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00:00.0
Alright, here we are
00:03.2
The West Philippine Sea sets the
00:08.1
Now, ang dami na comment
00:10.9
hindi lang si R&R
00:13.4
ang daming madal-dal dito
00:17.0
Mig Zubiri even called for
00:18.5
potential expulsion
00:19.7
of the Chinese envoy
00:22.1
who's not necessarily the most celebrated
00:24.7
Chinese envoy, forget about other
00:26.8
envoys, but even by China
00:28.3
embassy standard, this guy is not the most
00:30.9
celebrated and welcome
00:32.9
one, and then si Martin
00:34.8
Romaldes, Speaker of the House
00:36.5
Martin Romaldes, reminding
00:37.9
our partners and our country
00:40.6
reminding China to respect
00:42.5
and then, like lahat, may comment
00:45.9
Robin Hood, the President, napakalakas
00:49.0
yung statement, gusto ko yung President
00:50.7
basahin natin, malamal natin yan
00:52.4
sabay ganun, kasi galing sa Solid North
00:56.2
ang gano'ng strong ng statement
00:58.3
ni Paolo Marcos Jr. na talagang
01:00.8
we are not gonna be intimidated
01:02.3
if anything, this will strengthen our resolve
01:04.7
right, to fight for our rights
01:06.5
kakarecover lang sa COVID, kaya malakas
01:08.7
ang loob ni President BBM Jr.
01:12.1
there was one very deafening silence
01:14.8
there, aside from us yan, and that's
01:16.7
the Office of the Vice President
01:18.8
sineko yung Twitter account, personal
01:20.6
sineko yung page account
01:22.5
biglang kay Len yung lumabas
01:24.2
nagpa-page, kung ano, wala!
01:26.2
wala talaga eh, kaya ang dami mga
01:27.9
dami mga comedy na meme, diba
01:30.1
na statement, statement, and then
01:32.1
blank kay Sarah, and then yung iba, pasaway
01:34.2
nilagay nila ng Chinese
01:35.6
yung statement, diba
01:38.0
nagre-release siya ng Mandarin
01:40.1
na, I don't want to say it
01:42.8
baka mahanan tayo, political
01:44.1
but you get what I'm saying, so Ronald
01:46.0
let's talk about Sarah Duterte, maybe they're
01:48.4
concerned about ICC, kaya
01:49.9
busyng-busy sila, what's going on here?
01:52.1
Well, kailangan mo kasing
01:56.2
are, kailangan mo unawain Richard
01:58.0
at yung mga katulad mo
01:59.3
na kine-question yung silence
02:03.5
yung iba kasi, ayaw
02:06.2
magsalita dahil baka mamali
02:11.5
may kaunti pang tampo
02:13.6
dahil yung kanyang hundreds of millions
02:16.5
of intelligence at saka
02:17.9
confidential fund, ay
02:20.0
nilagay sa Coast Guard
02:21.7
nilagay sa West Philippine Sea
02:23.8
bago ang ganyan ha?
02:26.2
pwede naman siya maglalabas
02:28.6
ng statement sokol dito sa West
02:30.3
Philippine Sea, e doon nga na
02:32.1
parang doon na napunta
02:33.6
kaya pabayaan mo muna kung bumaba
02:36.1
yung kanyang tampo, siguro baka next
02:38.3
month pwede na siya maglabas ng statement
02:40.1
pwede na siya maglabas ng statement
02:43.9
baka pag ganyan, pinilit mo ba maglabas
02:46.2
ng statement, baka banatan pa
02:48.4
yung Christmas Convoy
02:50.5
baka banatan pa yung
02:52.1
Coast Guard, baka banatan
02:56.2
supply ship na bumunggo
03:00.2
doon sa napakalaking
03:02.2
Chinese Coast Guard vessel
03:06.2
maniniwala na itong napaka
03:08.2
pipiranggot na supply ship
03:16.2
na Chinese Coast Guard
03:20.2
kung pa lang, inaayos pa lang ni Vice President
03:22.2
yung kanyang statement
03:24.2
dahil hindi naman siya katulad sa
03:26.2
katulad nung iba dyan
03:28.2
hindi naman katulad siya d'yong iba dyan
03:30.2
na nakakahandaan na yung mga statement
03:32.2
hindi naman siya katulad nung mga dyan
03:34.2
na malinaw na yung posisyon
03:38.2
anong tawag ba rito sa Biblia?
03:42.2
hindi pa siya tinamaan ng ilaw eh
03:44.2
habang naglalakad siya
03:46.2
para tugisin yung video
03:48.2
ako Ronald, papunta naman tayo sa spiritual na
03:50.2
yan yung kailangan ng
03:54.2
hindi naman siya nagpolepon eh
03:58.2
what if this is also about
04:02.2
ang tunay na pagmamahal sa kanilang mga
04:04.2
strategic partners
04:06.2
after 6 years of Tatay Digong's
04:08.2
great relationship with China
04:10.2
yung tatay niya went to Xi Jinping
04:12.2
earlier this year called special friend of China
04:14.2
shortly before meeting
04:16.2
naunaan pa niya si Henry Kissinger
04:18.2
ganun ka special, si Rodrigo Duterte
04:22.2
I say maybe this is about you know
04:24.2
not naman tampo dahil natanggalan ng ano
04:28.2
baka ayaw na ma-hurt yung feelings
04:30.2
ng kanilang special friend
04:32.2
baka naman ganun yung angle Ronald
04:36.2
baka kasi hanggang ngayon hinihintay ni Sarah
04:40.2
yung 25 billion dollars na commitment
04:42.2
ng China sa Pilipinas
04:46.2
my bad, my bad, I stand corrected
04:48.2
baka hinihintay pa nila
04:50.2
kasi hindi niyo iniisip yung beneficio
04:52.2
ng 24 billion dollar
04:54.2
na 6 na taon na yata hinihintay
04:56.2
pero wala pang isang billion
05:00.2
so bigyan mo naman sila ng
05:04.2
na sila, nagkukam pa sila eh
05:12.2
yung mga katulad mo, yan yung bad cap
05:14.2
sila yung good cap
05:16.2
pero bahagi ng isang strategy
05:20.2
ikaw Ronald, bakit parang ikaw
05:22.2
yung naging Ronald Llamas ngayon
05:24.2
ako yung Ronald Llamas ngayon na parang
05:28.2
let's keep the benefit down
05:30.2
on the road to enlightenment
05:32.2
hindi mo ba nalalasahan
05:36.2
hindi mo ba naramdaman?
05:38.2
hindi nalalasahan ko pero pinapahamak mo ako eh
05:40.2
pero ako yung pinapahamak mo eh
05:42.2
tuloy mo lang, tuloy mo lang
05:44.2
medyo kukuha lang ako ng battery
05:46.2
mukhang naglolobat ako
05:48.2
tuloy mo lang yung ating pinag-uusapan eh
05:50.2
kukuha ka lang dyan
05:52.2
ganun kami ka-spontaneous dito
05:54.2
ma, ba't yung battery ka?
05:56.2
pati ako nalolobat na rin, naka-wait lang
05:58.2
sige, itutuloy natin itong discussion
06:00.2
ano na, ako kasi ah, Ronald
06:02.2
ano ka, nakikinig ka sa akin habang kinukuha mo yung battery
06:04.2
hindi, ang akin naman kasi
06:06.2
ang daming nilang
06:08.2
masabi sa mga kung ano anong bagay
06:12.2
ang daming masabi, ang daming hanash
06:14.2
totally disagreeing with the President
06:16.2
sa conflict sa Middle East
06:18.2
actually, I agree with the Vice President
06:20.2
that we should have look at the prospect of a ceasefire
06:22.2
early on, because
06:24.2
you wanna make sure that any
06:26.2
exercise in self-defense
06:28.2
is not at the expense of thousands
06:30.2
of innocent children
06:32.2
you know, and then, di naman ako nag
06:34.2
disagree sa sinasabi ng mga Duterte
06:36.2
people na let's have diplomacy
06:38.2
with China, but I always say diplomacy on whose
06:40.2
terms, it has to be diplomacy
06:42.2
that is mutually beneficial and diplomacy
06:46.2
oriented, hindi yung diplomacy na
06:48.2
nagsasalita tayo habang
06:50.2
binabastos tayo sa sariling bakuran
06:52.2
that's not diplomacy, right, that's
06:54.2
self-delusion, that's enabling
06:56.2
bullying, which is what Duterte did for six years
06:58.2
di ba, wala tayong nakuha sa China
07:00.2
investment habang yung ginawa nila
07:02.2
sa Reed Bank, sa Juan Felipe Reif
07:04.2
ang ginawa nila sa atin
07:06.2
sa militarization, and now
07:08.2
of course, things can get even worse
07:10.2
umayas ayos na sila
07:12.2
now, going back to this, hindi mo kasi, Richard
07:14.2
ikaw correct lang kita, hindi mo nakikita
07:16.2
yung kanilang contribution
07:18.2
doon sa kanilang mga trolls
07:20.2
doon sa kanilang mga
07:22.2
spokesperson, no?
07:24.2
nakakatulong yan sa ating GDP
07:26.2
nakakatulong yan eh
07:28.2
yung pinapump nila sa kanilang mga
07:30.2
trolls, sa kanilang mga
07:32.2
spokespersons, no?
07:34.2
yan ang hindi mo nakikita eh, medyo
07:36.2
medyo kwente, black and white
07:38.2
di pa rin minetion yung mga Pogo
07:40.2
mga favorite natin
07:44.2
if Vietnam gets Nvidia
07:46.2
and like Huawei investment, we get
07:48.2
that's how good my father is
07:50.2
yung mga quan, yung mga triads
07:52.2
yung mga human trafficking
07:54.2
yan, nakakatulong
07:56.2
sa ekonomiya yan eh
07:58.2
kasi yung mga pulis, nakakaroon ng trabaho
08:02.2
may Mandarin speaking unit
08:04.2
may Mandarin speaking unit na tayo sa PNP
08:06.2
lumaki pa ang trabaho
08:08.2
may 13 month pa ipa
08:10.2
di ba nagtuturo ng Mandarin
08:12.2
kumikita rin sila, dumadami ang mga estudyante
08:14.2
yung mga sindikato
08:16.2
yung mga drug lords
08:18.2
pinapamprime yung ating economy eh
08:20.2
yan yung mga hindi mo nakikita eh
08:22.2
kasi Ronald, hindi nare-reflect sa
08:26.2
yung nangyari yung underground economy
08:28.2
but ito, ito na talaga Ronald
08:32.2
busy-busy nila kasi
08:34.2
yung ICC na mukhang seryoso na ito
08:36.2
ano yung test natin dyan
08:40.2
movements behind the scenes ha?
08:42.2
tingin ko mag-a-advance
08:46.2
dahil, siyempre hindi naman basta-basta
08:48.2
pupunta rito yung ICC paglabas
08:50.2
nung international war
08:56.2
dito, may mga kwan yan
09:00.2
may mga fillers yan
09:02.2
may mga fillers yan
09:04.2
hindi ako magugulat kung meron
09:06.2
niya mga emissaries
09:08.2
tinatanong yung gobyerno
09:10.2
kami ba, dahil sabi nyo kasi
09:12.2
a few months back, you are totally close
09:14.2
sa pagpasok namin
09:16.2
meron pa kayong dalawang resolution
09:18.2
from both houses, ngayon ba ay
09:20.2
ma-assure nyo kami na
09:22.2
hindi na yan katulad ng dati
09:24.2
so meron nyo mga fillers
09:26.2
na pinapatala, at hindi ako
09:28.2
magugulat na kasabay nyo mga fillers
09:30.2
may nagdadala nung fillers
09:32.2
may magdadala nung fillers
09:36.2
ipapaabot sa Malacanang
09:38.2
na kami ba hindi nyo tataboy
09:40.2
kapag pumasok kami rito
09:42.2
ibang usapin pa yung kay
09:44.2
Ki Buloy, FBI yun eh, ex-tradition
09:46.2
huwag natin ibang usapin nyo
09:48.2
Jason sa edition na may episode
09:54.2
it doesn't happen overnight
09:56.2
may mga build up yan
09:58.2
may mga emissaries yan
10:00.2
may mga fillers yan
10:02.2
tingin ko yung mga build up na yan
10:04.2
ay nagsisimula ng mangyari
10:06.2
nagsisimula ng mangyari
10:08.2
kaya mas nagiging
10:10.2
definite yung possibility
10:14.2
ng DOJ at saka ng
10:16.2
gobyerno na seriously
10:18.2
namin pinag-aaralan
10:20.2
yung pagpasok ng ICC
10:24.2
mukhang yung seriously ay
10:26.2
papunta na doon sa pagpayag
10:28.2
pero after holidays
10:30.2
medyo mag-ano muna sila
10:36.2
pero sabi nga natin doon sa
10:40.2
previous ating episode
10:42.2
this is becoming more serious
10:44.2
ang sabi ko nga doon sa isang
10:46.2
interview ko mga 2 weeks ago
10:48.2
this is almost an existential
10:50.2
issue for both sides
10:52.2
existential for the Duterte
10:54.2
dahil kung papasok
10:58.2
at hindi lang si Digong
11:02.2
yung mga nakalagay sa testimony
11:04.2
ni Las Cañas na lagi
11:06.2
namang inilalabas
11:08.2
ni Ellen Tordesillas sa kanyang
11:12.2
medyo mas marami yung kukunin
11:14.2
it will entail the collapse
11:16.2
of not just one faction
11:22.2
baka matira lang si former President
11:24.2
Arroyo at saka si Aimee
11:26.2
baka sila yung matira
11:28.2
particular religious group or two
11:30.2
will also back them
11:34.2
pwedeng mag-collapse
11:36.2
existential for that group
11:38.2
dahil nakasandal sila sa pader
11:40.2
they will also do everything
11:42.2
para hindi mangyari yan
11:44.2
kaya it could also be existential
11:46.2
for the Marcos government
11:48.2
dahil delikado ang mga Duterte
11:50.2
kung sila ay nakasandal sa pader
11:54.2
hindi pa naman ganun kalayo
11:56.2
yung kanilang pagiging
12:00.2
it's just one and a half years
12:02.2
so ibig sabihin yung influence nila hindi pa totally nawala
12:04.2
kaya may nakikita kang statement
12:06.2
ng former military
12:08.2
may mga leftovers
12:12.2
na kailangan palayain
12:16.2
at saka si Caselli
12:18.2
dahil baka mangyayat sila
12:26.2
okay na SMNI next episode lang
12:30.2
halimbawa lang yan itong influence ng mga Duterte
12:34.2
hindi pa yan totally nawawala
12:36.2
hindi nila to the max
12:44.2
hindi yan magpapahuli ng buhay
12:46.2
they will do everything
12:48.2
para hindi yan mangyari
12:50.2
kaya diyan siguro nagiging totoo
12:52.2
yung mga chismes na destabilization
12:56.2
na no less than the chief of staff
13:00.2
so hindi na yan mga simpleng marites
13:04.2
at saka ni Ronald
13:08.2
yan ay nanggagaling
13:10.2
mismo sa mga key players
13:12.2
no less than the chief of staff
13:14.2
this is not just smoke
13:16.2
it's a smoke that is
13:18.2
nakikita na yung fire
13:20.2
Ronald the way I put it
13:22.2
it's existential for Duterte
13:24.2
and it's most consequential
13:26.2
for Marcos at the very least
13:28.2
if not it could backfire
13:30.2
I mean do you see the possibility
13:32.2
ito yung sinulat ko sa isang article ko na
13:36.2
I mean not in a civil war sense of the word
13:38.2
but in a sense that you may have a situation of Duterte
13:40.2
and I don't know whatever
13:42.2
and some religious group around them
13:44.2
versus essentially
13:48.2
dilawans, reformists
13:50.2
progressives, technocrats
13:52.2
pro-US lahat yan magsama-sama
13:54.2
lahat na mga may galit sa kanila
13:56.2
remember yung sa ABS-CBN franchise hearing
13:58.2
lahat na may axe to grind
14:00.2
binuho sila sa ABS-CBN people
14:02.2
lahat na mga ni-report
14:06.2
including some people who were in Aquino cabinet
14:08.2
alam mo naman sino yan
14:10.2
something like that could happen to them also
14:12.2
lahat na mga na-peace off nila
14:14.2
or lahat na mga nag-switch na to the
14:16.2
Romualdez-Marcos side
14:18.2
they could all team up and that could be
14:20.2
quite a crazy situation
14:22.2
tama yan, tama yan
14:24.2
asymmetrical civil war
14:26.2
ang kaibahan lang, this has to happen
14:30.2
hindi ito mangyayari in a few years
14:32.2
baka lumabas yung ICC
14:36.2
international warrant early next
14:38.2
year, ibig sabihin hindi
14:40.2
makakapaghintay yung Duterte to
14:42.2
counter attack, to counter
14:48.2
yung mga Marcos naman
14:50.2
hindi naman sila makakapaghintay
14:52.2
until the mid-term
14:54.2
dahil kung yung kanilang mga
14:56.2
kalaban ay mag-survive beyond
15:00.2
magbago yung kompleksyon ng political
15:02.2
alignments, yung mga umalis
15:04.2
sa mga Duterte baka bumalik
15:10.2
so from the side of the Marcos
15:12.2
they have to do what they want to do
15:14.2
what they have to do
15:16.2
also in a few months
15:18.2
dahil they cannot afford
15:20.2
they cannot afford for their rivals
15:24.2
to survive and regain their strength
15:26.2
after the mid-term
15:28.2
the horizons are shrinking
15:30.2
the coordinates of possibility
15:34.2
it always goes back to what we said
15:36.2
one of the ultimate paradoxes
15:38.2
of Philippine politics
15:40.2
is that a conflict avoidant
15:42.2
president, a notoriously conflict avoidant
15:44.2
president is now confronting
15:46.2
one of the biggest conflicts
15:48.2
in Philippine politics
15:52.2
and backed by two superpowers
15:54.2
each of them coming
15:56.2
the way they are, this is crazy
16:00.2
shorts now one comparing to
16:02.2
Game of Thrones, the other one
16:04.2
Shakespearean, Macbeth level
16:10.2
for the first time, binata na siya
16:12.2
publicly ng kanyang vice president
16:16.2
hindi lang figuratively
16:18.2
literally a heartbeat away
16:20.2
from his presidency
16:24.2
yun yung kwan dito
16:28.2
diba alam mo yung conspiracy theory
16:30.2
na hindi ito si totoong junior
16:32.2
diba? may mga conspiracy dati
16:34.2
pero ako kasi nung na-meet ko siya first time
16:36.2
hindi, kamukha talaga niya yung tatay niya
16:38.2
like there's no way you can double
16:40.2
diba yun yung conspiracy na matagal na nukalang
16:42.2
yung junior na ano lang yan
16:44.2
so I'm just saying
16:46.2
the heartbeat argument might not work
16:48.2
kung marami siyang doble
16:50.2
parang saddam style
16:54.2
ang problema hindi naman tayo pwedeng maglabas
16:56.2
talaga ng popcorn at manood
16:58.2
dahil this will affect all of us
17:00.2
this will affect all of us
17:02.2
how this is resolved
17:04.2
either way will affect
17:08.2
it's potentially a civil war situation
17:10.2
now I'm not saying it's
17:12.2
patasing two sides
17:14.2
just like the roman civil war
17:16.2
caesar was always having the operan over mark anthony
17:18.2
but this is it diba
17:20.2
this is something very serious
17:22.2
and I think this perfectly sets the tone
17:24.2
for the next episode
17:26.2
what I say to the popcorn people
17:28.2
is be careful what you wish for
17:30.2
because a lot of perilous precedences
17:34.2
before matanggal itong franchise
17:38.2
yung mga ba kasi poetic justice
17:40.2
as Kyren R puts it
17:42.2
but at the same time this could also set the tone
17:44.2
for something even scarier down the road
17:46.2
so pag-usapan natin yan in the next episode
17:48.2
thank you very much
17:50.2
sekretary role ni Mark
