00:40.0
Now mga kamates mga kaibigan what I want you to do is
00:43.0
after I finish my question, pause the video and type in your answer
00:49.0
Think of a thing or think of something that is color yellow
00:56.0
tapos i-type in sa comment kung ano yung sagot nyo
01:07.0
So malamang iba-iba yung sagot nyo dyan pero karamihan sigurado sa inyo
01:11.0
ang isasagot nyo ay color yellow na prutas, siguro most likely banana
01:17.0
but what you will answer are fruits that is color yellow
01:21.0
katulad ng mango, banana, ganyan
01:23.0
So dyan naglalaro yung inyong sagot
01:33.0
Una muna pinakita ko sa inyo tong basket of fruit
01:42.0
Hindi ko nga sinabi yung salitang fruit, I just showed you a picture of fruits
01:47.0
and you already thought of fruits
01:50.0
Nung sinabi ko that you have to think of something yellow
01:55.0
ang iisipin mo na ay mga prutas
02:10.0
Actually hindi naman yan trick
02:17.0
Kasi nga diba nung araw, nung panahon ng mga ancestors natin
02:27.0
when you hear growling or when you smell something na hindi maganda
02:34.0
your brain would be automated to respond to something
02:39.0
Now if you push that even further, magkakaroon ka ng mga ganitong lasing tricks sa utak mo
02:46.0
It's really not something special, it's just a hack na ginagawa ng mga tao
02:53.0
to trick you into thinking into things na hindi mo naman gustong isipin
03:00.0
pero because of this psychological priming na to
03:03.0
nagagawa nilang isipin mo yung gusto nilang ipaisip sa iyo
03:08.0
This is the first time that we meet
03:10.0
Okay so narinig niyo yan, this is the first time that we meet
03:13.0
yun nagad yung sasabihin niya, siguro in person, accurate naman siguro yun
03:18.0
but ang idea kasi dito, pinaparinig sa inyo yan
03:23.0
para alam niyo na huhulaan niya yung mga shit ni MG na available naman publicly
03:30.0
Wala kaming naging usapan ni Madam Jason, magugulat ata ako dito
03:34.0
First time namin talagang mag-meet
03:37.0
baka ngayon hindi pa niya alam kung anong pangalan kong totoo
03:42.0
talagang clueless ako
03:46.0
Nagkaroon lang ako ng medyo slightly hint nung sinabi ng partner ko
03:53.0
na babe, idol ko yan, siya yung nagpapano ng mga YouTuber
03:57.0
It's not YouTuber battle
03:59.0
YouTuber battle talaga, nakita niyo yung subtlety ng words na yun
04:03.0
Wala naman sigurong magpapangalan sa
04:07.0
Obvious naman, a battle of the YouTubers yun
04:10.0
pero it's a technique para i-establish siya nanonood at saka kay MG
04:17.0
na hindi niya kilala si MG
04:19.0
even though you can google most of the things na ginagawa ni MG rito
04:23.0
mga kamates, mga kaibigan
04:25.0
and I will show you next, alam yun, madali
04:29.0
yung mga ganito kasi
04:31.0
tokoy na yan, magsasabi ng generalized statement
04:35.0
para makam-on yung tao
04:37.0
and if you are not very astute
04:41.0
or hindi ka masyadong critical dito sa mga ganitong bagay
04:45.0
madali ka talagang madodrawn in dyan
04:47.0
so yan na, walang alam, walang alam si MG
04:52.0
yun yung pinaprime sa utak mo
04:54.0
so pagkapinakita niya yung mga baraha niya
04:58.0
even though this is just random cards
05:00.0
mga kamates, mga kaibigan
05:02.0
a battle of the YouTubers
05:05.0
may papakita ko sa'yo
05:09.0
so this is a bad luck card
05:13.0
okay, hinahanap niya pa
05:15.0
this is a success
05:19.0
okay, so alam yun
05:23.0
it's so ironic kasi
05:25.0
actually, toto lang
05:27.0
hindi ito about kay MG
05:29.0
it's about the method of these people
05:31.0
from yung soothsaying na yan
05:33.0
see, basic psychological priming yun
05:36.0
hindi kita kilala MG ha
05:38.0
tandaan mo, hindi kita kilala
05:40.0
so yung audience ko alam na rin
05:42.0
na kapag naglabas ako sa'yo ng something special
05:45.0
it would be really really special
05:47.0
mapapawaw sila sa comment section
05:51.0
so mga kamates, mga kaibigan
05:53.0
ito yung favorite part ko
05:55.0
konti lang ha, kasi ito yung mga predictions
05:57.0
predictions that can easily be solved
06:01.0
may nagkocontrol sa'yo
06:05.0
it's a big, I don't know
06:07.0
if it is organization or what
06:09.0
something like that
06:11.0
ate, natakot ako sa nakita ko
06:13.0
kasi, ano mang pinasok
06:15.0
mamaya tayo magusap
06:17.0
okay, so let's be clear doon mga kamates
06:19.0
mga kaibigan, a little bit of digging
06:22.0
pumunta ka lang sa community tab niya
06:24.0
ang dami mo nang makikita dyan
06:28.0
if you have primed
06:30.0
your audience na wala kang alam
06:34.0
napaka, parang hindi
06:36.0
wala ka bang phone para i-google yan
06:38.0
hindi yung mga ganyong bagay
06:42.0
na he is heavily involved
06:44.0
with gambling and usually
06:46.0
kapag involved ka sa ganyan
06:48.0
may malaki talagang tao sa likod mo
06:50.0
ako, personally, alam ko kung sino yun
07:00.0
piso talpak, register link
07:02.0
and then you're going to say
07:04.0
na that is something hard to find
07:08.0
madali lang hanapin yan pre
07:12.0
all you need is a little bit of googling
07:14.0
and then makikita mo
07:16.0
piso talpak, flash ads
07:20.0
tas sasabihin pa niya rito
07:22.0
na may anaasahan kang malaking pera
07:26.0
lagi ka namang may aasahan ng malaking pera
07:28.0
kapag nagpapromote ka ng sugal
07:30.0
nang heavily ng ganyan
07:32.0
especially in the case of MG
07:34.0
na marami siyang followers
07:36.0
come on, alam nyo guys
07:40.0
na maniwala nung simula
07:42.0
na wala siyang alam kay MG
07:44.0
pero if you put it in the perspective
07:46.0
of a person who has googled MG
07:48.0
you will understand, it all makes sense
07:50.0
there is no more mystical
07:52.0
something mystical dun sa ginagawa niya
07:54.0
come on, ano ba yan?
07:56.0
mahirap pakintindihin to or
07:58.0
gusto nyo lang maniwala sa ganyan
08:00.0
kasi ganyan, psychological effect din yan
08:02.0
tawag dyan cognitive bias
08:04.0
kasi gusto mong maniwala
08:12.0
so ang gagawin mo, lahat ng information
08:20.0
ang papaniwalaan mo lang ito
08:24.0
what makes more sense
08:38.0
nag conclude ng personality ni MG
08:40.0
which is more believable
08:44.0
eto na naman tayo
08:46.0
mga kamates mga kaibigan
08:48.0
so pakinggan natin to, very interesting
08:50.0
kasi yung sinabi niya rito
08:52.0
ipag pray po natin lahat na lumabas ang ace of hearts
08:56.0
kasi that's indication na she's still alive
09:00.0
alam nyo ba kung gano kaliit yung chance na
09:02.0
makuhan niya yung ace of hearts
09:06.0
kasi this person is hoping
09:10.0
diba 52 yung card
09:12.0
sa deck so that's 2% chance
09:14.0
na mabunot niya yun
09:16.0
ok so most likely
09:18.0
the case ang mabubunot niya dyan
09:20.0
ay hindi ace of hearts
09:22.0
therefore ano kasunod nun
09:24.0
kung hindi ace of
09:26.0
hearts yung mabunot niya
09:28.0
it means na hindi na buhay
09:30.0
ganun eh diba? yun yung
09:32.0
sinabi niya eh so the odds
09:34.0
are with her na yung
09:36.0
si Jovilin ay hindi na buhay
09:38.0
ok? kasi nga isang
09:40.0
baraha lang yung chance niyang mabuhay
09:42.0
nakakabilib sana yun kung baliktad
09:44.0
kapag nabunot ko yung ace
09:46.0
of hearts eh ibig sabihin
09:48.0
eh hindi na buhay so yun
09:50.0
yung nakakabilib pag nabunot niya talaga
09:52.0
yung isang baraha na yun pag katapos
09:54.0
niyang ishuffle mas nakakabilib
09:56.0
yun pero yung 98% chance
09:58.0
wala ka ano na lang yun
10:04.0
dinasalan pa niya eh diba na meron
10:06.0
dinasalan pa niya yung
10:08.0
as if naman magbabago yun
10:10.0
pag dinasalan mo inorasyonan mo
10:12.0
of course not diba ganyan o
10:14.0
ganyan o diba hindi rin eh
10:16.0
hindi rin mababago eh kasi nga
10:20.0
come on yan ang hirap
10:22.0
sa atin mga kamads mga kaibigan
10:24.0
basic statistical fact lang yung
10:28.0
chance na mangyari yun eh di
10:30.0
kung ang hula niya is hindi na
10:32.0
buhay eh di dun ako dun sa
10:34.0
lalagay sa baraha ko
10:36.0
eh this is just rudy baldwin but
10:38.0
with extra steps mga kamads mga
10:40.0
kaibigan and nakakatawa din
10:42.0
dito kasi sinabi niya rin yung
10:44.0
psychological priming na sinasabi ko dito
10:46.0
rin sa jocelyn galieno
10:48.0
case pakinggan natin siya
10:50.0
pakinggan nyo to ha pakinggan nyo to ha
10:52.0
psychological priming din eh diba
10:54.0
natatag lang pa ako wala pa akong
10:56.0
alam sa personal na life ni
10:58.0
joveline medyo natatag lang
11:00.0
pa ako ng mga netizens
11:02.0
so same lang din keng mg
11:04.0
wala akong alam keng mg
11:06.0
ngayon ko lang siya nakilala
11:08.0
same, same na same
11:10.0
lang yung linya, bakit? kasi
11:12.0
psychological priming yan
11:14.0
para kapag binasa niya na yung
11:16.0
mga stuff sa baraha niya
11:18.0
kabilib-bilib, pero the thing is
11:20.0
malay ba natin kung nag research
11:22.0
yan before and after
11:24.0
malay ba natin kung napanood niya muna yan
11:26.0
sa tulfo, malay ba natin
11:28.0
kung may idea na siya
11:30.0
dun sa case na yun and you know
11:32.0
iko cold read na lang niya yun
11:34.0
fact of the matter is binigyan niya ng 2%
11:36.0
chance na buhay si
11:38.0
joveline, paano kaya kung nabunot
11:40.0
niya yung ace of hearts dun
11:42.0
it's not believable anymore
11:44.0
mga kamates, mga kaibigan, it's basic
11:48.0
ginagawa nilang special
11:50.0
over something na
11:52.0
so mundane, alam ko na
11:54.0
gruesome yung nangyari kay joveline
11:58.0
and of course, everyone of us
12:00.0
is looking for an answer
12:02.0
now, I will explain to you
12:06.0
speaking kung bakit ito dapat hindi
12:10.0
mga kamates, mga kaibigan, yung panguhula
12:12.0
kasi, yung mga ganito
12:14.0
it's a form of measurement
12:16.0
it's a measurement of the future
12:18.0
you're trying to measure
12:20.0
what's going to happen in the future
12:22.0
kaso nga lang talaga, the future is
12:26.0
ngayon, there are
12:28.0
ways to measure things
12:30.0
kunyari, gusto mong i-measure yung length
12:34.0
yung 12 inches sa Amerika
12:36.0
12 inches din yan sa Pilipinas
12:38.0
kahit nasa ang part ka ng mundo
12:40.0
if you have a ruler, 12 inches
12:42.0
will always be 12 inches
12:46.0
ng mga manguhula, iba iba yung
12:50.0
sa certain parts of
12:56.0
ibang tao, iba yung hula nito
12:58.0
kung nagpahula siya dito sa
13:00.0
sa Quiapo, kunyari
13:02.0
tas nagpahula siya sa Amerika
13:06.0
soothsayers, iba ibang manguhula
13:08.0
iba iba yung sasabihin
13:10.0
so, what is my point here, mga kamates, mga kaibigan
13:14.0
o yung pag me-measure natin ng mga bagay
13:16.0
bagay should be standardized
13:18.0
ibig sabihin, regardless
13:20.0
kung sino yung nag me-measure ng isang
13:22.0
bagay, dapat pare-parehas tayo
13:26.0
sa mga manguhula, iba iba lagi
13:28.0
yung sinasabi nila
13:30.0
you know why? because it can never be standardized
13:32.0
because that is a
13:34.0
it can never be standardized
13:36.0
kasi wala naman specific rules
13:38.0
na nandyan sa panguhula
13:40.0
na yan, ang sasabihin lang nila
13:42.0
hindi, nakikita ko yan, kasi
13:44.0
nakuha mo yung ace of diamonds
13:48.0
what does that really mean?
13:54.0
yung ace of diamonds na yan or ace of hearts
13:58.0
chance of happening
14:00.0
same as any card dun sa deck na yan
14:04.0
that specific card
14:06.0
holds value over other cards?
14:08.0
depende siguro kung
14:10.0
ang laro mo e, pusoy o kaya naman
14:14.0
texas hold'em, iba iba yung value
14:18.0
trying to point here out, mga kamates
14:20.0
mga kaibigan, this is why
14:22.0
etong mga ganitong klaseng panguhula
14:24.0
is never accepted in the scientific
14:26.0
community, because it cannot
14:28.0
be standardized, it cannot be used
14:30.0
to measure anything
14:32.0
it is there, para wala lang
14:34.0
para you feel good about
14:36.0
na pag may hulang maganda sa'yo or may
14:38.0
parang tumunog sa'yo, and that
14:40.0
is what we call the barnum effect
14:42.0
mga kamates, mga kaibigan, yung parang
14:44.0
parang, ay, ito sakto
14:46.0
sa akin, to, ako to, pero totoo lang
14:48.0
the information is vague, the
14:50.0
information is worthless, pero sa'yo
14:52.0
may worth yun, ikaw ang
14:54.0
nag, yung sarili mong bias
14:56.0
ang nagbibigay meaning doon
15:00.0
klaseng bagay, but
15:04.0
kunyari pumunta si MG
15:06.0
sa Amerika, or sa, nagpahula
15:08.0
siya sa mga taong hindi talaga siya kilala
15:10.0
sa tingin mo, parehas nang
15:12.0
sasabihin sa kanya, parehas nang
15:14.0
hula, sa kanya, hindi
15:16.0
of course not, every mang
15:18.0
huhula will have a different hula sa
15:20.0
inyo, you know why, kasi
15:22.0
nang huhula lang sila, yun lang naman
15:24.0
yung sa akin for today mga kamates, mga
15:26.0
kaibigan, sana nagustuhan nyo itong debunk
15:28.0
na to, Nika David ako, peace po
