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00:00.2
China may panibagong estrategiya para atakihin ng madalian itong Taiwan, mga sangkay.
00:06.7
Pag-usapan po natin ito.
00:14.2
Okay, magandang oras sa inyong lahat, mga sangkay.
00:17.8
At ako na naman po ito, muling nagbabalik.
00:20.3
Mang-i-storbo na naman po sa inyong mga araw.
00:24.2
At eto, mga sangkay, pag-usapan po natin itong Taiwan at China.
00:27.6
Dahil ngayon, hila baga may tinatawag na reunification.
00:32.6
Pero yung iba, mga sangkay, may interpretation sila dyan
00:36.4
na parang may binabalak di umano ang China
00:39.9
na isang pagkakataon para mabalik sa kanilang timon,
00:47.3
kumbaga sa kanilang authority, itong Taiwan.
00:53.1
Ito na nga ba ang sekretong pag-atake sa Taiwan?
00:55.6
Well, tingnan po natin.
00:57.6
But bago tayo magsimula, pakisubscribe po muna yung ating YouTube channel.
01:01.9
Sa baba ng video na ito, mga sangkay, makikita nyo po yung subscribe button.
01:05.9
Pindutin nyo lang.
01:07.2
Tapos may lalabas na bell, pindutin nyo rin.
01:09.8
Tapos may makikita kayong all, pindutin nyo rin.
01:14.3
Sa mga nanonood po sa Facebook, matik na.
01:16.7
I-follow nyo po ang ating Facebook page.
01:19.2
So ito po yan, mga sangkay.
01:21.3
China preparing to attack Taiwan?
01:24.3
Medyo na-curious po tayo sa tanong na ito.
01:27.6
Tanong, mga sangkay.
01:30.6
Ang China ba ay preparing o naghahandaan na daw po sa pag-atake sa Taiwan?
01:34.6
Kaya nga lang, sabi po dito,
01:36.3
ang China daw po ay gumawa ng isang plano
01:38.6
para sa isang peaceful reunification.
01:43.7
Sama po yung Taiwan.
01:46.8
Is China preparing for war?
01:48.7
Will it invade Taiwan and take over the island by force?
01:52.8
We've asked this question many times on the show
01:54.9
but today, Beijing has given its clearest signal.
01:57.6
It is spoiling for a fight.
02:01.1
Today, China declared that it wants to...
02:04.6
It wants, rather, reunification with Taiwan.
02:08.7
Gusto nilang maipag-isa muli ang China at Taiwan.
02:18.6
Paano nila gagawin yun?
02:21.4
Lulusubin ba nila?
02:22.5
Yan ba yung taktika nila para maibalik sa kanilang kamay?
02:29.2
And it wants to, quote-unquote,
02:30.5
be firm in doing so.
02:32.8
Now, this is a major shift
02:34.1
because in the past,
02:35.0
China has phrased this differently.
02:38.1
It used to say it wants a peaceful reunification with Taiwan.
02:44.0
Medyo nakagulat lang, mga sangkay,
02:48.2
Sibig sabihin, wala pong pwersahan na maganganap.
02:54.5
may mga estrategiya yan, mga sangkay.
02:57.6
may bago bang sikretong strategy
03:00.4
ang China to invade
03:07.1
has now been replaced
03:12.9
He's China's premier
03:13.7
less than a year into office.
03:18.6
So, kung nung una,
03:23.0
gusto nila magkaroon ng peaceful reunification.
03:29.0
Binitawan na nila.
03:30.8
nagsalita na po ng mas mabigat
03:37.5
Ihi-invade na ba nila yung Taiwan?
03:40.3
He delivered an address to China's rubber stamp parliament today,
03:43.4
presented his annual report,
03:46.2
with some tough talk on Taiwan.
03:50.1
Medyo lakasan lang natin para mag-get sa atin.
03:54.7
Maganda to para magkaalaman, no? Kasi,
03:57.2
malaking gulo kapag nangyari.
03:59.2
Ang lapit-lapit na ito sa Pilipinas.
04:02.0
We must persist in implementing the Party's overall strategy for resolving the Taiwan issue in the new era,
04:09.3
adhere to the one China principle and the 1992 consensus,
04:13.3
resolutely oppose Taiwan's separatism and foreign interference.
04:20.0
This is not just a hollow threat, it comes with a bigger military budget.
04:24.2
Mmhmm. Yan po yung military budget nila.
04:26.5
This year, Beijing will boost its defense spending by how much? A little over 7%.
04:31.0
So what is the budget for 2024?
04:37.3
Grabe, ang laki. Ang laki ng military budget nila.
04:42.2
So sabi po dito, more than, higit pa daw po ito sa doble.
04:46.0
Sa doble na budget nila ngayon.
04:49.8
Sa military lamang, mga sangkay, itong sea administration.
04:54.3
Kaya po, umano dito, kumbaga nagkakaroon po ito ng global concern.
05:02.2
Dahil po, ano, anong plano? Anong balak ng China? Bakit sila may ganyan?
05:06.6
Invade ba nila? Unahin ba nila itong Taiwan?
05:10.1
Budget for the PLA, the People's Liberation Army this year, $231 billion.
05:14.0
It is the biggest increase in five years.
05:16.5
And these are the numbers that China chooses to reveal.
05:19.9
Ask any expert and they'll tell you that the actual figure is higher.
05:24.3
China often ends up overspending on its military.
05:30.8
There are parts of the military budget which are kept secret.
05:34.5
Like the spending on research and development, they do not declare it to the world.
05:37.9
Okay, so may mga secret budget pa sila.
05:40.5
Last week, the US flagged concerns.
05:42.9
It's been worried about China's growing military capabilities.
05:46.3
America believes the threat from China is growing.
05:49.1
It is entering new battlegrounds including space.
05:53.2
Japan too is concerned.
05:54.6
China continues to increase its defense spending at a high level.
06:00.1
And is rapidly expanding its military capabilities across a wide range of areas without sufficient transparency.
06:07.1
Okay, so ngayon maraming naka-alarma sa buong mundo.
06:11.1
Including itong Japan.
06:13.0
Kasi nakita po nila na grabe yung expanding ng budget nila ngayon sa military.
06:19.2
Sa anong purpose? Anong binabalak ng China?
06:22.7
Invasion na malala ba sa Taiwan at sa Pilipinas?
06:27.8
Ito na lang mga sangkay.
06:30.5
Possible ba invasion ito sa Taiwan at Pilipinas?
06:34.2
Kasi dalawang bansa lang naman ang pinagiinitan nitong China.
06:38.9
Of course, maliban po sa Amerika.
06:43.8
Kaya nga lang, di naman nila mai-invade yung ano dun.
06:46.8
Kumbaga wala pong threat talaga na actual.
06:48.7
Hindi po tulad dito sa Taiwan at sa Pilipinas.
06:51.7
Na talagang may nagaganap.
06:54.1
Ngayon nga lang mga sangkay, di ba?
06:56.1
May apat na mga kasamahan ng Coast Guard ang nadali nitong China dahil nga binomba po ng water cannon.
07:08.0
So the PLA gets more money this year.
07:10.5
More money means more weapons, more gear.
07:12.9
A bigger PLA also means more expansionism.
07:16.4
And that's the goal of Xi Jinping.
07:17.6
He keeps asking his troops to prepare for war.
07:20.5
And now he wants to arm.
07:21.7
And now he wants to arm them for that war.
07:23.7
Taipei is watching this with concern and stepping up its defenses.
07:27.2
Today, their defense minister spoke about this.
07:29.6
He said Taiwan would have more missile drills this year.
07:33.9
And they're not the only ones bracing for Chinese misadventures.
07:36.5
The Philippines too is on guard.
07:39.2
And at the receiving end of China's bullying.
07:43.3
Kasama po yung Pilipinas sa concern.
07:44.9
So ang tanong dito, itong pagpapalaks sila ng sobra.
07:49.0
Sobrang lala sa kanilang military.
07:51.0
Kasama ba sa plano na i-invade ang Pilipinas at Taiwan?
07:56.5
Kasi ngayon, sabi po dun, firm na po yung salita nitong China against Taiwan.
08:02.0
Nanduwi nun naman na mayroon pong conflict ang Pilipinas at China.
08:06.6
At mayroon pa nga pong ibang mga teritoryo ng ating bansa na binabalak na naman pong pasuko nitong mga lukulukong Chinese.
08:13.8
There was another incident today.
08:15.1
Chinese and Philippine coastguards clashed.
08:19.0
Mga sangkay, tinutukoy ko kanina.
08:20.9
Many ships engaged in dangerous maneuvers.
08:23.2
They bumped into ships from Manila.
08:25.0
Ito po yung pinakamalala.
08:26.5
Okay, na nangyari.
08:27.7
There were two collisions in all.
08:29.5
Both sides deployed water cannons.
08:31.4
There were injuries on the Philippine side.
08:34.0
So China seems to be...
08:35.0
Yan po, napag-gitnaan po Pilipinas yan.
08:37.5
Yung boat na yan.
08:38.3
...seems to be intent on keeping its many territorial disputes alive.
08:45.6
Which brings us back to the Premier's speech.
08:48.7
It's an annual event.
08:50.0
Usually, the world tunes into it for insights into the Chinese economy and their plans for the years ahead.
08:57.0
And this time, the economy is the sole point for them.
09:00.8
Here's what Li said about it.
09:04.6
The main expected development goals for this year are a GDP growth of around 5%,
09:09.5
more than 12 million new urban jobs,
09:12.3
a registered urban unemployment rate of around 5.5%,
09:15.7
a rise of around 3% in consumer price index,
09:20.0
synchronous growth of household income and economic growth,
09:23.6
and basic balance of international payments.
09:29.8
Now, those are some ambitious targets.
09:31.8
Beijing is promising growth.
09:33.0
The Premier says he wants to boost the economy,
09:35.2
but he doesn't say how.
09:37.2
How will he do it?
09:38.5
China's economy faces a host of problems.
09:40.8
Growth has tanked.
09:42.0
There is rampant unemployment among the youth.
09:44.2
It's so bad that China has stopped publishing unemployment data.
09:48.5
There is a crisis in the population.
09:49.8
There is a crisis in the population.
09:49.8
There is a crisis in the population.
09:49.9
There is a crisis in the poverty sector.
09:51.8
So, mayroon daw pong krisis sa ekonomiya ng China ngayon.
09:54.7
40% of home sellers in China have defaulted.
09:59.0
Chinese stock markets are in a state of decline.
10:01.6
In the last 12 months, they've fallen by 20%.
10:04.3
The Indian stock market has surpassed...
10:06.6
Sabi nga po, marami daw pong foreign investment na bumabagsak po ngayon sa China.
10:11.0
Kung baga parang ayaw na po nilang pumasok sa China.
10:13.6
So, ang tanong dito, bakit?
10:16.5
All these ailing sectors need bailouts.
10:20.4
But China won't rescue them.
10:23.1
It is more focused on building the PLA on...
10:26.0
Diba? May problema po sila sa ekonomiya.
10:28.9
So, kung may problema sa ekonomiya, dapat mag-focus po sila sa kanilang economy.
10:32.9
Pero bakit po naka-focus sila ngayon sa military nila?
10:38.5
May naaamoy ba kayong kakaiba, mga sangkay?
10:41.9
Is it possible na aatakihin nila yung Taiwan?
10:45.1
Kasama po yung Pilipinas?
10:46.7
Kaya po may ganong klaseng budget na napakasama.
10:48.8
Kaya po may ganong klaseng budget na napakasama.
10:48.9
Ito ba ay plano ng pasikreto lang at bigla ang mangyayari?
10:54.3
Well, ano po ang inyong mga opinion?
10:56.1
Comment po yan sa iba ba, mga sangkay, at pag-uusapan po natin yan.
10:59.7
At ngayon, meron po ako isang YouTube channel, Sangkay Revelation.
11:02.4
Pinag-uusapan po natin itong patungkul sa mga propesya sa Biblia na natutupad na po ngayon.
11:07.1
So, hanapin niyo po ito sa YouTube.
11:08.8
Then, click the subscribe, click the bell, and click all.
11:11.8
Ako na po ay magpapaalam.
11:13.1
Mag-iingat po ang lahat.
11:14.2
God bless, mga sangkay.
