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Tayo sa political podcast, gano'n lang naman yung levels natin

But, sorry Lord

But you get what I'm saying mga kameta

So, I see

I see some good signs here

I see some green shoots here

Kung saan medyo may mga marami sa atin

Mga kababayan na may sense of critical thinking

May sense of, you know, we want politics based on evidence

We want politics based on sanity

On reasonableness

On rationality

Based on human rights

Lumalakas na online ngayon

At kitang-kita ko yan

Sa YouTube, sa social media, lumalaban na

But of course, hindi pwede hanggang dyan lang

So, hindi pwede hanggang popcorn lang, number one

Hindi lang pwede hanggang lumalaban lang sa social media

Of course, good naman na medyo patas na yung laban ngayon

Para yung mga kababayan natin

Meron silang options

It's not about them either having

Cable news channel connection

Or going to YouTube for free

And watching some trashy people

Talking about how Tata is the best president in the solar system

Hindi na siya ganun

So ngayon, pwede libre

Punta ka sa YouTube

Manot ka ng yung mga katulad natin

And malalaman mo mga kapal pa ka

Ng mga populist, strongman, etc

And at the same time

Magkakaroon ka rin ng critical thinking

Pagdating dun naman sa kakulangan

Ng ibang presidente

Including mga liberals, reformists, progressives, etc

At pwede rin natin pag-usapan

Anong mga kailangan mangyari

Para mag-move forward yung ating democracy

In the right direction

Hindi lang real change

But real good change

May real change naman kay Tatay D. Goy

Except for the worst

So we want real good change

Now, speaking of real good change

Kailangan din na magkakaroon ng leveling

Dun sa actual state institutions

Especially sa national level

Especially sa national level

And especially sa senado

Mahalaga kasi yung mga senado

So, katulad ng pinag-usapan natin kahapon

Mga kameta

Of course, pasensya na

Medyo connection and all has not been so good

So, I'm just trying to alternate between different sides

To get the best connection possible

Ito yung sinabi ko eh

Yes, I understand

Kung may mga ibang nagsasabi

Na perhaps

2025 is too early

Na sa daming talo ng opposition

Real opposition

Progressive liberal opposition

2016

Si Lenny lang naman talagang stellar victory

2019

Wala

And then 2022

Si Riza Intiveros

Lang nakapasok talaga from real opposition

Dun sa national level election

So, after three bruising defeats

Some are thinking maybe it's time for really deep soul searching

And perhaps realistically we have to look at 2028

Pero ang argument ko dito is

Baka hindi na

Baka hindi na darating yung 2028 elections

In the sense that we're expecting it

Because 2025 pa lang

Pwede ma-determine yung

Future ng ating political system

Should the pro-Marcos camp push ahead

With constitutional change altogether

That's a very very big possibility

Na kung sobrang big time yung panalo

Ng pro-BBM camp

And may genuine concern sila

Na pwede manalo mga Dutertes in 2028

Pagdating sa presidency

Then baka ipipreemptan nila yan

And they'll push for constitutional change

As early as 2025

Right after elections

And they may have enough number to do that

So that's exactly where kailangan mo na may opposition

You need people from the opposition

To be there in the room

To have a say

And to have a seat at the table

So, that's exactly where kailangan mo na may opposition

You need people from the opposition

Mahalagayon

To have a seat at the table

Is very very important for the opposition

Because otherwise

They could be completely boxed out

Not only from the drama

Of Duterte versus Marcos

And the conflagration

Of the UNI team

But potentially

Makakaroon ng boxing out

Out of the political landscape

For the foreseeable future

If makakaroon ng constitutional change

You know

And in the process of

Taking out the Dutertes

Or preventing them from going back 2028

Baka completely ma-engineering

Isang bagong saligang batas

Isang new constitutional order

Kung saan

There's really limited space

For real progressive liberal opposition

Now, speaking of all of this

In fairness naman may mga green shoots

So, kahapon

Pinag-usapan natin yung OCTA survey

And before that of course

Pinag-usapan din natin yung

Publicos Asia survey

You also had snippets

Of yung interview natin sa CNN Philippines

The other day

So, pag tinigdan yung mga survey na yan

Quote-unquote surveys na yan

You know

You're gonna be a little bit concerned

Because parang

For the people of the United States

You know

Si Lenny lang parang may chance doon

At even Lenny is not within

Even the striking distance

Doon sa mga surveys na kita natin

And then

Si Tatay Digong daw ang number one

Doon sa isang survey

Very credible

Diba?

But

But, eto

From the copy that we saw

From Pulse Asia

At gusto ko i-share sa inyo yan

Kasi pinag-usapan namin ni

I think first it was in fairness

Ronald de Amas who mentioned it

And he said

It gives you some room for optimism

And then ngayon

It's also circulating online

Kasi commissioned yata survey ito

So, hindi siya for public

Eto ah

So, eto mga kameta no

Kung titignan nyo dito

Right?

Kung titignan nyo dito

Alright, ipopost

So, obviously

Again, number one si Erwin Tulfo

Sabi ko, yun yung consistent

Na pattern na kita natin sa lahat ng surveys

Isa pa naman Tulfo ang in the lead

And then you have

You know, usual suspects like

You know, yung mga artista

Celebrity

Politicos

Like

Tito Soto

Hindi eto Tito Boy Soto

Vicente Tito Soto

And then of course

You have the

Other versions

The younger version of that

Like Isko Moreno

Nasa top 4, top 5 na rin

And then you have yung mga digong

The digong team

Team Digong

Bongo

De La Rosa

Bato

Aimee

Yung mga ganyan

Ganyan tipo

Then you have of course again

Other kind of celebrities

Like Pacquiao

But this is where things get interesting

In fairness

Si Willie Ong

Mukhang mataas ng chance niya

Na baka makapasok na siya

Sa etong election cycle na to

Because he did pretty decent

In the former Senate races

He didn't do as well

Sa vice presidential race

Mahabang usapan niya

We can get into that

Madrama din yan

But it looks like

Willie Ong may finally have the chance

To get into the Senate

Should he run for 2025

Mukhang

Medyo may pakarizong tibero siya

Baka mga third time lucky siya

Diba

Although previously of course

He ran for vice presidency

But this is where things get interesting

Pasok dun sa Sergal

Sa Magic 12

Potential Magic 12

Si Bam Aquino

Si Kiko Pangilinan

And in fact the two rank even higher

Than Lenny Rubredo

But all of them are within the range of

10 to 21

Or 11 to 27

So theoretically

Pasok silang tatlo

Or may good chance sila

Na makapasok sa top 12

If ever they run for office

And then medyo hirap si Francis Tolentino

And then si Guido Chodor

Is kinda there

Gnowing at the edges

And then andun din si

Richard Gordon

Mar Rojas

Trillanes

Hunasan

And then the rest

So

If you look at it

Exactly katulad ang sinabi natin

Dun sa previous vlog

It looks like at least there's three

Opposition

Real opposition

Many politicians in our political system

People are honest

People who are incorruptible

I think both

Corazon Aquino and Pinoy

Anyone who has a reasonable

You know

State of mind

And then

Would know that that's the case

And in fairness

I think as far as intention

Is also concerned

Both Pinoy and Corazon Aquino

Had very good intentions

Now we can talk about

Dun sa mga kakulangan nila

We had separate

Vlogs on that

On things that

Corazon Aquino did not do

When she could have pushed

For more radical

Transformative change

Under the constitution

She could have pushed for

Debt cancellation

Etc

Partial debt cancellation

Audious debt cancellation

Marami din tayo sinabi about

Mama Sapano

Crisis

Handling of that

Post crisis management

And then

About Hayan Yolanda

Even about the economy

In the West Philippine Sea

I had some reservations

With the Aquino administration

But having said

All of those things

I think Nino Aquino

The sacrifice he made

For the Philippines

The good intentions

And the kind of

Clean governance

That both Corazon Aquino

And Pinoy represented

Despite all of their shortcomings

Many many shortcomings

In terms of bringing about

Social justice

And inclusive development

I think you need someone

From the Aquino clan

To come out

And fight for that name

And apparently

Perhaps the best person

To do that is

Bam Aquino

He's the fourth right?

Benigno Aquino the fourth

Or something like that

I think he's the right guy

Very smart person

Again I had some concerns

About the campaign of Lenny

Last year

But from some very good

Friends of mine

Who know Bam Aquino

Very well

I never had the privilege

Of meeting him

Or exchange notes with him

But from some people

Who actually meet him

Have met him

Talk to him

They always tell me

He's actually the very smart

Reasonable guy

And yes

He was the campaign manager

Of Lenny and all

But actually

He was always the one

Who was thinking ahead

And thinking outside the box

But for some reason

Of course

He's not always

The one who

Let's say

More ahead of time

Or outside the box

Thinking

Or approach

Because there were other people

To take into consideration

I'm sure

These are the hard-core

And whatever

You can talk about that

Now

Going back to this

So I think

Having someone as young

And as successful

And as smart

As Bam Aquino

And someone with that name

Coming back to the Senate

Would be something

Very very important

And I think

The Aquino name

Has to be done justice to

Now I think

There was a lot of

How should I put it

I mean

Overvalorization of Aquino

It's like

You know

I don't want to go down that

You know what I'm talking about

Right

Parang perfect sila

And all of that

Which was not true

Obviously

But at the same time

I think there was an overcorrection

Of that

Yung pambabastos

All the fake news

Disinformation

All of the horrible things

Said about Ninoy

And Aquino

And all of that

So you need to balance that

You need to correct that

You need to

To provide a

You know

Proper

You know

You have to carry forward

Yung legacy

Lumaban ng opposition

Yung totoong opposition

For

For opposition

Term limited

Okay

Anyway

Mukhang malabo

Diba anyway

So parang Riza na lang

And so if

If the pro-BBM camp

Right

I know

Marami sa inyong

Galit na galit sa

Duterte

Parang you rather have

The BBM camp win

But if the BBM camp

Completely dominates

The 2025 elections

Right

And then they go for

Constitutional change

And then si Riza lang

Nandun na

Single opposition

Good luck na lang

Diba

Good luck na lang

So

Hindi lang mabobox out

Ang totoong opposition dyan

Baka mabobox out din

Yung mga

You know

More progressive principles

And values that you want to see

In our

In our constitution

So yun po yung konteksto

Nang

Ating conversation today

Anyway

Again

Sorry

The internet is horrible

Nadisconnect na naman ako dito sa

Kabila

Nakaka-distract kasi yan

Kasi you're building momentum

You're trying to say something nice

And then the internet cuts out

But anyway

Okay

Anyway

All I'm saying here is that

It's not gonna be easy

Maraming mga obstacles

Malakas ang kalaban

Maraming re-electionists

I think

Agree ako kay Ronald na

Potentially ito yung

Pinakamahirap na Senate race

In recent memory

Andaming malalakas na re-electionists

At

On the surface

It looks like

Labanan ito ng

Essentially

Pro-Digon camp

And then the more

Marcos leaning

Or totally pro-Marcos camp

Parang ganun ng labanan

But as I said

They're at least

Three people from the real opposition

Who have a pretty good chance

Of making it to Magic 12

And I won't be surprised

Let's say Lenny doesn't run

But Kiko runs

Bama Kino runs

And then siguro Lenny

Could rally behind

Another candidate

Like Chell Jokno

I don't know

Mauro Haas

Or someone

With liberal or progressive credentials

I don't know

Ralph Recto

Someone like that

Or Frank Rilon

So they need to get

At least two or three people in

Para hindi lang nang isisilisa

Para hindi lang nang isisilisa

At hindi ma-totally

Boxed out ang opposition

And then siguro Lenny can run

For governor

Or she can run for congressman

Or mayor

Doon sa kailang

Bailey week

And then she can become

Also a rallying cry

At the LGU level

At the executive level

For the real opposition

Yun lang sinasabi natin

Alright

Thank you very much mga kameta

So actually things are not

As hopeless as people think

They are

And at the same time

Also wag naman

Kasi masyadong dismissive

Sa lahat ng service

In fact

POS Asia is the most hopeful survey

As far as chances

Of the opposition is concerned

Kung kinumpara mo yun

Doon sa mga less established ones

Na pinag-usapan natin

In previous vlogs

The POS Asia one

Is the most hopeful one

And I have

I don't have many reasons

To doubt this one

I think this is a legit one

This copy that we saw

And I'll post it down there

For you guys to see it

On your own

And again

All I'm saying here

Is that

It's a fight

That is not only worth fighting

It should be fought

Because there's a very big chance

That there'll be push

For constitutional change

After 2025

For two reasons

A

Because the pro-BBM camp

May do really quite well

So they may have the numbers

And B

Because they may

Decide to make sure

Na hindi na makabalik

Yung mga Duterte

So they'll prevent

A 2028 scenario

Whereby

Last time we checked

Still

Saar Duterte

Is the frontrunner

As far as presidential race

Is concerned

So yeah

Of course

I see Tulfo

As a strong alternative

I'm not sure if

Martin Ramal

This can really

You know

Match Saar Duterte

Things could change

But you know

The pro-BBM camp

May say na

Why should we even

Take the risk

We can just change

The constitution

Go parliamentary

And someone like

I don't know

Martin Ramal

Someone close to BBM

Can become the prime minister

And all you need for that

Is to have the biggest party

Biggest number of votes

And boom

Everything will be nice

So that's a very

Very big possibility

Right

I think more than

50% chance

So you need to have

More than just

Reset there in the senate

That's what I'm saying

Alright

And Lenny

If she doesn't run

She can still be

The leader of opposition

In some sense

If she's a major

LGU official

Or a congresswoman

Or

I mean

A congresswoman

Would

Be also nice

I think for Lenny

She could also be

A major voice

Sa lower house also

Kind of a fiscalizer

On that

Alright

Thank you very much

Mga kameta

Again

Pasensya na dun

Sa mga nakakulong

Connection problem

Dito

Especially sa

Facebook

At sa YouTube

Medyo magandang

Connection natin

Kasi ginagamit

Kaya sabi ko

5G

Hindi naman siya

Mura

Pero sige lang

Anyway

Thank you very much guys

And talk to you soon

Maraming salamat

And please continue

To support us

Watch us

Subscribe

Subscribe to our channels

Libre lang naman

Subscribe

Follow

Subscribe din dito

Sa YouTube

Sa YouTube channel

Para

Maayos din natin

Itong verification natin

So

The two other platforms

That I wanna

Hopefully we can verify soon

Are YouTube

And also TikTok

Because I'm also thinking

Of going TikTok live

Alright

Of course

Yung sa burner

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Those accounts

Para legit talaga tayo

So we hope to

Verify itong account

Natin sa YouTube

So we have to meet

A certain threshold

And hopefully also

Sa YouTube

Yung other naman

Instagram

I don't know

Whatever

Yung 3-4 other

Platforms

They're all verified anyway

So alam nyo na ako naman talaga

Legit naman talaga yan

Alright

Thank you very much

God bless

And talk to you soon