01:13.3
Talagang humahabol tayo.
01:14.2
Well, sorry but not sorry
01:15.3
kasi kagaling lahat na natin
01:17.7
dun sa mga tapings natin.
01:18.8
Of course, dun for yung ating show
01:21.6
na View from Manila.
01:22.9
Meron tayong na-interview
01:23.7
from the Armed Forces of the Philippines.
01:26.3
So abangan niyan next Monday.
01:28.0
Pag-usapan namin dyan
01:29.0
ng AFM Modernization,
01:31.7
West Philippine Sea,
01:34.6
Pag-usapan natin yan Monday
01:36.0
dun sa show natin
01:38.8
if I'm not mistaken.
01:39.7
Of course, sa Signal TV, TV5.
01:41.4
So pakicheck yan.
01:42.1
And of course, on YouTube
01:43.0
also mahanap niyan.
01:44.8
itype nilang View from Manila
01:46.7
Hey Darren, lalabas yan.
01:47.5
Of course, shoutout also
01:48.7
dun sa team natin
01:49.7
behind View from Manila
01:52.3
our first nomination
01:53.2
sa Asia Television Awards
01:55.9
for Best Coroner First Program
01:58.7
So, extremely, extremely
02:00.1
honored to be selected
02:02.6
at least for yung nakarana taon
02:05.6
five leading coroner first programs
02:07.3
in the entire continent.
02:08.4
So, big deal sa atin yan
02:09.8
because, you know,
02:10.6
we are doing our best here
02:11.9
to bring world-class analysis
02:13.6
and progress on conversations.
02:16.1
marami tayong mga haters,
02:17.9
I've been dealing with them
02:18.6
for quite some time.
02:19.5
Bata pa lang tayong.
02:20.6
eto, ang dadlan neto,
02:21.8
ang pilosopo eto,
02:22.6
dami alam tong batang to.
02:23.7
Well, saan sila ngayon?
02:26.3
I mean, saan sila
02:27.1
in terms of appreciation nila ngayon?
02:29.8
in terms of, you know.
02:31.5
Okay lang yan, naysayers.
02:32.6
And then, yung mga iba,
02:33.3
eto si Daryan, madal dan.
02:34.6
Mas nagsasalita pa sa guests niya.
02:36.5
Well, hindi ako host in terms of,
02:39.1
hindi ako journalist per se.
02:41.4
I'm a specialist.
02:42.6
I'm a conversationalist,
02:44.8
So, lahat na yan.
02:45.4
Okay, so, thank you so much.
02:46.8
Thank you so much
02:47.3
sa lahat ng mga sumusuporta sa atin
02:48.5
kasi kayo po yung nagbigyan ng lakas sa atin
02:50.5
to overcome lahat ng mga haters,
02:53.2
Now, to mention all the logistical issues
02:54.9
and difficulties and everything,
02:56.2
especially nowadays
02:56.9
sa ating media landscape,
02:58.7
extremely difficult.
02:60.0
I think after what happened to ABS-CBN,
03:02.0
talagang hindi na the same yung mainstream media.
03:04.0
And of course, now we have the rise of social media
03:05.8
and other platforms
03:07.8
na are changing the game entirely.
03:11.3
And that's why nagla-live tayo ng ganito.
03:13.2
Kahit anong oras na,
03:14.0
9.30 na, sabi ko,
03:14.9
habol ka para yan yan.
03:16.2
Okay, pag-usapan natin today.
03:17.7
Actually, this is more or less a flavor
03:19.0
ng mga pinag-usapan natin kanina
03:20.3
dun sa The Big Picture
03:22.1
with sila Gretchen Ho,
03:23.1
with yung mga kaibigan natin sa TV5,
03:26.0
at saka dun din sa ating discussions.
03:28.5
oh, by the way, again,
03:29.7
I meant in terms of yun,
03:32.2
at least now, hopefully, realizing na,
03:34.0
you know, hindi lang ako madal-dal dati.
03:35.5
Siguro may konting interest naman tayo
03:36.8
at may konting alam sa buhay.
03:39.5
this is a constant process
03:41.0
of self-improvement and learning,
03:43.4
Kasi true humility is
03:46.1
ah, ito na lang kaya ko,
03:48.1
hanggang dyan na lang ako.
03:49.2
That's not humility.
03:50.1
That's bad complacency.
03:51.9
Ang true humility is to say,
03:53.6
ah, siguro magaling ako,
03:54.7
but I still have to improve myself.
03:57.1
Because at the end of the day,
04:01.7
Kahit anong age ka,
04:02.6
50, 60, 70, 20, 30,
04:05.6
it's not the same throughout the years,
04:07.0
but may tinatawag na neuroplasticity.
04:10.8
any decade in your life,
04:12.2
you can still learn and improve
04:13.3
as long as you accept
04:14.6
that you should improve
04:16.8
and you're willing to improve.
04:19.5
Now, speaking of willing to improve,
04:21.1
willing to accept,
04:22.0
willing to change,
04:22.9
willing to adjust,
04:23.8
pag-usapan natin itong situation sa Pilipinas.
04:28.1
itong si Hey Darian,
04:30.3
ito yung parating
04:31.3
nagka-criticize kay tatay.
04:33.0
Ito yung parating sinasabi na
04:34.1
dapat mas matapang tayo sa West Philippine Sea.
04:36.0
Ito yung nagsasabi parating na
04:37.2
huwag tayo magpababully.
04:39.3
Well, guess what?
04:40.0
I'm still standing by those arguments.
04:42.0
But let me be absolutely clear.
04:43.5
Absolutely clear.
04:44.2
Yes, walang kwenta yung mga nasasabi na
04:46.9
huwag kayong maging Ukraine 2.0.
04:48.3
Okay, walang kwenta yung mga ganun
04:49.2
ng mga makapili club.
04:51.0
at the same time,
04:52.3
at the same time,
04:53.8
we have to be absolutely clear about this.
04:56.6
sa West Philippine Sea,
04:57.6
whether it's Philippines or China.
04:59.6
But history shows that
05:00.6
even if no one wants war,
05:02.4
war can still happen.
05:03.8
Ang tawag dyan is sleepwalkers.
05:07.0
there's a fantastic book
05:08.0
called Sleepwalkers.
05:09.3
You can check that.
05:11.4
and also Guns of August.
05:14.2
There are at least two fantastic books out there
05:16.1
about the origins of First World War
05:17.6
where no one wanted war
05:20.4
or no one thought that there would be a war
05:22.5
or no one thought that there would be a world war
05:24.8
or no one thought that the world war
05:25.9
would last so long
05:28.3
Because everyone was thinking,
05:29.4
ah, ano lang yan?
05:30.6
Signaling lang yan,
05:31.5
posturing lang yan,
05:32.5
payabang lang yan,
05:33.5
or it's gonna be a limited war,
05:34.9
it's gonna be just a single season,
05:36.2
it's gonna be a single month.
05:37.6
Kaya Guns of August,
05:38.5
nagsimulay ng war
05:39.2
in August of 1914.
05:41.3
Next thing you know,
05:42.2
it extended all the way to 1918
05:44.0
and a devastating conflict.
05:45.6
And the Second World War
05:47.1
a continuation of First World War.
05:49.4
If you properly understand
05:50.5
the context of that,
05:51.9
and all those horrible fascist people,
05:54.2
a lot of them were veterans
05:55.1
of First World War.
05:56.1
And a lot of people
05:56.6
who believed in them,
05:58.1
and fell for fascism
05:59.3
were people who were traumatized
06:00.5
by First World War
06:01.8
and the settlement
06:03.6
in aftermath of that,
06:05.0
The Treaty of Versailles,
06:07.8
now, having said that,
06:10.1
the thing I say is,
06:13.0
everyone is on the edge nowadays,
06:14.9
especially China.
06:16.3
Now, let me be also
06:17.4
absolutely clear,
06:20.7
na mag-misinterpret
06:22.5
ng sinasabing natin.
06:24.8
we should accommodate
06:26.9
kaewanan ng ibang bansa.
06:30.1
we should accommodate bullying.
06:31.5
We should fight against bullying.
06:32.9
We should draw the line
06:33.6
against bullying.
06:35.1
we should just accept
06:35.8
other countries to insult us
06:37.1
or insult our officials
06:38.2
or insult our president.
06:39.9
Even if I'm okay BBM,
06:41.2
at the end of the day,
06:41.8
he's the president
06:42.2
of the Republic of the Philippines.
06:44.1
the dignity of the state.
06:45.3
Again, you may think
06:45.9
he doesn't have dignity.
06:46.9
Ibang usapan yan,
06:47.8
but I'm talking about
06:48.6
the office of the president
06:49.9
of the Philippines
06:50.5
is a representation
06:51.9
of the dignity of the state
06:52.8
of the Filipino people.
06:54.5
So, let's be absolutely clear
06:58.1
we should accommodate.
06:59.9
we should just be
07:02.1
that's out there.
07:05.7
that we should not rely
07:06.8
on our allies and friends.
07:08.6
So, dito yung malaking
07:09.6
disagreement ko dun
07:11.0
mga ganyan-ganyan,
07:13.1
puro mga slogan-slogan.
07:17.0
pag dating sa China,
07:18.8
ang daming pinagsasabi.
07:19.9
Pag dating sa Russia,
07:21.0
invasion of Ukraine,
07:22.0
ang daming apology.
07:23.4
Walang kwenta yung mga ganyan tao.
07:26.5
having said all of that,
07:28.7
having said all of that,
07:30.3
I fundamentally believe
07:32.2
na pag dating sa Pilipinas,
07:38.8
and the West Philippine Sea disputes.
07:40.9
eto yung Goldilocks na,
07:44.7
hindi eto yung parang,
07:50.9
Pag nag-physics kayo,
07:53.0
may life sa parte
07:55.7
it's not too hard,
07:56.5
but it's not too cold.
07:59.4
it's kind of like
08:01.2
It's like the exact temperature
08:02.5
that allows for life,
08:05.2
to come into fruition.
08:13.8
yung mga ka-TikTokers,
08:16.0
mag-Polvoronic discussions.
08:19.7
Ayaw ko sa mga Polvoron
08:21.1
kung may mga Goldilocks
08:26.6
Wala akong alam dyan.
08:28.6
balikan natin to.
08:30.6
mga Polvoronic na naman
08:33.9
Ito yung sinasabi ko
08:38.5
We should make sure
08:42.0
too accommodationist
08:44.8
conciliatory sa China.
08:48.8
Yun yung problema
08:51.9
China will protect,
08:54.4
yun yung sinabi niya,
08:55.0
I love Xi Jinping,
08:57.5
than anybody else
08:58.9
in our national life.
09:00.8
that's what he said.
09:02.0
Pwede mong google yan.
09:03.1
Sa sobrang scandalous
09:05.4
na-memorize na natin
09:06.4
yung mga quotes ni tatay.
09:07.6
I love Xi Jinping
09:11.9
ayan, mga ganyan.
09:13.1
China will protect me,
09:15.3
We should be meek
09:17.4
we'll get China's,
09:21.9
Ayan, mga ganyan.
09:24.0
nung reed bank incident,
09:25.5
lethal maritime incident,
09:26.5
which is effectively
09:30.1
Chinese foreign ministry.
09:32.2
so there were many times na
09:34.6
Digong was extremely,
09:39.4
slavish and servile
09:40.6
or whatever you want to use it.
09:41.7
Some would even use
09:45.4
I'm absolutely against that.
09:48.6
Goldilocks approach,
09:49.5
you want to also make sure
09:50.3
that you're not also
09:51.1
in this mode whereby,
09:53.4
let's just demonize
09:54.4
everything that China is
09:56.4
an enemy of China
09:58.8
an eternal conflict
10:01.0
Imagine yung mga ganyan,
10:02.3
ingatin tayo dyan.
10:03.5
And at the end of the day,
10:05.1
diplomacy is very important.
10:06.4
I'll give you a very good example.
10:08.2
as some of you know,
10:11.7
As some of you know,
10:13.5
I used to be based in Taiwan.
10:15.3
So, I was a visiting scholar
10:16.4
in National Cheng Chi.
10:17.6
I was a Taiwan fellow
10:18.5
visiting scholar.
10:19.8
I met President Ma Ying-jeou.
10:21.5
I met President Tsai Ing-wen.
10:23.0
I met many officials
10:23.9
throughout the years
10:26.0
one of the things
10:26.4
I realized with Taiwan is
10:27.6
even if sobrang palaban sila,
10:31.6
even if they're threatened
10:33.7
and even if nanalo yung
10:35.3
Democratic Progressive Party,
10:37.1
which is known for,
10:38.7
representing a movement
10:39.5
that is essentially
10:40.4
for independence of Taiwan,
10:41.9
fully independence of Taiwan.
10:43.8
may mga genius dyan
10:45.9
paano mo masabi na
10:46.8
hindi fully sovereign
10:49.6
may tinatawag pa na
10:51.2
hindi lang binary
10:53.0
sophisticated analysis
10:54.0
always looks at the spectrum.
10:57.1
independent nation,
10:58.6
but in this de jure.
11:00.7
most countries on earth
11:01.6
do not recognize Taiwan
11:02.8
as a fully sovereign state.
11:04.4
Kaya napansin mo,
11:05.1
last time I checked,
11:06.3
wala silang embassy dito.
11:07.7
Mayroon silang economic,
11:10.6
pero wala silang embassy
11:11.7
and most of us in the world
11:12.9
have one China policy.
11:14.8
we recognize Beijing
11:15.6
as a representative
11:16.5
of the greater China people.
11:19.1
medyo nasa gray zone
11:21.8
many of countries,
11:23.1
many countries around the world
11:25.0
as a self-ruling,
11:28.4
but they do not accept them
11:30.1
as a representative of China.
11:32.8
ang pangalan ng Taiwan
11:33.8
is Republic of China.
11:35.7
ibang usapan yan,
11:38.6
and Kong Min-tang
11:41.1
one of the things
11:41.6
I noticed with Taiwan
11:42.3
is even when the DPP
11:47.1
third term in office,
12:01.5
to escalate the matter,
12:05.9
you mga major crazy people
12:07.1
on the other side.
12:10.2
accommodate them.
12:11.7
there's always a way
12:13.3
to do the right thing
12:20.2
if you look at Tsai Ing-wen
12:21.4
throughout her two terms
12:23.4
with William Lai,
12:24.9
they made very sure
12:26.2
don't use certain terms
12:27.7
in their diplomatic language
12:29.1
and that the tone
12:30.1
of their language
12:35.0
that they can project
12:36.1
responsible statesmanship.
12:41.8
you don't give China
12:42.4
an excuse to say,
12:43.2
kayong ajon provocateur.
12:46.2
ang pinapakita sa mundo,
12:47.3
pinapakita mo sa mundo
12:48.2
is ikaw yung responsable.
12:51.9
or may nagwawala dyan,
12:52.9
kasalanan nila yan,
12:55.0
this is the value
12:56.2
and statesmanship
12:57.3
in neighboring Taiwan,
12:58.6
which has an extremely
13:00.4
hostile relationship,
13:01.9
to put it mildly,
13:06.9
speaking of the Philippines,
13:09.8
dun sa mga kaibigan natin
13:11.6
Speaking of the Philippines,
13:12.8
I think there's a lesson here
13:14.4
as far as Taiwan is concerned.
13:15.8
Not totally the same situation,
13:18.9
you make your red lines clear,
13:23.3
They're not gonna talk
13:24.3
about reunification
13:25.7
It's out of question.
13:27.5
it's out of question
13:28.2
practically for all
13:29.2
major political leaders
13:30.6
That's why even the
13:31.3
Kuomintang and TPP
13:32.7
candidates did not talk
13:34.4
about reunification
13:35.1
in any serious matter
13:36.1
because vast majority
13:37.0
of Taiwanese believe that,
13:39.0
they are Taiwanese,
13:40.2
and they have to fight
13:41.4
speaking of having said
13:42.6
all of those things,
13:47.5
once your red lines
13:49.2
at the same time,
13:50.4
a little bit of a finesse.
13:52.3
a little bit of diplomatic
13:54.1
And you also have to have,
13:56.4
tinatag na off-ramp
13:59.1
hindi sobrang mapaya.
14:03.7
pitik mo nang gano'n
14:05.5
Pero at the same time,
14:06.1
you wanna give an off-ramp
14:07.2
para hindi lalong
14:08.1
na-escalate yung situation.
14:09.7
Because China today
14:10.5
is in a very tough situation.
14:11.9
Their economy is slowing down.
14:13.5
Xi Jinping has consolidated
14:14.9
so much power in himself
14:16.1
that if anything goes wrong
14:17.3
or if they look weak,
14:18.3
he's gonna be blamed
14:18.9
for it personally.
14:20.1
And he has so much
14:21.0
presented himself as
14:23.0
who will bring about,
14:25.3
Great Rejuvenation Nation.
14:26.7
There's a lot of pressure
14:29.3
and project toughness
14:30.4
and do all of these
14:31.7
world war diplomas
14:32.9
yung mga factotums
14:34.3
sa foreign ministry
14:36.5
all of those things,
14:38.8
ang thing ko sa atin
14:44.0
with the Marcos administration
14:45.4
that we have to leverage
14:47.1
yung ating aliansa,
14:49.8
nang-disagree ako
14:52.1
let's work through ASEAN.
14:55.3
ang ambag ng ASEAN
14:56.8
pagdating sa West Philippine Sea
14:58.1
in a serious manner.
15:03.0
standalone statement
15:05.3
just before New Year
15:09.1
common maritime sphere
15:12.8
But in concrete terms,
15:14.9
what has ASEAN done
15:15.9
for the Philippines
15:16.6
pagdating sa West Philippine Sea?
15:20.2
to call out China
15:21.4
dun sa mga kabulyan
15:25.4
yung mga nagsasabi na
15:26.3
let's go through ASEAN,
15:30.2
I'm not saying useless
15:31.0
ang ASEAN totally.
15:33.0
huwag naman natin
15:34.1
yung utility ng ASEAN.
15:35.3
Karamihan ng mga ASEAN countries
15:36.2
ay sobrang dependent sa China.
15:38.0
Eh, yung Malaysia na nga
15:38.9
may dispute with China
15:39.7
na tayimik pa yung ano nila,
15:43.2
yung mga responsable
15:44.1
katulad ng Indonesia
15:45.0
or medyo matapang
15:45.9
katulad ng Vietnam.
15:46.8
So, I'm all for Vietnam,
15:48.4
yung mga ganyan man.
15:49.0
So, even Singapore,
15:49.8
to have bilateral
15:51.8
and lateral cooperation
15:53.2
I'm good with that.
15:54.5
Pero, at the same time,
15:55.9
medyo, ano naman,
15:56.7
medyo maging realistic
15:57.5
naman tayo, di ba?
15:59.7
hindi ko sinabi walang kwenta,
16:01.6
pero ano ba talaga
16:03.3
magagawa ng United Nations
16:05.3
sa West Philippine Sea
16:07.3
sa United Nations,
16:09.2
United Nations Security Council
16:10.4
at dun sa United Nations
16:13.9
So, kung ayaw ng China,
16:16.9
So, let's be very realistic
16:19.5
there's an option
16:20.1
of General Assembly,
16:25.5
ang dami nila mga kaibigan
16:26.6
sa Arab countries,
16:27.5
sa Latin American countries,
16:28.8
sa African countries,
16:29.8
Central Asian countries,
16:30.9
I'm not sure they'll side with us
16:32.0
if ever we take our issue.
16:33.5
So, what I'm saying here is,
16:35.6
ang laki nung limitation
16:36.5
ng ASEAN, et cetera.
16:38.6
Now, ang sasabihin mo,
16:39.5
let's rely on our own.
16:43.2
Hindi ko sinasabi na
16:44.1
walang wala tayo,
16:47.5
China is the biggest
16:49.0
naval power on Earth.
16:51.6
quantitatively speaking,
16:54.9
top four or three
17:01.4
is not necessarily quality.
17:03.7
brings its own quality,
17:05.2
as Stalin puts it.
17:07.4
the biggest naval force,
17:08.5
which is increasingly
17:09.3
modernizing and all.
17:11.3
concentrate lang nila
17:12.3
sa West Philippines.
17:13.0
Ang laki na ang agwat
17:15.6
pag sinama mo lahat
17:19.0
sobrang malayo pa rin
17:21.3
yung mga nagsabi na
17:22.9
or own yung mga ganun,
17:24.0
you're essentially
17:28.1
agree ako kay BBM.
17:32.8
I want to say is,
17:34.1
but I'll qualify that,
17:35.3
what is the Goldilocks
17:37.5
I agree that we have
17:39.6
allies and friends.
17:41.8
dun sa West Philippines,
17:42.8
we should do something
17:45.1
facilities natin dyan.
17:47.6
my biggest criticism
17:48.6
of the Aquino administration,
17:50.4
you can go on the
17:50.6
CSIS AMTI website
17:54.2
Philippines Lopsided
17:55.6
South China Sea Strategy.
17:59.4
nag-criticize ko yung
18:00.2
Aquino administration
18:00.9
for not doing enough
18:02.0
to strengthen yung
18:03.4
fortification natin
18:09.4
Parang kawawa yung mga
18:12.6
Maling-mali yan eh.
18:14.5
we should have done
18:15.0
something about it.
18:15.7
Mali din yung mga
18:16.5
dating administration.
18:18.7
Sabi ni Ramos sa akin
18:19.9
wala daw tayong pera.
18:21.9
ibang kwento din yan.
18:23.1
May mga nagmaganda
18:24.7
government before.
18:25.5
Kasi may plano tayo
18:26.8
Scarborough Shoal
18:32.8
sa Scarborough Shoal
18:34.7
some sort of presence
18:35.5
there and yung tinitag na
18:36.6
continuous and effective
18:37.8
exercise of sovereignty.
18:39.5
May nag-vito dyan
18:44.4
sarili natin bayan.
18:46.2
mahabang usapan yan
18:50.6
yun yung problema
18:52.2
Wala silang ginawa
18:53.1
concretely to develop
18:55.2
position on the ground.
18:57.9
militarizing their
18:59.8
Malaysia had very
19:06.8
Lebron James level,
19:13.2
in Mischief Reef,
19:20.5
Like, lahat sila,
19:21.4
parang ganito yun,
19:22.3
parang punta ka sa
19:24.7
sumusundo sa traffic.
19:26.0
Nagka-cut ganyan,
19:26.8
ikaw lang sumusundo
19:34.7
behind the curve.
19:36.2
disagreement with
19:36.8
the Aquino administration,
19:38.2
And I raised that
19:40.0
late foreign secretary,
19:42.5
God bless his soul,
19:43.7
and also a number
19:44.6
of other officials.
19:45.3
I'm not sure if I raised
19:46.0
that with Aquino himself
19:47.3
when I got to talk to him.
19:48.5
But, in fairness,
19:50.8
Secretary Lorenzana
19:53.2
to get the ball rolling.
19:54.9
So, agree din ako.
19:58.5
niya General Bronner
19:59.4
na we're gonna push ahead
20:01.2
si Colonel Aguilar
20:03.1
na go ahead tayo,
20:04.5
ipo-fortify natin
20:15.1
so on and so forth.
20:19.2
yung ating mga facilities
20:20.4
dyan sa West Philippine Sea.
20:23.3
Minus Scarborough
20:24.3
dapat siguro ten yun.
20:26.2
yung Ayunginsol dyan.
20:29.0
Agree din ako dyan.
20:36.5
Para mas type ko yung ganun
20:37.4
kasi dere-derecho na ako
20:38.3
kaysa maglabas-labas ako
20:40.4
Dinederecho ko lang.
20:41.0
Para gaya siya talaga
20:41.5
pinag-isipan natin
20:44.9
nasusulat sa mga bagay niyan.
20:46.0
So, everything I'm saying
20:47.1
ako pwedeng i-google yan.
20:48.5
tas lagay niyo lang
20:49.1
yung topic na sinabi ko.
20:52.1
Lalabas lahat yan.
20:53.7
Lalabas lahat yan.
20:55.4
going back to this,
20:58.2
upustan tayong lawa
20:58.9
yung kanina pa tayong sasalta.
21:03.2
Going back to this,
21:04.8
doon sa ginagawa nila
21:08.3
yung pangbabastos
21:10.9
Eh, huwag niyong,
21:12.6
about our president
21:13.3
and all in that way.
21:14.1
We have to call it out.
21:15.6
The question for me
21:20.1
so on three levels,
21:21.8
Work with your allies,
21:25.1
Do more fortification
21:27.4
sa West Philippine Sea,
21:30.1
Matapang ka rin dapat
21:31.6
pag mayabang sila
21:33.4
what's the politically
21:36.9
correct term for that?
21:43.2
ang challenge naman
21:45.6
next level kaagad.
21:47.4
You don't go from
21:48.0
gear one to sports kaagad.
21:50.2
Yung mga iba na mahilig
21:51.7
you don't go right away
21:54.9
easy yung car nyo.
21:56.4
you know what I'm saying?
21:57.4
You go through a transition.
21:58.8
Yung acceleration mo,
22:02.7
miscalculate dyan.
22:05.4
pwede ka magbigay
22:06.1
ng unnecessary excuse
22:08.1
na to do something
22:08.9
crazy and stupid.
22:12.6
ang suggestion ko
22:13.5
sa ETCA for instance,
22:14.6
pag-usapan natin.
22:20.3
mukhang takot kayata
22:21.5
na bibigyan namin
22:26.7
i-dribble namin yan.
22:29.0
anong mga bibigay mo sa amin?
22:31.8
ayusin mo naman dyan
22:32.8
sa West Philippines?
22:34.8
there's some room there.
22:37.5
dapat hinahinay din tayo
22:43.0
at the same time,
22:44.6
ang hirap na ito eh.
22:45.5
You have to find that perfect,
22:46.9
I want to say something
22:49.2
it's political correct.
22:50.6
Let's just call it sweet spot.
22:54.0
you want to have enough
22:55.9
para meron tayong
22:59.1
tulong dun sa situation
23:01.2
para hindi sila susugurin.
23:04.0
ng mga mga kapili,
23:05.6
magiging Ukraine 2.0.
23:08.1
magiging Putin 2.0
23:09.4
kung malakas yung deterrence natin.
23:12.9
but you don't have to go over
23:16.0
because you can also use that
23:17.9
ang basa ko dito is
23:18.7
the reason na binubuli tayo
23:19.8
ng China ng big time ngayon,
23:21.6
is because nagpapanik sila
23:23.0
na we'll go all the way
23:23.8
with ETCA and all of that
23:24.8
and hurt them in other areas.
23:30.2
use that to our own advantage.
23:32.9
You use their worries
23:34.0
to our own advantage.
23:35.3
Use it as a leverage.
23:37.4
na use it to our advantage.
23:38.9
diniscuss natin yan
23:41.6
and a series of articles
23:43.0
but I'll talk more about that
23:44.0
so you can check that
23:45.2
and other channels.
23:52.9
unayin muna natin
23:53.9
yung ayung insyol.
23:55.2
Sobrang mahalaga yan
23:57.8
yung sharamadran na yan
24:00.5
Ayusin muna natin
24:01.2
yung ayung insyol situation
24:02.9
and then sequentially,
24:04.2
ibibuild lang natin
24:05.4
ang ibibuild lahat.
24:06.3
Huwag natin ibigla lahat
24:10.1
Let's do it with some subtlety
24:11.6
katulad ng ginagawa
24:14.3
Yung Vietnam actually
24:15.0
nagmi-militarize din
24:16.5
quiet nilang ginawa.
24:19.2
at mga satellite imagery.
24:21.7
iba pa rin yung Vietnam.
24:24.1
level ng ASEAN basketball.
24:25.7
Ang ginawa ng China
24:26.6
na mga facilities nila
24:29.7
Sobrang incomparable.
24:30.7
Ang laki ng mga bases,
24:31.8
yung weapon systems,
24:32.7
sobrang threatening.
24:33.7
So yung mga ibang makapila
24:35.7
do'y ang threat talaga
24:39.4
look at the bases
24:40.2
that China built.
24:42.3
malapit na gagawa sila
24:44.3
ng mall nila do'n.
24:47.0
Ang laki ng mga facilities nila
24:48.9
sa ginawa ng Vietnam.
24:50.2
Baby yung versions
24:52.0
Vietnam has been doing stuff
24:54.2
So, I think we can also learn.
24:57.0
and I'm gonna end on this note.
24:57.9
Ano po medyo mahabay
24:58.6
yung sinabi natin.
25:07.1
the actual gusto ko yun,
25:07.9
parang pwede natin
25:09.3
Yun na lang gawin
25:12.3
Thank you ha, guys.
25:14.2
I'm thinking out loud
25:14.9
and organizing my thoughts.
25:16.9
I'm sure marami naman
25:17.6
makikinig sa atin.
25:18.8
kukopya yun lang nila
25:20.1
but sa mag-feeling expert sila.
25:23.6
i-attribute nyo sa inyo
25:25.1
kung ano yung idea nyo.
25:26.9
Ina-copyright ko na yan.
25:29.4
mahilig ako magsulat parati
25:32.0
kukuni na iba yung ideas ko eh.
25:34.4
kakopyright ko kagad yan.
25:35.8
Unaan talaga yan.
25:36.8
going back to this.
25:44.9
Pero yung ibang politiko,
25:46.1
huwag kayong magmaganda masyado.
25:48.2
malapit na elections.
25:50.6
nung tapanaw ni Digong ha,
25:51.8
yung I love you China,
25:53.7
Biglang ang ingay-ingay
25:54.5
na pro-West Philippine
25:55.4
si lahat yung mga iba.
25:56.7
nag-share ng West Philippine
25:57.8
si mga nag-gilas,
26:01.1
Huwag-huwag ganyan, okay?
26:10.4
kay Sekretary Manalo.
26:11.8
Itong mga komplikadong issue yan.
26:14.8
yun yung expertise nila eh.
26:19.1
Hindi ko sinasabi
26:24.4
Ang nangyayari ngayon is,
26:26.4
ang dami nagsasalita
26:27.5
na sabay-sabay-sabay,
26:30.1
nalunod na yung DFA eh.
26:32.2
Harap di ko na marinig
26:33.2
yung sinasabi niya
26:34.7
Harap di ko na marinig
26:35.6
yung sinasabi ng DFA
26:37.3
na si Ma'am Daza.
26:39.9
Hindi ko na rinig eh.
26:41.1
Puro na rinig ko.
26:43.4
Itong kapatid ni ganito.
26:44.8
Kapatid ni ganyan.
26:46.4
Yun ang problema.
26:48.1
huwag-huwag piyesta.
26:50.9
Message discipline.
26:53.1
Message discipline.
26:54.0
Isulat natin dito.
26:58.7
I-tweet ko rin yan.
27:00.7
Message discipline.
27:02.2
Oo, message discipline.
27:03.5
Kasi this thing can get out of control.
27:05.6
Dahil may mga ano rin dyan.
27:08.6
maraming mga ewan.
27:09.8
You don't wanna give them an excuse.
27:12.0
We have to act like a mature state.
27:15.1
Mature democracy.
27:16.8
So, I hope statesmanship
27:17.9
will still prevail.
27:20.2
So, we can be tough.
27:21.9
We can fortify our position.
27:23.9
And we can be statesman-like.
27:25.1
You can have all of the above.
27:27.1
the options are binary.
27:29.1
surrender tayo in a diplomacy,
27:30.9
diplomatic surrender,
27:33.1
Only fools think that way.
27:34.3
Only yung mga walang alam sa buhay.
27:35.6
Yung nagsasabi yun.
27:36.3
Or yung mga makapili dyan.
27:39.3
who really understands
27:41.2
about real geopolitics,
27:42.4
high-stakes statesmanship,
27:44.2
I have interviewed
27:44.9
and met a number of them.
27:46.1
Like legendary diplomats
27:48.2
of the 20th century
27:49.2
and some of them buhay pa sila.
27:50.4
Antipresent yung isa buhay pa.
27:54.8
You can have it all
27:56.0
if you get the right balance.
27:58.9
But we have to try to do it.
28:00.7
So, wag tayo mag-wild swing
28:01.7
na tatay geopolitics
28:03.0
and then mag-wild swing
28:03.9
na super anti-China
28:05.6
You get the right balance.
28:12.1
I'm not changing tone.
28:14.7
I'm not disagreeing with myself.
28:16.7
I'm just trying to set
28:17.8
the right balance.
28:18.6
Nahina-hilan lang tayo.
28:19.8
Wag tayo masyado mag-swing
28:22.9
I think President BBM himself
28:24.0
kinda understands that.
28:25.9
ng message discipline.
28:28.2
bigyan natin ng chance more
28:30.2
para silang magsalita
28:31.9
kasi complicated.
28:32.7
And wag natin bigyan ng excuse
28:35.5
pa yung pasawayan all.
28:37.2
alam natin sila yung pasawayan all
28:40.0
responsible statesmanship
28:41.4
my fundamental argument
28:43.5
We need diplomacy
28:44.3
but from a position of strength.
28:46.8
And from a position of strength
28:47.8
means strong alliances,
28:50.2
modernization of AFP,
28:51.8
but also statesmanship.
28:53.1
Very, very important.
28:54.7
Char kay Johanna.
28:55.9
Okay, char rin sa'yo.
28:58.8
ayan kasi tayo, mga.
29:00.2
Ayan ang problema sa atin.
29:01.5
Hindi tayo nag-upgrade sa buhay
29:02.9
kasi lahat na lang
29:03.6
chine-char-char na lang natin.
29:07.0
Talagang hindi tayo...
29:10.5
dito lang kung naitin
29:11.3
na chine-char yung mga tao.
29:12.3
Pag itong speech binigay ko
29:14.2
parang pakakana lahat.
29:15.4
Sa atin lang char.
29:16.4
Kaya maya naman tayo
29:18.8
Lahat na lang binibiro natin.
29:20.2
These are serious matters, guys.
29:21.6
These are very, very
29:25.2
thank you very much,
29:27.7
I hope you appreciate
29:28.8
what we're doing.
29:29.4
Of course, may mga na-posting tayo
29:30.7
mga shorts dun sa
29:31.6
Taiwan-Philippine-China situation.
29:33.2
I hope you'll appreciate it.
29:34.6
One is already out.
29:37.2
hindi madali mag-edit.
29:38.9
And hindi madali...
29:39.9
ang dami ko nang ginagawa.
29:41.2
So, I have to put it...
29:45.8
So, please watch out for that.
29:47.0
There are also other issues
29:47.8
all around the world
29:48.5
that we're looking at.
29:49.6
Nangako din ako na
29:50.6
may mga lecture series
29:52.4
Tapos ko na mag-edit
29:53.3
ng isang lecture series.
29:55.3
So, effort talaga yan.
29:56.9
So, medyo masterclass
29:59.1
One of the first ones
30:00.0
you have to look forward to
30:01.0
is a lecture on Orientalism.
30:03.2
So, medyo mag-intellectual tayo.
30:05.8
Mga mag-Foucault,
30:07.6
mga mga ganyan-ganyan tayo.
30:11.5
yung mga nagtatanong
30:12.1
about the Middle East and all.
30:13.2
Of course, some of you know
30:13.8
my first book was actually
30:15.0
on the Middle East.
30:15.7
So, it's a region
30:16.1
I'm very, very familiar with.
30:18.8
I'm familiar with
30:19.3
two or three regions
30:20.5
at least quite intensely.
30:23.6
we look forward to
30:24.4
also commenting on
30:25.2
the other part of the...
30:25.8
Parang gulo yun sa Middle East ngayon.
30:29.7
I-freeze muna natin yun.
30:30.8
Kasi there's no way
30:31.4
I can do that in a...
30:32.6
in a simple shorts or discussion.
30:34.9
Sobrang complete.
30:36.0
Akala natin sa Asia,
30:40.5
Kung wala pa akong sinabi
30:43.0
hindi ko alam yung issue.
30:44.5
Actually, alam ko yung mga issue
30:45.5
dun, quite intimate.
30:46.3
But you have to do it properly.
30:48.1
You have to do it properly.
30:49.2
pwede mo i-shorts lang yan.
30:50.8
You have to do a proper
30:55.8
thank you very much,
30:58.5
and talk to you soon.
30:59.9
And marami salamat
31:01.1
ka-TikTokers natin.
31:03.8
Chachar ko rin kayo.
31:05.7
Magchacharan na lang tayo.
31:07.3
Chacharan, chacharan.
31:12.6
I mean, double standard
31:13.4
is a big problem.
31:17.4
perfect morality sa mundo.
31:19.5
morality goes with power
31:22.8
Mahabang usapan po yan.
31:23.9
Mahabang usapan po yan.
31:24.8
But my best wish right now
31:27.0
is hindi magkakaroon
31:27.7
ng gulo sa Middle East
31:28.5
kasi ang dami natin
31:29.5
mga kababayan dyan.
31:30.7
Pwede tayo maapektuan
31:31.7
yung gasolina natin.
31:32.7
Gas galing din doon.
31:34.7
Of course, you know,
31:35.9
hundreds of millions of people
31:36.8
live in that region of the world.
31:37.9
We also care for them.
31:39.4
So, I follow that.
31:42.0
At the same time,
31:43.9
syempre, Pinoy tayo.
31:45.0
Mas focus talaga natin
31:46.0
itong parte natin.
31:47.0
And there is no new power
31:50.9
Yes, powerful ang Turkey,
31:52.3
Russia, whatever.
31:55.0
Pero next level ang China.
31:56.8
China, China muna tayo.
31:58.2
Mag-focus muna tayo sa China.
31:59.1
Kahit nasa TikTok tayo.
32:01.4
hindi mablock itong video natin.
32:03.3
Hindi, okay naman tayo.
32:04.8
Hindi naman totally subjective
32:08.2
But, unfortunately,
32:09.2
it's not universally applied.
32:11.0
So, ang point ko naman is
32:11.9
may levels of hypocrisy
32:13.3
and double standard.
32:14.4
It's either 10 out of 10
32:17.0
Siguro kahit 6 out of 10 level tayo,
32:20.3
talk to you soon, guys.
32:21.9
And habol tayo, habol tayo.
32:24.5
And please, yung mga iba,
32:25.5
subscribe to our channel sa YouTube.
32:30.1
i-build yung YouTube natin
32:31.2
para makuha natin
32:32.1
yung kailangan natin.
32:32.8
So, please follow me on YouTube,
32:34.6
Richard Hedarian Vlogs.
32:36.6
O, and YouTube naman kayo.
32:37.7
Please, follow us sa Libra lang.
32:39.6
Libra lang mag-subscribe.
32:40.7
Isang click lang yan.
32:42.7
I don't need any,
32:44.6
At saka sa Spotify,
32:45.6
please also follow
32:46.7
the Richard Hedarian Podcast.
32:49.6
We need your support.
32:50.9
Just your engagement.
32:52.4
Just your hearts.
32:57.2
And pasensya na, guys.
32:59.1
May mga pangasara-sara naman tayo dito.
33:02.9
sadly, there will always be naysayers.
33:05.1
But use it to your own advantage.
33:06.9
Let the naysayers be your source of inspiration.
33:10.9
But at the same time,
33:11.5
don't be defined by them.
33:12.4
Once in a while lang,
33:13.1
pitik-pitik mo lang
33:13.7
and then move forward.
33:15.3
thank you very much.
33:16.7
And talk to you soon.
