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Ma-ICC na si SARA DUTERTE!???
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Richard Heydarian VLOGS
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00:00.0
Thank you for watching!
00:30.0
Jet Tolentino, Jet Tolentino Production, Asian Persuasions
00:34.0
I already suggest you guys to watch it sa kapon
00:35.9
Andun po tayo, kasama natin yung mga artists, mga sosyal na people
00:40.9
Sa likod natin si Casey Concepcion, si Gab Concepcion yan
00:47.0
Nakikifilling showbiz naman tayo dyan
00:49.8
I'm so proud of our good friend Jet Tolentino
00:53.4
Who we interviewed on our platforms, on my own podcast
00:56.1
And mga other platforms several times
00:58.2
At saka yung kanyang mga plano
00:59.5
Pagdating na bringing the Philippine cinema to the next level
01:03.1
So congratulations, Asian Persuasions
01:05.4
I suggest you guys go and check it
01:07.4
Medyo maraming hugot
01:08.6
It's a good fusion of Philippine-American culture, Philippine-Asian culture
01:14.0
But at the end of the day, meron pa rin may Pinoy flavor
01:17.3
May Pinoy flavor
01:19.0
At dun sa mga ibang pet peeves natin, may mention din dyan
01:22.6
So please go and check it out
01:24.8
I was very glad about how it turned out
01:28.8
Nung una medyo
01:29.5
Nerbiyoso tayo
01:30.3
I hope this turns out well
01:32.3
Because this is something big
01:33.9
This is something important
01:34.8
It's about putting the Philippines on the map
01:36.4
In the same way
01:37.0
Mga ibang Asian-American movies
01:40.4
Beef ba yun?
01:43.0
Crazy Rich Asians
01:44.3
They put a lot of Asian-American on the map
01:47.7
So we're hoping
01:48.5
This will be part of a bigger effort
01:51.3
To put the Filipino-American experience on the map
01:53.8
And also the Filipino on the map
01:55.1
So congratulations again
01:56.8
Dun sa kaibigan natin, Jet Tolentino
01:59.5
Dun sa kanyang new movie
02:01.9
Pag-usapan natin separately
02:03.3
Siguro I'll give a proper review of that
02:05.8
Once we get down
02:07.1
We get some downer time
02:09.5
Some breather
02:10.2
Now in the meantime
02:10.9
Ito mga kameta
02:12.1
May mabilisan tayo ng mga developments dito sa ating politika
02:17.3
Nako po
02:18.2
Things have been intensifying over the past 24 hours or so
02:21.9
So nag-share tayo ng video ni Vice President Sara Duterte
02:26.2
As of course you guys may know
02:27.6
It's not only Rodrigo
02:29.5
But Sara Duterte
02:31.0
And actually two other Senators
02:32.7
Have been placed dun sa
02:35.1
ICC probe document
02:36.9
So hindi lang si Rodrigo Duterte
02:38.3
Kasama din dyan si Sara Duterte
02:40.0
And if I'm not mistaken
02:41.5
Not only Bato De La Rosa
02:42.8
Shoutout naman dyan kay Bato
02:44.8
At mukhang si Bongo rin yata kasama dyan dun
02:48.4
So this is just quite something serious mga kameta
02:51.4
So if you're sorry Duterte
02:53.6
You're not only worrying right now
02:55.0
About what could potentially happen dun sa kanyang
02:57.0
You know
02:58.1
The pre-election
02:59.5
Of Vice President
03:00.5
But apparently she's also now on the list
03:03.5
So mga kameta pag-usapan natin yan
03:05.5
Before that obviously nakita niyo kaapon yung video
03:08.5
Na pinost natin from Sara Duterte
03:11.5
And there you could really see
03:12.5
Literally there's a change in tone
03:14.5
There's a change in cadence
03:16.5
There's a change in level of confidence
03:19.5
And pazas
03:20.5
And suave
03:21.5
And some would say yabang
03:22.5
And all of that
03:23.5
Nakita niyo
03:24.5
Even the tone is very very important
03:26.5
And very very different from what we're used to
03:29.5
From this powerful or
03:32.5
Maybe increasingly one's powerful family
03:35.5
So just to show again yung mga hindi nakita nung video natin
03:38.5
This went viral
03:40.5
Half a million views right now almost
03:42.5
Dyan sa Twitter feed natin
03:44.5
And I just also shared dyan sa Instagram
03:46.5
For some reason parang bumaba yung views natin sa Facebook
03:50.5
I don't know what happened
03:51.5
Just in the past week lang ha
03:53.5
Alam mo minsan suspicious talaga tong Facebook na to ha
03:56.5
To be honest ha
03:57.5
Because yung views po natin sa YouTube ha
03:58.5
Yung views po natin sa YouTube
03:59.5
Views natin sa Twitter
04:01.5
Lahat explode ngayon
04:02.5
Sobrang taas nung views natin
04:03.5
Thank God no
04:04.5
I mean
04:05.5
I think over the past month
04:06.5
Naka million views na tayo sa YouTube
04:08.5
Twitter
04:09.5
Minsan one post lang
04:10.5
Naka half a million views na tayo
04:11.5
Instagram
04:12.5
I'm also starting to get the ball rolling
04:14.5
Tiktok
04:16.5
Minsan tsyamba tsyamba
04:17.5
Pero naka 100k views na rin tayo
04:19.5
With the few posts that I made over the past few days
04:21.5
So I'm trying to get back into TikTok also
04:24.5
And also try to work that out
04:26.5
Also shout out dyan sa ating colleagues
04:27.5
Sa ating cousin na si Anton
04:29.5
Helping me out now with making shorts and all
04:31.5
Kasi kailangan ko talaga yung pagdating sa TikTok and all
04:34.5
Mga kameta talagang I'm spread thin
04:36.5
Sobrang pagod ako
04:37.5
I think people don't realize how hard it is
04:40.5
To organize people and bring them together
04:42.5
Lalo mga Pilipino
04:43.5
I'm very glad and very blessed na
04:46.5
We have friends like Ronaldo, Lisandro
04:49.5
We have young generation of scholars
04:51.5
Who bothered to join us
04:53.5
But you know
04:54.5
Generally it's very hard to organize interviews and all
04:56.5
Akala nyo yung interview lang mismo yung time na nilagay natin no guys
04:59.5
Mahirap talaga mag-organize mismo
05:01.5
So much effort goes in
05:02.5
I have no staff
05:03.5
I have no production team
05:04.5
So I do all of these things alone no
05:06.5
So kitang-kita ninyo medyo over-stretched na tayo
05:09.5
So thank you so much again sa mga sumusuporta
05:11.5
Yun lang
05:12.5
Minsan yung Facebook ko biglang bumababa eh
05:14.5
Kasi half a million views tayo few weeks ago
05:16.5
Ang taas ng views natin
05:17.5
Biglang this week bumaksak yung views natin sa Facebook
05:20.5
So I don't know what's going on
05:21.5
I don't know what's going on
05:22.5
Minsan suspicious yan
05:23.5
Remember yung ilang times na na-shutdown yung mga videos?
05:25.5
Na-shutdown yung mga live natin or something
05:27.5
Nung last year
05:28.5
Sobrang frustrating yan
05:29.5
We were going from millions of views a day or two no
05:32.5
To suddenly barely a thousand viewers a day
05:35.5
So that was a difficult transition pero
05:38.5
Maraming salamat sa Diyos
05:39.5
Medyo nag-diversify na tayo
05:41.5
So medyo malaki yung following natin ngayon
05:43.5
In different places
05:44.5
And malaki yung engagement natin on different platforms
05:46.5
Now this is not because
05:47.5
Mag gusto natin magpa-cute or anything like that
05:50.5
No this is about getting the message out
05:52.5
Dahil ang daming basura out there
05:53.5
Ang daming propaganda out there
05:54.5
Ang daming nabasura
05:55.5
Ang daming nonsense out there
05:56.5
So we have to push back against that
05:58.5
And we have to bring an informed discussion to the Filipino people
06:01.5
And I think they really deserve it
06:02.5
And sobrang tuwan-tuwa ako na
06:04.5
We have the privilege of having many friends
06:07.5
Na maraming kalaman
06:09.5
Maraming kanilang kalaman sa ating politika
06:11.5
Tsaka mga iba-ibang adhikain
06:14.5
So yun ang mga pinag-uusapan natin sa mga ating mga platforms
06:16.5
Also on podcasts
06:18.5
I think top 200 na tayo sa Pilipinas
06:20.5
Target po natin before the end of this year
06:22.5
God willing we go to the top 100 podcasts
06:24.5
In the Philippines
06:26.5
I think yun yung ranking
06:27.5
Nakalagay lang Philippines
06:29.5
So probably this is all podcasts in the Philippines
06:32.5
So being top 100 in the podcasts in the Philippines
06:35.5
Is a big deal for us
06:36.5
Kasi ang kalaban natin
06:37.5
Mga big celebrities
06:39.5
Media or journalists working with media outlets
06:42.5
Again this is just tayo-tayo lang yan
06:44.5
So thank you so much sa lahat ng mga sumusuporto natin
06:47.5
Like 50-60 countries na nagiginig sa atin over Spotify
06:50.5
I really really appreciate it
06:51.5
Yung mga Barbados
06:52.5
Tonga
06:53.5
Konga
06:54.5
Jersey
06:55.5
May bansa pala na Jersey
06:56.5
I didn't know that
06:57.5
It's British territory yata
06:58.5
So so many people are listening to us
07:00.5
Shoutout dyan sa mga kaibigan natin from Saudi Arabia
07:02.5
Many many people joining us from all around the world
07:05.5
Thank you very much for that
07:06.5
Now let's go back to this
07:07.5
Ito po yung pinakita ko the other day
07:09.5
Sorry ah medyo nagugut lang ako kasi
07:12.5
Minsan weird talaga tong Facebook eh
07:14.5
Hindi siya reasonable eh
07:16.5
Pero minsan agad doon, minsan hindi
07:18.5
I mean I'm not doing something too different
07:20.5
If anything nagiging more active tayo
07:22.5
We're sharing more even on Facebook
07:23.5
So I don't know what's going on there
07:25.5
Okay nang humuska dyan
07:27.5
Kung may shadow ban or something nangyari sa atin
07:30.5
Alright
07:31.5
But thankfully we have many platforms
07:33.5
So that's the point
07:34.5
Diversify ako
07:35.5
It was not easy
07:36.5
Precisely to make sure na
07:37.5
Pag may shadow ban or may kalukuan
07:40.5
I'm not saying that that's not happening
07:41.5
But I'm saying just in case
07:42.5
Meron tayong backup plan
07:44.5
Alright meron tayong backup plan
07:45.5
So thank you so much sa lahat ng mga sumusuporto sa atin
07:47.5
Sa iba't ibang platforms
07:50.5
Now let's go back to this mga kameta
07:52.5
Panoorin natin to
07:54.5
Masaya to, masaya to
07:56.5
So ito po yung video na
07:58.5
Sinishare natin the other day
08:02.5
Being the chief architect of
08:06.5
Respect the
08:08.5
Respect the ano
08:09.5
The position of the president
08:10.5
Being the chief architect of
08:13.5
Foreign policy
08:16.5
So yun po lahat na dapat na position natin lahat
08:19.5
Pero
08:20.5
We
08:21.5
We will continue
08:23.5
To
08:25.5
Reach out to the Department of Justice
08:27.5
Regarding our position on this matter
08:29.5
Ma'am when you say na makikipag-ugnayan tayo sa DOJ
08:32.5
So we will still push ha
08:34.5
Huwag dapat mag
08:35.5
Ito yung importante mga kameta
08:37.5
Yung makikipag-ugnayan sa DOJ
08:40.5
Wait lang
08:41.5
Di ba dapat independent yung mga investigations na yan
08:43.5
And then you're within the administration
08:46.5
Na makikipag-ugnayan tayo sa DOJ
08:48.5
So we will still push ha
08:49.5
Huwag dapat mag-imposisyon ng government
08:51.5
Pakikipagtulungan sa ICC
08:53.5
Just to be clear
08:54.5
Yes opo
08:55.5
We will continue to reach out
08:57.5
To the Department of Justice
08:59.5
Regarding our position on this matter
09:01.5
And we will lay down the legal basis
09:03.5
Of our position with the DOJ
09:07.5
Diba?
09:08.5
Yeah but the problem dun sa legal basis argument is
09:11.5
Diba mga kameta
09:12.5
We already had a number of conversations
09:16.5
Including with international international law experts
09:18.5
Like Professor Carranza
09:20.5
Dr. Carranza
09:21.5
Atty. Carranza
09:22.5
We also had a number of our own vlogs explaining
09:25.5
Why itong argument ng jurisdiction no longer holds
09:28.5
Clearly there is a determination
09:31.5
By the International Criminal Court
09:32.5
That the Philippine courts have not been doing a sufficient job
09:35.5
To deal with tens of thousands of alleged extrajudicial killing
09:37.5
So just showing a few cases here
09:39.5
And they're supposed to resolve
09:41.5
Doesn't go anywhere close to establishing
09:43.5
That the Philippine judicial institutions are
09:45.5
Undertaking what they're supposed to undertake
09:48.5
Given the scale of extrajudicial killing allegations
09:51.5
That are out there
09:52.5
By the way last night
09:53.5
I was also reading yung book ni Patricia Evangelista
09:55.5
Yung ating senior sa debate society dati sa UP
09:58.5
Mga small world yan
09:59.5
Kamelelo, Patricia
10:00.5
All of us we come from the same world
10:02.5
Very emotional, very strong
10:04.5
So I really also suggest you guys read that book
10:07.5
Based on the quote from Duterte
10:09.5
Some need a killing or something like that okay
10:12.5
Some people need a killing sir
10:14.5
So hopefully we'll arrange also an interview
10:18.5
With Patricia down the road
10:20.5
But let me read the book
10:21.5
Because I'm expected to do a review on it
10:24.5
For a number of international publications
10:27.5
In the coming weeks
10:28.5
So I'll get back to that
10:29.5
Kaya medyo last night medyo emotional tayo kasi
10:31.5
Etong issue ng mga extrajudicial killings
10:34.5
Again ha, again ha
10:35.5
Ang dami ako nakikita mga nagsasabi
10:37.5
Oh salamat sa drug warning ni Gong
10:39.5
We feel more safe
10:40.5
We feel, that's very important
10:42.5
We feel
10:43.5
So feeling lang pala yan
10:44.5
Because show me the evidence
10:46.5
That there's a sustainable reduction talaga
10:48.5
Of drug supply and overall criminality
10:50.5
How can you say crime is down
10:51.5
When murder rates are up
10:53.5
I mean when the worst kinds of crimes are up
10:55.5
How can you say crime is down
10:56.5
I mean that's ridiculous
10:57.5
That's dumb
10:58.5
More than that
11:00.5
Let me absolutely clear
11:01.5
How can we say for sure na yung mga pinatay
11:04.5
Tens of thousands including
11:06.5
Including hundreds of children
11:09.5
Paano mo alam na mga drug pusher mga yan
11:11.5
And paano mo alam talaga
11:12.5
Na big time drug lord yung mga yan
11:14.5
And even if drug lord mga yan
11:16.5
Or small time pusher mga yan
11:17.5
Did they deserve
11:19.5
To be just summarily killed
11:21.5
The way they were killed
11:22.5
And yun nga eh
11:23.5
We don't even know what happened there
11:25.5
Because it was under
11:26.5
It was shrouded under very very questionable circumstances
11:30.5
So yung mga elitista dyan
11:32.5
Na either gollyball na napapauto
11:37.5
Sa mga propaganda dyan
11:39.5
Or mga nagfe-feeling safe bigla
11:40.5
Kasi gusto nila i-justify yung kanilang kabubuan
11:43.5
Sorry to say that
11:45.5
You're feeling safe?
11:47.5
Is not worth a single life
11:49.5
A single innocent life
11:51.5
And you tell me with a straight face
11:53.5
That you're 100% sure dun sa 10,000
11:55.5
Or 20,000
11:56.5
Or 6,000
11:57.5
Even by government numbers na namatay
11:58.5
Lahat yan guilty
11:59.5
And guilty by what?
12:00.5
I mean
12:01.5
Summarily killing is not allowed
12:02.5
That's called extrajudicial killing
12:04.5
At lahat yan ng laban
12:06.5
And to say collateral damage lang yan
12:08.5
Shame on you
12:09.5
What if that collateral damage is you or your people?
12:12.5
Then you're gonna say it's collateral damage?
12:14.5
So shame on you
12:15.5
Shame on you
12:16.5
Alright?
12:17.5
And wag kayong mag-feeling massa dyan
12:18.5
Kung nagte-Twitter-Twitter kayo
12:20.5
So obviously may pera kayo pang internet
12:21.5
Pag mga English etc
12:23.5
So yung mga nagfe-feeling dyan
12:24.5
Ng middle class-middle class dyan
12:26.5
Umayis kayo dyan
12:27.5
Alright?
12:28.5
Okay
12:29.5
Let's go back to this issue
12:30.5
That's why I'm saying
12:31.5
This is very very important mga kameta
12:32.5
Because the fate of our democracy
12:34.5
Right?
12:35.5
Is at stake here
12:36.5
Not only the credibility of the ICC
12:38.5
Because the problem with the ICC is that
12:39.5
The bulk of the people that they prosecuted throughout the years
12:42.5
Come from Sub-Saharan Africa
12:44.5
I don't know, Liberia, Kenya, mga ganyan
12:45.5
Alright?
12:46.5
Barely
12:47.5
I mean
12:48.5
Arguably
12:49.5
Serbians
12:50.5
Right?
12:51.5
So they are yet to really go after people successfully outside
12:55.5
More or less the immediate surroundings of Europe
12:59.5
Right?
13:00.5
So in case if this pushes forward
13:03.5
This tells you a thing or two about
13:05.5
Whether ICC
13:06.5
Can really go beyond geopolitical parochialism
13:10.5
Right?
13:11.5
And they also have to prove to us
13:13.5
That wala silang institutional bias
13:15.5
Right?
13:16.5
This is very important
13:17.5
So ICC's own credibility is at stake here
13:20.5
It's very very important for them to get this question right
13:23.5
Because the ICC came out with the warrant of arrest for Putin
13:27.5
Just weeks after
13:28.5
I'm sorry
13:29.5
Just months after the war in Ukraine
13:31.5
Right?
13:32.5
Now people are asking
13:33.5
What about a situation we're seeing right now
13:36.5
Whereby more than 100 children are being killed on a daily basis
13:40.5
Not too far from Europe
13:41.5
What is ICC gonna do about that?
13:43.5
Is ICC gonna investigate it?
13:44.5
Because there are allegations of
13:45.5
You know
13:46.5
War crimes
13:47.5
Let's see
13:48.5
Let's see
13:49.5
But I'm saying the case of the Philippines
13:50.5
Ang tagal na to eh
13:51.5
Ang tagal na itong case ng Philippines eh
13:53.5
Ilan taon na yan
13:54.5
Diba?
13:55.5
Wala si tatay
13:56.5
Ano na?
13:57.5
Wala
13:58.5
Ano na?
13:59.5
Hindi pa rin na
14:00.5
So I
14:01.5
This is also an ICC
14:02.5
This is also up to ICC
14:03.5
ICC also has to prove
14:05.5
That they got
14:06.5
You know
14:07.5
They got what it takes
14:08.5
But you cannot also blame ICC kung binablock din sila
14:11.5
Ng mga ating authorities
14:12.5
Kaya very very important
14:13.5
Mga kameta
14:14.5
To see what the Marcos administration is doing
14:16.5
Now
14:17.5
In slight disagreement with my ka-R&R si Ronaldo
14:21.5
If you really look at the statement of Marcos Jr.
14:24.5
Because
14:25.5
You know what I do as a journalist
14:26.5
Because I write eh
14:27.5
When you write
14:28.5
You go through the quotes
14:29.5
One by one
14:30.5
One by one
14:31.5
One by one
14:32.5
You examine
14:33.5
And as a scholar also I see
14:35.5
Textual analysis
14:36.5
I examine
14:37.5
Actually Marcos Jr. is a little bit leaning to the other side
14:39.5
Kaya tingnan niyo yung mukha ni Sarah
14:40.5
When she's talking about this issue
14:42.5
She doesn't know
14:43.5
She doesn't look like a very confident person
14:45.5
Right?
14:46.5
She doesn't look like it
14:47.5
So with all due respect to some other people
14:48.5
I don't think Marcos was totally
14:51.5
You know
14:52.5
Obfuscating
14:53.5
I think medyo nag-lean siya towards one side
14:56.5
And this is what's interesting
14:57.5
Because marami nagtanong
14:58.5
Wait lang
14:59.5
Hindi ba conflict of interest yan?
15:00.5
Hindi ba questionable yan?
15:02.5
Na the vice president in the same administration
15:05.5
Will kausap yung DOJ
15:08.5
About an investigation that's supposed to be impartial
15:11.5
And independent?
15:12.5
So interestingly in response to that
15:14.5
The DOJ actually came in with a strong response
15:17.5
At sabi nila
15:19.5
Hindi kailangan na magsalita si Sarah about this issue etc
15:22.5
Because they're also feeling the heat
15:24.5
Right?
15:25.5
Because suddenly people are asking
15:26.5
Wait, wait, wait
15:27.5
What do you mean kakausapin nila Sarah
15:30.5
Itong DOJ?
15:32.5
What's that supposed to mean?
15:33.5
Alright?
15:34.5
So sabi ng DOJ
15:36.5
Hindi naman po kailangan mag-request
15:38.5
Dahil hindi naman po nagbago ang stance ng DOJ
15:40.5
Sabi ni Claverine
15:41.5
Sabi ni Clavano
15:42.5
Anyway
15:43.5
But of course the more important question here is
15:46.5
Is it even appropriate for do that
15:48.5
To do that
15:49.5
Now let's not forget that earlier
15:51.5
Margo Jr. said it's under study
15:54.5
Secretary Jesus Christman Ramulia said it's under serious study
15:59.5
Right?
16:00.5
So
16:02.5
And ito ha
16:03.5
Very important yun ha
16:04.5
Ito yung sinabi ni Clavano
16:06.5
Yung isang top official sa DOJ
16:08.5
Sabi niya
16:09.5
Kagaya siguro nang sinabi ni Secretary Ramulia
16:10.5
Pinapag-aralan lang po
16:12.5
Dahil may mga nagsalita galing sa Kongresa
16:14.5
At trabaho namin po na makinig sa ating co-equal branch of government
16:19.5
So it is true that the President is the ultimate architect of Philippine foreign policy
16:24.5
But it cannot completely ignore yung sinasabi ng Legislature
16:27.5
Because our very membership in the ICC had to go through the Senate fire ratification process
16:33.5
So the Legislature has to do something about this
16:36.5
At ito rin po yung sinabi
16:38.5
And I think that
16:39.5
And I think dito po sa amin sa DOJ
16:41.5
Sa ngayon
16:43.5
Ito pa rin po yung stand namin na wala pong jurisdiction ng ICC
16:48.5
Although of course magiging bukas kami
16:50.5
If ever meron po tayo nakikita ang pagbabago sa polisiya
16:55.5
So that's extremely important
16:57.5
Okay?
16:58.5
This quote is very very important
16:59.5
From the DOJ official
17:01.5
So in short
17:02.5
Hindi final ang lahat
17:04.5
Now
17:05.5
Katulad ng argument ko earlier mga kameta
17:09.5
I still doubt Marcos Jr. will go all in sa ICC issue niyan
17:12.5
Because as I wrote in my article today
17:15.5
Alright
17:16.5
As I wrote in my article today sa Philippine Daily Inquirer
17:20.5
That will be a declaration of war
17:22.5
On the Dutertes
17:23.5
And there will be almost a civil war
17:25.5
Mini civil war
17:26.5
Among them
17:27.5
Now we can debate about who has the upper hand
17:29.5
Obviously you can imagine that
17:31.5
Given the current circumstances
17:32.5
Parang sinking ship or sunk ship na yung one side
17:34.5
But I won't underestimate the other side
17:36.5
I won't also underestimate Marcos Jr.'s cause
17:37.5
I won't also underestimate Marcos Jr.'s cause
17:38.5
I won't also underestimate Marcos Jr.'s cautious nature
17:40.5
Right
17:41.5
So I don't think Marcos Junir
17:42.5
Will move ahead right away with the ICC
17:45.5
Will move ahead right away with the ICC
17:46.5
Unless he's absolutely sure
17:47.5
Unless he's absolutely sure
17:49.5
That they can take care of the fallout
17:51.5
Meaning he has been reassured by the people around him na
17:52.5
Meaning he has been reassured by the people around him na
17:53.5
Kami bahala
17:54.5
Ayusin namin yan
17:55.5
Will make sure
17:56.5
And also of course
17:57.5
If 100% support from outside
17:59.5
Including our European, American and Western partners
18:02.5
I'm just about to interview actually the
18:04.5
One of the important key ambassadors
18:06.5
The one of the important key ambassadors
18:07.5
to ask him also about this issue.
18:09.2
So, we'll have more discussions on that.
18:11.1
Don't worry, I'll post on that.
18:12.4
Also, check out yung sa YouTube po,
18:14.3
yung clips or yung full copy na interview natin
18:18.6
sa View from Manila sa One News TV 5.
18:20.5
So, you can check also interviews natin
18:21.8
with the senior officials, ambassadors,
18:25.4
undersecretaries, among others.
18:27.2
And of course, some important senator also quite soon.
18:31.5
Cross fingers.
18:32.5
Okay.
18:33.2
So, yun.
18:34.1
So, what I'm saying is,
18:35.7
that would be declaration of war.
18:37.5
But clearly, and clearly,
18:39.0
and this is what I'm gonna say, mga kameta.
18:40.7
This is what I'm gonna say, mga kameta.
18:42.6
What we are seeing right now is the third act
18:45.4
in a Shakespearean play,
18:47.2
as far as the Marcos-Duterte dynamics is concerned.
18:51.3
And let me explain very quickly
18:52.7
because I'm gonna end on this point.
18:53.9
I have to leave na, mga kameta.
18:57.0
Okay.
18:59.3
Naisin natin yan.
19:01.4
Para pwede gawin ng shorts.
19:04.0
Ito, ito.
19:05.1
Okay, okay.
19:05.7
Ito, ito, mga kameta.
19:06.8
Let me be...
19:07.5
Absolutely clear.
19:11.5
Naisin ko lang dito.
19:20.0
Okay.
19:21.1
Alright.
19:22.0
Let me be absolutely clear.
19:23.8
What we're seeing right now
19:24.9
is a kind of a Shakespearean play.
19:26.6
No?
19:27.1
Marco Jr. won
19:28.4
as a continuity candidate.
19:30.8
Pero alam natin,
19:31.6
the moment he won the top office,
19:34.5
and emphatically based on the official tally,
19:36.2
he began to sing to a different tune.
19:39.2
Kitang-kita natin yan, mga kameta.
19:41.2
Right?
19:41.7
First of all,
19:42.4
and this was the first act,
19:44.3
or act number one,
19:45.7
diba?
19:46.7
When he did not give
19:47.9
Sarah Duterte
19:48.5
the defense secretary position,
19:50.6
and connected to that,
19:52.0
when he did not give
19:53.6
the Speaker of the House,
19:54.5
or rather,
19:56.0
he did not facilitate
19:56.9
the Speaker of the House position
19:58.1
going to Gloria Macapagalaroid.
19:59.4
That was already act number one.
20:01.2
The second act happened
20:02.3
when nangyari
20:03.5
that whole tambalos-los.
20:05.6
Right?
20:06.2
Ah,
20:06.8
essentially,
20:07.4
explosion.
20:08.2
Whereby,
20:08.9
you had Sarah and Arroyo
20:10.4
versus,
20:11.3
essentially,
20:11.8
the President's right-hand man
20:13.1
in the Congress.
20:14.0
Right?
20:14.6
And,
20:15.2
his many supporters right now,
20:16.6
including the former allies
20:18.0
of the former President.
20:19.2
Right?
20:19.9
Now,
20:20.1
the tambalos-los episode itself
20:21.5
was an offshot
20:22.3
of Marco Jr.
20:23.8
chipping away
20:24.4
dun sa mga key legacies
20:25.6
ni Digong.
20:26.5
Yung kanyang drug war,
20:27.6
hindi kasing bara-bara.
20:29.1
Yung kanyang red tagging,
20:31.0
hindi kasing all over the place,
20:32.4
na hysterical.
20:33.6
And then,
20:33.9
pangatlo,
20:34.4
very importantly,
20:35.2
dun sa U.S. China,
20:36.2
clearly,
20:36.8
nag-recalibrate
20:37.6
si Marco Jr.
20:38.8
pagdating sa ating polisiya
20:40.2
sa West Philippine Sea.
20:41.4
And clearly,
20:42.1
he was distancing himself
20:43.1
dun sa pro-China,
20:44.3
pro-Beijing policies
20:45.2
ni Digong.
20:46.0
Right?
20:46.5
So,
20:46.8
that was Act No. 2.
20:48.4
And then,
20:48.9
Digong responded.
20:50.3
He went to China,
20:51.4
essentially,
20:51.8
a slap on the face
20:52.6
of the President,
20:53.3
diplomatically speaking.
20:54.6
And then,
20:55.1
over the coming months,
20:56.1
he began bashing
20:57.3
the administration
20:58.3
and calling the Congress rotten
20:59.7
as Act 3 came in,
21:01.8
which was the retaliation.
21:03.2
Right?
21:03.9
Yung Confidential Intelligence Fund.
21:05.4
So,
21:05.6
this is Act 3.
21:06.7
And,
21:07.2
let's see how this Act 3
21:08.4
is gonna end
21:08.9
because
21:09.2
it all goes down
21:10.7
to the decision
21:11.2
of Marco Jr.
21:12.2
If he is gonna go
21:14.2
and give the green light signal,
21:16.5
right,
21:17.8
to the ICC.
21:19.8
If he does that,
21:20.8
that's total declaration of war.
21:23.0
But,
21:24.3
Act 3 could have
21:25.4
sub-acts
21:26.4
if Marco Jr. believes
21:28.2
this is not the time to do it
21:29.5
or Marco Jr. may feel
21:31.0
that if he goes against Duterte's
21:32.5
and then Duterte's fight back,
21:34.1
he could be squeezing
21:34.8
between two sides
21:35.6
if the other side,
21:36.5
the progressive and opposition,
21:37.7
also take on him
21:38.5
at the same time
21:39.2
because, of course,
21:39.7
the Marcoses have their own baggage.
21:41.5
Right?
21:42.2
So, there's also
21:43.1
a lot of other dynamics
21:44.8
to keep in mind.
21:45.8
Kaya nga dapat sa political analysis,
21:47.2
you're looking at many moving parts
21:48.9
at the same time.
21:49.8
It has to be a multivariable analysis.
21:53.0
Multivariant analysis.
21:54.0
Yun po yung dapat
21:54.6
ginagawa natin.
21:55.4
So, yung mga nangyari
21:56.0
sa sabi sa'yo,
21:57.3
eto ang mangyari
21:57.9
dahil eto ang nangyari,
21:59.0
simplistic mag-isip mo yan.
22:00.3
They don't know how,
22:01.5
they don't know basic
22:02.8
political analysis, right?
22:04.2
Or social analysis,
22:05.1
for that matter.
22:05.6
On that note,
22:06.7
thank you very much, mga kameta.
22:07.8
Let's continue this kind of conversation.
22:09.5
Maraming pong nangyari,
22:10.2
maraming pong plot twists.
22:12.0
Actually, sub-plot twists.
22:13.8
Sabi ko,
22:14.1
nasa Act 3 na tayo
22:15.2
and may sub-plot twists potentially.
22:17.4
Let's see how it's gonna happen.
22:18.3
Now, the interesting thing is,
22:19.8
patapos ng taon,
22:20.6
so there could be
22:21.3
a spirit of holidays and all
22:22.9
and who knows,
22:23.8
maybe temporarily
22:24.5
there could be another patch up.
22:26.3
But much will also depend
22:27.3
on what Digong is gonna do next
22:28.6
because clearly,
22:29.8
his side,
22:30.3
nag-hemorrhage yung hanyang side,
22:31.9
yung hanyang aliado.
22:32.8
They're all defecting
22:33.5
to Martin Romaldes
22:34.4
and boom,
22:35.6
all of this,
22:36.7
the Act 3 will also be determined
22:38.5
by the calculus
22:39.8
vis-a-vis
22:40.5
the 20-25 midterm elections
22:42.7
which could be
22:43.5
very, very definitive.
22:45.3
So, you cannot separate
22:46.3
the ICC decision
22:47.2
from all of these other calculus
22:48.8
that is happening
22:49.4
at the same time.
22:50.2
On that note,
22:50.9
thank you very much.
22:51.8
Maraming salamat.
22:52.6
God bless
22:53.0
and talk to you soon.
22:56.2
Salamat mga kameta.
22:57.1
Talk to you soon.
22:57.7
God bless.