00:36.7
Gusto kong pag-usapan, alam mo, maraming gusto kong pag-usapan na
00:39.7
Actually, I've been writing on
00:41.7
Doon sa mga international publications natin
00:44.0
And by the way, of course, meron tayong incoming journal articles
00:46.8
Journal of Democracy naman, di ba? Among others
00:48.8
So maraming tayong mga ginagawa, di ba?
00:51.3
Pagdaring sa academic works natin
00:52.6
Global tayong mga kameta
00:54.2
Pero, pagdaring sa Pilipinas
00:56.4
Dahil may paki naman tayo sa ating bansa
00:58.0
Dahil wala naman tayong manok pagdating sa politika
01:00.7
Pero, ang tanging concern po natin
01:03.9
Yung kalagayan na ating bansa
01:05.2
Yung welfare na ating mga kababayan
01:06.9
Ay, eto kasing problema
01:09.7
Every time na mag-update tayo sa Pilipin politics
01:13.2
May nangyari na naman na kakaiba
01:15.6
Kaya, ayan na, ayan na naman yung sasabihin natin
01:19.4
Kasi yun naman talaga, di ba?
01:21.0
Kung baga, kung si Insan, Mekos Mekos
01:24.4
Ang kanyang take dun sa kanyang mga
01:27.1
Ako naman, ang take ko sa politika natin
01:34.6
Anong gagawin ko?
01:36.1
Pilitin natin na happy everything?
01:38.2
Hindi naman talaga eh
01:40.3
Eto na, nagbubuljakan na
01:44.2
And today, feel ko matutuwa
01:46.8
Dalawang kampo sa akin
01:48.2
Ang mga matutuwa kampo sa akin today
01:55.5
Alright, talagang
01:56.5
Only in the Philippines, no?
01:58.1
Isang araw, binabash ako ng mga kadidyes
02:00.4
Tapos, pinuprotect tayo ng mga loyalista
02:04.5
The next day naman
02:05.3
Eto, baliktad naman
02:06.2
Medyo, dun naman tayo sa kabila
02:08.4
Alright, magpabash naman tayo sa kabilang kampo ngayon
02:11.6
Yayayayayayayayayayayayayayayayayayayayay
02:18.3
1987 Constitution
02:21.9
Pag-usapan natin yan mga kamay
02:24.4
Gusto kong mangyayari ngayon is
02:27.0
I-space din natin
02:28.6
Para four platforms na tayo
02:31.0
This will be the first time ever
02:32.4
First time ever na
02:38.8
Quadrilateral tayong
02:46.3
Kulang tayo ng mga dito
02:53.9
Key figures from both
02:55.9
The ideological opposition
02:58.3
Ibig sabihin liberal party
03:00.0
Progressive parties
03:01.4
At functional opposition
03:03.2
Essentially ito yung mga kampo ng mga Duterte
03:05.5
Or mga supporters of Duterte
03:07.0
Both of them raising alarm bells
03:09.5
Dito sa posibilidad
03:10.8
Na baka ma-railroad itong chacha
03:14.0
Na baka magkaroon tayo ng railroading
03:17.7
Pagdating sa ating infrastruktura
03:19.8
Medyo matagal-tagal na mag gumagawa ng mga
03:27.3
Pero pagdating sa politika natin
03:29.6
Mabilis-mabilis ang mga bagay-bagay
03:32.3
I-railroad ang mga bagay-bagay
03:35.2
Alright, okay, okay
03:38.2
So both Aimee Marcos
03:41.1
I just saw dito sa ating Twitter
03:43.8
Si Congressman Exel Lagman
03:47.1
Are making some very, very big
03:53.9
Some powers that be
03:57.0
Hindi natin alam saan galing mga pera na yan
03:59.6
May be using financial incentives
04:01.9
To push for charter change
04:05.0
Pag-usapan natin itong mga
04:07.1
Allegations na yan
04:08.1
At saka ano yung mga implications na yan
04:13.0
We need to have some background
04:14.5
And before talking about some background
04:17.4
Let's go to what I consider
04:20.1
As the worst ever
04:22.7
Political advertisement
04:27.0
Hindi ako magtataka
04:28.1
Na they'll be worse than that
04:29.5
Akala ko nga si Robin Padil
04:32.1
Yung mag-ano dyan eh
04:37.4
Ano muna tayo mga kamets
04:39.1
Mag special mention naman tayo dito sa
04:42.1
Itong nagtitrending na walang yang
04:44.4
Ilang klase talaga itong advertisement
04:48.8
Ieche puwera natin itong ano
04:53.0
Alam nyo na yan ito
04:57.5
Talagang ating bayan
05:02.8
Wait lang wait lang
05:06.1
Wala naman tayong
05:07.9
Twitter account na totoo dito
05:17.1
Ito very artistic work ito
05:20.7
Itong kaiwanan na to
05:25.2
Ito ito ito ito ito mga kamets
05:26.3
Pinag-hirapan naman daw to
05:28.9
Sino bang nag-bayad neto
05:32.3
Natawa naman ako in fairness sa ano niya
05:38.2
Tanggalin ko itong mga
05:40.1
Bumaba pa naman yung presya ng bitcoin
05:42.9
Si Christian sabi mo dyan
05:45.4
May chance na umakyat ang bitcoin price
05:47.4
Pag nagkaroon ng approval ng ETF
05:50.0
But we'll have a different discussion on bitcoin soon
05:52.7
Nagmo-monitor lang tayo ng Bitcoin.
05:54.9
Ayan. Hindi pa ako nakadecide kung Bitcoin ang bibiling ko
05:57.5
or isang 4K camera na RX100 or something like that
06:01.8
para sa vlogging natin, especially mga international vlogging natin.
06:05.2
Ito, balikan natin ito. Okay, okay. Baka sabihin nyo,
06:07.2
next style maharlig ka ako na ang daming eche-boreche
06:12.2
tapos 5 minutes lang yung analysis. Don't worry, guys.
06:14.2
We're going to do solid analysis. I'm just warming this up.
06:16.2
Okay, okay. Ito, ito, ito.
06:17.7
Sa pagbuo ng 1987 Constitution, naed sa puwera tayo.
06:24.2
Sa 1987 Constitution, natigil ang asenso natin.
06:28.2
Magandang edukasyon daw para sa lahat.
06:32.2
Pero pangako nanigas.
06:34.2
Ang pagpasok ng edukasyong dekalidad, ed sa puwera.
06:39.7
Masaganang agrikultura daw para sa lahat.
06:42.7
Ngunit pangako, napako.
06:44.7
Ang pinayaman ng konstitusyon, mamamakyaw.
06:48.7
Ang magsasaka, ed sa puwera.
06:50.7
Malusog na ekonomiya daw para sa lahat.
06:52.7
Pero pangako, nahinto.
06:54.7
Monopolya ang naghahari.
06:56.7
Land ownership ng foreign investors, ed sa puwera.
07:00.7
Panahon na lang, sisisin natin.
07:03.7
Panahon na para ayusin.
07:05.7
Itama ang hindi patas na 1987 Constitution.
07:11.2
Gawing saligang patas, ang saligang batas.
07:16.7
Sa pagbuo ng 1987 Constitution, naed sa puwera tayo.
07:20.7
Sa 1987 Constitution, natigil ang asenso natin.
07:24.7
Lahat na lang, sisisin natin sa ano.
07:26.7
Iniwan ako ng diyowa ko.
07:28.7
Isisin natin yan sa 1987 Constitution.
07:32.7
Hindi maganda yung buhok ko ngayon.
07:33.7
Isisin natin sa 1987 Constitution.
07:35.7
Hindi maganda yung panahon.
07:37.7
Iwan tayo ng mga kaibigan.
07:40.7
Yung Bitcoin po, hindi magandang labas kahapon.
07:44.7
Yan po ang problema.
07:45.7
Yan po ang problema.
07:46.7
Yan po ang problema sa mga kaewanan diyan.
07:49.7
Kung saan, pinipilit ang isang issue at very problematic yung logic.
07:54.7
Very, very problematic yung logic.
07:56.7
Because, let's not forget.
07:58.7
Ang problema ng corruption.
08:00.7
Ang problema ng mga oligarkiya.
08:02.7
Ang problema ng katrapuhan and political dynasties.
08:04.7
Hindi po ito ay nahulog sa atin bigla nung nag-sign po tayo, nag-ratify po tayo ng 1997 Constitution.
08:11.7
This problem has been with us for more than a hundred years.
08:15.7
So, if you want to go dun sa ugat ng problema, saan nagsimula yung problema ng Pilipinas,
08:19.7
you have to go very much to the beginning of introduction of Philippine democracy.
08:23.7
Nang ibang usapan yan.
08:24.7
But, I can suggest fantastic works like by Professor John Seidel, for instance,
08:29.7
whose contention is that the problem sa Philippines is nung na-introduce ang democratic elections sa Pilipinas,
08:35.7
the problem was that yung mga na-favor niya immediately ay yung mga political dynasties na from Spanish era pa lang.
08:43.7
So, it immediately allowed for...
08:44.7
Kasi dati may property rule pa eh.
08:47.7
Yung mga tao na may property lang pwede bumoto or pwede tumakbo.
08:51.7
So, you immediately created a first mover's advantage or actually structural advantage dun sa mga trapo and mga oligarchs and hacienderos
09:00.7
from pa noon pa ng mga Espanyol.
09:01.7
Kasi marami naman sa kanila yan eh.
09:03.7
Nag-defect ka agad dun sa new imperial power.
09:06.7
Once nawalang Spain, dun na sila ka agad sa Amerika, diba?
09:09.7
Kaya nga nagwala-wala si General Luna o Bayano sarili.
09:13.7
Ang daming katrapuhan.
09:14.7
So, ito yung mga prinsipales na naging political dynasties ng pa noon ni yung mga Amerikano,
09:18.7
sila yung pinaka nag-take advantage ng introduction of semi-democratic elections.
09:24.7
So, essentially, hinijack po nila yung democratic institutions na na-introduce ng mga Amerikano.
09:31.7
Ang problema is, in theory, dapat inaayos yan over time.
09:35.7
But the problem is that for the next hundred years, whatever constitution na ginawa,
09:39.7
whether yung constitution sa ilalim ni Marcos
09:41.7
or yung constitution na ginawa sa ilalim ni Corazon Aquino,
09:44.7
one way or another, itong mga oligarchs natin,
09:47.7
technically, oligarch means the few bad who rule a country or a polity.
09:54.7
So, primarily, we're talking about economic oligarchs but also about political oligarchs.
09:59.7
Political dynasties, for instance.
10:00.7
So, kung titignan mo yan, ang masaklap sa Pilipinas is ang daming natin naging constitution.
10:07.7
Right? 1935 and then pa noon ni Marcos.
10:10.7
1970s and then 1987.
10:12.7
Pero hindi po nawawala itong problema ng oligarkiya.
10:16.7
Hindi po nawawala itong problema ng corruption.
10:18.7
Minsan nga lumala pa.
10:20.7
I would say it was even worse in the 70s and 80s.
10:23.7
But still, things are really bad in the Philippines.
10:25.7
So, logic lang, right? Kung nag-aaral ka ng basic causality,
10:29.7
kung paiba-iba yung constitution pero yung outcome is the same,
10:32.7
then siguro hindi talaga yung constitution yung dahilan na ganito yung outcome.
10:36.7
Na mas malalim yung ugat ng problema.
10:39.7
And para sa akin, this is where we have to be very clear.
10:42.7
The problem is that it's not the 1987 constitution per se.
10:46.7
Although, let me be absolutely clear.
10:48.7
I have some concerns with the 1987 constitution.
10:50.7
For instance, in theory, para sa akin mas maganda na isang presidente ay dalawang termina maximum every four years.
10:58.7
So, kung magaling ka sa first four years mo, then pwede ka ma-reelect.
11:03.7
Kung palpak ka sa first four years mo, and then okay, di ka na ma-reelect.
11:07.7
O baka yan ang mangyari nga sa US elections this year.
11:09.7
Or yung nangyari kay Trump, di ba, noong 2020.
11:12.7
So, in theory, I'm okay with two, four years.
11:15.7
Because I think a single six years term is too long for a bad president.
11:21.7
And it's not like every time you can etsa na lang and erup out.
11:25.7
Unfortunately, that's like once in a blue moon.
11:28.7
So, a six-year term is too long for a bad president.
11:32.7
But it's too short for a good president.
11:34.7
So, I think an eight-year, maximum eight years is enough.
11:36.7
Maximum eight-year system like America or what we had before.
11:39.7
Or an Indonesian system of two, five years.
11:42.7
Jokowi was not too bad.
11:43.7
And actually, andito po siya sa Pilipinas the other days.
11:45.7
I think that's better.
11:46.7
So, I can raise three or four different concerns I've had with the 1980s Constitution.
11:50.7
But fundamentally, I don't think the 1980s Constitution ay talagang ugat ng problema natin.
11:56.7
And I don't think yung mga few flaws.
11:58.7
Not trivial, but nevertheless.
12:02.7
The few flaws, the problems I see with the 1980s Constitution.
12:06.7
So, isa pa yung problema ko is walang enabling law sa 1997 Constitution pagdating sa anti-dynasty principle sa ating saligang batas.
12:15.7
But again, these are actually political problems rather than legal problems.
12:19.7
So, actually, if you analyze it fundamentally,
12:21.7
constitutions are a frozen balance of political relations in a specific time and space.
12:27.7
So, yung 1997 Constitution, yung kalabasan niyan,
12:30.7
eto ay yung reflection ng political calculation ng mga political elites.
12:36.7
Who took over the Philippines after the fall of the Marcos dictatorship.
12:41.7
At alam natin, Corazon Aquino and the people who were in charge,
12:44.7
they had to deal with all of these trapos, hacienderos, dynasties, oligarchs na biglang are back into power.
12:52.7
Or, malapit sila kay Marcos but they didn't pay a price for it.
12:56.7
So, in a way, the 1997 Constitution was somehow a kind of a compromise.
13:01.7
But more importantly, its spirit and letter was fundamentally compromised.
13:05.7
Fundamentally compromised by the political oligarchs and economic oligarchs who continue to dominate the Philippines.
13:12.7
Since, not only 1987, they have been, I mean, mag-name drop pa tayo siya.
13:19.7
May mga iba tayong mga political dynasties diyan.
13:22.7
Mahahanap mo yan sa mga records 1870s pa lang or 1880s.
13:26.7
Panahon pa ng mga Espanyol, andun na sila.
13:28.7
Alam ko na sabihin sila mga yan but pwede niya i-google yan, di ba?
13:32.7
So, we have many political dynasties.
13:34.7
And we have many conglomerates and oligarchs who go beyond 50 years.
13:38.7
Some of them beyond 100 years.
13:40.7
So, kung sasabihin mo na kasalanan ito ng 1997 Constitution, napaka-ewan yung logic na yan, di ba?
13:46.7
Because, alam natin, mas malalim yung ugat ng problema natin.
13:50.7
But I'll tell you another thing.
13:51.7
Pagdating sa 1997 Constitution, actually, it has some promise, right?
13:57.7
So, there are certain provisions about political parties.
14:00.7
There are certain provisions about political dynasties.
14:03.7
And then, of course, there are provisions on human rights and mga others.
14:05.7
Ang problema kasi natin, mga ka-Hadarian na lang kasi ang dami natin platform yan.
14:10.7
Mababash na naman ako sa Reddit. Sabihin nyo, sa Hadarian, mga ka-Hadarian.
14:13.7
Ayan, yung mga kameta natin. Ayaw ko sabihin kameta kasi may space tayo, may TikTok tayo, may YouTube tayo.
14:20.7
No, no, no. Ang problema kasi natin dito is, you know, freedom doesn't come free, right?
14:27.7
Freedom comes from constant political struggle.
14:31.7
Ang problema parating dito sa Pilipinas is, once nakapasa tayo ng bagong saligang batas
14:36.7
or once tapos ng elections, akala natin tapos ng laban, uwi na tayo, balik ulit, next cycle, right?
14:43.7
So, we tend to demobilize politically always prematurely.
14:48.7
So, nag-ETSA 1 na tayo, okay na, tapos na.
14:50.7
And then, medyo nag-ETSA 2 na tayo, dapat tapos ng problema.
14:53.7
Well, guess what? Kung gusto mo ayusin isang bansa na katulad ng Pilipinas na napakalalim ng problema,
14:59.7
napakahikpit yung grip ng mga oligarchs sa ating ekonomiya, sa ating political alliance.
15:04.7
I'll give you numbers, right?
15:06.7
In 2011, 40 families in the Philippines took home 76% of newly created growth.
15:13.7
So, every 6% of growth we create in our GDP, 4% goes to only 40 families.
15:19.7
That's scandalous level of concentration of wealth, right?
15:24.7
And I doubt that has dramatically improved over the past 10 years or so.
15:29.7
Political alliances, lampas sa 80% ng mga elected offices ay napupunta dyan sa mga political alliances.
15:37.7
So, hindi tayo totoong demokrasya dahil yung spirit and letter of the 1999 Constitution was never effectuated.
15:44.7
And it was never effectuated because we did not elect the right people into office.
15:48.7
So, actually, we have a number of problems.
15:50.7
One of our problems that we think, ang obligasyon lang natin during election time mag-ingay,
15:55.7
and then kung nanalo yung manok natin, then okay na.
15:59.7
Or kung hindi nanalo yung manok natin, babay na ang Philippines, alis na tayo.
16:03.7
Yung ganyang mindset.
16:04.7
Well, that's the problem.
16:06.7
Even if nanalo yung manok mo, assuming okay na tao yung manok mo,
16:10.7
it's not enough that you have the right president there.
16:13.7
It's not enough that you have the right senator there, right?
16:16.7
Dahil, pagdating sa governance, it's a group work.
16:20.7
You have to make sure there are the right congressmen there, there are the right governors there, there are the right mayors there.
16:25.7
So, ang nagiging masaklap sa Pilipinas is,
16:27.7
even when we had slightly okay presidents na hindi ganun kakorap,
16:33.7
pagdating sa ibang branches of the government, andun pa rin yung mga oligarchs, andun pa rin yung mga problematic people.
16:39.7
Kaya, kawawang-kawawang ang Pilipinas.
16:41.7
So, we never had enough mobilization pre-election, during election, and post-election
16:46.7
to make sure na papaalisin natin talaga yung lahat ng mga oligarchs sa state institutions natin
16:51.7
at ipapressure natin yung mga economic oligarchs na nag-dominate na ang ating ekonomiya.
16:56.7
So, we always have this problem of premature demobilization and limited cyclical political mobilization.
17:03.7
Ito yung constant problem sa Pilipinas.
17:06.7
And I'll tell you this, since naging active ako, naging quote-unquote vlogger na tayo, kitang-kita ko yung online eh.
17:13.7
Kung titignan mo yung mga videos natin nung election time, some of our videos easily get million views.
17:18.7
A single video gets a million views. Political ah. Live, Facebook live, no production, whatever.
17:25.7
I was amazed by it. Next thing I know, tapos na elections, views come down to 10,000 maximum, right?
17:32.7
So, real time, sa analytics, nakita ko na nawawala ng interesang tao sa politika once natapos yung elections.
17:41.7
Now, I understand people are tired, exhausted, people are demoralized, or nanalo yung manok mo so happy ka na yung gawin.
17:48.7
But that's not how reform works. So, if you study reform movements,
17:53.7
if you study democratic movements, whether it's in civil rights movements in South United States,
18:00.7
you know, the horrible semi-apartheid system they had back in the day,
18:04.7
whether you look at the anti-apartheid movements in South Africa,
18:07.7
whether you look at the social democratic movements in Sweden, in Germany, so on and so forth,
18:11.7
ito po ay mga decades old, and some of the movements have been centuries old until they get more and more right.
18:17.7
So, constant struggle po. Especially kung yung mga bansa mo eh, sobrang, sobrang...
18:23.7
higpit yung hawak ng mga oligark sa ating ekonomiya and politika.
18:28.7
So, this has been the constant problem for us.
18:31.7
Now, but the other problem we have is that we focus on the wrong problems.
18:36.7
Therefore, we come up with, let's be honest, dumb solutions.
18:40.7
So, this idea that you just change the constitution and everything automatically will be okay,
18:45.7
I mean, that's fourth world thinking, right?
18:48.7
System change takes way more than just different yung sulat mong batas.
18:52.7
You need the right institution building to enforce the laws.
18:55.7
You need to make sure, you know, you build the foundations of good political parties.
18:59.7
You need to make sure you have the right political culture.
19:01.7
Lahat yan, mahirap yan. So, you have to move on many multiple fronts, no?
19:04.7
In fact, there's a new social science article that came out which has... medyo depressing pa nga yung analysis niya, di ba?
19:11.7
So, what I'm saying here, mga kameta, is that...
19:17.7
Ay, man, na-disconnect tong internet ko dito sa Twitter.
19:21.7
Anyway, balikan natin.
19:22.7
So, what I'm saying here is that the other tendency we have is that we fall for bara-bara solutions, solutions, or fake solutions.
19:29.7
And parang sa medicine niyan, eh. Kung maling diagnostics mo, maling bibigyan mong gamot, lalong lalala yung problema.
19:35.7
Hindi mo lang nasa-solve, hindi mo lang nare-resolve yung problema, lalala pa yung problema.
19:40.7
In fact, the way I put it is this, you cannot fix a problem if the fixer is the problem, right?
19:46.7
Common sense. Tignan niyo to.
19:49.7
Kung magkakaroon tayo ng charter change, sino sa tingin niyo ang mag-oversee ng charter change sa Pilipinas?
19:57.7
Hindi ba yung mga trapo din na nandyan sa pader, di ba?
20:00.7
So, sa tingin niyo ba, ganito, eto, logic lang, sa tingin niyo ba ang mga trapos will vote for a new constitution that takes them out of power or undermines their power? No!
20:17.7
Logically, if they're going to push for a constitutional change, ang gagawin nila yun, lalong papalakasin nila yung pundasyon ng kanilang puwersa.
20:26.3
Lalong, lalong maging mahirap ang sitwasyon ng taong bayan in terms of making sure there's more accountability, there's more good governance, there's more democracy.
20:34.7
That's just the reality.
20:36.5
So, yun nga yung problema natin.
20:38.4
First of all, sobrang limited yung political mobilization.
20:41.6
Second, ang bilis mag-demobilize yung tao, cyclical lang naging active.
20:45.6
Third, sobrang sablay yung expectations natin.
20:50.6
Parang nanalo lang yung matinong presidente, akala yung mga solve lahat as if yung presidente lang mismo can solve all the problems.
20:57.0
And then, more importantly, kaya lang sinasabi ko, ang dali natin, mauto minsan sa mga scam.
21:03.5
Yung mga tipong, bigyan niyo akong six months lang, isosolve ko yung droga.
21:08.0
Yung mga ganyan scam na gano'n.
21:09.5
Or yung mga, ang e, may bagong scam na naman tayo.
21:12.2
Bagoyin natin yung salingang batas, magiging Switzerland na tayo.
21:15.6
This is what? Parliamentary din ang sistema sa Iraq.
21:18.7
Have you seen their political system?
21:21.4
Parliamentary din yung system sa Bangladesh.
21:23.6
And yung mga nagmimension ng Malaysia, these people have no idea how messy Malaysian politics is.
21:28.7
I mean, I know Malaysian politics pretty okay.
21:31.7
I interviewed at least a prime minister or two from that country.
21:34.9
I have contacts at the highest levels.
21:37.3
I have friends who know the ins and outs.
21:39.7
And they have a very bad politics.
21:41.9
Nagkataon lang, swerte lang Malaysia dahil marami silang oil.
21:44.7
Maliit lang population nila.
21:46.0
Kaya medyo matinitin yung bansa nila at magandang location nila.
21:48.5
So there are many other reasons that explains why Malaysia is wealthier and more developed than Philippines.
21:53.0
Except their politics which is worse than the Philippines.
21:55.3
But anyway, I can go to Bangladesh, Iraq.
21:59.4
Tingnan mo yung Nigeria.
22:00.4
Tingnan mo yung Brazil.
22:01.2
So I can mention you many countries with parliamentary, federal, federal parliament system.
22:05.6
That sobrang sabog.
22:07.2
So yung idea na palitan natin sa salingang batas, gawin natin federally sa parliament,
22:11.2
automatically maging Switzerland, Thailand, Canada, whatever.
22:13.5
Sobrang ridiculous yan.
22:15.4
It's like, sinabi ko yan.
22:17.0
It's like, di ba, may mga nag-meme dyan eh.
22:20.0
Yung idea na, di ba kung si Michael Jordan, pag nagsishoot siya, lalabas niya yung dila niya.
22:24.4
Parang gaganyan, tas isishoot niya yung gano'n.
22:27.2
It's like saying, pag nilabas mo yung dila mo, ginaya mo yung forma ni Jordan, maging kasing galingan ni Jordan.
22:32.3
Ganon kasi nga, yung ganyan level of analysis.
22:34.7
Na sasabihin mo, by just replicating the shell of a political system,
22:40.8
you're automatically gonna achieve the substantial...
22:43.5
substantive developments inherent to that system.
22:45.4
It doesn't work that way.
22:46.5
Now, again, just to be fair, I am not against constitutional amendments.
22:53.4
And, in theory, I'm kinda okay with the idea of parliamentary democracy.
22:59.4
But, I'll be honest,
23:02.1
ayoko magpauto tayo dun sa mga scammers na sinasabing,
23:06.0
na siguradong masusolv yung problema na yun.
23:08.0
There's always a law of unintended consequences.
23:11.4
one reason I'm very worried about charter,
23:13.5
under the current circumstances.
23:16.8
So, in theory, I'm okay with constitutional amendments or even to a certain extent.
23:23.2
ang tanong ko is, under what conditions?
23:25.9
Kasi, kung papalitan mo yung saligang batas sa ilalim ng mga conditions kung saan ang lalim ang problema ng corruption,
23:33.2
kwasyonableng intention ng mga legislators mo,
23:36.2
and then, ngayon, merong accusations na may mga bribery daw nangyari to influence, I don't know, people's initiative, whatever,
23:43.5
do you think ang outcome neto will be really towards a Switzerland-clean political system?
23:49.4
Come on, mag-isip naman kayo.
23:51.6
Mag-isip naman tayo dyan.
23:53.4
Mag-isip naman tayo dyan.
23:56.2
Now, transition naman tayo dito sa second part ng analysis natin.
24:01.4
Because this is where we want to analyze what's happening right now under the current powers that be.
24:06.9
Now, interestingly,
24:08.4
interestingly, mga kameta,
24:12.4
parang medyo iba yung...
24:13.5
parang inip ng hangin.
24:14.5
I'll, I'll, I'll, let me go through this first.
24:17.1
Bago tayo pumunta sa mga accusations laban sa kasalukuyan na administrasyon,
24:21.4
tignan muna natin anong yung position ng ating minamahal na Pangulo.
24:24.3
So, if you look at President Bama Marcos, while he ran for office under the Federalist Party,
24:35.9
dun sa, nung unang-una, medyo skeptical siya sa constitutional change.
24:41.5
In fact, ito po yung sinabi na dito sa article,
24:43.4
ito yung article na yan.
24:44.2
Philippines may not be ready for federalism.
24:46.6
Bama Marcos, ito yung article sa Philippine Daily Inquirer by Gabriel Carreroza nung September 10, 2017.
24:54.6
So, nung time na tumakbong bilang vice-presidente si Bama Marcos,
25:01.9
doon pa lang sabi niya.
25:03.3
For example, how would you form the states?
25:05.5
If the process is by administrative region, then we may become, say, an Ilocano state.
25:10.3
But what effect would have that in terms of political structure?
25:13.3
if somebody had been chosen to head the state,
25:14.9
how will you tell, for instance, Governor Ali Marcos that she will no longer be the one to be followed by the head of state?
25:20.0
So, parang, it has become that way because this system has long been with us.
25:23.3
So, nangyayari natin, si BBM may skeptical sa federalism.
25:28.6
This is time of digong, when there was a push for federalism.
25:31.7
I think this federated system is not a bad system, it's a good system.
25:34.6
We need to examine how it applies, but we have to examine.
25:37.5
So, dito makikita mo na si President is expressing a lot of,
25:42.4
you know, misgivings about this, lang hindi si Andre.
25:45.5
And actually, he's right.
25:46.9
I agree with the President na hindi tayo pwede bara-bara lang.
25:50.4
And then later, and actually in 2022, during elections,
25:54.6
Marcos, again, said something about federalism, constitutional change.
25:59.2
And so, he reiterated the skepticism that he had in the past.
26:03.4
Ito, January 25, 2022, ito yung article, isa pang article.
26:06.9
So, I'm showing to you guys, step by step, yung evolution ng position ng ating minamahal na Pangulo.
26:12.4
And, kaya namumuska anong nangyari dito, di ba? Bakit ganun?
26:17.0
So, actually, this is, o, pakita ko dito, ah.
26:21.0
O, dun sa mga ka-TikTok natin, ka-YouTuber, don't worry,
26:24.1
i-upload din natin yan para makita niyo yung analysis.
26:27.3
O, ito, so, 2017, nakita niyo, skeptical, not sure, 2022, ganun na naman.
26:34.4
Sabi niya, ito, medyo mahirap daw, maging difficult daw ang transition to federalism.
26:41.5
So, again, in principle.
26:42.4
In principle, kind of okay, pero sabi niya, ito, ah, while the federal system may fit the Philippines,
26:48.7
amending the constitution may be difficult this time, sabi niya, nung tumatakbo siyang bilang presidente.
26:54.1
Dun sa isang interview niya sa DZRH, ito yung presidential job interview, ang sinabi ni Marco Jr.,
26:59.8
um, tignan dapat natin ulit ang mga proposal tungkol sa federalismo, ito ay mukhang babagay para sa atin sa Pilipinas.
27:06.7
Ngunit, ngunit, ang paglipat ng sistema ng government requires a constitutional amendment,
27:12.4
palagay ko, napakihirap ngayon na buksan ang saligang batas dahil ang tao ayaw nila,
27:18.2
ang suspecha nila, ang mga politiko ay mag-extend lang o magka-cancel ng election.
27:23.7
O, this is, ito, si presidente mismo nagsabi, ano, bakit ako sa inyo, exact quote.
27:29.3
So, see, the president, well, back then, presidential candidate, PBM, recognized skepticism ng tao ukol dito sa charter change.
27:41.3
Ito yung sinabi na, diba?
27:43.0
Kitang-kita na yan.
27:43.7
Sa aking palagay, pag-usapan mabuti kung sakali man sumungayan ng taong bayan na dapat lumipat tayo sa federalismo at yan ang nina-nice ng madla,
27:53.2
yun ang ating gagawin.
27:54.5
Pero, in the meantime, parang medyo skeptical siya.
27:56.9
But, medyo iba na yung init ng hanging later on, diba?
28:00.9
At yun yung sa akin very interesting, no?
28:03.5
Biglang, next thing you know, at sabi ko, siguro may kinalaman din yan sa...
28:09.9
Actually, before we go there.
28:11.5
Tignan niyo rin yung first state of the nation address ni BBM.
28:14.8
In fact, his first two state of the nation addresses, he didn't mention itong issue ng federalismo and constitutional change.
28:20.5
In fact, dun sa first state of the nation address niya, nagkaroon ng away yung dalawang malaking anchors dyan sa SMNI,
28:28.4
si Kibuloy, Pastor Kibuloy, at saka si Abe, si Mike Abe, dahil nga, yung isa dyan, hindi siya natuwa na hindi minention yung mga pet peeves.
28:40.0
Yung mga pet peeves.
28:41.3
Yung mga pet peeves ng Duterte camp, ng mga pro-Duterte, at isa dyan, yung issue ng federalismo.
28:48.4
In fact, si Robin Padilla din, isa sa mga hindi natuwa na hindi na-mention yung masyadong federalismo dahil yun talaga yung kanyang expertise.
28:56.8
Of course, expert naman si Robin Padilla sa constitutional change.
28:59.8
Siya nga yung Senate Constitutional Amendments, ano, chair.
29:06.7
Siguro na nga yung mga vlogs ni ganitong ganyan, then okay na, expert na tayo.
29:12.0
So, dito na kita natin, actually, way into 2023, malabo.
29:16.3
Malabo yung position ng BBM dito sa issue ng constitutional change.
29:20.7
Gets niya. Gets niya yung gets din natin, diba?
29:24.1
But, biglang iba na yung inip ng hangin by approaching the third quarter of last year as the, you know, yung head-one sa unity may medyo uminit-init, diba?
29:38.7
So, here, suddenly, the president is saying,
29:41.3
Okay, now we're taking the first steps towards constitutional change, in this case, federalism.
29:48.9
So, may kita natin na by third quarter of last year, the president is taking a position openly in saying that we're already moving towards devolution and preparation of the government for constitutional change.
30:01.7
And then, things really got serious when yung kanyang pinsan, right-hand man niya, at isa sa mga pinaka-influential figures in the Philippines,
30:11.3
top four, top five, si Martin Romaldez said na ipaprioritize ng house yung chacha sa kasalukuyan na taon, right?
30:21.6
So, ang sinabi nila, sinabi niya is,
30:24.1
I believe 2024 will allow us again to revise the whole constitution of, a whole issue of the constitution.
30:30.0
We'd like to focus very much on the economic provisions, but even to get there, we have to look at the procedural aspects of the amendment of constitution.
30:35.7
So, one of the things they're looking at is people's initiative.
30:39.4
Because alam nila na medyo may magkakaroon.
30:41.3
Anong pushback from the Senate, including independent senators, independent-minded senators, and opposition senators,
30:49.7
like, well, not Coco Pimentel, but from Reza Antiveras and some others,
30:54.4
then, iniisip nila, magpa-people, iniisip nila sila.
30:57.8
So, this is the context where suddenly you have itong mga buljakan, or mga supposed expose.
31:04.0
Now, one of them is no less than presidential sister and senator,
31:08.1
I mean, Marcos, who we know, of course, is very close to President Duterte.
31:11.3
Right? I don't know about the other side, but she's very supportive and close to President Duterte.
31:17.1
And ayon kay Senator Amy Marcos, up to 20 million pesos daw was reportedly, allegations to,
31:24.7
was offered to each congressional district that could deliver yung number of signatures to support the charter change
31:31.6
being pushed dyan sa House of Representatives.
31:35.0
Of course, galit na galit si Amy daw dito sa alleged offer,
31:38.2
noting yung pera niya na dapat sana binigyan nalang.
31:41.3
Sa Dole, ah, sorry, sa, yeah, sa Dole, sa DOH, sa DSWD.
31:46.0
Sabi niya, I even heard that big cities were also promised to receive 20 million,
31:49.9
ah, 20,000 if they can produce, I think this is 20 million, right?
31:55.1
Kulang ng zero dito.
31:56.2
20 million if they can produce 20,000 signatures by,
31:58.8
many newly elected barangay captains were ordered to produce 20,000 signatures by the weekend
32:02.8
so they could receive goodies from this.
32:04.9
Ito, ah, pakita natin yung exact quote niya para mabasa niya on your own.
32:11.3
Sabi niya, I condemn, no?
32:19.0
Kinondem daw niya.
32:24.7
Ito yung sinabi ni Amy Marcos.
32:26.2
So, just be absolutely clear about what they're saying.
32:29.8
Oh, so malaking nga.
32:30.6
Kasi nangitang ko yun sa mga ka-DDS natin,
32:32.3
sinishare yan kagabi, eh.
32:35.4
I condemn the offer because our constitution is not for sale.
32:37.9
Apparently, they offer the DSWD assistance to individuals.
32:41.3
In crisis situations,
32:42.5
doles tupat or tulong paghanap buhay sa ating disadvantaged displaced workers.
32:48.1
At saka yung DOH Medical Assistance to Indigent Patients Program.
32:51.3
So, nakakaroon daw ng mga reallocations.
32:54.3
Sabi niya, clearly somebody's holding the budget.
32:56.0
We know the power of the purse rests with the Congress.
32:59.8
Actually, rests with yung preposition.
33:01.8
Maybe those with access to or control over the funds.
33:04.7
I'm just saying, why do they have the courage to offer something like this?
33:08.9
Is our constitution now for sale?
33:10.5
This is shameless.
33:11.2
This is not for sale.
33:11.8
Well, actually, you know, I don't know about the allegations.
33:15.1
I haven't seen the evidence myself.
33:17.1
But if this were true, I agree with Ivy Marquez.
33:20.3
That, you know, dapat hindi for sale yung issue ng saligang batas.
33:24.3
Napaka-sensitive ito.
33:25.3
Napaka-laki ang maging implication na ito para sa ating bansa at ating demokrasya.
33:30.8
But interestingly, just when you thought maybe it's really one camp,
33:34.3
I was also wondering what will the real opposition say?
33:37.1
You know, you want progressive liberals.
33:38.9
Ano na sasabihin nila?
33:40.0
So, interestingly,
33:41.3
nakita ko kanina,
33:42.7
one of the opposition leaders,
33:45.8
and I think the current leader of the Liberal Party,
33:49.0
si Congressman Lagman,
33:50.1
also had an intervention in this regard.
33:52.6
Medyo parang next level pa yung buljakan niya eh.
33:55.1
Dito sa expose niya.
33:57.3
So, eto, eto, eto.
33:59.9
Pakinggan natin mga kameta.
34:09.2
Para tingnan nyo man.
34:35.6
So, ito yung expose ni Edsel Lagman.
34:46.2
Mayors in my district.
34:47.9
This is the, this is the form.
34:51.0
Sa dokumentong ipinakita ni Albay First District Representative Edsel Lagman sa CNN Philippines,
34:57.3
125,000 pesos ang ibinigay umano sa isang mayor
35:01.9
para bayaran ng tig-isandaang piso ang kada constituent na pipirma sa petisyon para amyendahan ng konstitusyon.
35:11.1
The name of the mayor, the municipality, then, ah, this is to acknowledge the receipt of the following for the people's initiative.
35:24.3
Another municipality got 142,000 and the third municipality got 175,000.
35:33.9
Three of the mayors in my district already returned the amounts.
35:38.7
Nangyari raw ang bigayan sa isang...
35:40.9
Isang meeting ng mga mayor ng Albay noong January 5.
35:44.5
Bagay na itinanggi ni Mayor Raymond Adrian Salceda,
35:47.9
presidente ng Albay Chapter ng League of Municipalities of the Philippines.
35:52.5
Sa ilalim ng People's Initiative,
35:54.8
pwedeng ipetisyon ng taong bayan na baguhin ang saligang batas
35:58.4
kung may pirma ng 12% ng registered voters.
36:02.8
Dapat pumirma ang 3% ng lahat ng botante kada distrito.
36:07.1
Kumalat na rin sa social media ang petisyong pinapipirmahan umano
36:10.8
sa mga botante para baguhin ang saligang batas sa pamamagitan ng joint voting ng Senado at Kamara.
36:17.9
Mariing tinututulan ng mga senador ang pamamaraang yan.
36:21.0
This would fast track the amendments to be proposed by the Constituent Assembly
36:27.8
because the numerically superior number of representatives
36:35.3
will definitely overwhelm the pure number of senators.
36:40.8
Mismong kapatid ng Pangulo na si Senador Aimee Marcos,
36:44.6
may nakalap na impormasyon na milyon-milyong piso raw
36:47.5
ang ipinapangakong pondo sa mga distrito
36:50.0
gamit ang ilang social assistance programs ng gobyerno
36:53.9
basta't maabot nila ang sapat na pirma.
36:57.4
20 million total kada distrito ang inaalok.
37:01.2
Pinagutusan ang napakaraming bagong halal na mga barangay kapitan
37:05.2
na magproduce ng mga lagda na 20 mil by weekend
37:09.9
para sila magpapag-pag-pag.
37:10.8
Na mabigyan nitong sinasabing DSW, DDOH at DOLE na mga goodies.
37:20.7
Napakaliwanag nung offer at kinukong din ako talaga yung nag-aalok nito
37:26.8
dahil hindi binibenta ang ating konstitusyon, hindi siya for sale.
37:32.1
Ani Marcos, balitang-balita ito sa Ilocos, Bicol at Central at Eastern Visayas.
37:37.4
Sa tanong kung sino ang nasa likod nito,
37:40.8
We know that the power of the purse rests with Congress
37:44.1
so baka yung may access talaga, it's some semblance of suasion and control over the funds.
37:51.6
Duda rin si Lagman sa idinagdag ng Bicameral Conference Committee
37:55.2
na 12 billion pesos sa budget ng Commission on Elections
37:59.2
para sa mga eleksyon, referendum at plebisito.
38:03.3
A charter change rampage has sort fit of funds.
38:08.0
Embedded in the 2024 General Appropriations Act is the total amount of about 14 billion.
38:18.7
Para kay Senate Minority Leader Coco Pimentel,
38:21.7
dapat mag-imbestiga ang PNP, NBI, DILG, Kongreso at maging non-government organizations.
38:29.4
Kung public funds ang ginamit sa panunuhol,
38:31.7
dapat daw managot ang mga nasa likod nito sa ilalim ng Anti-Graft and Corrupt Practices Act.
38:38.0
ano ba mang source ng pondo?
38:40.1
Hindi na raw ito maituturing na legitimate people's initiative, kundi pera-pera lang.
38:45.2
So, ito na ang concern ngayon ng mga iba't-ibang panig
38:50.2
including si Army Marcos, Esa Lagman, Coco Pimentel.
38:55.0
So, ayan, may mga kadidyes dyan, may mga kakamping dyan.
38:58.7
Lahat sila nag-express ng concern na baka i-re-railroad itong constitutional change
39:04.4
at ang mangyari dyan is gamitin yung mga pondo ng gobyerno.
39:08.0
Create a positive enticement.
39:10.0
Ito yung allegations.
39:10.9
Again, we are not confirming it.
39:12.4
I'm just saying, ito yung allegations na galing sa mga iba't-ibang kampo
39:15.1
who actually are not necessarily on the same page on almost every other issue.
39:20.0
So, kaya ang sinasabi natin mga kametod dito is, of course, may mga sabi ko nga,
39:23.9
may mga iba dyan natuwan-tuwa doon sa mga hidwan, sa ilalim ng unity,
39:29.8
o may mga nagpa-comment sa akin doon sa kinakain ni Digong.
39:33.1
O mamaya ko na nga yun, nag-aasaran na yata naman sila.
39:36.6
Pulvorik po yan, ano yun?
39:38.0
Ano yung, ano yun?
39:43.7
Kumakain ng pulvoron.
39:46.4
Mamaya na natin patulan yung kay tatay.
39:48.9
May bukas na lang, separate topic na itong pulvoron.
39:51.4
Balikan natin itong mga asaran niyan.
39:53.3
And of course, set up tayo isa pang R&R soon.
39:55.5
Marami tayong mga catch-up dito.
39:57.4
Well, I turned out correct.
39:58.8
Sabi ko nga, si BBM, he's gonna try to massage things down
40:03.2
dahil time is on his side.
40:05.2
So, he doesn't have, you know,
40:08.0
the incentive to push the nuclear bottom at this point in time.
40:12.7
But, pag-usapan natin pulvoron soon.
40:14.8
Siguradit, yung separate meta.
40:17.3
On that note, thank you very much mga minamahal natin,
40:20.3
mga followers on different platforms.
40:22.3
Of course, yung mga YouTubers natin,
40:24.7
kay YouTubers natin, mga kameta natin.
40:27.6
Unfortunately, dito sa,
40:29.5
mahina yung signal ko dito sa space kaya nawala siya bigla.
40:32.1
At of course, dito sa, ano rin, sa TikTok.
40:38.0
Thank you so much dun sa mga followers natin.
40:40.4
Please continue to support us.
40:42.2
And, yeah, magbigay ka ng suggestion, et cetera.
40:44.2
As I said, you know, we were hoping to also transition
40:46.0
into doing something different,
40:47.4
more, a medyo more lifestyle travel plus society and culture.
40:51.8
So, you know, kung may mga technical advice kayo,
40:54.0
mga things, what is the affordable way,
40:56.1
mga gadgets ka, please also go ahead.
40:57.8
Thank you very much.
40:58.9
God bless and talk to you soon.
41:00.8
Tuloy-tuloy lang itong discussion na ito.
41:02.2
At least, I hope now you have an overall view
41:04.7
ng evolution ng positioning,
41:06.6
BBM sa issue ng Constitution,
41:08.0
Constitutional Change,
41:10.2
ano yung mga problematic circumstances
41:12.6
at mga angles ito sa tsa-tsa.
41:14.2
And now, interestingly, both DDS and Kakamping people,
41:17.2
both of them are very critical of this move.
41:19.4
And there's a fear that after 2025,
41:21.3
baka ma-railroad yung Constitutional Change
41:23.0
and with very troubling, troubling implications.
41:26.4
Again, we're totally good for,
41:28.4
I'm totally for fixing the problem,
41:30.2
but you never, never fix the problem
41:32.7
if the problem is the fixer.
41:35.4
On that note, thank you very much, mga kameta.
41:37.6
Talk to you soon.
41:38.0
God bless and have a good evening.
