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TULFO, FRANCE CASTRO, & MARCOS-DUTERTE TIME OUT!?
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Richard Heydarian VLOGS
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Run time: 57:42
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00:00.0
Seconda.
00:30.0
Terima kasih.
01:00.0
Terima kasih.
01:30.0
Alright, let's get the bow rolling.
02:00.0
Okay.
02:30.0
Alright, let's get the bow rolling.
02:60.0
Alright, let's get the bow rolling.
03:30.0
Alright, let's get the bow rolling.
03:60.0
Alright, let's get the bow rolling.
04:30.0
Alright, let's get the bow rolling.
04:60.0
Alright, let's get the bow rolling.
05:30.0
Alright, let's get the bow rolling.
05:60.0
Alright, let's get the bow rolling.
06:30.0
Alright, let's get the bow rolling.
06:60.0
Alright, let's get the bow rolling.
07:30.0
Alright, let's get the bow rolling.
07:52.0
Alright, let's get the bow rolling.
07:59.8
Alright, let's get the bow rolling.
07:59.8
Alright, let's get the bow rolling.
07:59.8
Alright, let's get the bow rolling.
07:59.9
Alright, let's get the bow rolling.
07:59.9
Alright, let's get the bow rolling.
07:60.0
And then yung mga pinaka-competitive ng potential candidates ng opposition
08:03.4
Mukhang may ibang plan
08:04.3
Yung iba ayaw na tumakbo sa Senado
08:06.2
Yung iba, iniisip nila kung tatakbo pa sila sa politika
08:08.9
So on and so forth
08:09.9
So, ang argument ko dito is
08:13.4
One way to figure out anong dapat gagawin ng totoong opposition
08:17.8
Sa darating na election
08:20.9
Is tulakad yung mga breakout stars na meron tayo over the past year or so
08:25.5
On one hand, para sa akin, breakout star talaga si Rafi Tulfo
08:29.5
Hindi necessary dahil sa kanyang ranking dun sa last year's 2022 elections
08:36.3
Because actually he was expected to top it
08:38.4
And then si Robin Padilla pa yung nakatop
08:40.1
Nevertheless, of course, expected na pag Tulfo, mataas talaga maging ranking yan
08:45.3
Because of the Tulfo brand and the appeal it has
08:47.8
Which we'll discuss more later on
08:49.3
But I think what makes Rafi Tulfo's case quite interesting is
08:52.8
Bentang-benta rin siya
08:54.3
Dun sa mga tao na hindi believe sa mga Tulfos
08:56.7
Or medyo ayaw or critical sa mga Tulfos
08:58.6
I would say even personally
08:59.5
I used to be more critical of the Tulfos
09:02.4
But when I started paying attention
09:04.1
Especially dito sa policy positioning ni Rafi Tulfo
09:06.9
Especially sa issue like China
09:08.2
Sa national security, critical infrastructure
09:10.2
Among others
09:11.6
Not to mention yung kanyang
09:13.6
Yung mga sinangabina sa land grabbing, etc
09:16.1
Parang in fairness naman
09:17.3
Mukhang maganda
09:19.8
Mukhang matinoy yung kanyang positioning
09:21.1
Now obviously, this doesn't mean na
09:23.2
I'm gonna take back some of the criticism I've made of the so-called Tulfo brand of justice
09:29.5
At of course, I think pati sila namaminada naman sila
09:31.8
Na minsan medyo hindi sila gano'ng ka-exactly tama
09:34.9
Doon sa kanyang mga ginagawa
09:36.5
I mean, mga ba ang usapan yan?
09:37.8
But you know the context of the conversation
09:39.2
You can also check of course
09:40.4
Yung interview natin with Senator Rafi Tulfo
09:45.1
Available on YouTube yan
09:46.4
And I also posted snippets of that
09:49.0
But I think the other interesting case
09:50.8
I mean, she's not running for Senate
09:52.7
Mukhang medyo mahirapan siya kung she runs for Senate in the near future
09:56.0
But I think Representative Franz Castro is another interesting case
09:57.6
But I think Representative Franz Castro is another interesting case
09:58.6
But I think Representative Franz Castro is another interesting case
09:59.3
But I think Representative Franz Castro is another interesting case
09:59.5
But I think Representative Franz Castro is another interesting case
10:00.3
Of someone who's not a liberal
10:01.8
She's not your standard liberal democrat or liberal candidate
10:07.0
But I think she has done a very, very good job
10:10.0
Of becoming more and more a mainstream political figure
10:13.5
Almost a household name, right?
10:16.0
Malaking bagay yan
10:16.8
Considering where she started
10:18.3
Before the 2022 elections
10:21.2
Almost hindi natin siya kilala
10:23.3
Kasi mas kilala pa natin yung mga ibang mga progressives
10:27.5
Mga leftists na
10:29.3
Mga tao
10:31.0
Mga aming sila
10:31.8
Teddy Casino, for instance
10:33.1
Lisa Massa, etc
10:34.2
So, si Nery Colminares, of course
10:39.1
Na tumahapog para sa Senado
10:40.6
On multiple occasions
10:41.5
So, I think she has done very good
10:43.2
Considering from where she started
10:44.4
Now, obviously, she has to push this
10:46.0
She has to push closer to the ceiling
10:47.8
But I think in terms of floor starting point na
10:50.5
She has done very well
10:51.7
That's why for me
10:52.4
Siya yung pinaka-breakout star of last year
10:54.5
Considering from where she started
10:55.9
Although, ultimately, ang argument ko dito is
10:58.4
Riza Ontiveros
10:59.5
Still remains as the most successful model
11:02.1
Of how the opposition should move forward
11:04.3
Essentially, bringing political appeal
11:06.2
And electoral acumen on one hand
11:07.8
At saka yung kanyang conviction politics
11:10.9
Mahalaga-mahalaga yan
11:12.0
Now, let's first start with President
11:14.1
Marcos Jr. and Rodrigo Duterte
11:17.0
So, essentially, two parts tayo today
11:19.1
Pagtating sa discussion
11:20.1
I just felt this is also, you know
11:22.0
Kaysa artificially slice-slice ko
11:23.9
Throughout the days
11:24.8
Kasi some other developments can come up
11:26.4
Sometimes, itong pwede natin gawin sa mga live
11:28.3
We can discuss two issues
11:29.9
Not relatively related to each other
11:31.5
Or yung mga kasama natin dyan
11:33.5
Pwede naman nila tignan na
11:34.9
Tignan nila yung iba't-ibang part
11:36.6
Na mga analysis natin
11:39.2
Doon sa ating mga platforms
11:41.0
Ayan, yung mga nag
11:41.8
Yung mga nagtutrol sa atin sa TikTok
11:45.8
Umayos naman kayo
11:46.8
Hindi o, Brian
11:48.1
Yung six years nga nasa power
11:49.6
Kayo, ang dami nagtutrol sa akin
11:50.9
Hindi gumahan din
11:51.5
Tapos gusto nyo sa tingin
11:52.9
Yung ngayon gagahan na yan
11:53.8
Anyways, thank you sa engagement
11:55.9
Balikan natin ito
11:56.8
Okay, alright
11:58.3
Sinasabi ko lang
11:59.3
Don't even try, alright
12:01.2
Sayang energy mo
12:02.2
Okay
12:02.9
Ito, ito, ito
12:04.1
Um
12:05.0
Unang-una pag-usapan natin yung kaso ni
12:08.3
Hindi mga kaso
12:09.8
Yung seeming makeup, no?
12:12.2
Ng
12:12.5
Dalawang higanting
12:16.1
Dynasties or political forces in the country
12:19.3
I don't want to say dynasty per se
12:21.4
Kasi yung kapatid nung isa
12:22.5
Medyo nandun sa kapila
12:23.3
But anyway
12:23.8
Mamaya natin pupunta dyan
12:25.3
Ito, ito, ito
12:26.7
Okay, so
12:27.2
Si President Marcos Jr.
12:29.3
Sinabi niya na
12:30.2
He's always available
12:31.7
To meet President Duterte
12:35.0
Para pag-usapan yung mga issues of concern
12:38.6
Yung mga hidwaan nila
12:41.8
Of course, hindi na amin ni President Marcos Jr.
12:44.4
Na talaga may hidwaan sa pagitan ng administrasyon
12:48.2
At saka mga Dutertes
12:49.3
Because at least yung kanyang position is
12:50.8
He's still number one fan of Saddle Duterte
12:53.0
And everything is fine and dandy
12:54.1
Which we know, of course, is not the case
12:56.0
So, ito
12:57.0
So, may report yung Bloomberg News kanina
12:58.6
Na republish dito sa South China Imports
13:00.5
Basahin natin mga ito, mga kameta
13:03.2
Philippine President Ferdinand Marcos Jr.
13:05.1
Has offered to meet with former leader Rodrigo Duterte
13:07.6
Amid rumors of a brewing destabilization
13:09.4
Being linked to his predecessor
13:10.8
Of course, itong destabilization plot
13:12.5
Ito pa yung sinasabi na
13:14.4
May mga retired generals or officials
13:18.2
Or mga sundalo na nag-uidraw daw ng support
13:21.9
Kay President Marcos Jr.
13:23.5
And of course, that automatically raises eyebrows
13:25.7
And concerns
13:26.4
And makes people think that he's a good guy
13:26.9
Some people wonder kung ano bang mangyari dito
13:30.1
Ang mangyari ba dito
13:30.9
Iskudeta or something like that
13:32.2
And considering there were multiple persons
13:34.8
In the defense establishment
13:37.1
Who were not only purged
13:38.2
But were pushed out
13:39.3
You're talking about the
13:40.3
First National Security Advisor of Marcos Jr.
13:43.4
Talking about the AFP chief
13:45.6
When Marcos
13:46.2
In the first six months of Marcos
13:48.4
You're talking about
13:49.6
The defense secretary
13:51.9
The first defense secretary that Marcos Jr. had
13:54.3
And you can talk about many people
13:55.8
Doon sa NTFL ka
13:56.8
Red Tigers na tanggal
13:58.4
So, it's not like
14:00.3
You know, concerns or rumors
14:03.8
Of yung mga fissures or tensions
14:07.1
Sa defense establishment
14:08.5
Is anything new
14:10.8
Alam natin na noon pa lang
14:13.0
Especially in early 2022
14:15.3
May mga concerns na doon
14:16.8
Sa stability ng civil-military relations
14:19.5
Yung tinatawag ng civil-military relations
14:21.1
Ito yung relasyon ng Pangulo
14:23.1
At saka yung sandatan lakas
14:25.0
At saka yung mga defense establishment
14:26.8
But
14:27.5
Ako, personally, skeptical ako
14:29.9
Because katulad nung pinag-usapan natin
14:31.9
Ronald Llamas
14:32.6
Doon sa isang episode natin
14:34.5
Mukhang malabo
14:35.2
Na any of the relevant generals
14:38.2
Who are actually serving right now
14:39.7
Are sympathetic to
14:42.5
You know, calls for destabilization
14:44.8
Or anything like that
14:45.5
And honestly, for retired people
14:48.4
To withdraw their support
14:50.1
Like, as if they matter
14:51.2
Or in this case
14:52.9
Questionable kung yung mga
14:54.2
Nag-withdraw ng support
14:55.1
Ay people actually matter
14:56.6
In terms of having influence
14:57.7
Doon sa mga tao na nandun
14:59.4
Sa loob ng sandatan lakas
15:01.7
So, parang more rumors ito
15:03.8
More, more
15:04.5
Ano lang yan
15:05.4
Pa-effect lang yan
15:06.3
Kaysa real threat to
15:07.6
President Marcos Jr.
15:08.3
But of course
15:08.7
President Marcos Jr. being
15:09.6
President Marcos Jr.
15:11.2
You know, you have to be
15:12.4
You have to make sure
15:13.5
You keep things on an even keel
15:14.9
So, kaya siguro
15:16.7
Ito yung konteksto
15:17.6
Kung saan
15:18.1
Sinabi ni President Marcos Jr. na
15:19.9
Wala naman tayong problema dito
15:21.5
Lahat pwede nga natin pag-usapan
15:23.1
So, ayon kay Marcos
15:23.9
President Marcos
15:25.0
He is, quote
15:25.6
Always available
15:26.6
To meet with Duterte
15:27.7
Ito, ayon sa kanyang
15:30.0
Communication Secretary
15:30.9
Si Jeloy Garafil
15:32.8
At, yun na
15:34.7
At pwede rin nila pag-usapan
15:36.4
Itong issue ng SMNI
15:38.1
Itong issue ng SMNI
15:39.8
Dahil, of course, alam nyo
15:42.2
Suspended ang SMNI for one month
15:44.1
Beginning from
15:45.7
Was it two weeks ago?
15:47.5
Yeah
15:47.7
And damay rin yung show ni Digong
15:50.2
Although yung show ni Digong
15:51.5
Separately was also facing suspension
15:53.5
Dahil sa kanyang incendiary remarks
15:55.7
Including yung mga
15:56.4
Kanyang
15:56.6
Alleged death threats
15:58.1
Laban sa isang
15:58.9
Sitting member of the Congress
16:00.2
Which
16:00.8
Whom we mentioned a while ago
16:02.3
Of course, CEC
16:02.8
Franz Castro
16:03.7
So, as you can see
16:06.5
Ito yung sinasabi ko parate
16:07.7
If you look at
16:09.1
President Marcos Jr.
16:10.2
Parate
16:10.7
Ang gagawin niya is
16:12.4
He will try to
16:13.6
Bring down tensions
16:14.6
Parate ang gusto niya is
16:15.8
Bring down the fuego
16:17.9
Dahil very, very
16:19.9
Conflict avoidant siya
16:21.0
And some would argue
16:22.5
Even risk averse
16:23.5
At ito nga
16:26.6
Sabi niya
16:26.9
If he wants a meeting
16:28.3
Sabi ni Marcos Jr.
16:30.0
Open siya
16:30.5
Bukas siya
16:31.2
To have that kind of discussion
16:32.6
So, ito yung officially statement
16:34.5
Galing sa Malacanang
16:35.4
President Marcos is always available
16:37.3
To President Duterte
16:38.2
The President will contact him now
16:40.1
To ask if he wants a meeting
16:42.2
Alright?
16:45.9
Siyempre alam nyo naman
16:46.8
Nag-drama si President Duterte
16:48.7
Also over the weekend
16:49.6
May mga sinabi siya pa siya
16:51.3
Ukol sa
16:52.1
You know
16:54.8
Among other things
16:55.9
Dun sa issue ng
16:56.5
SMNI
16:57.1
Sabi niya
16:57.5
My only concern is to help my friends
16:59.2
Si Pastor
16:59.8
Because the NTC has not even
17:01.1
Come up with an allegation
17:02.0
Or charge of my wrongdoing
17:03.2
Sunshine SMNI
17:04.6
Has always been careful
17:05.5
Why is this happening?
17:06.6
Medyo nagwala si President Duterte
17:07.8
Over the weekend
17:08.5
I'm just biding my time
17:10.0
One of these days
17:10.6
I will come up with a statement
17:11.6
Not necessarily defending
17:12.8
Kanyang kaibigan
17:13.5
But just to say something
17:14.5
About the way things are
17:15.7
Medyo malabo yun
17:16.8
Kasi ang dami nang sinabi
17:17.7
Hindi ko parati
17:18.6
Parati yung nagreklamo
17:20.2
So, I don't know
17:21.6
Anong biding my time
17:22.8
Ang sinasabi niya
17:23.5
Kasi parati naman siya
17:24.2
Nagreklamo sa ETCA
17:25.6
At
17:26.5
Dun sa confidential phone
17:27.8
Na anak niya na tinanggalan
17:29.0
Sabi ni Digong
17:30.2
I'll just refer to my show
17:31.2
Because that's what is important to me
17:32.9
Kasi sabi ko
17:33.7
Suspended din yung show niya
17:35.1
Sabi ni Digong also
17:37.5
Sabi niya
17:38.0
Dinign din niya
17:39.8
Na may secret meeting daw
17:41.2
With military police official
17:42.7
In Davao City
17:43.4
For any potential
17:45.0
Destabilization
17:45.9
Sabi niya
17:46.5
Who would believe me
17:47.5
What police or military officer
17:48.7
Is crazy enough to meet with me
17:50.3
Well, I don't know
17:50.9
That must be crazy
17:52.3
I'm already retired and poor
17:53.7
Well, retired?
17:55.4
I'm not sure
17:56.0
How is he retired?
17:56.9
Poor?
17:57.2
Definitely not
17:58.0
Okay
17:58.6
Sabi niya
18:00.0
Yung mga nagsasabi na may
18:01.0
Destabilization plot
18:01.9
Sabi niya
18:02.3
Ito yung insecurity nila
18:03.4
Maybe it's all in their mind
18:04.6
Wala namang daw nangyari
18:06.8
Sabi niya
18:08.8
Last year
18:09.3
The Tercellinist program
18:10.5
That he remembered talking to
18:11.5
Some retired generals
18:12.4
But emphasized to them
18:13.2
That as long as there's no
18:14.2
Serious issue of corruption
18:15.3
Wala dapat problema
18:16.5
So, he also wondered
18:18.1
How I was dragged into
18:18.9
This talk of destabilization
18:20.2
Alright?
18:21.3
So, eh
18:21.9
Eh
18:22.0
Eh
18:22.1
Eh
18:23.0
Eh
18:23.0
Eh
18:23.1
Eh
18:23.1
Eh
18:23.1
Eh
18:23.1
Eh
18:23.2
Eh
18:23.2
Eh
18:23.2
Eh
18:23.2
Eh
18:23.3
Eh
18:23.3
Eh
18:23.3
Eh
18:23.4
Eh
18:23.4
Eh
18:23.4
And then doon naman
18:25.8
Kay Sara Duterte
18:26.9
Sabi niya
18:27.5
Well, I cannot be active
18:28.6
Participant in politics
18:29.5
All politics
18:30.0
She has to be on her own
18:31.0
So, he's also
18:32.1
You know
18:32.6
Pushing back against
18:34.0
Allegations
18:34.5
Na pinipush niya
18:35.2
Anak niya
18:35.6
To be more active
18:36.5
Or sulusuler
18:37.5
He's pushing back
18:38.7
Against all of that
18:39.4
Sabi niya
18:40.3
Ang ukol kay
18:40.9
Marcos Jr.
18:41.8
Marcos is quite careful
18:42.7
I really do not know anything
18:43.8
I'm outside Malacanang
18:44.7
I don't have any contacts
18:45.9
Anymore since I retired
18:46.8
I do not bother to ask questions
18:47.9
As to what I see
18:48.5
Is what I get
18:49.2
Now, if you read through
18:50.5
All of this
18:51.2
Parang dating niya sa akin
18:53.1
Is
18:53.8
Over the weekend
18:54.5
Si Digong
18:54.9
May medyo nag
18:55.6
How should I put it
18:57.4
Raising the
18:58.1
The
18:59.3
The
18:59.9
The white flag
19:01.1
Or
19:02.1
At the very least
19:02.8
Parang
19:03.3
Parang sinasabi ni Digong
19:05.9
Na
19:06.3
O, medyo
19:07.3
Ano lang
19:07.7
Cool down lang tayo
19:08.8
Alright
19:09.0
So, maybe that's his way
19:10.8
Of de-escalating tensions
19:12.2
Maybe that's
19:12.9
His way of
19:13.8
Magpa
19:14.3
Lambing ng konti
19:16.0
Alright
19:16.2
Maybe that's his way
19:17.1
Of saying
19:17.6
Ayun natin ng away
19:18.8
Civil war
19:19.5
All the way gano'n
19:20.2
Maybe it's also
19:21.0
His way of playing safe
19:22.1
Dahil hindi
19:23.3
Biro
19:24.3
Ang mga accusations
19:25.2
Ng destabilization
19:26.4
Among others
19:27.0
At of course
19:28.7
Mukhang nag-gets din niya
19:29.6
Na palaban si Marcos
19:30.9
Nag-gets din niya
19:31.8
Na palaban yung kampo nila
19:33.5
Nag-gets din niya na
19:34.5
Sila malakas
19:36.2
Kasi siya yung presidente
19:37.3
Right?
19:38.1
Yung house leadership
19:38.9
Also with the president
19:40.1
Etc.
19:40.7
So, maybe this is
19:42.5
Digong's way
19:43.3
Of trying to bring down
19:44.4
Tensions
19:44.8
And also to make sure
19:46.0
Na hindi madama
19:46.8
Yung kanyang anak
19:47.4
Who's the number two
19:48.3
In the country
19:48.8
Dito sa mga
19:50.0
Nangyari dito
19:51.0
Alright?
19:51.6
So, kita mo na
19:52.8
Medyo worried din si presidente
19:54.1
May mga sinabi din siya
19:55.4
About, you know
19:56.1
Religious matters
19:56.9
That I'd rather not go to
19:58.0
Alam niyo naman mga
19:58.6
Meta-sensitive ako
19:59.5
Sa mga gitong issue
20:00.2
I'd rather not get into it
20:01.3
Whether he was serious
20:02.5
Or he was joking
20:03.3
I'd rather not make a comment on it
20:04.6
But, overall
20:05.6
Yes, katulad ng
20:06.6
Tama yung sinabi ni
20:07.4
PH Review among others
20:08.4
Mukhang medyo
20:09.0
I won't say kabado
20:11.2
Pero medyo mukhang
20:12.0
Concerned din si
20:12.7
Paong Duterte
20:13.3
So, maybe
20:14.2
Nakkaroon siya ng reflections
20:15.8
Over Christmas
20:17.6
Over holidays
20:18.4
Sabi ko nga
20:19.0
That's the time for some reflection
20:20.2
For all of us
20:20.8
Including yours truly
20:21.7
At siguro naisip
20:22.8
Niya na
20:23.3
They have to shift gears
20:25.7
Downwards
20:26.4
Hindi upwards
20:27.1
Medyo nag-sports mode
20:28.2
Kasi si Digong eh
20:29.1
Lalo after
20:30.8
EDCA
20:31.5
Diyos ko
20:31.9
Sabi niya ang Pilipinas
20:32.8
Maging graveyard
20:33.8
Of nuclear power
20:35.2
Etc
20:35.5
Tapos mamay
20:36.4
Pumunta pa siya sa Japan
20:37.5
Without any coordination
20:38.5
Sinabi niya
20:39.4
Rotten yung Congress
20:40.3
So, siguro
20:41.6
Hindi ko naman sinabi
20:42.4
Ng tawahan
20:43.0
Pero mukhang na-gets niya na
20:44.3
You know
20:44.9
The balance of power
20:45.7
Is very much skewed
20:47.1
Not in his favor
20:48.2
So, siguro
20:49.0
Ito yung
20:49.6
At least temporary recalibration
20:51.7
And as far as
20:52.2
President Marcos
20:52.7
Jr. is concerned
20:53.4
Time is on his side
20:54.8
No?
20:55.8
It's very likely
20:56.7
That the Marcos camp
20:57.6
Will do very well
20:58.5
In the 2025 elections
21:00.3
Just as Digong's
21:01.5
Camp did very well
21:02.4
In 2019 elections
21:03.4
Just as Aquino's
21:04.3
Camp did very well
21:05.1
In 2013 elections
21:06.3
Most of the time
21:08.0
Probably with the exception
21:09.0
Of the Arroyo era
21:09.9
In 2007 elections
21:11.6
Usually
21:12.1
More than usual
21:13.5
Actually
21:13.9
Sobrang lakas
21:15.5
At maganda yung performance
21:16.5
Nang isang incumbent
21:18.2
Administration
21:18.8
Sa midterm elections
21:19.6
So, kung ikaw
21:20.5
Si Pombo Marcos
21:22.2
You know
21:22.7
You'd rather not
21:23.4
A peak fight right now
21:24.5
Cruise through
21:25.4
2025 elections
21:26.6
And then
21:27.4
From a position of
21:28.2
Even greater strength
21:29.4
Potentially even
21:30.8
Push for
21:31.4
Constitutional change
21:32.5
At yun yung parating
21:34.0
Nung sinasabi
21:34.6
In fact
21:34.9
This is very interesting
21:35.8
Because si
21:36.8
Paolo Marcos Jr.
21:38.4
In 2014
21:40.9
And 15
21:41.4
When he was a senator pa
21:42.7
Sabi niya
21:43.3
Kung gusto magbago
21:44.4
Nang sa ligang batas
21:45.3
Gawin mo habang maaga pa
21:46.6
And then he also ran
21:48.5
On the federal party
21:49.7
Platform
21:50.8
Nung tumakbo siya
21:51.6
Bilang presidente
21:52.7
But
21:53.8
Once he won power
21:55.4
Medyo
21:56.6
Nag-tone down siya
21:57.7
And in fact
21:58.0
He didn't even mention
21:58.8
Federalism at all
21:59.8
Dun sa kanyang
22:00.7
First and even second
22:01.8
State of the nation address
22:03.2
Because katulad
22:04.4
Ang sinabi niya
22:05.2
During the election time
22:06.5
Parang medyo malabo ito
22:08.5
Wala naman clamor
22:09.7
At alam niya
22:10.7
Dahil dun sa reputation
22:11.8
Niyang kanang ama
22:12.6
Yung ginawa ng kanang ama
22:13.5
Ginahamit niya
22:14.1
Constitutional change
22:15.2
For
22:15.8
Autogolpe
22:17.0
Ang tawag dyan
22:17.4
To essentially
22:18.6
Introduce a whole new regime
22:20.3
Personalistic regime
22:21.4
Slash dictatorship
22:22.2
Alam din niya
22:23.2
Na medyo controversial
22:24.1
For Marcos Jr.
22:25.1
To talk about constitutional change
22:26.3
But I think now
22:27.3
Nakikita natin
22:28.8
Iba na yung inip ng hangin eh
22:30.0
Medyo komportable na siya
22:31.2
To talk about
22:32.3
Constitutional change
22:33.4
Because
22:34.2
It looks like
22:35.1
There is really a plan
22:35.9
For constitutional change
22:37.0
After all
22:37.6
Changing the so-called
22:38.7
Aquino constitution
22:40.1
At least that's how
22:40.9
The pro-Marcos camp puts it
22:42.4
So interestingly
22:44.1
If you look at it
22:45.1
Earlier this year
22:47.9
Actually
22:48.1
Maybe federalism
22:49.1
Is not even the primary
22:50.2
Target of constitutional change
22:51.6
I think more
22:52.2
Parliamentary
22:53.1
Because alam natin
22:54.1
In the parliamentary system
22:55.4
Mas madali
22:56.9
Na ipapanalo mo
22:58.4
Isang tao
22:59.6
Na malapit sayo
23:00.6
Na not necessarily
23:01.8
Ganong kakarismatic
23:03.0
As long as
23:04.4
Meron kang malaking
23:06.0
Party
23:07.1
Base
23:08.0
So you can become
23:09.3
A prime minister
23:09.7
As long as you have
23:10.5
The biggest party
23:11.6
In the parliament
23:12.5
Or you can form
23:13.5
The biggest coalition
23:14.2
In the parliament
23:14.7
Whether majority
23:16.1
Or super majority
23:16.9
Or the biggest plurality
23:18.1
So
23:19.9
I think parliamentary
23:21.7
Could be a tool
23:22.2
To push for constitutional change
23:23.9
Maybe may pagka-federalism
23:25.1
Just to also win over
23:26.0
I don't know
23:26.3
People like Robin Hood Padilla
23:27.5
Among others
23:28.3
And very interestingly
23:29.7
Nakita natin na
23:30.9
Yung isa sa mga tao
23:32.3
Na who will be very crucial
23:33.7
In overseeing
23:35.3
A constitutional change
23:36.4
Ito yung si Martin Romaldes
23:37.8
Also said na
23:38.6
This year
23:39.2
Sa kasalukuyan na taon
23:40.3
Magiging priority na talaga
23:42.1
Itong
23:42.5
Charter change
23:44.0
In fact
23:44.4
Parang
23:45.1
Nira-rush na daw nila yan
23:46.6
Dahil mahalaga ito
23:47.6
Para sa ating bansa
23:48.4
Now
23:48.8
We had a lot of conversation
23:50.9
About
23:51.3
My
23:51.9
My
23:52.2
You know
23:52.7
My misgivings
23:53.6
About all these arguments
23:54.7
That constitutional change
23:55.6
Will automatically
23:56.2
Solve all the problems
23:57.1
Because
23:57.4
There are many explanations
23:58.6
For national success
23:59.6
You know
23:59.9
A country
24:00.6
A communist country
24:01.2
Like China and Vietnam
24:01.9
Can be successful
24:03.0
Non-communist countries
24:05.2
Like South Korea
24:06.1
Can be successful
24:06.9
Parliamentary
24:08.9
Non-presidential systems
24:10.0
Can be successful
24:10.6
So
24:10.8
There are many factors
24:11.6
That explain success
24:12.8
Economic success especially
24:14.3
Including trade and industry
24:15.9
Especially trade and industrial policy
24:17.3
I would argue
24:17.8
But we had separate vlogs
24:20.1
On that
24:20.4
Pero natin pag-usapan later on
24:21.6
So ito ha
24:22.1
So si
24:22.9
Si Speaker Romaldes
24:24.1
Sabi niya
24:24.6
Na House Bill No. 7352
24:27.2
Enabling measure for resolution
24:28.8
Of both houses
24:29.4
No. 6
24:30.0
Or the resolution calling
24:30.9
For constitutional convention
24:32.1
So CONCON
24:32.8
Garnet 301 affirmative votes
24:35.0
With only 7 lawmakers
24:36.2
Voting against it
24:37.4
So overwhelming
24:38.4
Overwhelming
24:39.5
So yes
24:40.2
The 301
24:41.4
House members
24:42.5
Who co-authored
24:43.0
The twin resolutions
24:43.9
Are in a rush to amend
24:44.8
These restrictive provisions
24:45.9
Of the constitution
24:46.6
Referring dun sa
24:47.8
You know
24:48.2
Restrictions on investment
24:49.1
Etc.
24:49.4
So actually
24:49.8
So essentially
24:50.5
Peg dito is
24:51.6
Kailangan natin yan
24:53.2
For economic
24:54.4
Blah blah blah
24:55.0
Right
24:55.3
Although as I said
24:56.0
You know
24:57.0
There are many ways
24:57.6
To get the economics right
24:59.0
Including you know
24:59.8
Bring down corruption
25:00.6
Which you don't necessarily
25:01.7
Need to just change
25:02.5
The form of government
25:03.1
Or constitution
25:03.5
You can do it
25:04.0
With existing laws
25:04.9
There should be
25:05.6
Commitment to that
25:06.9
And there should be
25:07.8
Necessary reforms
25:08.5
In that regard
25:09.1
And in terms of
25:11.7
If it's just about economics
25:13.1
Well
25:13.4
Actually nakapasa tayo
25:14.8
Ng new economic
25:15.8
Laws
25:17.3
Nung last year
25:18.4
Sorry
25:20.1
2022
25:20.6
Under the
25:21.6
Preliminary
25:21.6
Previous
25:22.0
Senate and Congress
25:23.6
Yung IRR lang kasi
25:25.0
Hindi pa na
25:25.7
Finalized on time
25:26.6
Kaya medyo
25:27.0
Delayed the implementation
25:27.8
So actually
25:28.4
We have to wait
25:29.0
Before we can say
25:29.8
I mean
25:30.7
Bakit ka mag
25:31.7
Invent
25:32.1
Bakit ka ba
25:32.9
Ba't ka kuha
25:33.6
Ng bagong kotse
25:34.5
Kung yung kotse
25:35.9
Na binili mo lang
25:36.5
Isang araw
25:37.3
Ay hindi mo pa
25:37.8
Nagamit
25:38.2
Parang ganoon
25:38.7
Yung argument nun
25:39.4
Diba
25:39.6
So there's some
25:40.6
Debate around that
25:41.3
At yun yung pushback
25:42.0
Ng Senate
25:42.5
But who knows
25:43.1
After 2025
25:44.1
Especially
25:44.6
Many pro-Marcus people
25:46.3
Win in the Senate
25:47.1
The balance in the
25:48.1
Senate shifts
25:48.7
Etc.
25:49.8
Then we can
25:50.6
Really talk about it
25:51.3
And as I said
25:51.9
Pag
25:52.8
If we go
25:54.3
Parliamentary
25:55.1
Especially
25:55.4
It's very easy
25:56.2
It's much easier
25:57.3
For Marcus Jr.
25:58.2
To engineer
25:58.7
Political succession
25:59.8
That make sure
26:00.9
He's safe
26:01.3
Because
26:01.5
Tingnan natin
26:02.4
Lahat ng mga
26:03.0
Ex-presidents
26:03.6
Sa Pilipinas
26:04.4
They didn't have
26:05.3
A good retirement
26:06.0
Or semi-retirement
26:07.2
Look at ano nangyari
26:08.1
Kay Aquino
26:08.7
Nung wala na siya
26:09.5
Sa pwesto
26:11.0
Look at Arroyo
26:11.8
Look at
26:12.2
Erap
26:13.2
Well Erap case
26:14.0
Well alam natin
26:14.7
Look at
26:15.7
Look at Digong
26:17.7
Right now
26:18.2
Probably si Ramos
26:19.6
Lang hindi masyado
26:20.8
Right?
26:21.3
I would say
26:21.6
Ramos is probably
26:22.4
The only ex-president
26:23.5
And to say
26:24.4
Que Corazon Aquino
26:25.2
Didn't face as much
26:26.2
Harassment
26:26.7
From their successors
26:27.5
But practically
26:28.3
After
26:28.6
All the next
26:30.4
Four or five
26:31.2
They didn't have
26:32.1
Very good retirement time
26:33.2
So if you're BBM
26:34.0
You also want to make sure
26:35.0
That after you step down
26:36.3
From office in 2028
26:37.5
Or whatever it is
26:38.3
You know
26:38.9
You have a successor
26:40.0
You can trust
26:40.7
Right?
26:41.9
And look at
26:42.5
So that's what I'm saying
26:43.6
Right?
26:44.3
And so
26:45.2
There's
26:46.1
There's a very high
26:47.5
Probability
26:48.6
That there will be
26:49.3
Even more
26:50.1
Concerted
26:51.3
Bicameral
26:52.2
Hindi lang sa kongreso
26:53.1
Pero ba't isa sana
26:53.9
The push
26:54.4
For some sort of
26:55.6
Constitutional change
26:56.3
After 2025 elections
26:57.8
So lots
26:58.5
Lots is happening
26:59.4
Mga kameta
27:00.8
And these are issues
27:02.1
That we'll continue to cover
27:03.3
In the coming months
27:04.4
And year or so
27:05.8
As
27:06.6
Nag-gain
27:07.4
Ng momentum yan
27:08.1
Now interestingly
27:08.9
Because there's still
27:10.4
Opposition in the senate
27:11.4
And that opposition
27:13.3
May even hold
27:14.1
After 2025 elections
27:15.6
Just to play safe
27:17.1
Mukhang plano dito
27:17.9
Is to push also
27:18.7
For a people's initiative
27:20.2
So sa ilalim
27:21.3
Ng isang people's
27:22.3
Initiative
27:22.8
You can more or less
27:24.2
Circumvent
27:25.7
Opposition
27:26.8
Potentially from
27:27.6
Senate
27:27.9
Kasi kailangan mo
27:28.6
Ng super majority
27:29.7
Sa senate
27:30.2
Or preferreds ba
27:31.2
To approve
27:33.0
Of constitutional change
27:34.3
So you may be able
27:35.6
To actually circumvent
27:36.6
That through
27:37.3
So-called people's initiative
27:38.5
Again we can have
27:39.0
A different vlog on that
27:39.9
Pag-usapan natin yan
27:40.8
So in short
27:42.0
The clouds are gathering
27:43.6
The clouds of
27:44.3
Constitutional change
27:45.1
Are gathering
27:45.7
So time is actually
27:47.8
On BBM's side
27:48.7
While if you're
27:50.0
In the Duterte camp
27:51.3
Pumili ka
27:52.4
Are you gonna accept
27:53.4
A subordinate position
27:54.6
Are you gonna go
27:55.4
Into full-on opposition
27:56.5
And then there's a wild card
27:58.3
Of the ICC
27:59.0
Because the ICC
28:00.2
May issue a warrant
28:01.0
Of arrest sometime this year
28:02.1
With or without
28:03.5
The cooperation
28:05.0
Of the Marcos Jr.
28:05.9
Administration
28:06.3
And then the next question
28:07.6
Would be
28:07.8
What will the Marcos Jr.
28:08.9
Administration do
28:09.7
Right?
28:10.5
There's a risk
28:11.2
If this comes before elections
28:12.9
Because this could allow
28:16.0
Yung Duterte camp
28:16.7
To mobilize their people
28:17.6
Etc.
28:18.1
But this could be also
28:19.3
A way to completely
28:20.6
You know
28:21.3
Marginalize
28:22.1
Any potential rival
28:23.1
For 2025
28:23.9
And railroad the way
28:26.0
All the way through
28:27.0
And push for constitutional change
28:28.4
Alright
28:28.8
We'll keep it there
28:29.7
Thank you very much
28:30.5
For discussion on this part
28:32.0
I hope you appreciated
28:33.6
Ng discussion
28:34.2
Because I'm showing to you
28:35.1
In 360 degrees
28:36.0
There's so many aspects to this
28:37.8
At ang daming mga
28:39.1
Variables
28:40.0
Ang dapat titignan ni
28:41.1
Marcos Jr.
28:42.5
On this issue
28:43.3
But in the meantime
28:44.4
It looks like both sides
28:45.7
Are in
28:46.7
In kind of a
28:47.6
Detente mode
28:48.6
If not a rapprochement mode
28:50.2
Medyo parang
28:51.3
Cool off muna
28:52.2
Doon sa tensions
28:53.3
But as I said
28:54.2
If you look at time
28:55.2
It's really on BBM side
28:56.9
And whether the other side
28:58.7
Is just gonna sit back
28:59.7
And take it
29:00.2
I have my doubts about it
29:02.3
Alright
29:02.5
Okay
29:03.1
Now let's go to the next part
29:04.5
Because
29:05.0
I think this is very important
29:06.3
Again
29:06.6
Nakita ko na
29:07.9
Over the weekend
29:09.2
Ano yun
29:09.7
Yan na naman yung mga
29:11.0
Mga
29:12.0
Pa-analyst
29:13.0
Analyst dyan
29:13.8
Na bigla
29:14.1
Opposition
29:15.1
Helpless case sa Senado
29:16.7
So huwag na kayo tumakbo
29:17.9
Huwag na kayo mag-ambisyon
29:19.7
Huwag nyo salangin pera nyo
29:21.0
Focus na kayo sa LGU level
29:22.5
Well
29:23.6
Let me
29:24.0
Let me say
29:24.8
First of all
29:25.8
Actually
29:27.1
Hindi madaling LGU level
29:28.5
Minsan mas mahirap pa yung LGU level
29:30.5
Because pagdating sa Senado
29:32.4
Minsan
29:33.2
Name recognition pa lang
29:34.5
Pwede na
29:35.0
I mean
29:35.4
I'll just give you a good example
29:37.1
I mean
29:37.4
Lito Lapid for instance
29:38.5
I think he tried to run
29:39.6
For LGU position
29:40.9
Sa Pampanga
29:41.8
I'm not sure he was very successful
29:43.2
For Senate
29:44.4
I don't think even
29:45.3
Campaign
29:46.2
I mean
29:46.7
Pasa yung movie lang niya
29:47.8
Ang probinsyano yun na yan
29:48.9
Kailangan
29:49.3
Pasa name recall lang
29:50.4
Boom
29:51.0
Siya diba
29:51.4
So actually
29:52.4
Minsan mas mahirap yung LGU level
29:54.0
Kasi ang kabanga mo dyan
29:55.6
Yung napakalakas na dynasty nandun
29:57.8
And you need massive machinery
29:59.6
If not
30:00.0
Guns
30:00.4
Among others
30:01.0
Guns and gold
30:01.9
And all of others
30:02.8
To actually have a chance
30:04.1
So actually
30:04.5
LGU could be much harder
30:05.7
Minsan
30:06.2
Kaya sa national level
30:07.6
So yung mga
30:07.9
Nagmamagaling dyan na
30:09.6
Huwag na mag-ambisyon
30:10.6
Ang opposition
30:10.9
Nandun lang sila sa LGU
30:12.3
Well
30:12.7
Of course I agree
30:13.9
In principle
30:14.5
I always said it
30:15.3
Dapat grassroots
30:16.2
Papapataas
30:17.6
Diba
30:18.0
You have to get mayors
30:19.2
Kaya siguro
30:20.0
Nakikita ko yung
30:20.9
Wisdom ng
30:21.8
Lenny Robredo
30:22.9
Potentially running for
30:24.1
I don't know
30:24.9
Congresswoman
30:25.5
Mayor
30:25.8
Governor
30:26.3
Dun sa kanilang
30:28.0
Bailiwick
30:28.6
She has
30:29.6
Pretty decent chance
30:31.1
And also
30:32.1
She'll be in a position
30:32.9
To do an Exhibit A
30:33.9
And we saw that
30:34.8
Exhibit A culture
30:35.9
Work for the
30:36.6
In the case of Davao
30:37.5
In terms of politics
30:38.3
Of course
30:38.7
Mahabang usapan
30:40.1
Kung talagang yung Exhibit A na yan
30:41.5
Ay magandang may exhibit
30:42.4
Vico Soto
30:43.9
Of course
30:44.4
Even Isko Morena
30:45.7
At some point
30:46.2
All of them use
30:46.8
LGU position
30:47.5
For national projection
30:48.4
And even presidential
30:49.4
National projections
30:50.6
Both Isko
30:53.1
For instance
30:53.5
And Digong
30:54.2
Although Digong
30:54.7
Was the successful one
30:55.6
Now
30:56.3
I see that
30:57.9
But there are many
30:58.8
LGU positions
30:59.5
Which are extremely
31:00.4
Extremely difficult
31:01.2
Extremely difficult
31:02.1
And then there's also
31:04.9
The other aspect of this
31:06.0
Which is
31:06.8
As I said
31:08.9
If there is gonna be
31:10.1
A push
31:10.6
Which most likely
31:11.3
Will happen
31:11.7
Push for constitutional change
31:13.4
The real opposition
31:14.7
Has to have a seat
31:15.6
At the table
31:16.1
So far
31:17.1
The only real opposition
31:18.2
Person
31:18.6
I mean
31:18.9
The minority in the Senate
31:20.0
Is actually
31:20.6
Two
31:20.9
Doon naman sa Kongreso
31:22.2
Ilalang bang opposition dyan
31:23.4
Twelve
31:24.0
Ten
31:24.5
Fifteen
31:25.2
Like
31:25.5
Diba
31:26.1
Yung totoong opposition
31:27.2
Hindi yung
31:28.1
Nagpapa-opposition lang
31:30.6
Arguably
31:33.1
It's just reason
31:33.6
To various in the Senate
31:34.6
And mukhang sa Congress
31:36.7
It's just so lopsided
31:38.2
Good luck
31:39.4
Diba
31:39.6
I mean
31:39.9
Sabi nga ni
31:40.6
Naka 300 plus na sila
31:42.6
Ngayon pa lang
31:43.6
Baka more pa
31:44.3
After 2025
31:45.2
So the Congress
31:46.7
Is practically
31:47.4
A hopeless case
31:48.2
In terms of
31:48.8
Getting enough
31:49.4
Minorities there
31:50.6
But in the Senate
31:51.7
Dahil malitang Senado
31:53.2
Pero powerful
31:54.0
Ang Senado
31:54.7
You may just need
31:55.9
Three, four
31:56.9
Or five people
31:58.1
From the real opposition
31:59.6
And with conviction politics
32:00.6
To make sure
32:01.3
Na things don't go
32:02.9
Off the rails
32:03.4
And as I said
32:04.4
Since sa Senado
32:06.1
It's a name recall issue
32:08.0
There are many people
32:08.9
From the opposition
32:09.6
Who actually have
32:10.8
Sufficient name recall
32:11.7
Like Bam Aquino
32:12.5
Like Lenny
32:13.3
Like Kiko Pangilinan
32:14.6
To certainly give
32:15.2
And Maro Haas
32:16.7
And Franklin Drilon
32:18.1
Who may have
32:19.3
A decent chance
32:19.9
Not to mention
32:20.3
Chelle Jokno
32:21.1
Of course many of us
32:21.9
Are hoping that he'll still
32:22.9
Make another run for this
32:24.4
Who knows
32:25.2
Baka third time lock
32:26.2
Parang Pia Wurts
32:27.2
Or Siriza
32:28.2
So there are like
32:29.9
Six of them
32:30.5
I can think about
32:31.6
At the top of my head
32:33.3
Trilliana's also
32:34.4
Potentially may run
32:35.4
Parang alam natin
32:36.3
LGU atang
32:37.0
Kino-position niya
32:37.7
Mayor ba
32:38.2
Sa kalawakan
32:39.2
Anyway
32:39.8
So six, seven
32:41.3
Mga gano'n
32:41.7
Or half a dozen
32:42.4
Name recall
32:43.6
Opposition leaders
32:47.4
Even if one third
32:49.5
Of them winning
32:50.1
Two or three of them win
32:51.1
Together with his auntie
32:52.1
Veras
32:52.5
And then who knows
32:53.2
Maybe two or three
32:53.8
Independents in the next senate
32:55.0
They may make enough noise
32:56.6
Or they may make
32:59.0
Enough opposition
32:59.9
To make it very difficult
33:01.4
For the other side
33:02.1
To railroad
33:02.7
The constitutional change
33:03.9
Right
33:04.3
So for me
33:05.1
It's both indispensable
33:06.1
At the same time
33:07.8
It's not totally undoable
33:09.2
And let's not also
33:10.7
Underestimate how difficult
33:11.7
LGU is
33:12.6
And sometimes LGU
33:13.4
Is much difficult
33:14.2
Much more difficult
33:14.9
Than senate race
33:15.9
Especially if you have
33:16.9
Already people with
33:17.7
Name recall
33:18.2
Now having said
33:19.1
All of that
33:19.6
All of those things
33:20.8
Ang talagang naman ngayon is
33:22.3
I mean
33:23.0
In general
33:23.9
What's the way forward
33:25.5
For the opposition
33:26.2
Right
33:26.8
In general
33:27.2
What is the way forward
33:28.0
For the opposition
33:28.7
Now for me
33:30.0
Pagdating sa opposition
33:32.2
I mean
33:33.8
You already have
33:34.5
Three
33:34.9
Straight losses
33:36.6
2016
33:37.2
Lenny was
33:39.5
The barely
33:41.1
Parang outlier there
33:42.9
Although
33:43.2
You know
33:43.8
Marcus Jr.
33:45.5
Keeps on
33:46.1
Insisting na siya
33:47.0
Dapat
33:47.2
Dagan na na
33:47.9
2016
33:48.3
And then
33:49.4
2019
33:50.0
For the first time
33:51.1
In 81 years
33:52.1
Walang taga-opposition
33:53.3
Na nalas sa senado
33:54.2
Complete wipeout
33:55.0
Decimation
33:55.5
And then last year
33:56.1
Si Reiza lang
33:56.7
So
33:57.2
We see that
33:58.7
Something is not working
34:00.7
And alam natin
34:01.5
Pagdating sa opposition
34:02.4
Sa Pilipinas
34:03.2
In general
34:04.6
Ang opposition sa Pilipinas
34:05.9
Ay liberal
34:06.5
Liberal
34:08.1
In not necessarily
34:09.7
The best way
34:10.4
Right
34:10.9
Liberal in the sense of
34:12.3
Very conservative
34:14.1
In terms of
34:15.0
System conservative
34:16.3
Reforms
34:17.1
Yung mga
34:17.4
Hindi naman talagang
34:18.8
Transformative
34:19.4
Change ang gusto nila
34:20.2
Yung mga konti-konti rin there
34:21.6
Tapos medyo pa disente
34:22.8
Medyo pa cute
34:23.6
And then medyo okay naman
34:25.2
On some of the other policies
34:26.4
Social cultural policies
34:27.6
And then
34:28.0
Of course
34:29.0
In fairness naman
34:29.7
Also against corruption
34:31.1
Etc
34:31.5
Now we can have a long argument
34:32.7
About how much
34:33.5
Anti-corruption initiatives
34:35.4
Work under Pinoy
34:36.5
Or some of the liberal
34:37.3
Administrations
34:38.1
But generally we know
34:38.8
That they're better
34:39.5
Alternative to
34:40.9
The usual trapos
34:42.2
Illiberal
34:42.7
Demagogues
34:43.6
Authoritarian people
34:44.6
But nevertheless
34:45.7
Hindi yun gumana eh
34:47.0
Hindi na yan
34:48.2
Wala yung
34:49.4
Wala nang appeal yun
34:50.1
Wala nang appeal yun
34:51.4
Diba
34:51.7
And if you look at it
34:53.9
For 2028 for instance
34:58.7
If there were to be
34:59.8
Raised today
35:00.3
Ang maging top 2 candidates
35:01.8
May Sara Duterte
35:02.6
And Rafi Tulfo
35:04.3
So let's first start
35:05.7
With the Rafi Tulfo case
35:06.7
Because I think
35:07.2
What Rafi Tulfo shows us
35:08.8
Is something quite interesting
35:10.8
Right
35:11.4
Because in the case of Rafi Tulfo
35:12.7
It looks like he's
35:13.7
He's diversifying his base
35:15.6
So they
35:16.3
So siguro
35:17.4
The usual base
35:18.6
You can expect
35:19.1
For him is
35:19.6
The kind of
35:20.0
The Duterte style of base
35:21.4
Diba
35:21.7
Yung gusto niyang
35:22.5
Matapang
35:23.3
Macho
35:24.1
Palaban
35:24.9
Getting stunned
35:26.1
But if yung kalaban mo
35:27.4
Si Sara Duterte
35:28.3
Parang
35:29.4
Sa kanya na yan eh
35:30.7
Medyo mahirap yan
35:31.6
Diba
35:31.8
Splitting
35:32.3
That constituency
35:33.9
So I think
35:35.3
It electorally makes sense
35:36.9
For him
35:37.3
To broaden his base
35:38.8
And at the same time
35:39.8
To be fair
35:40.3
To give benefit
35:40.8
To the senator
35:41.8
I think
35:42.2
He also has
35:43.2
Some legit
35:44.3
Good intentions
35:45.7
Sa education for instance
35:47.3
You can say
35:47.7
He's really genuine
35:48.4
About some of the things
35:49.1
He pushes for
35:50.0
And then increasingly also
35:51.5
We see that on foreign policy
35:52.6
For instance right now
35:53.4
Na yung kanyang positioning
35:54.9
Is actually
35:55.4
Hindi ito out of nowhere
35:56.8
If you have been actually
35:57.6
Following Rafi Tulfo
35:58.9
Senator Tulfo
35:59.5
He has been making
36:00.0
Some very good interventions
36:01.3
Hindi lang doon
36:02.2
Sa mga laban
36:02.9
Sa mga land grabbers
36:04.0
Or yung mga
36:04.4
Of course yung mga busada
36:05.5
Sa ating OFWs
36:06.5
And mga others
36:06.9
These are big issues
36:08.0
And I think he's genuinely
36:08.8
Considerable about these things
36:09.7
But if you look at it
36:10.7
For instance
36:11.1
He raised big issues
36:12.2
About NGCP
36:13.2
Itong National Grid
36:15.0
Corporation of the Philippines
36:16.4
A very problematic
36:19.1
Legacy of President Arroyo
36:21.0
Essentially allowing
36:22.4
A Chinese state-owned company
36:24.2
To have 40% stake
36:25.8
And arguably have
36:26.9
100% control
36:27.9
Engineering-wise
36:28.8
Over this thing
36:30.5
Right?
36:30.7
Actually man
36:31.0
I don't know
36:31.3
Or at least
36:33.4
This is the allegation
36:34.2
And this actually was raised
36:35.3
As early as
36:36.3
10 years ago
36:37.0
I think by
36:37.5
Senator Miriam Defensor
36:38.6
Then Senator Rizon Tiveros
36:40.2
And now
36:40.7
Of course the most prominent
36:41.8
Voice for that
36:42.6
Is Rafi Tulfo
36:43.7
Who has even suggested
36:45.0
That the President
36:45.9
Should even consider
36:47.2
Nationalization
36:48.1
Of the NGCP
36:49.1
On grounds of
36:51.2
Critical infrastructure
36:52.1
Nakita niyo natin
36:53.2
Na si Rafi Tulfo
36:54.7
Also took a tough stance
36:55.7
On West Philippine Sea issue
36:56.8
And openly called out
36:58.0
Actually the Vice President
36:59.1
For taking a position
37:00.5
On the West Philippine Sea
37:01.4
Na hindi tugma
37:02.4
Doon sa position
37:03.1
Ng ating administration
37:04.0
And I would say
37:04.8
Position ng
37:06.2
Taong bayan
37:07.3
Right?
37:08.1
So
37:08.6
Yung mga
37:09.6
Sinisabi ni
37:10.5
Ano ulit
37:11.4
Lishang
37:11.9
Ano ulit yung
37:14.0
Speech ni Sarah
37:15.1
Na sobrang beshi
37:16.5
Sa China
37:17.1
Okay
37:17.6
Um
37:19.1
So of course
37:20.2
Kinol out din
37:21.6
Ni Rafi Tulfo yan
37:23.3
Sabi na
37:24.4
Dapat sigurado yun
37:25.2
Ng Vice President
37:26.1
Ng kanyang position
37:26.9
Yung hindi ka nakalayo
37:27.9
Doon sa position
37:28.5
Ng Presidente
37:29.3
Or you're not sending
37:30.4
Mixed signals
37:31.1
That may undermine
37:32.3
Our position
37:32.9
No?
37:34.8
Ito yung
37:35.5
September 21
37:36.6
Duterte
37:37.3
You know
37:39.0
Greetings sa China
37:40.5
Alam nyo naman
37:41.1
Dami memes and spoof
37:42.0
About that
37:42.6
Where she hoped
37:43.7
For expanded air
37:44.6
Sa cooperation
37:45.2
With the Philippines
37:45.6
At China
37:46.1
Sabi ni Sarah Duterte
37:47.6
We hope that our partnership
37:48.6
Will prosper
37:49.0
In the areas of
37:49.5
Agriculture trade
37:50.2
Investment science
37:50.8
And technology
37:51.5
Pero parang si Tulfo
37:53.6
Hindi
37:53.9
Hindi natuwa masyado
37:56.3
Ang point niya is
37:57.8
Well you wanna make sure
37:59.3
That the statements you make
38:00.3
Especially sa gitna
38:01.9
Nang hidwaan natin
38:02.7
Sa West Philippine Sea
38:03.6
Are not sending
38:05.2
The wrong signals
38:05.9
Or mixed signals
38:06.7
And then
38:07.6
Most recently
38:08.5
Of course
38:09.5
Ito yung malaking
38:10.1
Importante issue
38:10.9
Ito yung
38:11.6
Modernization ng
38:13.2
Philippine
38:14.3
Public utility
38:16.0
Vehicle systems
38:16.8
Again
38:18.2
Let me
38:19.3
Let me say
38:19.8
A thing or two
38:20.5
About this
38:21.2
Sobrang agree ako
38:23.9
Dun sa ating mga
38:24.7
Kaibigan na sinasabi
38:25.8
Na dapat
38:26.3
Justing transition
38:27.4
Meaning hindi kawawa
38:28.5
Yung ating mga
38:29.7
Yung mga ating mga
38:32.1
Drivers
38:32.6
Cheapening drivers
38:33.4
We wanna make sure that
38:34.5
Anong proposal nun
38:36.1
Na mag-fortune
38:36.8
Or something like that
38:37.7
Or mag-new car sila
38:39.4
Na parang
38:39.9
Mas mahal pa sa fortune
38:40.9
Or something like that
38:41.4
Mga 2 million
38:42.5
Or something like that
38:42.9
Like
38:43.1
There's nothing wrong
38:44.8
With transition
38:45.4
But it has to be done
38:46.3
In just reasonable
38:47.2
At hindi bara-bara
38:48.0
At hindi bara-bara
38:48.2
A way
38:48.6
Kasi malaking sektor din
38:50.5
Ang pinag-usapan natin dito
38:51.7
At kung napaka-mahal
38:52.9
Questionable
38:53.6
If not corrupt
38:54.3
Yung process of transition
38:55.6
Bug-bug din tayo
38:56.9
Mga ordinary consumers
38:58.2
Now
38:59.3
Speaking of that
39:00.7
Now
39:02.2
Some would say
39:03.5
China po
39:04.4
Ang solution dyan
39:05.6
Because
39:06.0
Actually last year
39:07.2
For the very first time
39:08.5
China became the biggest
39:09.6
Car exporter
39:10.4
In the world
39:11.3
They overtook
39:12.5
Japan
39:13.1
I mean it's insane
39:14.2
The level of success
39:15.3
China's had
39:16.1
In the past 5 years alone
39:19.7
Naalala ko yung first time
39:20.9
Na lumabas
39:22.4
Ang Chinese car
39:23.5
Si Cherry ba yan
39:24.2
Parang pinagtatawanan
39:25.1
Yung pangalan pala
39:25.7
Naman
39:25.9
Tapos
39:27.1
Diba
39:28.0
And then
39:28.7
Mamaya
39:29.1
Geely naman
39:30.0
Diba
39:30.2
Cherry
39:30.7
Geely
39:31.3
Yung mga ganyan
39:31.9
But now
39:32.7
Pag tinignan mo yung mga itura
39:34.9
Ang design nila
39:35.5
They're really impressive
39:36.6
Now I don't know about
39:37.5
The quality yet
39:38.5
Some other people
39:39.8
Can say a lot about it
39:40.8
But I think
39:41.9
China is gonna be big
39:43.0
Pagdating sa electric cars
39:44.2
And BYD of China
39:45.5
Is now even
39:46.0
Ahead of Tesla
39:46.9
And well
39:48.4
We can have our own arguments
39:49.9
About how China got
39:50.8
This technology and all of that
39:51.9
But I think you should also
39:53.1
Credit the Chinese government
39:55.4
For very good industrial policy
39:57.5
Supporting yung kanilang
39:59.1
Mga EV manufacturers
40:00.9
So they're at least
40:01.9
NIO
40:02.4
BYD
40:03.4
Apat na alam ko
40:04.7
Ng big big time
40:05.8
Na Chinese
40:06.4
EV producers
40:07.8
And their cars are beautiful
40:09.1
I'll tell you that
40:10.0
I mean I'm more into
40:11.3
You know European cars
40:12.5
And all of that
40:13.2
So
40:13.4
You know
40:14.2
I like
40:14.9
I like nice fancy cars
40:16.0
But I will give it
40:17.3
To the Chinese cars
40:17.9
They really look good
40:19.5
The color schemes
40:20.4
Are beautiful
40:21.1
The design is gorgeous
40:22.3
And the price is super good
40:24.4
For what you get
40:26.1
At least in terms of
40:26.8
What you first see
40:27.8
Kasi nga
40:28.5
Hindi naman natin alam
40:29.3
We have to see over 5-10 years
40:30.6
Anong itura ng mga kotse niyan
40:31.7
But
40:31.9
From the first things
40:34.0
We're seeing here
40:34.7
I think especially
40:35.4
BYD cars are good quality rin
40:37.4
Diba
40:37.9
Si Warren Buffet
40:39.8
Among others
40:40.9
Are
40:41.1
Are also investors there
40:43.4
So
40:43.7
So
40:44.4
Ako
40:45.1
I can see
40:45.8
The appeal of the Chinese cars
40:47.7
Especially electric Chinese cars
40:49.4
I really can see that
40:50.4
And China is also dominating
40:52.3
EV battery industries
40:54.3
EV mining industries
40:55.5
So
40:55.8
The future of cars
40:57.2
Is China
40:57.8
I have to admit it
41:01.0
I mean
41:01.3
Again as I said
41:02.0
I'm
41:02.4
I'm more
41:04.0
Want German cars
41:04.9
I
41:06.1
I find Japanese cars
41:07.6
More
41:08.0
More
41:08.3
Reliable over time
41:09.7
But when it comes to
41:11.0
EV cars
41:11.6
Parang Tesla
41:13.0
Nang yata
41:13.5
Makakalaban sa mga
41:14.6
Chinese companies
41:15.7
Eh
41:15.8
Oo
41:16.3
And it's
41:17.0
Let's see if the other big ones
41:18.4
Like BMW
41:19.0
Benz
41:20.1
Toyota
41:20.5
Can transition
41:21.2
Let's see
41:21.6
But grabe
41:22.8
Ang lakas ng China
41:23.5
And they can do it
41:24.3
At very very competitive
41:25.7
Prices
41:26.6
I mean
41:27.5
I was surprised to see
41:28.4
Even in the Middle East
41:29.4
Mayayaman na bansa
41:31.0
Like Qatar
41:31.9
United Arab Emirates
41:33.1
Sobrang uso na ngayon
41:36.1
Ng mga Chinese cars
41:37.0
So
41:37.5
Again
41:37.9
Galit na galit ako
41:39.2
Sa ginagawa nilang
41:39.9
Pagbubuli sa West Philippine Sea
41:41.1
But that never blinded me
41:42.4
To the many successes of China
41:44.3
And the amazing work ethic
41:45.8
And the amazing determination
41:47.2
Of the Chinese people
41:47.9
To be a world power
41:48.9
Including in high-tech technology
41:50.6
Including in EV battery
41:52.4
EV cars
41:53.2
No?
41:53.8
So
41:54.1
Nakikita ko
41:55.3
Bakit some are pushing
41:56.4
For reliance on China
41:57.7
Pero
41:58.3
Ang position
41:58.9
Ang position ni
42:00.1
Ni
42:01.2
Ni
42:01.6
Ni Tulfo
42:03.6
Senator Tulfo
42:04.2
Is actually more on the
42:05.1
Probably national security grounds
42:06.8
Because
42:07.1
Siguro ang concern na dito
42:08.1
Is dependency
42:08.9
Kasi once bumili ka na doon
42:10.9
Lock in ka na
42:11.6
For life
42:12.4
Kasi yung maintenance mo
42:13.3
Galing sa kanila
42:14.1
Most likely yung other
42:15.5
Infrastructure
42:15.8
Mga galing sa kanila
42:16.9
Most likely galing din yung
42:18.1
Kanilang charging station
42:19.5
Sa kanila
42:19.9
So you're locked in
42:20.9
Into their technology
42:23.1
Ayan
42:23.3
Si Ruben nagka-comment
42:24.6
Yeah again
42:25.3
Of course
42:25.7
Personally I'll choose the Tesla
42:27.4
Or actually I'd rather
42:28.6
You know go for Taycan
42:29.7
Or something like that
42:30.5
Kung ma-afford natin
42:32.0
But what I'm saying is that
42:33.4
The direction of the Chinese cars
42:34.6
Is really really good
42:35.4
In terms of
42:36.5
Price competitiveness
42:37.7
I have some
42:39.2
Chinoy
42:41.0
Neighbors here
42:42.5
Who have BYD
42:44.1
Song yata yun
42:45.0
It looks great
42:45.8
Gorgeous
42:46.1
It looks like a Lexus
42:47.2
And it's electric
42:48.4
And the price is pretty competitive
42:50.1
Because if I were to get
42:51.2
An ordinary Tesla
42:52.3
And then there's this SUV
42:56.4
I don't know
42:57.3
I probably will be okay
42:58.7
With BYD
42:59.3
Except
43:00.3
From a national secret standpoint
43:02.7
I'm not gonna
43:03.3
I'm not sure I wanna put
43:04.4
My personal data
43:05.8
That's why yung TikTok natin dito
43:07.1
Mahal na mahal ko kaya
43:08.7
Pero burner phone yan
43:09.6
Diba
43:09.9
Because I don't want to put
43:10.8
My personal data there
43:12.6
So
43:12.7
But I can see from a
43:14.9
Non-national security
43:16.3
Economic perspective
43:17.3
Yung appeal ng China
43:18.5
Yung appeal ng China
43:19.8
Right?
43:20.9
Although
43:21.4
Personally I'm okay with Tesla
43:22.7
Although personally
43:23.2
I'm not okay with Elon Musk
43:24.5
Alright
43:24.8
Now going back to this
43:26.1
Ang position ni Rafi Tulfo is
43:27.9
Paano na para mas mapabilis
43:29.4
Ang
43:29.7
Pagre-revisa
43:31.5
At agarang
43:33.1
Pagtanggal
43:33.8
Ng prangkisa
43:34.5
Ng NGC
43:35.0
Ah sorry
43:35.5
Malitong binasa ko
43:36.7
Ito ito yung sa China pala
43:38.9
Sorry
43:39.2
Nasa prangkisa ko
43:40.5
Okay
43:40.8
China is already invading
43:42.1
The West Philippine Sea
43:43.0
Will we allow them to take over
43:44.6
Even if they don't have
43:44.9
Even our roads
43:45.8
Wow
43:46.0
That's a
43:46.4
That's a good quote
43:47.7
That's actually a good quote
43:49.6
Again
43:50.5
As I said
43:51.4
I see the appeal of Chinese cars
43:53.0
Especially EV cars
43:54.1
Pero
43:55.0
If you take a national security standpoint
43:56.6
I think this quote from Tulfo
43:58.0
Is very very good
43:59.2
I mean
44:00.7
From a
44:01.3
I mean
44:01.7
From a political standpoint
44:02.9
In terms of messaging
44:04.0
And communication
44:04.7
Tingnan mo
44:05.3
Ang ganda nung sinabi niya
44:06.3
Again
44:07.4
Messaging niya
44:08.2
Of course
44:09.0
You're free to disagree with me
44:09.9
Pero itong sinabi niya
44:10.5
China is already invading
44:12.3
The West Philippine Sea
44:13.2
Gusto ba natin na
44:14.5
Ba't yung mga kalsada natin
44:16.0
Masasakop nila
44:17.2
Diba parang
44:17.7
Sasakupin nila
44:18.7
Diba parang
44:19.2
Yun yung sinabi na
44:20.4
Malakas yan
44:20.9
It's a very strong statement
44:21.9
Going from Tulfo
44:22.8
And Tulfo is very good
44:24.4
In coming up with these quick statements
44:25.7
Right
44:26.0
Parang Tom Friedman style
44:27.3
Diba
44:27.5
In one sentence
44:29.0
You can say something
44:29.7
That will take probably
44:30.6
Three paragraphs
44:31.5
For other people to say
44:32.5
So boom
44:33.1
Gets gaga
44:34.1
So I think this is a very strong positioning
44:35.7
I mean
44:35.9
I'm sure many people
44:37.2
Make huge money
44:38.2
If they make contracts
44:38.9
With big Chinese companies
44:40.0
For the huge
44:41.6
Massive
44:42.8
Public utility vehicle
44:44.3
You know
44:45.3
Redesign
44:46.0
And
44:46.3
Essentially
44:47.4
Reconstruction
44:48.7
That we'll need
44:49.2
In the next five to ten years
44:50.4
As we transition more to
44:52.2
To electric vehicles
44:55.0
Etc
44:55.4
But
44:56.4
Yun nga
44:56.8
Yun yung dilema ngayon
44:58.3
So I'm wondering
44:59.1
Siguro will Japan
45:00.1
Siguro Toyota
45:01.3
Will be the alternative
45:02.4
I mean
45:02.9
Tesla is very expensive
45:04.8
I don't know if we can
45:06.0
Tesla everything
45:07.0
But
45:08.3
But I think Japan
45:09.4
Probably Toyota
45:10.2
Or Korean cars
45:11.9
Like Hyundai
45:12.4
Ioniq is
45:13.1
Wonderful
45:13.9
I don't know
45:14.2
Better get Ioniq
45:14.9
Than Tesla
45:15.3
Let's see
45:16.6
Let's see
45:17.0
So what is the alternative here?
45:18.7
Those are the things
45:19.1
We have to talk about
45:19.8
But I'm glad that
45:20.5
The Senator Toto
45:21.2
Actually at least
45:21.9
Raised this issue
45:22.6
Now let's go to the last part
45:23.9
It's all about France Castro
45:24.9
Because this is an interesting case
45:26.1
Now obviously
45:26.9
I'm not saying that
45:28.2
She'll be the next
45:28.9
Necessary president
45:30.0
Or even Senate
45:31.0
It'll be hard
45:31.4
But
45:31.6
My point is
45:33.7
Considering where she started
45:35.1
When she had even
45:36.5
Less name recall
45:38.3
Than
45:38.7
Other known
45:40.1
Leftist candidates
45:41.0
Like Nery Colominares
45:42.3
Like Nery Colominares
45:43.1
Or
45:44.2
You know
45:44.9
Casino
45:46.3
So on and so forth
45:47.3
Maza
45:48.0
So on and so forth
45:48.8
She has come very far
45:50.8
She has really
45:51.5
Really come very far
45:52.5
And I think this is
45:53.3
This is really impressive
45:54.4
So
45:55.2
What I'm impressed with
45:56.5
Rafi in terms of
45:57.6
Diversifying his messaging
45:59.0
And then positioning himself
46:00.2
Like as a
46:00.9
Contra Duterte
46:02.1
On the West Philippines
46:03.0
And China issue
46:03.8
That's quite interesting
46:04.6
Because of course
46:05.1
Alam natin ang paninindigong
46:06.3
Medyo kaibigan sila
46:08.0
But now
46:08.5
Itong positioning na
46:09.7
Now we can have a long debate
46:11.3
About intentions and all of that
46:12.6
But I don't give a bit of doubt
46:14.2
But for me
46:14.9
It's also the effect that matters
46:16.0
If someone is popular
46:16.9
Tulfo
46:18.1
Who is one of the top
46:19.4
Candidates to become
46:20.7
The next president
46:21.4
Assuming they will be
46:23.1
At 2028 elections
46:23.9
That's the thing we said
46:25.1
In the previous part
46:26.2
Right?
46:26.5
Na baka hindi naman yari
46:27.7
2028 presidential elections
46:29.4
Baka ipaparlimentari na nila
46:30.9
I-engineer na nila yung transition
46:32.2
But
46:33.1
As of now
46:34.5
Tulfo is
46:35.4
At least
46:36.0
The second most
46:37.5
Preferred person
46:38.5
To become the next
46:39.5
President of the
46:40.2
Republic of the Philippines
46:41.0
Right?
46:41.7
So yung kanyang repositioning
46:42.9
Is
46:43.1
Very interesting
46:44.2
Very astute
46:45.1
And I think
46:45.5
Puts him in a position
46:46.3
To get the BBM vote
46:47.5
Split some
46:48.8
Duterte vote
46:49.6
And also get some
46:50.9
Vote from the other side
46:52.4
Right?
46:53.0
Because of his good position
46:53.9
In the China-West Philippines
46:54.8
Issue among others
46:55.6
So let's see
46:56.3
But now
46:57.7
Going back to
46:58.2
Florence Castro
46:58.7
I think from where she started
47:00.1
She has come a very
47:01.4
Very long way
47:02.1
In fairness
47:02.7
And it's very
47:03.5
Very impressive
47:04.0
And I think
47:06.3
There are many factors
47:07.1
To that
47:07.6
One is that
47:08.9
There was a little
47:10.0
A little bit of
47:11.0
Element of luck
47:11.7
Of course
47:12.1
Naalala nyo na
47:13.4
Interview natin si
47:14.2
Senator
47:15.2
Ah sorry
47:15.8
Congresswoman
47:16.5
France Castro
47:17.3
And pinag-usapan natin
47:19.2
Yung kanyang background
47:19.9
Yung kanyang educational
47:21.0
Background in particular
47:22.1
And as you remember
47:23.7
She actually took
47:24.6
Mathematics
47:26.1
Parang education siya
47:30.3
But specialization is
47:31.4
Mathematics
47:32.0
So teaching mathematics
47:33.2
Yun talagang
47:34.3
Kanyang expertise
47:35.0
Right?
47:36.2
And
47:36.4
Unlike some people
47:38.0
She didn't rely on
47:38.7
Her dad's money
47:39.5
Mom's money
47:40.3
Whether clean or not so clean
47:41.7
She had to work her way through
47:42.9
Right?
47:43.6
Like she had to get
47:44.2
Scholarships etc
47:45.1
She had to work through
47:46.0
So she's a true
47:47.0
Self-educated person
47:48.3
And at the same time
47:49.1
A world-class educator
47:50.0
So that
47:50.8
Automatically placed her
47:52.2
In a very good position
47:53.5
Very very good position
47:55.0
To go
47:56.0
Head to head
47:57.0
With Sara Duterte
47:57.9
Which
47:58.3
Well I don't know
47:59.6
How good of a lawyer she is
48:00.7
So maybe Ruben
48:01.4
Can tell us
48:02.0
But
48:03.1
Last time I checked
48:04.6
Neither
48:05.3
Neither the vice president
48:06.8
Or a lot of people
48:07.9
In her team
48:08.4
Are really
48:09.0
Debit kind of people
48:11.0
Right?
48:11.9
Meaning really
48:12.5
Specialization education
48:13.6
Reform
48:14.2
Especially
48:15.0
Considering
48:15.6
Gana kamalala
48:16.5
Yung problema natin
48:17.8
Sa education system
48:18.7
Especially given
48:19.9
Yung legacy
48:20.5
Ng Duterte administration
48:21.8
Sa sobrang
48:22.5
They bungled it
48:23.9
Big time
48:24.5
Yung education system natin
48:26.2
Noong panahon ng pandemic
48:27.2
So we're already
48:28.1
Behind the curve
48:28.8
I have some graphs
48:30.1
That I can show you
48:30.7
Na Philippines is
48:31.5
So bad
48:32.8
I mean
48:33.1
Even by third world standards
48:34.6
We're so bad
48:35.3
And nakita naman natin
48:36.2
Sa World Bank
48:37.1
Functional literacy
48:38.9
Parang
48:39.8
More than 90%
48:41.6
Ng mga pupils natin
48:42.8
From
48:43.0
7th grade onwards
48:44.3
I mean may problema talaga sila
48:45.5
Seriously when it comes to
48:46.6
Functional literacy
48:47.6
So these are
48:48.1
These are serious problems
48:49.1
So I think that first
48:50.5
That's the first thing
48:51.3
That's the first lucky thing
48:52.5
In a sense
48:53.0
Because she was
48:54.1
The right person to go
48:55.5
Toe to toe
48:56.5
With Sarah Duterte
48:57.9
Precisely because
48:59.1
Of not only her advocacy
49:00.9
Doon sa kanyang
49:03.8
Party list
49:04.8
Which is really about
49:05.6
Teachers and education
49:06.7
But also about her
49:07.5
Because of her own
49:08.7
Personal
49:09.6
Diba?
49:10.5
Her own
49:11.1
Personal
49:11.9
Expertise
49:13.0
As an educator
49:14.2
As an education
49:15.4
Graduate
49:16.3
So
49:17.2
To be honest
49:18.5
I
49:19.0
I rather listen to her
49:20.3
Than you know
49:20.9
Whatever
49:21.2
Some random lawyer
49:22.4
That put there
49:22.9
In charge of their bed
49:23.9
Right?
49:24.9
Ibang usapan pa
49:25.6
Kung magaling na lawyer
49:26.2
Hindi
49:26.5
So
49:27.6
Right?
49:28.5
So that I think
49:29.3
Made her authentic
49:30.9
But also authoritative
49:31.9
That was very very important
49:33.3
Ito yung isang strength
49:34.2
Ni
49:34.9
Ni
49:35.2
Ni
49:36.0
Castro
49:36.9
In a way she was
49:37.9
The right person
49:38.5
For the
49:38.8
For the
49:40.3
For the not so right moment
49:41.9
If you can
49:43.0
If you would put it that way
49:43.9
But the other one is also
49:45.6
Matapang siya
49:46.3
I mean
49:46.6
Kitang-kita natin
49:47.5
Yung kanyang back and forth
49:48.5
Not only with Sara
49:49.2
But also with the father
49:50.0
Right?
49:51.0
And she
49:52.1
Openly
49:53.0
Said in fact
49:53.9
One reason and suspend
49:55.2
Yung program
49:57.0
Ni Digong
49:57.5
Is because
49:58.0
He was accused of
49:59.3
You know
50:00.4
Making incendiary comments
50:01.6
Against people like
50:02.5
Franz Castro
50:03.0
Not to mention
50:04.1
Of course that
50:05.4
You know
50:06.3
Franz Castro
50:08.1
Has been also very critical
50:09.3
Of the
50:10.1
Deterred administration
50:10.9
Red tagging
50:11.6
And also she has been
50:12.3
Going to all to the
50:13.0
Not only with the daughter
50:13.6
But also with the father
50:14.3
And sabay-sabay
50:15.0
No
50:15.4
And then you also had that
50:16.8
Court case
50:17.7
Right?
50:18.9
Which Franz Castro
50:20.1
Has pushed against
50:21.1
The ex-president
50:22.0
Right?
50:22.3
Again unprecedented
50:23.1
But that could be just
50:24.1
The beginning of more
50:24.9
Legal cases
50:25.5
Including
50:25.9
ICC
50:27.4
Against the
50:28.8
The former president
50:30.6
Maybe you can talk to
50:31.6
Attorney Ruben Carranza
50:32.9
More about this
50:33.5
In the future
50:33.9
Once this is available
50:34.6
But
50:35.4
So
50:36.1
That's the thing
50:37.0
But the third
50:37.9
And most important thing
50:38.8
For me
50:39.2
Actually not necessarily
50:41.0
Most important
50:41.4
But very
50:41.9
Very
50:43.0
Important thing
50:43.4
For me
50:43.8
Is
50:45.0
Probably
50:45.4
Second most important
50:46.5
Thing at the very least
50:47.2
Is
50:47.5
Yung kanyang
50:48.9
Political acumen
50:50.0
I mean
50:50.4
She deals very well
50:51.9
With the current leadership
50:53.0
Of the congress
50:53.6
That's a bit of
50:55.0
Real politic
50:55.7
But you need that
50:56.6
If you're
50:57.3
In such a minority
50:58.2
And difficult position
50:59.2
Pangalawa
51:00.1
Yung kanyang
51:01.1
Kanyang relasyon
51:02.7
Sa media
51:03.2
I think she has become
51:04.3
More and more
51:05.0
Comfortable sa media
51:05.9
Nakita ko yan
51:06.4
Nung na-interview natin siya
51:07.6
And I'm seeing it
51:08.7
More and more
51:09.1
As she engages the media
51:10.3
That's very important
51:11.1
Communications
51:12.7
Is very very important
51:13.9
Especially when you're taking
51:15.0
Positions against
51:16.3
Very powerful people
51:17.2
And you're coming from
51:18.6
A kind of
51:19.0
Structural disadvantage
51:20.0
Being a progressive
51:20.7
In the Philippines
51:21.1
Is never easy
51:21.9
Much harder
51:22.6
In most countries
51:23.2
Most other democracies
51:24.5
This is not
51:26.1
Latin America
51:26.7
This is not
51:27.1
Chile, Argentina, Brazil
51:28.2
Where you know
51:29.3
Leftist progressives
51:30.1
Can become president
51:30.9
And leaders
51:31.4
That's not the case yet
51:33.2
No
51:33.4
And if you look at
51:34.3
Some surveys
51:34.9
Like Asia Barometer
51:36.0
Philippines is a very
51:38.3
Center right
51:39.0
Right wing country
51:39.9
We're more
51:40.6
More
51:40.9
More like
51:41.9
We're more
51:43.7
South of
51:44.4
United States
51:45.2
Than South America
51:46.2
Right
51:46.7
In terms of
51:47.3
Social value system
51:48.3
Based on the evidence
51:49.3
Na meron tayo
51:50.0
Alam ko yan
51:50.7
Kasi pinag-aalalan ko
51:51.5
Bakit nanalo si Digong
51:52.6
Nag-sulat tayo ng libro
51:53.6
So I have to go through
51:54.4
Different surveys
51:55.2
World virus survey
51:56.1
Pew survey
51:57.1
Asia Barometer
51:58.2
So for me
51:59.5
Totally unsurprising
52:00.5
Na nananalo yung mga katulad
52:01.7
Ni Digong
52:02.0
Or pwede manalong katulad
52:03.1
Ni Tulfo
52:03.5
Although in France
52:04.0
Kayserato Tulfo
52:04.8
Is positioned
52:05.2
So being left
52:06.4
Is very difficult
52:06.9
But this brings me
52:07.9
To the last point
52:08.5
Naalala niyo yung picture
52:09.7
Na-share ni
52:10.4
Teddy Baguilat
52:11.1
Na-share ko yan
52:11.8
Kung saan
52:12.8
Andun lahat yung mga
52:13.6
Opposition leaders
52:14.3
Andun din si Laila Dalima
52:16.0
Which made of course
52:17.1
This Christmas very special
52:18.2
Andun din si Lenny
52:19.5
And then andun sa gitnang-gitna
52:20.9
Nakatayo si Franz Castro
52:22.6
Right
52:23.3
So alam natin
52:24.2
For a very long time
52:25.2
Hindi ganun kaganda
52:26.0
Nung relasyon ng mga
52:26.9
Liberal centrists
52:27.9
And leftist progressives
52:29.5
Especially sa Pilipinas
52:31.0
Sobrang grabe yung idwan
52:32.9
Ng dalawa na yan
52:33.5
And not to mention
52:34.6
Yung mga idwan
52:35.2
Sa
52:35.4
I mean
52:36.5
Among
52:37.0
Leftists themselves
52:38.3
So I think that
52:39.7
That picture
52:40.5
Was not just a picture
52:41.5
I don't think it was just a party
52:42.9
I think there was
52:43.4
Much more to that
52:44.4
And I think it shows
52:45.2
That with some
52:47.3
Adjustment
52:48.5
With some openness of heart
52:49.7
With some
52:50.2
Sincerity
52:51.1
And with some
52:51.8
Reflection
52:54.3
And spiritual
52:55.0
Soul searching
52:56.0
You know soul searching
52:56.8
It is possible to imagine
52:59.3
That
52:59.9
You know
53:00.1
More and more people
53:00.9
Like Franz Castro
53:01.7
Could become
53:03.3
Not only leaders
53:04.0
Of progressive movement
53:04.9
But also mainstream
53:05.9
Political leader
53:06.6
Which she is
53:07.5
In that sense
53:08.1
So for me
53:08.8
She's the breakout star
53:10.5
Of 2023
53:11.3
In politics
53:12.4
Philippine politics
53:13.1
Not because she's the most important
53:15.0
In Philippine politics
53:15.5
Of course not
53:16.1
But I think
53:17.0
Considering from where she started
53:18.7
Ang layong
53:19.9
Nang narating niya
53:20.7
Right
53:21.4
Which tells you something about
53:23.5
Perhaps where the opposition
53:25.2
Should go
53:25.7
Now
53:26.3
My position is very clear
53:28.2
It's an evidence-based position
53:30.3
It's not just a position
53:31.2
Because
53:31.7
Maybe
53:32.1
Riza Undiveris
53:34.1
Still remains
53:34.7
Not only the leader
53:35.5
Of the opposition
53:36.1
But also the
53:37.4
Proof of concept
53:39.4
Of what could work
53:40.3
Of what could work
53:40.5
For the opposition
53:41.2
Right?
53:41.8
Because if you look at
53:42.4
Riza Undiveris
53:43.3
She won last year
53:45.3
In a very difficult race too
53:46.9
Where no one else
53:47.7
From the opposition
53:48.2
Won any national polls
53:49.7
When it was
53:51.5
A complete domination
53:52.2
Of unity
53:52.6
With Marcos Duterte
53:53.4
At Axis
53:53.9
And if you look at it
53:55.7
She had many strengths
53:57.6
To her
53:58.0
And one of her strengths
53:59.2
Is for instance
53:59.7
Electoral strategy
54:00.7
So
54:01.1
Isang sa mga strength
54:02.5
Ni Riza was
54:03.3
Nag-relay siya
54:04.5
Sa vernacular
54:06.3
Advertisement
54:08.1
Influencers
54:08.7
And endorsement
54:09.5
Dun sa Bisaya
54:10.2
Medyon
54:10.8
Dun sa
54:11.3
Ibang region
54:13.0
Ng ating bansa
54:13.6
Kung saan hindi
54:14.2
Pilipino or Ingles
54:15.4
Ang primary language
54:16.8
That helped her a lot
54:17.9
She also has a very strong
54:20.2
Grassroots movement
54:21.0
And the other thing
54:21.8
With Riza Undiveris
54:22.6
Is that she's very good
54:23.5
Also in combining
54:24.2
This kind of progressive
54:25.2
Positioning
54:26.3
But also being very smart
54:27.4
About choosing her battles
54:28.5
And building coalitions
54:30.0
Dun sa Senado
54:30.6
Alam ko yan
54:31.0
Because
54:31.3
Kilala ko rin yung ibang senador
54:33.0
Na hindi necessarily progressive
54:34.3
Pero they actually have
54:35.4
Pretty decent relationship
54:36.3
With Riza Undiveris
54:36.9
I think
54:37.3
Rafi Tulfo should be one of them
54:39.0
Last time I checked
54:39.7
No?
54:40.2
So I think
54:42.6
She's still
54:43.2
The model
54:44.2
For the opposition
54:45.2
But she cannot do it alone
54:48.6
Others have to
54:50.1
Walk in her footsteps
54:51.1
And now we're seeing
54:52.3
With Franz Castro
54:53.2
With Riza Undiveris
54:54.2
With more and more
54:55.3
Of these people
54:56.0
Not to mention
54:56.6
Of course
54:57.1
Also return of
54:59.0
Leila de Lima
54:59.9
We may have more role models
55:01.7
And North Stars
55:03.3
Who may show us
55:04.6
The way forward
55:05.3
Dapat may konting tapang
55:07.0
May konting conviction
55:08.0
But also may konting
55:09.1
Realpolitik
55:09.9
And
55:10.2
Electoral acumen
55:11.7
Kailangan lahat ng mga yan
55:13.2
Now
55:13.8
Garantia ba ito
55:14.7
Na mananalo ng kahit isang dalawang pesto
55:17.1
Ang oposisyon?
55:17.7
Hindi
55:17.9
Okay?
55:18.9
Huwag tayo magano
55:19.6
Magloko dito
55:20.2
But
55:20.6
It's a fight worth fighting
55:22.8
But more than that
55:23.7
It's a fight that has to be fought
55:25.1
Otherwise
55:25.6
Good luck sa Pilipinas
55:26.8
Diba?
55:27.6
Alam ko dami sa inyo
55:28.3
Tuan-tuan kasi
55:29.1
Or well
55:30.3
Except yung mga kadidias natin dyan
55:32.0
Tuan-tuan kayo na
55:33.2
Na marginalize yung isang
55:34.4
Ayaw nyo
55:35.3
Marami kasi mga
55:36.2
Never Duterte dyan
55:37.5
Right?
55:37.8
Medyo timing ngayon
55:38.5
Mga Never Marcos eh
55:39.6
But
55:40.1
But
55:40.9
Let's be absolutely clear about this
55:42.5
Let's be absolutely clear about this
55:43.8
There's a very good chance
55:45.3
After 2025
55:46.0
We may have a totally
55:47.2
A push towards
55:48.4
A totally new constitutional order
55:49.6
And
55:49.8
Petit total
55:50.5
In my box
55:51.0
Liberal progressive opposition
55:53.2
For good
55:53.7
So they have to fight the fight
55:55.6
And they have to fight it
55:56.4
Smarter and better
55:57.3
So I don't think
55:58.5
Traditional liberalism works anymore
55:59.8
It's not what I think
56:00.4
It's the evidence
56:01.2
Three elections proves that
56:02.8
Pretty clear
56:03.5
Pre-election survey for 2025
56:06.3
Are also showing that
56:07.2
So something drastic
56:08.6
Has to be done here
56:09.5
But
56:10.1
New positioning
56:10.9
New personalities
56:12.6
Or new packaging
56:13.7
Or all of the above
56:15.0
Alright?
56:15.9
On that note
56:16.4
Thank you very much
56:17.2
Marami salamat sa atin
56:18.0
Mga ka-TikTokers
56:19.2
Ayan
56:20.4
Diretso na sa Beijing yan
56:21.7
O diba
56:23.3
Sabi ko naman
56:24.0
Maganding EV batter nyo
56:25.5
Huwag na kayo magalit sa akin
56:27.1
Alright?
56:27.9
Thank you very much din
56:28.6
Sa ating mga YouTubers
56:29.6
Mga kaibigan natin
56:30.4
Na natin sa atin
56:31.0
And thank you very much
56:31.7
Also sa mga kausap natin
56:32.8
Sa Facebook
56:33.7
Wow
56:34.0
Pa
56:34.9
Nandala natin ah
56:36.3
Isang oras na ba tayo?
56:38.1
Thank you sa mga nakinig sa atin
56:39.1
I like it
56:39.5
Actually I like it
56:40.1
Very relaxed
56:40.7
Diretso
56:41.7
But the reason
56:42.6
I did this diretso lang
56:44.1
Because I've been
56:44.6
I was writing about it
56:45.7
I mean that's the thing about
56:46.6
Being a writer
56:47.7
Because when you're a writer
56:48.7
You really have to organize your thoughts
56:50.2
You have to really
56:51.5
Distill things
56:52.4
And you have to have
56:53.1
Key arguments and framework
56:54.4
So ako
56:55.5
I'm very very thankful
56:56.8
Dahil dyan
56:57.5
And
56:58.0
Ayan
56:58.4
Pasensya na ako yan
56:59.3
Si Ivan nagagalit
57:00.1
Kasi sabi ko dapat 9pm ako
57:01.4
Nagspace
57:02.1
And then sabi ko
57:02.5
Huwag na baka tulog na yung mga tao
57:03.9
But ipopost naman natin yan sa Twitter
57:06.5
Pasensya na
57:07.3
Alright?
57:08.8
Yeah I'll try to
57:09.6
And then
57:10.1
I have to choose
57:11.0
I have to prioritize platforms
57:12.2
Kasi
57:12.5
Medyo malakas na tayo sa Twitter
57:15.5
So kailangan ko mag
57:16.5
Build up dun sa iba
57:18.2
At hindi pa kasi monetize yung Twitter
57:20.4
I'm just kidding
57:21.1
Hindi rin naman monetize
57:22.2
Ang TikTok natin
57:23.2
Alright
57:23.8
On that note
57:24.6
Thank you very much
57:25.3
God bless
57:25.8
And talk to you soon
57:26.7
Don't worry
57:27.0
I'll repost it
57:29.0
And hopefully in the future
57:29.8
We can also bring space
57:30.8
I'll use na lang my other phone
57:32.2
Hopefully it's on internet
57:33.4
On that note
57:33.9
Thank you very much
57:34.5
God bless
57:35.0
Mabuhay ang Pilipinas
57:36.0
And talk to you soon
57:37.6
God willing
57:38.0
InshaAllah
57:40.1
Thank you