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00:00.0
kaya sa national level.
00:01.3
So, yung mga nagmamagaling dyan na
00:03.2
huwag na mag-ambition opposition,
00:04.7
magdun lang sila sa LGU.
00:06.2
Well, of course, I agree.
00:07.7
In principle, I always said it.
00:09.1
Dapat grassroots papataas.
00:11.5
Diba? You have to get mayors.
00:13.2
Kaya siguro, nakikita ko yung wisdom
00:14.9
ng Lenny Robredo,
00:16.6
potentially running for, I don't know,
00:18.6
congresswoman, mayor, governor,
00:20.6
dun sa kanilang bailiwick.
00:22.6
She has a pretty decent chance.
00:25.1
And also, she'll be in a position
00:26.5
to do an Exhibit A.
00:27.5
And we saw that Exhibit A culture
00:29.5
work for Digong in the case of Davao
00:31.1
in terms of politics, of course.
00:33.0
Mahabang usapan kung talagang yung Exhibit A na yan
00:35.1
ay magandang mag-exhibit.
00:36.7
Vico Soto, of course,
00:38.5
even Isko Moreno at some point,
00:39.8
all of them use LGU position
00:41.1
for national projection
00:42.1
and even presidential national projections.
00:44.7
Both Isko, for instance, and Digong,
00:47.9
although Digong was the successful one.
00:51.9
But there are many LGU positions
00:53.1
which are extremely, extremely difficult.
00:55.0
Extremely difficult.
00:57.5
And then there's also the other aspect
00:59.3
to this, which is,
01:02.9
if there is going to be a push,
01:04.4
which most likely will happen,
01:05.5
push for constitutional change,
01:07.7
the real opposition has to have a seat at the table.
01:10.3
So far, the only real opposition person,
01:12.3
I mean, the minority in the Senate
01:15.1
Doon naman sa kongreso,
01:16.0
ilan lang bang opposition dyan?
01:17.2
Twelve? Ten? Fifteen?
01:20.0
Yung totoong opposition, ha?
01:21.2
Hindi yung nagpapa-opposition lang, ha?
01:26.3
Arguably, it's just reason to various in the Senate.
01:29.3
And mukhang sa Congress,
01:30.5
it's just so lopsided.
01:33.3
I mean, sabi nga ni, ano,
01:34.7
naka-300 plus na sila ngayon pa lang.
01:37.3
Baka more pa nga after 2025.
01:39.7
So, the Congress is practically a hopeless case
01:41.9
in terms of getting enough minorities there.
01:44.5
But in the Senate,
01:45.8
dahil malitang Senado,
01:47.1
pero powerful ang Senado,
01:48.9
you may just need three, four, or five people
01:51.7
from the real opposition
01:53.2
and with conviction politics
01:54.9
na things don't go off the rails.
02:00.3
it's a name-recall issue,
02:02.0
there are many people from the opposition
02:03.3
who actually have sufficient name-recall
02:07.1
like Kiko Pangilinan,
02:08.3
to certain degree,
02:10.3
and Franklin Drilon
02:11.7
who may have a decent chance,
02:14.9
Of course, many of us are hoping
02:16.0
that he'll still make another run for this.
02:19.0
Baka third-time locker-in
02:20.0
parang Pia Wurtsbach
02:21.1
or si Riza, diba?
02:22.8
So, there are like six of them
02:24.2
I can think about
02:24.9
at the top of my head.
02:27.0
And Trillian is also,
02:28.6
may run the other.
02:29.4
Parang alam natin,
02:30.0
LGU atang kinoposition niya.
02:37.3
opposition leaders,
02:42.1
even if one-third of them win,
02:43.7
meaning two or three of them win,
02:44.9
together with his auntie Veras
02:46.1
and then, who knows,
02:46.9
maybe two or three independents
02:48.0
in the next Senate,
02:48.8
they may make enough noise
02:50.3
or they may make enough opposition
02:53.5
to make it very difficult
02:55.1
for the other side
02:55.7
to railroad the constitutional change.
02:58.8
it's both indispensable,
03:00.8
at the same time,
03:01.5
it's not totally undoable.
03:03.6
And let's not also underestimate
03:04.7
how difficult LGU is,
03:06.3
and sometimes LGU is much difficult,
03:07.9
much more difficult than Senate race,
03:09.9
especially if you have already people
03:11.1
with name recall.
03:12.2
Now, having said all of that,
03:13.4
all of those things,
03:14.9
ang tanong naman ngayon is,
03:16.4
I mean, in general,
03:17.8
what's the way forward
03:19.1
for the opposition, right?
03:20.9
what is the way forward
03:21.7
for the opposition?
03:24.9
pagdating sa opposition,
03:27.5
you already have,
03:28.0
you have three straight losses.
03:32.4
Lenny was barely,
03:34.9
parang outlier there,
03:36.7
although, you know,
03:39.1
keeps on insisting na siya
03:40.6
dapat daganda na lang in 2016.
03:44.0
for the first time in 81 years,
03:45.9
walang taga-opposition na nalang
03:48.0
complete wipeout decimation.
03:49.2
And then, last year,
03:49.9
si Reiza lang nakabalik.
03:52.3
something is not working.
03:55.1
pagdating sa opposition sa Pilipinas,
03:58.4
ang opposition sa Pilipinas
04:01.8
in not necessarily
04:03.4
the best way, right?
04:04.6
Liberal in the sense of
04:05.9
very conservative
04:08.6
system conservative reforms.
04:11.4
hindi naman talagang
04:12.4
transformative change
04:14.0
Yung mga konti-konti rin there.
04:15.4
Tapos, medyo pa-disente,
04:17.8
And then, medyo okay naman
04:18.8
on some of the other policies,
04:20.1
social-cultural policies.
04:22.3
of course, in fairness naman,
04:23.6
also against corruption, etc.
04:25.9
a long argument about
04:27.2
anti-corruption initiatives
04:30.1
or some of the liberal
04:31.8
But generally, we know that
04:32.6
they're better alternative
04:34.1
to the usual trapos,
04:35.9
illiberal, demagogues,
04:37.4
authoritarian people.
04:38.7
But nevertheless,
04:39.6
hindi yun gumana eh.
04:42.9
wala nang appeal yun.
04:44.1
Wala nang appeal yun.
04:46.0
And if you look at it,
04:48.9
for 2028, for instance,
04:52.5
if there were to be race today,
04:53.9
ang maging top two candidates
04:55.4
may sarot o terten,
04:58.5
So, let's first start
04:59.3
with the Rafi Tulfo case.
05:00.5
Because I think what Rafi Tulfo shows us
05:02.4
is something quite interesting.
05:04.9
Because in the case of Rafi Tulfo,
05:06.4
it looks like he's diversifying his base.
05:11.2
the usual base you can expect for him
05:13.1
is the kind of the Duterte style of base.
05:15.5
Yung gusto niyang matapang, macho,
05:18.0
palaban, get things done.
05:20.1
But if yung kalaban mo si Sarah Duterte,
05:22.7
parang sa kanya na yan eh.
05:24.3
Medyo mahirap yan.
05:26.7
that constituency.
05:28.4
So, I think it electorally makes sense for him
05:30.9
to broaden his base.
05:32.9
And at the same time,
05:34.0
to give benefit out to the senator,
05:35.6
I think he also has some legit good intentions.
05:40.0
Education, for instance,
05:41.0
you can say he's really genuine
05:42.0
about some of the things he pushes for.
05:44.3
And then increasingly also,
05:45.2
we see that in foreign policy,
05:46.3
for instance, right now.
05:47.5
Yung kanya positioning is actually,
05:49.5
hindi ito out of nowhere.
05:50.5
If you have been actually following Rafi Tulfo,
05:53.1
he has been making some very good interventions.
05:55.3
Hindi lang doon sa mga laban,
05:56.5
sa mga land grabbers,
05:58.6
yung mga busada sa ating OFWs and mga others.
06:00.7
These are big issues
06:01.6
and I think he's genuinely concerned about these things.
06:03.8
But if you look at it, for instance,
06:04.8
he raised big issues about NGCP.
06:07.9
Itong National Grid Corporation of the Philippines,
06:10.4
a very problematic legacy of President Arroyo,
06:15.0
essentially allowing a Chinese state-owned company
06:17.9
to have 40% stake
06:19.4
and arguably have 100% control engineering-wise
06:24.1
Actually, manapit dito sa amin.
06:26.5
Or at least, this is the allegation.
06:28.0
And this actually was raised as early as 10 years ago,
06:30.7
I think, by Senator Miriam Defensor,
06:32.6
then Senator Rizon Tiveros,
06:33.9
and now, of course,
06:34.9
the most prominent voice for that is Rafi Tulfo,
06:37.3
who has even suggested that the President
06:39.5
should even consider nationalization of the NGCP
06:42.8
on grounds of critical infrastructure.
06:46.2
Nakita ninyo natin na si Rafi Tulfo
06:48.4
also took a tough stance on the West Philippine Sea issue
06:50.4
and openly called out, actually, the Vice President
06:52.8
for taking a position in the West Philippine Sea
06:55.0
na hindi tugma doon sa Pilipinas.
06:56.5
Position ng ating administrasyon
06:59.1
position ng taong bayan, right?
07:01.8
So, yung mga sinasabi ni...
07:05.6
Ano ulit yung speech ni Sarah
07:08.8
na sobrang beshi sa China?
07:14.6
kinol out din ni Rafi Tulfo yan
07:16.9
na sabi na dapat sigurado yun ng Vice President
07:19.7
na kanyang position
07:20.5
yung hindi ganon kalayo doon sa position ng Presidente
07:22.9
or you're not sending mixed signals
07:24.7
that may undermine our position.
07:26.5
Ito yung September 21 Duterte
07:30.9
greetings sa China.
07:34.3
Alam nyo naman, dami memes and spoof about that
07:36.3
where she hoped for expanded areas of cooperation
07:38.9
with the Philippines and China.
07:40.2
Sabi ni Sarah Duterte noon,
07:41.5
we hope that our partnership will prosper
07:42.7
in the areas of agriculture, trade, investment, science, and technology.
07:46.0
Pero parang si Tulfo hindi natuwa masyado.
07:50.2
Ang point niya is,
07:52.1
well, you want to make sure that the statements you make,
07:54.0
especially sa gitna ng hidwaan natin,
07:56.4
sa West Philippine Sea,
07:57.7
are not sending the wrong signals or mixed signals.
08:00.9
And then, most recently,
08:02.7
of course, ito yung malaking importanteng issue,
08:04.7
ito yung modernization ng Philippine
08:07.9
public utility vehicle systems.
08:11.3
Again, let me say a thing or two about this.
08:16.6
Sobrang agree ako doon sa ating mga kaibigan
08:18.9
na sinasabi na dapat just yung transition,
08:21.0
meaning hindi kawawa yung ating mga drivers,
08:27.2
We want to make sure that,
08:29.0
ano yung proposal noon,
08:29.8
na mag-fortuner sila or something like that,
08:31.4
or mag-new car sila na parang mas mahal pa sa fortune,
08:34.6
or something like that,
08:35.1
mga 2 million or something like that.
08:37.7
There's something wrong with transition,
08:39.2
but it has to be done in just, reasonable,
08:41.0
at hindi bara-bara way.
08:42.8
Kasi malaking sektor din ang pinag-usapan natin dito.
08:45.5
At kung napakamahal,
08:46.6
questionable, if not corrupt,
08:48.2
yung process of transition,
08:49.8
bug-bug din tayo mga ordinary consumers.
08:52.4
Now, speaking of that,
08:57.3
China po ang solusyon dyan.
08:59.3
Because, actually, last year,
09:01.3
for the very first time,
09:02.2
China became the biggest car exporter in the world.
09:05.5
They overtook Japan.
09:06.9
I mean, it's insane the level of success China's had
09:09.7
in the past 5 years alone.
09:13.4
Naalala ko yung first time na lumabas ang Chinese car,
09:17.1
si Cherry ba yan?
09:17.9
Parang pinagtatawanan yung pangalan pala.
09:21.6
And then, mamaya,
09:22.9
Geely naman, diba?
09:23.9
Cherry, Geely, yung mga ganyan.
09:26.4
pag tinignan mo yung mga itsura
09:29.2
they're really impressive.
09:30.5
Now, I don't know about the quality yet.
09:32.7
Some other people can say a lot about it.
09:34.8
But, I think China is gonna be big
09:36.6
pagdating sa electric cars.
09:38.0
And BYD of China is now even ahead of Tesla.
09:42.1
we can have our own arguments
09:43.4
about how China got those technology and all of that.
09:45.6
But I think you should also
09:46.7
credit the Chinese government
09:49.1
for very good industrial policy,
09:51.2
supporting yung kanilang
09:52.7
mga EV manufacturers.
09:54.4
So, they're at least
09:58.3
ng big, big time na Chinese
10:01.6
And their cars are beautiful.
10:02.9
I'll tell you that.
10:03.9
I mean, I'm more into, you know,
10:05.3
European cars and all of that.
10:07.9
I like nice, fancy cars.
10:09.8
But, I will give it to the Chinese cars.
10:11.6
They really look good.
10:13.2
The color schemes are beautiful.
10:14.9
The design is gorgeous.
10:16.3
And the price is super good.
10:18.5
For what you get,
10:19.7
at least in terms of what you first see,
10:21.6
kasi nga, hindi naman natin alam.
10:22.9
We have to see over 5-10 years
10:24.2
ano yung itsura ng mga kotse niyan.
10:25.5
But, from the first things
10:27.6
we're seeing here,
10:28.5
I think especially BYD cars
10:29.9
are good quality rin.
10:32.3
Si Warren Buffet,
10:35.5
are also investors there.
10:38.8
I can see the appeal
10:40.2
of the Chinese cars.
10:41.5
Especially electric Chinese cars.
10:43.1
I really can see that.
10:44.7
And China is also dominating
10:45.9
EV battery industries,
10:48.1
EV mining industries.
10:49.3
So, the future of cars is China.
10:53.4
I have to admit it.
10:56.2
I more want German cars.
10:59.3
I find Japanese cars
11:01.2
more reliable over time.
11:04.0
But, when it comes to EV cars,
11:06.1
parang Tesla lang yata
11:07.2
makakalaban sa mga Chinese companies.
11:10.2
And it's, let's see
11:11.1
if the other big ones
11:12.1
like BMW, Benz, Toyota
11:16.5
ang lakas ang China.
11:17.3
And they can do it
11:18.0
at very, very competitive prices.
11:20.9
I mean, I was surprised to see
11:22.0
even in the Middle East.
11:23.9
Mayayaman na bansa.
11:25.2
Qatar, United Arab Emirates.
11:28.8
Sobrang uso na ngayon
11:29.8
ng mga Chinese cars.
11:31.7
galit na galit ako
11:32.8
sa ginagawa nilang pagbubuli
11:34.0
sa West Philippine Sea.
11:34.8
But, that never blinded me
11:36.0
to the many successes of China
11:37.9
and the amazing work ethic
11:39.5
and the amazing determination
11:40.8
of the Chinese people
11:41.5
to be a world power.
11:42.9
Including in high-tech technology.
11:44.7
Including in EV battery,
11:49.0
bakit some are pushing
11:50.0
for reliance on China.
11:57.9
is actually more on the
11:58.7
probably national security grounds.
12:01.0
siguro ang concern niya dito
12:03.5
once bumili ka na doon,
12:06.1
Kasi, yung maintenance mo
12:07.0
galing sa kanila,
12:08.2
most likely yung other infrastructure
12:09.6
mo galing sa kanya,
12:10.7
most likely galing din
12:12.1
charging station sa kanila.
12:13.6
So, you're locked in
12:14.5
into their technology.
12:18.5
Yeah, again, of course,
12:20.0
I'll choose the Tesla.
12:21.9
I'd rather go for
12:22.9
Taycan or something like that.
12:25.8
But, what I'm saying is that
12:27.0
the direction of the Chinese cars
12:28.3
is really, really good
12:30.1
price competitiveness.
12:38.6
It looks gorgeous.
12:39.8
It looks like a Lexus.
12:41.4
And, it's electric.
12:42.2
And, the price is
12:43.0
pretty competitive.
12:43.9
Because, if I were to get
12:44.8
an ordinary Tesla,
12:46.6
and then there's this SUV,
12:51.3
I probably will be okay
12:54.0
from a national security standpoint,
12:56.6
I'm not sure I want to put
12:58.0
my personal data.
12:59.5
That's why yung TikTok natin dito,
13:01.6
mahal na mahal ko kayo,
13:02.4
pero burner phone yan.
13:03.7
Because, I don't want to put
13:04.4
my personal data there.
13:06.4
So, but I can see
13:08.0
from a non-national security
13:10.0
economic perspective,
13:11.1
yung appeal ng China.
13:12.6
Yung appeal ng China.
13:14.6
Although, personally,
13:15.6
I'm okay with Tesla.
13:16.4
Although, personally,
13:16.9
I'm not okay with Elon Musk.
13:18.7
Now, going back to this,
13:20.3
ang position ni Rafi Tulfo is,
13:21.6
paano na para mas mapabilis
13:29.5
Malitong binasa ko.
13:31.2
Ito, ito yung sa China pala.
13:33.4
Nasa prangkisa ko.
13:34.6
China is already invading
13:35.8
the West Philippine Sea.
13:36.8
Will we allow them
13:39.8
That's a good quote.
13:42.6
a good quote, ah.
13:44.0
Again, as I said,
13:46.7
especially EV cars.
13:49.0
if you take a national
13:49.7
security standpoint,
13:50.4
I think this quote
13:51.0
from Tulfo is very,
13:54.4
from a political standpoint
13:56.5
in terms of messaging
13:57.6
and communication.
13:59.0
ang ganda nung sinabi niya.
14:02.6
you're free to disagree with me.
14:03.6
Pero ito yung sinabi niya,
14:05.4
invading the West Philippine Sea.
14:07.3
Gusto ba natin na
14:08.2
bat yung mga kalsada natin
14:12.7
yun yung sinabi niya.
14:14.6
It's a very strong statement
14:15.5
going from Tulfo.
14:16.5
And Tulfo is very good
14:18.4
with these quick statements,
14:19.7
Parang Tom Friedman style,
14:22.6
he can say something
14:23.3
that he will take
14:23.9
probably three paragraphs
14:25.1
for other people to say.
14:27.7
So, I think this is
14:28.4
a very strong positioning.
14:29.9
I'm sure many people
14:30.8
will make huge money
14:31.8
if they make contracts
14:32.5
with big Chinese companies
14:36.8
public utility vehicle
14:42.8
in the next five to ten years
14:44.0
as we transition more
14:45.4
to electric vehicles,
14:50.4
yun yung dilema ngayon.
14:54.8
will be the alternative?
14:56.6
Tesla is very expensive.
14:59.1
if we can Tesla everything.
15:06.3
Ioniq is wonderful.
15:07.7
I'd rather get Ioniq
15:11.0
what is the alternative here?
15:12.3
Those are the things
15:12.7
we have to talk about.
15:14.9
actually at least
15:15.5
raised this issue.
15:16.8
let's go to the last part.
15:19.0
an interesting case.
15:22.9
necessary president
15:27.6
considering where she started
15:28.7
when she had even,
15:33.0
other known leftist candidates
15:34.6
like Nery Colominares,
15:40.2
so on and so forth,
15:41.8
so on and so forth,
15:43.3
she has come very far.
15:45.2
really come very far.
15:47.3
really impressive.
15:49.3
what I'm impressed with Rafi
15:52.6
and then positioning himself
15:55.7
on the West Philippines
15:57.6
that's quite interesting
15:58.2
because, of course,
15:58.8
alam natin ang panindigong
16:00.7
medyo kaibigan sila.
16:02.5
etong positioning there.
16:04.0
we can have a long debate
16:06.2
but I don't think
16:06.7
it's been a big doubt.
16:08.5
it's also the effect
16:09.7
If someone is popular
16:11.8
who is one of the top
16:13.8
to become the next president,
16:15.9
assuming there will be
16:19.3
previous part, right?
16:20.2
na baka hindi naman
16:21.1
yari 2028 president.
16:22.3
Presidential elections.
16:23.1
Baka ipaparlimentary na nila,
16:28.3
Tulfo is at least
16:32.2
to become the next
16:33.8
Republic of the Philippines,
16:35.2
So, yung kanyang repositioning
16:36.5
is very interesting,
16:39.1
puts him in a position
16:39.9
to get the BBM vote,
16:41.8
split some Duterte vote
16:43.2
and also get some
16:44.6
vote from the other side,
16:46.6
Because of his good position
16:47.5
in the China-West Philippines
16:48.4
issue, among others.
16:52.4
I think from where she started,
16:53.8
she has come a very,
16:59.2
And I think there are
17:00.1
many factors to that.
17:02.5
there was a little bit
17:04.1
of element of luck.
17:07.0
interview natin si
17:09.5
Congresswoman Franz Castro
17:10.9
and pinag-usapan natin
17:12.8
yung kanyang background,
17:13.7
yung kanyang educational
17:14.6
background in particular.
17:16.5
And as you remember,
17:17.3
she actually took
17:21.8
parang education siya
17:24.0
but specialization is
17:25.7
So, teaching mathematics.
17:27.9
kanyang expertise,
17:30.8
like some people,
17:31.7
she didn't rely on her
17:34.1
whether clean or not so clean.
17:35.4
She had to work her way through.
17:37.3
She had to get scholarships,
17:38.9
She had to work through.
17:40.7
self-educated person
17:41.9
and at the same time,
17:42.7
a world-class educator.
17:44.0
So, that automatically
17:46.1
very good position.
17:47.6
Very, very good position
17:50.6
with Sara Duterte,
17:52.8
I don't know how good
17:53.6
of a lawyer she is.
17:54.4
So, maybe Ruben can tell us.
17:57.4
last time I checked,
17:58.7
neither the vice president
18:00.5
nor a lot of people
18:02.7
adept kind of people.
18:06.2
specialization education reform.
18:08.9
considering gano ka malala
18:10.1
yung problema natin
18:11.4
sa education system,
18:12.8
especially given yung
18:14.3
Duterte administration.
18:18.1
yung education system
18:19.8
nung panahon ng pandemic.
18:21.5
already behind the curve.
18:22.9
I have some graphs
18:23.7
that can show you
18:24.4
na Philippines is
18:26.9
even by third world standards
18:29.0
And nakita naman natin
18:30.7
functional literacy,
18:35.2
ng mga pupils natin
18:36.4
from 7th grade onwards.
18:38.2
may problema talaga sila
18:39.1
seriously when it comes to
18:40.3
functional literacy.
18:41.8
serious problems.
18:43.4
So, I think that's
18:45.1
That's the first lucky thing
18:50.5
with Sara Duterte.
18:51.5
Precisely because
18:58.5
which is really about
18:59.3
teachers and education
19:00.3
but also about her
19:01.1
because of her own
19:12.5
I rather listen to her
19:15.0
Some random lawyer
19:16.5
in charge of DepEd.
19:19.2
kung magaling na lawyer
19:22.9
made her authentic
19:24.5
but also authoritative.
19:25.9
That was very, very important.
19:27.1
Ito yung isang strength
19:31.4
she was the right person
19:34.0
not-so-right moment
19:35.5
if you would put it that way.
19:38.1
But the other one
19:38.9
is also matapang siya.
19:40.4
kitang-kita natin
19:41.2
yung kanyang back and forth
19:42.1
not only with Sara
19:42.8
but also with the father.
19:54.3
incendiary comments
19:55.9
like Franz Castro.
20:05.6
she has been going
20:06.8
with the daughter
20:07.2
but also with the father
20:11.4
which Franz Castro
20:14.4
against the ex-president.
20:17.0
But that could be
20:17.6
just the beginning
20:18.1
of more legal cases
20:22.4
former president.
20:24.4
Maybe you can talk
20:24.9
to Attorney Ruben Carranza
20:27.5
once it's available.
20:30.1
that's the thing.
20:31.5
and most important
20:33.4
actually not necessarily
20:39.0
second most important
20:40.1
thing at the very least
20:42.5
political acumen.
20:44.3
she deals very well
20:46.3
leadership of the Congress.
20:49.3
but you need that
20:51.9
and difficult position.
20:57.3
I think she has become
20:58.6
comfortable sa media.
21:00.1
nung na-interview natin siya.
21:01.6
And I'm seeing it
21:04.0
That's very important.
21:06.0
Communications is
21:06.7
very, very important.
21:07.6
Especially when you're
21:09.6
against very powerful people
21:10.9
and you're coming from
21:12.6
a structural disadvantage.
21:13.8
Being a progressive
21:14.3
in the Philippines
21:16.2
in most countries.
21:17.1
Most other democracies.
21:22.4
Where leftist progressives
21:23.7
can become president
21:25.5
That's not the case yet.
21:27.3
And if you look at
21:28.6
like Asia Barometer,
21:31.0
Philippines is a very
21:32.7
right-wing country.
21:38.8
than South America
21:40.9
social value system
21:41.9
based on the evidence
21:44.3
kasi pinag-aalan ko
21:45.2
bakit nanalo si Digong
21:47.8
through different surveys.
21:48.9
World Virus Survey,
21:53.2
totally unsurprising
21:54.1
na nananalo yung mga katulad
21:55.7
or pwede mananalo
21:56.3
yung katulad ng Tulfo
21:57.2
although in France
21:57.7
kay Senator Tulfo
22:00.0
is very difficult
22:00.6
but this brings me
22:01.5
to the last point.
22:02.6
Naalala niyo yung picture
22:04.8
na shinier ko yan
22:06.4
andun lahat yung mga
22:07.2
opposition leaders
22:07.9
andun din si Leyla Dalima
22:09.6
which made of course
22:11.9
andun din si Lenny
22:13.1
and then andun sa gitnang-gitna
22:17.8
for a very long time
22:18.8
hindi gano'ng kaganda
22:20.3
ng mga liberal centrists
22:21.5
and leftist progressives
22:23.2
especially sa Pilipinas.
22:25.2
Sobrang grabe yung hidwaan
22:27.1
and not to mention
22:30.2
among leftists themselves.
22:34.2
was not just a picture
22:35.2
and I don't think
22:35.8
it was just a party
22:36.5
I think there was
22:37.0
much more to that
22:38.0
and I think it shows
22:42.0
with some openness of heart
22:49.6
you know soul searching
22:53.8
more and more people
22:54.5
like Franz Castro
22:57.6
of progressive movement
22:58.5
but also mainstream
23:02.4
she's the breakout star
23:06.0
Philippine politics
23:06.7
not because she's
23:07.9
the most important
23:08.6
in Philippine politics
23:11.4
where she started
23:18.3
the opposition should go
23:19.9
my position is very clear
23:21.8
it's an evidence based position
23:23.9
it's not just a position
23:28.3
not only the leader
23:29.1
of the opposition
23:33.0
of what could work
23:34.1
for the opposition
23:35.3
because if you look at
23:36.9
she won last year
23:38.9
in a very difficult race too
23:40.5
where no one else
23:41.3
from the opposition
23:41.8
won any national polls
23:45.2
a complete domination
23:46.2
of Marcos Duterte axis.
23:48.3
And if you look at it
23:49.3
she had many strengths
23:51.6
and one of her strengths
23:53.3
electoral strategy
23:54.3
so isang sa mga strength
24:03.1
dun sa Bisayan region
24:07.8
Filipino or English
24:09.0
ang primary language
24:10.4
that helped her a lot
24:13.8
grassroots movement
24:14.6
and the other thing
24:15.4
with Riza Ontiveros
24:16.2
is that she's very good
24:17.1
also in combining
24:18.3
progressive positioning
24:19.8
but also being very smart
24:21.0
about choosing her battles
24:22.1
and building coalitions
24:24.7
because kilala ko rin
24:25.9
yung ibang senador
24:26.6
na hindi necessarily
24:27.9
pero they actually
24:28.9
have a pretty decent
24:29.5
relationship with Riza Ontiveros
24:30.5
I think Rafi Tulfo
24:31.8
should be one of them
24:32.6
last time I checked
24:37.8
for the opposition
24:43.7
walk in her footsteps
24:44.7
and now we're seeing
24:45.9
with Franz Castro
24:46.8
with Riza Ontiveros
24:47.8
with more and more
24:53.5
we may have more role models
24:59.0
dapat may konting tapang
25:00.6
may konting conviction
25:01.6
but also may konting
25:03.5
and electoral acumen
25:09.6
ng kahit isang dalawang pesto
25:14.2
it's a fight worth fighting
25:16.4
but more than that
25:17.8
that has to be fought
25:19.2
good luck sa Pilipinas
25:20.4
alam ko dami sa inyo
25:22.5
except yung mga kadidihas
25:26.7
na na-marginalize
25:29.9
never Duterte dyan
25:31.1
may timing ngayon
25:32.1
ng mga never Marcos
25:33.7
let's be absolutely clear
25:36.1
let's be absolutely clear
25:37.5
there's a very good chance
25:39.7
we may have a totally
25:42.6
constitutional order
25:43.3
and pwede totally
25:45.0
ang liberal progressive
25:46.4
opposition for good
25:47.8
so they have to fight
25:49.2
and they have to fight
25:49.9
it smarter and better
25:52.2
traditional liberalism
25:53.4
it's not what I think
25:54.1
it's the evidence
25:57.2
pre-election survey
25:59.9
are also showing that
26:00.9
so something drastic
26:02.2
has to be done here
26:04.6
new personalities
26:07.3
or all of the above
26:10.1
thank you very much
26:14.0
diretso na sa Beijing yan
26:17.6
maganding EV batter nyo
26:19.1
huwag na kayo magalit sa akin
26:21.1
thank you very much
26:22.1
din sa ating mga YouTubers
26:23.2
mga kaibigan natin
26:24.7
and thank you very much
26:25.3
also sa mga kausap natin
26:30.0
isang oras na ba tayo
26:33.2
actually I like it
26:36.3
I did this diretso lang
26:37.7
because I've been
26:38.2
I was writing about it
26:39.3
I mean that's the thing about
26:41.4
because when you're a writer
26:42.3
you really have to
26:43.0
organize your thoughts
26:43.8
you have to really
26:46.0
and you have to have
26:48.1
so ako I'm very very
26:50.0
thankful dahil dyan
26:52.0
pasensya na ako yan
26:52.9
si Ivan nagagalit
26:53.7
kasi sabi ko dapat
26:55.7
and then sabi ko huwag na
26:56.4
baka tulog na yung mga tao
26:57.6
but ipopost naman natin
27:04.7
I have to prioritize
27:06.1
medyo malakas na tayo
27:09.1
so kailangan ko mag
27:12.8
monetize yung Twitter
27:14.7
hindi rin naman monetize
27:18.2
thank you very much
27:19.4
and talk to you soon
27:22.7
and hopefully in the future
27:23.4
we can also bring space
27:24.4
I'll use na lang my other phone
27:25.8
hopefully it's own internet
27:27.5
thank you very much
27:28.6
mabuhay ang Pilipinas
27:29.6
and talk to you soon
