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SARA v ROMUALDEZ: WHO WON!??? 😉
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Richard Heydarian VLOGS
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00:00.0
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00:30.0
Magandang araw sa inyong lahat.
01:00.0
Mula sa lahat ng uri ng banta at pang-aabuso.
01:04.3
Napakahalagang pagtuunan din natin ang pansin,
01:07.5
ang pagtugon ng mga mahalagang isyo ukos sa presyo ng mga bilihin
01:11.4
na nakakaapekto sa ating mga mag-aaral at kanilang mga pamilya.
01:16.6
Syokran.
01:17.4
Yun!
01:18.8
Paulitin natin, ha?
01:22.1
Assalamualaikum.
01:23.5
Madayawag mayo at law kanin yung tanan.
01:25.4
Magandang araw sa inyong lahat.
01:27.3
Malugod po namin tinatanggap ang pagkakataong talaga.
01:30.0
At magkakain ang legalidad ng paglilipat ng pondo.
01:33.0
Umaasa kami na ang dunong ng Korte Suprema ay magiging daan upang tuluyang matapos ang usapin na ito.
01:40.6
Ngayon naman, tutukan natin ang mahirap na tungkulin sa pagpapataas ng antas ng kalidad ng edukasyon sa ating bansa
01:47.4
at pagprotekta sa ating mga mag-aaral at mga kawani ng Department of Education
01:53.6
mula sa lahat ng uri ng banta at pang-aabuso.
01:57.8
Yun!
01:58.4
Napakahalagang!
01:59.3
Pagtuunan din natin ang pansin, ang pagtugon ng mga mahalagang issue ukos sa presyo ng mga bilihin
02:05.6
na nakakaapekto sa ating mga mag-aaral at kanilang mga pamilya.
02:09.8
Dinikit pa sa food inflation, ha?
02:12.1
Diba talagang ito si Vice President?
02:15.2
Okay, that was an interesting...
02:16.2
Assalamualaikum.
02:17.7
Madayawag mayo at law kanin yung tanan.
02:19.7
Okay, so interesting, no?
02:22.2
I mean, if you look at the speech, there are many things to say about it.
02:25.4
It was a very short speech.
02:26.5
Hindi po guest yan.
02:27.4
Pina-play po natin yung video ni Vice President Sara Duterte.
02:31.1
Now, first of all, I've noticed with the Vice President,
02:33.7
she presents herself as a kind of a multicultural kind of leader, no?
02:38.5
Nakita natin dun sa isang address niya dun sa kanyang pagtawag for ceasefire sa Gaza,
02:44.2
even ahead of, you know, United Nations 120 people vote,
02:47.4
even in, you know, more or less contradiction to the position of the, well, the abstention vote.
02:53.5
Although, mahabang usapan, you can talk about it.
02:55.7
Na-interview po natin si Ambassador de Vega.
02:57.4
Ambassador de Vega on that.
02:58.9
So, please watch for the explanation of DFA bakit yan ang vote nila.
03:03.0
Anyway, dun ginamit niya yung word na shalom, no?
03:06.1
So, reaching out to the Jewish folks.
03:11.3
And then, dito naman, Assalamualaikum, shokran.
03:14.4
So, of course, yung parang in-address naman niya yung mga Muslim na ating kababayan.
03:18.6
And then, of course, nakikita din natin with Sara Duterte yung kanyang sinusuot, no?
03:25.8
Etc.
03:26.1
Etc.
03:26.3
Etc.
03:26.3
Etc.
03:26.4
Etc.
03:26.4
Etc.
03:26.4
Etc.
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Etc.
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Etc.
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Etc.
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Etc.
03:26.8
Etc.
03:26.8
Etc.
03:26.9
Etc.
03:26.9
Etc.
03:26.9
Etc.
03:27.0
Etc.
03:29.0
Etc.
03:29.0
Etc.
03:29.1
Etc.
03:29.1
Etc.
03:29.1
Etc.
03:29.2
Etc.
03:29.2
Etc.
03:29.3
It's quite interesting if you look at it in a certain way.
03:31.6
And, of course, mestiza siya.
03:33.1
You know, she has mixed heritage, etc.
03:36.4
So, that's quite interesting.
03:37.5
I always found that one of the, you know, one of the dimensions of the Dutertes that
03:43.1
perhaps has not been as appreciated.
03:44.9
Now, of course, I know yung mga negas na sabihin nila, ano lang yan, cultural appropriation
03:48.3
lang yan, pakit lang yan, whatever.
03:49.8
But, I don't know.
03:50.4
I don't know.
03:50.8
I mean, there are many moments when Dutertes in general, both the father and daughter, you
03:55.8
know, really, I think, shows certain degree of sincerity, if not full sincerity, diba,
04:01.4
dito sa ganitong messaging.
04:03.8
I haven't seen any other high-level Filipino officials trying to do this.
04:07.3
So, I think coming from Mindanao, her having a kind of Jewish heritage, having also Muslim
04:14.8
and moral relatives, etc., perhaps, you know, reflects there.
04:18.3
Now, the other thing you notice dito sa kanyang speech is, diba, very maamo, very mabait,
04:25.8
very nice, very ano, diba.
04:29.6
So, kitang-kita natin, this is very different dun sa usually na yung kita natin sa mga Dutertes
04:34.9
na talagang matapang, ganun.
04:36.4
Very different, of course, kay Digong, no?
04:39.2
And this is also very different dun sa kanyang mga responses, dun sa mga criticism, laban.
04:43.6
Anong ulit sinabi niya kila Franz Castro?
04:46.0
Look at the tone, no, cadence, look at the tenor of kanyang mga speeches when she was
04:50.5
responding dun sa mga kritiko ng Confidential Fund.
04:53.3
But now, suddenly, suddenly, biglang iba.
04:55.8
Yung, ano, yung approach, diba?
04:58.1
So, you could see, parang switch ng konti, diba?
05:00.8
And then, interestingly, today also became clear na hindi mukhang nag-drop na ng push
05:10.7
na itong Office of Vice President for Confidential Funds.
05:13.9
So, Vice President Sarah Duterte has dropped her request for 650 million pesos worth of
05:20.3
Confidential Funds, funds, funds dyan sa proposed budget for 2025.
05:25.8
No?
05:26.8
After, nalala niyo yung speech niya just the other month about enemies of the people daw,
05:32.4
kalaban ng bayan, yung mga nakikritisize daw sa Confidential Fund niya.
05:35.2
Now, very different tone.
05:37.5
You're seeing it here, no?
05:38.5
Duterte said that she has withdrawn her Confidential Fund request because the issue has become divisive.
05:45.5
I think that term divisive, I also heard it when she didn't get in Office of the National
05:50.2
Defense Secretary also last year.
05:52.0
So, we will no longer pursue the Confidential Funds.
05:54.8
Why?
05:55.1
Because this issue is divisive, and as the Vice President, I saw it ought to keep the
05:58.6
country peaceful and strong.
06:00.3
Yan o!
06:01.0
Unity!
06:02.5
Unity!
06:03.2
The Office of the Vice President can, quote, only propose a budget to support the safe
06:08.7
implementation of our programs, activities, and projects to alleviate poverty and promote
06:12.1
the general welfare of every Filipino people.
06:13.9
So, just to recap, originally, yung request ng Office of Vice President was for 650 million
06:18.8
pesos worth of Confidential Funds, and breakdown niya is 500 million pesos for the Office of
06:24.6
the Vice President.
06:25.1
And 150 million pesos for the Department of Education.
06:27.8
So, 650 million pesos in general, the Vice President.
06:33.4
Now, so, right?
06:35.4
So, what you're seeing here is a definitely big recalibration, not only in terms of tenure,
06:40.4
but also position of the Office of Vice President.
06:42.3
Now, some would see it as raising the white flag and saying, oh, peace muna tayo, unity.
06:48.1
But, some would argue that, wala, damage control lang nangyari dito.
06:51.9
But, in a way, you can also see this as a way of sardu.
06:55.1
Duterte signaling that, you know, she's still committed to keeping the UNITIM together.
07:00.8
But, yun nga eh, iba yung tono dun sa tatay, iba yung tonong iba.
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And then, of course, now you have also Aimee Marcos joining the fray and making a very
07:09.7
strong statement about, you know, yung kanyang loyalty to Duterte, you know, even if the
07:17.2
other side is, you know what I'm saying, interesting.
07:20.4
So, just as Sara Duterte is doing this kind of repositioning.
07:25.1
Nakikita natin na si Aimee Marcos naman is fortifying yung kanyang alliance with
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the Dutertes, no?
07:32.2
So, ito yung kanilang, oh, diba, ito yung mga statements ni Aimee Marcos.
07:36.4
Sabi ni Aimee Marcos, through thick and thin, I'll stick essentially with the Dutertes
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ito.
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Post natin ito.
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Daba.
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Daba.
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Daba.
07:55.1
Par sa buhayan.
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Ayan, ayan, ayan.
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Ito, ito, ito, ito.
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Okay, okay, okay, okay.
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Yan.
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So, ito yung statement by Senator Aimee Marcos.
08:10.0
Sabi niya, mga loyalista kami dahil loyalista kami.
08:16.2
Ako, gaya ng aking ama, ay matapat at nanindigan para sa mga tunay na kaibigan.
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Ayan.
08:23.0
Nanindigan para sa tunay na kaibigan.
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Parang, ano, talagang nag-rhyme pa.
08:27.5
Diba?
08:28.3
So, Senator Aimee issued that statement not only reaffirming yung kanyang friendship
08:33.9
with former President Rodrigo Duterte, but also, in-explain niya bakit ganito kalakas, no,
08:39.3
yung kanilang bond, no?
08:43.1
Obviously, alam natin yung context niyan.
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Ito ito.
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Ito.
08:53.8
Of course, she also said,
08:55.1
said na hindi lang dahil kaibigan ko si President Duterte, kaibigan ko talaga siya,
09:00.7
higit lalo si Inday Sara, mga kaibigan ko sa pagpapaunlad ng bayan,
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pagpapanatili ng kapayapaan at pakikipaglaban kontra sa puwersa ng kasamaan,
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kasamaang nagpapalaganap ng katiwalian, gutom at katraydur.
09:22.2
Ay, ibang klase yan ah.
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Medyo na ano tayo ah.
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Okay, okay, medyo matindi yan ah.
09:28.4
So, so, just to make it in English,
09:30.5
it's not just that I'm friend with former President Duterte, he's really my friend, especially Inday Sara,
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they're my friends in national development, maintaining peace,
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and fighting those spreading corruption, hunger, and treachery.
09:41.0
So, ito yung statement niya, you know, essentially throughout the years, you know,
09:47.1
she has been affirming her strong alliance and friendship with Duterte.
09:51.4
And particularly with Inday Sara, of course, they have also very, very close friendship.
09:54.5
As you know, it was also, I mean, Marcos, you know, in the run-up to 2022 elections,
09:58.9
I was talking to Sara Duterte, etc.
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So, she played also a very important role of bringing the UNITIM together, together with President Arroyo,
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and of course, the current Speaker of the House, Martin Romualdez.
10:08.7
Ang paka-intindi ko, Martin Romualdez was very, very influential in bringing the UNITIM together.
10:12.7
But, now you have the Speaker of the House essentially drawing the line,
10:17.0
and of course, nakita natin nung isang araw, na demote na po.
10:20.9
So, again, for the second time,
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si former President,
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si former President Arroyo in the ranks of the Congress.
10:27.1
So, now, officially, si Arroyo ay hindi na po.
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Not only not,
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not only not,
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senior Deputy Speaker of the House,
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pero tinanggal din po siya bilang Deputy Speaker of the House.
10:39.9
Now, the former President and former Speaker of the House reiterated her loyalty also to Speaker Romualdez
10:46.0
and saying that, you know, I wish the best for him.
10:48.2
But, it looks like the lines are being drawn,
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and it looks like itong si, you know, the Speaker of the House is,
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is really making it clear who's the boss here, no?
10:57.6
So, where does that leave us?
11:00.3
Now, all of this, sa aking palagay, no?
11:02.8
Now, of course, you can look at many angles to this.
11:04.7
You can look at the confidential fund issue.
11:06.7
You can look at the issue of, you know, intrafamily dynamics.
11:10.6
You can look at issue of personal friendship, personal loyalties, differences over a lot of issues.
11:16.4
Pero, to simplify it, ako para sa akin, mga kameta, no?
11:19.3
Katulad nung sinulat natin sa The National Newspaper for United Arab Emirates,
11:24.5
in Abu Dhabi, a few months ago, no?
11:27.0
Sabi ko, what's actually happening here, in my opinion, no?
11:31.7
What's, yung napaka-interesting dito is, is that,
11:37.8
it looks like the, yung pinakamalakas, yung pinakamalaking dahilan, no?
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At yung pinakamalakas na element, no?
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Na nagpupush ng division dito sa UNITING, po,
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ay it looks like fundamental disagreements dito sa direksyon ng ating,
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foreign policy.
11:55.8
So, the cliche usually is, all politics is loha, right?
12:01.8
And that's true, in many ways.
12:03.5
Positions that, you know, let's say, congressmen and congresswoman take in,
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in the US, for instance, on conflicts in Middle East,
12:10.6
has a lot to do with their domestic constituencies,
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it has a lot to do with their own domestic calculus in their own constituencies,
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or many positioning that, let's say, Biden is taking on the Gaza conflict, for instance,
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has a lot to do also with domestic politics,
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in the United States, right?
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So, but the interesting thing is, in the Philippines,
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mukhang disagreements over foreign policy was really the major fault line dito sa UNITING.
12:36.1
Because, I think sa maraming issue, hindi naman nagkakalayo mga Dutertes and Marcoses, right?
12:41.0
Or nagkakalayo one side of this UNITING with the other side, no?
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Whichever way you want to draw it.
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But it looks like on foreign policy, there is some fundamental disagreement.
12:49.8
Because President Duterte has repeatedly made it clear na para sa kanya,
12:54.0
itong decision ni Marcos Jr. na to push for expansion of EDCA ay napaka-delikado,
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napaka-provocative, essentially, talking points ng China, diba?
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Yung kanyang intervention at yung kanyang current diplomacy nung nag-special envoy siya sa China
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was not received warmly, let's just put it mildly, by a lot of people supporting Marcos Jr.
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And of course, you also have other proxies, you know, blaming the Philippines for tensions in the West Philippine Sea by saying,
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because we're asserting, you know, the Philippines for tensions in the West Philippine Sea by saying, because we're asserting,
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we're asserting our rights, we're, you know, ginagaslight na tayo, no?
13:27.3
So, what's happening here is that maraming mga liberals, medyo yung mga dilawan pa, yung mga medyo ibang kakamping pa, diba?
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Pansin natin, alam natin, I know that for a fact, kasi nangyari dito ko naman, what's up, eh?
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Ay lumalambot na kay BBM at medyo buwang abayit na kay BBM.
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Some are actually working in the government in one way or another.
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And one of the ways they rationalize that, or justify that, or feel very good,
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about supporting a Marcos, in this case, friend of Marcos Jr.,
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is because they feel Marcos Jr. is finally standing up for our rights, sovereign rights, sa West Philippine Sea.
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Right?
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So, many people, even though may issue sila sa domestic policies ni Marcos Jr.,
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may issue sila dun sa historical legacy of martial law,
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even if may mga issue sila dun sa all the things that happened to Lenny Robredo throughout those years,
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the, you know, questioning for her mandate, etc.
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These West Philippine issues,
14:23.7
has become a unifying force for a lot of Filipinos.
14:26.0
And we know that the vast majority of Filipinos want the government to take the stance
14:29.3
that more or less Marcos Jr. is taking.
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Right?
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Working more with our allies and friends to assert our rights, etc.
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But, the other side to this issue is this.
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Yung kabila, and we see this in statements of Aimee Marcos.
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We see this in the statements of Gloria Macabagal-Arroyo,
14:44.0
or based on our understanding of how she believes the Philippines should approach things.
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Based on my own interview with her a few years ago,
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this is based very much on the,
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very vocal criticism of Digong of foreign policy of BBM.
14:57.9
Now, if you look at all of those things,
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yung kabilang kampo,
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what they share all in common,
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Aimee Marcos, Arroyo, Duterte,
15:04.2
I'm not still sure with Sara,
15:06.3
because Sara medyo safe pa rin yung mga statements niya.
15:08.8
And you can see that Sara Duterte is perhaps still trying to keep the UNIT team together,
15:13.1
and essentially the white flag is there,
15:14.9
by withdrawing even any request for confidential fund.
15:17.7
Whether that's enough, I don't know.
15:18.8
We can discuss that later on with R&R and RRL,
15:22.2
and the rest.
15:23.1
But going back to this,
15:24.3
the position of these people,
15:25.5
if you look at the statements of Aimee,
15:26.8
you look at the statements of Digong, among others,
15:28.2
there's a big overlap there.
15:29.8
And the argument there is,
15:31.1
it is incumbent upon us to reach out to China.
15:34.1
Because the more we double down our security cooperation with the United States,
15:38.9
the more na may incentive ang China na bubulin dais sa West Philippine Sea,
15:42.6
because China is threatened with our alliance with the United States.
15:45.8
Now, obviously, these people are not so much talking about the threats that is being posed to us from the other side.
15:50.2
You can say that's a form of strategic agreement,
15:52.2
or strategic gaslighting.
15:53.7
But just to be fair about it,
15:56.7
that's essentially the argument.
15:58.0
That the Philippines, similar to Malaysia,
16:00.1
similar to many Southeast Asian countries,
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and increasingly similar to Vietnam since last year, October,
16:06.2
should tone things down a little bit.
16:08.7
And not to also dissimilar from Prime Minister Albanese of Australia.
16:12.7
So some of you have seen yung interview ko with CNBC International
16:16.8
on the visit of Prime Minister Albanese of Australia to China.
16:20.9
And what are the lessons for us?
16:22.0
What are the lessons for us in ASEAN?
16:23.9
So what we're seeing is that many are saying,
16:26.2
you know, we have to be nice to China.
16:27.4
We have to play it nice with China.
16:28.6
And perhaps if we play it nice enough with China,
16:30.8
including not giving ETCA basis to Americans close to Taiwan, among others,
16:35.0
then maybe we'll get something good in exchange.
16:36.9
But my problem, of course, with that argument is that we were nice to China for years,
16:42.3
if not full six years under Digong.
16:44.4
And what did we get in terms of infrastructure investment?
16:46.4
What did we get in terms of concessions?
16:48.2
Now, of course, the counterargument on the other side would be,
16:50.5
okay, maybe things were not perfect,
16:52.0
but at least there was no threat of war or conflict.
16:54.8
Now, because of the decisions of BBM to double down on security cooperation,
16:58.3
yun sa ETCA, et cetera,
16:59.9
lalong-lalo na na umakyat itong probibilidad ng conflict.
17:03.0
Now, again, I think there's some fear-mongering,
17:05.6
some pa-paranoia effect happening there,
17:08.9
but I do not completely disagree with that.
17:11.2
I do believe that tensions are rising
17:13.4
and that we have to be very careful in approaching what's happening in the West Philippines.
17:17.1
And also, we have to be very careful about the speed and the nature.
17:22.0
And also, we have to be very careful about the speed and the nature of expansion of ETCA bases
17:29.2
and security cooperation .
17:32.1
Ang basa ko dito is,
17:35.3
the deepest fault line dito sa UNITIM alliance talaga
17:38.9
ay itong issue ng foreign policy.
17:41.2
This issue of foreign policy seems to be really, really the driving force,
17:44.7
itong division na ito.
17:46.2
And this is why I'm saying, if you look at the Philippines today,
17:48.7
we are very much at the frontline of the new Cold War
17:51.9
and no less than the upper echelons of our politics.
17:56.6
And then, of course, there's always the aspect of rivalry and power politics.
18:00.6
But I think for the first time in our history,
18:02.6
we're seeing how foreign policy is becoming so important
18:05.5
that it's driving fault lines and divisions
18:07.9
dun sa no less than relationship,
18:11.4
not only between the two most powerful families in the country,
18:14.6
but also, some would say, even dynamics between siblings, among others,
18:18.5
because of disagreements on the foreign policy direction.
18:20.5
You know what? Believe me, look at the statements.
18:21.9
Everything is out there. Everything is out there.
18:23.1
You can see it on your own.
18:24.2
You just have to connect the dots. All right?
18:26.0
On that note, thank you very much mga kameta. Maraming salamat.
18:28.9
I appreciate yung mga comments-comments dyan.
18:35.4
Ayan. Ang dami na na-comment. Ang mga may natin patulan yan.
18:38.0
Don't worry. Siguro hopefully Saturday, we'll try to have more discussions
18:42.5
with other friends about this as we get more and more updates on this.
18:46.1
But at least I hope you appreciate dito yung mga analysis natin.
18:49.4
On that note, thank you very much. God bless and talk to you soon.
18:51.9
Thank you.