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DUTERTE v ROMUALDEZ/MARCOS: ELEKSYON 2025!?
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Richard Heydarian VLOGS
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Run time: 50:49
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00:00.0
Ayan na! Ayan na! Kamusta kayo dyan mga kameta! Nakahabol na tayo talagang!
00:10.0
Talaga kayo eh! Inaabol talaga natin itong mga meta natin kahit anong oras!
00:16.0
Kamusta naman kayo dyan mga kameta!
00:19.0
Talagang kung kailan tayo medyo lumabas ng kunti sa bayan ng ang dami dami nangyayari sa ating minamahal na Pilipinas!
00:28.0
Ayan na! Ayan na! By all indications mukhang nagsimula na itong 2025 elections!
00:38.0
Mukhang nandito na! Mukhang meron na tayong blueprint!
00:43.0
At least meron tayong outline ng anong mga kampo-kampo ang mangyayari dyan sa 2025 elections midterms!
00:55.0
Saan tayo tataya? O huwag na tayo magtataya, kuha na lang tayo ng popcorn!
01:01.0
Ayan na lang daw gagawin natin!
01:03.0
Kamusta naman kayo dyan mga kameta!
01:05.0
Kamusta kayo dyan mga galing sa tatayland!
01:10.0
Right?
01:12.0
Andami na naman sinasabi ni Tatay Digong sa eto na, eto na!
01:16.0
Sa Tatay Digong, eto na talaga, hindi lang nag-defend sa kanyang anak.
01:23.0
But kinda goes also on the offensive against dun sa perceived force behind itong gradual erosion in power of the supposed second most powerful person in the person.
01:40.0
Or someone would say someone who was really the most powerful or most popular supposedly.
01:45.0
So eto na mga kameta, eto na kameta!
01:48.0
Tatay Digong to the rescue!
01:51.0
So kagabi pinag-usapan natin with our good friends si Ronald Llamas among others.
01:58.0
Ito ang show ni Tatay Digong, Gika sa masa para sa masa TV program.
02:04.0
Sinabi niya o talagang eto talaga si Tatay!
02:10.0
Hindi pa rin natapos talaga itong Tatay Times!
02:14.0
Okay ah, dito medyo nagpaparinig itong si Tatay Confidential Fund.
02:22.0
Mamaya mag-usapan natin mga confidential fund ni Tatay.
02:25.0
Sabi ni Tatay nung nag-insinuate siya na yung Speaker of the House who is effectively the right hand man of the President.
02:33.0
Ayan, sinasabi niya na yun daw ang behind dun sa mga kritisismo kay Vice President and Education Secretary who happens to be his daughter.
02:44.0
Baka naman si Tatay, baka eto yung host ng Gika sa masa para sa masa.
02:49.0
Mukhang naipinig yata sa mga vlogs natin.
02:53.0
Baka fan din eto ng R&R.
02:57.0
Sabi ni former President, dun sa 500 million pesos confidential fund, yung malaking ni-request ng kanyang anak for 2024 GAA, General Appropriations Act.
03:12.0
Eto, eto, eto, sabi niya.
03:14.0
Sabi na she will be spending it on strengthening the preparatory military training in high school to instill a love for the country among the youth.
03:21.0
Eto si Tatay, love na love talagang country.
03:24.0
Eto yung si Tatay na I love China, China will protect me, wala naman nangyari daw sa Reed Bank, Lethal Maritime Incident.
03:32.0
Eto yung Tatay na very concerned sa patriotism.
03:38.0
Tapos nagpatawa siya.
03:40.0
Sabi niya, in-advise daw niya si Sarah to be more candid on the real reason how she would use the money to quote to Reed Congress of Communists.
03:49.0
Medyo may patama na, may konting Tatay style na nagte-threaten.
03:54.0
At sabi niya, yung anak niya ngayon pa lang, dahil perceived na siya as a top candidate or a good candidate for 2028 elections, general elections,
04:05.0
baka nat-threaten ng iba or baka nagkakonspire ng iba laban sa kanya.
04:09.0
Sabi niya, but I am saying now that Inday, as far as I'm concerned, should not run for President.
04:14.0
Eto na naman yung style nila na should run, should not run, should run, should not run.
04:18.0
Kaya nga bara-bara magpresidente.
04:20.0
Kesa sa pagtagpo pa lang, yung laos na script na po ulit-ulit na 2016 gagamit na naman.
04:27.0
Baka di nag-gets.
04:29.0
Laos na yung mga ganyan style.
04:31.0
Tingnan naman nangyari ng 2020, tuloy nanalo si, sino nanalo?
04:35.0
Si BBM nanalo.
04:36.0
Sa kakaka, I'll run, I'll not run.
04:38.0
Tapos papalit-palit, ayan.
04:40.0
Wala na laos na yung style niya.
04:42.0
But anyway, sabi niya, tama na yung Vice President, maganda niya yan.
04:45.0
Ibigay niya yan sa iba.
04:47.0
Aba, ibigay niya sa iba, ano ba yan?
04:49.0
Parang, ano yan?
04:51.0
Damit lang, iniram lang talagang si Tate.
04:53.0
Taas talagang respeto.
04:55.0
But eto ah guys, eto, this is where
04:57.0
sabi ning iba, labas na yung mga popcorns.
05:00.0
Labas na yung mga popcorns, mga kameta.
05:03.0
Sabi niya, eto, eto, eto, eto, eto.
05:05.0
Medyo may pataman ah.
05:08.0
Sabi niya, this Romualdes speaker
05:12.0
has been feeding congressmen with cash
05:15.0
but I say he should be audited.
05:17.0
Sabi niya sa Pilipino.
05:18.0
Marunong.
05:19.0
Bakit tagalog si Tatay?
05:23.0
Parang mas magaling pa yata yung tagalog ko sa kanya.
05:25.0
Kahit yung conyo yung tagalog natin.
05:27.0
Sabi niya, because the speaker is poised to run for president
05:33.0
well and good.
05:35.0
Sabi niya, eto ah.
05:36.0
Siguro ganyan yung style na sinabi ni Tatay.
05:38.0
Duterte stressed that Romualdes has been his friend
05:40.0
even before Fidel Marquez became president.
05:42.0
Sabi niya, seems you've said you want to be president.
05:46.0
I said, okay.
05:47.0
I was not thinking of my daughter.
05:48.0
She's just perceived to be a good candidate.
05:50.0
Aba, may mga pa ganyan-ganyan pa.
05:53.0
Now, eto ah.
05:54.0
Si Duterte, si Tatay.
05:56.0
Inaccusa na si Romualdes of, quote, wallowing
05:59.0
dito sa mga, alam niya, yung mga funds-funds daw.
06:02.0
Sabi niya, let's liquidate and you'll find out that
06:04.0
it is Congress that is the biggest spender, supposedly
06:08.0
and they do not have a limit on their pork barrel daw
06:10.0
especially sa ilalim na ka sa lakuyan daw na speaker leadership
06:13.0
is wallowing daw sa magiging funds.
06:15.0
So medyo, eto na.
06:18.0
Eto na si Tatay.
06:20.0
Eto na.
06:21.0
Eto na.
06:22.0
Arrow.
06:23.0
Boom.
06:24.0
Yan, medyo nag-ano na si Tatay.
06:26.0
Nag-ano na si Tatay.
06:29.0
Eto na.
06:30.0
Arrows fired.
06:31.0
Boom.
06:32.0
Yan, okay talagang.
06:33.0
Magaling talaga itong si Tatay natin ah.
06:35.0
Next level na next level talaga itong Tatay natin.
06:38.0
Eto, eto, eto, eto, eto.
06:40.0
Mga kamets.
06:41.0
Mga kamets.
06:43.0
Hindi ko alam ba itong internet natin sa kabila
06:46.0
pati gumagana.
06:47.0
Nakakainis to.
06:48.0
Sinasabotage ba tayo dito?
06:50.0
Baka matampon na yung mga ibang kasama natin dito.
06:52.0
One second ah.
06:54.0
Wait lang.
06:55.0
Pinapainit pa natin yung discussion.
06:57.0
Yan.
06:58.0
On na lang natin itong data rooming.
07:01.0
Sinasabotage na tayo dito.
07:04.0
Okay.
07:05.0
Behave lang tayo ah.
07:09.0
Hi.
07:11.0
Pilipinas kong mahal.
07:13.0
Ayan.
07:14.0
Okay, okay.
07:15.0
Eto na.
07:16.0
Okay, okay.
07:17.0
I hope this one works.
07:19.0
Balik na tayo.
07:22.0
Balik na tayo.
07:26.0
Yan.
07:28.0
Okay.
07:29.0
Anyway.
07:30.0
Eto niya ah.
07:31.0
An appointee of Ramaldas defended naman.
07:34.0
So may mga nagalit, may hindi natuwa dito.
07:36.0
An appointee of Ramaldas defended the House representative dito sa mga remarks niya.
07:40.0
Sabi niya, pag tinignan mo yung COA report,
07:42.0
released on October 2, the House has no disallowances,
07:46.0
no notice of suspension, and no notice of charge.
07:48.0
It means we passed the COA audit.
07:50.0
Ibig sabi niya walang problema, nothing flagged,
07:54.0
nothing of serious issue.
07:57.0
So hindi niya daw alam anong sinasabi itong tatay.
08:01.0
Sabi niya, all line items in our budget are subject to regular accounting and auditing rules and regulations.
08:07.0
Our books are always open to audit daw.
08:11.0
Wala daw problema.
08:12.0
Hindi nila alam yung pinagsasabi.
08:13.0
So eto na.
08:14.0
Nagsasagutan na mga kamay.
08:16.0
Eto na.
08:17.0
Eto na.
08:18.0
So sabi niya, our books are always open to commission and edit.
08:22.0
And sabi niya, of course, dapat ang gobyerno,
08:26.0
ang expenditures niya should be transparent and fully auditable.
08:32.0
Siguro may patama ng konti dun sa mga ibang confidential funds na hindi ma-audit in a normal sense of the word.
08:41.0
Eto na talaga mga kameta.
08:44.0
Nagsimula na ito.
08:45.0
Mga away na ito.
08:47.0
Ayan.
08:48.0
So eto ha.
08:51.0
Si House Secretary General.
08:53.0
Ang dami mga proxy.
08:55.0
Yung isang community natin.
08:57.0
Proxy dun sa anak niya.
08:58.0
Ito naman yung isang community natin.
09:00.0
Nagpa-proxy dun sa speaker.
09:02.0
Ano ba talaga?
09:03.0
Drama talaga ng Pilipinas?
09:05.0
Ano ba?
09:06.0
Ano bang Pilipinas?
09:07.0
So sabi ni House Secretary General Reginald Velasco.
09:11.0
So eto si Bossing Velasco ito.
09:13.0
Itong sinabi niya, dun sa mga pinagsasabi ni tatay.
09:17.0
Si tatay talaga. Bakit ganyan si tatay?
09:20.0
Tatay.
09:22.0
Bakit naman kasi?
09:24.0
In a statement, sabi ni Velasco.
09:27.0
Said that the House had funds for quote,
09:32.0
Extraordinary and miscellaneous expenses.
09:36.0
1.614 billion for 2023 and proposed 1.259 billion for next year
09:42.0
which are line items subject to audit rules and regulations.
09:45.0
So yes, meron daw funds.
09:48.0
Pero itong mga funds na ito ay hindi dodgy.
09:51.0
Itong funds na ito ay hindi kwestionable.
09:53.0
Alright? Sabi niya,
09:54.0
Online items in our budget are subject to regular accounting and auditing rules and regulations.
10:00.0
Our books are always open for commission.
10:02.0
So, medyo may patama dito ng konti dun sa confidential funds.
10:06.0
It means that we always pass the COA's edit.
10:09.0
Pag tinignan namin yung latest COA edit na lumabas noong October 2.
10:13.0
Kung may problema daw, may problematik daw, lalabas yan.
10:18.0
Ito pang interesting.
10:20.0
So, si tatay Digong, hindi natin sinabi kanina,
10:23.0
he attacked itong kongresya na ito as the most rotten institution in the country.
10:28.0
Itong tawag niya, most rotten institution in the country.
10:32.0
Sinabi ni tatay yan,
10:34.0
at in-accused niya, of course,
10:36.0
na may mga weirdo daw nangyari dyan.
10:38.0
May mga extraordinary expenses daw nangyari.
10:41.0
Sabi ni tatay.
10:42.0
Ayyayayayayayayayayaayayayay..
10:48.0
Bakit ganoon?
10:49.0
Ang hagaaga pa.
10:51.0
Now just go to the basic facts okay?
10:54.0
Just go to the basics.
10:55.0
For 2023,
10:56.0
yung Senado natin ay nag-approve ng funding of 1.8 billion pesos
11:00.0
for miscellaneous and operating expenses.
11:02.0
Ito ang MOWE.
11:03.0
And by the way, some of that actually,
11:05.0
based sa isang vlog natin,
11:07.0
ay pupunta na rin sa some of the departments including Department of Education among others.
11:12.0
So may MOWE.
11:14.0
Not necessarily confidential fund.
11:16.0
And also the Senate is asking for 1.534 billion naman for next year.
11:22.0
On the other hand, the House,
11:24.0
so ito yung sinasabi natin mga kameta na
11:26.0
dapat titignan natin ano yung final version na lalabas dun sa bicameral.
11:32.0
Kasi yung latest na nakita natin ng pushback sa confidential fund,
11:37.0
particularly dun sa Office of the Vice President,
11:40.0
and particularly dito sa Office of the Department of Education Secretary,
11:46.0
this was done at the level of the lower house.
11:48.0
So ang tanong ngayon is,
11:49.0
anong mangyari sa upper house?
11:51.0
Whether dito sa upper house,
11:54.0
susundan nila itong mga mungkahi at mga desisyon,
11:58.0
unanimous daw ayon kay Madam Stella Kimbo.
12:04.0
So sabi ng House,
12:05.0
it has a 2.0066 billion budget for travel,
12:11.0
2 billion pesos pang travel lang daw.
12:14.0
Grand Prix.
12:19.0
1.614 billion for extraordinary miscellaneous expenses,
12:25.0
and almost 3 billion for maintenance and operations for 2023.
12:30.0
Ang hiningi po ng kongreso yata ito,
12:32.0
mabasa dito,
12:33.0
ipopost ko dyan sa baba,
12:35.0
ang hiningi niya is 4.1,
12:37.0
almost 4.2 billion pesos for these expenditures for next year.
12:42.0
Sabi nga ni Bato,
12:44.0
to use his poetic line,
12:46.0
sarap ng buhay.
12:48.0
Sinabi ni Velasco,
12:50.0
of course supporter ni Speaker,
12:53.0
extraordinary miscellaneous expenses
12:55.0
were for cases in which a lawmaker
12:58.0
could not reasonably expect the issuance of a receipt,
13:03.0
including emergency situations
13:05.0
such as giving aid for hospitalization or death of constituents
13:08.0
and dole-outs during calamities.
13:10.0
So, are they saying na actually
13:13.0
may mga expenses dyan na
13:15.0
paano ma-audit yan kung wala palang receipt?
13:19.0
He said a congressman
13:22.0
can certify to incurring these expenses
13:24.0
in support of their function as required by COA.
13:28.0
So, hindi ito confidential fund,
13:30.0
but
13:32.0
okay lang daw if may mga cases,
13:34.0
may mga emergency cases,
13:36.0
na hindi ka na lang mag-issue ng receipt.
13:38.0
Kasi,
13:40.0
iba eh.
13:46.0
Okay.
13:47.0
Bahala na kayong musga.
13:49.0
But an opposition leader,
13:51.0
of course, Ayan Kai,
13:53.0
Representative Edsel Lagman,
13:55.0
sabi niya,
13:57.0
itong mga extraordinary miscellaneous funds
13:59.0
could be used for calamity response
14:01.0
citing the limitations set in 2023
14:05.0
General Appropriations Act.
14:07.0
So,
14:11.0
okay.
14:13.0
Ipapost ko dito mga kameta.
14:16.0
Okay, don't worry about it.
14:18.0
All these articles and arguments,
14:20.0
ipapost natin dito.
14:22.0
Okay, what's going on here?
14:26.0
Okay.
14:28.0
Okay.
14:30.0
Okay.
14:32.0
Analyze natin.
14:34.0
What's going on here?
14:36.0
Well,
14:38.0
what's going on here is mukhang one camp
14:40.0
is already realizing that
14:42.0
the tide is turning.
14:44.0
A camp is realizing that
14:46.0
time is not necessarily
14:48.0
on their side politically.
14:50.0
And mukhang,
14:52.0
some in this camp are realizing
14:54.0
that the best way to defend
14:56.0
is to go on offense.
14:58.0
So, medyo parang Brazilian football national team.
15:00.0
The best defense is offense, right?
15:02.0
Usually, pag nanat kayo ng football,
15:04.0
makikita niyo yung Brazil usually doesn't have the best defenders
15:06.0
but many good offenders.
15:08.0
Offenders.
15:10.0
Hindi offender tawag.
15:12.0
Attack players.
15:14.0
Offenders, maliit.
15:16.0
Yung mga naglalaro sa offense.
15:18.0
Center forward, mga ganyan.
15:20.0
Mukhang ang basa ng iba dyan,
15:22.0
ganito na lang.
15:24.0
Huwag na tayo umopo dyan at hintayin lang
15:26.0
na matatanggal tayo ng fund,
15:28.0
na mabugbog tayo sa mga kritisismo,
15:30.0
na
15:32.0
unti-unti,
15:34.0
the noose is tightening.
15:36.0
Nag-gets na nga.
15:38.0
And unti-unti, nafe-feel nila is
15:40.0
the chains of power are slipping
15:42.0
through their fingers.
15:44.0
Parang yun ang medyo nakikita nila dito.
15:46.0
So, siguro, ang basa dito is
15:48.0
let's go on the offensives.
15:50.0
Siguro naman, popular pa naman tayo.
15:52.0
Siguro pa naman,
15:54.0
maraming pa rin nagmamahal sa atin
15:56.0
dahil napakagalim naman natin
15:58.0
nung pano na tayong presidente.
16:00.0
Dahil nung pano na presidente na tayo,
16:02.0
wala naman tayong confidential funds.
16:04.0
Ay!
16:06.0
Pero meron nga.
16:08.0
So, kung titignan nyo,
16:10.0
ito yung mga confidential funds
16:12.0
nung pano ni
16:14.0
tatay. And of course, alam naman natin yun,
16:16.0
mga confidential funds na yan,
16:18.0
kamusta ang pag-audit dyan?
16:20.0
So, some are saying,
16:22.0
this is kinda weird,
16:24.0
why would you make attacks like that
16:26.0
when you oversaw so many confidential funds?
16:28.0
And the other side can fight back
16:30.0
and say, diktan natin, kamusta naman dyan?
16:32.0
I'm not sure it's the smartest move,
16:34.0
to be honest, mga kamay.
16:36.0
This is a risky move,
16:38.0
but siguro ang basa dito is,
16:40.0
well, if we're just gonna
16:42.0
sit here, we're gonna be sitting duck,
16:44.0
and the next thing you know is,
16:46.0
first they come after our confidential funds,
16:48.0
next thing you know,
16:50.0
baka mamaya papacheck pa nila yung masal
16:52.0
nung pano ni ganito,
16:54.0
mamaya, I don't know, there'll be criticisms,
16:56.0
there'll be bukingan, there'll be whatever.
16:58.0
So, take the fight with them. Siguro ganoon yung logic.
17:00.0
Siguro napuno na.
17:02.0
But,
17:04.0
ganito na lang,
17:06.0
again, all of this is speculation, we don't know what's going on,
17:08.0
maybe I'll just talk to Tatay Digong and interview him,
17:10.0
baka mag-meta na lang tayo
17:12.0
with Tatay, tignan natin ang inisip niya.
17:14.0
No, I mean,
17:16.0
these are all speculation, so we don't know what's
17:18.0
the real, but, my sense is,
17:20.0
what
17:22.0
perhaps we were expecting to happen
17:24.0
a little bit later,
17:26.0
but what we actually predicted
17:28.0
will happen way earlier.
17:30.0
So, kung titignan niyo, 2021 pa lang
17:32.0
may mga articles na tayo
17:34.0
about what's happening right now.
17:36.0
This kind of competition is almost unavoidable,
17:38.0
especially if traditional
17:40.0
opposition is not seen as a big threat.
17:42.0
So, sila-sila na lang.
17:44.0
So, bakit,
17:46.0
ganito kasi, bakit mo kailangan ng
17:48.0
uni-team kung wala naman talaga
17:50.0
kayong kalaban na malakas?
17:52.0
So, ang mangyayari talaga dito is,
17:54.0
who's the boss?
17:56.0
Who's the dominant faction
17:58.0
within the ruling coalition?
18:00.0
So, parang yun ang nangyayari ngayon, mga comments.
18:02.0
So,
18:06.0
my thing is,
18:08.0
in a,
18:10.0
let's say, first world
18:12.0
cautious,
18:14.0
good Machiavellian kind of politics,
18:16.0
ang mangyayari dito is,
18:18.0
you realize,
18:20.0
first of all, you recognize
18:22.0
na
18:24.0
what's the state of affairs now?
18:26.0
Alright? Yes.
18:28.0
Of course, one side feels entitled
18:30.0
because they were in
18:32.0
power for so long
18:34.0
until recently,
18:36.0
and they feel that they were really the dominant force
18:38.0
in last year's elections.
18:40.0
And guess what? I don't disagree
18:42.0
with that. I actually agree with that,
18:44.0
that yung 60 percent so
18:46.0
na napunta dun sa uni-team,
18:48.0
you could say a big part of that is because
18:50.0
of the power and momentum
18:52.0
of the Dutertes. I think I kind of agree with that.
18:54.0
But,
18:56.0
the reality is so many things have changed
18:58.0
since last year, right?
19:00.0
And the reality is that
19:02.0
the president is the most
19:04.0
powerful person in the country, right?
19:06.0
Now, we can talk a lot
19:08.0
about,
19:10.0
we can talk a lot about the character
19:12.0
of the president. If he's the best president
19:14.0
ever, we can talk about whether
19:16.0
he's conflict avoidant. But the thing is this,
19:18.0
the levers of power is with the president.
19:20.0
And like what
19:22.0
a good
19:24.0
senator said,
19:26.0
the former vice president,
19:28.0
the vice president is just a spare tire, right?
19:30.0
The president is just a spare tire.
19:32.0
So, in that situation,
19:36.0
you also add the element of foreign
19:38.0
policy. And this is a very interesting thing,
19:40.0
mga kamayta, or yung mga engot dyan,
19:42.0
na hindi nila guess. Nagpapatawa lang tayo,
19:44.0
but this is serious analysis. And for anyone
19:46.0
who bothers, actually medyo kong may
19:48.0
illiterate kayo. Nagbasa kayo ng mga sinulat natin.
19:50.0
The reason nga in-interview lang tayo all around the world
19:52.0
is because alam nating sinasabi natin. But anyway,
19:56.0
by the way, the caveats, of course.
19:58.0
Now, going back to this,
20:00.0
one of the things that is happening here is very
20:02.0
interesting because
20:04.0
all of a sudden,
20:06.0
and this is my
20:08.0
problem dun sa analysis
20:10.0
ng mga taga, ano,
20:12.0
bakery-bakery forum
20:14.0
na yan, it is true
20:16.0
na maliit lang ng
20:18.0
porsyento ng mga Pilipino, si foreign
20:20.0
policy or West Philippines is an urgent issue.
20:22.0
But that doesn't mean
20:24.0
that only few Filipinos care
20:26.0
about West Philippines issue. That's not true.
20:28.0
Vast majority of Filipinos care
20:30.0
about the West Philippines issue. It's just that
20:32.0
it's not their number
20:34.0
one national concern.
20:36.0
It's not as important as inflation
20:38.0
because you have to eat food every day.
20:40.0
While the West Philippines issue, unless may
20:42.0
ingista ka sa West Philippines, it's not an
20:44.0
everyday issue. So, mali yung
20:46.0
analysis ng mga taga-bakery
20:48.0
yan, nakakaalam nila dahil 7 person
20:50.0
lang or whatever lang nagsabi na most urgent
20:52.0
yung ano, na 7 person lang may pakis
20:54.0
sa West Philippines. That's not true. Anong
20:56.0
kasungahan ng pag-iisip yan?
20:58.0
I-upgrade nyo naman yung
21:00.0
thinking nyo. Now, clearly
21:02.0
majority of Filipinos have very
21:04.0
strong feelings about the West Philippines
21:06.0
issue. Clearly, a majority of Filipinos
21:08.0
want the,
21:10.0
I mean, the numbers are clear, Paul's
21:12.0
ratio, established, etc. Majority
21:14.0
of Filipinos want the president to take
21:16.0
a tough, tough, tough stance
21:18.0
sa West Philippine Sea to
21:20.0
take back even if kaya yung mga
21:22.0
isla na nawala. Sata, I think they're talking about Scar
21:24.0
Marshall. And 7 to
21:26.0
8 out of 10 Filipinos want us to work with
21:28.0
allies and friends. Now, kung titignan mo,
21:30.0
Romualdo's
21:32.0
right now
21:34.0
is positioning himself
21:36.0
as the man of the West
21:38.0
Philippines Sea, as one of the defenders of the West
21:40.0
Philippine Sea. Because,
21:42.0
under Romualdo's, right? Under Romualdo's,
21:44.0
I mean, eto, may
21:46.0
picture dito. Si Romualdo's pumunta pa
21:48.0
sa pag-asa pala nung
21:50.0
isang araw lang sa October 5. So, I'll
21:52.0
post ko yan sa inyo. So, what you're seeing
21:54.0
right now is Speaker Romualdo's
21:56.0
is clearly positioning himself as a
21:58.0
patriot, as a defender of the West
22:00.0
Philippine Sea, and the
22:02.0
reallocation of the confidential funds that was
22:04.0
requested by among others, you know,
22:06.0
ni-reallocate yan
22:08.0
to
22:10.0
agencies na in-charge sa pag-de-develop
22:12.0
ng West Philippine Sea.
22:14.0
Right? And the other thing
22:16.0
that you have to also keep in mind here is
22:18.0
that
22:20.0
they're also, right,
22:22.0
allocating
22:24.0
money. So, this is the
22:26.0
Department of Transportation, no? Pinakita natin
22:28.0
nung isang araw.
22:30.0
They're also allocating funds dun sa pag-develop
22:32.0
ng facilities
22:34.0
diyan sa pag-asa. So, this is very,
22:36.0
very interesting. So, you have the Speaker
22:38.0
of the House. I don't think, when was the
22:40.0
last time? Belmonte? Hindi
22:42.0
rin eh. I haven't seen
22:44.0
I haven't seen
22:46.0
a Speaker of the House who's so
22:48.0
front and center, at least
22:50.0
positioning-wise, projection-wise,
22:52.0
publicity-wise, no?
22:54.0
As the defender of the West Philippine
22:56.0
Sea. I'll post natin and we'll talk about
22:58.0
this. The picture is here. It's this article.
23:00.0
So, noong October 5 pala,
23:02.0
nandun sila
23:04.0
sa pag-asa. Yeah.
23:06.0
Kasama pa yung mga AFP top generals,
23:08.0
including General Romeo Bronner.
23:10.0
So, this is it. I don't know
23:12.0
when was the last time you saw a Speaker of the House going to, I don't know,
23:14.0
pag-asa.
23:16.0
Right? Hindi eh.
23:18.0
So, and
23:20.0
this coincides
23:22.0
with the reallocation of funds from VP
23:24.0
to West Philippine Sea. So,
23:26.0
or yung mga
23:28.0
West Philippine Sea relevant agencies
23:30.0
or West Philippine Sea relevant
23:32.0
projects. And look at
23:34.0
yung statement ni Stella Kimbo na din discuss
23:36.0
natin. Sabi niya, we want to be on the right side of
23:38.0
history. So,
23:40.0
now, this is where you get to see
23:42.0
that itong foreign policy
23:44.0
issue na yan, itong West Philippine Sea foreign
23:46.0
policy issue na yan, is becoming
23:48.0
a clincher.
23:50.0
Na it's allowing
23:52.0
for one faction,
23:54.0
and I would hazard to say
23:56.0
the more dominant faction, without really caution,
23:58.0
to come out and say, coming for the
24:00.0
West Philippine Sea,
24:02.0
kami ang mga patriots,
24:04.0
and we want funds
24:06.0
to go dun sa mga ahensya
24:08.0
na nagdi-defend ng ating national security
24:10.0
and defending us against
24:12.0
real enemies. Not some imaginary
24:14.0
NPA communists taking over schools,
24:16.0
whatever, yung mga bla bla bla. No, no, no.
24:18.0
We're here to fight
24:20.0
against the real enemy
24:22.0
and I'm helping them. And as a
24:24.0
Speaker of the House, because I have a lot of discretion about,
24:26.0
funds, et cetera, this is what we're
24:28.0
going to do. So,
24:30.0
in a way, I'm not saying this is
24:32.0
the strategy per se, but in a way you can see,
24:34.0
you are able to hit two birds with one
24:36.0
stone, right? Through that reallocation,
24:38.0
A,
24:40.0
you emphasize yung
24:42.0
commitment mo sa pagdipensa ng
24:44.0
West Philippine Sea, and B, if ever,
24:46.0
there is indeed a rivalry, or B is
24:48.0
ever, there's some acts to grind,
24:50.0
right? So,
24:52.0
you'll accomplish multiple tasks
24:54.0
at the same time with this move. And I think
24:56.0
that's where the context whereby si Tatay,
24:58.0
he saw what's going on here,
25:00.0
and he responded accordingly. Very,
25:02.0
very interesting. Very, very interesting.
25:04.0
So,
25:06.0
as I argued,
25:08.0
journalists say, all
25:10.0
politics is local politics,
25:12.0
right? Meaning, when it comes to foreign
25:14.0
policy or national politics, this has to do
25:16.0
with internal, domestic,
25:18.0
local level, kind
25:20.0
of, power plays and calculus.
25:22.0
What's happening
25:24.0
in the Philippines is actually kind of like the opposite.
25:26.0
The West Philippine Sea issue
25:28.0
and yung issue na sino ba talagang
25:30.0
para sa bayan
25:32.0
at sinong pro-China lang,
25:34.0
this is allowing for one faction
25:36.0
within a ruling faction
25:38.0
to assert its dominance
25:40.0
and, at least,
25:42.0
parang ito yata yung tingin ni Tatay,
25:44.0
parang minamarginalize pa
25:46.0
yung kabila, right? So,
25:48.0
this is fascinating. I think we
25:50.0
haven't seen many cases whereby foreign
25:52.0
policy becomes
25:56.0
essentially a stepping stone
25:58.0
for one faction within the
26:00.0
ruling coalition to step it up
26:02.0
and also to allow them
26:04.0
to push back
26:06.0
against another faction, right?
26:08.0
And remember, the divisions
26:10.0
and fault lines that
26:12.0
took place dito sa ilalim
26:14.0
ng
26:16.0
ruling coalition, saan siya nagsimula?
26:18.0
Nagsimula ito
26:20.0
dun sa demotion
26:22.0
ni former President and Speaker
26:24.0
of the House, Arroyo.
26:26.0
And according to some reports, this had
26:28.0
something to do also with disagreements
26:30.0
over Marcos Jr.'s
26:32.0
policy towards China, meaning
26:34.0
Marcos being a bit too critical towards
26:36.0
China for some factions. So,
26:38.0
this is very, very interesting.
26:40.0
So, yung mga development sa West Philippine Sea
26:42.0
is accelerating
26:44.0
power play within the
26:46.0
ruling coalition. And now,
26:48.0
more than one year
26:50.0
until next
26:52.0
midterm elections, but more or less one year
26:54.0
until registration for the next elections,
26:56.0
mukhang nagsimula na.
26:58.0
At mukhang medyo
27:00.0
alam na natin ano yung maging
27:02.0
potential
27:04.0
alignments and ano yung mga
27:06.0
maging potential
27:10.0
rivalries there. Now,
27:12.0
the thing here is,
27:14.0
and I think this is where things get interesting,
27:16.0
ang tanong dito is,
27:18.0
ano naman ang gagawin ng totoong
27:20.0
oposisyon?
27:22.0
Because I always make a distinction between two kinds
27:24.0
of opposition. Functional opposition
27:26.0
and ideological opposition.
27:28.0
Ang ideological opposition
27:30.0
ay isang opposition na kung saan talagang
27:32.0
merong kang disagreement
27:34.0
dun sa mga prinsipyo,
27:36.0
sa ideologiya nung administrasyon.
27:38.0
Right? So,
27:40.0
karamihan ng mga oposisyon,
27:42.0
ideological opposition,
27:44.0
ay ayaw kay Pongo Marcos
27:46.0
because of, of course, yung history, yung kasaysayan,
27:48.0
concerns about
27:50.0
human rights violations in the past
27:52.0
during the Marcos regime, also concerns about
27:54.0
good governance, etc.
27:56.0
And some, more
27:58.0
far left or progressive,
28:00.0
they're even against the kind of
28:02.0
oligarchic politics
28:04.0
or quasi-democracy
28:06.0
that we have.
28:08.0
That's the ideological opposition.
28:10.0
But right now, what's happening now is,
28:12.0
dun sa ruling coalition nang kakaroon
28:14.0
ng split,
28:16.0
so one part of the ruling coalition is becoming
28:18.0
a functional opposition, meaning
28:20.0
hindi siya opposition ideologically
28:22.0
or not a significant
28:24.0
ideological or policy outlook difference.
28:26.0
Although there are some major
28:28.0
policy differences, particularly in West Philippines.
28:30.0
But overall, it's not like
28:32.0
one is left, one is right
28:34.0
in terms of ideology. It's not. They're both
28:36.0
right. One is more
28:38.0
far right than the other.
28:40.0
By any reasonable
28:42.0
analysis.
28:44.0
What's happening there is,
28:46.0
magkakaroon ka kayo
28:48.0
ng dalawang opposition. Ideological
28:50.0
opposition na ayos sa Marcos administration
28:52.0
because of the whole Marcos baggage.
28:54.0
And then you have now the functional opposition
28:56.0
because of itong
28:58.0
away over West Philippine Sea, away
29:00.0
over confidential funds,
29:02.0
and some would even say power play,
29:04.0
internal competition.
29:06.0
That's interesting.
29:08.0
So is the 2025 elections
29:10.0
going to be a three-way kind of
29:12.0
competition whereby you have
29:14.0
one very dominant,
29:16.0
essentially BBM, Ramon,
29:18.0
et cetera,
29:20.0
administration bets,
29:22.0
and then you'll have ideological
29:24.0
opposition here, and then you'll have
29:26.0
functional opposition here, and then
29:28.0
what's going to happen next?
29:30.0
So some were saying,
29:32.0
kasi ganito, if you're a never-Marcos
29:34.0
group, you might even
29:36.0
contemplate teaming up with
29:38.0
the functional opposition
29:40.0
against the administration.
29:44.0
Now,
29:46.0
my problem with that is,
29:48.0
or, I mean, the criticism against that
29:50.0
would be, I'm not sure about the
29:52.0
chances there. It's very hard
29:54.0
to go against administration during midterm elections
29:56.0
because midterm elections in the Philippines are pro-incumbency.
29:58.0
But the other one is,
30:00.0
wait lang,
30:02.0
what are your concerns against with Marcos?
30:04.0
What happened again under
30:06.0
Duterte's?
30:08.0
I'm not talking about Marcos Sr., I'm talking about Marcos Jr.
30:10.0
Between Marcos Jr.
30:12.0
and Marcos Sr., who is a
30:14.0
bigger concern when it comes to human rights?
30:16.0
Who is a bigger concern when it comes to West Philippine Sea?
30:18.0
Who is a bigger concern when it comes to X, Y, and Z?
30:20.0
So the problem with
30:22.0
those who are just focused as never-Marcos
30:24.0
and maybe open to teaming up with the others,
30:26.0
that has its
30:28.0
own...
30:30.0
Now,
30:32.0
and then I think there's another group
30:34.0
within the ideological opposition
30:36.0
who are saying, let's just stay out of
30:38.0
this whole thing. Maybe just pick
30:40.0
up the popcorns and
30:42.0
try to run as the
30:44.0
third force in the 2025
30:46.0
elections or just sit out the 2025
30:48.0
elections. Do grassroots.
30:50.0
Popularize
30:52.0
some of your promising candidates
30:54.0
but you're really there for 2028,
30:56.0
right? Let the 2025
30:58.0
to be Uniteam
31:00.0
contest, right?
31:02.0
Intra-Uniteam contest
31:04.0
or not-so-Uniteam contest.
31:06.0
But my sense is,
31:08.0
we might see more and more
31:10.0
members of the
31:12.0
supposed ideological opposition. People who
31:14.0
are from Liberal Party
31:16.0
like Stella Kimbo,
31:18.0
people who are affiliated with the opposition,
31:20.0
people who ran
31:22.0
under the opposition, people who used to
31:24.0
criticize Marcos Jr. a lot,
31:26.0
people who used to present themselves as
31:28.0
the anti-thesis of Marcos,
31:30.0
etc. They might come in and say,
31:32.0
Marcos, Duterte,
31:34.0
Admin,
31:36.0
suddenly not-so-Admin.
31:38.0
That's where we're going.
31:40.0
Not just a bigger chance
31:42.0
but closer to
31:44.0
something that I can work with.
31:46.0
I think what we're going to see is that
31:48.0
there's going to be splits also.
31:50.0
Not only within the ruling
31:52.0
coalition within Uniteam. I think
31:54.0
there's going to be some split also
31:56.0
within the ideological opposition.
31:58.0
I think there's going to be people there
32:00.0
in the real opposition, some of them saying,
32:02.0
never Marcos, we'll not work
32:04.0
with them. We might even be open
32:06.0
to working with the other faction
32:08.0
to check them out.
32:10.0
There could be another faction.
32:12.0
I can't guess who are these guys.
32:14.0
Who's going to say, neither-nor,
32:16.0
paalam kayo dyan.
32:18.0
I'm just going to pick my popcorn and I'm just going to
32:20.0
prepare for 2028.
32:22.0
Maybe support some people here and there.
32:24.0
Medyo magparamdam ako, but no.
32:26.0
But I think there'll be more and more people
32:28.0
who'll say, I'm not necessarily
32:30.0
endorsing it, but this is just my sense about things.
32:32.0
And I'm sure Stella Kimbo
32:34.0
could be one of them who'll say,
32:36.0
Duterte-Admin,
32:38.0
I'm sure I could work with them.
32:40.0
Marcos Jr. Administration, well, it's
32:42.0
not necessarily your
32:44.0
Norwegian Social Democratic Labour Party
32:46.0
but I think I can
32:48.0
work with this administration. By the way,
32:50.0
if it's midterms, you've had to be
32:52.0
with the administration because your chances of
32:54.0
winning is significantly higher. And if you want to make
32:56.0
good change, then
32:58.0
that's it. Work with
33:00.0
the side that you can work better with.
33:02.0
So these are potential people who are
33:04.0
not only never Duterte, but also pragmatic
33:06.0
people who want to be
33:08.0
in the game. And I want to say that, okay,
33:10.0
given that for now, for a while Duterte,
33:12.0
for a while Marcos, but who knows?
33:14.0
In 2028, things could be interesting.
33:16.0
And the idea is that, who knows, maybe in 2028
33:18.0
we can converge with other members
33:20.0
of the opposition who were
33:22.0
not
33:24.0
siding with any of the sides,
33:26.0
or were running against both sides.
33:28.0
But down the road, we can work together. But by that
33:30.0
time, I'm going to be much more powerful.
33:32.0
By that time, I'm going to be a national figure.
33:34.0
By that time, I have
33:36.0
built my
33:38.0
credentials. Again, and I think
33:40.0
Stella Kimbo could be one of those persons.
33:42.0
But I don't think Stella Kimbo is alone. I think
33:44.0
there'll be growing, growing temptation
33:46.0
by people from the real opposition
33:48.0
to say that,
33:50.0
I'm not just going to popcorn.
33:52.0
Maybe I should join the race.
33:54.0
Maybe not even run,
33:56.0
but somehow be part of the game
33:58.0
and lay down the foundation for 2028.
34:00.0
So,
34:02.0
essentially,
34:04.0
mga kameta, ngayon pa lang,
34:06.0
hindi lang nagsimula ang 2025
34:08.0
elections. Mukhang nagsimula
34:10.0
na rin ang 2028 elections.
34:12.0
Not only in a
34:14.0
conceptual sense, not only in
34:16.0
terms of
34:18.0
just
34:20.0
vague forecast or
34:22.0
scenario building, I think in terms of
34:24.0
actual alignment
34:26.0
of forces. In terms of
34:28.0
actual sowing
34:30.0
the seeds for
34:32.0
what could happen down in 2028.
34:34.0
President Duterte
34:36.0
also mentioned 2028
34:38.0
elections and who could be the next president.
34:40.0
So that it looks like every
34:42.0
side right now has
34:44.0
2028 in their sides.
34:46.0
In their crosshairs.
34:48.0
And as early as right now,
34:50.0
nag-iisip ng lahat how to
34:52.0
play their game in the best way possible
34:54.0
in 2025
34:56.0
so that they'll be in the best position
34:58.0
possible for the even
35:00.0
bigger fight in 2028.
35:02.0
Because mga kameta,
35:04.0
I describe the 2022
35:06.0
elections as the most consequential elections
35:08.0
in contemporary Philippine history.
35:10.0
But as things
35:12.0
stand, I don't think I'm wrong.
35:14.0
I don't think I was wrong. I think I was right.
35:16.0
And I'm glad many people used my
35:18.0
description which is most consequential.
35:20.0
I wrote it in a piece for Algebra
35:22.0
English. This is way early
35:24.0
in the election period.
35:26.0
My sense is
35:28.0
the 2028 elections
35:30.0
could be even more consequential
35:32.0
for Philippine democracy. Because
35:34.0
look at it this way.
35:36.0
If babalika mga Duterte
35:38.0
in 2028,
35:40.0
then that means that this
35:42.0
Marcos Jr. time was just a kind of a
35:46.0
some would say temporary
35:48.0
or some would say just a temporary
35:50.0
break in the inevitable ascendancy
35:52.0
of Dutertismo in the Philippines.
35:54.0
Now, but if some
35:56.0
people in the opposition, some
35:58.0
more moderate elements,
36:00.0
work their way through and some of the more
36:02.0
progressives also play their cards well
36:04.0
and smartly in 2025
36:06.0
in preparation for 2028,
36:08.0
what could happen actually is in
36:10.0
2028, you may
36:12.0
have actually very competitive
36:14.0
candidate from the real opposition.
36:16.0
Even someone like Rizal
36:18.0
Antiveros. But not only candidate for the
36:20.0
presidency, but a number of
36:22.0
candidates for the top offices including the
36:24.0
Senate, the Congress, the Governor Office.
36:26.0
So, a lot is at stake. So
36:28.0
imagine if the real opposition
36:30.0
manages to navigate
36:32.0
this whole Marcos, Duterte,
36:34.0
unity in dynamics
36:36.0
so smartly that they'll be in a position
36:38.0
to be highly competitive for 2028.
36:40.0
Right?
36:42.0
Then our interpretation
36:44.0
of not only the past 6 years
36:46.0
but also our interpretation
36:48.0
of now and the next 5 years or 4
36:50.0
years will also be very different. Right?
36:52.0
I'm simplifying it.
36:54.0
Actually, this is
36:56.0
very Hegelian analysis.
36:58.0
The idea is that
37:00.0
may kunting hugot
37:02.0
style yan. I'll just use hugot para may explain ko
37:04.0
kanila. Because in Hegelian
37:06.0
dialectics,
37:08.0
what happens
37:10.0
tomorrow shapes your understanding of what
37:12.0
happens today or what happened today.
37:14.0
Right? So, the fall
37:16.0
shapes your understanding of the original state.
37:18.0
So, in short, parang ganito yan.
37:20.0
Kunyari, nagjowa
37:22.0
ka, diba?
37:24.0
Tapos, ano?
37:26.0
Heartbroken ka at wala.
37:28.0
Hindi gumana yung jowa mo. Tapos, nakahanap ka
37:30.0
na mas magandang jowa.
37:32.0
After 2 years or so.
37:34.0
So, suddenly,
37:36.0
yung heartbreak mo na yan,
37:38.0
ay parang, ay buti nga.
37:40.0
I get rid of that. Ano lang pala yan?
37:42.0
Parang blessing in disguise yan.
37:44.0
See? So, your interpretation of your
37:46.0
past changes because of your
37:48.0
differential future. Now,
37:50.0
of course, the opposite could be also true. Like, let's say,
37:52.0
nagjowa ka,
37:54.0
blah blah blah,
37:56.0
hindi nagwork, heartbroken,
37:58.0
and then yung sumunod, hindi
38:00.0
magandang jowa. So, ang mangyari
38:02.0
dito is suddenly, your interpretation of your past
38:04.0
is, ayan na, mag-adel
38:06.0
ka na. The one that got
38:08.0
away. Do you get what I'm saying?
38:10.0
So, let
38:12.0
me turn the jowa into
38:14.0
progressive politics.
38:16.0
Maybe you didn't get Lenny
38:18.0
in 2022.
38:20.0
And you would say,
38:22.0
wala nang pag-asa ng Pilipinas.
38:24.0
But what if in 2028,
38:26.0
you get someone like
38:28.0
Liza? Or someone like
38:30.0
Lenny again? Or, you know, you know what I'm saying?
38:32.0
Then suddenly, you're gonna look at
38:34.0
2022 and say, nah.
38:36.0
The 2022 was not a tragic
38:38.0
election. The 2022 was
38:40.0
really the wake-up call. And the 2020
38:42.0
was just the beginning of a new era
38:44.0
of next-level
38:46.0
progressive Philippine democracy.
38:48.0
Do you get what I'm saying there?
38:50.0
So, if the real
38:52.0
opposition manages to navigate
38:54.0
these six years, and really
38:56.0
pulls off some magical thing in 2028,
38:58.0
and then really pushes the country in the right
39:00.0
direction, suddenly the
39:02.0
past six years of
39:04.0
tatay-style politics and
39:06.0
now with juniors that will not
39:08.0
look so tragic. It will look like a
39:10.0
difficult transition period
39:12.0
that put places on the right path
39:14.0
to the real
39:16.0
and full consummation
39:18.0
of a progressive
39:20.0
opportunity and moment.
39:22.0
Did you see what I did there?
39:24.0
I just explained Hegelian dialectics
39:26.0
to you guys by talking about
39:28.0
Jowas. Do you get what I'm saying?
39:30.0
So,
39:32.0
see, the same heartbreak
39:34.0
will have totally different meaning
39:36.0
depending on what happens down the road.
39:38.0
Do you get what I'm saying?
39:42.0
So, I agree with Gatsby.
39:44.0
You can't change the past. Remember
39:46.0
there's that line that Gatsby
39:48.0
you didn't read
39:50.0
the book, at least you watched it.
39:52.0
The Spider-Man guy
39:54.0
said to him,
39:56.0
I said, sport, but you can't
39:58.0
change the past, right?
40:00.0
That's a Hegelian way of putting it.
40:02.0
Now, I'm not sure if Fitzgerald knew Hegel,
40:04.0
but if Fitzgerald had
40:06.0
read Hegel and made a
40:08.0
different ending for Gatsby,
40:10.0
then Gatsby would have proven right that
40:12.0
actually you can change the past.
40:14.0
So, if the real opposition
40:16.0
makes the right choice for
40:18.0
2025 and puts them in a position
40:20.0
to pull off something special
40:22.0
in 2028,
40:24.0
the heartbreak of the fellow countrymen
40:26.0
in 2022 will suddenly
40:28.0
have a completely radically
40:30.0
different meaning. It will
40:32.0
look like just the beginning of a new chapter
40:34.0
of full consummation
40:36.0
and flowering of a progressive Philippines.
40:38.0
And in the same vein,
40:40.0
if you're pro-Duterte
40:42.0
and Sarah pulls it up
40:44.0
in 2028, then you're
40:46.0
going to look at the past six years,
40:48.0
meaning from 2022 to 2020
40:50.0
as learning experience,
40:52.0
a moment of humility and all,
40:54.0
but also now you have your redemption.
40:56.0
Do you get what I'm saying?
40:58.0
Do you get what I'm saying here?
41:02.0
So, as
41:04.0
entertaining as this may seem to you
41:06.0
guys, right? And yeah, of course, it's
41:08.0
very possible that all of this is just
41:10.0
flash in the pan or all of this
41:12.0
is just
41:14.0
a kind of
41:16.0
temporary explosion
41:18.0
of dramatics. I'm not
41:20.0
ruling that out. Sure.
41:22.0
But it's not.
41:24.0
It's really true.
41:26.0
We've been talking about this for a few months and now you can
41:28.0
see it's escalating.
41:30.0
The trajectory
41:32.0
is very clear. And as we get closer to
41:34.0
2025, I think this will intensify.
41:36.0
So, that's what I'm saying here.
41:38.0
Right? Hegel's self-recognition.
41:40.0
Okay,
41:42.0
this is...
41:44.0
But you guys see what I'm saying
41:46.0
here. Right?
41:48.0
You can literally change the past
41:50.0
by
41:52.0
changing the future.
41:54.0
Right? Like...
41:56.0
So, that's why it's so
41:58.0
important now that
42:00.0
the people in the real opposition
42:02.0
study well
42:04.0
not only alignment of forces
42:06.0
but also
42:08.0
not only winning in 2025
42:10.0
but thinking about vindicating
42:12.0
history. Vindicating the
42:14.0
pink movement. That's what they want to think about.
42:16.0
And if you're pro-Duterte,
42:18.0
you also have to play your card very
42:20.0
carefully now because if you overreach
42:22.0
and you
42:24.0
subli it,
42:26.0
then you would look at the six years of Tata
42:28.0
as just an aberration.
42:30.0
And back to
42:32.0
the elitists, Tagang Manila,
42:34.0
and stuff like that. Right? So,
42:36.0
that's why I'm saying, Kameta,
42:38.0
don't give up on the Philippines
42:40.0
because you literally can change the past
42:42.0
if you play your cards well right now
42:44.0
in the next four or five years.
42:46.0
So, I don't care about
42:48.0
some people out there who are
42:50.0
into this self-righteous,
42:52.0
sanctimonious,
42:54.0
petty,
42:56.0
whatever. You know, I don't care about them.
42:58.0
You know why? Because I'm looking at the big movements
43:00.0
of history. I'm looking at redemption.
43:02.0
I'm looking at, not for myself, thank God
43:04.0
I'm trying my best, but I'm
43:06.0
looking at redemptive politics.
43:08.0
I'm looking at the possibility of
43:10.0
making something
43:12.0
out of the, all the
43:14.0
tragedies and difficulties
43:16.0
and challenges and polarizing
43:18.0
politics we have had.
43:20.0
Because,
43:22.0
the reason I'm saying this is because
43:24.0
I'm looking
43:26.0
at the West Philippine Sea issue right now.
43:28.0
At pansin ko,
43:30.0
yung mga lumalaban para sa West Philippine Sea
43:32.0
ay mas desidido,
43:34.0
mas inspired,
43:36.0
at
43:38.0
hindi lang vindicated eh, parang
43:40.0
ito yung
43:42.0
almost my triumphant
43:44.0
feeling, not triumphalist, but
43:46.0
almost triumphant, because
43:48.0
alam nila, they didn't
43:50.0
only have to fight for West Philippine Sea
43:52.0
against the bully out there, but they
43:54.0
had to fight it through the
43:56.0
Tatay Parangay
43:58.0
Geopolitics days.
44:00.0
So, para ang sarap ng feeling ngayon,
44:02.0
na ito na talaga,
44:04.0
lumalaban na talaga tayo.
44:06.0
So, in a way,
44:08.0
those six years,
44:10.0
about two or three years na talagang
44:12.0
Tatay loves China kind of
44:14.0
naive, parangay
44:16.0
style geopolitics,
44:18.0
you don't see that as a loss opportunity,
44:20.0
but you see that as an opportunity to
44:22.0
actually strengthen
44:24.0
your will, to develop steely
44:26.0
patriotic will, and to fight
44:28.0
the West Philippine Sea fight
44:30.0
smarter. And my sense is,
44:32.0
if we had pleasant surprise
44:34.0
on the West Philippine Sea front
44:36.0
so far, why can't we have also
44:38.0
pleasant surprises on other fronts?
44:40.0
But that's only
44:42.0
possible if you hold your ground,
44:44.0
play your game
44:46.0
smartly, and once you get
44:48.0
the opportunities, once you get openings,
44:50.0
you go for it.
44:52.0
Okay. Wala na, matagal.
44:54.0
Wala na, pagod na ako, matulog na ako, but
44:56.0
gets yun ah. Gets yun yung sinasabi ko
44:58.0
dito. So, I am
45:00.0
not here na
45:02.0
pinag-usapan lang itong politika
45:04.0
natin para lang, you know,
45:06.0
just making
45:08.0
fun, or
45:10.0
having fun, or
45:12.0
no, because there's a bigger picture out
45:14.0
there, mga kameta. There's a bigger,
45:16.0
bigger picture out there. There is a
45:18.0
possibility for redemption.
45:20.0
There's a possibility for things
45:22.0
going way, way more wrong.
45:24.0
And there's
45:26.0
a possibility for strategic learning,
45:28.0
right? And there's a possibility
45:30.0
for us making the most
45:32.0
out of the best that
45:34.0
we saw in the Filipino people.
45:36.0
Not only in last year elections, but over the
45:38.0
last six, seven years. Do you get what
45:40.0
I'm saying? Exactly.
45:42.0
Perspective is the most important thing.
45:46.0
This is not coming out of nowhere.
45:48.0
Kanina na I had a conversation with some of our friends na
45:50.0
come from
45:52.0
countries that are going through very difficult
45:54.0
moments, and
45:56.0
we went back into ancient history.
45:58.0
Now, I'm not talking about the Middle East, but of course, naking kiramay
46:00.0
po tayo sa mga biktima na mga
46:02.0
civilians na matay
46:04.0
dyan sa ongoing conflict ngayon.
46:06.0
Our hearts and prayers go to them.
46:08.0
And really, we're, our
46:10.0
prayers for
46:12.0
humanity and sanity to prevail eventually
46:14.0
pa rin. The cycle na yan ay hindi tuloy-tuloy.
46:16.0
Now, the person I was talking to a while ago,
46:18.0
they're not from that place,
46:20.0
but they're also in countries that are going
46:22.0
through very difficult moments of transition.
46:24.0
So what we were doing, Kanina, is we were
46:26.0
reaching back into history in order to better
46:28.0
understand how can things move for the
46:30.0
better in the next 15, 20,
46:32.0
30 years. In the case of the Philippines,
46:34.0
luckily,
46:36.0
demokrasya tayo, guys. May chance
46:38.0
talaga tayo na baguyin
46:40.0
yung direction na ating bansa.
46:42.0
We kind of did it in the wrong direction
46:44.0
at some point,
46:46.0
but we can also do it in the right direction.
46:48.0
And sana lang,
46:50.0
if ever we get it right
46:52.0
this time,
46:54.0
hindi na natin sayangin ulit.
46:56.0
Because before, sinayang
46:58.0
natin eh, right? Got rid of a
47:00.0
dictator, and then what?
47:02.0
Sinayang yung opportunity. Complacency.
47:04.0
So no room
47:06.0
for complacency,
47:10.0
but also no room for
47:12.0
cynicism. What we need is
47:14.0
healthy skepticism with
47:16.0
courage of the will.
47:18.0
That's a very, very important thing. But perhaps
47:20.0
the most important thing, compared to everything else,
47:22.0
is perspective.
47:24.0
And this is what
47:26.0
I hope to share with you guys,
47:28.0
right? So yeah, in a Gatsby sense,
47:30.0
you can change the past
47:32.0
by making a better future for the country.
47:34.0
So yun lang. On that note,
47:36.0
thank you very much. Maraming salamat. Sorry,
47:38.0
I'm already losing my voice kasi
47:40.0
7, 8, 8 a.m. pa lang
47:42.0
meron kami dito workshop and talks.
47:44.0
Andayon, purong mga kira,
47:46.0
conflicts, disarmament.
47:48.0
Kung ano lang pinag-usapan namin tuloy.
47:50.0
Ulit mamaya, umaga.
47:52.0
But I was thinking about it.
47:54.0
If you just want to know about what's the
47:56.0
latest thing that happened, the Philippine politics,
47:58.0
Marites, etc.
48:00.0
Hi sa kanina. May mga nagsabi naman, nagwa Marites ka.
48:02.0
Ito yung mga shunga
48:04.0
na hindi nila alam saan galing
48:06.0
mga, where is all of this coming
48:08.0
from. That, you can get it out there.
48:10.0
You can watch other people, whatever.
48:14.0
But now you know, when I analyze
48:16.0
things, I'm looking at almost
48:18.0
the Hegelian dialectics. Like I'm looking
48:20.0
at the Geist.
48:22.0
You know, the spirit driving history,
48:24.0
right? You have to operate at
48:26.0
that level. Because if you don't operate at that level,
48:28.0
mga kameta,
48:30.0
you will be a hostage to
48:32.0
presentism. And what is presentism?
48:34.0
That the excitement
48:36.0
or the sorrows of the moment
48:38.0
will blind you to the possibilities
48:40.0
of the future and even the
48:42.0
chance to change what
48:44.0
the past means for us.
48:46.0
As simple as that.
48:48.0
On that note, thank you very much.
48:50.0
Maraming salamat. I know medyo tumagal-tagal
48:52.0
ito. Siguro yung break down na lang natin
48:54.0
into two parts. Nakalampas
48:56.0
na tayo sa isang oras. I'll try to break this down
48:58.0
into two parts. Now, this is very important.
49:00.0
I just felt
49:02.0
we need to have a kind of honest conversation about
49:04.0
this. And a kind of deep, deep,
49:06.0
really deep conversation about this.
49:08.0
So, please, don't try to
49:10.0
compare me to other people. Other people
49:12.0
do their own thing. I do it my way.
49:14.0
I do it completely my way.
49:16.0
I don't just blog and talk on
49:18.0
TV, whatever. I write these things
49:20.0
down. I write these things down.
49:22.0
I think about these things.
49:24.0
Day and night. Really look at different
49:26.0
angles. Compare the situation in the Philippines
49:28.0
to 10, 12, 13, 15
49:30.0
other countries that I kind of know about.
49:32.0
Philippines
49:34.0
is not the only country I'm familiar with.
49:36.0
I can confidently say I'm familiar
49:38.0
with 3, 4, 5 different countries.
49:40.0
Their politics, their history, etc.
49:44.0
Not just China, just US, etc.
49:50.0
Based on that, we make this kind of
49:52.0
announcement. See? No notes, nothing.
49:54.0
This is just natural.
49:58.0
Thank you very much.
50:00.0
God bless and talk to you soon.
50:02.0
Actually, I'm thinking how to
50:04.0
write this down. I think I have to be able to write this down.
50:06.0
I'm working already on a book.
50:08.0
Another book.
50:10.0
We have to do this deep thinking.
50:12.0
Those who are watching us, especially
50:14.0
on our Nexus episodes
50:16.0
with Lele Claudio.
50:18.0
Derek, you can really see it.
50:22.0
We spend a lot of time
50:24.0
really thinking this through.
50:26.0
Alright? God bless, talk to you
50:28.0
and have a good day. Thank you very much.
50:30.0
Long live the Philippines.
50:32.0
Those who are watching,
50:34.0
don't get mad.
50:36.0
If you're a father,
50:38.0
you also, you know, whatever.
50:40.0
On that note, thank you very much.
50:42.0
God bless. Have a good day.