04:00.0
O kaya, ito ganun mo, kompleto sa isa rin.
04:30.0
O kaya, ito ganun mo, kompleto sa isa rin.
05:00.0
O kaya, ito ganun mo, kompleto sa isa rin.
05:30.0
O kaya, ito ganun mo, kompleto sa isa rin.
06:00.0
O kaya, ito ganun mo, kompleto sa isa rin.
06:06.7
O kaya, ito ganun mo, kompleto sa isa rin.
06:10.8
O kaya, ito ganun mo, kompleto sa isa rin.
06:22.0
O kaya, ito ganun mo, kompleto sa isa rin.
06:27.0
O kaya, ito ganun mo, kompleto sa isa rin.
06:27.0
O kaya, ito ganun mo, kompleto sa isa rin.
06:28.1
O kaya, ito ganun mo, kompleto sa isa rin.
06:28.1
O kaya, ito ganun mo, kompleto sa isa rin.
06:29.1
O kaya, ito ganun mo, kompleto sa isa rin.
06:29.2
O kaya, ito ganun mo, kompleto sa isa rin.
06:29.2
Tulfo is concerned, he's really pulling ahead of everyone
06:31.4
else. Even with the margin of error
06:33.4
of 3-5%, looks like
06:35.3
Erwin Tulfo is still ahead of
06:37.0
immediate number 2 CE
06:39.0
former Senate President
06:41.5
Tito Soto. So this is kind of a Tito Soto
06:45.5
Tulfo kind of a fight for
06:47.1
top position in the Senate
06:51.3
obviously, this is not the first time that we see a
06:53.4
Tulfo topping the surveys. That was
06:55.4
also the case two years
06:57.6
ago. Except of course,
06:59.2
may tinatawag na Robin Hood
07:03.8
na lang natin sa pangalan na
07:05.2
okay. So yun yung surprise
07:07.5
ng 2022 elections because everyone was expecting
07:11.6
to top the race but eventually it was Robin
07:13.6
Hood Padilla out of nowhere. Which
07:15.5
raises the question of whether Digong
07:17.3
and Bongo who are
07:20.8
are in a position
07:24.1
pull off an upset. And I think
07:27.3
should Eduterte or Bongo
07:29.1
top the race next year, that's
07:31.2
going to also have a lot of implications because
07:33.0
that's going to give a lot of confidence
07:34.7
dun sa kampo ng mga Dutertes to say
07:37.0
we're not a spent political force. We're
07:39.0
here. We're going to fight. And
07:41.1
especially as more and more issues
07:44.9
ICC, regarding the West Philippines, among
07:46.9
others, are going to come on board.
07:49.3
Pag-usapan din natin yan very shortly.
07:53.0
Now, if you look at it,
07:55.2
yung mga lumalaban for the last few
07:57.0
slots, it looks like Amy
07:59.1
Marcos is more or less out of top
08:02.8
16 to 13 slots. So there's actually
08:04.8
a possibility that Amy Marcos might not even
08:10.6
Senate elections, which tells you a lot
08:19.1
yung backlash sigulo sa kanyang
08:20.7
strategy. Because if you look at her strategy,
08:23.3
first you had Maiden Malacanang
08:29.1
ganang pinatulan. One was
08:31.3
more than enough for that kind of genre
08:33.4
of movies and arts
08:38.3
And then the whole thing,
08:39.5
of course, alam nyo na, Maiden Marites was all
08:41.4
about siya na. Siya na. Siya na
08:43.4
ang pinakamagaling na anak ni Marcos
08:45.1
Sr. Siya na ang pinakamagaling
08:49.5
Siya na. Di ba? Siya na
08:50.8
ang sentro ng mundo.
08:53.1
Center of the universe. And then yung
08:55.2
pag-criticize sa kapatid niya.
08:57.4
And eventually what we saw is that,
09:00.8
it looks like she has alienated the
09:02.8
administration, if not, you know,
09:05.0
the first family. But also it looks
09:07.2
like the Dutertes are not necessarily
09:08.9
completely happy with them as we saw in the case of
09:13.1
of Baste, no? Coming out
09:15.2
and openly saying, oh, wakang maghanas masyad
09:17.3
essentially, right? So these are things that we discussed
09:19.1
before. So, whatever
09:21.1
I mean, Marcos was thinking about, which is
09:22.8
siguro positioning herself for presidency or
09:25.0
vice presidency in 2028,
09:27.2
I think realistically,
09:29.1
or vice president. I heard first
09:30.6
na there were plans daw na
09:32.6
to run for mayor of
09:38.8
base dun sa pag-intindi ko,
09:40.9
solid pa rin yung kasalikwena
09:43.1
administration sa Manila. And
09:45.0
my sense is, if Amy Marcos
09:46.8
was really in a driver
09:51.3
sa Manila, I won't be surprised
09:53.1
if Isco Moreno would have considered to run
09:55.1
again for mayor of Manila. Except
09:57.1
the interesting thing is, actually, both Isco Moreno
09:59.1
and Amy Marcos are statistically
10:00.9
tied. Both of them pasok sa
10:02.4
actually not exactly magic
10:05.1
12, kasi pwede rin mag-number 13
10:07.1
sila. But more or less within the
10:09.1
range sila for top 12, right?
10:11.7
So that's quite interesting.
10:13.1
And then, this is even more
10:15.1
interesting. Tied si
10:17.1
Ben Tulfo kay Amy Marcos
10:20.7
Isco Moreno, right?
10:22.9
Which tells you a lot about it. Ito talaga mga
10:24.9
Tulfos talaga, they're
10:26.8
well on their way to build their own
10:29.1
political dynasties
10:30.5
as things go. But as I said,
10:33.1
you know, they are all Tulfos
10:35.1
but, you know, from broader to broader
10:36.5
different dynamics. I don't think Ben Tulfo
10:41.6
you know, element,
10:44.9
species, whatever you want to call it, as
10:46.7
Erwin Tulfo. And I think Rafi Tulfo
10:48.9
is also a very different, different kind
10:50.8
of Tulfo. Nevertheless, this is yung
10:52.8
tatak Tulfo. Nakikita natin malakas pa rin
10:54.9
at lakas pa rin ang dating niya.
11:04.7
Willie Reveille, medyo
11:08.7
Willie Ong, medyo pasok. Pero
11:10.9
risky pa rin. Up to 16, 17 pa sila.
11:14.9
more or less, andun din si Pangilinan
11:21.7
looks like things are a bit tough for
11:27.1
opposition. Lenny's
11:28.8
down the list. So, it's really
11:32.8
who are quite competitive for this.
11:35.1
Mukhang labas din ng
11:36.0
mahirapan din si Francis Tolentino for
11:38.7
re-election. Mukhang
11:40.6
Ghibochador, despite all of his, I would say,
11:42.9
very encouraging positioning dito sa West
11:44.7
Philippine Sea, will also be in top position.
11:46.9
And then, I don't see Harry
11:50.4
ex-human rights lawyer. Medyo wala
11:52.7
siya dito. Things are also
11:54.6
slightly going to be difficult for, I think, Jokno
12:01.0
Including also Abalos, Benjamin Abalos, who
12:02.8
was, in many ways, the
12:07.1
organization. The
12:08.8
the consigliere of the
12:10.9
current president. So, this is a very tough,
12:13.0
very tough Senate race, which we'll discuss
12:14.9
even more in the coming
12:17.1
days. Hopefully, next week.
12:19.5
So, ipopose natin
12:20.7
later on next week. Hopefully, dito para makita
12:23.0
ninyo talaga yung breakdown. Obviously,
12:25.8
Paul's Asia is not the only
12:27.1
one in town. We are going to look at,
12:28.6
also, other surveys by OCTA, also
12:30.5
other authoritative surveys, just to
12:32.6
give an idea. But what we see consistently is
12:34.5
Erwin Tulfo coming on top. And he's
12:36.7
even with a margin
12:38.7
of error 3-5%, well ahead of
12:40.6
everyone else. So, we have
12:42.6
one more, another race whereby Tulfo
12:44.6
once again, is a frontrunner. So,
12:46.6
that tells you a lot about anong
12:48.3
hinahanap ng taong bayan, or ano yung
12:50.3
pag-intindi ng ating mga kababayan
12:52.3
dun sa trabaho ng Senado.
12:55.2
Alright? So, siguro yung
12:56.3
concept nila ng isang fiscalized,
12:58.6
sir, isang lumalaban para sa
13:00.3
ustisya, ay hindi
13:02.0
katulad ni Jock, no, who's a
13:04.1
constitutional law expert, but
13:06.3
it's someone like mga Tulfos. Because the interesting
13:08.4
thing is that Ben Tulfo, who unlike
13:10.3
Erwin Tulfo, has no background whatsoever
13:12.3
in political office. In fairness, kay Erwin Tulfo
13:14.3
at least, he spent some time
13:16.5
in the DSWD, and as I can
13:18.4
say, based on my observation,
13:20.6
based on conversations with him, based on interviews
13:22.4
with him, etc. I don't think he did bad.
13:24.6
I think he did pretty decently, and
13:26.5
he was quite proactive in responding to
13:28.4
different crises dun sa
13:31.9
bilang DSWD Secretary.
13:34.7
So, I won't blame if people
13:36.4
actually see a lot of hope,
13:38.1
a lot of proactiveness in Erwin
13:40.3
Tulfo. Ibang usapan siguro, Ben Tulfo, we can
13:42.3
also talk about that later on. Are both of
13:48.1
May nagsabi sa akin na Batisimon Tulfo, ay gusto
13:50.2
mag-position na, but I think three is
13:52.3
a little bit too much. Three is a crowd.
13:54.3
Two is a bit doable, three is a cloud.
13:56.9
So, pag-usapan natin yan, guys.
13:58.4
Don't worry about it. Ipa-flash
14:00.2
natin yung mga surveys,
14:02.2
implications, kasi I think
14:04.4
within the next three to five months, we'll
14:06.3
have an idea about who are really
14:09.7
you know, shoe-in
14:17.0
And then how difficult
14:18.2
and competitive it's gonna be for the opposition.
14:20.3
As I said, this is likely the most
14:22.3
difficult. This is likely the most difficult.
14:25.3
This is gonna be the most
14:26.3
difficult Senate race. So, Kudus,
14:29.2
membro ng tunay na opposition,
14:32.2
Kudus dun sa mga lumalaban para sa tunay na
14:34.2
demokrasya, who are entering this race,
14:36.6
even if it's gonna look very,
14:38.8
very difficult for them.
14:40.3
Having said that, you never know, right?
14:42.6
No one saw Robin Hood Padilla topping
14:44.3
the race in 2022 elections.
14:46.6
No one saw back in the day,
14:48.1
Mar Rojas topping the Senate elections, although he
14:50.2
spent a lot on the advertising with Sir Palenque.
14:54.2
Grace Bo out of nowhere from
14:56.3
MTRCB chief suddenly becoming
14:58.3
the top. I think if you saw
15:00.4
Cynthia Villar, by the way, just to remind
15:02.3
you, topped the 2019 Senate
15:04.3
election. So, we don't know. Things could move.
15:06.5
Things could get very interesting. I would say also
15:08.1
Villanueva, Senator Villanueva
15:10.5
coming up at number two in
15:12.3
2016 elections was also another big,
15:14.4
big, big surprise. So, things could
15:16.4
still move. But at least one thing we are
15:18.3
seeing consistently is Ervin Tulfo
15:20.4
cementing his position as a
15:22.4
clear frontrunner and potentially
15:24.3
gonna be joined by another Tulfo. Now, the
15:26.4
other thing that is interesting here is that
15:28.3
dahil ito si Nancy Binay,
15:30.9
patapos na yung kanyang diretsyong termina,
15:32.8
dalawang termina na, just like Grace Bo.
15:34.7
Now, suddenly, it looks like another Binay is in
15:36.6
position to run for the highest office, and that's
15:40.6
And some would say she's probably even the most capable
15:42.6
Binay out there as far as the
15:46.5
rather the offsprings of the former
15:48.7
vice president is concerned.
15:50.6
We can have more conversation about that. So, things are
15:52.6
quite interesting. And in fairness,
15:54.6
Maka Nancy Binay, her reinvention
15:56.4
throughout the years has been quite impressive.
15:58.3
Not only in terms of branding, but also
16:00.4
in terms of policy positioning and voting,
16:02.8
including dun sa bota niya about Kiboloy
16:04.6
and other sensitive issues dun sa
16:06.3
relevant agencies, including yung mga
16:08.2
komiti sa ilalim ni Riza Contiveras.
16:10.9
Now, we'll discuss
16:12.2
more about that, but it looks like
16:14.0
not much has really, really changed.
16:18.3
number 1 to number 4 and 5 looks like
16:20.4
more or less steady, from
16:22.1
5 onwards, it's extremely
16:24.6
competitive. And there's a very good chance
16:26.6
that may mga re-electionists,
16:29.3
Francis Tolentino,
16:33.3
mukhang medyo mahirapan
16:34.7
sila, and also others like
16:38.5
shoe-in, katulad ni Gregorio
16:40.3
Honasan, mukhang medyo mahirapan din sila.
16:42.4
Not to mention also, Pa Makino and Francis
16:44.1
Pangilina are still
16:45.0
at the edge of entering within
16:48.3
the threshold of the
16:50.3
competitive 15 to 20
16:54.3
top position. So,
16:56.4
actually, Pangilina is number 14 to 18.
17:00.4
to 28. Alright? So, this
17:02.3
is going to be tough. Very, very tough.
17:06.3
at the spread from number 1,
17:08.1
almost 60% expressing their
17:12.2
Tulfo. And then you look at the opposition
17:14.4
figures of Pangilina, and it's barely
17:16.0
20%. So, it's almost like 3 to 1
17:18.3
ratio. So, 3 times
17:25.8
people like Erwin Tulfo over
17:29.1
not only legislators, but all
17:32.0
human rights. Activists, lawyers, among others
17:34.0
like Pangilina. So, again, that also
17:36.0
tells you something about the nature
17:37.4
of our political culture
17:40.0
nowadays. But as I said, things
17:42.0
could still change. I think the number 1 to 5
17:44.0
is more or less solidifying.
17:46.2
Ang tanong lang dito is if Digong is gonna
17:48.0
run. And if Digong is gonna run, is he gonna
17:51.8
for broke? Because I think if Digong
17:53.9
or Bongo top the race next year,
17:56.3
that's gonna add a different, different dynamic.
17:58.3
Very, very different dynamic.
17:59.6
Alright? Okay. Pag-usapan natin ito
18:01.8
mga kamayatang more on Monday
18:03.7
among others. In the meantime,
18:05.9
let me tell you this. Isa sa mga
18:07.7
issues na sobrang, sobrang,
18:17.5
ay itong issue ng Ayunginsol
18:19.6
which I wanna discuss more also
18:21.5
in the coming days.
18:31.3
ng isang hearing dyan sa Senado
18:32.8
led by Senator J.V.
18:36.7
pag-usapan ng issue ng fake news.
18:38.4
So yung mga mahilig magbuldyakan,
18:40.7
mahilig mag-claim na mayroon silang
18:42.6
mga polvorotonic videos,
18:44.5
mahilig gumawa ng mga fake news,
18:46.3
mga walang kwentang mga
18:48.0
istorya para lang makuha ng views at maging
18:50.2
relevant, para lang kunyari may content
18:52.5
or kunyari may conviction sa buhay.
18:54.4
Yung mga ganon. Medyo ingat-ingat kayo dyan.
18:56.4
Lalo yung mga epal-epal effect dyan.
19:00.5
magbagong buhay. Alright? So
19:02.2
mukhang magkakaroon ng
19:04.2
isang masinsina na hearing ukol sa fake news.
19:07.0
But the important thing is that
19:08.4
ang angulo ng mga fake news na yan,
19:10.6
mga kameta, ay hindi lang
19:12.7
necessarily yung mga nagsispread
19:14.6
ng mga kunyari polvoronic videos
19:16.7
or mayroon silang polvoronic videos na may
19:18.5
siguro pinapagawa pa ng
19:23.2
Pinapagumagawa pa sila ng deepfake
19:26.8
Baka kulang yung budget nila.
19:28.3
Dati kaya natagalan yung launching.
19:30.9
So siguro by April daw maging
19:33.4
ayun ako. Ayun ako. Ayun ako. Hintayin natin yan.
19:37.7
The thing here is, hindi lang ito
19:44.4
Ito ay ukol din dun sa mga bloggers
19:47.5
sasabihin na lang natin. Mga bayaran.
19:52.7
At hindi lang bayaran
19:56.5
Hindi lang bayaran ng mga potential
19:58.3
elements. Potentially, ito
20:00.4
yung mga tao na potentially or
20:02.2
I'm just being nice by saying potentially
20:04.4
pero mukhang medyo obvious naman.
20:06.0
Nang bayaran ng isang bansa
20:08.5
na nagbubuli sa atin sa West
20:12.1
Obviously, meron tayong
20:13.5
influence operations.
20:16.4
Meron tayong disinformation campaign.
20:20.2
bayaran ng Harleca campaign.
20:24.3
para palitan natin yung
20:26.4
polisya natin sa West Philippine Sea
20:28.3
para hindi tayo mag-assert
20:30.0
ng ating claims sa West Philippine Sea
20:31.6
para maging mas mahina yung ating
20:34.2
bansa, para maging
20:36.1
mas divided tayo.
20:38.6
Ang plano yata ng mga ito,
20:40.7
mga bayaran ng China,
20:42.2
is sasabihin nila,
20:43.6
nako, nako, magkakaroon ng gera.
20:45.9
Kaya huwag kayong makulit. Kaya huwag nyo na idama yung
20:47.9
Amerika. So meron mga grupong gano'n.
20:50.3
Now, obviously, may mga, unfortunately,
20:52.0
may mga tao na talagang misguided na yung
20:53.8
kanilang positioning ay basa sa
20:56.0
ideolohiya na 1960s pa at
20:58.3
hindi pa masyado na-update.
21:00.6
Ano ba itong nandikit sa hair ko?
21:03.0
Hindi ha, kakaligo lang natin
21:07.0
hindi lang, so hindi natin
21:09.9
nag-usapan, guys, yung mga
21:12.9
unfortunately, medyo
21:15.6
naka-download ng mga
21:17.6
questionable mga 1960s
21:20.4
Maoist, mga ek-ek na ganyan.
21:22.1
Hindi yung mga gano'n, ha?
21:23.5
Hindi yung mga na-stock pa sa 1960s, 70s, Cold War, ha?
21:27.0
Hindi yung mga yung pinag-usapan.
21:28.9
bahala na lang sila.
21:32.1
Kaya nga sila completely irrelevant
21:33.7
dahil irrelevant yung kanilang thinking at positioning.
21:36.3
Hindi sila nagka-update.
21:37.6
Sa aking palagay, kung kunyari, gumising si Karl Marx
21:41.7
at nakita nila itong mga ito, sabi nila
21:46.4
yung mga ganitong tao.
21:47.8
Dahil sila po ay isang
21:49.8
clear, clear negation
21:52.1
of the spirit of dialectical analysis,
21:54.2
the spirit of constant research and updating
21:56.3
na ikita natin sa mga works nila.
21:58.3
Engels, among others.
21:59.3
But anyway, maho bang usapan yan?
22:01.5
Ayaw natin pumunta dyan.
22:02.5
Hindi yung mga ganyan taong pinag-usapan natin, mga kamets, ha?
22:06.4
Hindi yung mga gano'n.
22:08.5
I want to say something, but again,
22:10.3
we're in the holy week, holy day.
22:13.4
Mag-Eastern na po, shortly.
22:15.9
So we're gonna be nice.
22:25.8
Pinag-usapan natin itong mga tao na
22:28.1
script. Clearly may talking
22:31.8
obvious talaga yan eh.
22:34.1
Unang-una, yung iba dyan,
22:36.4
location pa lang.
22:40.2
Location pa lang, medyo.
22:44.4
kita natin yung talking points
22:46.3
ng Chinese embassy,
22:48.3
talking points ng Chinese foreign ministry,
22:50.3
talking points ng mga Chinese
22:52.5
na propagandist na
22:53.7
50 Cent Club, based na China,
22:56.8
ay halos exactly,
22:58.0
yun din ang talking points nila.
22:59.9
Halos exactly the same.
23:02.1
Essentially yung Asia for Asians,
23:04.5
which essentially means,
23:05.7
let China dominate this part of the world,
23:07.7
yung sisisihin ng Amerika sa lahat ng mali nangyayara sa mundo.
23:10.4
Hindi ko sinasabi walang mali ang US.
23:11.9
Ang daming mga maling ginawa ng Amerika
23:13.7
all around the world, including sa
23:15.3
Afghanistan, sa Iraq, sa gitnang Silangan.
23:18.1
I can go on and on about the mistakes
23:19.6
ng mga Western countries.
23:21.6
Pero, that doesn't excuse yung mga ginagawa.
23:24.6
Okay? Yung ginagawa
23:26.1
ng China sa atin. Okay?
23:28.0
Just because the US did something wrong,
23:29.7
that doesn't excuse
23:30.5
the others, like Russia or China, to bully
23:33.7
their smaller neighbors. Okay? Let's be very clear about that.
23:35.9
So, huwag kayong magpa-apektos
23:38.1
dun sa mga ano yan.
23:40.2
No, no, no. So, the other one
23:41.8
is clear yung parallel ng
23:43.6
talking points nila, at saka yung mga talking points ng
23:45.6
Beijing-based officials or Beijing-based
23:47.7
essentially thought leaders and propagandists.
23:50.9
Ito pang interesting.
23:52.6
Hindi ko alam sa inyo kung nakapunta
23:54.0
kayo sa China and all, pero dun sa mga
23:55.7
iba sa atin nakapunta sa China, actually, bawal po.
23:58.0
Ang Twitter, bawal po ang
23:59.7
Facebook. Ang hirap po mag-connect
24:02.2
ngayon sa Facebook at Twitter at saka
24:03.8
mga ganyan accounts, mga Western tech
24:05.8
companies sa China, dahil napaka
24:08.0
strict yung kanilang regulation dun sa
24:09.7
VPN nila. So, kahit meron kang VPN,
24:12.0
mahirapan ka pumasok. Ganon ka galing
24:13.8
yung so-called Great Wall of China.
24:16.2
So, kung may mga iba dyan na bloggers
24:17.8
na based sa China at ang ganda ng connection nila,
24:20.0
ang ganda pa rin ng nila,
24:21.7
pag-tweet nila, Facebook nila,
24:23.6
magtanong ka, bakit ang ganda ng connection nila
24:26.0
habang napaka-hira
24:28.0
na mag-post sa Twitter
24:30.1
or Facebook kung based ka sa China, even
24:31.9
if meron kang VPN. Alam ko yan, dahil
24:34.0
marami akong kaibigan ng scholars and experts
24:36.0
na based sa China, na hindi
24:38.0
Paul Voronic mag-issue. Guys, just to be clear,
24:40.0
just to be clear,
24:42.0
kahit may disagreements ako sa China
24:43.7
sa issue ng West Philippine Sea,
24:45.8
marami naman mga bagay
24:48.1
sa China na gustong-gusto ko. I love their culture
24:50.0
and civilization. I love their
24:51.6
history. There's so much
24:53.8
amazing stuff about China. I love
24:55.8
their hard work, their work ethic. Marami
24:57.7
tayo mga kaibigan ng mga Chino throughout the years.
25:00.4
I keep in touch with
25:01.4
mga experts and friends there.
25:04.1
You know, may agad...
25:04.9
I'm keeping in touch also dito sa mga
25:07.7
latest na pangyara. My goodness.
25:09.6
Alam niyo yung phone na Xiaomi?
25:11.7
Alam niyo yung phone na Xiaomi, guys?
25:14.3
Mayroon na silang kotse.
25:16.2
Gumawa na sila ng kotse.
25:18.1
So, meron ng Xiaomi car
25:19.6
ngayon, guys. San ka pa, di ba?
25:21.7
May Xiaomi car na ngayon.
25:23.7
At itong Xiaomi car niyan,
25:26.0
well, medyo may kamukha siyang
25:27.7
kotse na itago na lang
25:29.8
natin sa pangalan na Porsche.
25:32.4
Pero maganda pa rin eh.
25:34.2
At yung 1 to 100 niyan,
25:35.8
makuha niya daw niya sa in 3 seconds.
25:37.4
Obviously, minsan medyo, you know, you take
25:39.7
with a grain of salt yung mga claims sila sa mga
25:41.5
Chinese cars. But guys, they look good.
25:47.7
very interesting. And kahit sabihin natin
25:49.7
JAPEX, alam ko eh, sabihin ng copycat ng Porsche
25:51.7
and all of that. But still, guys,
25:53.7
ngayon, medyo ganun ang China. Pero give it 3,
25:55.7
4, 5 years, kaganda yung mga kotse sila.
25:59.7
China, next level na.
26:03.4
gusto ko na ilabas ito. Kasi, grabe yung mga kulay
26:07.7
ng kotse nila. Mga Tiffany,
26:11.9
sabi ko, ibang klase.
26:16.0
So, you can see, guys,
26:17.8
I constantly keep in touch with
26:19.7
developments in China. Dahil hindi ako hater.
26:21.7
I appreciate China.
26:23.5
I love their determination. O, kahit
26:25.5
sabihin natin, kumukopia sila. O,
26:29.9
Meta Color pa, o.
26:35.3
Kung hindi lang, alam mo, kung wala lang
26:37.0
ang concern sa privacy ko at siya,
26:38.9
mga datos ko, eh. Kasi, syempre,
26:40.8
yun ang problema sa mga ganyang kotse.
26:43.4
I mean, actually, any modern car
26:45.1
you buy right now, pag kinonect mo yung phone mo
26:47.0
and all of that, potentially, makompromise.
26:49.2
Kaya, lalo itong mga Chinese car, very, very
26:50.8
yan, yan, eh. Very high-tech yan, in fairness.
26:53.6
and, if you look at them,
26:57.7
talagang super-connected sila.
27:00.9
Smart car sila, diba? So, good luck
27:02.7
sa mga datos mo yan. O, see? I mean, look at the,
27:05.0
look at the colors. And look at the
27:06.8
design. Yes, it looks like Taycan.
27:08.7
I mean, which is my ultimate
27:13.2
if I can put it that way. If,
27:14.4
if there's one car na sobrang gusto mo
27:16.6
sa ko na EV, hindi Tesla yung mga gano'n.
27:18.8
Laos na yung mga sa akin. Um,
27:20.7
syempre, love natin ang BMW and all of that.
27:23.1
But, but, Taycan, of course, is the best.
27:25.0
So, this one really looks like one. So,
27:27.7
natin pagtawa ng China and all of that. But, guys,
27:30.0
imagine mo, ba't yung Xiaomi nila na phone,
27:32.1
nakakagawa sila ng ganang kotse. So,
27:34.3
so, what I'm saying is that,
27:35.9
in theory, I'm all good
27:38.0
with trading with China,
27:40.0
with getting investment from China.
27:41.6
Kung titignan mo yung trend sa Laos, titignan mo yung trend
27:43.9
sa Indonesia, ang ganda ng ginawa ng China.
27:45.8
But, hindi naman tayo ututo.
27:48.2
Yan ang difference natin dun sa iba.
27:51.9
sa Pilipinas, guys, is, uh,
27:53.7
Toyota Sof. Mahal naman kasi,
27:55.5
guys, ito, one, ito, 30,000,
27:57.7
dollars ang presyo niya. Yung,
27:59.7
you wanna get a Porsche, uh,
28:01.7
it's gonna be like, like what?
28:04.2
10 times the price or 8 times
28:05.9
the price. But, anyway, what I'm saying
28:09.8
kasi sa Pilipinas is either
28:11.3
sobrang anti-China, halos racist
28:13.7
and prejudicial, at sobrang pro-US,
28:19.0
na nagbubulag-bulagan dun sa mga
28:21.9
problema sa China at masyadong niraromanticize
28:24.3
yung China. Like, for instance, yung project
28:25.8
sa Indonesia na Bandung, Jakarta,
28:27.7
railway projects, sobrang
28:29.5
overpriced, sobrang tagal, et cetera.
28:31.8
But, hindi dapat tayo hater.
28:33.9
So, which brings us to
28:35.2
itong issue natin ngayon. So, clearly,
28:43.7
script. Clearly, may plano
28:45.8
sila na tatakutin tayo. Dalawa lang
28:47.6
naman sa estilo nila, eh.
28:51.5
nako, huwag kayong mag, ano,
28:54.2
huwag kayong lumaban masyado
28:55.6
dyan sa West Philippines, eh. Kasi ang mangyari
28:57.5
dyan is magkakaroon ng gyera, which is
28:59.5
yan ang pulvoronic ng pag-iisip.
29:02.3
Hello, we took China
29:03.6
to international court, wala naman
29:05.2
gyera nangyari. Hello, dalawang taon
29:07.4
na tayo lumalaban sa China, wala naman
29:09.5
nangyari gyera. Okay, water cannon
29:13.1
let's not jump into
29:14.9
conclusions right away. Ang
29:17.4
Pilipinas ay marami pang options. We can actually
29:19.6
go for using bigger ships,
29:23.8
bring in our allies to do joint
29:25.7
patrols in the areas, et cetera. So,
29:27.5
huwag tayong masyadong magpatakot.
29:31.0
Nananakot kasi sila, eh,
29:32.2
yung mga bayaran dyan.
29:34.1
Pangalawa naman, ang gagawin nila
29:35.6
eh, sabihin nila, hindi, hindi, dahil sa
29:37.5
ginagawa natin, hindi natin makukuha yung mga
29:39.4
investments sa China. So, yung mga ibang mga
29:41.3
bayaran dyan, ang pinapost nila, tignan mo yung
29:43.4
Indonesia, napakaganda yung country nila dahil
29:45.4
mabait sila sa China. And, except,
29:48.7
you know, the reason Indonesia
29:49.8
is doing well is because they're dealing with,
29:51.6
they're getting investments from Japan, they're getting investments
29:53.7
from Netherlands, they're getting investments from many places.
29:55.7
The same thing with Vietnam. Lahat,
29:57.5
lahat ng mga countries na yun, umasensa, hindi dahil
29:59.5
sa China lang. Umasensa sila dahil kumakuha
30:01.6
sila ng investments from all around the world.
30:03.4
So, they're doing well 360 degrees.
30:06.2
And, lahat ng mga bansa na yun,
30:07.4
katulad na sinabi natin, ay lumaban na sa China
30:09.4
dati pa. So, nung nagets ng China na
30:11.4
hindi sila, ano, hindi sila
30:15.5
pwede maduterta lang, then
30:17.4
they began to respect us. Now,
30:19.4
going back to this, as I said,
30:27.5
kailangan talaga natin
30:30.8
i-investigate, guys. Kailangan talaga
30:32.7
natin i-investigate. Ano itong
30:34.6
gentleman's agreement na sinasabi
30:36.6
ni ex-human rights lawyer?
30:39.4
Ito si Harry Harry.
30:41.3
Because, potentially
30:42.6
against sa ating, hindi lang
30:44.7
national interest, but potentially unconstitutional,
30:47.0
and I'm not gonna use the word, you know what word
30:48.8
I'm gonna use. So,
30:50.7
ito si, ano, ito si
30:52.6
President Marcos Jr.
30:54.1
They have to investigate this.
30:56.0
And most importantly, the Senate has to investigate this.
30:57.5
Okay, wait lang, may mga, may mga
31:00.1
Okay, tanggal natin.
31:04.1
May mga troll dito. Umayos kaya,
31:07.9
Balikan natin ito, guys.
31:09.7
First of all, there has to be a very, very,
31:12.0
very, very clear investigation.
31:14.6
Ano itong gentleman's agreement niyan?
31:16.4
Because iba yung sinasabi ni Bato,
31:18.5
iba yung sinasabi ni,
31:20.0
I don't know, Digong, kung may sinasabi pa siya
31:21.9
Matino, iba yung sinasabi ni Harry,
31:23.8
iba yung sinasabi. So, we have to investigate
31:25.7
what's going on here. Pangalawa,
31:27.5
we also have to keep in mind, very
31:31.5
wala tayong choice. We have
31:34.3
to stand our ground until
31:35.9
China realizes na hindi tayo
31:40.1
But, having said that,
31:42.0
alright, so first, there has
31:44.0
to be very serious investigations.
31:45.8
Hindi lang sa mga fake news peddlers,
31:47.9
pero dun sa mga amo nila.
31:49.7
Hindi amo nila sa China, yung mga amo nila dito,
31:51.6
or yung mga middleman nila dito.
31:53.7
Bapat rin may investigation dun sa mga
31:55.5
questionable deals or gentelmen's
31:57.5
agreement or whatever agreement na nag-anap
31:59.7
nung panahon ng dating administration.
32:01.8
There has to be a very thorough,
32:04.4
comprehensive, and
32:07.7
investigation. Hindi hater, obviously.
32:10.2
Hindi racist, anti-China,
32:12.3
ganoon. No, no, no.
32:14.4
But at the same time,
32:16.0
we have to be very clear, guys.
32:20.1
Hindi naman pwede sabihin na,
32:23.2
pag di tayo lumaban, para sa
32:27.5
para sa ayawinsyol, parang binigay mo na
32:29.5
sa kanila yan eh. Parang gano'n na lang. Parang
32:31.2
nag-give up ka na lang. And next thing you know,
32:33.4
lahat na lang na ating karagatan, lahat na lang
32:35.2
ating fishery resources, lahat na lang ating
32:37.3
oil and gas dyan sa West Plains, good luck na lang.
32:39.8
Ang mawawala sa atin, yung sarili natin,
32:41.6
respeto natin sa sarili natin,
32:44.3
mawawala natin yung dangal
32:45.5
ng ating bayan, at mawawala
32:47.2
ang billions of dollars, if not trillions
32:49.2
of dollars of resources.
32:51.2
So, sobrang mahalaga, guys,
32:53.3
na talagang pag-aralan na mabuti
32:55.2
ng Senado. Yes, we need a serious
32:57.5
Senate hearing. So,
32:59.4
I'm calling upon JV Ejercito at saka
33:01.2
ibang Senador dyan na not to only investigate
33:03.4
itong mga fake news peddlers, mga bayaran
33:05.4
na yan, na yung iba naman sobrang
33:07.1
obvious na, ah, kailangan ba
33:09.3
natin pangalanan? Um,
33:13.5
beyond yung mga major, minor bloggers,
33:15.3
whatever, kailangan din ang pag-aralan na mabuti.
33:17.5
Ano ba itong ginagawa ng China
33:19.2
na disinformation? At ano itong mga
33:21.2
sikreto or gentleman's
33:23.6
agreement na meron sila na walang
33:27.0
signature, walang
33:28.7
formal agreement, walang treaty,
33:33.6
MOU, walang ganun. Kailangan
33:35.6
talaga investigate na ng Senate. Hindi pwede
33:37.4
investigate lang yung mga trolls.
33:39.3
Alam ko, nainisi JV dahil tinatroll,
33:41.5
troll, troll siya yung mga nag-troll sa amin
33:43.2
ng 5-6 years. Okay, good yun, sir.
33:45.5
Go after them. But just to remind
33:47.4
everyone, yung mga iba dyan na ngayon
33:49.3
piglang tapang-tapangan, na nang-anod
33:51.5
ng Gilas, Pilipinas, nag-West Philippine Sea,
33:53.6
anong sinasabi nyo ng panonidigong?
33:55.4
Okay? Anong sinasabi nyo sa
33:57.0
China? Excuse me. At sya ka yung mga
33:59.1
yung magiging pahiro-hiro dyan sa
34:01.0
West Philippine Sea. Anong ginagawa nyo yung panonidigong?
34:04.2
Yun ang sasabihin ko eh.
34:07.6
anong sinasabi mo?
34:13.4
Sir Son, kung ayaw mo dito, dumalis ka.
34:16.3
may epal na yan. So,
34:19.2
there has to be an investigation, not only in terms
34:21.4
of disinformation campaign, not only in terms
34:23.3
of bayaran, whether minor, major, whatever,
34:27.0
kailangan din na-investigate na mabuti
34:28.7
itong sinasabi, guys,
34:31.7
gentleman's agreement. That's very, very
34:35.1
important. Very, very important.
34:37.2
And from there, we have to make it clear.
34:40.5
strategy talaga ni Marcos Jr.?
34:43.5
Now, in fairness kay Marcos Jr.,
34:45.2
maayos yung kanyang statement
34:47.2
na Filipinos do not yield,
34:50.0
we are for democracy,
34:52.1
I'm sorry, we are for diplomacy,
34:53.7
but we're not gonna, you know,
34:55.8
essentially give up on,
34:57.0
our national interest. Maganda, maganda
34:59.0
yung speech. Kung sinong nagsulat ng speech
35:00.9
ni BBM, in fairness sa kanya, maayos.
35:03.3
At in fairness din kay
35:04.8
President Marcos Jr.
35:07.4
for openly also mentioning
35:11.2
may ganyan na gentleman's agreement na
35:13.0
questionable sa pagitan ni Digong
35:14.7
at sa pagitan ng China, he's
35:17.0
gonna rescind it. My problem though is
35:21.4
hindi pwede sabihin mo na kung anong ginawa ni
35:22.9
Digong kung mali. O, hindi ko na gagawin.
35:24.9
Hindi. Dapat investigate natin kung may mali
35:26.9
talaga nangyari. Dapat talaga isi-check natin
35:31.8
You cannot just say, oh, baliwala
35:33.0
na lang. Hindi pwede yan.
35:36.9
Huwag na nandama yung mga ghostwriters.
35:38.8
Hindi po ghostwriter tawag siya. Meron nga siyang
35:40.9
kaya nga may PCO eh.
35:43.1
May Presidential Communications Office eh.
35:45.1
Hindi naman ghostwriter mga yan.
35:46.7
Trabaho talaga nila gumawa ng magandang speech.
35:50.8
So, bigyan naman natin ng magandang
35:52.4
magandang, let's give credit where credit is.
35:56.9
BBM also has to be very clear.
35:59.6
Ano itong sinasabi niya na
36:01.1
tutulungan tayo ng mga aliado natin?
36:03.6
Ano itong sinasabi niya naman meron tayo
36:05.3
mga package of countermeasures? Now,
36:07.6
of course, naintindihan ko na
36:09.3
may mga bagay na hindi pwede sabihin
36:11.1
in public for tactical and strategic
36:13.3
reasons. Tactical
36:15.4
reasons because, of course,
36:17.3
you want to always have the element of surprise
36:19.2
and you also want to have your options,
36:21.8
a range of options open to you.
36:23.5
Strategic also, of course,
36:25.2
wala kang gustong sabihin na potentially
36:26.9
mag-undermine ng mga aliado mo
36:28.6
because let's not forget, ang US, Australia,
36:31.4
Japan, may sarili din silang interest
36:33.1
when it comes to China. It is true na
36:35.3
meron tayong convergence of interest
36:37.2
with these countries in fighting against bullying
36:39.0
sa West Philippine Sea because ayaw rin nila na mag-dominate
36:41.2
ng South China Sea at West Philippine Sea
36:42.6
ng China. But at the same time,
36:45.0
yung mga bansa na yan, may sarili din silang bilateral
36:46.9
relationship and complications with China.
36:49.2
So, I understand for strategic and tactical reasons,
36:51.4
for intelligence reasons, for bilateral
36:53.1
strategic relations reasons,
36:56.7
everything. But at the same time,
37:00.9
and we will hear and we'll get
37:02.8
to know in one way or another
37:04.0
na hindi puro mga matapang na salita lang ito
37:06.9
or hindi lang ito yung mga rhetorical
37:08.9
reassurances, hindi lang ito yung
37:10.9
mga usual na ginagawa ng
37:12.9
US. I don't know. You need
37:14.8
to see something different, something special.
37:18.9
things I want to see is whether anong klase mga
37:20.8
barkong gagamitin natin sa mga
37:22.6
susunod na resupply mission sa Iong Insyol,
37:24.8
anong mga diplomatic measures na gagamitin
37:26.7
natin? Are we going to openly threaten
37:28.6
the potential for withdrawing our ambassadors
37:30.7
or downgrading our diplomatic ties?
37:33.4
Anong mga strategic countermeasures
37:35.1
katulad ng, let's say,
37:36.6
dito ako sa Cordilleras, right?
37:38.4
Ang China po ay nagre-rely sa Pilipinas sa nickel
37:40.8
and some of the very, very important
37:43.1
resources. Are we
37:44.8
going to also leverage
37:46.9
that, right? Because actually,
37:49.5
SM ganon, oo, dependent sila
37:52.8
sa China. Pero sa totoo lang, pagdating sa
37:54.7
mga strategic, mga minerals,
37:56.7
mas dependent pang China sa atin.
37:58.6
Kaysa kailangan nila yung mga resources natin to
38:00.5
make some of their high-tech stuff.
38:02.6
Which, by the way, they sell back to us
38:04.2
in Finnish form with 10 times the price. But anyway,
38:07.0
mga bag-usapan yun, yung mga new colonial
38:08.7
economics na ginawa din ng mga western
38:10.6
countries sa atin before. But, going back
38:12.8
to this, you want to also see
38:14.7
ano ba talagang sinasabi
38:16.5
ni BBM in terms of tutulungan
38:18.8
tayo ng Amerika? Because, so far,
38:21.7
correct me if I'm wrong,
38:22.7
ano bang binigay sa atin ng Amerika ng malaking
38:24.7
armas na pwede pang tapat natin?
38:26.7
sa China? May binigay ba silang
38:29.1
maganda sa atin ng mga F-16 fighters?
38:31.5
May binigay ba sila sa atin ng magandang
38:36.0
May in-offer ba sila sa atin
38:37.2
ng training or something na down the road?
38:38.9
Potentially, we can have F-35 fighters,
38:41.1
not F-22, kasi sa kanila talaga yan.
38:43.8
May binigay na strategic
38:44.9
missile systems pang US sa atin?
38:46.5
High-mars, Patriot missile systems pang sa atin
38:48.7
ang US? May, may,
38:50.7
so, yun ang tanong ko ngayon.
38:53.6
Ano ang, if ever,
38:54.7
magbibigay ng weapon systems ang America?
38:56.7
sa Pilipinas? How decisive
38:58.9
those weapon systems will be?
39:00.6
And under what conditions?
39:02.7
And in exchange for what?
39:04.5
Are they gonna demand us to give them more access?
39:08.5
sa Cagayan, gano'n? So,
39:10.5
it's good to hear
39:12.6
na meron tayong mga aliado and supporters because
39:14.5
after all, the reason why ang China'y natatakot
39:16.7
na to escalate it,
39:19.2
kaya water cannon pa rin ginagamit,
39:20.9
hindi cannon, is because
39:22.5
ayaw nila magkaroon sila ng direct clash
39:24.5
with the US. Pero kung tutulungan naman tayo
39:26.7
ang US, ano ba talagang tulong na ito?
39:29.4
Ito ba yung mga usual
39:30.5
na binibigay nila over the past 30, 40, 50
39:32.7
years which did not make the Philippines
39:34.3
a world-class military?
39:36.6
Because kung titignan mo, lahat ng mga
39:38.5
matitinong armas na kinukuha natin recent years
39:40.7
ay galing sa Korea.
39:42.8
Yung mga warships natin galing sa Korea.
39:45.0
Yung F-A-50s natin galing sa Korea.
39:47.3
Na hindi naman super fighter,
39:48.8
more upgraded trainer. Yung missile
39:50.5
systems natin galing naman sa India.
39:52.6
Yung submarines na gusto natin bilhin, potentially
39:54.5
galing sa France, right? Or Spain.
39:56.7
Right? Or baka Korea rin. Ito yung tatlo.
39:59.0
So, nasa nang Amerika
40:00.8
dyan? Nasa nang US dyan?
40:03.1
Now, of course, maganda
40:04.1
na sinabi ng ibang aliada natin
40:06.8
na the Mutual Defense Treaty is very clear
40:08.6
that they'll intervene. Of course, maganda
40:12.7
talking about them intervening
40:14.8
directly, intervening
40:16.9
directly in an event of conflict,
40:19.1
sana naman may makuha din tayo ng mga
40:20.7
matitinong armas na pwede natin gamitin
40:22.8
for self-defense reasons.
40:24.5
Advanced fighter jets,
40:25.8
advanced missile systems,
40:27.9
strategic weapon systems, mga ganon.
40:30.3
So, yun guys, ang mga dapat
40:31.9
pag-usapan natin next week.
40:33.8
Again, let's keep it here. Medyo napahabang
40:35.8
usapan natin. Don't worry guys, hindi naman tayo
40:37.9
galit. Ang sinasabi ko lang, sana magkakaroon
40:40.3
tamang pagsusuri sa lahat
40:43.8
ng mga bagay na pinag-usapan natin.
40:45.7
Hindi pwede marites-marites lang itong
40:47.4
gentleman's agreement na yan. Kailangan talaga natin
40:49.6
research. Kailangan talaga natin investigate
40:51.7
what was this gentleman's agreement?
40:53.8
Did it violate our constitution?
40:59.8
in contrary to our
41:01.8
national interest? Should there be legal
41:03.8
and criminal charges?
41:05.5
That's one. B, meron bang
41:07.6
active disinformation campaign
41:09.6
ng isang puli sa West Philippine Sea?
41:11.8
Sino yung mga tao nila? Anong kailangan
41:13.8
natin gawin? Lahat na yan dapat
41:15.5
titignan natin. At pangatlo, kung tutulangan
41:17.9
tayo ng mga aliado natin, ano ba talaga
41:19.9
mga bibigyan nila sa atin? Anong mga armas?
41:22.4
Under what conditions?
41:23.6
At anong kapalit nun? Because there's no free
41:25.6
launch in international affairs, just to be clear
41:27.5
about this. So, yun po yung mga bagay na dapat
41:29.6
pag-usapan natin. Alright?
41:32.4
Ayan naman yung mga
41:35.9
Hello, ang Ukraine po ang nakukuha ng
41:37.6
100 billion dollars in military
41:39.6
aid. Alright? At ang Ukraine po
41:41.6
ay hindi, it's not even a US treaty
41:43.5
ally. And they're getting that much aid.
41:45.6
Alright? So, actually, using the Ukraine
41:47.5
model is quite problematic.
41:49.4
Ang problema kasi ng Ukraine is land sila,
41:51.7
land country sila. So, yung border nila with
41:53.7
Russia is very near. And Russia, we
41:55.6
lost hundreds of thousands of people
41:57.7
because dictator yung kanilang
41:59.3
system, dictatorship. Nagtatapon
42:01.6
lang sila ng tao dyan sa gyera nila.
42:03.4
Sa yung, you know, meat grinder na tinitawag na sobrang
42:05.7
So, please lang, you know, actually
42:07.7
the Ukraine example is not really the best
42:09.6
example because Ukraine is not even a treaty ally
42:11.6
and yet it got 100 billion dollars of
42:13.6
aid from US and others. And they're gonna
42:15.6
still get tens of billions. Ang Pilipinas kaya, not even
42:17.7
The Philippines is a treaty ally. And by
42:19.7
the way, we don't have a land border with China.
42:21.6
So, it's gonna be a totally different ballgame.
42:23.6
But anyway, I'll keep it there.
42:25.6
Mga kameta, thank you very much again sa mga
42:27.5
nahiling sa atin. So, this is just a preview of
42:29.2
God willing, the discussions we wanna have next week.
42:32.3
Siyempre, a weekend and all of that.
42:33.6
But I hope to also reach out to
42:35.6
Justice Carpio. We'll have, hopefully, an interview
42:37.4
with him. I did an interview with him, pero
42:39.5
dun sa show natin, View from Manila, dun sa
42:43.6
Abangan niyan. But I hope to also have a
42:45.4
podcast with him. I'm also looking at talking to
42:47.5
some other experts also based in the US.
42:49.9
And down the road, to be honest, guys, I wanna
42:51.6
also talk to people based in China and other places
42:53.7
as long as sigurado tayo na
42:55.6
in good faith ang conversations natin.
42:57.8
Alright? On that note, thank you very much, guys.
43:00.2
Marami salamat. At once, happy Easter
43:01.9
and have a blessed Sabbath day
43:03.8
and Easter day tomorrow.
43:06.5
Salamat po. God bless.
