00:12.1
I mean, of course.
00:14.7
we're not Russia, right?
00:17.1
We were never a full-fledged autocracy.
00:19.8
let's be just brutally honest.
00:20.9
During the Gong's time,
00:21.7
we were kind of in what I call
00:24.2
And if you look at the SWS service,
00:25.8
I don't know if you have,
00:26.9
in Okta, you have done surveys.
00:28.1
There are a lot of surveys
00:28.8
that show a large plurality, at least.
00:31.0
I think there was like 44% or something
00:32.9
in the one SWS service
00:34.3
it's dangerous to publish
00:37.5
negative opinion about the government.
00:39.9
that clearly tells me
00:41.3
a huge number of Filipino,
00:43.1
at least a huge plurality.
00:45.5
40% can be a president in this country,
00:48.0
last time I checked.
00:50.4
they're openly admitting
00:52.1
that they're not 100% sure
00:54.3
if they can be very honest
00:55.5
about what they're saying.
00:56.7
I know you coming from survey agencies,
00:59.6
you're saying that
01:00.1
that shouldn't undermine
01:01.3
the integrity of your surveys.
01:03.2
We had Ronnie Holmes
01:06.2
all the mechanics
01:08.3
they used to make sure
01:09.1
that there's no one watching,
01:10.5
there's no shadowing,
01:12.8
But at the same time,
01:13.8
what I'm saying is that
01:14.3
even if no one is shadowing you,
01:15.8
even if you're not Putin's Russia,
01:18.2
it's hard to imagine
01:19.9
that the fear of Duterte
01:22.0
did not go with the love for Duterte.
01:24.5
I know I'm getting into
01:25.5
political psychology already
01:26.9
and probably we have to bring
01:27.9
Ma'am Clarita Carlo,
01:28.8
but I think there's
01:30.4
a lot of literature,
01:31.8
academic literature,
01:32.8
and how fear and love
01:34.1
kind of have a distortionary effect.
01:38.3
a whole list of dictators.
01:39.7
I'm not saying Duterte is a dictator,
01:41.0
but I can give you
01:41.7
a whole list of dictators
01:42.6
with 90% approval rating,
01:44.8
which didn't look totally crazy
01:47.8
suddenly opinions change.
01:51.2
I'm not saying Digong is a dictator.
01:53.3
fear has a distortionary effect
01:55.8
or at least has an effect
01:56.8
in terms of approval.
01:58.4
if you're going to beat someone,
01:59.7
rather love that person, right?
02:01.0
If people are dying right and left,
02:02.3
you have thousands of EJKs,
02:03.8
you'd rather love this person.
02:04.9
You'd rather not express.
02:06.0
I know this is not something
02:08.1
that certainly guys want to hear.
02:10.2
it's something worth studying.
02:17.3
basically argued this position
02:19.0
maybe three years,
02:23.2
It's fear that is driving
02:32.6
we still have to back it up
02:33.8
with actual data,
02:36.4
But it runs against
02:37.5
what we're seeing now,
02:43.3
the numbers of Duterte,
02:45.1
the preference for him
02:48.0
the continuing preference
02:49.6
the next president,
02:51.4
even constitutionally
02:54.7
his endorsement power,
02:56.6
I don't think people fear him.
02:58.4
he's not to be feared now.
03:03.4
what the first quarter
03:05.6
as far as his numbers
03:14.4
these numbers could even go up,
03:16.1
Because of what happened
03:16.8
over the last month or so.
03:18.7
Some people are gonna
03:19.4
take a hit in government.
03:23.6
na hindi naman takot
03:25.2
lahat ng tao sa kanya?
03:29.4
But if people still
03:32.4
that he's not in power,
03:34.0
then it's not about fear,
03:38.4
it may be something else.
03:42.5
a paper written by
03:50.4
continue to be high,
03:55.0
people also should look into
03:56.3
why they continue to be
03:58.4
stable all throughout
03:59.5
his administration
04:00.3
despite the various
04:08.6
he ended very badly.
04:10.0
the economy ended not
04:15.7
At the end of his,
04:18.2
But we see this all around,
04:19.9
Bolsonaro's number
04:27.5
in actually doing
04:28.3
during crisis period.
04:32.4
in the Game of Thrones,
04:33.6
chaos is a ladder.
04:34.8
Chaos is a ladder.
04:38.0
And I think this is where
04:38.9
also disinformation comes in,
04:40.9
narratives come in,
04:42.4
lahat na nangyaring
04:46.8
3 million students
04:50.2
The free tertiary education,
04:54.5
during his administration
04:55.7
made his administration,
04:57.4
he never supported
04:59.1
And social spending
05:00.3
actually went up.
05:02.6
during the Gong infrastructure.
05:04.3
He passed structure.
05:05.8
He passed structure
05:06.4
to the trillions.
05:07.7
a lot of it went to corruption.
05:09.1
But the thing is,
05:09.9
some work got done.
05:20.3
negative bureaucratic behavior.
05:22.1
Sige, let's put it that way.
05:22.7
It's a structural
05:25.8
But the thing is,
05:26.9
but the thing is,
05:35.0
of some nominal trickle down
05:36.8
as far as the economy
05:39.4
And then you have
05:40.3
this free tertiary education.
05:43.6
would have ensured
05:47.5
president of all time.
05:49.7
while we disagree
05:51.2
with his war on drugs,
05:53.0
most of the things
05:54.1
he did as president,
05:55.3
in terms of his style,
06:01.5
populist as they are,
06:03.6
expensive as they are
06:04.8
to sustain today,
06:08.3
the current administration.
06:12.8
that are so expensive,
06:15.6
doubling of the salaries
06:16.5
of our military men
06:18.9
and the implications
06:23.6
these are all very expensive
06:26.1
that we inherited
06:29.8
look at all of this together,
06:31.4
together with his war on drugs,
06:32.7
which, by the way,
06:36.9
the public perception
06:38.9
going down was real.
06:42.4
they have all that study.
06:44.2
when you put all of this together,
06:46.2
yes, there was fear,
06:48.0
to do certain things.
06:51.4
to a great extent,
06:53.1
for this administration
06:54.0
because they wanted
06:56.4
As far as those policies
07:02.1
was never popular anyway.
07:04.2
So, the president
07:05.2
and the new administration
07:06.9
in their new pie vote.
07:13.0
to be more popular now
07:16.4
6 out of 10 Filipinos
07:18.4
the administration's
07:20.5
in the West Philippine Sea.
07:26.6
more thorough study.
07:28.3
I see a perfect way
07:31.1
that both of these
07:32.1
arguments could be correct.
07:33.7
let me be absolutely clear.
07:34.7
I disagree with people
07:36.2
this is a totally
07:37.3
manufactured popularity.
07:40.1
all around the world
07:41.1
that strongman populism
07:43.6
quote-unquote charisma
07:44.5
that perfectly fits
07:48.2
Information ecosystem,
07:50.5
existential challenge ecosystem.
07:52.4
So, I never agreed
07:54.4
no, this is totally
07:56.4
My argument, though,
07:58.4
someone's approval
08:02.3
of other presidents
08:04.0
whether it's Aquino,
08:05.6
But when superlative,
08:07.1
maybe that's where
08:07.6
the fear factor comes in.
08:08.9
You get what I'm saying?
08:13.4
It's the boost effect.
08:17.0
with people who say
08:17.7
I think he's genuinely popular.
08:19.5
But the superlative numbers,
08:22.2
of that popularity,
08:23.2
I cannot separate it
08:24.4
from the fear factor.
08:25.2
That's all I'm saying.
08:26.4
But speaking of the future,
08:28.8
Sarah has been in the lead,
08:30.6
other people like
08:32.3
we've seen some of the
08:34.2
we saw in Estonia.
08:34.8
You're putting me
08:35.5
on the spot, my friend.
08:36.8
No, you don't have
08:38.1
What I'm saying is,
08:39.2
it looks like a more
08:40.1
competitive field nowadays,
08:42.1
But it also proves
08:43.2
because Tulfo is also
08:44.3
kind of a strong man aura,
08:47.0
it actually proves
08:47.9
that it's a matter
08:49.8
of populism, right?
08:53.3
Populism is really bad
08:54.4
for the country, Richard.
08:55.5
You do know that.
08:58.9
on a programmatic basis.
09:00.9
It's something that
09:05.7
So we all have to speak up
09:09.7
because it's sometimes irrational.
09:13.3
tertiary education program,
09:14.6
although it's popular
09:15.5
and I won't be very popular
09:17.0
after I say this,
09:23.3
You'll be students
09:23.9
who are millionaires,
09:24.6
get free education.
09:28.4
We can't sustain something
09:29.9
that's expensive.
09:32.9
that our socialized,
09:33.9
our flawed socialized
09:35.1
education program
09:37.2
or model in the UP
09:39.5
the best possible model
09:41.3
to sustain this program.
09:45.2
that rich kids from UP
09:50.9
we don't deserve this.
09:56.4
one of my students
10:01.7
and it's almost criminal
10:03.0
for me to actually
10:04.0
just get this subsidy
10:05.3
but there's no way
10:06.1
for them to return it.
10:08.0
you become a good citizen,
10:10.9
serving your country.
10:11.9
I know it's very idealistic
10:14.4
you know me naman
10:16.0
That's how I end my classes.
10:17.7
It's really about
10:18.3
citizenship and leadership.
10:23.1
is probably more important
10:28.2
governance and democracy
10:30.8
it's important for us
10:34.0
to get more engaged.
10:35.1
And I think it starts
10:37.0
with media people like you,
10:38.8
with academics like you
10:41.4
through knowledge.
10:43.3
I think survey companies
10:46.6
The more we inform,
10:49.0
the more empowered people are.
10:51.0
The better we do our work
10:53.5
with the best possible
10:54.8
methods being used,
10:55.8
the better we do our work
10:56.0
with the best possible
10:56.1
methods being used,
10:57.8
we bring into the thing,
11:00.5
the more the surveys
11:03.2
In the life of our country.
11:04.5
So this is something
11:05.5
we all have to advocate
11:09.1
as members of organizations
11:15.6
it is what it is.
11:17.4
interesting times,
11:19.1
For the first time
11:29.1
the parochialism,
11:35.8
We have strong players
11:37.3
in the global arena.
11:39.5
The new Cold War.
11:40.7
We're kind of the Berlin
11:41.7
of the 21st century,
11:42.9
if I can put it that way.
11:44.4
We're caught in the middle.
11:46.6
And it's complex,
11:49.3
It's extremely complex.
11:52.3
entities that are
11:53.6
driving the dynamics
11:55.2
at the domestic level.
11:56.4
And for the first time,
11:57.7
we really experienced,
12:00.6
And they're taking sides.
12:02.0
They're influencing.
12:05.4
to be conscious of this,
