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00:00.0
Ayan na, ayan na, kamusta kayo dyan mga kamets, I hope narinig niyo ako
00:18.6
Ginagamit ko itong isang, itong ngayon dito, I hope gumagana ito
00:23.6
Narinig niyo ba ako mga kamets?
00:25.5
Ayan, pag-usapan natin kanina, may isa pang, at least XDDS, how do I put it, na lumalabas ngayon
00:33.5
Nagsasabi na huwag tayong maging kampante dito sa People's Initiative, sa PI na yan
00:40.5
Ay sorry, sa PI na initiative na chacha na yan
00:44.1
Dahil talagang ano daw, may balak talaga na i-ram through ito sometime this year
00:50.5
At hindi po, hindi po dapat tayo maging kampante
00:54.8
Pag-usapan natin ito
00:55.8
So actually this person is no less than former
00:59.3
Former Speaker of the House
01:02.8
Former very close ally of President Rodrigo Duterte
01:05.8
But interestingly, former endorser of Lenny Robredo
01:09.9
Nung eleksyon 2023
01:13.2
So for some reason, mukhang ito mga kameta
01:16.6
We're seeing more and more people coming out in opposition
01:19.8
Especially people na medyo aligned dun sa at least dating administration
01:24.5
Dating natin pangula
01:25.6
At interestingly, ito mga tao na pinag-usapan natin mga kameta
01:30.8
Ito yung mga dating aggressively pushing for charter change
01:37.1
Kaya I find this very, very interesting mga kameta
01:39.7
Wait lang, check kung anong narinig na tayo ng audio
01:43.8
Ay hindi, actually okay pala yung audio natin
01:45.7
Okay, good, good, good, good
01:46.7
Pinitest lang natin yan guys
01:48.0
Kasi kailangan natin na medyo studio style yung ating audio
01:52.3
Para naman medyo maganda pag inupload natin
01:54.2
Dun sa ating mga platforms
01:58.6
Of course, nagka-compete naman talaga tayo
02:00.8
Hindi lang dito sa bansa
02:02.0
You know, we're not trying to just compete to be the leading political analysis
02:06.2
Hindi lang, you know, just, you know, interviewing people
02:09.3
Hindi lang guessing
02:09.8
But political analysis
02:10.9
Podcast, combination of praxis, theory
02:17.6
Alam nyo nun, pagdating sa atin, more conversation yung sa atin
02:20.7
So lahat yan, ikakombine natin dun sa ginagawa natin
02:23.3
But we're trying to compete
02:24.2
Not to be one of the leading political podcast anywhere in the world
02:27.3
So salamat naman dun sa ating mga supporters all around the world
02:30.8
Especially mga kametas natin, mga kababayan natin, mga YFW
02:34.0
All around the world
02:35.4
Pushing us to top 100 dun sa news and politics
02:38.1
Podcast sa Saudi Arabia, sa Singapore, sa Canada
02:43.4
Ang daming bansa na, pansin ko, pumapasok na tayo sa top 100
02:46.8
So I really, really appreciate it
02:48.4
Maraming salamat sa inyo
02:49.4
Talagang mabuhay po kayo
02:50.4
Kayong nagbibigay ng lakas
02:52.2
Kayong nagbibigay ng motibasyon
02:53.8
At kayo nagbibigay ng, ito, motivations
02:57.3
I mean, talagang inspirasyon, kailangan eh
02:59.6
Kasi alam mo, minsan tinatamat ka na
03:02.3
Minsan inisip ko, ay, may iba naman dyan na magpapodcast dyan
03:05.2
Maraming naman dyan ng ibang marites
03:06.8
Ano ba naman, Philippine politics naman
03:09.6
News naman, balikan natin ibang issues
03:11.2
Of course, yung mga nagfo-follow sa atin, sa mga sinisulat natin today
03:14.2
God willing, thank God, no?
03:16.0
We had actually three different publications on international affairs
03:19.0
On Lowe Institute, on Nikkei Asia
03:21.3
Nikkei Asia, yung pinublish natin is about China
03:23.8
Philippine-Taiwan-China Triangle
03:26.1
Especially yung implikasyon ng greeting si Paolo Marcos Jr.
03:31.3
What could be behind it
03:32.4
The method to the supposed madness
03:34.4
Meron din tayong bagong article today
03:36.9
Sa Lowe Institute naman, sa Sydney, Australia
03:39.3
Doon naman pinag-usapan natin
03:41.1
Ang mga dapat gagawin ng Pilipinas
03:45.0
Pagdating sa West Philippine Sea
03:46.7
Para at the same time, malakas tayo
03:48.9
We're clear with our red lines
03:50.3
And at the same time naman, hindi tayo mag-invite
03:53.8
Ang entire confrontation or mistakes with China
03:55.8
So, I talk about the three-prong approach
03:59.4
Level A, we have to stand our ground
04:01.5
To get China's grudging respect
04:03.3
B, we have to work with our allies and friends
04:05.5
C, we have to push back against disinformation
04:07.8
And infiltration dun sa ating infrastruktura
04:11.0
Yung mga Chinese companies na biglang gusto gumawa ng hotel
04:14.8
Na malapit sa mga base natin ng ETCA
04:17.6
And having said that, para sa akin
04:20.9
At the end of the day, we still have to push for diplomatic negotiations
04:23.8
With China, but from a position of relative strength
04:27.1
Alright, so I'm for diplomacy
04:28.6
But not Tatay style
04:30.3
Not Barabara style
04:31.7
Not Uto-Uto style
04:32.9
But from a position of strength
04:34.4
So in that sense, actually, disagree ako
04:37.5
And this is the content of another article
04:41.4
Today's South China Morning Post naman
04:45.7
So three different articles today
04:47.2
Where I show different sides of my argument
04:49.1
One side is saying
04:50.1
Go and build a stronger relationship with Taiwan
04:52.5
So that we can build a stronger relationship with Taiwan
04:53.8
But there's a lot to get out of that
04:55.4
Especially semiconductor investment, etc
04:57.2
Dahil napaka-undertop na relationship ito
05:00.4
Yung second article naman sa Low Institution
05:02.0
I talked about how we should show strength
05:03.9
And draw the line dyan sa West Philippine Sea
05:05.6
Yung third article naman natin today sa South China Morning Post is
05:08.8
Huwag magmaganda sana yung mga ibang politiko
05:11.6
Yung mga ibang trapo dyan
05:13.3
Na sobrang tahimik
05:14.7
Nung panawan ni Tatay
05:15.9
Yung time na sinisabi ni Tatay
05:18.3
China will protect me
05:19.5
Be meek and humble
05:20.5
And China will show you mercy
05:24.5
Almost verbatim yung sinisabi
05:26.0
Yung mga tahimik nun
05:27.2
Biglang ingay-ingay ngayon
05:29.1
Biglang malakas, matapang
05:34.7
So ang aking lang
05:36.1
Sana iwanan natin ito dun sa mga professional diplomats
05:41.5
Actually our own president
05:44.9
Very reasonable yung kanilang rhetoric
05:46.5
Let's leave it to the guys
05:49.4
Kasi hindi ko gusto
05:52.5
Biglang nagdibiglang
05:53.6
Ng anti-China demagoguery
05:57.0
Being strong sa West Philippines
05:59.0
Drawing the red line
06:00.5
Pero ayoko rin yung mga iba
06:01.9
Nag-overcompensate dyan
06:03.7
Especially yung mga iba
06:04.9
Na sobrang tahimik
06:05.8
Nung panahon ni Digong
06:07.0
Kami maingay dun eh
06:08.3
Tapos ngayon biglang
06:09.6
Nagmamaganda yung iba dyan
06:12.8
Pagdating sa ating mga defense officials
06:14.3
They're doing a fantastic job
06:15.7
And I hope they continue to stick dun sa
06:17.4
Defense-related policies
06:20.1
Defense-related issues
06:21.7
Modernization of AFP
06:22.9
Development of ating deterrence capabilities
06:25.7
So on and so forth
06:26.8
Having said all of that
06:29.8
Balikan natin itong issue ng
06:33.8
Parating kong sinasabi
06:35.5
Bawal maging kampante
06:37.6
Pagdating sa Pilipinas
06:38.8
Parating kong sinasabi
06:40.0
You always have to be on the watch out
06:41.9
Parating kong sinasabi
06:43.2
You have to look at nuances
06:46.0
Fifty shades of evolution
06:47.6
Of every major political issue
06:49.8
At parating kong sinasabi
06:51.2
Huwag kayong magpautoto
06:56.7
Yun nga yung problema ko eh
07:00.3
Third world yung level of discourse
07:02.4
Is because people mistake
07:05.0
And mga echoceras
07:06.5
For political scientists
07:08.0
Or political analysts
07:09.8
Because if you're a real expert
07:11.4
You don't even need access
07:16.3
Alam mo yung character na Benzaib
07:19.2
El Filibusterismo Rizal
07:21.0
You don't need to be that kind of
07:22.6
Insider taong journalist
07:23.6
To actually predict where things are going
07:25.1
Hindi ako nangyayabang
07:29.1
I was never in Davao
07:30.0
I was never in the inner circle of Digong
07:36.0
Defense Secretary Lorenzano
07:38.3
I interviewed a number of his calumni
07:40.0
Sure but you know
07:40.7
I was not the type na insider
07:42.0
And then gagamit ko yung insider
07:44.5
And yet I predicted exactly
07:46.2
Where the Philippines will go
07:47.2
On foreign policy
07:48.0
I predicted almost exactly
07:49.3
Where we're gonna go
07:50.1
On certain issues
07:52.3
So on and so forth
07:53.7
Basahin nyo yung libro ko
07:54.7
About rise of Duterte
07:55.6
And the number of articles
07:57.4
True political analysis
08:02.4
Big picture analysis
08:04.5
Game theory analysis
08:06.5
Dapat algorithmic
08:08.7
You're looking at
08:10.6
Multiple dimensions
08:12.3
Ang problema kasi sa atin is
08:15.6
Political analysis
08:17.8
Essentially chismis
08:18.9
Ay kilala ko si ganun
08:28.4
Na ayon niya ito sa
08:32.9
So nung nagvlog tayo nun
08:34.7
May mga ibang sabi
08:36.1
Di naman tapos siya
08:39.9
The lesson we learned
08:41.6
From that episode
08:43.5
Kung nag-ingay ang tao
08:44.8
At dami nag-oppose
08:46.2
May tendency si BBM
08:48.5
Tactically retreat
08:51.2
Not strategically
08:51.7
But tactically retreating
08:54.0
Susceptibility to pressure
08:57.1
In a real democracy
08:58.2
In a good democracy
08:59.1
Political leaders
09:01.3
To the pulse of the people
09:02.8
Particularly yung mga people
09:03.7
Na critical sa kanila
09:04.7
Na baka may basihan
09:05.6
Yung sinasabi nila
09:12.6
Tapos na yung usapan
09:13.6
Ng charter change
09:18.5
Dun sa public pressure
09:21.2
International pressure
09:22.8
I'll just be clear
09:24.7
Matagal ko sinasabi
09:26.5
Na may balak talaga
09:27.4
Maging prime minister
09:28.8
Especially kung alam nila
09:30.6
Ang liit ng chance nila
09:34.4
Majority of people
09:37.7
A significant plurality
09:44.4
Kasi as things stand
09:45.5
Si Sarah Duterte pa rin
09:52.8
Front runner pa rin
09:55.2
I think by any measure
09:56.6
She'll still be a front runner
09:58.8
The race will be close
10:00.2
If say someone like
10:02.0
Kaya nga hindi ako
10:03.6
Biglang ang dami mga
10:05.3
Na attack na attack
10:08.5
Alam natin yung kalakaran dyan
10:13.0
Yung mga iba dyan
10:15.2
And nung time ni Digong
10:17.4
And then nung lumawas
10:19.7
Medyo mataas-taas
10:23.3
Dumadami yung attack sa kanya
10:25.4
Yung kalakaran dyan
10:26.6
Medyo nahuhuli natin
10:28.5
Ano yung kalakaran nila dyan
10:29.9
Now going back to the issue
10:31.2
Of charter change
10:36.9
Nung ibang mga politiko
10:41.9
People's initiative na yan
10:43.1
Ay tuloy-tuloy pa rin
10:45.3
Nung sinabi natin
10:46.1
Sa mga dati natin vlog
10:48.2
Ay very controversial
10:49.4
Actually there are
10:50.4
Constitutional questions around it
10:51.9
And also there are questions
10:56.8
Para ma-circumvent
11:01.8
Ang Senado talaga
11:03.2
Charter change na yan
11:04.2
For a number of reasons
11:05.5
And one of them is because
11:08.2
Binigyan ng chance
11:09.4
Yung mga bagong batas
11:13.7
Ito yung mga batas
11:15.0
Public Service Act
11:20.1
So ang sinasabi ng Senado
11:22.0
Eh kung yun ang naman
11:23.6
Nagpasangat tayo ng batas eh
11:25.5
Kailangan lang natin
11:27.2
And then pwede natin
11:28.5
Kung kailangan talaga
11:29.3
Natin na-amend yan
11:30.4
Ang ating saligang batas
11:32.9
Magsa-charter change na tayo
11:34.7
So may mga questions
11:36.8
Nire-railroad ito
11:38.2
Para gawin irrelevant
11:40.9
A parliamentary system
11:42.1
Para yung iba dyan
11:43.5
Who don't have much chance
11:45.0
To win as presidency
11:46.5
Smuggle themselves
11:49.4
If you have charter change
11:51.7
For the president
11:54.0
The transition will be
11:57.5
You can even imagine
11:58.3
A situation of presidential
12:00.2
With a ceremonial
12:01.5
President ala Italia
12:05.8
If I'm not mistaken
12:06.4
That was the referendum
12:09.5
May head of state
12:11.1
Yung prime minister
12:11.9
Yung talagang may power
12:14.2
In terms of running
12:16.9
So in that scenario
12:18.5
BBM can still be run
12:20.1
As a ceremonial president
12:21.7
And he'll still have
12:22.8
Sovereign immunity
12:23.5
When he goes around the world
12:24.6
Which is something
12:25.2
I think you'll really appreciate
12:30.5
You can also look at
12:31.2
The dominant presidential
12:32.4
Parliamentary system
12:37.4
Because after yung referendum
12:40.8
Into becoming prime minister
12:41.7
And then later on
12:42.3
He became a powerful president
12:44.1
So binago nila yung
12:45.7
Saligang batas nila
12:46.4
So in Turkey right now
12:47.4
You have a powerful president
12:48.6
No longer ceremonial president
12:50.4
He was first prime minister
12:51.7
And then president
12:53.4
And then now president
12:54.2
Na super powerful
12:55.9
So I'm just explaining to you guys
12:57.3
Na komplikado itong mga bagay na ito
12:59.4
Na huwag kayong maniwalad
13:00.4
Dun sa mga nagsabi
13:01.2
Na simple lang yan
13:02.1
Bagayin natin ng batas
13:03.1
And everything will be
13:08.1
Ito yung interesting
13:11.9
Mukhang lahat gusto natin
13:14.3
Ang major disagreement natin
13:18.1
Under what conditions
13:19.1
Or more particularly
13:21.7
Whose supervision?
13:24.5
So nung panahon na
13:28.5
Ay sobrang gusto nila
13:29.7
Mag charter change
13:31.0
Kayewanan pa yung sinasabi
13:32.7
Na mag federalism tayo
13:35.1
Magiging Switzerland tayo
13:37.1
Federalism din naman
13:44.5
Third world country natin
13:45.7
Nasa bog na federal system
13:52.0
Through the Senate
13:54.6
BBM didn't even talk about
13:57.1
For quite some time
13:59.0
Charter change issue
14:00.7
State of the nation address
14:01.7
Nag-alit na si Kibuloy
14:03.1
Nag-away sila ni Abe
14:06.0
Nung sa first state
14:06.9
Of the nation address
14:07.6
And then ako bigla
14:09.3
Especially since last August
14:12.4
Malakanyang meeting
14:14.7
Federalista party
14:18.4
Itong issue ng Chacha
14:19.3
And since December
14:21.2
Mayinit na talaga
14:22.2
Itong issue ng Chacha
14:23.2
So nagpa-panic mo
14:25.0
Inisip ko automatically
14:28.2
Dapat excited sila
14:30.1
Ito na yung chance nyo
14:32.1
Sir Robin Hood Padilla
14:34.7
Constitutional expert siya
14:36.3
Yung napakagaling dyan
14:38.4
Sa mga constitutional
14:40.4
Comparative analysis issue
14:43.4
Bago tayo pumunda
14:45.6
Kay Robin Hood Padilla
14:49.0
Dating president natin
14:52.0
Sa People's Initiative
14:53.4
Tunda muna tayo dito
14:55.5
Ito interesting to
14:58.8
Aliado ni Digong dati
15:03.5
So alam nyo na sila
15:04.1
Yung mga Powerpuff Girls
15:05.7
Nilagay si Arroyo
15:07.1
And then nagkagulo-gulo
15:09.0
And then nung last elections
15:10.5
In-endorse pa niya si Lenny
15:13.4
Hindi ko na alam saan siya
15:15.0
Mas malapit siya sa
15:17.9
Duterte kind of positioning
15:23.7
Pero makadigong siya
15:26.3
Kanyang interview kanina
15:27.9
Very very interesting
15:29.1
So panawarin natin yan
15:32.0
Doon naman sa mga
15:32.6
Katiktokers and YouTubers
15:33.7
Don't worry about it
15:35.3
Para makita nyo lahat
15:36.7
Narinig nyo naman yung mga
15:38.1
Key points natin dito
15:43.7
Just to be absolutely clear
15:44.9
Everything I say here
15:46.1
Hindi ito chismis lang
15:47.4
Lahat yan sinulat natin
15:48.7
Including for the
15:49.9
Leading publications
15:52.7
Among other things
15:53.4
Yung Journal of Democracy
15:54.4
Article natin recently
15:57.1
All the circumstances
16:00.3
Lahat ang makanggulo na yan
16:03.3
Madali lang mag-vlogger
16:05.7
Kasi ang gagawin mo lang
16:07.0
Pakinggan mo lang
16:09.1
Tapos gagawa ka ng
16:10.6
Ang daling gumawa nun
16:13.2
On legit publications
16:15.9
It's very very difficult
16:18.0
Getting published
16:18.6
On New York Times
16:19.3
Getting published
16:23.5
Sino ba naman tayo
16:26.5
I'm just telling you guys
16:29.1
Mag-political vlogging
16:30.2
Makinig ka lang sa iba
16:35.7
Condense your analysis
16:37.0
Look at the process
16:37.9
Look at the framework
16:38.8
Look at scenarios
16:39.6
And then combine it
16:41.0
With your own conversations
16:43.5
Hindi po madali yan
16:44.9
I'm just telling you guys
16:50.7
And how to separate
16:53.8
Going back to this
16:55.0
Everything I'm saying here
16:56.5
Sinulat ko na yan
16:57.5
So you're more than
16:58.3
Welcome to go and read my stuff
17:03.3
Oh for free pa nga yung iba
17:05.6
Meron kang one free article
17:06.7
Kunyari sa Nikkei Show
17:08.4
Sa Journal of Democracy
17:10.4
Pwede yung online nila
17:14.4
I'm also working on a book
17:15.6
On the return of Marcuses
17:17.5
So kung may libro tayo
17:20.7
So lahat ng mga sinasabi natin
17:22.3
Ipuput natin together
17:27.2
Baka mag-Maharlika style ako
17:28.5
Pag-usapan natin yung Chanel
17:32.2
Okay na pala si Sir Ruben Carranzag
17:35.1
Tuloy pa rin yung interview natin
17:36.8
Hindi pag-usapan na
17:40.0
Talk to you in 15 minutes
17:41.4
Talk to you in 15 minutes
17:44.8
Lahat na lang ginagawa ko ha
17:46.1
Sabay-sabay ko lahat
17:52.3
Iba pala yung time sa US
18:06.9
Wala akong production team
18:12.4
Ako nag-transition
18:16.1
Kailangan kumaya tayo
18:20.7
natin itong issue natin
18:23.8
I'm talking about
18:24.9
Pantalion Alvarez
18:34.4
who's a political survivor
18:37.2
Someone who's shown
18:39.6
Someone who's shown
18:41.0
his vulnerabilities
18:41.8
and someone who's shown
18:43.9
and at the same time
18:45.0
his very strong opinion
18:46.6
on state of affairs
18:48.1
So ito yung gusto ko
18:50.7
Ilabas lang natin ito ah
18:53.9
Akala ko nilabas ko
18:55.1
yung mga games natin dito
19:01.6
magsetup ng games dito
19:31.7
Eto nasikita ko rito
19:33.7
Eto nasikita ko rito
19:36.7
Eto yung interview ni
19:38.7
Yung kaibigan natin
19:41.7
My former colleague
19:44.7
former speaker of the house
19:47.7
Pantaleo ng Alvarez
19:50.5
P-Force Initiative
19:51.5
Eto nasikita ko rito
19:53.5
P-Force Initiative
19:57.5
P-Force Initiative
20:03.5
TAMBAROS ROSE INITIATIVE
20:07.5
So are you referring to
20:08.5
specifically who?
20:17.5
maging presidente
20:23.5
Kahit sa survey ng
20:28.5
Now we're a news program
20:29.5
So let's be specific
20:32.5
Are you referring to the speaker of the house?
20:34.5
Eto talaga si Karen ha
20:36.5
We are a news program
20:39.5
Or hindi tayo mga ano
20:40.5
Yung mga Marites TV
20:42.5
Sir kung huwag ka magpa-blind item
20:45.5
Kung meron kang sasabihin
20:47.5
Yan ang gusto ko kay Karen ha
20:48.5
Talagang tiniretso niya talaga
20:49.5
Tiniretso niya talaga
20:54.5
So you used the term
20:57.5
That was a similar term
20:59.5
Used by Vice President Sara Duterte
21:02.5
Referring to an unnamed person
21:06.5
Are you and Vice President Sara Duterte
21:10.5
I wanna ask you first directly
21:12.5
Are you and the Vice President
21:16.5
Remember sinabi ko sa inyo
21:18.5
Dating nung Speaker of the House
21:20.5
Ito si Pantaleon Alvarez
21:23.5
Speaker of the House
21:24.5
Si Pantaleon Alvarez
21:27.5
Nung Powerpuff Girls
21:30.5
Sa Powerpuff Girls na yan
21:39.5
Ulitin natin guys ha
21:44.5
Kailangan ko i-record kasi yan guys
21:47.5
Gusto ko na may backup tayong ganun
21:48.5
Kung nagka-technical problems tayo
21:50.5
Or something like that
21:51.5
At least pwede kong ulitin ako
21:58.5
Sa sobrang natawa tayo tuloy
22:06.5
Inaayos pa natin yung may buong
22:13.5
Okay okay ito ayusin natin to
22:17.5
Anong nangyayari nasa
22:19.5
Nakaletsya letsya na
22:21.5
Anyways please stick around
22:22.5
Kasi mamaya interview din natin si
22:25.5
Pag-uusapan natin yung
22:29.5
Isang malaking malaking bagay dyan
22:32.5
Ayusin ko lang ito
22:33.5
Thank you dun sa mga kameta natin
22:34.5
Na nag-point out na
22:35.5
Nag-disconnect mula tayo dito sa kabila
22:36.5
Okay ulitin natin ha
23:16.5
Okay game game game
23:28.5
Let's get the ball rolling
23:33.5
Balikan natin ito
23:34.5
Straight to the point na tayo
23:36.5
Pag-uusapan natin itong
23:42.5
Pinag-uusapan natin yung buong
23:43.5
Konteksto na itong
23:44.5
Discussion na ito
23:45.5
Anong relevance na ito
23:47.5
May balak kung magiging
23:50.5
May interest na magpupush tayo
23:51.5
For a Parliamentary System
23:56.5
Based on our understanding of
24:00.5
Medyo debatable yan
24:02.5
Pag-uusapan natin ito ha
24:07.5
This is very very important
24:15.5
The former speaker of
24:17.5
And one of the reason
24:20.5
Is because of what happened
24:23.5
St earth state of the
24:34.5
Ato natanggal ito
24:42.5
and then eventually
24:44.5
Speaker of the House
24:45.2
And natanggal ulit
24:45.5
mga tinatawag na mga powerpuff girls.
24:47.8
So alright, may mga
24:49.0
three powerful women
24:50.8
dyan and of course one of them is
24:53.5
allegedly the current
24:55.6
vice president. Now dito sa interview
24:57.4
makikita natin yung changing of
24:59.3
alignments and realignments
25:01.9
dito sa politika natin. This is something important
25:03.4
because if you remember, si Pantalo and Alvarez actually
25:05.3
endorsed Lenny Robredo
25:07.4
dun sa last year's elections at hindi niya in-endorse
25:09.6
yung UNITEAM. Probably it had to do
25:11.6
also about that whole
25:12.8
powerpuff girls and that whole coup
25:15.5
situation. But now, edyo
25:17.4
iba na naman yung inip ng hangin.
25:21.0
Nakikita ko na ito, hindi naman ito
25:22.8
people's initiative. Hindi ito
25:27.0
People's initiative. Hindi.
25:33.7
Tampalos Rose Initiative.
25:36.7
So are you referring to specifically
25:39.3
who? Be specific, sir.
25:44.2
kilala natin, no?
25:45.5
Lahat yan may ambisyon
25:47.7
maging presidente. Ang problema
25:53.9
ng senatorial polls,
25:56.7
Okay. All right. Now, we're a news program
25:59.5
so let's be specific. I'll ask you.
26:01.8
Yan ang gusto kayo. Parang
26:03.0
sorry ha, hindi ito buljakan.
26:05.8
Hindi ito ano ha.
26:07.5
Medyo ano, magpagpagpagpag
26:09.2
blind item, all right? Okay.
26:11.2
Pag blind item, showbiz na yun masyado.
26:13.6
Let's go straight to the point.
26:15.5
Are you referring to the Speaker of the House?
26:18.6
Okay. So, you used the term
26:20.8
Tampalos Rose. That was
26:23.1
a similar term used by
26:25.2
Vice President Sara Duterte
26:29.0
unnamed person, right?
26:31.2
Are you and Vice President
26:33.1
Sara Duterte now allies?
26:35.1
I want to ask you first directly.
26:37.9
Are you and the Vice President
26:41.6
We have not talked yet.
26:43.8
Pero, Karen, if you will ask me,
26:45.5
do you believe I will support her?
26:49.7
Categorically, yes. I will support her.
26:55.3
Mindanao. No matter what
26:57.4
happens, her heart
26:59.2
is still on Mindanao.
27:03.9
All right. Okay. So,
27:05.8
let's move forward. So, you
27:07.5
say you haven't spoken, but you
27:09.2
will support the Vice President.
27:13.5
believe then what you were saying?
27:15.5
Is the People's Initiative,
27:18.0
is it a People's Initiative?
27:19.9
And you believe it is
27:23.6
the Speaker? Is this it?
27:29.4
Okay. But what proof do you have of that?
27:32.1
It's been denied over
27:33.7
and over by the majority.
27:36.7
All right. Okay. So,
27:37.7
let me just go straight to this article
27:39.8
and all for you guys.
27:41.3
We can go into this.
27:43.0
This is quite interesting.
27:45.5
People associated with former President Duterte.
27:47.8
People are still close to President Duterte.
27:49.5
And some of them were now also aligning
27:51.8
with the daughter of the former President
27:53.7
and the current Vice President. All of them going
27:55.7
against charter change, which is something that you'll
27:57.8
find interesting since, alam naman natin,
28:00.2
pagdating sa mga DDS,
28:02.1
mga supporters, ito yung mga
28:04.0
excited talaga na mag
28:08.4
Ito yung mga nagsasabi na mag
28:09.8
charter change tayo. Malas Switzerland
28:11.8
na tayo. Malas Singapore na tayo.
28:14.2
Yung mga ganyan type na,
28:15.5
alam mo na. Diba? Yung parang sinabi mo
28:17.3
pag kinaya mo pagsishute
28:19.3
ni Michael Jordan, nilabas mo yung
28:20.9
dila mo, tapos nag-shoot ka, maging kasing galingan
28:23.0
ni Michael Jordan. Yung mga ganyan level of analysis.
28:30.9
pag-usapan natin ito. Okay.
28:32.9
So, Davao del Norte,
28:34.9
first district representative.
28:37.0
O nga pala, Davao, ano nung pala siya, no?
28:39.5
Congressman pala siya, no?
28:42.3
That's an interesting thing
28:43.4
kasi may nakita rin akong post here.
28:45.5
People say, you know, pag Davao, Davao,
28:48.0
automatically the issue is
28:49.1
just the Dutertes there. But actually, there are many, many
28:51.4
other players. Yung Nograleses, and then may
28:53.3
Alvarez, et cetera. So, actually, the
28:55.2
broader, the greater Davao region is very
28:57.4
complicated. Tayo kasi parang Davao city
28:59.5
lang alam natin, diba?
29:01.1
But the Davao politics is quite interesting.
29:03.4
And also, Eastern Mindanao kind of
29:05.4
politics is quite interesting dun sa mga hindi
29:07.4
masyado nag-appreciate. Yung mga ibang Imperial
29:09.3
Manila mag-isip. Yan.
29:11.4
Yung mga gano'n. Alright? Ito, ito, ito.
29:13.4
Tingnan natin. So,
29:15.5
I wanna go systematically through this
29:19.0
this just tells you the nature
29:21.8
of Philippine politics. Diba?
29:24.2
You really don't know if ang awayan
29:29.7
sa Pilipinas ay prinsipyo,
29:32.8
interest man lang.
29:35.6
But, I find it still interesting.
29:38.1
Even if it may be just about
29:39.6
interest. It's still interesting. Inip ng hangin.
29:41.6
Umiiba na naman. Okay, ito.
29:43.2
So, Davao del Norte.
29:45.5
First District Representative Pantaling Alvarez
29:47.2
on Monday said na hindi siya
29:49.6
wala siyang tiwala
29:53.5
efforts na amyendahan yung ating
29:55.5
saligang batas. So,
29:57.5
in that sense, he joins
29:58.6
President of the Senate, Mig Zubiri
30:01.4
who also rejected the People's Initiative.
30:09.7
Ang sinabi niya, I cannot see the importance
30:11.7
of changing the Constitution now. They say
30:13.6
it is for economic reasons. Is it?
30:15.5
Is it the people's interest or somebody
30:17.5
else's interest? Alright.
30:19.3
Which is exactly the question I raised
30:21.1
noong time indigo. Is this
30:23.2
chacha and all about, really about the
30:25.1
Philippine national interest, etc.
30:27.0
Or, ito pa, or this is really
30:29.3
more about ang interest sa mga tao
30:31.4
iba dyan who wanna extend their stay in office.
30:33.8
Remember, isa sa mga versions
30:35.4
na nakita natin ng charter change
30:37.4
was a version that was about to remove
30:39.3
all sorts of term limits.
30:41.2
All sorts of term limits sa ating mga
30:43.4
politiko. Sino magbe-benefit dyan? Of course,
30:45.5
yung mga political dynasties.
30:47.5
Although, I also mentioned to you, yung
30:49.5
Law of Unintended Consequence na nung
30:51.5
naglagay tayo ng term limit, ang ginawa
30:53.5
nung iba dyan is they worked around it
30:55.5
by putting yung asawa nila, anak nila,
30:57.5
kabit nila, anak ng kabit nila, whatever.
30:59.5
But doon mo talaga makikita na ba talaga
31:01.5
yung interest dito. And of course,
31:03.5
ang argument ni Alvarez here is,
31:07.5
this is really about 2028.
31:09.5
This is really about who will succeed the current
31:11.5
president. And in a way, this is about preventing
31:13.5
the daughter of the president. And in a way, this is about preventing the daughter
31:15.5
of Mindanao, the daughter of the former president,
31:17.5
the current vice president from being,
31:19.5
from becoming the next president in a sense, right?
31:23.5
Now, ano man gagawa sa Senado?
31:27.5
Hindi lang si Zubire na dyan.
31:31.5
Actually, nag-join forces na si
31:33.5
Zubire at saka Alvarez.
31:35.5
And in a sense, I would say, probably even some of the
31:37.5
progressive independents in the Senate also will have an interest
31:39.5
in joining hands here. So, yun
31:41.5
nga yung sinasabi ko na weird eh.
31:43.5
Parang nagsasama yung mga didi.
31:45.5
At yung mga ayaw kay
31:47.5
BBM. At yung mga iba na medyo okay kay
31:49.5
BBM pero may sarili din interest.
31:51.5
So, ang complicated.
31:53.5
Sobrang complicated itong situation na ito.
31:55.5
This is a very, very evolving situation.
31:57.5
Si Robin Padilla naman,
31:59.5
very interesting. Because
32:01.5
alam naman natin si Sen. Robin Padilla,
32:03.5
ito yung naging senador on more or less
32:05.5
single issue, which is,
32:07.5
gusto ninyo ng charter change. Ang argument naman
32:11.5
is mukhang malabo
32:13.5
na magkakaroon ng charter change ever
32:15.5
if you wanna go through the
32:23.5
any kind of format that gives
32:27.5
three-fourths power in determining whether we move towards
32:29.5
a referendum and eventual
32:31.5
change in the Constitution, right?
32:33.5
Nilalabas ko lang tong itang isang kay
32:37.5
Robin Hood Padilla.
32:41.5
Robin Hood daw tawag natin sa
32:45.5
Guys, the reason I am
32:47.5
posting it here, I know it slows down the discussion
32:49.5
a lot, but it's because I wanna tell you guys, and when I discuss
32:51.5
something, it's based on available evidence
32:53.5
and discussions and exact quotes there.
32:55.5
Ayoko yung style na mag...
32:57.5
The other day, I just went
32:59.5
straight 30 minutes, one hour, no problem. We can talk
33:03.5
Especially when it's about my take. But
33:05.5
here kasi, not only is it a sensitive issue,
33:07.5
it's a very important issue and we wanna be as
33:09.5
factual and accurate as possible.
33:11.5
So ito yung huling
33:13.5
major statement ni Robin Hood Padilla
33:15.5
dito sa issue na yan.
33:17.5
Walang chance yan dito sa Senado.
33:19.5
Kaya nga, ang sinasabi ng House
33:21.5
ay mag People's Initiative tayo eh.
33:23.5
Kasi wala yan dito. Hindi yan sisikat
33:25.5
dito. Tulog na tulog na
33:29.5
aming committee report dyan. Alright.
33:31.5
Yung committee report niya dyan sa
33:33.5
Constitutional Amendments. It has zero chance
33:35.5
here sa English. That's why the House is calling for
33:37.5
People's Initiative because that won't be prosper...
33:41.5
That won't prosper...
33:43.5
Our committee report is
33:45.5
on the matter is sound as
33:47.5
slip. Alright. Dadalin
33:49.5
natin sa taong bayan at sa bawat
33:51.5
distrito at kapag nakukuha tayo
33:53.5
12% sa voting population
33:55.5
ng Pilipinas, pwede yan isama
33:57.5
ng Commission of Elections sa election kung
33:59.5
ireratifyin natin yan. And then after
34:01.5
that, you'll have a constituent assembly
34:03.5
that gonna ask to determine the final
34:05.5
version of a new constitution. Alright?
34:07.5
So, in a way you can
34:11.5
Robin Hood Padilla is kinda okay
34:13.5
with it but I just don't see
34:15.5
going all the way 100% supporting this
34:17.5
like the other people. I believe that if
34:19.5
congressman supported the People's Initiative because it is
34:21.5
their district, it would be easy. That's all we need.
34:23.5
If you use the People's Initiative, you won't need Congress.
34:25.5
It will go directly to the common elect. If it gets
34:27.5
12% of the vote, then it will be included
34:29.5
in the 2025 ballot. Ito yung magiging
34:33.5
ratification na yan, referendum. If we wait for
34:35.5
Congress, it won't happen. It's just pure talk in here.
34:37.5
So, essentially nag-give up na si
34:41.5
paring Robin Hood Padilla
34:43.5
dito sa chacha through
34:49.5
But yun nga eh. Now,
34:51.5
I do not expect him also to be
34:53.5
front and center supporting this
34:55.5
dahil nga alam natin hindi sinisupport
34:57.5
yan ng mga ibang DDS. And
34:59.5
I doubt that the current Vice
35:01.5
President is very much supportive of this.
35:03.5
And then alam din natin kay
35:07.5
Robin Hood Padilla,
35:09.5
I think more into
35:11.5
federalism siya rather than just
35:13.5
parliamentary. While alam natin yung mga ibang
35:15.5
nagpo-push sa People's Initiative
35:17.5
and nagpo-push for charter change ngayon, ay siguro
35:19.5
mas interesado sa parliamentary
35:21.5
rather than federalism.
35:23.5
I explained in a separate
35:25.5
vlog why federalism is not good for the
35:27.5
Philippines because in theory, everything
35:29.5
is nice. In theory, 1989
35:31.5
Constitution was perfect.
35:33.5
But problem is praxis.
35:35.5
And for you to know how it operates in praxis,
35:37.5
you don't talk to lawyers. You talk to
35:39.5
political scientists. You talk to economists. You talk
35:41.5
to public administration experts. And anyone
35:43.5
will tell you that in a situation where
35:45.5
may federalism tayo, halos
35:47.5
sigurado nang mangyayari dyan
35:49.5
is lalakas lalo yung mga trapo,
35:51.5
warlords, dynasties dyan sa mga
35:53.5
ibang-ibang probinsya around the country
35:55.5
dahil halos magkakaroon sila ng king
35:57.5
level power. At yung
35:59.5
Imperial Manila na parating natin sinisisi
36:01.5
sa mga kalukuan, let's not forget
36:03.5
na Imperial Manila in many occasions is actually
36:05.5
funding yung mga deficits sa tax
36:07.5
collections ng mga ibang LGUs. Let's not
36:09.5
forget na it had to be Imperial Manila which had
36:11.5
to step down nung nagkaroon ng mga masapano
36:13.5
massacre. Kasi hindi ka pwede umasa
36:15.5
sa mga local na korte, local na police
36:17.5
dun sa mga ibang lugar na totally, totally
36:19.5
hawak ng mga warlords. Hindi
36:21.5
lang poliglades, total warlords.
36:23.5
Hindi na natin kailangan pangalanan. Alam nyo na sinong mga yan.
36:27.5
I have serious issue with federalism. In
36:29.5
theory, I said I'm okay with parliamentary
36:31.5
but it has to be properly
36:33.5
scrutinized, etc. So,
36:35.5
let me end on this note.
36:37.5
I think the best way to
36:39.5
understand, anong dapat maging approach
36:47.5
point of reference ko dito is
36:49.5
yung Maharlika Fund.
36:51.5
Alright? So, alam ko
36:53.5
maraming nanonood dito ay hindi
36:57.5
bilig dyan sa Maharlika Fund, to put it mildly.
36:59.5
Yung iba dyan sobrang critical, yung iba dyan
37:01.5
worried na worried na yung Maharlika Fund ay gagawin
37:03.5
1MDB style yung Malaysia
37:05.5
na corruption scandal.
37:07.5
But this is what I'm gonna say.
37:11.5
I have some questions with Maharlika Fund.
37:13.5
And in considering, of course,
37:17.5
ng mga iba dyan, ibang pamilya dyan.
37:19.5
I'm not sure about that. Knowing also
37:21.5
the weakness of ating institutions, corruption
37:23.5
sa itong masay. Yes, but having said all
37:25.5
of that, you have to be, you know,
37:27.5
pag nagpo-political analysis
37:29.5
ka kasi ng totoo, hindi
37:31.5
ka pwede maging wishful thinking. Hindi ka
37:33.5
pwede maging normative. Of course, ako,
37:35.5
bilang isang, wala, wala.
37:37.5
Idealistic person. Of course, may mga mungkahe
37:39.5
ako, may mga conviction ako sa buhay,
37:41.5
may mga ganun. At the same time, pag
37:43.5
nagpo-political analysis ka, you have to look at things
37:45.5
as they are. So, ang basa ko dito
37:49.5
for a moment, if put aside natin yung
37:51.5
questions of value judgment,
37:53.5
whether good is good or bad, if you look
37:55.5
at it from a policy analysis
37:57.5
point of view, ang basa ko dito
38:03.5
we can learn a lot from the Maharlika Fund
38:05.5
episode. Because if you
38:07.5
look at yung pinakaunang version ng
38:09.5
Maharlika Fund, and then
38:11.5
titignan mo yung evolution ng Maharlika Fund,
38:13.5
yung mga binago nila,
38:15.5
kung nung una, gusto nila ilagay yung
38:17.5
SSS, gusto nila ilagay
38:19.5
yung pension funds, CSIS,
38:21.5
ganun. And then, kung titignan mo yung mga
38:23.5
provisions nila dun sa,
38:25.5
for instance, nung sa una, I think
38:27.5
yung presidente ang mag-supervise.
38:29.5
And then, tinanggal nila yan. And then,
38:31.5
pinalitan nila yung
38:35.5
structure ng Maharlika Fund. So, if you look at
38:37.5
the final version of Maharlika Fund that came
38:41.5
not be still good for many people.
38:43.5
Many people are still critical of it. Many people
38:45.5
may question whether it's needed. But,
38:49.5
talagang desidido magpag-Chacha,
38:51.5
yung kasalukuyan na administration, and I
38:53.5
suspect they'll be even stronger after midterm
38:55.5
elections. So, they'll have the numbers for that.
38:57.5
They have the momentum for that. And hindi
38:59.5
maging mahirap yung kuha
39:01.5
ka ng 12% of the population.
39:03.5
Madali arrange yan, actually.
39:05.5
If you look at the state of play.
39:07.5
Then, ang dapat strategy mo dito is,
39:09.5
sabihin mo, okay, even if hindi
39:15.5
chacha movement na yan, ang pwede
39:17.5
natin gawin is at least siguraduin natin na
39:19.5
yung final version na chacha na lalabas
39:21.5
ay hindi yung pinaka
39:23.5
kwasyonable, pinaka problematic.
39:25.5
Isuscrutinize dapat yan.
39:27.5
You have to push back against that. You have
39:35.5
mga mumbo-jumbo at
39:37.5
iscrutinize na mabuti para if ever
39:39.5
magkakaroon ng charter change, this is something
39:41.5
na more reflective ng ating interest.
39:43.5
O, JTS, alam ko troll ka, umayos ka dito ha.
39:45.5
Don't waste my time here. O, yung mga
39:47.5
kabubuan na ganyan, ayun na naman
39:51.5
Guys, we're having a proper discussion. Kung hindi
39:53.5
kaya na i-process ng ano nyo, di umalis
39:55.5
kayo dito, di ba? Hindi na makailangan eh.
39:57.5
Okay, umayos kayo dyan. Anyway, paligan natin.
39:59.5
Yan ang problema kaya hindi tayo
40:01.5
umangat. Dahil pag may nagsasalita
40:03.5
ng mati, eh, tatroll lang natin yung
40:05.5
ngayon. Umayos kayo dito.
40:07.5
Hindi, ito, paligan natin ito. So,
40:11.5
my sense is, pagdating kay BBM,
40:13.5
susceptible siya sa pressure
40:15.5
at may ikinig yan talagang organize
40:17.5
kayo and i-push back against it. So, even if
40:19.5
hindi makawala itong PI na ito,
40:21.5
hindi makawala itong chacha na ito,
40:23.5
at least there's a big, big, big chance
40:25.5
na yung final version ng chacha
40:27.5
ay mas malapit dun sa
40:29.5
nararapat sa ating
40:31.5
bayan kaysa yung hindi. Because,
40:33.5
katulad ng discussion namin, Lelo,
40:35.5
kagabi, mukhang inevitable na
40:37.5
at some point, there'll be some sort of constitutional change.
40:39.5
Siguro, amendment, if not
40:41.5
total charter change. So, the best thing
40:43.5
you can do right now is to push for the
40:45.5
least bad version,
40:47.5
if not the really good version of that. Kaya,
40:49.5
instead na maging cynical lang
40:51.5
tayo, or maging complacent.
40:53.5
So, neither cynical nor
40:55.5
complacent, right? Ang
40:57.5
kailangan natin gawin dito is to scrutinize
40:59.5
it, push back, organize, and make sure
41:01.5
if chacha happens, at least it's not
41:03.5
a really bad chacha. And hopefully,
41:05.5
a good chacha for our country.
41:07.5
On that note, thank you very much. Maraming salamat sa
41:09.5
lahat ng mga nanonood sa atin. Ba't yung mga
41:11.5
troll dyan na iba? May 6 kayo dyan?
41:13.5
Kapos na yung time ni Digong.
41:15.5
Laos na kayo. Okay?
41:19.5
Okay? Yung mga iba dyan. Laos na kayo.
41:21.5
Yung 6 years na try na
41:23.5
troll kami, wala rin eh. Laos
41:25.5
rin naman kayo. Tapos magsasayang lang kayo ng
41:27.5
oras ko dito. Alright.
41:29.5
Salamat sa mga supporters natin, sa lahat-lahat
41:31.5
na nagbamahal sa atin. Please
41:35.5
tuned because in around 15
41:37.5
minutes or so, interview naman natin si
41:39.5
Atty. Ruben Carranza,
41:41.5
International Lawyer. Pag-usapan natin
41:43.5
ICC, International Criminal Court. At
41:45.5
pag-usapan natin ICJ, International Court
41:47.5
of Justice. Big things are happening. At
41:49.5
pag-usapan din natin. Mahalika fun ng chacha.
41:51.5
So stay tuned and thank you very much sa lahat
41:53.5
ng mga nakinig sa atin. God bless and talk to you soon.
41:55.5
I-check ko lang quality ng voice natin kasi
41:57.5
may mga sineset up. Set up lang ako
41:59.5
dito para lang sigurado. Alright? I hope
42:01.5
ma-appreciate nyo. God bless and
42:03.5
talk to you soon.
42:05.5
Yeah, wait. Salamat
42:07.5
guys. Talk to you soon.
42:11.5
Salamat. Talk to you soon ha. Mga 15-20
42:13.5
minutes. Balikan. Balikan ko kayo.
