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Let me be absolutely clear, what we're seeing right now is a kind of a Shakespearean play.

Marco Jr. won as a continuity candidate, but alam natin, the moment he won the top office,

and emphatically based on the official tally, he began to sing to a different tune.

Kitang-kita natin yan mga kameta, right?

First of all, and this was the first act, or act number one,

when he did not give Sarah Duterte the defense secretary position,

and connected to that, when he did not give the Speaker of the House,

or rather, he did not facilitate the Speaker of the House position going to Gloria Macapagalaroid.

That was already act number one.

The second act happened when nangyari that whole Tamba Los Los, right?

Essentially, explosion, whereby you had Sarah and Arroyo versus,

essentially, the President's right-hand man in the Congress, right?

And his many supporters right now, including the former allies of the former President, right?

Now, the Tamba Los Los.

The episode itself was an upshot of Marcos Jr. chipping away dun sa mga key legacies ni Digong.

Yung kanyang drug war, hindi kasing bara-bara.

Yung kanyang red tagging, hindi kasing all over the place, na hysterical.

And then, pangatlo, very importantly, dun sa US-China,

clearly, nag-recalibrate si Marcos Jr. pagdating sa ating polisiya sa West Philippine Sea.

And clearly, he was distancing himself dun sa pro-China, pro-Beijing policies ni Digong, right?

So, that was act number two.

And then, Digong responded.

He went to China.

Essentially, a slap on the face of the President, diplomatically speaking.

And then, over the coming months, he began bashing the administration and calling the Congress rotten

as Act 3 came in, which was the retaliation, right?

Yung Confidential Intelligence Fund.

So, this is Act 3.

And let's see how this Act 3 is gonna end because it all goes down to the decision of Marcos Jr.

if he is gonna go and give the green light signal to the ICC.

If he does that, that's total declaration of war.

But!

Act 3 could have sub-Acts if Marcos Jr. believes this is not the time to do it or Marcos Jr. may feel that if he goes against Dutertes

and if Dutertes fight back, he could be squeezing between two sides if the other side, the progressive and opposition,

also take on him at the same time because, of course, the Marcoses have their own baggage, right?

So, there's also a lot of other dynamics to keep in mind.

Kaya dapat sa political analysis, you're looking at many moving parts at the same time.

It has to be a multivariable analysis, multivariant analysis.

Yun po yung dapat ginagawa natin.

So, yung mga naisang sasabi sa'yo, ito mangyari dahil ito nangyari, simplistic mag-isip mo nga yan.

They don't know basic political analysis, right?

Or social analysis for that matter.

It's gonna happen now.

The interesting thing is, patapos ng taon so there could be a spirit of holidays and all and who knows,

maybe temporarily there could be another patch up.

But much will also depend on what Digong is gonna do next because clearly, his side,

nag-hemorrhage yung hanyang side, yung hanyang aliado, they're all defecting to Martin Romaldes and boom,

all of this, the act 3, will also be determined by the calculus vis-a-vis the 20-25 midterm elections

which could be very, very definitive.

So, you cannot separate the ICC decision from all of these other calculus that is happening at the same time.

On that note, thank you very much.

Maraming salamat.

God bless and talk to you soon.