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00:00.0
Okay, game, game, game
00:05.7
Let's get the ball rolling
00:07.9
Okay guys, this is it, this is it
00:10.7
Balikan natin ito, straight to the point na tayo
00:12.8
Ito na, pag-usapan natin itong
00:14.3
Tambalos-Los context
00:16.3
So kanina dun sa, well, pre-vlog natin
00:19.1
Pinag-usapan natin yung buong konteksto
00:21.0
Na itong discussion na ito, anong relevance na ito
00:22.9
At matagal ko sinasabing na may iba dyan
00:24.5
May balak maging Prime Minister
00:26.0
At may iba dyan may interest na magpupush tayo
00:28.6
For a parliamentary system dahil nga
00:30.2
About calculus about 2028
00:32.2
Or at least, based on our understanding
00:34.6
Of what 2028 could look like
00:36.6
Medyo debatable yan
00:38.9
Okay, ito, ito, ito, pag-usapan natin ito
00:44.6
This is very, very important
00:47.9
So, as you remember
00:50.9
Si Pantaleon Alvarez
00:52.9
Was the former Speaker of the House
00:54.4
And one of the reason why it's hard to forget him
00:56.7
Is because of what happened
00:57.8
During the, if I'm not mistaken
00:59.3
Third State of the Nation address of President
01:01.5
Di gong when nakaroon ng legislative coup
01:04.7
Congressional coup
01:05.7
Na temporarily, itong natanggal ito
01:08.6
Si Pantaleon Alvarez
01:09.9
Si Arroyo pumasok
01:11.0
And then parang nire-reverse
01:12.0
And then eventually si Arroyo naging Speaker of the House
01:14.6
And then natanggal ulit
01:15.5
Naalala nyo yung gulo na yan
01:16.9
During the time na yan
01:19.0
May pakanan daw dun sa pagtanggal kay Pantaleon Alvarez
01:22.9
Ay mga tinatawag na mga
01:26.7
Three powerful girls
01:29.9
And of course, one of them is
01:32.4
The current Vice President
01:34.0
Now, dito sa interview
01:35.1
May kita natin yung changing of
01:38.4
And realignments dito sa politika natin
01:40.4
And this is something important
01:41.1
Because if you remember
01:41.7
Si Pantaleon Alvarez actually endorsed
01:43.6
Lenny Robredo dun sa last year's elections
01:46.1
At hindi niya in-endorse yung UNITEAM
01:47.9
Probably it had to do also about that whole
01:52.2
And that whole coup situation
01:55.1
Iba na naman yung inip ng hangin
01:58.2
Eh, nakikita ko na ito
02:00.5
People's Initiative
02:04.6
People's Initiative
02:11.4
Ambalus-Ross Initiative
02:12.7
So, are you referring to specifically who?
02:20.9
Kilala natin, no?
02:23.8
May ambisyon maging presidente
02:27.8
Eh, kahit sa survey ng Sen. Bolos, ulilat
02:35.5
Now, we're a news program
02:37.2
So, let's be specific
02:39.3
Yan ang gusto kayo
02:40.2
Sorry ha, hindi ito buljakan
02:43.3
Hindi ito, ano ha
02:44.4
Medyo, ano, mag-blind item
02:48.5
Pag-blind item, showbiz na yan masyado
02:50.8
Let's go straight to the point
02:52.5
Are you referring to the Speaker of the House?
02:56.5
So, you, you know, you're a speaker of the House
02:57.7
You used the term Tambalus Laws
02:59.7
That was a similar term
03:02.0
used by Vice President Sara Duterte
03:04.8
referring to an unnamed person, right?
03:08.9
Are you and Vice President Sara Duterte now allies?
03:12.8
I want to ask you first, directly
03:15.0
Are you and the Vice President now allies?
03:19.2
We have not talked yet, no?
03:21.4
Pero, Karen, if you will ask me if I will support her
03:24.2
I will support her
03:26.8
I will support her
03:27.0
Categorically, yes
03:28.4
I will support her
03:31.1
She is from Mindanao
03:33.6
No matter what happens
03:35.7
Her heart is still in Mindanao
03:42.7
So, let's move forward
03:44.6
So, you say you haven't spoken
03:46.3
But you will support the Vice President
03:49.3
So, do you believe then
03:52.1
What you were saying
03:53.3
Is the People's Initiative
03:55.5
Is it a People's Initiative?
03:57.0
And you believe it is instigated by the Speaker?
04:04.8
Yes, I believe so
04:06.6
Okay, but what proof do you have of that?
04:09.7
It's been denied over and over by the majority
04:14.9
So, let me just go straight to this article and all for you guys
04:18.6
So, we can go into this
04:20.7
This is quite interesting
04:22.0
Because we're seeing people associated with former President Duterte
04:25.2
People are still close to President Duterte
04:26.9
People are still close to President Duterte
04:27.0
And some of them were now
04:27.9
Also aligning with the daughter
04:30.2
Of the former President
04:31.4
And the current Vice President
04:32.4
All of them going against charter change
04:34.6
Which is something that you'll find interesting
04:36.0
Since, alam naman natin
04:37.8
Pagdating sa mga DDS
04:40.6
Ito yung mga excited talaga
04:43.3
Na mag-charter change
04:45.9
Ito yung mga nagsasabi
04:47.2
Na mag-charter change tayo
04:48.6
Mala Switzerland na tayo
04:50.2
Mala Singapore na tayo
04:51.8
Yung mga ganyan type na
04:53.9
Yung parang sinabi mo
04:55.0
Pag kinaya mo pagshoot naman
04:56.9
Ni Michael Jordan
04:57.8
Nilabas mo yung dila mo
04:59.0
Tapos nag-shoot ka
04:59.7
Maging kasing galing ka ni Michael Jordan
05:01.5
Yung mga ganyan level of analysis
05:07.2
So, pag-usapan natin ito
05:09.9
So, Davao del Norte
05:12.4
First District Representative
05:14.1
O nga pala, Davao ano nang pala siya
05:16.2
Congressman pala siya
05:18.2
That's an interesting thing
05:21.1
Kasi may nakita rin akong post
05:22.8
People say, pag Davao, Davao
05:25.3
Automatically they assume
05:26.6
It's just the Dutertes there
05:28.0
But actually there are many, many other players
05:29.7
Nograleses, and then may Alvarez, etc
05:31.8
So, actually the broader, the greater Davao region
05:34.7
It's very complicated
05:35.6
Kasi parang Davao City lang alam natin, diba?
05:38.7
But the Davao politics is quite interesting
05:40.9
And also, Eastern Mindanao kind of politics
05:43.4
Is quite interesting
05:44.3
Dun sa mga hindi masyado nag-appreciate
05:46.0
Yung mga ibang Imperial Manila mag-isip
05:48.1
Yan, yung mga gano'n, alright?
05:51.7
So, I wanna go systematically through this
05:56.6
This just tells you the nature of Philippine politics
06:01.9
You really don't know if ang awayan talaga is
06:04.0
Ang awayan sa Pilipinas ay prinsipyo
06:10.4
Interest man lang
06:12.9
But, I find it still interesting
06:16.1
Even if it may be just about interest
06:17.7
It's still interesting
06:20.9
So, Davao del Norte
06:23.1
First District Representative Pantaling Alvarez
06:24.9
On Monday said na
06:27.3
Wala siyang tiwala
06:29.8
Ongoing efforts na amyendahan
06:32.7
Yung ating saligang batas
06:34.1
So, in that sense, he joins
06:36.2
President of the Senate
06:39.1
Who also rejected the people's initiative
06:48.3
I cannot see the importance of changing the constitution now
06:50.8
They say it is for economic reasons
06:52.4
Is it the people's interest
06:54.1
Or somebody else's interest?
06:56.6
Which is exactly the question I raised
06:58.8
Noong timing digong
06:59.6
Is this chacha and all about
07:02.0
Really about the Philippine national interest
07:05.6
Or this is really more about
07:07.7
Ang interest sa mga tao
07:09.0
Iba dyan who wanna extend their stay in office
07:11.8
Isa sa mga versions
07:13.0
Na nakita natin ng
07:15.0
Was a version that was about to
07:16.3
Remove all sorts of term limits
07:18.2
All sorts of term limits
07:20.0
Sa ating mga politiko
07:21.4
Sino magbe-benefit dyan?
07:23.3
Yung mga political dynasties
07:25.9
I also mentioned to you
07:26.9
Yung law of unintended consequence
07:28.6
Na nung naglagay tayo ng term limit
07:30.2
Ang ginawa nung iba dyan is
07:32.4
They worked around it by putting
07:35.6
Anak ng kabit nila
07:37.5
Doon mo talaga makikita
07:39.5
Ano pa talaga yung interest dito
07:41.3
Ang argument ni Alvarez here is
07:43.6
This is really about 2028
07:47.0
This is really about
07:47.9
Who will succeed the current president
07:50.5
This is about preventing
07:51.8
The daughter of Mindanao
07:53.7
The daughter of the former president
07:54.9
The current vice president
07:55.9
From becoming the next president
08:01.2
Ano magagawa sa Senado?
08:04.4
Hindi lang si Zubiria na dyan
08:09.1
Nag-join forces na si
08:11.0
Zubiria tsaka Alvarez
08:13.9
Probably even some of the
08:14.9
Progressive independents in Senate
08:16.4
Also will have an interest
08:17.3
In joining hands here
08:18.2
So yun nga yung sinasabi ko
08:20.7
Parang nagsasama yung mga DDS
08:23.4
At yung mga ayaw kay BBM
08:25.9
Mga iba na medyo okay kay BBM
08:27.6
Pero may sarili din interest
08:29.4
So ang complicated
08:30.9
Sobrang complicated itong situation na ito
08:32.8
This is a very very evolving situation
08:35.1
Si Robin Padilla naman
08:38.7
Because alam naman natin si
08:39.9
Sen. Robin Padilla
08:40.9
Ito yung naging senador
08:41.9
On more or less single issue
08:44.7
Gusto niya ng charter change
08:46.1
Ang argument naman ni
08:51.0
Na magkakaroon ng charter change
08:53.3
If you wanna go through the
08:55.2
Constitutional convention
08:59.8
Or any kind of format
09:04.7
Three-fourths power
09:05.8
In determining whether we move towards
09:08.2
And eventual change
09:09.7
In the constitution
09:11.0
Nalabas ko lang itong isang
09:19.6
Tawag natin sa panya
09:25.8
I know it slows down
09:27.7
I wanna tell you guys
09:28.4
And when I discuss something
09:29.9
Available evidence
09:31.8
And exact codes there
09:33.0
Ayaw ko yung style
09:38.7
We can talk about issues
09:39.5
Especially when it's about
09:44.4
A sensitive issue
09:45.2
It's a very important issue
09:46.2
And we wanna be as factual
09:47.4
And accurate as possible
09:49.1
So ito yung huling
09:52.1
Ni Robin Hood Padilla
09:53.3
Dito sa issue na yan
09:54.9
Walang chance yan dito
09:57.6
Ang sinisabi ng House
09:59.2
Ay mag people's initiative tayo eh
10:01.1
Kasi wala yan dito
10:02.2
Hindi yan sisikat dito
10:03.5
Tulog na tulog na nga
10:06.6
Ng aming committee report dyan
10:08.7
Yung committee report niya dyan sa
10:10.2
Sa constitutional amendments
10:12.3
It has zero chance here
10:13.6
That's why the House is calling
10:14.6
For a people initiative
10:15.5
Because that won't be prosper
10:17.9
That won't prosper here
10:20.9
Our committee report is
10:23.0
On the matter is sound
10:26.0
Dadalin natin sa taong bayan
10:28.5
At sa bawat distrito
10:29.8
At kapag nakukuha tayo
10:31.3
12% sa voting population
10:34.4
Isama ng commission election
10:36.7
Kung iraratify natin yan
10:38.4
And then after that
10:39.7
You'll have a constituent assembly
10:41.8
To determine the final version
10:43.6
Of a new constitution
10:45.8
In a way you can see that
10:47.7
Robin Hood Padilla
10:49.7
Is kinda okay with it
10:51.5
But I just don't see
10:52.9
Going all the way
10:53.8
100% support for her
10:55.2
Like the other people
10:56.4
I believe that if congressman
10:57.4
Supported the people's initiative
10:58.5
Because it is their district
11:00.2
That's all we need
11:00.9
If you use the people's initiative
11:02.1
You won't need congress
11:03.0
It will go directly to the common elect
11:04.3
If it gets 12% of the vote
11:06.0
Then it will be included
11:06.8
In the 2025 ballot
11:08.4
Ito yung magiging
11:09.4
Essentially for ratification
11:11.5
Na yan referendum
11:12.2
If we wait for congress
11:13.7
It's just pure talk
11:16.0
Nag give up na si
11:20.1
Robin Hood Padilla
11:28.2
I do not expect him also
11:30.9
To be front and center
11:33.2
Dahil nga alam natin
11:34.4
Hindi sinisupport yan
11:37.4
And I doubt that the
11:38.6
Current vice president
11:39.5
Is very much supportive of this
11:41.3
And then alam din natin
11:46.5
Robin Hood Padilla
11:48.0
More into federalism siya
11:50.2
Rather than just parliamentary
11:53.7
People's initiative
11:54.7
And nagpupush for
11:56.4
Siguro mas interesado
11:58.9
Rather than federalism
12:01.8
I explained in a separate vlog
12:03.7
Why federalism is not good
12:04.9
For the Philippines
12:06.7
Everything is nice
12:08.3
1989 constitution was
12:11.2
Problem is praxis
12:12.5
And for you to know
12:14.1
How it operates in praxis
12:15.4
You don't talk to lawyers
12:16.7
You talk to political scientists
12:17.8
You talk to economists
12:18.7
You talk to public
12:19.7
Administration experts
12:20.7
And anyone will tell you
12:21.7
That in a situation
12:22.9
Where by my federalism tayo
12:30.3
Sa mga iba't ibang
12:31.5
Probinsya around the country
12:32.9
Dahil halos magkakaroon sila
12:34.5
Ng king level power
12:38.0
Na parating natin
12:38.8
Sinisisi sa mga kalukuan
12:41.1
Na Imperial Manila
12:41.9
In many occasions
12:42.5
Is actually funding
12:43.5
Yung mga deficits
12:44.4
Sa tax collections
12:45.3
Sa mga ibang LGUs
12:47.4
That it had to be
12:48.7
Which had to step down
12:49.8
Noong nagkaroon ng
12:50.5
Mamasa pano massacre
12:51.6
Kasi hindi ka pwede
12:55.1
Dun sa mga ibang lugar
12:57.4
Hawak ng mga warlords
12:58.9
Hindi lang poligadanis
13:00.7
Hindi na natin kailangan
13:02.3
Alam nyo na sinong mga yan
13:04.1
I have serious issue
13:07.6
I'm okay with parliamentary
13:10.7
Properly scrutinized
13:12.6
Let me end on this note
13:14.3
I think the best way
13:17.9
Anong dapat maging
13:18.8
Approach natin dito
13:24.2
Point of reference ko dito
13:27.2
Yung Maharlika Fund
13:30.0
So alam ko maraming nanonood dito
13:32.4
Ay hindi masyadong
13:34.7
Belief dyan sa Maharlika Fund
13:37.1
Yung iba dyan sobrang critical
13:38.3
Yung iba dyan worried na worried
13:39.7
Na yung Maharlika Fund
13:43.1
Corruption Scandal
13:44.4
But this is what I'm gonna say
13:49.2
I have some questions
13:50.1
With Maharlika Fund
13:51.1
And I'm considering of course
13:54.5
Kasaysayan ng mga iba dyan
13:56.0
Ibang pamilya dyan
13:57.5
I'm not sure about that
13:58.7
Knowing also the weakness
13:59.6
Of ating institutions
14:00.6
Corruption sa itong bansay
14:02.4
But having said all of that
14:05.4
Pag nagpo-political analysis ka
14:08.4
Hindi ka pwede maging
14:10.5
Hindi ka pwede maging
14:15.1
Idealistic person
14:16.0
Of course may mga mungkahi ako
14:17.4
May mga conviction ako sa buhay
14:20.8
Pag nagpo-political analysis ka
14:22.2
You have to look at things
14:23.5
So ang basa ko dito is
14:27.6
If put aside natin
14:28.9
Yung questions of value judgment
14:31.2
Whether good is good or bad
14:32.7
If you look at it
14:33.4
From a policy analysis point of view
14:35.7
Ang basa ko dito sa Chacha
14:40.4
We can learn a lot
14:42.6
From the Maharlika Fund episode
14:44.1
Because if you look at
14:45.5
Yung pinakaunang version
14:46.9
Ng Maharlika Fund
14:47.9
And then titignan mo
14:50.4
Ng Maharlika Fund
14:51.5
Yung mga binago nila
14:53.4
From the Maharlika Fund
14:54.1
Gusto nila ilagay yung
14:56.5
Gusto nila ilagay yung
14:59.5
And then kung titignan mo
15:00.8
Yung mga provisions nila
15:04.6
I think yung presidente
15:05.9
Ang mag-supervise
15:07.9
Tinanggan nila yan
15:08.9
And then pinalitan nila
15:11.0
Yung governance structure
15:13.6
Ng Maharlika Fund
15:14.4
So if you look at the final version
15:16.1
Of Maharlika Fund
15:17.5
It may not be still good
15:21.0
Many people are still critical of it
15:22.7
Many people may question it
15:23.4
May question whether it's needed
15:26.4
Talagang desidido magpachacha
15:28.9
Yung kasalukuyan na administration
15:30.6
And I suspect they'll be even stronger
15:32.4
After midterm elections
15:33.5
So they'll have the numbers for that
15:35.1
They have the momentum for that
15:36.8
And hindi maging mahirap
15:38.0
Yung kuha ka ng 12%
15:40.2
Of the population
15:41.5
Madali arrange yun actually
15:43.1
If you look at the state of play
15:44.3
Then ang dapat strategy mo dito is
15:48.4
Even if hindi natin ma-stop
15:53.1
Chacha movement na yan
15:54.6
Ang pwede natin gawin is
15:56.0
At least siguraduin natin na
15:57.2
Yung final version na Chacha na lalabas
15:59.4
Ay hindi yung pinaka-questionable
16:02.2
Pinaka-problematic
16:03.4
Isuscrutinize dapat yan
16:05.2
You have to push back against that
16:07.5
You have to make sure
16:11.3
Matatanggal yung mga mumbo-jumbo
16:14.2
At iscrutinize na mabuti
16:16.1
Para if ever magkakaroon ng charter change
16:18.0
This is something na more reflective
16:19.8
Ng ating interest
16:22.0
Umayos ka dito ha
16:22.9
Don't waste my time here
16:24.0
O yung mga kabubuan na ganyan
16:26.0
Ayun na naman tayo eh
16:29.1
You were having a proper discussion
16:30.8
Kung hindi kaya na i-process ng ano nyo
16:32.5
O di umalis kayo dito
16:33.9
Hindi na makailangan eh
16:36.5
Balikan natin ito
16:38.0
Kaya nga hindi tayo maangat
16:39.4
Dahil pag may nagsasalita ng mati no
16:41.8
Ay tatroll lang natin gano'n
16:45.7
Balikan natin ito
16:49.8
Pagdating kay BBM
16:51.1
Susceptible siya sa pressure
16:52.9
At may ikinig yan talaga
16:54.6
Kung organize kayo
16:55.3
And i-push back against it
16:57.2
Hindi mawawala etong PI na eto
16:59.0
Hindi mawawala etong chacha na eto
17:00.7
At least there's a big big big chance
17:03.0
Na yung final version ng chacha
17:11.2
Katulad ng discussion namin
17:13.6
Mukhang inevitable na
17:15.6
There'll be some sort of
17:16.3
Constitutional change
17:18.2
If not total charter change
17:19.9
So the best thing you can do right now
17:23.2
Least bad version
17:24.7
If not a really good version of that
17:27.2
Instead na maging cynical lang tayo
17:29.9
Or maging complacent
17:31.3
So neither cynical
17:34.9
Ang kailangan natin gawin dito
17:36.1
Is to scrutinize it
17:38.2
Organize and make sure
17:39.3
If chacha happens
17:40.6
At least it's not a really bad chacha
17:45.8
Thank you very much
17:46.5
Maraming salamat sa lahat ng mga
17:48.6
Bati yung mga troll dyan na iba
17:51.2
Tapos na yung time
17:57.6
Yung mga iba dyan
17:59.3
Yung 6 years na try
18:02.8
Laos rin naman kayo
18:03.7
Tapos magsasayon lang kayo
18:07.2
Salamat sa mga supporters natin
18:09.1
Nagmamahal sa atin
18:13.4
Because in around
18:15.8
Interview naman natin si
18:17.1
Attorney Ruben Carranza
18:18.9
International lawyer
18:21.8
International Criminal Justice
18:22.5
International Criminal Justice
18:22.7
At pag-usapan natin
18:24.5
International Court of Justice
18:25.7
Big things are happening
18:26.8
At pag-usapan din natin
18:27.9
Mahalik of fun and cha-cha
18:30.2
And thank you very much
18:30.9
Sa lahat ng mga nakinig sa atin
18:32.4
And talk to you soon
18:33.4
Quality ng voice natin
18:34.7
Kasi may mga sineset up
18:36.5
Set up lang ako dito
18:37.3
Para lang sigurado
18:38.8
I hope ma-appreciate nyo
18:40.1
And talk to you soon