01:22.1
Yung ByteDance company is really Chinese
01:23.9
And obviously alam nyo naman lahat ng mga concerns na ni-raise about data privacy, about potential disinformation, weaponization, etc
01:32.5
So in fairness naman, we had a very constructive conversation
01:36.4
Katulad ng sinasabi ko parati, may position naman ako dun sa issue ng TikTok
01:42.3
At parati ko sinasabi, hindi ko naman sinisingal out ang TikTok dahil may China angle
01:46.8
Nag-raise din po tayo ng concerns sa iba't platforms
01:49.8
Kung maalala ng ibang kameta natin, back in 2020
01:53.9
For almost two months na wala po tayo ng page sa Facebook before
02:03.5
So very traumatic na yung experience
02:04.9
I never got a proper explanation from them except that nakaraan ng glitch
02:08.9
Napaka-unresponsive ng Facebook Philippines back in the day
02:12.4
Pinagalitan ko na, so in-escalate ko yung issue sa HQ nila
02:16.2
And eventually from HQ nila, bumaba yung issue and then inutusan yung mga tao nila dito at inayos na
02:22.1
But anyways, after that naman, bumawa naman sila
02:23.9
sila, mga Claire, etc. So thank you, thank you
02:25.7
thank you sa mga Facebook Philippines
02:27.9
for eventually helping with some of these issues
02:29.6
I'm hoping ako sa ma-resolve
02:32.0
din yung mga issues ng mga ibang kaibigan natin
02:34.9
pwede mo i-check para ano
02:38.0
sana rin ma-resolve
02:40.1
yung issues ng mga kaibigan natin
02:41.9
katulad nila Mark Gamboa, among others
02:44.0
parang alam ko pati sila
02:46.9
yung kaibigan natin
02:47.9
si Attorney Libayan rin yata, parang na-apectuhan
02:50.0
yung kanyang account, kasi may mga nagka-comment
02:52.0
nung isang araw na, eh eto si
02:56.1
eto sila, nagpapatawan
02:58.4
sila ni Banat Bay, ganun ganun
03:00.1
ay, no sound pa rin?
03:01.8
matanggalin ko nga ito, ayan, may sound na?
03:03.8
sorry ha, sa mga ka-TikTokers
03:05.2
anyway, no no no, so
03:07.0
sinasabi ko lang na marami tayong issues sa mga
03:09.8
iba't ibang platforms, but yung isang
03:11.8
buwan, nagkaroon din ang problema, kasi
03:13.9
nung kasagsagan ng
03:19.5
Yung Insyol, nag-post tayo
03:22.0
analysis ukol sa West Philippine Sea
03:24.3
pero parang for some reason, hindi sila
03:25.9
napapublish, actually, lima yung pinos ko
03:28.1
yung total, na-delete ko yung dalawa-tato dyan, pero yung
03:30.0
dalawa dyan, hindi rin sila napublish for days
03:31.9
may screen start na tayo na and all of that, so
03:33.6
anyway, I had some concerns about that, but in fairness naman
03:35.7
salamat kay Sir Toph
03:38.0
sa Ibea, yung mga kaibigan natin sa
03:39.9
TikTok Philippines, you know, at least
03:41.2
we had a very constructive conversation
03:43.6
at sabi ko nga, kahit meron akong may
03:45.8
kahit may mga disagreement ako sa
03:47.7
sa polisiya ng China
03:49.5
kahit may konting disagreement tayo dun sa
03:51.6
polisiya nila sa West Philippine
03:54.0
Sea, kahit may mga
03:55.6
disagreements tayo sa
03:56.8
you know, some things here and there, I think there are
03:59.9
a lot of good things that also TikTok can do for the
04:01.8
Philippines, particularly in terms of
04:03.9
creating a more inclusive
04:05.1
environment sa social media
04:07.9
kasi alam nyo naman, yung
04:09.7
at ito yung gusto kong
04:11.6
sa explanation ng mga kaibigan natin sa TikTok
04:13.6
Philippines is, pag tinignan mo yung TikTok
04:17.8
algorithm niya, it's interest-based rather
04:19.9
than social network-based
04:21.6
diba, kasi pagdating sa mga
04:23.6
traditional social media platforms
04:25.8
katulad ng Facebook
04:27.5
YouTube to a certain degree and
04:29.5
Instagram especially, marami kang
04:31.9
engagement sa mga posts mo
04:33.8
kung marami ka rin mga kaibigan, friends
04:35.7
and followers, sa TikTok hindi mo kailangan
04:37.9
yan, kahit halos wala kang kaibigan or followers
04:41.6
may kaibigan ka sa totoong buhay
04:43.1
pwede ka magkaroon ng mga viral videos
04:45.3
yung first video pa lang natin sa TikTok
04:47.6
more than 100,000 views ang nakuha niya
04:49.8
at wala akong halos, wala akong
04:51.6
halos zero ang followers natin
04:54.1
now, of course, pwede naman sabihin dahil siguro
04:57.1
medyo kilala ka ng iba, hindi naman marami
04:59.7
pero yung iba, no, pero pansin ko
05:01.7
yung algorithm niya, it allows for
05:03.7
anyone na hindi naman kailangan na-establish
05:05.5
hindi naman kailangan na marami followers
05:07.1
hindi naman kailangan na marami friends na social
05:09.4
pwede kang at least
05:11.6
magkakaroon ng 15 seconds of fame
05:13.3
and more importantly
05:18.1
with TikTok is dahil entertainment
05:21.6
madali yan para sa
05:27.7
to create something na ma-appreciate
05:30.2
ng taong bayan, no, because yun nga
05:32.1
kasi, for instance, sa Twitter
05:33.8
kailangan na medyo magaling ka sa prose
05:36.2
or magaling ka sa
05:37.6
medyo wordsmith ka, or alam mo paano mo
05:42.6
yung mga komplikadong
05:45.6
probably half a sentence or so
05:47.8
so medyo may pagka-poetry dyan, diba
05:49.8
sa Facebook naman
05:51.6
maganda yung packaging, production, etc
05:54.4
sa TikTok, kahit ano lang
05:55.6
kahit simple lang production mo
05:58.6
kahit hindi bongga yung production mo
06:00.6
kahit nagsiselfie ka lang dyan
06:02.9
sa, you know, sa tapay-tapay
06:06.0
ang magiging engagement po dyan
06:07.5
so it's much more inclusive
06:09.2
in a sense that it allows for
06:12.2
a zero to hero situation
06:14.0
much faster than any other algorithm
06:16.0
so kunyari dito sa TikTok
06:18.0
ilan lang post natin, naka 20-30,000 followers na tayo
06:21.3
obviously hindi ako kasing active sa TikTok
06:24.2
until recently, so sana maayos natin yan
06:26.3
pero ako nga, ang hirap makakuha ng
06:28.2
100,000 followers sa Twitter
06:29.6
it took us half a decade to get
06:32.2
around 100,000 followers there
06:33.5
so there's something
06:36.2
very interesting about TikTok, at alam natin
06:37.9
yung TikTok, very appealing ito
06:41.9
and alam din natin
06:44.2
na increasingly, ba't yung mga hindi kabataan
06:46.4
masyado, katulad natin ng mga
06:48.0
medyo older millennials, yung mga Gen X
06:51.3
yung mga katulad ng mga mighty magulang
06:54.2
medyo successful talaga sila sa TikTok
06:56.4
and one of the good things I also like about TikTok
06:58.2
recently is yung tinatawag na
07:00.6
among others, so in short
07:03.0
I still have my strong position
07:05.6
pagdating sa potential influence
07:08.5
of the Communist Party of China
07:09.8
dun sa operations of big Chinese
07:12.4
originated companies
07:13.6
whether it's Huawei, whether it's ZTE
07:16.4
but also it is certainly by chance
07:17.9
but I also appreciate
07:19.6
yung engagement natin with our friends
07:22.4
dyan sa TikTok Philippines
07:23.5
and I also appreciate the other things that TikTok is doing
07:25.6
na hindi related sa politics
07:27.0
at nakaka-contribute
07:29.0
sa social inclusion, social development
07:31.4
not to mention yung mga malilit na mga negosyo
07:33.8
so maraming actually, hindi naman umaman lahat
07:36.0
pero marami din nang nagkaroon ng
07:40.1
nagkaroon ng konting livelihood
07:44.7
kasi nakakabenta sila ng TikTok
07:46.4
although of course
07:47.4
ang suggestion ko dyan
07:49.6
know also about taxes
07:50.8
kasi kailangan nyo magwaya ng base
07:53.1
kung umingikita kayo kahit sa online purchase
07:55.3
so nakaka-contribute din ito sa small and medium enterprises
07:58.4
especially small enterprises
08:00.2
dyan sa ating emerging digital economy
08:03.2
now having said all of that
08:04.2
punta na naman tayo sa diskusyon natin
08:09.1
so actually kahapon pa lang
08:10.4
lumabas na itong mga surveys
08:12.7
Pulse Asia survey
08:13.8
in-email naman sa atin ng Pulse Asia survey
08:16.2
so if you look at the big survey agencies
08:20.1
they email it to you
08:21.6
so may email list sila ng mga journalists
08:24.3
mga tao na email sa'yo
08:25.4
bago ito napapublish sa media
08:28.3
yung mga iba naman
08:28.8
kung medyo kaibigan mo naman yung boss
08:30.6
ng survey agencies
08:31.8
minsan gina-viber lang sa'yo
08:35.4
nakita ko lang sa email ko kahapon
08:36.8
na most urgent issue
08:39.7
but it looks like
08:41.3
lumabas na rin yung
08:42.5
kompleto pala siya eh
08:44.0
so andun rin pala yung approval ratings
08:45.7
ng ating mga politiko
08:48.4
si President Trump
08:50.4
and Saturday the 13th
08:52.7
umakyat ang approval ratings
08:54.3
ng mga top leaders natin
08:55.6
although very marginally
08:58.2
so at least hindi bumaba lalo
08:59.7
kasi nakita natin
09:01.1
diba naalala nyo yung
09:04.9
double digit drop
09:07.3
yung top leaders natin
09:09.2
grabe yung backs up ng numbers niya
09:11.2
so now his numbers are closer
09:16.9
dun sa mga nakaroon na
09:19.6
well President Duterte
09:20.4
medyo 80-90% siya
09:22.1
but most of our other presidents
09:24.7
Cory, Ramos, Erap
09:28.0
Arroyo not as a president
09:29.5
but as a vice president
09:31.4
medyo mga ganitong
09:32.6
level yung kanilang
09:34.8
at this point in time
09:35.9
pag-usapan natin yan
09:37.5
ang gusto ko talagang
09:40.6
pag sinasabi ko meta
09:44.1
actually meta means
09:46.6
so like meta narratives
09:49.4
kaya nga pinalitan din
09:50.7
ang pangalan ni Zuckerberg
09:51.6
pero bago pinalitan ni Zuckerberg
09:53.0
ang pangalan ng Facebook
09:53.7
naisip ko na yung meta na yan
10:05.0
balikan natin itong mga
10:10.5
actually gusto ko pag-usapan
10:17.3
sa Philippine economy
10:22.8
inflation is going down
10:23.9
but at the same time
10:25.1
FDI and foreign investment
10:26.3
is also not doing good
10:27.3
so let's look at that
10:29.2
pag-usapan muna natin
10:30.0
medyo mag-politika tayo
10:31.4
pag-usapan natin ito
10:33.9
na nakikita natin
10:37.4
sa ating mga kaibigan
10:40.8
ng mga ganitong surveys
10:52.5
bakit walang sound
10:54.8
ka-TikTokers natin
10:59.1
isa pang gusto kong baguin
11:05.4
gamitin yung TikTok
11:07.2
other kinds of engagement
11:08.2
katulad ng ginagawa natin
11:09.4
political analysis
11:11.0
may mga kasama din tayo
11:12.7
ginagamit ng TikTok
11:16.0
for financial literacy
11:20.9
mag-decision na tayo
11:22.1
in the next 12 hours
11:23.0
magkakaroon din ng
11:24.0
development yata sa Bitcoin
11:25.7
wala si Kristan eh
11:27.6
patulong saan na ako
11:28.9
bibili ng Bitcoin
11:30.9
nasistress ako dyan
11:33.2
sa Bitcoin na yan
11:35.1
malaking decision niyan
11:36.7
hindi naman malaking pera
11:38.2
yung lalagyan natin
11:41.4
malaking issue yan
11:45.3
na medyo nasistress ako ngayon
11:46.3
iniisip ko kung bibili pa ako
11:47.5
ng isa pang 4K na camera
11:50.5
may mga iniisip tayo
11:51.5
na gagawin na solid
11:54.9
solid ng mga travels
11:56.6
international travels
11:57.4
I was thinking siguro
11:58.0
kulang itong mga cameras natin
11:59.5
gusto kong maganda
12:00.4
nag-research pa ako
12:01.7
mga gandang RX100
12:03.7
ano ba yung best versions
12:05.3
aso nga medyo mahal
12:06.6
baka check ko na lang
12:08.5
yung mga ganitong bagay
12:11.0
kasi check ko pa yung mga
12:12.0
kasi kailangan natin
12:13.7
medyo upgrade na rin natin
12:15.3
yung production natin
12:16.3
because I'm looking at
12:17.2
doing some sort of
12:19.0
travel kind of analysis
12:20.4
kind of Haydarian style
12:22.5
pag-usapan natin ito
12:25.1
I'll have to do a
12:30.2
sa mga kamayatan natin
12:32.9
doon sa outreach program
12:34.4
natin sa Mindanao
12:35.4
sa Surigao del Norte
12:37.4
ipopost ko yung mga pictures
12:39.6
yung mga chinelas
12:41.7
yung mga school supplies
12:42.7
yung mga vitamins
12:44.1
binili ng ating mga kaibigan
12:49.8
so thank you so much
12:50.6
sa lahat ng mga kamayatan natin
12:51.9
na nagpadala ng support
12:53.8
so diniretso ko na rin yan
12:56.2
dun sa ating mga kaibigan
12:59.7
we hope to continue
13:01.2
yung mga ganitong efforts
13:02.1
and hopefully we'll also have
13:03.7
dito sa Metro Manila naman
13:07.2
konting tulong na lang natin
13:13.9
intellectual contribution
13:15.0
medyo konting contribution
13:19.6
kasi dinistribute natin yan
13:22.0
nung panahon ng Christmas
13:23.4
at saka papuntang New Year
13:24.6
so malaking blessing po
13:26.2
so thank you so much
13:28.0
sa lahat ng mga kamayatan
13:29.0
na nagpadala ng support
13:31.2
dun sa outreach program
13:33.8
so hopefully we'll have
13:35.2
including dito sa Metro Manila
13:37.3
at saka mga underprivileged areas
13:39.5
thank you so much
13:40.8
now balikan natin ito
13:52.8
kung tinignan niyo yung survey
13:54.0
Pulse Asia survey
13:56.0
hindi lang dahil best siya
13:58.3
kung tinignan mo yung pag-asa
13:59.5
ng mga opposition
14:00.5
sa Senado next year
14:01.6
ang pinaka hopeful
14:03.1
actually Pulse Asia
14:04.0
katulad ng inaanalyze
14:05.6
natin nung isang araw
14:08.9
tatlong kandidato
14:10.0
from the opposition
14:10.7
who could make it
14:13.6
sobrang hopeless case
14:15.0
digong pang number one
14:16.3
dun sa isang survey
14:20.6
i-bash yung Pulse Asia
14:21.7
basahin nyo naman
14:22.7
uy di naman na kayo
14:25.4
nung bumaba yung approval
14:26.3
nila sa Pulse Asia
14:27.4
eh huwag tayong gano'n
14:29.4
ayaw ko yung ganyan style
14:32.0
hindi mo ganang performance
14:34.6
tapos pag medyo magumanda
14:36.9
ayaw mo na sa survey
14:40.1
huwag hindi kita inaaway
14:42.2
hindi naman ikaw lang ganyan
14:43.6
I mean lahat naman tayo
14:45.5
pasensya na sir ha
14:49.7
pero actually agree ako
14:55.4
na may konting conditioning
15:01.3
wala kang pag-asa
15:03.3
mawawala ng pag-asa
15:04.7
yung mga funders mo
15:06.5
self-fulfilling profits yan
15:08.4
sino magta-top and all
15:14.0
is quite questionable
15:14.8
but it's conditioning
15:15.5
to a certain degree
15:16.3
in terms of filtering out
15:17.4
yung mga medyo outliers
15:25.3
eto balikan natin
15:26.1
itong Paul Saycia survey na ito
15:27.7
bago kayo mag-bash na naman
15:29.7
yan kasi ang ayoko
15:35.4
ikaw question yan
15:37.1
ikaw question yan
15:39.7
basehan natin ngayon
15:53.3
na gusto kong pag-usapan
15:54.5
dahil dito nakikita natin
15:55.9
na maraming kakulangan talaga
15:57.3
may maraming kakulangan
15:58.6
ng BBM administration
15:59.8
oh yung mga DDS natin
16:01.5
kahit matutuwa naman kayo sa akin
16:03.9
kakritisize naman natin
16:11.5
parang one point lang nga itong
16:13.3
so etong interesting mga kameta
16:17.5
ang approval niya
16:20.3
so hindi ganun kataas
16:22.5
usually we'd expect 70% plus
16:24.1
pero within the margin of error
16:25.2
more or less of around 70%
16:32.0
which is quite interesting
16:35.1
pwede mong isipin dyan
16:36.2
siguro isang daylan
16:38.4
mas apektado siguro
16:39.9
yung mga region ng Mindanao
16:43.2
yung ekonomiya natin
16:44.6
ay hindi gano'ng kaganda
16:46.7
pag medyo tumataas
16:47.8
yung presyo ng mga bilihin
16:51.1
na pag-usapan natin
16:52.1
in the next slide
16:52.8
don't worry about it
16:53.7
so I think may kinalaman dyan
16:55.4
pero more importantly
16:56.4
I think may kinalaman din eto
17:02.4
or whatever UNITEAM
17:04.1
whatever is left of UNITEAM
17:06.2
the reason man sabi ko yan
17:09.3
taga solid north tayo
17:10.6
so pag nagsasabi nyo yun
17:11.3
sa solid north ka
17:12.5
sa north ka ng Philippines
17:14.4
Ilocos siguro bago gano'n
17:15.7
marami kang marinig
17:17.2
hindi gano'ng ka natutuwa
17:21.0
inaaway yung kanilang
17:25.7
so I won't be surprised
17:27.9
may mga hindi rin natutuwa
17:30.3
hindi naman BBM mismo
17:32.2
pero yung administration na
17:33.7
o yung mga aliado na
17:34.6
inaaway si Lazara
17:35.7
o inaaway si Digong
17:37.4
inaaway ni Digong yung mga yan
17:38.7
so parang tingin nila
17:39.5
hindi gano'ng paganda
17:40.1
so I'm not surprised
17:41.7
na ang pinakamawaba
17:45.1
is actually Mindanao
17:47.4
but I think the other
17:48.7
interesting and surprising things
17:50.2
or maybe not so surprising
17:53.1
socioeconomic class
17:55.3
in terms of support
17:58.8
eto yung middle class
18:00.1
now this is interestingly
18:04.1
these are the facts
18:05.9
hindi ko alam yung mga
18:08.2
dyan sa mga dilawan circles
18:11.4
eto yung tinatawag na
18:12.8
disciplinary politics
18:13.9
we have many examples
18:25.2
the coups against
18:26.5
first coups against
18:29.3
we have many examples
18:30.8
not to mention also
18:32.3
we have many examples
18:35.2
yung middle class
18:36.3
nagside dun sa mga
18:37.3
right wing populists
00:00.0
19:10.120 --> 19:10.620
19:13.9
democratic system
19:16.8
kung meron silang
19:19.6
na tingin kung saan
19:25.4
in so many different ways
19:27.7
and there's a fear of
19:33.9
these are historical cases
19:35.6
whether it's Chile
19:41.5
actually middle classes
19:43.2
sa isang demagogic populist
19:47.7
si Digong actually
19:49.1
among middle classes
19:51.0
Digong did very well
19:51.9
in some pre-election surveys
19:53.3
among top officials
19:54.5
of Department of Finance
19:56.9
a lot of business groups
20:00.8
from some of my friends
20:02.3
sa mga big corporations
20:03.5
dito sa Philippines
20:04.2
nag-internal survey sila
20:13.4
oh pag edukado ka
20:16.8
yung mga progressive
20:19.7
there's no evidence
20:28.5
based on the literature
20:29.3
there are many instances
20:30.9
whereby the middle class
20:32.2
tends to actually support
20:33.7
more authoritarian
20:35.8
or right wing populist
20:37.5
if I'm not mistaken
20:38.7
the latest one is
20:45.7
na super right wing
20:47.4
na crazy libertarian
20:48.6
maraming yung middle class
20:50.5
na supporta sa kanya
20:51.7
dahil ayaw na ayaw nila
20:56.2
na naranasan nila
20:58.0
so there's absolutely
21:02.3
isang tao ay edukado
21:03.4
ayun na galing sa
21:07.6
3 million per year
21:08.4
if not 1 million per year
21:12.8
there's absolutely
21:13.9
no evidence for that
21:14.6
in fact the evidence
21:16.3
opposite direction
21:17.2
in social conditions
21:18.8
like what we have
21:19.7
in the Philippines
21:22.1
failed state institutions
21:24.2
bad infrastructure
21:26.5
with democratic system
21:27.8
marami tayong lecturers
21:29.2
and you're free to read
21:31.1
The Rise of Duterte
21:34.1
kung saan in-explain ko
21:36.8
and you're also free to read
21:38.3
yung ating journal article
21:40.1
on Journal of Democracy
21:43.5
the Marcos Dynasty
21:45.2
in-explain ko yan
21:47.0
with historical analysis
21:49.2
nagsasalita ng kwentong barbero
21:50.9
gustong-gusto ko naman
21:51.9
yung mga kwentong barbero
21:53.6
gusto kong kausap
21:54.3
mga kaibigan natin
21:55.8
when I say kwentong barbero
21:57.7
hanggang ano lang
22:00.0
pero walang basihan
22:02.3
empirical evidence
22:04.0
sinabi niya ganito
22:04.8
hindi pa rin chismis
22:06.2
sa political analysis
22:09.1
pero yung political analysis
22:10.1
medyo ayay sa isin mo naman yan
22:20.2
of the middle classes
22:21.8
majority support him
22:22.9
but it doesn't look
22:26.4
for people like BBM
22:29.9
and the Duterte brand
22:41.7
not primary reason
22:42.6
of course primary reason
22:43.5
is yung UNIT team
22:46.9
sa Mindanao siguro
22:50.9
from the very beginning
22:51.6
hindi ka lang kataas
22:56.3
yung mga kaibigan natin
23:00.7
pag tumaas talaga
23:07.3
not entire Mindanao
23:08.6
but certain regions
23:09.8
so if you're looking for that
23:10.4
incidence of poverty
23:11.7
the poorest regions
23:13.0
tend to be in Mindanao
23:15.6
and incidence of poverty
23:17.9
than Luzon for instance
23:20.0
to a certain degree
23:23.4
we have a situation
23:24.8
the wealthiest Filipinos
23:27.9
katulad na yung explain ko
23:30.3
na magkaroon ka ng survey
23:32.3
eto yung mga mayayaman
23:36.4
eto yung naka BMW
23:40.3
are both gonna be
23:43.5
mag-survey sa mga yan
23:47.9
that it's irrelevant
23:48.6
in electoral terms
23:50.3
in political economic terms
23:51.5
because sa kanina yung pera
23:53.4
so this is an interesting case
23:56.5
it's worth looking at
23:58.3
are not too far away
24:01.2
eto yung urban poor
24:03.0
na pinakamalaking demographic
24:04.1
I think it's 55 to 60%
24:10.7
so you would have thought
24:13.3
dapat pinakamahina si BBM
24:15.0
because yung inflation issue
24:16.2
which we'll discuss shortly
24:17.3
sa ala do 30 naman
24:18.5
her numbers are at 74%
24:20.3
so that makes her
24:23.0
top official in the country
24:28.7
and way ahead of Romualdo
24:30.0
it's actually surprising
24:30.7
ang baba ng approval
24:36.8
the Romualdo's case later on
24:37.8
this is quite interesting
24:39.5
because I remember
24:40.8
the House Speaker
24:43.9
mas mataas yung numero nila
24:46.0
sa nakarana administration
24:48.3
ayan si Francis Cayetano
24:52.3
explain mo na yung mga
24:53.7
we can have a totally
24:54.5
different vlog on that
24:55.8
yung kaso ni Peron
24:57.4
is very very interesting
25:00.4
pinag-usapan natin
25:01.7
sabi ko yung ginagawa
25:03.4
andun pa rin yung macho
25:05.6
right wing populist
25:07.3
but at the same time
25:08.0
pumaposition din siya
25:08.9
to the other side
25:12.2
medyo progressive
25:13.4
si Peron ay medyo
25:15.8
maabang usapan din
25:17.0
we can talk about
25:18.9
in different lecture
25:20.3
dapat hindi lang live video
25:21.5
don't worry mga kamay
25:22.2
tama yung working number
25:24.2
lecture type videos
25:25.6
but going back to this
25:32.8
and slightly ahead
25:35.0
so with margin of error
25:36.7
almost in the same range
25:49.9
she slightly does
26:01.7
with a margin of error
26:25.8
and in NCR region
26:28.0
which is the most
26:28.6
populous and developed
26:29.4
regions of the country
26:32.3
bakit andito si Dino
26:35.7
interesting situation
26:36.7
we're seeing here
26:38.3
pag tinignan mo naman
26:42.6
ng approval ni Sara
26:53.7
ito yung sinasabi ko
26:56.1
ito yung sinasabi ko
26:59.7
ito yung sinasabi ko
27:09.5
so ito yung sinasabi ko
27:13.9
na sinasabi ng ibang tao
27:22.9
we can talk about
27:25.7
pero hindi sa Pilipinas
27:28.0
hindi yun yung trend
27:29.2
in the past 10 years
27:30.1
basta sa mga service
27:31.0
may nagtatanong sa
27:35.8
please just go to
27:38.9
marami tayong mga
27:40.8
but we'll have more
27:41.4
discussions on that
27:42.7
don't worry about it
27:45.0
yung live natin dito
27:46.2
pinag-usapan din natin
27:49.8
concerned din si Digong
27:52.9
ang may baraha dito
27:58.6
we see sa Duterte
28:00.7
actually surprises me
28:03.7
and interestingly
28:05.5
ni Martin Romualdo
28:09.1
kung maalala niyo
28:10.8
tambalos-los na away
28:12.2
eh ang kabanggan niya
28:14.0
yung taga Mindanao
28:21.0
yung kanya approval
28:23.8
kung may isa dyan
28:29.0
in the presidential race
28:41.1
so hindi na kailangan
28:41.7
tumakbo sa election
28:43.5
ay galing sa isang party
28:44.9
na pinakamalaking
28:47.9
leader ng party niyan
28:49.3
maging prime minister
28:51.3
I'm looking at this
28:53.3
Sara still looks to me
28:56.5
competitive candidate
29:05.4
na potential positioning
29:06.4
for the next highest office
29:07.7
whether it's Zubiri
29:11.0
now let's go to the
29:13.1
which is literally
29:16.7
mahalaga sa ating mga kabahay
29:18.3
and this is where
29:18.9
things get interesting
29:20.4
eto na naman yung
29:21.7
kaya nga nag-react tayo
29:23.3
dun sa nangyayari
29:24.9
parang sinisig agad
29:26.7
yung kanyang writers
29:29.1
when things go wrong
29:30.2
ang style ng iba dyan
29:31.5
sisisihin yung mga
29:33.9
when things go right
29:35.1
they claim all the credit
29:39.2
so yun yung tendency
29:42.0
when things go right
29:46.7
ng ating minamahal
29:48.4
and then when things go wrong
29:49.5
ay dahil yan dun sa
29:50.6
palpak niyang assistant
29:52.0
dahil yan sa asawa niya
29:53.4
dahil yan sa ganyan niya
29:55.0
that's the problem
29:56.5
we have in politics
29:58.9
because we're very quick
30:00.8
in other direction
30:01.4
when things go wrong
30:02.2
but we're always happy
30:03.9
to give all the credit
30:04.9
to mga lodis natin
30:06.5
when things go right
30:07.3
even if we're not
30:07.7
if hindi naman talaga silang
30:08.6
may responsibility
30:09.9
talaga directly dyan
30:11.0
dahil yan sa magaling
30:13.5
so on and so forth
30:15.1
let's go to this other issue
30:16.8
if you look at it
30:19.0
actually ang pinakamahalaga
30:20.4
para sa ating mga kababayan
30:22.6
ay hindi issue ng droga
30:26.3
ang pinakamahalaga
30:28.0
para sa ating mga kababayan
30:29.2
is what you would expect
30:31.3
what you would always expect
30:38.9
control of inflation
30:41.0
which was a very very big problem
30:45.5
ang laking laking problema niyan
30:46.8
so kung tinignan mo sa
30:50.9
yung approval ratings
30:53.4
ay hindi ganang kataas
30:57.3
actually the approval ratings
31:02.1
in the 4th quarter of last year
31:12.8
sorry hindi ito approval
31:14.1
it's just the urgency pala
31:18.0
medyo mas less urgent
31:21.8
didn't make sense to me
31:22.9
kasi bumaba actually
31:32.0
because this is within the margin
31:34.3
but still inflation
31:36.0
is the majority issue
31:45.4
so related dalawa yan
31:46.4
especially yung sahot
31:50.5
kung tumaas ang presyo
31:54.7
mas mataas ang sahot mo
31:55.6
para maka-afford mo
31:56.3
so related talaga yung dalawa na yan
31:57.5
so kung bumaba yung isa
31:58.3
bumaba din yung isa
32:00.4
positively correlated
32:02.1
and then employment
32:03.5
statistically the same
32:04.9
reducing the poverty
32:10.5
pag tinignan nyo dito
32:11.6
hindi ganon ka-priority
32:13.1
ang fighting corruption
32:14.8
so pala tinatang sinabi
32:15.6
galit ang Pilipinas
32:18.3
when you look at the service
32:19.0
it doesn't look like
32:23.7
rather than fighting
32:29.1
that whole thing about
32:30.4
malinis na gobyerno
32:32.1
tapat na gobyerno
32:33.1
the reason na hindi gumagana ito
32:36.2
in as much as before
32:39.6
may mga mas mahalika
32:41.0
para sa ating mga kababayan
32:45.4
ang fighting corruption
32:52.2
even fewer Filipinos
32:53.7
said that they're concerned
32:55.3
fighting corruption
32:56.3
as a top urgent issue
32:57.8
so hindi ganon ka-urgent
32:59.1
sa akin ng corruption
33:02.9
dahil hindi ganon
33:03.8
ka-corrupt yung sistema natin
33:05.4
I'm not sure about that
33:10.6
na given na talaga
33:11.3
magkakakuan ng certain degree
33:12.7
so this is what I'm saying
33:16.1
yung style ng opposition
33:17.1
ng tapat na gobyerno
33:20.5
ang hinanap ng tao
33:21.7
decisive leadership
33:22.7
ang hinanap ng tao
33:26.1
tapat na gobyerno
33:31.5
will be okay with it
33:35.8
fighting graphing corruption
33:37.6
urgency ang pinag-usapan
33:40.2
ng walang corruption
33:42.5
super priority yan
33:44.2
so these are the things
33:45.5
that we have to keep in mind
33:50.5
the approval ratings
33:51.5
I'm trying to bring out
33:52.3
the other surveys
33:56.7
dun sa management
34:10.0
ng Marcos administration
34:11.3
so it's quite interesting
34:12.2
inflation is the number one issue
34:20.4
of the government's
34:23.1
handling of inflation
34:24.5
and yet the president
34:25.8
and the vice president
34:27.1
70% approval rating
34:28.4
parang medyo weird yan
34:30.4
I mean does it even make sense
34:32.1
surveys cannot be just
34:33.4
taken on face value
34:36.0
interrogate surveys
34:37.5
not yung style na
34:39.0
lahat ng survey na yan
34:41.5
yung critical thinking
34:44.0
so kung titignan mo
34:45.8
so yun yung weird ha
34:46.8
eto yung weird talaga
34:49.2
so ulitin natin ha
35:02.7
ay hindi natutuwa
35:03.5
sa government management
35:08.1
na eto yung pinaka-urgent
35:09.4
etong inflation management
35:10.6
pero yung approval rating
35:13.0
at saka ni vice president
35:13.9
ay around 70% too
35:15.7
so how does that make sense
35:20.3
ay hindi natutuwa
35:21.8
ng isang issue na
35:23.6
sa karamihan ng tao
35:25.0
then bakit ang taas
35:26.3
ng approval ratings
35:27.6
at vice president mo
35:34.2
that the survey is legit
35:35.3
the methodology is good
35:36.3
but you still have to
35:39.4
so kaya nga sabi ko
35:46.1
on a case-to-case basis
35:48.3
when it comes to key policies
35:50.7
kung ano talagang
35:51.4
sentimento ng tao
35:53.2
we can have a long
35:53.9
conversation about this
35:56.7
kung na-interrogate mo
35:57.6
talaga yung survey
35:58.2
something don't make sense
36:00.7
during Digong's time
36:01.7
more than 7 out of 10
36:03.9
they approved the drug war
36:05.8
8 out of 10 Filipinos
36:06.7
said they're worried
36:07.7
they're worried about EJK
36:11.0
so how do you reconcile that
36:12.9
parang ridiculous
36:16.6
eto yung situation natin
36:21.6
as the most important
36:22.7
issue in the country
36:23.5
in terms of urgency
36:26.9
hindi sila natutuwa
36:27.8
dun sa management
36:28.9
and then more than 70%
36:33.8
at vice president mo
36:35.2
so that has to be
36:37.3
so you cannot just
36:38.8
take them on face value
36:39.8
in the same way na
36:42.8
approve the drug war
36:43.7
but more than 80%
36:45.7
or were concerned
36:48.2
so ano ibig sabihin yan
36:50.0
ang explanation ko was
36:51.1
they agree with the
36:52.3
drug war in principle
36:53.0
but they want a better
36:54.3
na hindi kasing bara-bara
36:55.7
siguro they want a drug war
36:56.8
minus all these EJKs
36:59.8
you cannot just take it
37:01.3
and say eto yung approval rating
37:02.5
therefore napakagaling
37:07.8
the good competent
37:09.2
presidents are actually
37:10.2
the ones that are not popular
37:11.4
because doing the right thing
37:12.6
is usually the unpopular thing
37:14.1
because doing the right thing
37:19.2
meaning may mga gagawin ka
37:27.0
sa una hindi ka natutuwa
37:28.9
pero in the long run
37:29.7
it's good for you
37:32.3
popularity numbers
37:35.2
actually do not mean much
37:36.7
what you have to look at
37:38.2
in terms of managing
37:39.2
the top and most important issues
37:44.0
these kinds of surveys
37:45.9
so if you look at it
37:49.2
so 70% of Filipinos
37:52.7
yung Marcos administration
37:53.6
performance on inflation
37:55.3
concern of 70% of people
37:59.1
net approval rating
38:00.4
on controlling inflation
38:08.9
of inflation issue
38:10.2
and so on and so forth
38:16.5
they're also not doing very well
38:20.6
kamusta naman yung
38:21.5
kalagayan ng ating ekonomiya
38:23.3
if you look at 2024
38:24.7
it's really a mixed bag
38:26.9
and because it's a mixed bag
38:29.0
ang maging laro dito is
38:31.6
hindi naman spinning
38:35.0
maging laro dito is
38:37.8
packaging and presentation
38:39.3
so I'll give you an example
38:40.6
so this is a very interesting case
38:42.9
nagsicheck lang ako
38:44.6
about foreign direct investments
38:45.7
of course yung mga
38:46.3
ibang kameta natin
38:47.3
familiar kayo dito
38:48.6
marami tayong mga vlogs
38:49.7
about industrial policy
38:52.3
yung mga kaibigan natin
38:56.4
my take on industrial
38:57.3
and trade policies
38:58.5
so we had a lot of
38:59.7
economics related vlogs dito
39:03.0
one of our best podcasts
39:07.4
industrial policy
39:09.4
and the responses
39:11.5
a number of ambassadors
39:14.1
so thank you so much
39:17.5
now going back to this
39:19.1
these are the things
39:19.6
that I find very interesting
39:20.4
in the Philippines
39:20.9
so I was just looking about
39:22.1
okay anong kalagayan
39:23.8
ng foreign direct investment
39:25.5
minamahal ng Pangulo
39:26.4
ang daming yung travels
39:28.2
mag travel ulit siya next week
39:29.3
pupunta naman Vietnam
39:32.9
almost two years na siya
39:35.8
lampas na sa isang taon
39:38.2
first major travels niya
39:42.4
nag New York na siya
39:45.1
nag Europe na siya
39:48.6
ang foreign direct
