00:37.0
The buck stops with him, no?
00:39.8
So, speaking of President Marcos Jr.,
00:45.1
ayan na naman siya, okay?
00:47.7
Downplaying the whole uniting drama, all right?
00:51.4
So, kadudang i-discuss na natin kanina, sabi ni President Marcos Jr.,
00:54.7
the whole confidential fund issue.
00:56.3
Issue is settled at Yung Sabina.
00:59.3
Yes, I think, okay.
01:00.6
So, Marcos confirmed the House Speaker Martin Romualdo's earlier statement
01:03.6
that he will sign the 2020 proposal on Wednesday.
01:05.8
He said it will be scheduled for Wednesday.
01:07.7
So, in short, you know, he's trying to dismiss the whole thing and say, you know,
01:10.9
it's business as usual, you know, there are just some disagreements here and there,
01:15.7
but, you know, life goes on, you know, that's the stance of the president, right?
01:19.5
Now, of course, the downside of that is there's no clarity about the direction of this administration, right?
01:26.3
And, again, the president taking a non-confrontational approach may actually, paradoxically,
01:31.7
and we have seen this over and over again, dialectically even,
01:35.3
has invited more and more bardagulan because, you know,
01:38.9
when you sense the guy on top is, you know, nonchalant,
01:42.7
you're going to take the initiative into your own hands, and that's what we see, right?
01:46.5
Proxies versus proxies, proxies versus the other camp, right?
01:49.9
All of these things happening.
01:52.1
But the good side also about this is that President Marcos Jr. is,
01:56.1
he can keep his powder dry, and accordingly, since time is on his side,
02:02.2
because he's the administration, resources are with his side,
02:05.5
alliances and support from outside is towards his camp,
02:08.7
he's just probably biding his time, and, you know, he knows that time is on his side,
02:12.8
and as he gets closer and closer to election time,
02:14.9
he will be in a strong position to dictate the terms of Philippine politics for the foreseeable future,
02:19.6
especially if the pro-Marcos camp does very, very well in the midterm elections,
02:26.1
he will be in a position to change the Constitution altogether.
02:28.7
So please check out Jungvlognaten about constitutional change,
02:32.3
different forms of constitutional change,
02:33.9
CONAS, CONCON, Constitutional Convention, Constitutional Assembly, etc.
02:38.2
We discuss all of their ramifications,
02:40.2
but as I said, one option that the pro-Marcos camp has
02:42.7
is to never pick up a direct fight with the Dutertes,
02:46.8
including over the China issue,
02:48.3
but to press ahead with an increasingly aggressive stance in the South China Sea
02:52.4
in the interest of the Philippines and its sovereign rights,
02:56.1
once it dominates the midterm elections,
02:58.0
something that is very, very doable,
03:00.5
what the Marcos administration can do
03:03.0
is to push for constitutional change, right?
03:06.4
And they can completely prevent the return of the Dutertes,
03:09.6
because, you know, a lot of Duterte people are saying,
03:11.2
okay, we're just going to wait this out,
03:12.8
this is not our time,
03:14.1
but there's 2028,
03:15.7
and so far, if anyone were to bet,
03:18.9
if anyone were to bet,
03:20.0
including yours truly,
03:22.3
I don't think it's a clear frontrunner,
03:24.3
I don't think it's a clear frontrunner,
03:26.1
I don't think it's a clear frontrunner anymore,
03:27.1
I think Rafi Tulfo, for instance,
03:28.9
could give him a run for money,
03:31.8
or whatever money is going to be left by 2020,
03:34.3
but, you know what I'm saying,
03:35.5
things could look very different by 2028,
03:37.6
but there is a very big possibility
03:39.7
that the 2020 elections might not even happen,
03:42.7
because if they change the constitution in 2025,
03:45.7
then, I don't know,
03:46.7
Martin Romaldes or someone like that
03:48.4
could become prime minister,
03:49.7
and then Marcos could transition
03:51.3
into becoming an increasingly ceremonial president,
03:54.9
potentially after 2020,
03:57.0
He can maintain his position as a ceremonial president
03:59.4
under a new constitution,
04:00.4
and then will move into a parliamentary system,
04:03.2
and then under a parliamentary system,
04:05.4
it's not about popularity per se,
04:07.6
although, of course,
04:08.0
popularity is still a big factor,
04:09.6
but it's about parties.
04:11.9
It's about number of votes you have in the legislature,
04:14.8
and perhaps their calculation is that
04:16.9
they can so dominate the Philippine political landscape
04:18.8
that they can get enough people
04:20.4
to form the next new dominant parliamentary government,
04:26.1
and coalition under the auspices
04:28.5
of President Marcos Jr.
04:29.7
So, there's so many possibilities here.
04:33.2
Now, where do I stand on this?
04:35.4
My thing is, again,
04:37.0
just look at how many things we discussed
04:38.7
over the past 40 minutes alone, right?
04:41.1
There's so much going on in this country, right?
04:44.0
SMNI could lose its franchise,
04:45.6
and they're going to lash back.
04:46.6
They're not just going to sit back, right?
04:48.1
You're going against a pretty significant force.
04:51.4
I won't say they're as powerful as before.
04:53.9
The China situation is a big headache.
04:56.3
The Philippines has to deal with
04:58.6
all sorts of new opportunities and challenges
05:00.4
as we see major realignments globally,
05:05.7
At home, also, you're seeing major realignments.
05:07.7
So, if you're President Marcos Jr.,
05:08.8
I see the point of,
05:10.8
at least rhetorically,
05:11.8
not being non-confrontational,
05:14.7
but behind the scenes,
05:15.5
he has to do what is necessary
05:17.2
to prepare the ground
05:19.2
for the domination of 2025 elections
05:21.8
in ways that will prevent
05:23.0
the other side from striking back
05:26.1
Because the other side is not...
05:28.1
Because the other side knows
05:29.1
that time is not on their side, right?
05:31.8
And that they need to
05:33.3
crawl their way back into power.
05:37.9
it's now all up to the groundwork
05:40.0
that Marcos and his people are going to do.
05:41.9
But in the meantime, again, as I said,
05:43.7
this has been my prediction through and through.
05:45.3
You're not going to hear President Marcos Jr.
05:47.1
this year coming out and saying,
05:48.5
Tapos na, UNITEAM,
05:50.0
awain niya si Salad.
05:51.2
That's not going to happen.
05:52.2
It's just not the Marcos Jr. way,
05:54.0
at least for now.
05:56.1
knows that time is on his side,
05:57.3
momentum is on his side,
05:58.5
and he has just so much on his plate,
06:00.6
including so many other new travels,
06:03.0
including to travel
06:04.1
to a very important
06:04.8
Southeast Asian country next month,
06:07.1
Reveal na atin yan later on, right?
06:11.5
when time is on your side
06:12.8
and the more you wait,
06:14.3
the stronger you get
06:15.1
and the weaker the other side?
06:16.8
So that means that
06:17.9
if ever there's going to be
06:18.8
another meltdown and showdown,
06:20.5
it's because the other side
06:21.4
will try to take the initiative.
06:23.4
And that other side
06:24.4
is also connected to
06:26.1
namely what's happening
06:27.6
in South China Sea
06:28.4
because we know that,
06:30.3
different camps in the Philippines
06:31.6
increasingly have
06:32.3
different strategic patrons,
06:34.1
meaning different superpowers
06:37.5
thank you very much, everyone.
06:38.3
I hope you appreciated
06:46.3
like going all over the place.
06:47.9
And that's what I do, all right?
06:51.0
This is our bread and butter,
06:52.2
trying to keep abreast
06:53.7
with developments
06:54.3
at home and abroad
06:55.0
because we have to connect the two.
06:56.1
Two-level analysis.
06:57.5
That's what I always do, right?
06:58.8
And you cannot separate the two.
07:01.1
thank you very much.
07:02.8
Thank you to folks
07:03.8
listening to us over space.
07:06.0
It looks like a number of folks
07:07.5
that I saw them here
07:08.8
40, 45 minutes ago
07:11.6
your attention span.
07:13.9
Something very rare nowadays.
07:15.8
Thank you also to some
07:16.6
supporters and followers
07:19.2
And thank you very much also
07:24.0
Yes, it's true, it's true.
07:34.0
thanks to our passion
07:35.7
we managed to make this
07:37.1
or among the leading
07:38.1
political podcasts
07:38.9
in the country and beyond.
07:40.9
we landed in top 100
07:45.8
every genre podcast,
07:48.4
in Apple podcasts
07:51.5
So I'm very proud of that,
07:53.4
that would not have been,
07:56.0
possible without you guys
07:57.1
providing support.
07:58.6
wala akong sponsors,
07:59.9
wala akong production team-ish,
08:02.8
Although we're kind of
08:04.9
at least production
08:05.5
when it comes to shorts
08:06.3
and other kind of stuff.
08:07.5
Thanks kay Anton.
08:11.0
I know that none of this
08:12.3
would have been possible
08:13.1
if not for you guys
08:19.6
sometimes we talk
08:20.9
or two hours, right?
08:22.2
And you guys are still there
08:23.4
and I see your comments
08:26.0
so we have multiple
08:27.4
so I really appreciate it.
08:28.5
including dito sa space,
08:29.6
we have some friends
08:30.5
asking questions.
08:41.0
Go for gold na siya eh.
08:43.7
Wala na yung confidential fun.
08:45.3
Yeah, that's also
08:45.9
gonna be a big issue.
08:47.0
We're gonna discuss it more.
08:48.1
Sabi niya Ivan P.,
08:49.5
pakicheck rin yung
08:52.3
ng mga quote-unquote
08:53.5
or social media accounts
08:57.0
ng mga quote-unquote
09:01.6
Oh, mga one-year-old lang
09:02.9
mga think tanks na yan.
09:07.0
Potemkin think tanks.
09:08.1
That's a good way
09:09.3
but you know what?
09:12.3
Actually, the Potemkin villages
09:13.6
are nice villages
09:15.0
in the Black Sea.
09:17.0
Potemkin the person,
09:19.0
yung dating lover
09:19.9
ni Catherine the Great
09:21.2
is among my favorite
09:22.1
figures in history.
09:27.3
let's not insult Potemkin.
09:29.7
Thank you very much
09:30.3
also sa mga sumusuport
09:31.2
sa atin dito sa YouTube.
09:33.1
Thank you so much
09:34.3
And thank you also
09:35.5
na mga sumusuport
09:36.1
sa atin sa Facebook.
09:37.8
All of you are my kameta.
09:39.9
And please continue.
09:40.8
Continue to support us.
09:42.3
And we're in the coming days,
09:44.5
year-ender analysis.
09:49.7
Ewan kay Lisandro Claudio.
09:51.3
Medyo out of reach
09:52.4
yata siya ngayon.
09:53.1
I'm sure he's, you know,
09:54.3
trying to catch up
09:57.0
you have Chris Tan,
09:59.4
another interview with him
10:00.4
before we end the year.
10:02.8
yung isa naman na,
10:03.6
hindi na lang natin
10:05.8
my invitation has been
10:07.2
for collaboration.
10:10.9
to collaboration.
10:14.3
that when we work together,
10:15.5
we can do better.
10:17.6
that one person alone
10:18.6
can be the answer
10:24.0
I don't feel threatened
10:26.9
Thank you very much.
10:28.5
and talk to you soon.
10:36.3
May mga ano pa dito.
10:38.6
kay Ma'am Kenneth,
10:40.7
kay Sir Colminar.
10:42.0
Kenneth Colminar.
10:45.2
itong mga comments
10:46.8
I'll message you na lang, guys.
10:48.4
Thank you very much.
10:49.3
and talk to you soon.
10:52.9
Nasaan na yung ano?
10:54.4
Hindi ko maka ano.
10:55.6
Anong nangyari dito?
10:59.6
Dito pala sa kabila.
11:01.9
Nagka-mecos-mecos na.
11:05.3
Thank you very much.
11:07.2
Nanghanap ko pala.
11:09.0
Salamat kay Sir Braff P.
11:10.4
Kay Ma'am Madrigal Haya
11:16.8
Francesco Mabunga.
11:18.2
Thank you very much.
11:22.1
Lahat naman ang mga amal sa atin.
11:23.3
Thank you very much.
11:24.6
Kay Ma'am Awesome Mia.
11:26.2
Thank you very much.
