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SARA TOPS 2028 SURVEY AGAIN!!?
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Richard Heydarian VLOGS
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Run time: 37:21
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00:00.0
One second, guys.
00:10.2
Bilig lang ko. One second.
00:11.9
One second.
00:30.0
One second.
01:00.0
One second.
01:30.0
One second.
01:43.5
Sensyo na, mga kameta.
01:45.6
Wait lang, ha.
01:46.5
Ito na, ito na.
01:47.2
Isin natin ito.
01:48.7
Okay, okay, okay.
01:50.6
This is it.
01:52.2
This is it, pancit.
01:53.6
Wait lang.
01:54.4
Hindi po maayos natin.
01:55.3
Lighting natin na.
01:56.1
Isin ka lang, ha.
01:56.7
One second.
02:00.0
One second.
02:26.0
One second, guys, ha.
02:27.9
Ano lang.
02:28.8
Kakarating lang dito.
02:30.1
Kakatapos lang ng meetings.
02:34.5
Mag-update lang tayo.
02:36.1
Marami nang ngyari.
02:37.2
One second.
02:39.0
One second.
02:45.3
Ano yun talaga, mga?
02:47.1
Walang production.
02:49.1
Sariling sikap.
02:51.2
Ayan.
02:53.6
Okay.
02:54.7
Ano, okay na yan?
02:56.5
Okay, okay.
02:57.2
Ito, ito, ito.
02:57.7
Isin natin.
02:58.5
Okay, okay.
03:00.0
Let's get the ball rolling.
03:03.4
Oof.
03:06.3
Hmm.
03:07.1
Talaga itong bansa natin.
03:08.7
The best talaga.
03:15.3
Okay, okay.
03:27.2
Ayan na.
03:28.5
Ayan na.
03:29.0
Kamusta kayo,
03:29.8
John.
03:30.6
Ohayo.
03:31.3
Guzay na masi.
03:33.0
Thank you.
03:34.4
Ayan, guys.
03:35.1
Sorry, ha.
03:35.5
Kanina lang nakarating tayo dito sa
03:37.2
land of the rising sun.
03:40.1
Ibang klase.
03:40.7
Kahit winter.
03:41.6
Kahit sobrang winter na winter tayo
03:43.5
na January.
03:44.2
Talagang lakas ng sun kanina.
03:45.8
Kaya,
03:46.2
eto, eto, eto.
03:49.6
Kaya excited.
03:51.0
Na-excited tayo kanina
03:52.0
to go around.
03:52.8
Next thing I know,
03:54.1
hindi lang pala sa Pilipinas
03:55.4
ay may traffic.
03:56.8
May traffic hour din
03:58.1
ng kwante dito.
03:58.9
Kaya sobrang late tayo.
03:59.7
May dumating dito sa hotel natin.
04:02.1
At humaabol din ako
04:03.7
dun sa mga meetings.
04:04.9
Dun sa mga meetings natin
04:06.1
sa mga experts
04:06.9
and friends natin dito
04:08.1
sa land of the rising sun.
04:11.4
And obviously,
04:12.4
we had some very long discussions
04:14.4
tonight about
04:15.4
very serious issues
04:16.4
including G7.
04:18.9
Ito yung group of seven
04:19.9
important countries.
04:22.3
Obviously,
04:23.4
itong taon ng Italy
04:24.8
ata mag-host ng
04:25.8
sila yung maging host,
04:27.8
sila yung maging
04:28.7
rotational chairman.
04:29.7
Ito yung group of seven countries.
04:31.5
So, naturally,
04:32.6
pumunta rin na usapan dun
04:33.6
sa mga maimimbitay
04:34.6
ng mga bansa
04:35.4
katulad ng India,
04:36.8
South Korea,
04:37.4
Australia,
04:37.9
ang tinatawag na G10
04:38.9
or G11.
04:40.3
And medyo napunta rin
04:41.6
siguro usapan ng kwante
04:42.6
sa South Africa.
04:44.2
But as you know,
04:45.3
as we speak right now,
04:46.8
the International
04:47.4
Court of Justice
04:49.3
is making,
04:50.9
at least from
04:52.3
our understanding,
04:55.0
provisional.
04:56.3
At least some provisional measures.
04:57.8
They're gonna push for
04:58.4
some provisional measures.
04:59.7
And interim
05:00.9
kind of decisions
05:02.4
before the final decision
05:04.2
comes out
05:04.7
dun sa very, very
05:06.0
contentious,
05:07.3
very, very high-stakes issue.
05:09.7
Some of you, of course,
05:11.1
napanood nyo yung
05:12.0
interview natin with
05:13.3
Atty. Ruben Carranza
05:15.7
when we discuss
05:16.6
the history of the
05:17.6
International Court of Justice,
05:19.2
the jurisdiction of
05:20.0
the International Court of Justice,
05:21.6
the mechanics of how
05:22.9
the ICJ operates,
05:24.0
and the prospects for ICJ
05:25.4
to come with any big decision.
05:27.2
So,
05:27.8
we're gonna come up
05:29.1
with more
05:29.6
updates
05:30.4
and more analysis
05:32.2
on that
05:32.7
in the coming days
05:34.6
and weeks,
05:35.2
God willing.
05:35.6
We're gonna talk to experts
05:36.6
kasi medyo malaki-laking
05:38.1
issue eto.
05:38.8
Sorry, sorry.
05:39.6
Medyo mong gulo-gulo
05:40.3
yung book natin,
05:41.4
because
05:41.7
wala akong time
05:44.2
na mali
05:44.6
kung pagdating pa lang
05:45.6
diretsyo na dun
05:46.2
sa mga meeting.
05:47.3
Tsaka, guys,
05:48.1
alam nyo naman,
05:48.7
one hour ahead tayo dito.
05:50.9
So,
05:51.5
medyo late night na ngayon.
05:53.3
Mukhang maaga pa ngayon.
05:54.2
Mukhang na
05:54.8
same timing pa tayo
05:57.3
ng iba.
05:57.6
So, pasensya na ako.
05:58.3
Medyo magulong
05:59.0
tsura natin and all.
06:00.7
Pero sabi ko,
06:01.5
mahal na mahal ko kayo.
06:02.4
Sabi ko,
06:02.7
yahabol ko pa rin
06:03.4
itong
06:03.8
analysis na ito
06:06.0
pagdating sa ating bansa.
06:07.4
Now,
06:08.1
remember
06:08.5
around
06:09.4
three or four days ago,
06:10.8
sabi ko,
06:11.8
at dito,
06:12.9
alam na natin,
06:13.7
ako yung parating
06:14.7
nang sasabi.
06:16.4
If BBM
06:17.8
were to take on
06:19.1
mga Dutertes
06:19.9
full on,
06:20.7
sisigurado nyo,
06:21.5
first of all,
06:22.1
na hindi sila
06:23.6
sobrang popular.
06:25.9
Or,
06:26.8
sisigurado nyo,
06:27.5
if it goes all the way,
06:29.0
there's no chance
06:29.8
for the other side
06:30.5
to go back.
06:31.1
And that's why I said,
06:32.2
I doubt
06:32.9
na BBM will go
06:34.6
all the way
06:35.1
against the Duterte camp
06:36.6
because alam na
06:37.8
na
06:38.7
in the coming years,
06:41.4
in fact,
06:41.6
as early as right now,
06:43.1
pinag-uusapan na
06:44.0
yung 2028 context.
06:45.7
Pinag-uusapan na
06:46.5
who could replace him.
06:48.1
In fact,
06:48.5
this is an unprecedented
06:49.7
situation
06:50.5
na four or five years
06:51.7
before presidential elections,
06:53.6
you already have
06:54.1
a frontrunner.
06:55.4
And that's because
06:56.0
of the special circumstances
06:57.7
ng 2022 elections,
06:59.0
kung saan
06:59.6
more than 60%
07:01.3
ng mga boto
07:02.0
ang napanalo
07:03.1
ng ating vicepresidente
07:04.5
and a little bit less,
07:06.8
around 60% naman
07:08.4
pagdating naman
07:10.0
kay
07:10.4
President BBM Marcos.
07:13.0
Ayan naman yung mga troll natin,
07:14.2
no?
07:16.1
Ano yung mga trelo natin,
07:18.0
mga walang ya.
07:19.3
Yung mga vlogger nyo,
07:20.4
kasi,
07:20.8
ay nako,
07:22.3
hindi na magkakomment
07:23.4
sa mga kachipangan dyan.
07:24.8
Anyway,
07:25.3
palikan natin ito.
07:27.9
Now,
07:29.0
kasi ito na,
07:33.1
kita natin sa Time Magazine na ito.
07:34.9
But sa Time Magazine,
07:35.8
lumalabas na ito eh.
07:36.8
So,
07:37.4
let's first read it
07:38.3
and then let's contextualize it.
07:40.4
Katulad na yung sinabi ko,
07:41.3
may mga ibang
07:42.0
nagdadisagree sa akin
07:43.1
na feeling naman expert kayo.
07:44.6
Excuse me, guys.
07:46.4
Hindi tayo
07:47.1
nag-society na basta-basta.
07:48.5
Pinag-aaral natin
07:49.3
ang mga issue-issue.
07:50.6
Now, obviously,
07:51.8
as a public intellectual,
07:53.3
meron kang obligasyon
07:54.4
to try to encourage people
07:55.9
in a certain direction.
07:58.6
Namely,
07:59.0
a mature democracy,
08:01.3
a progressive country,
08:02.9
a manufacturing-driven economy,
08:04.8
so on and so forth.
08:05.4
At the same time,
08:06.1
trabaho din natin
08:06.9
bilang analyst,
08:08.8
biglang analyst,
08:10.4
na tignan natin yung katotohanan,
08:13.0
tignan natin yung facts on the ground.
08:14.5
As far as facts on the ground
08:15.7
are concerned,
08:16.4
ito, may bagong research
08:17.5
na lumabas
08:19.1
which confirms
08:19.8
what we have been saying.
08:21.0
As far as
08:21.5
Sally DeClaire is concerned,
08:22.9
she's not only
08:23.5
the highest-rated official
08:25.1
as far as surveys are concerned,
08:26.6
but this new survey
08:27.6
by the public
08:29.0
opinion group
08:29.6
WR Numeral Research.
08:31.0
Now,
08:31.4
kilala ko personally
08:32.2
mga yan,
08:32.8
kaibigan natin
08:33.5
yung mga in-charge
08:34.4
sa group na yan.
08:35.5
They are good people,
08:36.9
they're reputable people,
08:38.2
authentic tong mga ito.
08:39.8
I remember seeing also
08:41.1
their surveys
08:41.6
in 2022 elections
08:42.8
and yung mga ibang
08:43.5
studies nila,
08:44.6
legit tong mga ito.
08:45.9
Alright?
08:46.5
And in many ways,
08:47.4
itong latest study
08:48.4
na lumabas
08:48.9
from W Numeral Research.
08:51.3
Just,
08:51.8
which by the way,
08:52.7
sa Time Magazine na ito,
08:54.0
hindi ito yung mga
08:54.9
times-times na
08:55.9
tabi-tabi lang.
08:57.0
Legit to, okay?
08:58.0
It confirms
09:00.3
yung sinasabi natin
09:02.0
na as far as
09:02.8
Sarah Duterte is concerned,
09:03.8
she's still the front-runner
09:05.0
to be the 2028
09:06.1
presidential candidate.
09:08.4
I'm sorry,
09:09.0
presidentiable, right?
09:11.6
Almost 36%
09:13.4
ng mga respondents
09:14.4
sa survey na yan
09:15.4
ay nagsabi.
09:16.5
December na ko
09:17.1
ito sa last quarter
09:18.1
of last year.
09:19.1
Sinabi na,
09:19.9
si Sarah Duterte
09:21.5
ang pipili nila
09:22.9
if ever yung election
09:24.4
were held today.
09:26.2
But of course,
09:26.7
elections will not happen.
09:28.0
Until
09:28.6
2028.
09:31.6
This follows
09:32.2
itong,
09:33.5
kung maalala nyo,
09:34.5
last year,
09:35.1
early last year,
09:36.0
pinag-usapan din natin
09:37.1
yung SWS survey.
09:39.3
Alright?
09:40.0
Kung saan,
09:40.6
pinakita rin niya
09:41.6
na I think
09:42.1
28 to 30%
09:43.7
ang bumubuto
09:44.8
kay Sarah Duterte.
09:46.1
So, ang ibig sabihin yan,
09:47.7
para umakit pa yung numbers
09:49.2
ni Sarah Duterte.
09:50.4
No?
09:51.2
Ang ibig sabihin yan,
09:52.6
no,
09:53.2
na lahat ng mga
09:54.4
controversies,
09:55.8
lahat yung mga
09:56.7
you know,
09:58.0
yung mga batikos,
09:59.4
lahat ng mga skandalo
10:00.8
or supposed scandals,
10:02.3
ganun.
10:02.9
It hasn't significantly
10:04.2
dented
10:04.7
her prospects
10:05.8
as the next president
10:07.1
of the Philippines
10:07.8
and also her
10:09.1
prospects as
10:10.4
a major politician
10:11.7
sa Pilipinas pa rin.
10:12.8
So,
10:13.3
36%
10:14.2
which is still higher
10:15.2
dun sa around
10:16.0
30%
10:16.8
na nakita natin
10:17.4
sa social weather station
10:18.4
survey na yan.
10:20.1
But,
10:21.0
exactly as I said,
10:23.4
although Sarah
10:24.2
is still seen
10:25.2
as the leading candidate,
10:27.0
for 2028,
10:29.2
it's not
10:30.2
a total blowout.
10:31.9
Okay?
10:32.7
It's not.
10:34.3
Because,
10:35.0
number two,
10:36.3
ang number two dito
10:37.1
is si Rafi Tulfo.
10:38.6
Again,
10:38.8
exactly what I've been saying.
10:40.8
If you look at
10:41.6
yung hinahanap
10:42.4
ng ating mga voters
10:43.4
as of now
10:44.1
and based sa
10:45.1
2016,
10:45.9
2020,
10:46.6
2019,
10:47.2
and 2020.
10:48.2
Okay, yung iba sa inyo,
10:49.1
basta gusto nyo sabihin
10:50.1
SD card na lang ito.
10:51.4
Sige, fine.
10:52.0
Bahala kayo dyan.
10:52.6
Kung gusto nyo maniwala
10:53.4
lahat na lang SD card,
10:54.4
lahat na lang pineke,
10:55.7
gusto nyo maniwala
10:56.4
sa Google Trends,
10:57.0
okay, choice niyan.
10:58.4
Alright?
10:59.1
But as for us,
11:00.4
the available evidence
11:01.7
is concerned.
11:02.6
I'll say this
11:03.3
for the nth time.
11:04.9
Okay?
11:07.1
Majority ng mga Pilipinas
11:08.5
at this point in time,
11:10.0
mas interesado
11:11.0
sa mga decisive
11:12.0
disciplinarian leader.
11:13.6
Now,
11:14.0
hindi ko sinasabi
11:14.7
na binoto natin
11:15.7
ay necessarily
11:16.7
mga disciplinarian
11:17.9
or mga
11:19.2
legit na
11:21.0
decisive leader.
11:21.9
It's the image.
11:22.9
It's the branding.
11:24.2
It's the packaging.
11:25.8
Alright?
11:26.0
And if,
11:27.0
if you look at it,
11:27.7
if Sarah were number one
11:28.9
because of the Duterte brand,
11:31.1
number two
11:31.9
is Rafi Tulfo,
11:33.6
which again,
11:34.8
has a brand
11:35.6
which is not
11:36.3
totally dissimilar
11:37.6
because of course,
11:39.0
the Tulfo brand of justice,
11:40.8
the Tulfo confrontation
11:41.9
of mga kurakot,
11:43.9
mga, mga,
11:44.5
yung mga nagmi-misbehave
11:46.3
na politicians,
11:47.2
et cetera.
11:47.6
So,
11:48.2
so,
11:49.2
Rafi Tulfo,
11:50.0
if you put the margin of error
11:51.1
3 to 5 percent
11:52.1
up and down,
11:53.6
hindi sobrang layo.
11:55.1
Of course,
11:55.4
ahead pa rin
11:56.2
si Sarah,
11:57.0
si Sarah Duterte
11:57.4
kay Rafi Tulfo.
11:58.2
But it looks like
11:59.4
between Sarah Duterte
12:01.2
and Rafi Tulfo,
12:02.1
they have essentially split
12:03.2
yung 60-70 percent
12:04.8
unit team na yan.
12:06.6
So,
12:07.4
that means
12:08.3
hindi nag-fully consolidate
12:11.2
behind
12:11.7
Sarah,
12:13.1
sorry,
12:14.0
yung 60 percent
12:14.9
na bumota sa kanya
12:15.8
based on the official numbers.
12:17.6
It looks like
12:18.4
yung unit team base
12:20.0
nung 2022 election
12:21.2
ay hindi kaya kasolid.
12:23.3
The biggest number
12:24.0
still goes to Sarah,
12:25.4
but at just about
12:26.4
30 percent,
12:27.0
that means
12:27.7
lampas sa 60 percent
12:29.2
ay hindi pa rin
12:30.4
sa side ni Sarah Duterte.
12:32.4
And dun sa 60 percent,
12:34.2
halos kalate dun
12:35.3
ay
12:36.2
okay
12:38.1
kay Rafi Tulfo.
12:40.3
Now,
12:40.9
let me tell you one thing.
12:42.9
Napansin ko ha,
12:43.9
I found this very interesting.
12:45.7
Because
12:46.0
nung time ni Digong,
12:48.6
yung relasyon
12:49.2
ng mga Tulfos
12:50.1
and President Duterte
12:51.1
was
12:52.3
almost symbiotic.
12:54.1
Alright?
12:54.7
Not only in terms of brand,
12:56.3
not only in terms of
12:57.0
ideology,
12:57.7
not only in terms of packaging,
13:00.3
but very personal level.
13:01.8
I think the few times
13:02.6
that there were disagreements,
13:03.6
ito yung time na
13:04.2
si Rafi Tulfo
13:05.4
said something about
13:06.2
yung franchise
13:06.7
ng ABS-CBN.
13:07.9
Right?
13:08.5
But overall,
13:09.3
there was a lot of alignment.
13:10.7
Ang pansin ko,
13:11.8
ang daming biglang
13:12.7
umataka kay Rafi Tulfo,
13:14.7
not from
13:15.9
the side that you expect.
13:18.0
Diba?
13:18.3
Kasi usually,
13:19.0
yung mga nag-criticize
13:19.8
kay Rafi Tulfo.
13:20.7
Ito yung mga
13:21.2
liberals,
13:23.1
progressives,
13:24.0
yung mga tao na
13:24.7
naiwala na
13:25.5
yung mga Tulfo
13:26.2
brand of justice,
13:27.0
doesn't try
13:27.7
if necessary
13:28.3
with rule of law.
13:29.5
Yung mga ganyan
13:30.0
tipong kritisismo.
13:31.2
And as you watch
13:32.2
yung interview ko
13:32.7
with Idol Rafi,
13:34.2
Rafi Tulfo,
13:35.6
I raised some of
13:37.0
these criticisms
13:37.7
and concerns
13:38.6
with the senator.
13:39.9
And ako,
13:40.6
honest naman ako
13:41.3
dun sa mga
13:42.8
some of the reservations
13:43.7
that we have had
13:44.4
in the past.
13:44.8
But at the same time,
13:45.5
I distinguish.
13:46.3
Iba si Idol Rafi.
13:48.4
When I say Idol,
13:49.3
it's because yun yung
13:50.1
nickname niya.
13:51.5
Iba si Erwin.
13:52.4
Iba yung Ben.
13:53.3
Iba yung Simon.
13:54.7
So,
13:55.8
there's also
13:56.4
it also
13:56.9
it also
13:56.9
it also
13:57.0
it also
13:57.0
the tendency
13:57.3
na people put them
13:58.2
all together, right?
13:59.2
When there are
13:59.6
some differentiations.
14:01.5
Para sa akin naman,
14:03.2
I have my own ideas
14:06.0
and assessment
14:07.7
of the good
14:09.5
and perhaps
14:10.3
not so good
14:11.0
or imperfections
14:11.8
of the Tulfos
14:12.6
as media practitioners
14:14.6
or whatever
14:15.2
you want to call it.
14:16.3
But in fairness,
14:17.3
pagdating naman
14:18.0
sa Senate,
14:19.6
as I said,
14:20.4
there's so much
14:21.2
so far
14:22.5
that has been
14:24.2
quite interesting
14:25.4
with Rafi Tulfo.
14:26.9
Whether
14:27.4
raising dun sa issue
14:28.8
ng land grabbing,
14:30.1
whether dun sa
14:30.9
issue ng Chinese
14:32.0
infiltration of our
14:33.5
critical infrastructure,
14:35.2
whether
14:35.6
dun sa issue
14:36.9
ng Harlequin Fund
14:38.5
na dapat hindi
14:39.2
isasama yung SSS
14:40.5
at ngayon,
14:41.6
yung mga expose
14:42.4
na ginagawa ni
14:43.3
Rafi Tulfo
14:44.1
dun sa mga abusado
14:45.5
or questionable
14:46.1
practices
14:47.0
nangyara sa loob
14:48.1
ng gobyerno natin.
14:49.2
So, andun pa rin yung
14:50.1
hindi siya vigilante
14:51.8
justice.
14:52.6
It's more like
14:53.5
this kind of
14:54.2
rugged
14:55.8
you know,
14:56.6
confrontational
14:57.6
Robin Hood style
14:58.7
of justice.
14:59.6
As I said,
15:00.3
it has its share
15:01.0
of critics.
15:01.5
But what I find
15:02.3
very interesting
15:02.9
is yung mga nakikriticize
15:04.4
kay Tulfo ngayon.
15:06.4
Kung na-research mo,
15:08.8
kung ginugal mo
15:10.1
yung background niya,
15:12.4
diba?
15:13.3
Obvious.
15:14.1
Obvious.
15:14.6
O, yun yung mga
15:15.0
nagsasayad lang dyan.
15:15.8
Sorry, nasa tatlong
15:16.6
platform tayo.
15:17.3
So, don't tell me
15:18.0
ano masasabihin ko.
15:19.6
Ay, sorry.
15:20.6
Foreigner pala to.
15:22.2
Kala ko nagsasabi
15:23.4
na huwag ka na
15:23.8
mag-Tagalog
15:24.4
dahil masyadong
15:25.1
kunyong Tagalog mo.
15:26.6
Eto, eto, eto.
15:28.6
My point here is
15:30.2
ang pinaka-interesting
15:31.4
na pansin ko,
15:32.0
yung mga umatake
15:32.8
kay Rafi Tulfo ngayon,
15:35.6
pag tinignan mo
15:36.3
sinong gusto nilang
15:37.1
supportahan
15:37.7
or anong leaning nila,
15:39.4
alam nyo na,
15:40.6
diba?
15:41.7
So,
15:42.7
sa aking palagay,
15:44.1
at yun ang interesting nga,
15:45.1
malami sa mga
15:45.9
opposition
15:46.6
or mga tinitakag
15:48.1
ng kakamping
15:48.7
or whatever
15:49.2
na sobrang
15:50.2
anti-Tulfo before,
15:51.7
pansin ko,
15:52.3
medyo lumambot sila
15:53.9
or at least
15:54.5
nagiging more
15:55.1
bukas sila.
15:56.6
Doon sa idea na
15:57.2
maybe Tulfos are not
15:58.2
as bad as we thought
15:59.1
or maybe there's something
15:60.0
there that we have
16:00.7
to understand.
16:01.4
So,
16:02.3
basa ko dito,
16:04.4
may ibang grupo dyan
16:05.6
na may interest
16:06.1
na atakein talaga
16:07.0
si Tulfo
16:07.5
precisely because
16:08.9
he has emerged
16:09.7
as a top contender
16:11.2
for the
16:12.7
2028 elections.
16:14.4
We saw that
16:14.9
with the SWL survey
16:15.9
and we're seeing it now
16:17.3
also with the WPR
16:18.4
numero survey.
16:19.8
Both of them show
16:20.7
that if
16:21.7
there were to be a race,
16:23.2
it's essentially
16:23.8
a two and a half
16:24.7
kind of race.
16:26.6
Kind of a way
16:27.1
to race.
16:28.1
Saturday 30
16:28.8
sila around 30%
16:29.8
30% plus.
16:31.4
Tulfo around
16:32.0
quarter
16:32.6
25% to 30%.
16:34.5
And then,
16:35.4
katulad ng SWL survey,
16:36.7
lumalabas pa rin
16:37.4
si Lenny
16:38.2
ay
16:39.0
isang third alternative.
16:41.0
Although her numbers
16:41.7
are significantly
16:42.4
lower than the other two.
16:43.5
But interestingly,
16:44.3
Lenny,
16:45.2
well, at least here,
16:47.1
mas mataas siya
16:47.9
kaysa yung 5% niya
16:49.5
noong
16:50.2
hindi pa siya
16:51.4
nakadesisyon
16:52.0
na tatakbo siya
16:52.7
for 2022 elections.
16:53.8
Now,
16:54.5
I doubt Lenny herself
16:55.8
will run.
16:57.1
But,
16:58.0
you can imagine
16:58.9
a third force
16:59.8
coming in and saying,
17:00.9
okay, kayong mga
17:01.7
you know,
17:03.1
disciplinarian
17:04.1
or Duterte,
17:05.0
Tulfo,
17:05.4
yung mga ganyan
17:05.9
brand of leaders.
17:06.8
Of course,
17:07.1
there's so many differences
17:07.9
between them.
17:08.4
But I'll talk about
17:08.8
the branding,
17:09.4
that kind of disciplinarian,
17:10.7
strong leader.
17:12.5
There's a room
17:13.2
because that means
17:13.9
if pag sinama mo
17:15.3
yung number ni
17:16.0
Sarah Duterte
17:16.7
at sinama mo yung number
17:17.8
ni
17:19.4
Tulfo,
17:21.8
that's around 60%.
17:22.9
So that means
17:23.3
there's still a 40% there
17:24.8
that can be fought over.
17:26.6
And a part of that 40%
17:28.4
could go
17:29.4
to a third party candidate
17:31.2
which may have
17:32.6
a more progressive leading.
17:34.0
And naturally,
17:35.2
top of my head,
17:35.7
as I said,
17:36.3
Riza Hondiveras
17:37.2
could still be a top candidate
17:38.7
as far as
17:39.8
a third choice is concerned.
17:41.6
If not her
17:42.8
teaming up with
17:43.8
Tulfo,
17:44.6
because I doubt
17:45.1
Riza will team up with Sarah
17:46.2
for obvious reasons.
17:48.1
Diba?
17:49.8
But again,
17:50.4
but again,
17:51.0
this is it.
17:52.5
So Sarah Duterte
17:53.1
doesn't have
17:53.8
the majority behind her
17:55.1
in any of the surveys
17:55.9
we're seeing.
17:56.6
It's almost half of
17:58.2
the share of votes
17:59.4
na napanalo niya
18:00.5
noong 2022.
18:02.2
But because
18:03.1
sa ating elections,
18:04.2
you only need
18:04.9
the highest number of votes
18:07.7
and the first-past-the-post system,
18:10.2
it is still very probable
18:11.7
that Sarah Duterte
18:12.8
may still become
18:13.6
the next president
18:14.6
setteris paribus,
18:16.2
meaning
18:16.5
all other variables
18:19.0
held constant.
18:20.5
Alright?
18:21.1
If,
18:21.9
if,
18:23.6
you know,
18:24.6
Tulfo doesn't rise in the ranks
18:26.0
or if,
18:26.6
if,
18:26.9
if,
18:27.0
if,
18:27.1
if,
18:27.2
if more,
18:30.9
you know,
18:32.6
controversies
18:33.6
or,
18:33.9
or,
18:34.3
you know,
18:35.0
kind of curveballs
18:36.7
don't come at Sarah Duterte,
18:38.5
she can still position herself
18:40.2
as a top contender
18:41.2
for 2028.
18:42.3
Now,
18:43.1
maybe in 2024
18:44.1
you can say
18:44.7
it's still early,
18:45.9
right?
18:46.8
But ang,
18:47.3
ang value
18:48.4
kay Sarah Duterte
18:49.5
right now
18:50.2
is this.
18:54.7
At the very least,
18:55.6
she can say,
18:56.6
na don't count us out
18:58.2
and
18:59.3
many Filipinas
19:01.0
still believe in
19:01.5
the Duterte brand.
19:03.3
Alright?
19:03.8
That's the value.
19:05.0
But this is where
19:06.1
I agree with Ronald Llamas,
19:07.5
yung
19:07.8
favorite coach natin.
19:10.7
Should
19:11.2
we reach
19:12.9
2025
19:13.9
or 2026,
19:16.6
regardless of the election results
19:18.0
in 2025,
19:19.1
if Sarah's numbers
19:20.1
are still the same
19:21.1
in legit surveys,
19:23.2
then it's not only about
19:24.8
Sarah Duterte being relevant,
19:25.6
but also about her
19:26.1
being relevant.
19:27.4
Then,
19:28.1
it could also affect
19:29.1
saan
19:30.0
tataya
19:31.4
yung mga politiko.
19:32.5
Because alam natin,
19:34.0
pagdating sa ating politika,
19:35.4
dahil walang totoong
19:36.5
political party system,
19:38.8
wala naman party loyalty,
19:40.7
hindi naman talaga
19:41.2
conviction-based
19:42.1
yung politics natin.
19:43.8
You know,
19:44.6
it's based on,
19:45.9
you know,
19:46.5
what is
19:47.2
pragmatic,
19:49.2
what is,
19:49.9
what serves your interest.
19:51.1
Survival game din kasi
19:52.2
yung politika natin.
19:53.2
It's very like,
19:54.1
if Sarah Duterte
19:54.9
maintains her confidence,
19:56.1
current trajectory
19:57.0
coming in 2025
19:58.6
to 2025-2026,
20:02.0
and if BBM
20:02.9
by then
20:04.6
did not fully patch it up
20:06.4
with the other camp.
20:08.2
Kasi ngayon,
20:08.7
sinasabi ni BBM,
20:09.5
wala naman problema.
20:10.3
Pero alam naman natin
20:11.0
may problema eh.
20:12.3
Hindi siya totally
20:13.3
nag-break up yung
20:14.6
unity.
20:15.1
Pero may problema talaga.
20:16.4
So,
20:17.2
kaya ngayon,
20:17.9
may dilemma talaga
20:18.7
si BBM eh.
20:19.6
Either you're gonna go
20:20.4
all the way
20:20.9
and try to make sure
20:21.7
na hindi talaga
20:22.2
mananalo mga yan
20:23.2
sa 2028
20:24.0
or hindi mangy
20:25.1
viable kanya
20:25.7
din sa 2028.
20:26.1
Or yung sistema,
20:27.7
iibain mo yung sistema
20:28.5
para wala na
20:29.1
ng elections sa 2028
20:30.1
as a presidential elections
20:31.1
para parliamentary.
20:32.8
Or,
20:34.0
within the next year or two,
20:36.0
dapat magdi-decision
20:36.9
na si BBM na
20:37.9
come to peace,
20:39.2
come to terms
20:39.9
with
20:40.7
his most
20:42.8
likely
20:44.1
successors.
20:46.5
Which in this case,
20:47.5
is Sarah Duterte.
20:48.8
But,
20:50.5
this is politics.
20:51.6
Things could change.
20:53.3
So,
20:54.2
as far as
20:54.8
Rafi Tulfo is concerned,
20:55.9
steady ang numbers niya.
20:57.7
Steady ang numbers niya.
20:59.3
Right?
20:59.6
Kitang-kita natin.
21:00.8
He's getting closer and closer
21:02.0
to 30%.
21:03.0
Right?
21:04.0
And, who knows?
21:05.2
He can even increase it further.
21:07.8
I have a sense,
21:08.9
if it becomes a two-person race
21:10.5
between Rafi Tulfo
21:11.7
and Sarah Duterte,
21:13.8
kutob ko,
21:15.0
karamihan ang mga kakamping
21:16.4
at yung mga
21:17.0
40% na undecided
21:18.6
pupunta kay Rafi Tulfo yan.
21:20.5
So, Rafi Tulfo
21:21.4
still has a good chance.
21:23.6
But, if Rafi Tulfo
21:24.8
doesn't run,
21:25.4
and is convinced
21:26.3
not to run,
21:27.0
or is dissuaded
21:28.1
from running,
21:29.4
then, ibang usapan yan.
21:30.9
Right?
21:32.1
But, having said that,
21:33.0
there's also,
21:33.6
there's a third option.
21:35.9
It is also possible
21:36.9
for someone like
21:37.6
Rizal Diveras,
21:38.6
or someone very popular
21:39.7
from the opposition,
21:40.7
or the most popular
21:41.5
they can put together
21:42.3
by that time,
21:43.5
to either team up
21:44.5
with Rafi Tulfo
21:45.5
as the vice president,
21:46.6
or,
21:47.5
or,
21:48.8
come from behind
21:49.8
if nag-aaway
21:50.8
yung dalawang kampan na yan
21:51.9
ng big time
21:53.1
in the coming years or so.
21:54.3
Sabi ko nga,
21:54.8
pansin ko nga,
21:56.8
medyo
21:57.3
nagiging ano eh,
21:59.8
parang systematic na yung mga attacks
22:01.3
kay Rafi Tulfo eh.
22:02.2
As I said,
22:03.0
I understand where
22:04.0
some of the criticism of
22:05.2
Senator Rafi Tulfo is coming.
22:07.5
I raised that with him.
22:08.5
Personally,
22:09.2
on the record,
22:09.8
after record,
22:10.8
nire-raised ko na yan.
22:11.3
Alam naman nila,
22:12.3
I'm honest about my,
22:13.8
and,
22:14.8
but,
22:15.3
in fairness as a senator,
22:16.3
he's not been doing too bad.
22:17.7
And I said,
22:18.3
you have to give credit
22:19.2
where credit is due.
22:20.8
Right?
22:21.7
And,
22:22.1
and,
22:22.2
napansin ko online,
22:24.8
when I post things about
22:26.4
Rafi Tulfo,
22:28.6
mas nagiging positive yung response
22:31.1
from those who were more critical of him
22:33.6
before the 2020 elections.
22:36.2
And then,
22:36.6
yung mga sobrang critical
22:37.4
kay Rafi Tulfo,
22:38.7
karamihan sa kanila DDS.
22:40.7
So,
22:41.2
connect the dots.
22:42.3
Right?
22:42.6
What's happening here.
22:43.7
Diba?
22:44.7
But as I said,
22:45.6
many things can still change
22:47.2
in the coming years or so.
22:49.5
And,
22:50.2
kaya nga sabi ko,
22:50.7
much also depends eh.
22:52.3
Kasi if the survey showed
22:53.6
that Sara is like 60%
22:54.7
or 50%,
22:55.7
medyo parang tapos ng labat.
22:58.4
Parang,
22:59.0
sobrang mahirap
23:00.4
matalo ng ganyan kandidato.
23:03.6
If you have a single round
23:04.8
first pass to post system.
23:06.6
But,
23:07.0
because Sara is still very high,
23:09.4
but,
23:10.3
not too high,
23:11.7
just a third percent,
23:13.4
I think there's so many variables
23:15.6
still there.
23:16.8
There's,
23:17.2
I think,
23:17.4
still a lot of room for
23:18.7
someone like Riza
23:19.6
to team up with Rafi
23:20.8
or for Riza
23:22.1
to run separately
23:24.0
as a third,
23:24.5
third force.
23:25.7
So,
23:26.4
it's interesting.
23:27.2
It's interesting.
23:27.8
Kaya,
23:28.3
gets ko eh.
23:29.4
Yung iba kasi dyan,
23:30.7
yung mga ayaw kay Sara.
23:32.2
Sabi niya,
23:32.5
ay, walang kwenta yung mga survey niyan.
23:34.5
Bayaran yung mga survey niyan.
23:35.9
Fake yung mga surveys niyan.
23:37.0
But,
23:37.4
actually,
23:37.9
if you look at it,
23:38.6
if you properly analyze it,
23:40.2
this survey showed that
23:41.0
actually the race
23:41.8
is quite competitive.
23:43.2
That Sara is ahead of everyone.
23:45.8
But,
23:46.7
it's still an open race.
23:48.0
Ito yung number
23:48.8
na kita natin,
23:49.7
diba?
23:50.2
In April 2023,
23:52.5
pakita ko sa inyo,
23:53.9
Saturday,
23:54.2
Saturday,
23:54.5
it was 28%.
23:55.6
11% lang si
23:56.9
Rafi Tulfo.
23:58.8
Alright?
24:00.3
O,
24:00.7
ito.
24:01.8
Pakita ko sa inyo.
24:03.0
11% lang.
24:04.3
Sobrang baba.
24:06.1
E ngayon,
24:06.6
almost magta-30% na si Rafi Tulfo,
24:09.1
diba?
24:09.8
So,
24:10.1
although makya from 28%
24:11.6
to 30 plus percent
24:12.9
si Sara Duterte
24:14.5
dito sa survey niya,
24:15.7
Rafi Tulfo went from
24:16.9
11%
24:17.9
to almost
24:18.7
30%.
24:19.8
Right?
24:20.8
To almost 30%.
24:22.1
O,
24:24.4
well,
24:25.1
if plus 5,
24:26.0
sorry,
24:26.2
he's 23%,
24:27.2
but plus 3 to 5 percent mo,
24:29.3
he can go up.
24:30.3
So,
24:30.8
he's almost 25%,
24:32.0
sorry,
24:32.4
25%.
24:33.2
But still,
24:33.9
that's a big jump.
24:34.9
Right?
24:35.5
So,
24:35.7
from around 11%
24:37.1
na meron ka dito
24:38.0
nung April,
24:39.9
just 11%.
24:41.1
Just 11%.
24:42.6
Diba?
24:44.3
So,
24:44.7
laki na agot niya.
24:45.6
28% ni Sara
24:46.7
versus 11%.
24:48.0
Ngayon,
24:49.6
mumakit naman si Sara
24:50.7
in fairness
24:51.1
at more than 30%.
24:52.6
But,
24:53.2
almost 24%.
24:54.4
5% na si
24:55.4
Rafi Tulfo.
24:56.6
And interestingly,
24:58.0
si Lenny umakyat
24:58.9
from only 6%
25:00.3
dun sa SWA survey.
25:01.6
Of course,
25:02.2
there are different survey agencies,
25:03.8
there are different methodologies.
25:05.6
But,
25:06.3
there is a consistency.
25:07.8
Number 1 si Sara,
25:08.9
number 2 si Tulfo,
25:09.9
number 3 si Lenny.
25:11.3
Or,
25:11.8
I suspect,
25:12.6
someone similar to Lenny
25:13.8
or leader of opposition.
25:15.4
Lenny went from
25:16.3
6 to 9%.
25:17.2
So,
25:17.5
almost double digits
25:18.5
si Lenny.
25:19.3
It's not super high,
25:20.8
but it's interesting.
25:22.2
Rafi went from
25:23.3
11%
25:24.1
dun sa SWA survey
25:25.1
to 23%
25:26.7
dito sa
25:27.2
quarter 4 survey.
25:28.9
So,
25:29.0
from quarter to quarter 4
25:30.2
in 6 months lang.
25:31.5
Sara went from
25:32.1
28% to around 36%.
25:33.9
That's still an increase.
25:35.4
But again,
25:35.9
you can see na
25:36.5
hindi na nga consolidate
25:37.6
yung 60% na bumuot
25:39.1
sa Unity
25:39.6
in 2022
25:40.7
behind Sara Duterte.
25:42.2
And,
25:42.6
Rafi Tulfo's trajectory
25:43.7
is very positive.
25:45.4
And upwards
25:45.9
from 11% to 23%.
25:47.4
And,
25:48.1
Lenny actually went up
25:49.0
from 6% to 9%.
25:50.4
So,
25:51.2
for me,
25:52.4
if you properly read
25:53.6
this kind of survey,
25:54.1
yun nga,
25:55.6
nakita ko yung sasabihin niyo
25:56.8
yung mind condition niyan.
25:58.9
But,
25:59.6
you see,
26:00.1
you'll never win in politics.
26:02.2
Or,
26:02.5
you'll never have
26:03.2
proper analysis of politics.
26:05.1
Magiging kampo-kampo,
26:06.2
kulto-kulto,
26:07.4
ano na lang,
26:08.0
self-fulfilling prophecy
26:09.1
or wishful thinking na lang.
26:10.5
If you're not willing
26:11.3
to base it on
26:11.9
any kind of survey and data,
26:13.8
hindi magkwentong
26:14.3
barbero na lang tayo,
26:15.4
diba?
26:16.0
In fairness,
26:16.9
yung mga barberong kilala
26:18.0
o siniside pa
26:19.0
yung mga matitinong survey,
26:20.2
diba?
26:21.0
And,
26:21.2
sabi ko,
26:21.6
I personally can vouch
26:22.5
for pulsation
26:23.6
na interview,
26:24.1
natin si
26:24.7
si
26:25.5
Prof.
26:27.3
Ronald
26:27.7
Holmes,
26:29.7
not Ronald Llamas.
26:30.9
Isa pang running
26:31.5
na the best yan.
26:32.6
And,
26:32.9
ito naman,
26:33.5
WPR numero.
26:34.6
Sila,
26:35.5
sila,
26:36.7
Dr. Garcia
26:37.4
and all na yan.
26:38.1
Legit na yan.
26:38.9
Magaling mga yan.
26:40.4
And,
26:40.8
I saw their previous surveys,
26:42.9
nag,
26:43.2
nag,
26:43.6
ano naman eh,
26:44.4
nag,
26:45.1
yung final results
26:46.3
medyo similar.
26:47.2
Okay?
26:48.7
Now,
26:49.0
again,
26:49.2
if it's a mind conditioning,
26:50.5
I don't know,
26:51.0
it's too early to condition
26:52.1
the mind of people.
26:52.9
For me,
26:53.4
look at it as a snapshot,
26:55.8
as a mirror
26:56.9
of what is the state of mind
26:58.4
in the Philippines.
26:59.0
So,
26:59.1
I think,
26:59.7
very clear.
27:00.8
So,
27:01.3
three things.
27:02.0
A,
27:03.0
naghahanap pa rin ng tao
27:04.2
ng disciplinaran type of politician,
27:07.0
whether it's a Duterte brand
27:08.2
or a Tulfo brand.
27:09.4
B,
27:10.1
si Sarah Duterte
27:11.1
ay malakas pa rin.
27:13.7
But,
27:14.1
C,
27:14.9
importantly,
27:15.7
she's not that strong
27:17.1
because,
27:17.5
after all,
27:18.0
she's not getting 50 or 60 percent,
27:19.9
katulad nung share ng votes
27:20.8
sa napanalo ng Unity
27:21.9
in the 2022
27:22.7
So,
27:23.8
that means,
27:24.8
importantly,
27:25.8
there's a room for
27:27.0
not only Rafi Tulfo,
27:28.6
but maybe Rafi Tulfo
27:29.9
plus the real opposition.
27:31.6
Or maybe the real opposition
27:32.9
is coming as a third force.
27:34.2
So,
27:34.4
a lot of the analysis
27:35.2
that I made last year,
27:36.4
yung second quarter of last year,
27:38.3
sobrang valid pa rin silang ngayon.
27:41.6
So,
27:41.9
this survey actually just
27:43.1
validates
27:44.0
yung mga sinasabi natin.
27:45.5
And this survey
27:46.2
just proves to us
27:47.5
why
27:48.9
si BBM
27:49.9
ay cautious pa rin.
27:52.2
Because,
27:52.7
BBM
27:53.1
being
27:54.0
conflict-avoidant person
27:56.2
or erring on the side of caution
27:58.1
understands that
27:59.5
Sara is still a frontrunner.
28:01.3
Right?
28:01.6
But as I said,
28:02.2
because she's not a prohibitive
28:04.0
frontrunner,
28:05.8
there's still a possibility
28:07.0
that some big moves could happen
28:08.7
as far as the
28:09.4
unity dynamics is concerned.
28:11.0
Gets nyo na ba yan?
28:12.1
So, ito,
28:12.5
I mean, guys,
28:13.2
I'm just analyzing here.
28:14.3
Okay?
28:14.8
You see,
28:15.4
a good educator
28:16.3
doesn't tell you what to think.
28:18.4
Right?
28:19.1
Ay mga gawain na yan,
28:20.2
mga kulto-kulto yan.
28:21.2
So, kung gusto nyo
28:22.0
maano,
28:22.7
gusto nyo na mag-download
28:23.9
ng talking points or script.
28:25.9
Patulad yung mga
28:26.6
syunga dyan
28:27.2
na nagka-comment
28:28.0
na parang tinitroll-troll lang ako
28:29.4
na base doon sa mga
28:31.3
mga vlogger
28:32.6
na kachipangan.
28:34.8
Ito, ito, ito.
28:37.5
If you wanna just
28:38.7
download, you know,
28:40.7
nonsense or script
28:42.2
or yung mga babaw thing
28:43.6
just for you to emotionally feel good
28:45.3
or, I don't know,
28:45.7
yung fanaticism mo ay
28:47.2
masatisfy,
28:48.7
hindi ito tamang lugar.
28:50.5
Now, if you guys think na
28:51.7
you're gonna come here
28:53.1
and you're gonna intimidate me
28:54.7
or make me up with your comments
28:56.2
which actually push up
28:57.4
my engagement,
28:58.7
then you don't know
28:59.5
who we're dealing with.
29:00.4
Alright?
29:01.2
Kaya nagpapasalamat ako.
29:02.8
I mean, nag-respond lang ako
29:03.7
kasi natatawa ako
29:04.6
sa mga bardagulan.
29:05.5
Like, anong gusto nyo
29:06.1
mag-akalan nyo mga ano ako?
29:08.4
But if you're here
29:09.4
to get a perspective,
29:11.8
if you're here to
29:12.7
para mapaisip kayo,
29:14.1
if you're here to
29:14.9
get some interesting data
29:17.3
and analysis,
29:18.9
you're in the right place.
29:19.9
And I'm saying,
29:20.5
I'm not here to tell you
29:21.6
what to think.
29:22.8
I'm just here to teach you guys
29:24.5
how to do critical thinking.
29:26.9
Diba? Parang sa ano yan eh.
29:28.4
Parang sa painting yan guys eh.
29:29.8
Parang sa mga paintings yan.
29:30.9
Yung magaling na guro,
29:32.7
magtuturo ng technique sa'yo.
29:34.4
How to paint
29:35.3
your own painting.
29:36.5
What you wanna paint.
29:37.5
You do it yourself.
29:38.4
That's what a good teacher does.
29:40.5
The good teacher doesn't tell you
29:42.1
exactly what to paint
29:43.1
or dictate to you
29:44.3
or spoon feed you.
29:45.6
So yun po yung ginagawa natin dito.
29:47.1
Diba?
29:48.0
I'm just giving you data.
29:49.3
I'm just giving you
29:49.9
different points of view.
29:50.9
I'm just giving you...
29:52.1
Ano yung mga calculus
29:53.2
ng mga big players.
29:54.8
Kaya nangyayari,
29:55.8
yung nangyayari ngayon.
29:56.9
Alright?
29:57.2
On that note,
29:57.8
nakikita niyo medyo pula-pula na ako
29:59.2
because that means I'm tired,
30:00.3
I'm exhausted.
30:01.9
But because mahal na mahal ko kayo,
30:04.1
sabi ko kayo,
30:04.5
habol natin ito.
30:06.7
Because...
30:07.2
Anyway, I mean...
30:09.7
I know that
30:10.5
dalawa lang mga...
30:11.9
Tatlo lang...
30:12.5
Actually, tatlo yung responses
30:14.0
sa ganitong mga...
30:16.5
Para sa akin,
30:17.4
ang mahalagang datos eh.
30:19.0
One is
30:19.4
sasabihin ng tao.
30:20.4
I walang kwenta yung mga surveys.
30:21.6
Yun yan.
30:22.6
Dahil, ano yun?
30:23.7
Bayaran niyan.
30:24.3
Yung ganyan pag-isip.
30:25.4
Mali.
30:26.3
Eh, wrong.
30:28.1
Ay, tapos ng laban.
30:29.3
Panala si Sarah.
30:30.3
Solid niyan.
30:31.0
Well, paano naman
30:31.5
30% pa lang eh?
30:33.8
Pag 60%, yan.
30:35.0
Tapos ng laban.
30:36.0
Diba?
30:36.3
Humahabol na nga yung isa.
30:37.4
Lumakad from 11.
30:38.5
Ngayon,
30:39.1
25% almost na si Rafi Tulfo.
30:41.4
Diba?
30:41.7
Who knows?
30:42.2
Diba?
30:43.4
So, mali din yan.
30:44.4
Eh, hindi rin ako agree on.
30:46.7
And the third way of looking at it is to say,
30:48.7
ay, hopeless case ang Pilipinas.
30:50.5
Talagang wala.
30:51.6
Di tayo natututo.
30:53.2
Puro na lang disinformation.
30:55.2
I don't think any of these kinds of ways of thinking is helpful.
30:58.5
What you need is critical thinking.
31:00.3
I know it's difficult.
31:01.8
I know it's stressful.
31:03.7
You think natutuwa ako saying these things to you guys?
31:06.1
Hindi.
31:06.4
Kasi,
31:07.4
you know,
31:08.7
I have a different thing in mind.
31:10.0
Diba?
31:11.4
You see, I was,
31:12.2
I took my PhD summer school here dito sa Shinjuku area na yan.
31:18.1
I was here back in 2011.
31:20.1
Long time ago.
31:21.0
And thinking Japan is a very, very developed country.
31:23.8
Sabi ko, siguro naman hindi masyado nagbago.
31:26.3
But honestly, I cannot recognize masyado nung era niyan.
31:30.4
Kahit yung bansang katulad ng Japan,
31:32.3
na napaka-developed country,
31:34.8
napansin ko,
31:35.5
ang laki ng angat pa rin niya
31:37.9
over the past 10 years.
31:40.0
Naging more open and cosmopolitan.
31:41.9
In fact, kanina pinag-usapan namin yung Laws and Translation.
31:44.8
And yung isang Japanese friend natin,
31:46.3
sabi niya,
31:47.4
hindi na, ano yun,
31:48.3
hindi na ubra yung Laws and Translation
31:50.1
kasi hindi na ganyan.
31:50.8
Ang isa ng Japan,
31:51.5
very cosmopolitan ng Japan.
31:53.5
Marami kang mahanap na
31:54.6
Inglishero,
31:56.0
nag-aaral sa Amerika,
31:57.2
open sa ibang cultures.
31:58.7
Very ano.
31:59.6
So, and then,
32:00.8
the area actually looks different.
32:03.8
I remember,
32:04.8
parang back then,
32:05.5
wala pa nga yung Tokyo Tower.
32:07.2
Malaki.
32:07.8
Here's another tower na,
32:08.7
I can see behind me there.
32:10.4
So, yung bansang katulad ng Japan,
32:13.3
na napaka-developed na bansa,
32:15.4
napaka-gandang bansa,
32:16.9
napaka-linis na bansa,
32:18.2
na napaka-mga polite na,
32:20.8
ng bansa,
32:21.8
umakyat pa sila.
32:23.2
Umangat pa sila.
32:24.1
Of course,
32:24.4
maraming problema
32:24.9
ang bansa nito.
32:26.1
Hindi naman perfecto tayo.
32:27.2
Walang bansang perfecto.
32:28.1
At saka,
32:29.5
honestly,
32:30.0
mas type ko yung politika
32:31.1
sa Scandinavian countries
32:32.8
katulad ng Denmark
32:33.9
or Sweden
32:34.6
kaya sa Japan.
32:35.3
Mas believe ako.
32:36.3
But having said that,
32:37.7
panasin ko,
32:38.2
even a country
32:38.8
that's super developed
32:39.6
as Japan,
32:41.0
nagde-develop,
32:41.7
nag-improve,
32:42.3
umangat na rin.
32:43.5
Nagiging more
32:44.2
internationalized,
32:45.6
more cosmopolitan,
32:46.9
more open to different ideas.
32:48.3
Kaya yung mga katulad ko,
32:49.7
I don't speak Japanese,
32:50.8
diba?
32:52.2
And, you know,
32:53.1
I mean,
32:54.3
I'm a man of the world.
32:55.3
You know, so,
32:56.5
panasin ko,
32:58.9
even Japan
32:59.7
ay nag-improve.
33:01.3
Andun na nga sila.
33:02.4
Nag-improve pa sila.
33:03.8
Eh, tayo nga,
33:04.7
hindi pa nga tayo
33:05.4
developed country.
33:07.2
Kung paulit-ulit lang
33:08.3
yung mindset natin,
33:09.5
either defeatist tayo
33:10.6
or complacent tayo
33:11.6
or makukulto-kulto tayo,
33:12.9
good luck talaga
33:13.5
sa bansa natin.
33:15.1
Eh,
33:16.3
ang lapit lang
33:17.1
yung mga napakagandang
33:18.1
bansa sa Pilipinas, eh.
33:19.7
Ang lapit lang
33:20.3
ng Japan.
33:20.8
Ang lapit ng Taiwan.
33:22.2
Ang lapit ng Korea.
33:23.4
Pati nga Vietnam,
33:24.6
umakyat na.
33:25.2
China nga,
33:25.7
almost there.
33:27.0
So,
33:27.5
nakaka-frustrate minsan.
33:29.8
Kasi para sa akin,
33:30.8
sayang naman yung
33:31.8
bansa natin.
33:33.5
Ang ganda-ganda
33:34.1
ng bansa natin.
33:35.0
Ang galing-galing
33:35.5
ng mga tao natin.
33:37.2
Pero,
33:37.7
as long as we don't
33:38.8
get politics right,
33:40.0
as long as mali
33:40.9
yung pag-iisip natin
33:41.9
sa politika,
33:42.5
as long as pakit lang tayo,
33:44.5
pakulto-kulto,
33:46.0
papuljak-buljak,
33:47.2
yung mga ganyang,
33:48.0
ganyang klase lang,
33:49.9
wala,
33:50.1
ang fourth world
33:50.8
pa rin tayo.
33:51.8
Hanggang forever na tayo
33:53.3
fourth world.
33:54.3
Alright?
33:55.0
We deserve better than that.
33:56.4
Kaya yung ginagawa ko ngayon,
33:58.7
kahit alam ko
33:59.4
may limitasyon yan,
34:00.6
kahit minsan
34:01.2
it doesn't have
34:02.3
the right impact,
34:03.1
the right timing,
34:04.2
kahit kita nyo
34:04.9
medyo pagod na pagod ako.
34:06.2
It's okay.
34:07.0
Kasi for me,
34:07.5
it's important.
34:08.3
Someone is doing this.
34:10.2
And I'm glad
34:10.9
that there are other people.
34:12.2
Si Christian,
34:14.2
si Kristen,
34:15.7
all of these people.
34:16.9
You know,
34:17.1
they're doing a good job
34:18.1
of getting sensibility
34:19.6
and critical thinking
34:20.4
out of it.
34:20.8
Hindi kami perfecto.
34:22.4
We don't get it right
34:23.2
all the time.
34:24.6
But I think
34:25.3
we have a momentum here.
34:26.8
So thank you so much,
34:28.2
mga kameta.
34:28.8
Please, please,
34:30.2
don't just listen
34:31.1
to a blogger
34:32.0
na ginagay
34:32.5
ng nagpabuljakan
34:33.6
kasi nilight
34:34.8
yung ayon nyo.
34:35.8
Or nung sa blogger
34:36.9
kasi sinasabi lang nyo
34:37.9
yung gusto nyo marinig,
34:40.0
you're not educated.
34:41.9
At yung bansa natin,
34:43.1
hopeless case,
34:43.9
kung hindi tayo,
34:45.4
talaga mag-engage
34:46.1
sa critical thing.
34:46.8
It's emotionally difficult.
34:48.3
It's intellectually
34:49.0
also challenging.
34:49.8
But,
34:49.9
but,
34:50.0
but,
34:50.0
but,
34:50.0
but,
34:50.1
but,
34:50.2
but,
34:50.2
but,
34:50.3
but,
34:50.3
but once you have
34:51.2
courage,
34:51.9
courage of conviction
34:52.9
and you really want
34:53.7
to push the gun
34:54.3
in the right direction,
34:55.2
then yes.
34:56.2
Ako naman kasi,
34:56.9
mga kameta,
34:57.9
you know,
34:59.5
I'm moving around,
35:01.2
you know,
35:01.6
like,
35:03.9
parang napansin ko,
35:05.0
Vietnam na,
35:05.9
mahirap na bansa,
35:06.9
medyo middle income
35:07.7
na ngayon.
35:08.4
Japan na nga,
35:09.1
napakayaman na bansa,
35:10.3
more than 10 years ago,
35:11.3
nag PhD summer school
35:12.6
ako dito sa Waseda.
35:14.4
Ngayon,
35:14.7
umakyat pa lalo.
35:16.7
Diba?
35:17.0
Parang,
35:17.8
wow,
35:18.5
crazy.
35:19.1
It's so crazy.
35:19.7
Like,
35:20.1
everyone is moving forward.
35:21.9
Diba?
35:22.5
So,
35:23.6
Pilipinas.
35:24.8
Pilipinas.
35:25.4
Oh,
35:25.8
gumanda yung BGC.
35:27.1
Alam ko na yan.
35:28.4
At nung kagabi,
35:29.6
ang ganda ng picture sa BGC.
35:31.0
Alam mo,
35:31.3
gano'n ko,
35:32.1
mahal na mahal kong Pilipinas.
35:33.4
Kasi,
35:33.6
every time I see something beautiful
35:35.3
that I can be really proud of,
35:37.4
immediately,
35:38.1
sabi ko,
35:38.4
picture lang natin yan,
35:39.2
post natin yan,
35:40.1
para makita ng tao
35:40.9
yung kagandaan ng bansa natin.
35:43.6
The downside though is,
35:45.1
alam natin,
35:45.8
itong,
35:46.8
itong mga progress
35:47.7
na nakita natin,
35:48.5
itong mga kagandaan
35:49.4
na nakita natin
35:50.0
sa ating bansa,
35:51.0
hindi pa rin well distributed.
35:53.2
Hindi pa rin accessible
35:54.2
sa karamihan ng tao.
35:56.1
While we're seeing that,
35:57.8
in other countries,
35:58.7
from Vietnam
35:59.3
to mga countries,
36:00.6
Japan,
36:01.1
lahat yan,
36:02.3
more and more of,
36:03.4
majority ng people
36:04.6
nagbe-benefit dun sa growth
36:05.9
sa kanilang bansa.
36:06.8
Not as perfect
36:07.8
as it should be,
36:09.6
but,
36:10.6
at least,
36:11.5
umangat na ibang tao.
36:12.6
Kaya,
36:12.9
dito sa ating bansa,
36:14.3
alagets ko yan,
36:15.0
ang daming frustration ng tao.
36:17.0
Ang daming frustration ng tao
36:18.4
and everyone is,
36:19.4
asking,
36:20.5
you know,
36:20.7
everyone is doing two things.
36:22.4
Either blaming someone
36:23.8
or asking for a savior.
36:26.5
And that's precisely why
36:27.8
may tendency tayo
36:29.1
na bumubota dito
36:29.9
sa mga disciplinarian,
36:32.0
uh,
36:32.7
your strongman
36:34.0
or demagogic even.
36:35.5
God bless, guys,
36:36.4
and talk to you soon.
36:37.4
Hopefully,
36:37.8
next time,
36:38.2
medyo mas fresh pa tayo.
36:39.2
But, yun nga eh,
36:39.7
the time zone's din
36:40.6
kasi one hour ahead.
36:41.6
So, pag tapos ko pa lang
36:42.7
ng trabaho and meeting,
36:43.6
so dito medyo late na.
36:44.6
But,
36:45.2
uh,
36:45.8
so,
36:46.4
good time sa inyo,
36:47.6
pero medyo sabaw na ako.
36:49.4
Thank you, guys.
36:50.0
I hope may sense
36:50.8
yung sinabi ko.
36:51.6
But,
36:52.3
kung walang sense yung sinabi ko,
36:53.4
okay lang.
36:53.8
At least,
36:54.0
basahin yung mga sinilat natin
36:55.5
at saka mga ibang vlogs natin
36:56.7
na medyo mas fresh pa tayo
36:58.0
at saka mas matinong
36:58.9
sinilat natin
36:59.7
at makaisin yung buhok pa natin,
37:01.2
diba?
37:01.8
Alright?
37:02.4
On that note,
37:03.1
thank you very much.
37:04.0
Tumare gato
37:04.5
and have a good evening.
37:06.3
Good night.
37:06.9
God bless.
37:15.4
God bless po.
37:16.1
Thank you very much
37:16.7
sa lahat na mas umporta sa atin.
37:19.4
Thank you.