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00:00.0
Hello, hello mga kameta! Kamusta kayo dyan?
00:16.8
Welcome to the Republic of the Philippines
00:19.8
Kung saan meron tayong pinakamagaling na mga politiko
00:22.9
Ito ang pinaka the best in the solar system na demokrasya
00:27.1
At of course, dapat talaga magpasalamat tayo na parating may mga the best tayong mga leadership
00:33.1
At finally, ito na, may mga magical solution na naman tayo mga kameta
00:38.4
Kung may kahirapan sa Pilipinas, kung may gera sa West Philippine Sea
00:43.9
Kung iniwan kayo ng jowa nyo, lahat yan may solution tayo mga kameta
00:48.4
Katulad ng sinabi ni Tatay Digong, minsan 3 to 6 months kayang tapusin lahat ng problema
00:54.1
So ngayon naman, may bagong version tayo ng 3 to 6 months
00:56.8
At ito mga kamets, ito ay yung charter change
01:02.0
Ito na naman yung charter change
01:03.4
So ngayon, may mga henyo dyan na nagsabi
01:06.8
Lahat na natin yung mga problema, yung mga pagkakulang sa mga investors
01:11.3
Yung the fact na naiwan tayo ng mga kapitbayan natin
01:17.9
Pagdating sa economic competitiveness
01:19.5
Lahat yan, pwede natin ayusin, mag-charter change lang tayo
01:23.3
Yun lang naman kailangan and everything's gonna be fine
01:26.8
May mga grupo na interesado dyan
01:28.5
At pinag-usapan natin bakit napaka-simplistic yung ganyang argumentation
01:32.3
Wag nyo nung kalimutan
01:33.5
Back in the 50s and 60s, the Philippines was among the 5 fastest growing economies in the world
01:38.6
Kaya nga yung Asian Development Bank ay nilagay sa Pilipinas
01:42.2
Hindi sa Seoul, hindi sa Tehran, at hindi sa Tokyo
01:44.7
And back then, hindi po tayo parliamentary system
01:47.6
Back then, hindi tayo federal system
01:49.3
So clearly, kung may isang dahilan ng Pilipinas ay napag-iwanan
01:53.1
Ito ay dahil may mga kapal pa ka nang nangyari
01:56.8
When it comes to our leaders from 1970s onwards
02:00.7
Whether ito yung panahon ng diktatorya
02:03.4
Kung kailan napag-iwanan tayo ng mga habigbayo natin ng marami
02:07.1
I mean, South Korea and the Philippines had the same per capita income in the early 1960s and all
02:12.5
By 1986, nung umalis na yung diktatorya at nanalo yung ETSA
02:18.3
The Philippines was like several times poorer than South Korea
02:22.7
And South Korea actually by then already had
02:24.8
The embers of the government of South Korea
02:26.6
The embers of the government of South Korea
02:26.8
Globally competitive industries
02:28.4
So habang yung South Korea may mga diktators
02:30.3
Yung Taiwan ay mga diktator nung time na yan
02:32.9
Under Ko Min-tang
02:34.6
And then yung South Korea under Park Chung-hee
02:37.0
Meron din tayong diktator for 21 years
02:39.6
Pero anong naiwan niya sa atin pagdating sa Hyundai, Samsung
02:43.6
Globally competitive manufacturing industries?
02:47.6
And then sa daming inutang, ang daming kapal pa kan
02:53.7
Napilitan yung mga sumunod na administration
02:56.6
Nabendahin na lang lahat ng mga strategic industries
03:00.6
So kaya ang nangyari doon is
03:02.9
Nagkaroon ng kapal pa kan doon privatization time
03:05.5
At napunta kong kaninong oligark yung ating electricity, water
03:09.2
Kaya ang Pilipinas has one of the most expensive internet, water, electricity, utilities
03:13.8
Which is by the way, one of the reasons na ang mga investors ay medyo ayaw sa Pilipinas
03:18.7
Kasi mas mura ang tubig, mas murang electricity especially
03:22.5
Which is important for manufacturing doon sa mga kapit-bahay na bansa
03:25.8
And pagdating sa corruption, isang malaking problema sa atin is
03:28.3
Sa ibang bansa, alam mo na sino ang kausap mo
03:30.4
There's one ruling party, yun ang kausap mo
03:32.5
There's one big guy there, yun ang kausap mo
03:34.3
Sa Pilipinas, bawat level, naku hanggang barangay level
03:37.6
Hanggang, minsan, ba't yung mga sangguni ang kabataan
03:40.3
Lahat yata may, ano, diba?
03:41.4
Yun yung accusations na grabe daw, grabe daw yung corruption sa Pilipinas
03:44.4
So isa pa yan sa mga dahilan na hindi pumuputang mga investors dito
03:47.1
So, sasabihin mo na dahil lang sa 1987 Constitution, lahat ng problema natin
03:51.6
It's complete nonsense
03:53.3
Now, hindi ko sinasabi na perfecto yung 1997 Constitution
03:55.8
Parang hindi ko sinasabi na masyado siyang restrictive
03:59.1
Pagdating sa term of office
04:00.9
Sa aking palagay, isang galing na presidente has to have
04:03.5
Two four-year term in office
04:05.1
Or Indonesia style, two five-year term in office
04:07.9
Too short for a good president
04:10.0
Too long for a bad president
04:11.3
Yung single six-year term in office
04:12.9
So I have a number of problems, mga kameta
04:15.5
Dito sa mga charter change na yan
04:18.1
O, kamusta naman dyan sa mga si bossing mate
04:21.8
Yung mga tiktokers natin, yung mga lowlifes dyan
04:25.2
Okay, salamat dyan
04:25.8
Salamat Sarah for pushing up our engagements
04:28.4
Yung mga loser dyan
04:29.6
Okay, balikan natin ito
04:30.6
So yun, yun ang problema natin
04:32.4
Dami mga bara-bara mag-isip
04:34.3
Dami mga siyungang katulad ng mga troll na ganyan
04:37.5
At mga binibigyan nilang solution ay
04:40.6
Dahil sa et sa lahat ang problema natin
04:42.3
When even, when you look at the fact
04:44.5
Actually, dun sa 1970s, 80s talaga tayo napag-iwanan ng mga kapitbahay natin
04:49.4
Just compare Philippines with South Korea in 1960s
04:52.2
Compare Philippines with South Korea in 1980s
04:54.9
I can also talk about Malaysia
04:56.4
And I can also talk about Thailand
04:58.1
Actually, napag-iwanan din tayo ng Thailand
04:59.6
So, mahabang usapan yan
05:01.0
Maraming tayong vlogs
05:01.9
Maraming tayong nasulat sa isang mga issue na ito
05:04.4
So, I'm not gonna go too much into them
05:06.1
Now, the thing is
05:07.9
Mukhang yung mga iba dyan
05:09.2
Sobrang desidido na magkaroon ng charter change
05:12.6
In this short run
05:14.6
So, mukhang kung ano na nang ginagawa
05:17.6
So, kanina may parang expose na naman
05:19.2
Ang mga kapatid natin dyan sa TV5
05:22.4
Merong report dyan
05:23.3
Tingnan naman itong report natin
05:25.7
Mukhang talagang pinipilit na ito
05:27.9
Na i-railroad yung so-called
05:30.4
People's Initiative
05:31.9
Yung mga ganyang kaya-kakan
05:34.2
I have nothing against People's Initiative
05:36.5
But I have something about
05:37.7
I have something against
05:39.7
People using all sorts of different mechanism
05:42.0
To circumvent yung mga existing institutions
05:44.0
Including yung Senado
05:44.9
Which generally has been quite a
05:48.2
Bastion of relative independence and sanity
05:51.9
Kung titignan natin throughout the years
05:53.8
So, ito mga kapatid
06:24.9
saan ang pinapipirmaan niya?
06:27.4
Nakalagay doon Tagalog.
06:32.1
taga-administration
06:36.4
ng Quezon City daw
06:38.5
na nag-distribute
06:41.7
Na nagbabahay-bahay
06:42.7
sa barangay Tatalon.
06:44.7
mangalap ng pirma
06:47.1
pinasusulat sa kanila
06:48.1
ang present number
06:49.3
na talungin namin
06:51.2
ang pinapipirmaan niya.
06:53.6
Nakalagay doon Tagalog.
06:54.9
Kung sumasangayon tayo
06:58.0
na yung mga dayuhan
07:02.4
mag-invest sa Pilipinas.
07:05.2
parang out of nowhere,
07:06.2
biglang may may may question na
07:07.6
gusto nyo ba na mag-invest
07:08.6
sa mga dayuhan sa Pilipinas?
07:11.2
gusto natin ng foreign direct investments
07:12.7
to a certain degree
07:13.5
dahil ay tumutulong ito sa
07:17.4
nakikita nyo medyo leading yung questions.
07:19.3
So parang sinasabi mo,
07:20.0
kung gusto mo ng investment,
07:21.1
then dapat gusto mo rin
07:22.6
But this is the more important part.
07:24.9
Utos daw ito sa andila ng
07:26.2
Barangay Community Relation Department
07:29.5
Ang ilang residente
07:32.3
para ito sa ayuda
07:33.3
ng lokal na pamahalaan.
07:36.4
nagsasign na lang
07:37.4
or nakikinig dito
07:38.9
dahil sa kanilang palagay,
07:40.6
sa kanilang palagay,
07:42.3
akala nila ito yung mga form
07:43.9
para sa mga ayuda.
07:45.4
So kung finil out po yung form niyan,
07:47.0
meron kang chance na makumuha ng ayuda.
07:48.7
Of course, alam natin,
07:49.5
marami sa ating mga kaubayan
07:50.6
ay naihirapan ngayon
07:52.1
dahil sa inflation,
07:53.3
dahil sa mga problema
07:54.1
sa ating ekonomiya.
07:54.9
Of course, marami pa rin
07:55.8
sa ating kaubayan
07:57.4
ay below the poverty line.
07:59.1
let's be very clear about this, okay?
08:02.1
susulat lang ang pangalan mo.
08:03.6
Malay mo kung ano
08:06.6
Ito po ay para sa mga,
08:08.4
ito sa mga mayang Pilipino
08:11.5
na nangailangan ng tulong,
08:16.3
magkaroon ng ayuda.
08:17.8
Pero may ilang pumangging pumirma
08:19.6
ng mabasaan laman ng papel.
08:22.5
para sa ayuda ng lungsod,
08:26.0
ng saligang batas
08:27.0
gamit ang People's Initiative.
08:28.9
Parang ayuda nga din
08:30.4
kasi galing sa Congress.
08:32.7
Hindi ako normally sumasay
08:35.2
sa mga peti-petisyon
08:37.2
kasi nadala na ako
08:38.5
from the last time.
08:40.5
Nang tanungin namin si Mary,
08:42.2
mismo siya aminado
08:44.0
kung para sanang pinapipirmahan
08:45.6
sa mga residente sa QC.
08:48.3
sinuwalit ni Albay
08:49.2
Rep. Edsel Lagman
08:50.7
na may nakarating sa kanyang
08:58.9
Hindi para paboran
09:00.3
ang magkasamang pagboto
09:01.4
ng Senado at Kamara
09:02.5
para sa charter change.
09:05.1
ayon kay Mayor Joy Belmonte,
09:06.8
nakarating na raw
09:07.4
sa kanyang ginagawang
09:10.2
Mayor Joy Belmonte
09:12.0
yung bagong paborita
09:13.3
ng mga medyo woke
09:14.8
at mga ibang pink dyan.
09:16.4
In fairness naman,
09:17.5
she's distancing herself
09:19.2
may clarification siya dito.
09:21.4
ng mga kongresista
09:24.4
pinaalam sa kanya ito
09:25.3
ng mga mambabatas.
09:27.5
ng mga punong barangay
09:28.8
na yung mga congressman
09:31.2
nagpapapirma sa kanila.
09:32.8
So, they wanted to be clarified
09:34.6
yung mga amendment.
09:35.8
Wala pong kitlaman
09:36.8
sa local government po yan.
09:39.1
ng mga congressman.
09:42.2
So, just to be clear,
09:43.4
ang sinasabi ni Mayor dito
09:44.5
is wala siyang kinalaman dyan.
09:47.2
doon sa City Hall
09:48.6
ay medyo nagkakamot
09:50.6
Saan ba galing ito?
09:53.1
itong initial proof
09:53.4
ng initiative na ito
09:54.6
sa executive branch
09:56.0
dito sa Quezon City
09:57.1
pagdating sa mayor office
09:59.5
pero potentially galing ito
10:01.1
sa mga ibang congressman
10:05.2
to push for this people initiative.
10:07.1
katulad ng pinag-usapan natin
10:12.5
mga writings natin.
10:14.5
dahil alam ng mga iba dyan
10:15.8
na may hirapan sila
10:16.8
to push for charter change
10:17.8
through the Senate.
10:18.7
Hindi nila mararam
10:19.4
through the Senate
10:20.4
a three-fourths majority
10:22.1
to get the ball rolling.
10:23.4
Ang inisip siguro
10:28.0
si Robin Hood Padilla
10:28.9
magsusuporta dito
10:30.4
medyo na-sense din niya
10:32.8
intention behind this
10:36.0
so because of that
10:37.9
medyo may worries.
10:39.9
So you can see na
10:42.6
parallel movements
10:44.9
by certain congressmen
10:46.5
in certain major cities
10:50.0
nagpapapirma sila
10:53.4
iba't-ibang presinto
10:54.4
so that they meet
10:57.6
they need just below
11:00.1
something like that
11:03.2
or something like that
11:03.8
to get the ball rolling.
11:05.2
May threshold yan
11:08.0
We can talk about that
11:08.9
separately dun sa
11:10.1
People's Initiative.
11:10.9
But just to be clear about this,
11:12.5
People's Initiative
11:13.1
actually ay hindi siya
11:14.2
finalized in a legal sense.
11:17.2
Medyo hindi clear
11:18.4
implementing rules
11:19.6
katulad ng pinag-usapan natin
11:20.8
with Ronald Capon
11:24.0
pulled all the way
11:25.0
to the Supreme Court
11:26.2
if not magkakaroon
11:27.9
ng constitutional crisis.
11:29.0
So there are gonna be
11:29.5
people who will question
11:30.4
yung constitutionality
11:31.3
itong People's Initiative
11:35.4
for circumvention
11:36.7
and ramming through
11:38.2
questionable move
11:39.5
potentially at the expense
11:40.7
ng ating saligang batas
11:41.8
at ating demokrasya.
11:42.9
So let's look at that.
11:43.8
Now, just to be clear
11:45.6
hindi ako disagree
11:47.3
constitutional amendments.
11:49.0
Actually, I agree
11:49.8
with that certain
11:50.4
constitutional amendments
11:52.7
Hindi rin ako disagree
11:53.4
dun sa parliamentary system
11:56.6
medyo nag-aaral tayo sa buhay
11:58.6
yung sinasabi natin
11:59.7
tignan mo yung Bangladesh,
12:01.9
I can go on and on
12:03.2
even Turkey in the past
12:06.0
political system mo
12:06.8
kung maraming ang mga trapos
12:09.5
even yung parliamentary system
12:11.0
to consolidate power.
12:12.2
This is Sheikh Hasina
12:13.0
all the way to Ardoan
12:15.7
that we have in other
12:16.4
developing countries.
12:17.6
So yung mga nagsabi na
12:18.5
oh mag-parliamentary tayo
12:19.6
automatically maging
12:22.0
hindi na alam natin
12:23.2
alam pinagsasabi nila
12:24.2
because dapat titignan mo
12:25.3
how these systems operate
12:26.5
in a certain condition
12:27.5
and ang conditions
12:30.3
sa mga katulad ng Bangladesh
12:32.0
rather than countries
12:34.7
Germany or what not.
12:37.4
dapat titignan natin.
12:38.9
pag-usaban din natin
12:39.7
Nigeria for instance
12:40.7
or semi-federalism
12:42.4
in Iraq for instance
12:43.8
na mas malapit sa atin
12:45.2
in terms of their conditions
12:49.8
Germany or I don't know
12:50.8
United States, Canada
12:53.2
So yun ang sinasabi ko
12:54.0
you have to be very critical.
12:55.3
Dapat critical thinking
12:56.2
ang ginagamit natin
12:57.1
pag pinag-usapan natin
12:58.2
itong mga issue na ito
13:00.1
ng constitutional change
13:01.3
or charter change.
13:03.2
all of those things
13:06.2
ito yung problema ko
13:07.5
talaga mga kameta.
13:10.3
kadalo na sinabi natin
13:12.6
may napublish tayo
13:13.4
sa Journal of Democracy
13:14.4
which is considered
13:17.0
academic intellectual space
13:19.5
for discussing issues
13:24.6
may mga taon dyan
13:26.9
they're trying to twist this
13:28.0
to make it look as if
13:29.1
ini-endorse natin
13:32.0
and sinasabi natin
13:32.7
na he's a fantastic president
13:34.0
and everything's going fine
13:37.4
ng article mismo.
13:42.8
In quotation mark.
13:45.1
na hindi marunong magsulat
13:46.3
or hindi nakapag-aral
13:52.6
sa quotation mark
13:54.7
parang you're not
13:56.1
necessarily saying
13:56.9
a statement of truth
13:58.1
you're putting it out there
13:59.6
with some significant caveat.
14:07.4
kung tinignan niyo yung article
14:10.5
to my first analysis
14:11.8
just after elections
14:18.1
hindi siya maging katulad
14:19.0
ni Digong na bara-bara
14:20.1
but that doesn't mean
14:21.7
he will necessarily
14:27.4
let's constitution
14:30.1
toppled yung kanyang
14:31.0
pamilya from power.
14:33.1
So in fact I said that
14:34.2
you know he could still
14:36.0
ang fundamental argument ko
14:37.3
which is turning out
14:39.1
don't underestimate
14:42.1
than people assume
14:42.9
he's far more savvy
14:43.9
than people assume
14:44.6
and at the same time
14:45.9
don't expect him to be
14:50.3
all of those kind of
14:54.4
barangay geopolitics
14:55.7
level kind of nonsense
14:56.8
so in fairness naman sa kanya
14:58.1
that exactly turned out
15:00.3
so sabi ko he's gonna be
15:01.2
more balanced in US-China relations
15:02.5
and respond according
15:03.4
to defend the Philippines
15:04.3
interest of West Philippine Sea
15:06.1
yun ang nangyari yan
15:08.5
baka sa ilalim niya
15:09.7
there will be some
15:10.8
tweaking of the drug war
15:13.1
and then of course
15:14.3
last year sinabi natin na
15:16.1
this is like 6-7 months
15:17.3
na potentially ma-free
15:18.5
na rin si Laila Delima
15:20.6
and then most importantly
15:23.0
baka maging mas bukas
15:24.1
ang itong administration
15:25.5
sa International Criminal Court
15:29.4
pinag-usapan natin
15:32.0
I put it in quotation mark
15:35.2
functional effect
15:36.7
sobrang mas maganda
15:39.0
ang naging kalabasan
15:41.0
ng Marco Jr. administration
15:42.9
what was expected of him
15:47.5
and push towards martial law
15:51.8
where Duterte left off
15:55.5
what has happened
15:58.0
so that's very clear
16:02.5
I also made it very clear
16:03.7
na pag titignan mo
16:15.0
ito or something like that
16:17.7
well a lot of this
16:19.0
is because of also
16:19.6
yung nangyaring hiduan
16:23.7
gusto ka i-pressure
16:24.6
hindi niya respeto
16:25.5
yung pagka-presidente mo
16:27.4
you're gonna push back
16:29.5
some of these reforms
16:31.1
politically make sense
16:33.2
because ito yung reflection
16:36.9
dalawang higanteng
16:40.6
ruthless pragmatism
16:41.7
and real politics
16:43.1
also involved here
16:44.9
we can have a long debate
16:49.1
when it comes to intentions
16:50.3
part of President
16:51.2
Marco Jr. also wants
16:52.8
ma-fully rehabilitate
16:53.9
yung kanyang pamilya
16:54.8
ma-fully accept sila
16:56.4
life will be better
16:57.5
for the next generation
17:00.1
hindi maulit sa kanila
17:02.0
yung nangyara sa kanya
17:06.2
so on and so forth
17:09.1
maybe there's also
17:10.5
that wants to leave
17:12.5
especially pagdating
17:13.4
sa West Philippine Sea
17:14.6
because yun din naman
17:15.5
in fairness yung legacy
17:17.7
fighting against China
17:20.2
making sure na malakas
17:21.2
yung position natin
17:21.9
sa West Philippine Sea
17:23.6
kita natin sa pag-asa
17:28.4
this palang may plano na
17:33.6
sa pag-asa island
17:35.6
there's also that
17:37.4
shadow of the father
17:38.1
the legacy of the father
17:42.5
legacies ng kanyang ama
17:44.3
pagdating sa West Philippine Sea
17:45.8
pagdating sa balancing
17:47.1
ng mga superpowers
17:52.9
a more authoritarian system
17:54.1
or a move towards
17:56.3
or a move towards
17:58.1
yung democratic erosion
17:59.8
or autocratic consolidation
18:03.7
na administration
18:06.1
klarong-klaro dito
18:08.7
pagdating sa issue
18:09.8
ng charter change
18:12.9
pag na-charter change ka
18:14.4
nag-parliamentary ka
18:19.8
parliamentary system
18:21.9
most number of votes
18:25.6
ang mangyari dyan
18:28.4
who's not the most
18:28.9
charismatic people
18:29.8
but someone trusted
18:30.5
and then the president
18:33.2
symbolic president
18:34.0
but still head of state
18:34.9
katulad ng system
18:35.7
sa Italy for instance
18:36.7
and back in the day
18:39.3
pushed for certain reforms
18:44.6
the French system
18:45.4
or the Korean system
18:48.5
my prime minister
18:49.9
predominant yung president
18:55.4
towards that kind
18:56.0
of parliamentary system
18:56.8
hindi na kailangan
19:01.9
galing sa kabilang
19:03.1
lagot kayo sa amin
19:04.1
pag buwan lang kami
19:13.6
huwag natin kalimutan
19:18.0
of charter change
19:18.6
could be hijacked
19:20.1
of charter change
19:22.2
unintended consequences
19:25.6
in the opposition
19:26.6
it could be a Trojan horse
19:28.7
all sorts of questionable things
19:31.1
so ang sinasabi ko dito is
19:36.3
sa political system natin
19:37.5
but don't throw out
19:40.0
with the bath water
19:40.8
throw out the bath water
19:41.7
ang bath water po
19:50.7
critical thinking
19:52.5
political culture
19:54.1
where we should be
19:57.8
strong state institutions
19:58.8
independent regulatory bodies
20:00.4
so yun yung mga kailangan natin
20:02.2
protection of human rights
20:04.6
separate the good things
20:06.5
from the bad things
20:09.0
oligarchs and dynasties
20:10.4
dominating our system
20:11.3
the good things are
20:14.7
so on and so forth
20:15.7
yun ang kailangan natin
20:16.4
sorry parang medyo
20:20.6
baby from the bathwater
20:22.3
through amendments
20:23.9
actually with existing
20:24.7
1997 constitution
20:25.9
but we make sure lang
20:26.9
the better kind of leaders
20:28.4
less trapo kind of leaders
20:30.7
and we really have
20:32.0
a government of best
20:33.4
yung finance minister mo
20:34.8
yung I don't know
20:37.8
eto yung mga best of the best
20:39.4
so yung po yung tinitignan natin
20:44.5
in the right direction
20:47.6
tanggap naman natin
20:48.9
na may problema talaga
20:50.6
sa ating political system
20:52.1
ang problema kasi dito
20:55.8
kaysa they'll point
20:58.0
at the real source
20:59.9
which is yung mga
21:02.3
they're gonna point it at
21:07.3
this is not backed up
21:09.8
alam naman natin na
21:13.3
katulad ng sinabi ko
21:14.9
you cannot fix a problem
21:16.4
kung yung fixer mo
21:17.5
yun yung problema mo
21:20.6
siya pa yung may pakanan
21:22.2
siya pa yung ugat
21:24.0
so again in theory
21:25.1
I am for constitutional amendments
21:26.6
constitutional change
21:27.6
but under the right conditions
21:28.9
the right condition means
21:29.9
you can trust the people
21:31.4
are gonna oversee
21:32.9
constitutional change
21:35.5
yung process of transition
21:36.5
para siguraduin natin
21:39.4
of the best of country
21:42.2
constitutional amendments
21:43.6
and charter change
21:46.5
meron tayong mga caveats
21:48.1
because if you don't have
21:49.3
the right analysis
21:50.5
and you don't do it
21:51.3
under the right conditions
21:52.4
pwede ma-hijack ito
21:55.8
maganda yung intentions
21:56.6
there's something called
21:58.1
the law of unintended consequences
22:00.1
because there's always something
22:01.2
that you're not gonna foresee
22:03.6
there's gonna be certain problems
22:05.0
that you're not gonna foresee
22:06.1
so I'll give you an example
22:06.9
so yung isang ginawa natin
22:12.4
sa 1987 constitution
22:14.8
implementing rules and regulations
22:19.5
provisions of the constitution
22:20.5
of the Philippine constitution
22:24.4
so hindi ka pwede
22:25.3
maging senador forever
22:26.8
you have to step down
22:27.5
after three terms
22:28.2
you have to step down
22:29.4
now I'll explain to you
22:30.3
what is the law of unintended consequence
22:31.8
the law of unintended consequence
22:34.4
hindi na anticipate
22:35.7
nung may ibang tao
22:36.5
na actually ang mangyari dito
22:38.0
potentially making
22:39.3
dynastic politics worse
22:41.1
because what has actually happened
22:44.0
what was intended
22:46.1
pag naka two term na yung isa
22:48.2
or naka three term na yung isa
22:50.5
three term especially
22:52.6
or congressional level
22:54.1
ang nilalagay nila dyan
22:57.5
hindi ka magva-violate
23:01.3
so you're technically legal
23:02.8
you're following the law
23:06.3
you're incentivizing
23:07.5
the creation of political dynasties
23:10.4
you did not create
23:11.9
the condition to make sure
23:13.0
na after yung two term
23:14.8
ni mayor, senador
23:16.2
may laban yung mga ibang alternatives
23:19.2
para silang pwede
23:20.1
mag-replace sa kanya
23:21.0
so what happens is
23:22.7
kung etong congressman
23:24.0
or etong governor in power
23:25.1
for two, three terms
23:26.0
sisiguradoin niya
23:29.0
once mag-hit na siya
23:30.5
dun sa term limit niya
23:31.4
sisiguradoin niya
23:32.3
na pwede mananalo
23:34.2
yung kanyang asawa
23:36.6
once hindi na siya
23:38.7
pwede tumakbo ulit
23:39.6
and then of course
23:40.7
meron din tayong situation
23:47.5
and then nag term limit
23:48.4
bumaba yung tatay
23:49.9
umakyat yung anak
23:52.5
ang dami mga ganyan
23:53.9
so this is what you call
23:55.1
a law of unintended consequence
23:56.3
because in fairness
23:57.5
maganda yung intention
23:58.7
maganda yung intention
24:05.3
dahil na hijack eto
24:08.2
the dynasty problem
24:09.3
in the Philippines worse
24:10.2
so what you actually need
24:16.1
na maging competitive
24:17.4
yung electoral landscape
24:19.7
walang vote buying
24:21.3
may chance yung mga iba
24:22.4
na pwede mag-replace
24:24.0
dun sa mga dynasties
24:26.1
kung matapos yung
24:27.4
termino yung office
24:28.6
so you're not creating conditions
24:29.8
for competitive elections
24:31.2
so that's one thing
24:33.1
correctly also pointed out here
24:36.3
sinabi nila yung issue
24:37.9
again, party list
24:38.7
is another good example
24:39.8
of law of unintended consequences
24:41.6
so kung tinignan mo
24:43.4
yung party list system
24:45.8
tinanggap na nila
24:49.0
congressional races
24:51.2
kung ikaw ay galing
24:51.9
sa grassroots movements
24:55.1
because ang kalaban mo dyan
24:56.1
yung mga malalaking
24:56.9
trapo at saka dynasties
24:58.1
na billion-billion
24:58.9
yung kanilang budget
24:59.7
so halos hopeless case yan
25:01.7
it's very very hard
25:02.8
na talunin mo yung mga
25:03.8
warlords and dynasties
25:06.4
congressional race
25:07.8
so what the party list did was
25:11.5
ng certain number of seat
25:13.1
dun sa mga marginalized group
25:15.2
and then sila-sila na lang
25:16.8
and then depending on
25:20.5
ang napanalo nila
25:21.3
out of the total vote
25:29.2
ma-allocate ka ng
25:30.7
kung ikaw yung may
25:31.5
pinakamalaking vote
25:32.5
at certain percentage
25:37.8
law of undead consequence
25:41.7
parang mas mura pa
25:43.4
kung maging party list
25:45.1
kaysa congressional congressman
25:49.2
grassroots group dun
25:50.0
they manage to get
25:51.2
one seat, two seats
25:51.9
or even three seats
25:52.7
with very limited expenses
25:54.9
as long as they could mobilize
25:55.8
a certain number of votes
25:56.9
100,000, 200,000, 300,000
25:58.6
some up to 1 million
25:59.6
especially mga progressive
26:00.6
mga kabayan block
26:01.4
mga ganyan type of people
26:03.6
what happened here is
26:06.8
also partly thanks
26:08.8
to our supreme court
26:11.4
marginalized group
26:12.3
and more importantly
26:14.1
kung sinong pwede
26:15.9
ng marginalized group
26:17.2
ay naging masyadong
26:20.1
meron kang situation
26:21.5
isang dating congressman
26:23.9
ang sasabihin niya
26:25.2
may malasakit ako
26:28.5
or sa security guards
26:31.4
taga probinsya namin
26:40.4
but yung nagre-represent
26:42.5
because may supreme court
26:44.1
na hindi naman kailangan
26:46.6
ikaw yung party list
26:52.4
para sa mga manggagawa
26:53.6
you don't necessarily
26:54.5
need to be a farmer
26:55.8
as long as you just
26:57.1
prove that in general
26:58.5
as long as you prove
27:01.0
meron kang malasakit
27:04.0
meron kang involvement
27:05.8
alam mo naman natin yan
27:07.6
so binaba mo yung
27:11.6
marginalized groups
27:13.1
and then yung definition mo
27:14.8
ng also marginalized
27:15.6
ay sobrang malawak na
27:17.9
ang outcome ngayon
27:18.9
is yung party list system
27:20.3
has become a cheaper way
27:21.7
for the same dynasties
27:23.6
to get back into power
27:24.8
and making the situation
27:29.3
this is another case
27:30.5
of unintended consequences
27:32.1
kausap ko kayo lahat
27:32.9
makinig lang kayo sa akin
27:33.7
tatlo yung kausap ko
27:34.5
tatlong mga screen dito
27:36.0
so I can go on and on
27:39.8
a lot of unintended consequences
27:41.0
I'll give you another example also
27:44.6
katulad ng sinabi natin kanina
27:47.1
sobrang bankrupt yung country natin
27:48.8
yung country natin
27:48.9
more than 25 billion dollars
27:51.4
nung bumaksak yung
27:52.3
rehymen ng dictatorship
27:53.5
at wala tayong pera
27:57.6
so ang nangyayari
27:58.4
nung nanala si Ramos
27:59.8
dahil puro may utang
28:02.3
yung mga government
28:04.7
wala silang sapat na
28:13.6
pinaprivatize na lang nila
28:15.0
because the idea was there
28:16.2
is you privatize it
28:19.3
ng private sector
28:20.6
ang private sector
28:22.6
all of the new liberal stuff
28:23.7
the problem though
28:29.7
sa mga developing countries
28:31.7
mahinang scrutiny
28:32.9
mahinang state institution
28:34.2
so pwede ang gawin mo dyan
28:35.5
yung bidding process
28:40.6
eventually what happened
28:41.7
is that during the privatization
28:42.8
lumakas lalo yung mga
28:44.0
old economic oligarchs
28:45.2
because they were able
28:46.8
of big state-owned
28:50.2
infrastructure sectors
28:51.2
during the privatization process
28:53.1
maganda yung intention
28:54.3
to push it to the private sector
28:55.7
para mas maganda yung
28:57.5
and delivery and all
28:58.4
pero nakita natin
28:59.8
na hijack yung process
29:00.6
so the Philippines
29:03.9
yung mga ganitong
29:06.4
maganda yung intention
29:07.1
yung mga ibang tao
29:08.1
like for instance
29:08.6
nung na-introduce
29:09.6
ng democracy sa Pilipinas
29:10.6
ng panahon ng mga Amerikano
29:11.9
hindi naman totoong democracy
29:13.0
kasi colonized pa rin tayo
29:14.6
pero yung semi-commonwealth
29:16.9
ang problema naman dyan is
29:18.7
that automatically
29:21.9
yung mga hacienderos
29:23.9
and mga oligarchs
29:25.2
because sila lang
29:29.7
na bumili ng boto
29:31.4
para sa mga matataas
29:33.6
kaya nakikita natin
29:36.7
yung mga hacienderos
29:39.0
nung ating senado
29:42.5
for a very long time
29:44.8
kailangan ba natin
29:46.9
or pag magtsa-tsa-tsa
29:50.6
or kung magtsa-tsa-tsa
29:53.2
ng isang kongreso
29:56.3
masolve yung problema
29:57.7
you get what I'm saying
29:58.3
so yun ang sinisabi ko
29:59.9
ang problema kasi
30:01.3
they muddy the water
30:05.6
all of this confusion
30:06.5
and then they give
30:07.5
all of this simplistic stuff
30:08.5
para hindi ma-analyze
30:10.3
ano ba talagang problema
30:11.2
parang ganito yan eh
30:12.0
kung wala kang kwentang driver
30:13.9
kahit anong kotse
30:19.0
in fact kung hindi ka magaling
30:20.8
tapos bibigyan ka ng
30:21.5
mas mabilis ba na kotse
30:25.1
the problem is the driver
30:27.5
the car can be proved
30:29.8
I'm for amendments
30:32.3
pero mas problema natin
30:34.1
dito yung driver eh
30:35.1
yun po yung problema
30:38.3
kayo charter change
30:39.1
sigurado yun din nyo
30:41.4
ng sumusulong nito
30:44.0
may interest talaga
30:46.5
mapakatiwalaan natin
30:51.2
kailangan ng ating bansa
30:52.4
yun lang sinasabi natin dito eh
30:54.4
I'm not against charter change
30:55.5
I'm definitely not against
30:57.0
constitutional amendments
30:58.0
including amendments
30:59.9
provisions of our
31:01.3
constitutions that prevents
31:04.4
we can have a long debate
31:06.9
I'll tell you what
31:07.7
another problem with chacha
31:09.2
is it even necessary
31:13.4
kongreso at senado
31:15.1
at least three different
00:00.0
31:48.400 --> 31:49.400
31:49.4
conditions for investments
31:51.4
pwede natin pag-usapan
31:52.3
in two, three, four, five years
31:53.3
if kailangan talaga
31:54.3
ng total charter change
31:55.5
para pagandahin yung
31:57.6
last time I checked
31:59.4
ang ekonomiya natin
32:02.7
especially dito sa
32:05.1
ang problema natin
32:09.3
ang problema natin
32:10.8
hindi tayo nag-attract
32:12.0
ng high quality investments
32:13.4
chacha pang sagot dyan
32:16.8
industrial policy
32:21.5
yun yung sinasabi ko dito
32:22.6
so yung mga iba na
32:23.6
simplistic mag-isip
32:26.8
parating yung sinasabi
32:31.3
nakadlabas yung dila
32:32.5
so parang sinabi mo
32:34.6
nilabas din natin
32:35.8
pag nag-shoot tayo
32:36.4
kasing galing tayo
32:37.0
ni Michael Jordan
32:39.5
yung argument na iba dyan
32:40.5
na gaya lang natin
32:41.8
yung saligang batas
32:42.5
ng ibang ganitong bansa
32:43.4
maging katulad tayo
32:44.2
ng mga bansang yan
32:45.3
kasi you're not looking
32:46.1
at proper causality
32:48.8
ang dahilan ba talaga
32:50.7
na hindi nag-invest
32:51.4
masyadong iba dyan
32:53.3
sa saligang batas natin
32:56.1
dun sa napakamahal
32:58.7
napakahina infrastructure
33:01.2
the solution is actually
33:02.1
something more fundamental
33:05.3
I think all of us can agree
33:08.7
the fact that only
33:11.2
in the Philippines
33:12.9
of newly created growth
33:13.7
the fact that 80%
33:19.0
yun yung problema
33:20.3
kung hindi mo tanggap
33:22.7
dynastica or whatever
33:24.3
now having accepted that
33:26.4
the next question is
33:27.4
does chacha solve that problem
33:28.9
or actually make it worse
33:30.3
at the very least
33:31.7
it's just a distraction
33:32.5
from the real problem
33:35.5
thank you very much
33:41.0
thank you very much
33:41.7
for that discussion
33:42.6
again I'm you know
33:43.3
yun ang problema kasi
33:45.9
hindi nakikinig sa atin
33:49.8
in different formats
33:54.5
so kung hindi kayo nagbabasa
33:57.1
magmamagaling dyan
33:57.9
kasi isi-shutdown ko lang
33:59.0
yung mga nonsense
33:59.7
na counter arguments dyan
34:00.8
na walang basihan
34:02.2
at ma-expose lang
34:03.7
hindi kayo nagbabasa
34:04.6
or baka hater lang kayo
34:06.2
at ibang problema na yan
34:08.5
thank you very much
34:09.2
maraming salamat sa lahat
34:10.1
mga nagbamahal sa atin
34:11.1
nagfo-follow sa atin
34:12.0
of course new followers natin
34:13.6
of course on youtube
34:19.4
and talk to you soon
