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Ayan na, ayan na mga kameta. Kamusta kayo dyan?

I hope nakikita niyo ako. I hope yung internet natin is not as bad as usual.

Hindi pa rin tayo sa minamahal natin hometown. Lahat okay except yung internet medyo nowadays.

Eto na, eto na mga kameta. Eto na mga kameta.

Medyo na-leak na po yung copy ng Pulse Asia survey noong December for senatorial bids in 2025.

And exactly katulad ng pinag-usapan natin dun sa ating R&R show with Ronald Llamas.

Eto na, mukhang...

Malaking chance na at least tatlong kandidato galing sa totoong oposisyon na pwedeng pumasok sa Magic 12.

Should, of course, any of them, if not all of them, run for office next year.

Of course, before the end of this year, and dito na tayo 2024, dapat na mag-register ang mga kandidato for the race next year.

So more or less in few months from now, magsisimula yung totoong labanan.

At exactly katulad ng sinabi natin, the situation is not as hopeless.

People think.

But of course, it's not gonna be easy.

Now, before pupunta tayo dun sa Pulse Asia survey, alam ko narami nagmamahal sa Pulse Asia.

But let me tell you, mga kameta, especially mga ka-Google trends, ang Pulse Asia yung pinaka-hopeful na survey na nakita ko.

As far as chances for opposition is concerned dun sa 2025.

And again, ulitin natin, kasi kahapon nga, medyo nagkaroon ng put-out problema at sa connection.

I hope today is slightly better.

Ulitin natin na bakit mahalaga.

Ulitin natin itong usapin na bakit mahalaga na yung opposition.

I mean, even if it takes scrambling, sige lang, mag-scramble sila para lang makapasok sila dito sa Magic 12 in the Senate or any national position.

Anyway, kanina, meron tayong interview dun sa ating mother station, of course.

And of course, I was preparing for a very important set of questions.

Of course, we're talking about the ICC, we're talking about yung mga calculus ng unity, we're talking about the political landscape.

Pero mukhang medyo ang trending.

Kanina, itong awayan ng mga minamahal niyong vloggers.

Ito, parang ayoko na lang i-play ito.

Kaya na lang mag-play yan.

Ito, san ba, ilalagyan natin dito sa camera.

Grabe.

Sa landas namin isas, mga May, May 2016.

Tapos dire-direcho naman.

Tapos naisip ko, patundaan ko nun, nine years later, noong 2022 na.

At ako yun, mga bagdawin, Marso, Pebrero, Marso, February or March 2022.

Nag-message sa akin ng SAS.

Wala tanong nasan ako.

Nasa ano, yung skwelahan.

Ba, sa Shell, sa Shell.

Nasa Britain.

So, ano, after, ano, sabi ni SAS, uuwi daw siya ng Pilipinas, kasi daw wala nito siya residence visa doon.

Tapos sabi ko, ba't di ka na-renew?

Di ba nagtuturo siya sa Master?

Sabi ko, ba't di ka na-renew?

Eh, trip-tripan daw sa nakabayan, parang ganun.

Tapos ako naman, bilang kaibigan, sabi ko, hmm.

Eh, di sige, tulungan na lang, paano gagawin?

Tapos, alam niyo kasi,

eh,

Ayan, nag-lowbat na.

Kasi, ang kwento for the past nine years,

eh, naging babysitter ako ni SAS.

Yun ang bottom line, babysitter ni SAS.

Eh, di, gumawa yan ng page, mga, 20, 2016.

Bumawa ng page ng 2016.

Umuwi ng Pilipinas, ako susundo.

Walang titirahan sa bahay ko magtitira.

Walang paggasto sa akin nihingi.

Eh, tanda ko pa nga, eh, nung, nung magtapit-tuturo na yan sa Master.

Wala pa nga pabayad ng bahay yan, eh.

O, tapos,

sabi ko, sa akin naman, eh, kaibigan naman, eh, do'y mano.

Ang hindi ko makaintindihan,

sabi yan naman, eh, eh, may ama ka pala, tipi, may pera ka pala, ganyan.

Eh, totoo naman, may naiipon ako.

Totoo naman yun.

Sa panagin nyo, mapapauta ko ng 100,000 si SAS,

nung panahon na magkaibigan pa kami,

nung wala akong pera.

Sa, ikaw yun, sinong, ilang kaibigan nyo,

naka-uutakin nyo sa 100,000?

Oo.

Oo.

Oo.

Oo.

Oo.

Oo.

So, ano ibig sabihin ito?

Nung panahon na napapakinabangan,

ikaw, SAS,

nung panahon na napapakinabangan mo pa ako

at ta-uutangan mo pa ako ng 100,000,

walang isyo sa'yo na may pera ako.

Pero,

nung naghiwalay na tayo ng landas,

siguro, di man ako napapakinabangan,

bigla, naging isyo na.

Naging isyo na.

Ano ba ito, yun naman ito, great lang ba, ano lang, lakot lang eh, alright, tapos, ano, ano ba ito, over the years eh, tipi-tipi, ganyan, tapos mga bandang 20, nung pandemic na, eh di syempre, petics lahat, sabi ko, sige, makapag-aral nga ako,

nag-uusapan namin ni Sas yun eh, sabi ko, sabi, actually, ang unang nag-float sa akin na mag-aral sa Europe, si Sas, ang sabi niya, alam mo ba, RJ, ang dali-daling, ano, ang dali-daling kumuha ng scholarship dito sa Europe, ganyan, mag-aral ka dito, kahit matandaan naman dito, pinag, ano, okay lang mag-aral, ganyan, tapos, sabi ko, ano, eh, makunat ako, kasi nga guys, ganito,

hindi ko galing.

Hindi ko nag-uusap ng pera.

Gets nyo?

Pa'ki eh.

Mas maganda pa yung, ano, yung may kaya,

tapos tahinik lang. Eh, gano'n lang naman na.

Okay, anyway guys,

bukang, eto, eto, balikan natin ito.

Sorry, ina- subtitle ko lang dito.

Wala tayong, ano eh, wala tayong

mga, um,

dalawang mga OBS

and all. But anyways, bukang

medyo uminit-unit itong

away ng mga ex

same camp DDS people,

barang,

baka, wala tayong, wala tayong mga uri nilang.

But, you know, as far as I'm concerned, I mean, last year pa lang nakita natin yan eh.

Especially nung time na si BBM ay nag-push for expansion of the Enhanced Defense Cooperation Agreement.

Doon talaga nakakaalaman na yung mga dating same DDS camp.

Kasi nag-split na eh. And some of the big names, major bloggers nila ay talagang, eto na, talagang nag-all opposition mode doon sa ETCA.

Nag-all pro-China mode, nag-all pro-Duterte mode. But some of them, including this person na dating orgmate natin,

actually, as far as I know, nag-defend yung position ng administration pagdating sa ETCA.

And I think there was a time na nag-back and forth pa yung dalawa na yan na sinong may mas alam dito sa foreign policy.

Mga yung isa sabi na may access daw siya sa information, yung isa wala daw. Yung mga ganyan, mga ganyan, flex-flex na yan.

But anyway, I don't want to get into, you know, whatever of these people.

But ang sinasabi ko lang, actually, isang dahilan na matagal namin alam na magkakaroon talaga ng gulo dito sa UNITEAM

at hindi tatagal UNITEAM is because of itong hidwa na nakita natin sa pagitan ng mga big bloggers, major bloggers nila, right?

Blogger naman talaga. I mean, nothing more I can say about. I mean, di naman sila expert, di naman sila ano.

Anyway, so I'm not surprised na medyo nag-intensify na ito. So, yun lang.

For me, again, I know na parating may temptation na ang gusto ng tao ay magpa-popcorn na lang, just to have fun at the expense of these people having this meltdown and all of that.

Pero para sa akin, para sa akin mga kameta, you know, this is a golden opportunity for the opposition to get this act together. Real opposition.

Kasi ang nakikita natin na opposition ngayon, ito yung prodigong.

Ito yung side na hindi natutuwa sa direction ng ating bansa ngayon sa ilalim ni BBM.

Dahil sa kanilang palagay, si BBM ay mas malapit sa ang kanyang, hindi lang temperament, pero mas malapit yung kanyang polisiya doon sa mga liberals or yung mga Beto Noir, yung mga pinakalaban ng mga DDS, no?

Now, for me, of course, I see why people are having fun, people are enjoying picking up the popcorn, people are enjoying these people spilling the beans on each other.

I don't know how much true yung mga beans spilling nila, but whatever.

Um, para sa akin, how should I put it?

Um, I'm glad that actually maraming, maraming, maraming tao, katulad ni, for instance, sila Christian Esguerra or yung kaibigan natin si Chris Tan, among others, no, ay nagiging active na online, on YouTube, on social media.

So, hindi na ito yung traditional situation kung saan ang labanan ay mainstream journalist media na katulad natin and then pagdating sa social media sila yung superpowers.

And then, ano na lang, magkakalaman na.

No, ngayon, malakas na rin yung mga progressives, malakas na rin yung mga legit journalists, legit experts na meron na rin silang sariling mga YouTube channels, meron na silang sariling mga social media platforms, meron na silang sariling mga fanbase, ayan, mga fax, faxnatics bang tawag din.

O, yung mga gano'n, or mga kameta, of course, for that matter, diba?

Alam naman, number one lang naman tayo sa political podcast, yung gano'n lang naman yung levels natin.

Sorry, Lord.

But you get what I'm saying, mga kameta.

So, I see some good signs here.

I see some green shoots here.

Kung saan, medyo may mga marami sa atin, mga kababayan na may sense of critical thinking, may sense of, you know, we want politics based on evidence,

we want politics based on sanity, on reasonableness, on rationality, based on humanism.

On rights, no?

Lumalakas na online ngayon.

At kitang-kita ko yan, sa YouTube, sa social media, lumalaban na.

But, of course, hindi pwede hanggang dyan lang.

So, hindi pwede hanggang popcorn lang, number one.

Hindi lang pwede hanggang lumalaban lang sa social media.

At, of course, good naman na medyo patas na yung laban ngayon.

Para yung mga kababayan natin, meron silang options.

It's not about them either having cable news channel connection, or going to YouTube for free and watching some trashy people.

Talking about how Tata is the best president in the solar system.

Hindi na siya ganun.

So, ngayon, pwede libre. Punta ka sa YouTube, manot ka ng yung mga katulad natin.

And, malalaman yung mga kapal pa ka ng mga populist, strongman, etc.

And, at the same time, magkakaroon ka rin ng critical thinking.

Pagdating dun naman sa kakulangan ng ibang presidente, including mga liberals, reformists, progressives, etc.

At, pwede rin natin pag-usapan ano yung mga kailangan mangyari para mag-move forward yung ating democracy in the right direction.

Hindi lang real change, but real good.

May real change naman kay Tatay Digon, except for the worst.

So, we want real good change.

Now, speaking of real good change, kailangan din na magkakaroon ng leveling dun sa actual state institutions.

Especially sa national level.

Especially sa national level.

And, especially sa senado.

Mahalaga kasi yung mga senado.

So, katulad ng pinag-usapan natin kahapon, mga kameta.

Of course, pasensya na, medyo connection and all has not been so good.

So, I'm just trying to alternate between different sides.

To get the best connection possible.

Na, ito yung sinabi ko eh.

Na, yes, I understand kung may mga ibang nagsasabi na perhaps 2025 is too early.

Na, sa daming talo ng opposition, real opposition, progressive liberal opposition, 2016, si Lenny lang naman talagang stellar victory, 2019, wala.

And then, 2022, si Riza Intiveros lang nakapasok talaga from real opposition dun sa national level election.

So, after three bruising defeats.

Somewhere thinking maybe.

It's time for really deep soul searching.

And, perhaps, realistically, we have to look at 2028.

Pero ang argument ko dito is, baka hindi na darating yung 2028 elections in the sense that we're expecting it.

Because 2025 pa lang, pwede ma-determine yung future ng ating political system should the pro-Marcos camp push ahead with constitutional change altogether.

That's a very, very big possibility.

Na kung sobrang big time yung panalo ng pro-BBM camp.

And, my genuineness.

Yung in-concern sila na pwede manalo mga Dutertes in 2028 pagdating sa presidency.

Then, baka ipipreempt na nila yan.

And, they'll push for constitutional change as early as 2025 right after elections.

And, they may have enough number to do that.

So, that's exactly where kailangan mo na may opposition.

You need people from the opposition to be there in the room to have a say.

And, to have a seat at the table.

Mahalagayon.

To have a seat at the table is very, very important for the opposition.

Because, otherwise, they could be completely boxed out.

Not only from the drama of Duterte versus Marcos and the conflagration of the UNI team.

But, potentially, makakaroon ng boxing out of the political landscape for the foreseeable future.

If makakaroon ng constitutional change.

And, in the process of taking out the Dutertes or preventing them from coming back 2028.

Baka completely ma-engineering isang bagong saligang batas.

Isang new constitutional order kung saan there's really limited space for real progressive liberal opposition.

Now, speaking of all of this.

In fairness naman, may mga green shoots.

So, kahapon, pinag-usapan natin yung OCTA survey.

And, before that, of course, pinag-usapan din natin yung Publicos Asia survey.

You also had snippets of yung interview natin sa CNN Philippines the other day.

So, pag tinigdan yung mga survey na yan, quote-unquote surveys na yan.

You know, you're gonna be a little bit concerned.

Because, parang si Lenny lang parang may chance doon.

At, even Lenny is not within even the striking distance.

Doon sa mga surveys na kita.

And then, si Tatay Digong daw ang number one doon sa isang survey.

Very credible, diba?

But, eto.

From the copy that we saw from Pulse Asia.

Gusto ko i-share sa inyo yan.

Kasi, pinag-usapan namin ni...

I think, first, it was, in fairness, Ronald de Amas who mentioned it.

And, he said, it gives you some room for optimism.

And then, ngayon, it's also circulating online.

Kasi, commissioned yata survey ito.

So, hindi siya for public.

Eto.

So, eto.

Mga kameta, no?

Kung titignan nyo dito.

Right?

Kung titignan nyo dito.

All right.

Ipo-post.

So, obviously, again, number one si Erwin Tulfo.

Sabi ko, yun yung consistent na pattern na nakita natin sa lahat ng surveys.

Isa pa naman Tulfo ang in the lead.

And then, you have, you know, usual suspects like, you know, yung mga artista, celebrity, politikos like

Tito Soto.

Hindi eto Tito Boy Soto.

Vicente Tito Soto.

So, and then, of course, you have...

You have the other versions, the younger version of that, like Isko Moreno.

Nasa top four, top five na rin.

And then, you have yung mga Digong team.

Team Digong, no?

Bongo, De La Rosa, Bato, Aimee.

Yung mga ganyan.

Ganyan tipo.

Then, you have, of course, again, other kind of celebrities like Pacquiao.

But this is where things get interesting.

In fairness, si Willie Ong mukhang mataas ng chance niya na baka makapasok na siya sa etong election cycle na to.

Because he did pretty decent.

In the former Senate races, he didn't do as well sa vice presidential race.

Mahabang usapan niya.

We can get into that.

Madrama din yan.

But it looks like Willie Ong may finally have the chance to get into the Senate should he run for 2025.

Mukhang medyo may pakarizong tibero siya.

Baka mga third time lucky siya, di ba?

Although previously, of course, he ran for vice presidency.

But this is where things get interesting.

Pasok dun sa Sergal, sa Magic 12, Potential Magic 12,

si Ba Makino,

si Kiko Pangilina,

and in fact, the two rank even higher than Lenny Rubredo.

But all of them are within the range of 10 to 21 or 11 to 27.

So theoretically, pasok silang tatlo.

Or may good chance sila na makapasok sa top 12 if ever they run for office.

And then medyo hirap si Francis Tolentino.

And then si Guido Chodor is kind of there gnawing at the edges.

And then andun din si Richard Gordon.

And then Marrojas Trillanes,

Tunasan,

and then the rest, no?

So if you look at it,

exactly gato rin ang sinabi natin dun sa previous vlog.

It looks like at least there's three opposition, real opposition.

Too many politicians in our political system.

People are honest.

People are incorruptible.

I think both Corazon Aquino and Pinoy,

anyone who has a reasonable state of mind

would know that that's the case.

And in fairness, I think as far as intention is also concerned,

both Pinoy and Corazon Aquino had very good intentions.

Now we can talk about dun sa mga kakulangan nila.

We had separate vlogs on that,

on things that Corazon Aquino did not do

when she could have pushed for more radical transformative change under the Constitution.

She could have pushed for debt cancellation, etc.

Partial debt cancellation,

obvious debt cancellation.

Marami din tayo sinabi about mamasapano,

crisis handling of that,

post-crisis management,

about Hayaan Yolanda,

even about the economy in the West Philippine Sea.

I had some reservations.

I had some reservations with the Aquino administration.

But having said all of those things,

I think Nino Aquino,

the sacrifice he made for the Philippines,

the good intentions

and the kind of clean governance

that both Corazon Aquino and Pinoy represented,

despite all of their shortcomings,

many, many shortcomings

in terms of bringing about social justice

and inclusive development,

I think you need someone from the Aquino clan

to come out and fight for that name.

And perhaps the best person to do that is Bam Aquino.

He's the fourth, right?

Benigno Aquino the fourth or something like that.

I think he's the right guy.

Very smart person.

Again, I had some concerns

about the campaign of Lenny last year,

but from some very good friends of mine

who know Bam Aquino very well.

I never had the privilege of meeting him

or exchange notes with him.

But from some people who actually meet him,

have met him,

talk to him,

they always tell me he's actually

the very smart, reasonable guy.

And yes, he was the campaign manager of Lenny and all,

but actually he was always the one

who was thinking ahead

and thinking outside the box.

But for some reason, of course,

he's not always the one

who's always thinking ahead of time

or outside the box thinking

or approach

because there were other people

to take into consideration.

I'm sure this is a hardcore dilawang.

Whatever.

You can talk about that.

Now, going back to this.

So I think having someone as young

and as successful

and as smart as Bam Aquino

and someone with that name,

coming back to the Senate

would be something very, very important.

And I think the Aquino name

has to be done justice to.

Now, I think there was a lot of,

how should I put it?

I mean, over-valorization of Aquino.

It's like, you know,

I don't want to go down that,

you know what I'm talking about, right?

Parang perfect sila and all of that,

which was not true, obviously.

But at the same time,

I think there was an over-correction of that.

Yung pambabastos,

all the fake news, disinformation,

all of the horrible things said about Ninoy

and Aquino and all of that.

So you need to balance that.

You need to correct that.

You need to provide a proper,

you have to carry forward your legacy.

Aba ng opposition,

yung totoong opposition.

For, for opposition.

Term limited?

Okay, anyway.

Mukhang malabo, di ba?

Anyway, so parang Riza na lang.

And so if the pro-BBM camp, right?

I know, marami sa inyong galit na galit

sa mga Dutertes,

parang you'd rather have the BBM camp win.

But if the BBM camp completely dominates

the 2025 elections, right?

And then they go for a constitutional change.

And then si Riza lang nandun na

single opposition,

good luck na lang, di ba?

Good luck na lang.

So, hindi lang mababox out

ang totoong opposition diyan.

Baka mabobox out din

yung mga, you know,

more progressive principles and values

that you want to see in our,

in our constitution.

So, yun po yung konteksto

ng ating conversation today.

Anyway, again, sorry.

The internet is horrible.

Nadisconnect na naman ako dito sa kabila.

Nakaka-distract kasi yan.

Kasi you're building momentum.

You're trying to say something nice

and then the internet cuts out.

But anyway.

Okay, anyway.

All I'm saying here is that

it's not gonna be easy.

Maraming mga obstacles.

Malakas ang kalaban.

Maraming re-electionists.

I think, agree ako kay Ronald na

potentially ito yung pinakamahirap

ng Senate race

in recent memory.

Andaming malalakas na re-electionists.

At on the surface,

it looks like labanan ito ng

essentially pro-Digon camp

and then the more Marcos leaning

or totally pro-Marcos camp.

Parang ganun ng labanan.

But as I said,

there are at least three people

from the real opposition

who have a pretty good chance

of making it to Magic 12.

And I won't be surprised.

Let's say Lenny doesn't

run.

But Kiko runs.

Bama Kino runs.

And then siguro Lenny

could rally behind

another candidate

like Chelle Jokno.

I don't know.

Mauro Haas.

Or someone

with liberal

or progressive credentials.

I don't know.

Ralph Recto.

Someone like that.

Or Frank Rilon.

So they need to get

at least two or three people in.

Para hindi lang nang iisa si Lisa.

At hindi ma-totally

box out ang opposition.

And then siguro Lenny can run

for governor

or she can run for congressman.

Or mayor.

Doon sa kailang

bailiwick.

And then she can become

also a rallying cry

at the LG level.

At the executive level.

For the real opposition.

Yun lang sinasabi natin.

Alright?

Thank you very much mga kameta.

So actually things are not

as hopeless as people think

they are.

And at the same time also

huwag naman kayo masyadong

dismissive sa lahat ng surveys.

In fact,

Pulse Asia is the most hopeful survey

as far as chances of the opposition

is concerned.

Kung kinumparam mo yan

doon sa mga less established ones

na pinag-usapan natin

in previous vlogs.

The Pulse Asia one

is the most hopeful one.

And I have

I don't have many reasons

to doubt this one.

I think this is a legit one.

This copy that we saw.

And I'll post it down there

for you guys to see it on your own.

And again,

all I'm saying here is that

it's a fight

that is not only worth fighting

it should be fought.

Because there's a very big chance

that there'll be push

for constitutional change

after 2025.

For two reasons.

A, because the pro-BBM camp

may do really quite well

so they may have the numbers.

And B, because they may

decide to make sure

na hindi na makabalik

ang mga Duterte.

So they'll prevent

a 2028 scenario

whereby last time we checked

still,

Sarah Duterte

is the frontrunner

as far as presidential race

is concerned.

So, yeah, of course,

I see Tulfo as a strong alternative.

I'm not sure if Martin Romualdo

can really, you know,

match Sarah Duterte.

Things could change.

But, you know,

the pro-BBM camp

may say na

why should we even

take the risk, right?

We can just change the constitution,

go parliamentary,

and if someone like,

I don't know,

Martin Romualdo,

someone close to BBM

can become the prime minister.

And all you need for

that is to have

the biggest party,

biggest number of votes,

and boom,

everything will be nice.

So that's a very,

very big possibility, right?

I think more than

50% chance.

So you need to have

more than just

Riza there in the Senate.

That's what I'm saying.

All right?

And Lenny,

if she doesn't run,

she can still be

the leader of opposition

in some sense

if she's a major

LGU official

or a congresswoman

or, I mean,

a congresswoman

would be also nice,

I think, for Lenny.

She could also be

a major voice

sa lower house also.

Kind of a fiscalizer

on that.

All right.

Thank you very much,

Maho.

Kameta.

Again, pasensya na doon

sa mga nakakulong

connection problem dito

especially sa Facebook

at sa YouTube.

Medyo magandang

connection natin

kasi ginagamit ko

yung sabi kong 5G.

Hindi naman siya mura

pero sige lang.

Anyway,

thank you very much, guys.

And talk to you soon.

Maraming salamat.

And please continue

to support us,

watch us,

subscribe.

Subscribe to our channels.

Libre lang naman.

Subscribe,

follow,

subscribe din dito

sa YouTube channel

para maayos din natin

itong verification natin.

So,

the two other platforms

that I want to,

hopefully,

we can,

we can verify soon

are YouTube

and also TikTok

because I'm also thinking

of going TikTok live.

Alright?

Of course,

yung sa burner

for natin.

Alright?

So, I need to verify

those accounts

para legit talaga tayo.

So, we hope to

verify itong account

natin sa YouTube

so we have to meet

a certain threshold

and hopefully also

sa YouTube.

Yung other naman,

Instagram,

I don't know,

whatever,

yung 3-4 other platforms,

they're all verified anyway.

So, alam nyo na ako

naman talaga yan.

Legit naman talaga yan.

Alright?

Thank you very much.

God bless.

And,

talk to you soon.

Talk to you soon.