00:18.5
with just less than two weeks
00:21.0
ng open war between the
00:22.9
Dutertes and the Marcos, talagang tinamaan
00:24.9
yung mga Dutertes.
00:26.9
And yun sa ICC question namin,
00:28.6
yung ICC question nga namin
00:34.5
ang inyong opinion sa nalalapit
00:38.1
kay Rodrigo Duterte
00:40.6
ng ICC, International Criminal Court.
00:44.1
Ang choices, sangayon,
00:46.7
hindi sangayon, at walang opinion.
00:50.7
sangayon, nag-increase siya
00:58.2
bumaba siya from 33% to 31%.
01:02.3
in just less than two weeks.
01:03.7
And yung walang opinion,
01:05.9
ito kasi yung refuge.
01:07.8
The thing about Filipino respondents,
01:10.7
Filipino voter is
01:12.6
kailangan meron kang
01:15.0
refuge para sa kanya
01:16.1
kasi hindi niya, baka samain siya
01:18.3
dun sa totoong sentimiento niya.
01:22.5
the walang opinion.
01:24.6
Kasi maliwanag naman kung
01:25.9
talagang makadoteng
01:28.2
Duterte ka at ayaw mong ma-aresto siya,
01:30.1
isabihin mo yung di ka
01:31.9
sangayon. It's there. The choice is there.
01:34.3
Pero bakit walang opinion sinabi mo?
01:36.3
Because you don't care at all
01:38.4
about Mr. Duterte.
01:40.3
At so pag susumahin mo yun,
01:42.3
yung 18% and 47%,
01:46.9
technically in favor of
01:53.8
Kasi yung question ng
01:56.7
It's just cooperation.
02:02.1
Very interesting.
02:03.5
Okay, so just to put it,
02:06.2
I think both of us have confirmed from the data
02:08.3
we have now, unfortunately the publisher
02:10.0
is that ULFA is now number one.
02:12.2
So SARA is no longer a foregone conclusion.
02:14.5
And the trajectory is
02:15.7
not in favor of SARA. It's actually the other way
02:18.3
around, regardless of whether
02:20.1
you like ULFA or not. But the second and even more
02:22.2
important is the fact that
02:28.2
want ICC to investigate,
02:30.0
57% want BBM administration
02:32.1
to cooperate, and then base sa sinasabi
02:34.4
nyo, only around 30%
02:36.4
are against arrest.
02:39.4
majority, 6 out of 10, are open
02:42.3
to the idea of an arrest warrant.
02:44.7
Iba yun, na hindi sinama sa
02:46.1
SWS. I really appreciate this intervention
02:48.5
because these are numbers, these are
02:50.2
data, this is the reality. Hindi yung sa social
02:52.2
media, hindi yung sinasabi ni Boljak TV,
02:54.3
whatever. We're talking about
02:58.2
Numbers that we have there, right?
02:59.6
And probably they also know about it, no? The other side.
03:02.3
I think they know this.
03:05.1
Oh, and the, ano no?
03:06.7
We've been tracking, no?
03:08.6
The last survey we had,
03:10.3
we conducted last August.
03:13.8
January, so basically six months
03:16.3
after, tinitingnan namin.
03:18.1
So, tumataas yung, habang
03:20.2
tumataas yung awareness about the ICC,
03:22.8
tumataas yung in favor,
03:24.1
tapos bumamaba yung, ano,
03:26.1
and the bulk neto is,
03:28.2
in Mindanao, nung mga ayaw.
03:32.0
Visayas, basically, ano na siya.
03:34.9
Pwede na siyang isuka,
03:36.7
no? Kung baga sinusuka na siya.
03:38.4
Or willing silang
03:43.4
it won't matter in their
03:46.2
daily lives, ganon.
03:48.2
Does that also, I mean,
03:50.1
of course, I don't know how religious you are, but
03:52.1
I mean, does that also kind of
03:54.2
restore your faith in the Filipino people?
03:55.9
Kasi parating mo inisip na, you know,
03:58.2
EJK, this is a horrible thing.
04:00.3
I mean, you know, I mean, this was a human rights
04:02.1
catastrophe. This is a, this is
04:04.1
an affront to a conscience of any, you know,
04:06.3
true person of faith. I don't know kung
04:08.0
Christian ka or whatever religion.
04:10.3
For me, this kind of proves that
04:11.9
it was really climate of fear, right?
04:14.2
Na a lot of this was disinformation,
04:16.8
exaggeration, performative,
04:20.1
Now na hindi sila nakakatakot
04:22.8
No na, nag-collapse.
04:24.3
Medyo lumalabas na yung mga totoong sentimento ng tao.
04:27.2
Diba? Parang, ganun na.
04:28.2
Na-exaggerated yung mga superlative
04:30.9
approval-approval. It's like approval
04:32.7
of Putin in Russia. Do you think anyone
04:34.9
in his right mind, pag tinawag mo sa
04:36.7
Sir, what is your opinion
04:38.7
of Putin? Like, there's no reason.
04:40.8
You're gonna say, I mean, yung mga nagsasabi
04:43.0
no, sobrang tapang mga yan.
04:45.0
Kasi, diba? I mean, yeah.
04:48.9
kunyari, sa North Korea.
04:50.4
I can imagine 99.5%
04:52.9
ang approval rating niya.
04:53.9
Baka lampas sa 100% pa.
04:58.2
ganun yun. Kaya nga, when we do
05:03.6
question is, ano ka ba?
05:08.0
Lima yung choices namin.
05:10.3
Kaya, so, kailangan mo magbigay ng
05:13.8
Nang refuge sa kanila natin.
05:15.3
Dito ako magtatago.
05:19.8
ano ka, favorable ka
05:22.2
sa kanya, e bakit hindi mo isinulat
05:24.3
yun? Diba? Bat dito ka
05:26.2
sa walang opinion? Kasi,
05:29.1
you just, ano ka,
05:31.9
you want to play it safe.
05:33.7
Or good-natured ka. But hindi
05:35.8
kaya ng sigmura mong magbigay
05:37.8
ng positive statement towards him.
05:40.2
So, ganun yung, I believe,
05:41.6
there's something wrong with the questions
05:45.4
pero ito, kaya nga,
05:47.9
hindi na namin, ano yan eh,
05:49.6
yung approval, we believe,
05:52.1
wala sa ganong value, no?
05:54.5
Wala sa ganong value.
05:56.6
May value lang yan. Siguro,
05:57.8
yung performance, feel good lang
05:59.7
doon sa mga nakaupo. But still,
06:02.5
makita mo, historically, bakit
06:03.8
yung cheap justice ang pinakamababa?
06:06.2
It's not because they're
06:12.0
alam what this guy is doing
06:13.8
or what, ano, out of
06:15.9
sight, out of mind lang sila. Parang
06:17.8
ganon. Kaya, itong
06:19.6
ano, itong nangyari
06:21.8
na open war, talagang tinamahan
06:23.8
si Duterte sa Luzon.
06:29.3
I still believe na kung tatakbo itong
06:31.2
senador, eh, mananalo yan.
06:33.7
And yun ang kailangan bantayan
06:35.3
ng Marcos administration.
06:36.8
You're talking about Digong himself, not the son.
06:40.7
Because if he wins as senator,
06:44.2
most likely, magiging
06:47.4
senate president yan.
06:49.0
If you will count the
06:54.4
voters for him in the senate,
06:57.6
abot na mga 14-15 yan.
06:60.0
So, he will be senate president.
07:01.4
Pag nag-senate president yan, he will
07:03.3
hold this administration hostage.
07:08.0
mabigat yun. He can summon people
07:10.8
through subpoena, and he can
07:12.8
even issue a warrant
07:16.4
So, whip talaga yan.
07:18.3
Gagawin din niya as whip to whip everyone.
07:21.1
That's Duterte niya,
07:23.8
And kung hawak nalilang senado,
07:27.6
The group of GMA can make their move sa house
07:33.6
Kasi one or two votes away na lang yan
07:37.1
from an impeachment.
07:39.0
So, I didn't think
07:42.8
ang Marcos administration.
07:44.6
They will have to be vigilant all the way.
07:49.1
senator, you're saying the opposition should be also
07:50.9
vigilant for 2025. Of course, eye on the
07:53.1
ball 2028, supporters
07:55.0
as the candidate. But as there
07:57.0
is 2025, if Digon comes
07:59.0
back, if the plan works,
08:00.9
yes, legally, it doesn't give you an immunity
08:02.6
from ICC. But politically,
08:04.9
it gives you so much power and platform.
08:07.3
And as I said, that's where I'm a bit worried
08:08.8
kasi feeling ko si BBM,
08:10.6
hindi siya ganon kahawki siya to deal with
08:12.9
that very scary situation na
08:14.4
talawang house. And then there's a China
08:16.7
element, which I think I want to discuss this
08:18.8
in our last part very shortly.
08:20.5
I hope we can catch up again soon,
08:22.5
at least I feel, you can see we're very
08:24.7
comfortable and I think people are loving our conversation.
08:26.8
Even if they're just hearing your audio muna,
08:28.5
there's a huge number of people are listening to us
08:30.6
right now. Let's talk about this issue of national
08:32.4
interest and China.
08:35.0
For a moment, especially
08:36.5
yung mga naihinig sa atin ng Noever Marcos,
08:38.5
I mean, we can go through a long list of your
08:40.3
dissatisfaction with BBM, okay? Gets ko yan.
08:43.2
But this issue of West Philippines
08:44.4
is something very serious, right? Because in a way,
08:46.9
ang Pilipinas ay parang Berlin
08:48.4
in the 1950s. Talagang gitna
08:50.6
tayo ng dalawang higante. Obviously,
08:52.7
US is an ally and China is a threat.
08:54.5
But the superpowers,
08:56.7
they're all here. Ang alam ko, lahat ng Intel
08:58.3
assets nung isa, nandito na eh, di ba?
09:01.0
They're trying to fight and of course
09:02.6
they have their proxies. We don't even need to spell
09:04.5
this out. So a lot is at stake
09:06.5
here. A lot of big geopolitical events.
09:08.5
Kaya nga, you go to US, tayo nag-abroad,
09:10.8
nakikita mo, they pay attention kung Pinoy ka ngayon
09:12.6
kasi we are a very important
09:14.6
country. But speaking
09:16.6
of that, the Philippines is also going through some
09:18.3
interesting changes in its
09:19.9
national security doctrine. I mean, we announced
09:22.6
what is it? 9 trillion
09:24.7
pesos AFP modernization.
09:26.7
Getting submarines, etc.
09:32.3
Your dad was also Navy, right?
09:35.2
So it makes you even more relevant
09:36.6
because a lot of this is about submarines and warships,
09:39.0
etc. First, what is your take
09:40.7
on this US-China competition part and how
09:42.7
much the opposition should be also vigilant?
