?
19:45.4
Intra-uni-team contest or not so uni-team contest.
19:48.4
But my sense is we might see more and more members of the supposed ideological opposition.
19:56.4
People who are from liberal party like Stella Kimbo.
20:00.4
People who are affiliated with the opposition.
20:03.4
People who run under the opposition.
20:05.4
People who used to criticize Marcos Junior a lot.
20:08.3
People who used to present themselves as the antithesis of Marcos, et cetera.
20:13.3
They might come in and say, Marcos, Duterte, Admin, suddenly not so Admin.
20:20.3
Dun na tayo tataya sa, hindi lang mas malaking chance, pero mas malapit dun sa something that I can work with.
20:28.3
So, I think what we're going to see is that there's going to be splits also.
20:32.3
Not only within the ruling coalition within uni-team.
20:36.2
I think there's going to be some split also within the ideological opposition.
20:40.2
I think there are going to be people there in the real opposition.
20:43.2
Some of them saying, never Marcos, we'll not work with them.
20:47.2
We might even be open to working with the other faction to check them out.
20:53.2
There could be another faction.
20:55.2
I can't guess who are these guys.
20:56.2
Who's going to say, neither nor.
21:00.2
I'm just going to pick my popcorn and I'm just going to prepare for 2028, right?
21:05.1
Maybe support some people here and there.
21:07.1
Medyo magparamdam ako, but no.
21:09.1
But I think there'll be more and more people who'll say, I'm not necessarily endorsing it,
21:13.1
but this is just my sense about things.
21:15.1
And I'm sure Stella Kimbo could be one of them.
21:17.1
Who'll say, Duterte, Admin, I'm sure I could work with them.
21:22.1
Marcos Jr. Administration, well, it's not necessarily your Norwegian social democratic labor party,
21:29.1
but I think I can work with this administration.
21:31.0
And by the way, if it's midterms, you'd rather be with the administration
21:35.0
because your chances of winning is significantly higher.
21:37.0
And if you want to make good change, then that's it.
21:41.0
Work with the side that you can work better with.
21:44.0
So these are potential people who are not only never Duterte,
21:47.0
but also pragmatic people who want to be in the game.
21:51.0
And I want to say that, okay, given that for now, for a while Duterte, for a while Marcos,
21:55.0
but who knows, in 2028, things could be interesting.
21:57.9
And the idea is that who knows, maybe in 2028, we can converge with other members of the opposition
22:02.9
who were not siding with any of the sides or were running against both sides.
22:09.9
But down the road, we can work together.
22:11.9
But by that time, I'm going to be much more powerful.
22:13.9
By that time, I'm going to be a national figure.
22:15.9
By that time, I have built my credentials.
22:20.9
Again, and I think Stella Kimbo could be one of those persons.
22:23.9
But I don't think Stella Kimbo is alone.
22:25.8
I think there'll be growing, growing temptation by people from the real opposition to say that,
22:31.8
I'm not just going to have popcorn.
22:33.8
Maybe I should join the race.
22:36.8
Maybe not even run, but somehow be part of the game and lay down the foundation for 2028.
22:42.8
So essentially, mga kameta, ngayon pa lang, hindi lang nagsimula ang 2025 elections.
22:50.8
Mukhang nagsimula na rin ang 2028 elections.
22:54.7
Not only in a conceptual sense, not only in terms of just vague forecast or scenario building,
23:04.7
I think in terms of actual alignment of forces,
23:08.7
in terms of actual sowing the seeds for what could happen down in 2028.
23:15.7
I mean, President Duterte also mentioned 2028 elections and who could be the next president
23:21.6
so that it looks like every side right now has 2028 in their crosshairs.
23:29.6
And as early as right now, nag-iisip ng lahat how to play their game in the best way possible in 2025
23:37.6
so that they'll be in the best position possible for the even bigger fight in 2028.
23:43.6
Because mga kameta, I describe the 2022 elections as the most consequential elections in contemporary Philippine history.
23:52.6
But as things stand, I don't think I'm wrong.
23:56.6
I don't think I was wrong. I think I was right.
23:58.6
And I'm glad many people used my description, which is most consequential.
24:02.6
I wrote it in a piece for Algezer English. This is way early in the election period.
24:07.6
My sense is the 2028 elections could be even more consequential for Philippine democracy.
24:15.6
Because look at it this way.
24:18.5
If babalik ang mga Dutertes in 2028, then that means that this Marcos Jr. time was just a kind of a
24:28.5
some would say temporary respite or some would say just a temporary break
24:32.5
in the inevitable ascendancy of Dutertismo in the Philippines.
24:36.5
Now, but if some people in the opposition, some more moderate elements work their way through
24:43.4
and some of the more progressives also play their cards well and smartly in 2025 in preparation for 2028,
24:50.4
what could happen actually is in 2028, you may have actually very competitive candidate from the real opposition.
24:58.4
Even someone like Rizal Antiveros, but not only candidate for the presidency,
25:03.4
but a number of candidates for the top offices, including the Senate, the Congress, the governor office.
25:08.4
So a lot is at stake.
25:10.3
Imagine if the real opposition manages to navigate this whole Marcos, Duterte, unity in dynamics
25:18.3
so smartly that they'll be in a position to be highly competitive for 2028, right?
25:24.3
Then our interpretation of not only the past six years,
25:29.3
but also our interpretation of now and the next five years or four years will also be very different, right?
25:35.2
I'm simplifying it. Actually, this is very Hegelian analysis.
25:40.2
The idea is that, I'll just use hugot to explain to them.
25:47.2
Because in Hegelian dialectics, what happens tomorrow shapes your understanding of what happens today
25:55.2
or what happened today, right?
25:57.2
So the fall shapes your understanding of the original state.
26:00.2
So in short, it's like this.
26:03.1
For example, you're in a relationship, right?
26:06.1
Then you're heartbroken and your relationship doesn't work out.
26:11.1
Then you find a better partner after two years or so.
26:17.1
So suddenly, your heartbreak is like,
26:21.1
Oh, good thing I got rid of that.
26:24.1
It's like a blessing in disguise, see?
26:27.1
So your interpretation of your past changes because of your differential future.
26:32.1
Now, of course, the opposite could be also true.
26:34.1
Like let's say, you're in a relationship, blah, blah, blah.
26:39.1
It didn't work out, heartbroken.
26:40.1
And then the next thing you know, you don't have a good partner.
26:44.1
So what happens here is suddenly, your interpretation of your past is,
26:47.1
There you go, you're in a relationship.
26:49.1
The one that got away.
26:51.1
Do you get what I'm saying?
26:53.1
So let me turn the relationship into progressive politics.
26:58.1
Maybe you didn't get Lenny in 2022.
27:02.1
And you would say,
27:04.1
Ah, wala nang pag-asa ng Pilipinas.
27:07.1
But what if in 2028, you get someone like Riza?
27:11.1
Or someone like Lenny again?
27:13.1
Or, you know, you know what I'm saying?
27:15.1
Then suddenly, you're going to look at 2022 and say,
27:18.1
Nah, the 2022 was not a tragic election.
27:21.1
The 2022 was really the wake-up call.
27:23.1
And the 2020 was just the beginning of a new era of next-level progressive Philippine democracy.
27:30.1
Do you get what I'm saying there?
27:32.1
So if the real opposition manages to navigate these six years,
27:37.1
And really pulls off some magical thing in 2028,
27:40.1
And then really pushes the country in the right direction,
27:43.1
Suddenly, the past six years of tata-style politics,
27:47.1
And now with junior style, will not look so tragic.
27:51.1
It will look like a difficult transition period that places us on the right path
27:57.0
To the real and full consummation of a progressive opportunity and moment.
28:04.0
Did you see what I did there?
28:06.0
I just explained Hegelian dialectics to you guys by talking about Jowas, right?
28:12.0
Do you get what I'm saying?
28:13.0
So, see, the same heartbreak will have totally different meaning,
28:18.0
Depending on what happens down the road, right?
28:21.0
Do you get what I'm saying?
28:21.9
So, I agree with Gatsby.
28:25.9
You can change the past.
28:27.9
Remember there's that line that Gatsby,
28:30.9
If you didn't read the book, at least you watched the movie,
28:33.9
He says, the Spider-Man guy has a character for him,
28:36.9
But you cannot change the past.
28:37.9
He said, sport, but you can't change the past, right?
28:41.9
That's a Hegelian way of putting it.
28:43.9
Now, I'm not sure if Fitzgerald knew Hegel,
28:46.9
But if Fitzgerald had read Hegel,
28:48.9
And made a different ending for Gatsby,
28:51.9
Then Gatsby would have proven right,
28:53.9
That actually you can change the past.
28:55.9
So, if the real opposition makes the right choice for 2025,
29:00.9
And puts them in a position to pull off something special in 2028,
29:04.9
The heartbreak of the countrymen there in 2022,
29:08.9
Will suddenly have a completely radically different meaning.
29:12.9
It will look like just the beginning of a new chapter
29:15.9
Of full consummation and flowering of a progressive Philippines.
29:21.8
And in the same vein, if you're pro Duterte,
29:24.8
And Sarah pulls it up in 2028,
29:27.8
Then you're going to look at the past six years,
29:29.8
Meaning from 2022 to 2020 as learning experience,
29:34.8
A moment of humility and all,
29:36.8
But also, now you have your redemption.
29:38.8
Do you get what I'm saying?
29:40.8
Do you get what I'm saying here?
29:45.8
So, as entertaining as this may seem to you guys, right?
29:49.7
Yeah, of course, it's very possible that all of this is just, you know,
29:52.7
Flash in the pan, or all of this is just, you know,
29:57.7
A kind of a temporary explosion of dramatics.
30:01.7
I'm not ruling that out, sure.
30:04.7
But parang hindi eh, parang totoo talaga to eh, di ba?
30:07.7
Like, we've been talking about this for a few months,
30:09.7
And now you can see it's escalating.
30:11.7
The trajectory is very clear.
30:14.7
And as we get closer to 2025, I think this will intensify.
30:18.6
So, that's what I'm saying here, right?
30:20.6
Ayan, nag-hegel, self-recognition.
30:26.6
But you guys see what I'm saying here, right?
30:29.6
You can literally change the past by changing the future.
30:38.6
So, that's why sobrang mahalaga ngayon,
30:41.6
Na yung mga tao na sa totoong opposition,
30:44.6
Pag-aralan nila ng mabuti,
30:46.5
Not only alignment of forces,
30:48.5
But also, not only winning in 2025,
30:52.5
But thinking about vindicating history,
30:55.5
Vindicating the pink movement.
30:57.5
That's what they want to think about.
30:58.5
And if you're pro-Duterte,
31:00.5
You also have to play your card very carefully now,
31:03.5
Because if you overreach, and you sub-lie it,
31:07.5
Then you would look at the six years of Tata as just an aberration.
31:13.4
And back to mga elitista, mga taga-Manila, mga gano'n.
31:17.4
So, that's why I'm saying mga kameta,
31:20.4
Don't give up on the Philippines,
31:22.4
Because you literally can change the past.
31:24.4
If you play your cards well right now,
31:26.4
In the next four or five years.
31:28.4
So, I don't care about some of the people out there
31:31.4
Who are into this self-righteous, sanctimonious, petty, whatever.
31:39.4
You know, I don't care about them.
31:40.4
You know why? Because I'm looking at the big movements
31:42.4
Of history. I'm looking at redemption.
31:44.4
I'm looking at, not for myself, thank God I'm trying my best,
31:47.4
But I'm looking at redemptive politics.
31:50.4
I'm looking at the possibility of
31:53.4
Making something out of all the tragedies,
31:57.4
And difficulties, and challenges,
31:59.4
And polarizing politics we have had.
32:03.4
Because, the reason I'm saying this is because
32:08.4
I'm looking at the West Philippines issue right now.
32:10.3
At pansin ko, yung mga lumalaban para sa West Philippine Sea
32:14.3
Ay mas desidido, mas inspired, at hindi lang vindicated eh.
32:21.3
Parang, almost may triumphant feeling,
32:27.3
Not triumphalist, but almost triumphant.
32:29.3
Because, alam nila, they didn't only have to fight
32:33.3
For West Philippine Sea against a bully out there.
32:35.3
But they had to fight it through the tatay,
32:38.2
Tatay paranggay geopolitics days.
32:42.2
So para, ang sarap ng feeling ngayon,
32:44.2
Na ito na talaga, lumalaban na talaga tayo.
32:47.2
So, in a way, those six years,
32:51.2
Actually it was about two or three years na talagang
32:54.2
Tatay loves China kind of naive paranggay style geopolitics.
32:59.2
You don't see that as a loss opportunity,
33:02.2
But you see that as an opportunity to actually
33:05.1
Strengthen your will, to develop still a patriotic will,
33:09.1
And to fight the West Philippine Sea fight smarter.
33:13.1
And my sense is, if we had pleasant surprise
33:16.1
On the West Philippine Sea front so far,
33:19.1
Why can't we have also pleasant surprises on other fronts?
33:23.1
But that's only possible if you hold your ground,
33:27.1
Play your game smartly,
33:29.1
And once you get the opportunities,
33:31.1
Once you get openings, you go for it.
33:35.0
Wala na. Matagal.
33:37.0
Napagod na ako. Matulog na ako.
33:38.0
But, gets niyo na.
33:39.0
Gets niyo yung sinasabi ko dito.
33:41.0
So, I am not here na pinag-usapan lang itong politika natin
33:47.0
Para lang, you know, just making fun or having fun or...
33:54.0
No. Because there's a bigger picture out there, mga kamay.
33:58.0
There's a bigger, bigger picture out there.
34:00.0
There is a possibility for redemption.
34:01.9
There's a possibility for things going way, way more wrong.
34:05.9
And there's a possibility for strategic learning, right?
34:10.9
And there's a possibility for us making the most out of the best
34:15.9
That we saw in the Filipino people.
34:17.9
Not only in last year elections, but over the last six, seven years.
34:20.9
Do you get what I'm saying?
34:23.9
Perspective is the most important thing.
34:26.9
This is not coming out of nowhere.
34:29.8
Kanina lang I had a conversation with some of our friends
34:31.8
na, you know, come from countries that are going through very difficult moments.
34:36.8
And we went back into ancient history.
34:39.8
Now, I'm not talking about the Middle East.
34:40.8
Pero, of course, nakikiramay po tayo sa mga biktima na mga civilians
34:45.8
na matay dyan sa ongoing conflict ngayon.
34:47.8
Our hearts and prayers go to them.
34:49.8
And really we're...
34:51.8
Our prayers for humanity and sanity to prevail eventually.
34:55.8
Parin, sa cycle na yan, hindi tuloy-tuloy.
34:57.7
Now, the person I was talking to awhile ago,
34:59.7
they're not from that place.
35:01.7
But they're also in countries that are going through very difficult moments of transition.
35:05.7
So what we were doing, Kanina, is we were reaching back into history
35:09.7
in order to better understand how can things move for the better
35:12.7
in the next 15, 20, 30 years.
35:14.7
In the case of the Philippines, luckily, demokrasya tayo, guys.
35:19.7
May chance talaga tayo na baguyin yung direction ng ating bansa.
35:23.7
We kind of did it in the wrong direction.
35:26.6
At some point, but we can also do it in the right direction.
35:30.6
And sana lang, if ever we get it right this time,
35:34.6
hindi na natin sayangin ulit.
35:37.6
Because before, sinayang natin eh.
35:40.6
Got rid of a dictator, and then what?
35:43.6
Sinayang yung opportunity. Complacency.
35:46.6
So no room for complacency.
35:51.6
But also no room for cynicism.
35:54.5
What we need is healthy skepticism with courage of the will.
35:59.5
That's a very, very important thing.
36:01.5
But perhaps the most important thing compared to everything else is perspective.
36:05.5
And this is what I hope to share with you guys.
36:10.5
So yeah, in a Gatsby sense, you can change the past
36:13.5
by making a better future for the country.
36:16.5
So yan lang. On that note, thank you very much.
36:19.5
Maraming salamat. Sorry, I'm already losing my voice
36:21.4
kasi 7, 8, 8 a.m. pa lang,
36:24.4
meron kami dito workshop and talks.
36:26.4
Andakin mga purong mga kira, conflicts, disarmament.
36:29.4
Kung ano lang pinag-usapan namin tuloy.
36:31.4
Ulit mamaya, umaga.
36:33.4
But I was thinking about it.
36:35.4
Because if you just want to know about what's the latest thing that happened
36:39.4
in Philippine politics, marites, et cetera.
36:41.4
Hi sa kanina, may mga nagsabi na, oh, nagmamarites ka.
36:44.4
Ito yung mga sunga na hindi nila alam saan galing mga.
36:48.4
Where is all of this coming from?
36:50.3
That, you can get it out there.
36:52.3
You can watch other people, whatever.
36:54.3
But now you know, when I analyze things,
36:58.3
I'm looking at almost the Hegelian dialectics.
37:01.3
I'm looking at the Geist.
37:03.3
You know, the spirit driving history, right?
37:06.3
You have to operate at that level.
37:08.3
Because if you don't operate at that level, mga kameta,
37:11.3
you will be a hostage to presentism.
37:14.3
And what is presentism?
37:16.3
That the excitement or the sorrows of the moment
37:19.2
will blind you to the possibilities of the future
37:22.2
and even the chance to change what the past means for us.
37:27.2
As simple as that.
37:29.2
On that note, thank you very much. Maraming salamat.
37:32.2
I know medyo tumagal-tagal ito.
37:34.2
Siguro i-break down na lang natin into two parts.
37:37.2
Nakalampas na tayo sa isang oras.
37:39.2
I'll try to break this down into two parts.
37:41.2
Now, this is very important.
37:43.2
I just felt we need to have a kind of honest conversation about this.
37:46.2
And a kind of deep, deep, really deep conversation.
37:49.2
So, please, don't try to compare me to other people.
37:53.2
Other people do their own thing.
37:55.2
I do it my way. I do it completely my way.
37:57.2
And I don't just blog and talk on TV, whatever.
38:01.2
I write these things down.
38:03.2
I write these things down.
38:05.2
I think about these things day and night.
38:07.2
Really look at different angles.
38:09.2
Compare the situation in the Philippines to 10, 12, 13, 15 other countries
38:13.2
that I kind of know about.
38:15.2
Philippines is not the only country I'm familiar with.
38:18.1
I can confidently say I'm familiar with three, four, five different countries.
38:22.1
Their politics, their history, et cetera.
38:25.1
Not just China, not just U.S., et cetera.
38:31.1
And based on that, we make this kind of analysis.
38:34.1
See, no notes, nothing.
38:36.1
This is just natural.
38:40.1
Okay. Thank you very much.
38:42.1
God bless and talk to you soon.
38:44.1
Actually, I'm thinking how to write this down.
38:47.0
I think I have to be able to write this down.
38:51.0
We have to make it.
38:52.0
But yeah, I'm working already on a book, another book.
38:55.0
So we have to do this deep thinking.
38:58.0
The viewers, especially on our Nexus episodes with Leloy Claudio,
39:04.0
Derek, you really saw it.
39:08.0
We spend a lot of time really thinking this through.
39:12.0
All right? God bless, talk to you, and have a good day.
39:14.0
Thank you very much.
39:15.0
Long live the Philippines.
39:17.0
And to the fathers out there, don't get mad.
39:20.0
I mean, if you're a father, you also, you know, whatever.
39:24.0
On that note, thank you very much.
39:26.0
God bless. Have a good day.
