00:40.5
Eto, eto, eto yung isa sa mga pinakamalaking frustration ko mga kamets, ah
00:43.9
Um, anong gumagano?
00:49.0
Anyway, eto kasi mga kameta, no?
00:51.5
Eto ang parati kong problema
00:52.8
You know, gusto mong lumabas sa Manila
00:56.7
Para hindi ka ma-stress dun sa traffic sa Manila
00:59.0
Hindi ka ma-stress dun sa lifestyle sa Manila
01:01.1
Ang problema naman, paglabas mo na Manila
01:03.3
Ang laki ng problema sa basic infrastructure
01:06.9
Signal palang problema na
01:09.1
Internet palang problema na
01:11.1
Eh, sa ganitong, sa panahon natin ngayon
01:13.7
It's almost impossible to get anything done kung hindi matin yung internet
01:17.9
Lalong-lalong na kung katulad nyo
01:19.5
Kung trabaho niya katulad ko, diba, na digital nomad
01:23.0
I heard that term, it's a very woke, trying, hardish term
01:26.7
But, you know, yung mga people, no?
01:28.4
Who need to be constantly on the move and constantly produce
01:32.4
Anyway, yung mga terms na ayay-ayay ako
01:34.5
Hindi tayo content creator, may mga expertise po tayo
01:37.5
Na pag-aralan po natin yung mga bagay-bagay na sinasabi natin, no?
01:42.0
Tinuturo po natin ito sa mga iba't-ibang universidad all around the world
01:45.2
Now, anyway, balikan natin itong issue na ito
01:48.1
Eto kasing, etong frustration ko mga kameta, no?
01:51.8
Parati na sinasabi, okay, kung stress ka, labas ka ng Manila
01:54.6
Ang problema ng pag lumabas ka ng Manila
01:56.7
Yung mga kalsada, yung mga infrastruktura
01:59.8
Ang dami mga nakaka-dismaya
02:02.4
So, while tanggap ko na pagdating sa cost of living
02:06.0
Mas maganda talaga pag lumabas ka ng Manila
02:07.7
Kasi napaka-mahal
02:08.7
I mean, Manila is a very overpriced place, no?
02:13.0
Napaka-mahal ang presyo ng mga bilihin, ng rent, ng everything, no?
02:17.0
Kumpara doon sa kalidad ng mga servisyon na nakuha natin
02:20.4
But, pag labas mo naman sa Manila
02:22.5
Mas mababa yung gastos
02:25.5
Mas less stressful
02:26.7
Siguro ang buhay for other people
02:28.1
But for people like me, mas stressful
02:30.0
Pag nasa labas ako ng Manila
02:31.6
Dahil yung mga basic infrastructure ay nawala doon
02:35.0
Kanina nga, may pinuntahan kami na napakagandang restaurant dito
02:39.6
Puntahan niyan, sa Tuba yan, dito sa Baguio
02:42.0
Malapit sa Loakan Airport
02:43.5
Napakagandang lugar
02:46.7
Yung papunta dyan, yung mga kalsada
02:48.4
Parang pupunta ka ng, ano
02:49.8
Wala na, parang malayo ka na sa kabias na
02:52.4
And to consider, this is not too far from, you know
02:54.4
From the city, city proper
02:56.7
And I'm talking about a city which is one of the most developed in the country
03:00.3
In fact, if you look at the Human Development Index, HDI
03:03.5
Yung region namin, hindi ako nagyayabang
03:06.0
But the region of Benguet is the most developed in the entire country
03:11.1
In terms of, you know, hindi lang average income
03:12.9
But in terms of life expectancy, in terms of education, etc
03:15.7
So on an average, you know, at saka yung agwat ng wealth ay hindi ganon kalayo
03:20.7
So, if dito, sa ganitong lugar, ay misa nagkakaroon tayo ng napakadaming frustration
03:26.7
Sa availability of water, internet connection and all
03:29.7
You know, I don't want to be judgmental
03:32.0
But this is just, it's just more a matter of compassion
03:35.4
I can imagine yung mga basic infrastructure and all
03:38.8
Could be far more problematic in other parts of the country
03:41.8
Now, bakit tayo dapat may pake sa nangyayari sa loob ng bansa natin?
03:47.1
Well, obviously, because this affects our lives
03:49.3
This affects our lifestyle
03:50.9
This affects the experience of going around the country
03:53.7
The ability to experience
03:55.3
Sa kanila lang, nalaman ko na
03:56.7
May mga direct flights na ginagawa from Philippines, Manila to Danang in Vietnam
04:01.7
Remember mga kameta, meron tayong mga vlogs nung nandun ako sa Danang, Vietnam
04:05.4
For a conference, you know, about economic and trade integration in Asia
04:10.1
And sabi ko, napaka-impressive itong lugar na ito
04:13.3
Kasi I've been going to Vietnam regularly over the past decade or so
04:16.8
And I've seen the tremendous development of the area
04:18.6
But let's be honest, it's not a white sand beach
04:21.2
The natural beauty of Danang is nowhere close to what we have in Palawan, in Siargao
04:26.7
What we have in Boracay
04:29.5
So we have very, we're very blessed with very beautiful nature
04:33.4
Including, of course, dito sa Cordilleras region
04:35.5
Napakaganda rin yung mga, ng nature natin
04:39.0
But, you have to make something out of it
04:41.5
Hindi pwede yung we're just resting on the laurels of our natural heritage
04:45.3
In the same way na hindi tayo pwede nagre-rest lang dun sa laurels
04:48.6
Ng ating, you know, English-speaking colonial legacy
04:53.0
Yan ang problema natin, parang ito ko sinasabi
04:54.8
Isa sa mga daylan ng Pilipinas ay hindi masenso masyado
04:58.0
Ay hindi lang dahil sa mga katrapuhan ng mga politikos natin
05:00.6
Which, by the way, can be traced back also to the colonial era
05:03.7
Because one of the biggest mistakes of Americans
05:05.6
So, ito, ito, ito, isa pang real talk
05:07.7
One of the most annoying experiences I always have
05:09.7
Is some random American gringo guy coming and giving lectures about
05:13.4
Oh, this is how you should run your country, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah
05:16.4
Yung mga iba pa, mayroon, they have the audacity to even say
05:19.0
Dapat you should have stayed as our colony or something like that
05:21.3
My thing always to my gringo friends is like
05:23.7
Wait, wait, wait, wait
05:24.6
You guys, you had half a century of almost direct colonization
05:28.3
We can talk about the indirect colonization later on
05:30.6
But you didn't have the audacity, you didn't have the foresight
05:34.2
Of doing land reform and getting rid of Spanish-era trapos
05:39.6
Spanish-era dynasties, principalities
05:42.3
You know, I can name you many political dynasties in the Philippines today
05:44.9
That can trace back to the late 19th century under the Spanish
05:48.8
So, the Americans, one of the biggest problem with them is that
05:52.1
Palpak yung kanilang state dynasty
05:54.6
They didn't have a building project in the Philippines
05:56.6
And one of the biggest failures of the Americans
05:58.6
When they were colonizing the Philippines was
06:00.6
They did not, you know, they did not redistribute land
06:03.6
They did not make sure na hindi man dominate ng economies
06:07.6
And political institutions natin ng mga old Spanish-era principalities
06:11.6
Ito yung mga collaborators, essentially
06:13.6
Yung mga comprador, no?
06:15.6
So, once the Americans opened, you know, the political system
06:19.6
To a certain degree of democratic contestation
06:21.6
Guess sino mga nananalo ng senado, kongreso, mga ganyan?
06:24.6
Landed elite, the same trapos from the Spanish era
06:28.6
And they continue up until today, a lot of them
06:31.6
So, you have a lot of political dynasties in the Philippines
06:33.6
That go all the way back to the Spanish era
06:35.6
And then nadagdag pa ng mga bago, mga parvenus and all
06:39.6
So, please lang, dun sa mga ating mga gringong kaibigan
06:41.6
Bago kayo mag-lecture sa Pilipinas
06:43.6
Sit down in my lectures about, you know, this trajectory
06:47.6
Of how things went wrong for the Philippines
06:49.6
And how neither of our colonial, you know, our colonizers
06:52.6
Where the Spanish are and the Americans are not
06:54.6
The Americans got some of the basics of state and nation building right
06:58.6
Now, you don't believe me?
06:59.6
Read, for instance, books by Francis Fukuyama
07:02.6
Or on, for instance, yung isang book niya na, you know
07:07.6
Political Order and Political Decay
07:09.6
Or look at the works of Paul Hodgecroft
07:11.6
And a lot of great political scientists
07:13.6
A lot of American political scientists
07:15.6
Who notice ano yung mga palpak ng kanilang colonization process
07:18.6
In fact, Americans don't even want to call it colonization
07:21.6
Now, having said all of those things
07:22.6
Actually, bilang isang
07:24.6
Cordillera person
07:25.6
I mean, of course, ilokana kami
07:27.6
But, you know, because I'm from Baguio
07:28.6
In fairness naman, mga Amerikano
07:30.6
One of the good things they introduced, at least in this part of the world
07:33.6
In the Cordillera region
07:35.6
Was good education system
07:36.6
And a certain degree of egalitarian ethics
07:42.6
Ethos, for that matter
07:43.6
So, I think it's in the Cordillera region
07:45.6
Where you see much more positive impact of American colonization
07:48.6
But the Americans really didn't touch, you know, yung
07:52.6
Yung broken, rotten
07:54.6
You know, trapo foundations
07:56.6
Of the Philippine political economy
07:58.6
That was carried over from the Spanish era
08:01.6
Why am I talking about all of these things?
08:04.6
How are we gonna fight for our rights?
08:08.6
Diyan sa West Philippine Sea
08:09.6
How are we gonna get the respect of other countries?
08:13.6
If we do not get some of the basic things in our country right?
08:16.6
How are we gonna be respected by a rising superpower?
08:20.6
A rising superpower that has a lot of ethnocentrism
08:24.6
Just look at how people in that country talk about other people, right?
08:26.6
Or if not people in that country
08:27.6
Like look at how their newspaper talk about, you know
08:30.6
Other rising powers like Indians or
08:33.6
Look at how they talk about, you know
08:35.6
The supposed them being middle kingdom and all that blah blah blah
08:39.6
I mean, seriously
08:40.6
I mean, like China was not the greatest civilization
08:42.6
Nor were they the greatest empire
08:44.6
They were one of the greats, sure
08:46.6
But they were never the greatest, you know
08:47.6
I can name you many other empires that were just as amazing or
08:51.6
I mean, have you guys been to Egypt?
08:53.6
You know, like these guys had pyramids 4,000-6,000 years ago
08:56.6
The Great Wall of China is barely over what?
09:00.6
I mean, you go to the Middle East
09:02.6
Forget about Greece and all
09:04.6
You go to the Middle East, you can find monuments from 3,000, 4,000, 5,000, 6,000 years ago
09:11.6
And so, you know, I never understood why some people think China is the greatest
09:16.6
They're just one of the guys
09:19.6
Speaking of which
09:23.6
My thing is, if we do not get our act together
09:26.6
Sa loob ng Pilipinas
09:27.6
Kung ganyang kalaki yung agwat ng development sa loob ng bansa
09:31.6
Kung ganito kasabog yung ating state institutions
09:34.6
Kung ganito ka-problematic yung internal politics natin
09:38.6
Kung ganong ka-dominated ng political institutions natin
09:42.6
A lot of them going all the way to the Spanish era, right?
09:45.6
Some of them are not even Spanish-blooded but they have Spanish affectations
09:49.6
Now, you don't want to believe me
09:51.6
Actually, long essay
09:52.6
Kasika Democracy by Benedict Anderson
09:55.6
A lot of these pseudo-Spanish names that we have are actually not Spanish
09:59.6
A lot of them came from another Asian country
10:02.6
And then pa-affect sila ng Espanyol na old rich but they're not
10:07.6
My problem is, wala tayong laban dyan sa West Philippine Sea
10:11.6
Kung hindi rin natin ang using yung sarili ng ating bansa
10:13.6
If we don't undertake some of the basic fundamental changes
10:17.6
That we need to institute inside our country
10:20.6
Napaka mahalaga yan mga ka-men
10:21.6
We need to really get that right
10:24.6
Now, speaking of China
10:26.6
Recently, dahil of course mahala-mahal nilang ang Pilipinas
10:29.6
Mahala-mahal nilang peace and harmony and freedom and all of that
10:34.6
Ito yung sinabi ng China
10:35.6
China is always committed to resolving differences through dialogue and consultation
10:39.6
And making joint efforts to maintain maritime stability
10:43.6
But we will not turn a blind eye towards the Philippines' repeated provocation and harassment
10:50.6
Tayo pang nagpa-provoke sa China
10:52.6
Tayo pang nag-aaral sa China
10:54.6
Ayan ito sa China spokesman
10:57.6
Yung the Philippines resupply mission dyan sa Ayunginsol
11:00.6
Which by the way is a low tide elevation
11:03.6
It's not a territory
11:04.6
It's a low tide elevation within the Philippines exclusive economic zone
11:07.6
Within the Philippines continental shelf
11:08.6
So sarili na natin bakuran yan
11:10.6
Our resupply dun sa sarili natin bakuran
11:14.6
China consider this as a quote deliberate move to create an incident play victim and make a show
11:19.6
Well sir, speaking of playing victim
11:22.6
I know a country which is the second largest country on earth by population
11:25.6
But they were the largest last year
11:27.6
I know a country that is the second largest economy in the world
11:29.6
They have more than 1 billion people
11:31.6
But they talk about themselves as if we're still in the 100 years of humiliation era
11:35.6
Opium wars era of 19th century
11:37.6
Speaking of playing victim
11:40.6
We can have a long conversation about pa-victim effect of giant superpowers
11:45.6
Who cry foul about NATO expansion
11:50.6
And then they're bullying their own neighbors
11:52.6
In one case invading smaller neighbor
11:56.6
At of course very dismissive itong statement ng China
12:04.6
We expose yung mga bullying and all of that
12:07.6
Ang statement ng China is that
12:12.6
This is purely false hype
12:14.6
So nagpo false hype lang daw tayo
12:16.6
Nagdrama lang tayo
12:21.6
Sabi nga ni Maharlika
12:23.6
The Philippine side in disregard of repeated warnings from the Chinese side
12:27.6
Insisted on sending vessels to intrude into the adjacent waters of China's Renai Jiao
12:34.6
And provocatively ram a Chinese coast guard vessel and cause scratch
12:38.6
Let me be absolutely clear
12:39.6
There's no basis to China's claims in the area
12:42.6
Their 9-9, 10-9 is a complete joke per modern prevailing international law
12:46.6
Hindi ko alam kung anong Recto Bank
12:48.6
Ay sorry Recto University
12:49.6
Di Recto Bank sa atin yun pero yung Recto University
12:52.6
Hindi ko alam saan nila kinakuha itong mga Doctrine Doctrine
12:54.6
Alam natin saan nila nakuha
12:56.6
This actually goes back to after the collapse of the Chinese Empire in the early 20th century
13:02.6
And when the country was going through this period of immense instability and humiliation
13:07.6
So some of their nationalist cartographers came up with mumbo jumbo maps
13:11.6
And that's yun yung source ng 9-9 or actually 11-9
13:15.6
Because it covers all sa Pratas and Gulf of Tonkin
13:18.6
And then later on this was adopted by Kuomintang
13:20.6
Who later on go to Taiwan
13:22.6
These are the nationalists
13:23.6
And then this was essentially plagiarized and copy pasted by the Maui's communist forces later on
13:28.6
So yun yung source ng this whole 9-10 dash line mumbo jumbo na yan
13:33.6
So ayon sa China lahat ng mga sinasabi natin tungkol sa kanilang bullying ay false hype
13:39.6
Groundless accusations
13:41.6
So wala silang nagawang mali
13:42.6
Wala silang nagawang mali
13:43.6
Lahat ng ginagawa nila tama tayong mali
13:45.6
At ang mali natin mga kamets is
13:47.6
We are resupplying our own people inside our own backyard
13:52.6
Alright, again again
13:54.6
Ayong insyo ko sa 2nd Dimensional is a low tide elevation
13:57.6
Per Arbitral Tribunal Award of 2016
14:00.6
Which was under the aegis of the United Nation Convention Law of the Sea
14:04.6
Under Article 287 Annex 7
14:06.6
And it was never up to China to determine the jurisdictional issue
14:09.6
It was up to the court to determine whether this was a jurisdictional issue
14:12.6
And the jurisdictional issue was
14:14.6
Firmly resolved when the court made it clear
14:17.6
That this was not about territorial disputes
14:19.6
But maritime disputes
14:22.6
And more importantly
14:23.6
This was about the determination of the nature of disputed land features
14:27.6
So those legal nuances are very very important
14:33.6
So huwag kayong magpautoto dun sa mga biglang West Philippine Sea expert na
14:40.6
Diba yung si Atty. Poon ba yan?
14:43.6
Yung mga magagaling dyan
14:45.6
Yung mga biglang expert na
14:48.6
Ito ito ito ito ito ito
14:52.6
Despite everything I've said a while ago
14:53.6
Which of course are
14:54.6
All are based on facts
14:56.6
And based on very
14:58.6
Nuance understanding of history
15:00.6
Let me tell you one thing
15:01.6
Kasi kanina iniisip ko talaga
15:07.6
Bakit ang Chinese sobrang overreact
15:10.6
Of course when you talk about China
15:11.6
We're not talking about Chinese people
15:12.6
Or fantastic people
15:13.6
We have nothing against Chinese people
15:15.6
They're fantastic people
15:16.6
People with Chinese background
15:17.6
Obviously not against our fellow
15:19.6
Brothers and sisters who are
15:24.6
We're talking about just certain policies of the Communist Party in China
15:28.6
They have some policies which internationally are kinda okay
15:31.6
Because they balance out also the bullying from the West
15:33.6
I have no problem with some of them
15:35.6
But I have a serious problem with the West Philippine Sea claim
15:38.6
And the bullying situation in the West Philippine Sea
15:40.6
So I always you know
15:42.6
We make a distinction here
15:43.6
Case to case basis
15:44.6
But going back to this
15:45.6
And obviously you still don't wanna live in a totalitarian system
15:52.6
Going back to this
15:54.6
Nung iniisip ko ng mabuti ito
15:57.6
In a way naintindihan ko bakit ganyan yung reaction ng China eh
16:02.6
There is both a tactical operational aspect to this
16:07.6
There is also a psychological and strategical aspect to this
16:13.6
So the tactical operational is kinda easy to grasp
16:18.6
Ganito ang reaction ng China dahil ayaw nila na ang Pilipinas ay magpalakas ng kanyang position dyan sa West Philippine Sea
16:27.6
Because they rather have the Philippines and other rival claimant states in the area
16:32.6
They would rather have them remain in a weak position
16:36.6
Because the more they remain in a weak position
16:40.6
Code of conduct negotiations
16:41.6
All that blah blah blah
16:42.6
Just essentially enables, facilitates and legitimizes the situation
16:47.6
So China always wants to have that tactical operational superiority over other countries
16:52.6
So when Vietnam for instance tries to also do its own mini version of militarization
16:57.6
Or Malaysia tries to push ahead with unilateral exploration
17:03.6
That still doesn't answer you the other question
17:06.6
Bakit parang yung reaction ng China sa Pilipinas
17:09.6
Ay medyo mas bully
17:12.6
Kaysa yung reaction nila sa ginawa for instance ng Malaysia
17:15.6
Which is to completely ignore China's repeated warnings and maritime Malaysia deployments to the South China Sea
17:25.6
When Malaysia, the Petronas, West Capella, yung oil drilling platform
17:31.6
Pushed ahead with unilateral exploration of oil and gas in the area
17:34.6
Ang ang basa ko dito is
17:36.6
Well partly it has to do with of course
17:38.6
Bilateral direct diplomacy that these countries have with China
17:41.6
But it also has to do something with the fact that bilateral diplomacy
17:46.6
In the Philippines has gone very wrong
17:50.6
And not under BBM
17:53.6
But actually under the former president
17:57.6
Yung isa sa pinakamalaking dahilan
17:59.6
If not, ito yung pinakamalaking dahilan
18:02.6
Na ganitong ka-OA
18:04.6
Eh tawagin natin yan na
18:05.6
Paka-OA yung response ng China sa atin
18:07.6
We're just doing what we have been doing for a long time
18:09.6
Which is just resupplying our troops there
18:11.6
My goodness, i-google nyo yan
18:13.6
Yung mga tropa natin dyan
18:15.6
Yung Sierra Madre na pinark natin dyan sa Ayung Insol
18:18.6
More than 20 years na po yan
18:19.6
Panon pa ni Arap yan
18:21.6
So bakit ngayon sobrang nag-overreact ng China?
18:24.6
Ang aking basa dito is
18:26.6
A lot of that is psychological
18:28.6
And a lot of that is
18:33.6
Yung isang bully dyan ay na-spoil
18:38.6
Nung dati nating presidente
18:40.6
Because it looks like
18:41.6
We have to yet confirm it
18:43.6
Yung nakaraan na presidente natin na
18:46.6
China will protect me, China
18:48.6
Yung mayor-president na Al Jetski there
18:50.6
And then nung naging presidenta
18:52.6
Biglang iba ng inip ng hangin
18:54.6
Yung make us a province of China
18:56.6
Pa-joke-joke na napaka-inappropriate
18:58.6
Or was it really a joke?
19:00.6
Yung presidente na yan
19:01.6
Dahil sa mga ginawa niyang ganyan
19:03.6
Dahil sa kanyang subservience
19:04.6
Dahil sa kanyang napaka-slavish na rhetoric
19:07.6
Dahil sa kanyang passivity
19:09.6
In face of repeated aggressions throughout those years
19:13.6
Parang ang nangyari dyan is
19:15.6
Nasanay yung isang bully dyan
19:17.6
Now whenever they do any bullying thing
19:19.6
There will be no significant reaction or resistance
19:22.6
So nasanay sila Sudan
19:24.6
And in fact, naalala ko
19:26.6
Nung 2020 ate yan diba
19:28.6
Nung daming nag-alit na naman sa China
19:30.6
Dahil sa nangyari sa Whitsun Reef
19:32.6
At sa Juan Felipe Reef
19:33.6
Even si Manny Pacquiao ay nag-alit nun diba
19:36.6
You have a situation whereby
19:39.6
You have a situation whereby
19:41.6
The president will take the side of China
19:44.6
So even when you have senators
19:46.6
Civil society groups
19:49.6
Or whoever who has some basic sense of patriotism
19:51.6
Comes out and criticizes China
19:53.6
You have a president who immediately will take the other side
19:56.6
So you had this situation before mga kameta
20:02.6
This was essentially the status quo
20:04.6
For year after year after year after year
20:08.6
Yung isang bully dyan sa West Philippine Sea
20:10.6
Sa ganyan kalakaran sa Manila
20:13.6
At nag-expect sila
20:15.6
Na tuloy-tuloy yung kanilang ligaya
20:17.6
After the 2022 elections
20:19.6
Dahil natalo si Lenny
20:23.6
Natalo si Pacquiao
20:24.6
Lahat ng mga matapang
20:26.6
Sa West Philippine Sea issue
20:28.6
Ay natalo last year in last year's elections
20:32.6
Tignan yung mga statements ng presidential candidates last year
20:34.6
Matapang ang statements ni Lacson
20:36.6
Matapang ang statements ni Pacquiao
20:38.6
Matapang yung statements ni Lenny Robredo
20:41.6
Ang hindi lang matapang na statements laban sa China
20:44.6
With some slight exception
20:46.6
Dahil dun sa SMNI debate
20:48.6
Biglang may konting ano
20:51.6
Si BBM lang yung pinaka mabait
20:53.6
Yung mga statements niya okul sa China
20:54.6
And very skeptical towards the United States
20:58.6
What China did not realize is that
21:00.6
Ibang presidential elections
21:02.6
At iba yung real governance
21:07.6
And once you become president
21:09.6
Things could change
21:10.6
But more importantly
21:12.6
Is that the Marcoses are not the same as Dutertes
21:17.6
BBM doesn't think like Degong
21:19.6
And BBM doesn't think like Sara
21:21.6
BBM thinks more like his father
21:24.6
When it comes to the West Philippine Sea issue
21:25.6
And let's not forget
21:26.6
Marcos Senior was extremely assertive
21:28.6
Pagdating sa West Philippine Sea issue
21:29.6
He was the Filipino President
21:34.6
We have those facilities
21:36.6
Yung mga pasilidad na nakita natin sa pag-asa
21:40.6
Panon ni Marcos yan
21:42.6
At yung panon ni Marcos
21:44.6
Doon tayo nagkaroon ng international efforts
21:47.6
Kung saan nagsama-sama yung mga archipelagic states
21:51.6
In the Indo-Pacific
21:53.6
Para magkaroon ng common front
21:55.6
Doon sa negotiations of United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea
21:58.6
So nagkaroon ng meeting ng mga leaders
22:04.6
From across the region ng smaller nations
22:07.6
Marcos Senior brought them together
22:09.6
And together they negotiated
22:11.6
For a final version of the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea
22:14.6
Kung saan pinoprotektaan yung interest
22:16.6
Ng mga mas maliliit at mas mahirap na bansa
22:19.6
So I have serious issues with the human rights record
22:22.6
The economic record of the dictatorship
22:24.6
I think it was one of the most incompetent
22:26.6
Corrupt dictatorships anywhere on earth
22:28.6
At least yung ibang dictators
22:30.6
At least they made you know
22:31.6
Samsungs and LGs and all of that possible
22:33.6
Itong dictator neto wala tayong nakuha
22:35.6
Kundi mga utang at mga problematic stuff
22:37.6
And please if you have 20 years in power
22:39.6
Obviously you're gonna
22:40.6
Sana naman may mabuild ka naman
22:42.6
So anyway going back to this
22:44.6
But sa West Philippines is a foreign policy
22:47.6
In fairness si Senior I think he got it
22:49.6
He had a basic understanding
22:51.6
What was strategically important for the Philippines
22:53.6
Now yung anak niya
22:55.6
I may have disagreements with you on certain issues
22:57.6
On domestic issues
22:59.6
We can go on and on right
23:02.6
I think pagdating sa foreign policy
23:04.6
Yung sensibility niya ay mas malapit sa kanyang ama
23:06.6
And we confirmed this in multiple interviews that we had
23:09.6
With Ambassador Ramaldez
23:11.6
Two interviews at least
23:12.6
Earlier this year
23:13.6
And Ambassador Ramaldez of course is not just our ambassador to the United States
23:16.6
He's not just a veteran journalist
23:18.6
He's also a close cousin of President Marcos Jr.
23:21.6
And he's a very close advisor of President Marcos Jr.
23:23.6
So he knows what he's talking about
23:28.6
Dahil itong China ay hindi na ikinig sa mga experts na katulad natin
23:32.6
Because I've been saying this for quite some time
23:36.6
Sinulat ko yan last year June pa lang sabi ko
23:38.6
BBM will be different from Duterte
23:40.6
He'll be more like his father than Tatay Digong
23:43.6
I made it absolutely clear
23:46.6
Mukhang hindi yan ang binabasa ng embahada ng isang kaibigan natin dyan
23:49.6
Ang binabasa nila yung mga makapili
23:51.6
Mga makapili analyst na walang publication na relevant
23:55.6
Walang na-publish na any relevant peer-reviewed publication
23:59.6
Wala silang publication ng any legit book
24:02.6
Wala silang any expertise established
24:05.6
Wala mga ano essentially mga
24:09.6
So itong makapili club na yan
24:11.6
Unfortunately mukhang sila lang pinapakinggan ng isang embahada dyan
24:14.6
Kaya they were misled
24:15.6
To think first that BBM would be more like Digong
24:18.6
And B they thought that even if that were not to be the case
24:21.6
Dahil andun si Tatay Digong pwede i-pressure si BBM ng bla bla bla
24:26.6
Yan kasi hindi sila nakikinig sa mga eksperto na legit
24:32.6
Libre naman magbasa ng mga sinisulat natin
24:34.6
You don't have to meet us
24:35.6
Because I'm not interested too
24:37.6
But my point is that they're free to read
24:39.6
More legit analysts and experts
24:41.6
Who actually know what they're talking about
24:42.6
And correctly predicted the flow of things
24:46.6
We correctly predicted
24:48.6
Almost exactly predicted
24:49.6
If you go to my speech in the National University of Singapore
24:55.6
I almost exactly predicted
24:57.6
What will be the Philippines position
25:01.6
As the ASEAN Chair in 2017
25:03.6
I said we will downplay the South China issue
25:05.6
We'll overplay issues like
25:09.6
Terrorism also because of Marawi
25:10.6
And that's exactly what happened
25:11.6
And so on and so forth
25:12.6
And I said when Duterte will come
25:13.6
He'll try to cancel joint patrols with the US
25:15.6
He'll try to reconfigure yung Balikatan Excerpt
25:19.6
And that's exactly what he did in his first year in office
25:22.6
Medyo gets na gets na
25:24.6
All my writings are out there
25:25.6
You can go and check it yourself
25:28.6
You can also check
25:29.6
Yung podcast ko with my former colleague
25:32.6
This is interesting
25:35.6
So I had a podcast with Howie Severino
25:39.6
Right after the elections
25:41.6
And it's incredible
25:47.6
Ang title po niya is
25:48.6
What to expect under the second Marcos administration
25:50.6
According to Richard Heydarian
25:54.6
Marcos wants to be like his dad
25:55.6
In the sense that he wants to have an A-list cabinet
25:57.6
Where he can assemble that is another question
26:00.6
So I look forward to this again
26:02.6
Ang dapat na tingnan natin
26:06.6
I heard Gibo could be considered
26:07.6
After one year lapsed yung restriction
26:09.6
Maybe Lorenzano could
26:12.6
That's what happened
26:13.6
Gibo became the DND after one year
26:14.6
When nag lapsing restriction din
26:16.6
Losing candidates
26:17.6
I expected the top sensitive positions to go
26:23.6
Marcos game's plan is to show a new face
26:25.6
Good face to the world
26:26.6
And try to go on charm offensives
26:27.6
I won't be surprised if he'll try to visit Brussels
26:30.6
For the Asia Europe Summit
26:33.6
That will be his debut
26:35.6
Kung pakinggan niyo yung injury ko with
26:39.6
You're not gonna get a Duterte 2.0
26:42.6
Marcos who tries to win back the West
26:45.6
Rehabilitate their name
26:47.6
And along the way
26:48.6
Also adopt a much more
26:50.6
Much more palatable position in the West Philippine Sea
26:56.6
That's exactly what's happening
26:58.6
That's exactly what's happening
27:00.6
I think a big part of what we're seeing right now is
27:02.6
Yung China nasa denial phase pa rin sila
27:05.6
Hindi nila matanggap
27:06.6
Na etong presidente na natin ngayon
27:08.6
Hindi katulad nung dating presidente
27:11.6
And they're having a hard time accepting the fact that
27:14.6
Actually this is not about Marcos per se
27:16.6
Any decent self-respecting
27:18.6
And I'll be very honest about it
27:20.6
Patriotic Philippine president
27:23.6
Will make sure that we do the minimums
27:26.6
The very minimums
27:27.6
And this is yung mga minimums na pwede natin gawin sa West Philippine Sea
27:30.6
Yung constant resupply mission
27:32.6
Diyan sa yung insol
27:33.6
And eventually fortify our position in the area
27:36.6
Para solid yung presence natin dyan literally and figuratively
27:41.6
So this is not about BBM being a great president per se
27:45.6
This is about BBM doing the common sensible thing
27:49.6
A survey just came out that said
27:51.6
Majority of Filipinas actually support the current course of action
27:55.6
Yung mga makapili club
27:56.6
Kamusta naman kayo dyan?
27:57.6
Medyo galingan nyo naman ng konti
28:00.6
3% na lang yata ang support nyo
28:04.6
Ang point ko dito is
28:06.6
By the way may statement na ba mga Dutertes?
28:08.6
Si VP sa nangyari sa West Philippine Sea
28:11.6
Patapos na po ang taon
28:15.6
Nasaan na po yung statements?
28:17.6
Okay anyway going back to this
28:18.6
Ito na kasi mga kameta
28:20.6
Ito lang, ito lang, ito lang
28:21.6
So really this is my read
28:24.6
So just to simplify this
28:25.6
Just to be super simple and simplify this
28:37.6
Okay just to simplify this mga kameta
28:40.6
I think a big reason why China is so OA
28:43.6
And overreacting dyan sa West Philippine Sea
28:45.6
Is not only because they want to intimidate us
28:47.6
And they want to dissuade us
28:49.6
From pushing ahead with further expansion of enhanced defense cooperation agreement
28:54.6
It's not only about us
28:55.6
Not granting the Americans more access to bases close to Taiwan
28:59.6
Of course this is very important for China
29:01.6
This is not only about them trying to also intimidate
29:04.6
Other ASEAN countries from supporting us
29:06.6
And standing shoulder to shoulder with us
29:08.6
And expressing solidarity
29:10.6
This is not only about signaling to other ASEAN countries that
29:13.6
Hey you want to think twice before bringing in other powers
29:16.6
To push back against us
29:17.6
And that we want to just deal with us one by one
29:20.6
If you're the big guy
29:21.6
You always want to deal with other countries one by one
29:23.6
You don't want them to unify or get help from elsewhere
29:26.6
Because you don't want a level playing field
29:28.6
I think all of those things are somehow a factor
29:31.6
But I think the biggest factor here
29:33.6
And the most underappreciated factor is very psychological
29:36.6
For almost six years
29:38.6
China had someone like Rodrigo Duterte
29:40.6
In power in the Philippines
29:41.6
This was a president that consistently undermined our peace
29:46.6
And undermined our position in the West Philippine Sea
29:50.6
And in a way almost trashed
29:52.6
Our own arbitration victory in 2016
29:54.6
Never used it as a leverage
29:56.6
Because this is about diplomacy and strategy
29:57.6
It's all about leverage
29:58.6
Of course China was never going to accept 100%
30:00.6
But you could have used it as a leverage
30:02.6
This is the president that undermined our position
30:04.6
By bashing our traditional allies
30:06.6
While we didn't have much of defensive capabilities of our own
30:09.6
This is the president that year after year after year
30:12.6
Would make jokes about us being province of China
30:14.6
Jokes about his jet ski
30:19.6
He would say that we should be meek and humble and all of that
30:22.6
So this is the problem
30:24.6
That a bully in the West Philippine Sea
30:27.6
Is used to be this kind of leader in the Philippines
30:31.6
The Philippine people
30:34.6
Someone like Pacquiao would come out and say
30:35.6
Hey, that's wrong
30:37.6
Eh, China said that
30:39.6
That's where Digong is
30:40.6
We'll defend that, right?
30:42.6
When Genver was dismissed
30:44.6
In the Red Bank-Recto Bank
30:46.6
What did the president do?
30:47.6
He essentially pirated the line of the
30:49.6
Not our own officials
30:51.6
Not Secretary Lorenzana
30:52.6
Not anyone who knew what was happening on the ground
30:55.6
Which is, you know
30:57.6
A suspected Chinese militia just ramming into a Filipino vessel
31:00.6
In an area which falls within our sovereign rights
31:06.6
They were used to this kind of president
31:08.6
This kind of attitude
31:10.6
And this kind of attitude
31:12.6
In the Philippines
31:13.6
So now that we finally have a president
31:14.6
Who's doing the basics
31:15.6
The common sensible thing you expect from any self-respecting patriotic dignified president
31:21.6
Parang hindi nila matanggap yan
31:23.6
So they're still in that denial phase
31:25.6
And while they're in that denial phase
31:27.6
They're lashing out
31:28.6
And they're trying to silence us
31:29.6
And they're trying to bully us
31:31.6
But the problem is that the more they do that
31:33.6
The more they're gonna act immature
31:35.6
And they're gonna act in this whiplash approach
31:38.6
They're actually setting the stage
31:40.6
For tensions in the region
31:42.6
So the provocation and bullying and intimidation
31:44.6
Is not for the far smaller, poorer country
31:46.6
Which is the Philippines
31:47.6
But it's clearly from the other side
31:49.6
But so long as that side doesn't have self-awareness
31:52.6
And so long as that side is not gonna rely on good analysis
31:55.6
So long as that side is gonna just rely on makapili experts
31:58.6
We're gonna walk into a very, very dangerous situation
32:02.6
A perilous situation
32:03.6
But gladly, the Philippines is not alone
32:06.6
On that note, thank you very much everyone
