00:42.7
Bago tayo magsimula, pakisubscribe po muna yung ating YouTube channel.
00:46.3
Ayan po sa mga nanonood po dito sa YouTube, makikita nyo po yung subscribe button sa iba ba.
00:50.6
Pindutin nyo lamang po yan, tapos i-click nyo yung bell at i-click nyo po yung all.
00:54.0
Dahil dito mga sangkay, 1.3.
00:56.1
18 million subscribers na po tayo.
00:57.9
So ilang tulog na lang, 1.19 million subscribers na rin po tayo.
01:02.6
So dapat kabilang kayo dyan, okay?
01:04.8
Dahil dito nag-upload po tayo ng mga mahalagang impormasyon,
01:07.3
lalong-lalo na po yung mga nangyayari sa ating mundo.
01:10.5
Sa mga nanonood sa Facebook, huwag nyo rin po kayo limutan na i-follow ang ating Facebook page.
01:15.2
At ito may papagawa lamang po ako sa inyo saglit.
01:17.4
Sa Facebook, okay?
01:18.3
Sa mga nanonood sa Facebook, gawin nyo po ito sa inyo mga cellphone
01:20.9
ng actual sa mismong video na ito.
01:23.3
May ginawa po akong sample video ito.
01:25.2
Sundan nyo lamang mga cellphone.
01:26.0
Mga sangkay, habang nanonood kayo, makikita nyo po yung tatlong tuldok sa may bandang subscribe, okay?
01:33.9
Sa taas ng video na ito, makikita nyo yung tatlong tuldok.
01:37.4
Pindutin nyo po yan mga sangkay. Sundan nyo na lamang.
01:40.0
Tatlong tuldok sa mismong video ko.
01:44.3
May lalabas po dyan na show more, okay?
01:47.9
Pindutin nyo po yung show more.
01:49.3
At yun lang mga sangkay.
01:50.5
Ganun lang kasimple.
01:51.4
I hope na nasundan po ng lahat.
01:53.3
So ito na nga mga sangkay.
01:54.4
Gusto ko rin po ito mapanoon.
01:57.1
Ano nga ba ang mangyayari talaga sa ating mundo after ng nuclear war?
02:01.9
Kasi ito po yung pinangangambahan ngayon na possible magkakaroon ng nuclear war.
02:06.1
So panoorin po natin ito ng sabay-sabay, okay?
02:29.9
Ano lang mga sangkay.
02:31.3
Actually, isang oras masyado na matagal yun.
02:33.8
Pero marami na po ang papanaw sa mundo.
02:37.0
But the worst part comes after that.
02:41.0
Nuclear war could trigger a nuclear winter that might kill billions.
02:46.0
Maybe even completely collapsing our civilization.
02:49.7
So magkikreate daw po after ng nuclear war.
02:52.8
Magkikreate daw po ito ng pagulan.
02:55.0
Magkikreate daw po ito ng pagulan.
02:55.5
Magkikreate daw po ito ng pagulan ng mga yelo.
02:56.9
How does it work?
02:58.4
And what would it look like?
03:01.0
Fire causes winter.
03:04.0
When a nuclear weapon is detonated,
03:06.3
a bubble of gas hotter than the sun is forced into existence
03:09.1
so hot that everything within kilometers immediately begins to burn.
03:14.0
The terror bubble expands rapidly,
03:16.2
filling the sky over its target,
03:18.3
creating a devastating shockwave
03:20.0
that causes most of the immediate destruction.
03:22.9
Tingnan yung mga sangkay kung gaano kalaki yan.
03:25.5
Yan po yung magiging damage niya.
03:26.9
Ganun lang kabilis sa isang syudad,
03:28.4
mga kapag-nuclear ang ginamit.
03:31.0
Basically, you break a lot of stuff
03:32.7
and set it on fire.
03:34.7
And in the worst case,
03:35.7
this turns into a firestorm
03:37.5
that consumes everything and everyone on the ground.
03:43.0
so may climate change pa.
03:45.4
Right after the explosion,
03:47.0
a gigantic mushroom cloud rises over the destruction
03:50.8
throning over its perverse work.
03:53.2
But in the following hours,
03:54.3
a far more deadly cloud forms.
03:57.7
The fire burning cities, forests, or fields
04:00.4
heats up so much air
04:02.0
that it creates its own microclimate and wind system.
04:05.9
Hot air and hot smoke rise,
04:08.1
pulling in fresh air from the surroundings
04:09.8
and fresh oxygen stoking the flames even more.
04:14.4
This creates an updraft
04:15.8
and forms a colossal pyrocumulonimbus cloud
04:18.6
that carries the soot and aerosols from the flames
04:21.5
high into the stratosphere.
04:23.1
Under normal conditions,
04:25.7
the soot rising from a big fire
04:27.3
is quickly washed out by rain.
04:30.0
But a pyrocumulonimbus cloud
04:31.7
can reach altitudes well above the height
04:33.9
where rain clouds form.
04:36.1
Once above the tropopause,
04:37.6
there's simply no weather
04:38.8
to remove soot from the atmosphere.
04:41.0
Yan po yung resulta mga sangkay.
04:42.8
Nakikita nyo yung cloud
04:44.1
na nagpo-form siya
04:45.3
after po ng pag-putok
04:47.9
mga sangkay ng nuklear.
04:49.9
May masamang epekto po yan
04:53.0
anong nagtukoy dyan mga sangkay?
04:54.4
Ano nga ba ang mangyayari
04:55.2
after ng nuklear war?
04:56.3
Kasi kapag naganap ito,
04:57.8
hindi na po ito kagaya ng dati
05:01.0
or kahit nung una pa
05:04.9
mano-mano mga sangkay
05:06.4
pagandahan ng gamit.
05:10.5
ilang oras lamang,
05:13.2
warak ang ating planeta.
05:15.3
ayon nga po sa report,
05:16.3
napakarami mga sangkay.
05:17.5
Billions of people talaga
05:19.1
ang talagang babagsak.
05:24.7
If this happens to a single city,
05:27.7
but a fairly local one.
05:29.8
But in a full-scale nuklear war,
05:31.9
warring nations following the cold logic
05:33.8
of mutually assured destruction
05:35.2
could use hundreds or even thousands
05:37.4
of nuklear weapons all at once,
05:39.5
creating hundreds of firestorms,
05:41.9
sending up to 150 million tons of soot,
05:45.1
a cube the size of a skyscraper,
05:47.5
directly into the stratosphere.
05:50.2
In the next few days and weeks,
05:53.0
After ng ilang araw at ilang linggo,
05:55.4
ito na ang mangyayari.
05:56.1
...to blanket the Earth at high altitudes,
05:58.4
absorbing light high above the ground,
06:00.4
and preventing sunlight from reaching the surface.
06:03.5
This is not like science fiction
06:05.3
where the sky turns dark and the sun disappears.
06:08.6
Winter is what happens
06:09.7
when just a little less sunlight hits the ground,
06:12.4
and now suddenly,
06:13.9
a lot less sunlight gets through.
06:17.3
the world was normal.
06:20.2
nuklear winter begins.
06:23.0
...nuklear winter
06:29.7
kung mangyayari itong
06:34.1
At hindi po kayang i-afford yan ng
06:38.3
Hindi kakayanin na marami
06:44.9
How bad nuclear winter would be
06:47.2
is still an active area of research.
06:50.1
It all hinges on one thing.
06:53.0
will burn really hot?
06:55.2
How many firestorms
06:56.5
will be caused by the heat of the explosions?
06:59.1
This depends on many factors,
07:00.7
from the materials a city is made of
07:02.6
to the time of the year,
07:04.2
if a forest is nearby,
07:07.1
Yan na po yung may game forest.
07:10.2
Wala na, mga sangkay.
07:14.3
So, just keep in mind,
07:15.8
we're working with some assumptions.
07:18.0
Here's the good news.
07:19.7
Nuklear winter is not permanent,
07:24.4
The effects on the climate only last
07:26.1
as long as the soot remains in the atmosphere,
07:28.3
which is at most a decade or so
07:29.8
until it clears out and temperatures normalize.
07:32.9
The bad news is that this causes
07:34.8
almost immediate climate change
07:36.7
within a few weeks.
07:38.7
It disrupts our climate system
07:40.6
faster than any living being can adapt to.
07:45.1
So, ibig sabihin, mga sangkay,
07:47.1
though hindi naman magtatagal yung
07:49.0
makikita po natin na
07:52.5
may clouds na delikado
07:54.5
na magkikreate po ng
07:57.5
after po ng nuklear war.
07:59.5
Kaya nga lang, mga sangkay,
08:01.5
after ng ilang taon,
08:02.5
ang magiging problema dito,
08:03.5
yung mabilis na epekto
08:05.5
ng climate change.
08:07.5
Ngayon pa nga lang, mga sangkay,
08:09.0
na wala pang ano tayo.
08:11.0
Wala pa po tayo sa stage ng nuklear war.
08:14.0
May climate change na po na malala.
08:16.5
Abnormal na po ang panahon.
08:18.0
How much more kung magagano po itong nuklear war?
08:20.0
This new climate,
08:21.5
our seasons are sad,
08:22.3
and suddenly all wrong.
08:23.8
Winters are much longer,
08:25.3
summers shorter and colder,
08:27.3
or gone altogether.
08:29.3
This also means less evaporation over the oceans,
08:32.3
which means less rain,
08:33.3
and maybe large-scale droughts.
08:37.3
Hindi na uulanin gaano mga sangkay.
08:40.3
Yan na po ang magiging epekto ng mundo
08:43.3
after ng nuklear war.
08:45.3
This is bad because our food eats the sun.
08:48.3
Without good summers and enough rain,
08:50.3
growing seasons shrink,
08:51.3
or even collapse.
08:54.3
The majority of humanity lives in an area
08:56.3
called the mid-latitude.
08:58.3
A strip of land that has the ideal temperature
09:01.3
Not just because it's not too hot or cold,
09:03.3
it's also where the plants we eat grow best.
09:07.3
The vast majority of the food we eat stems
09:09.3
from a few highly efficient crops
09:11.3
that are mostly produced in a few very
09:13.3
agriculturally productive regions,
09:15.3
like the US Great Plains or Ukraine.
09:17.3
From these bread and rice baskets of the world,
09:20.3
they get traded and shipped around the world.
09:23.3
In the worst case of a full-scale nuclear war,
09:26.3
the temperatures in the mid-latitudes
09:28.3
will probably stay below freezing for several years.
09:32.3
Nothing at all can grow under these conditions,
09:34.3
and the world's bread baskets would suddenly turn empty.
09:39.3
If food production crashes,
09:40.3
the world's food producers would very likely ramp up prices,
09:43.3
So kukulangin mga sangkay na ng supply ng food,
09:46.3
tapos tataas na po yung presyo ng bilihin.
09:48.3
Or even stop selling food to other countries,
09:51.3
if they're still able to farm their fields at all.
09:54.3
It's easy to calculate how many people can be alive on Earth.
09:57.3
You take all the calories we can produce
09:59.3
and divide them by what the average person needs to survive.
10:03.3
If you have more people than calories,
10:05.3
then within a few weeks, you don't anymore.
10:09.3
Humanity has only a few weeks' supply of crops and food,
10:13.3
not enough to survive this drastic drop in production.
10:17.3
Climate is not the only issue.
10:19.3
Modern industrialized agriculture is a complex affair
10:22.3
that relies on functioning supply chains
10:24.3
to provide unthinkable amounts of industrially produced fertilizer and chemicals
10:28.3
to kill weeds and vermin.
10:30.3
Massive numbers of specialized modern machinery
10:33.3
is plowing, sowing, harvesting, and distributing.
10:36.3
After a nuclear war,
10:38.3
especially if the countries that produced the food were part of the nuclear exchange,
10:42.3
there may simply be no more fuel, fertilizer, or machine parts
10:46.3
because there are no more oil refineries, ports,
10:48.3
and other essential infrastructure left,
10:50.3
damaging global food production even more.
10:54.3
Okay, so now that we've set the stage,
10:57.3
let's look at what science says about the actual wars that could happen.
11:02.3
Actual Nuclear War
11:05.3
Today, there are two main conflicts that scientists think about
11:07.3
when making calculations of nuclear winter,
11:10.3
a nuclear war between India and Pakistan,
11:12.3
and one between the US and Russia.
11:15.3
The most likely smallish nuclear exchange
11:18.3
would be fought today between India and Pakistan
11:21.3
with relatively low-yield weapons.
11:25.3
Even in a pretty mild nuclear war like this,
11:27.3
the immediate explosions would kill around 27 million people,
11:31.3
which is horrible enough.
11:33.3
In just a few hours, more people would die than in all of World War I.
11:45.3
In this scenario, the strategy is to improve the plan,
11:49.3
but this time, there's nothing like that, guys.
11:52.3
The ensuing fires would not cause a nuclear winter,
11:55.3
but a mild nuclear autumn.
11:58.3
But even this would disrupt the climate and thereby global agriculture,
12:03.3
enough to starve up to 250 million people worldwide.
12:08.3
Unfortunately, India and Pakistan are in an arms race
12:11.3
and have been increasing the number and power of warheads in their arsenal.
12:15.3
The next stage of escalation would be war with hundreds of nuclear weapons.
12:19.3
The bombs and fires destroying many major population centers
12:23.3
and killing over 100 million people.
12:26.3
A war on this scale would cause a nuclear winter
12:29.3
that would damage global agriculture enough
12:31.3
to cut the available calories for humanity in half.
12:34.3
The number of people that starve to death would be as high as 2 billion.
12:44.3
What is that, guys?
12:45.3
That's just hunger.
12:48.3
That's according to science.
12:50.3
In hunger, after World War III, or let's say, the nuclear war,
12:56.3
millions or billions will be destroyed in the world
13:02.3
because of the lack of food supply.
13:06.3
Countries will enjoy their products
13:12.3
and export them to other countries.
13:16.3
So, the world will really be hungry.
13:19.3
And beyond that, guys,
13:20.3
the environment will be destroyed.
13:23.3
we will return to the environment.
13:26.3
there will be extreme cold,
13:28.3
extreme heat, guys,
13:31.3
and the drying of water.
13:36.3
One in four humans alive today.
13:39.3
The worst-case scenario
13:41.3
is a full-scale global war between NATO nations and Russia,
13:46.3
which also continues to build its nuclear arsenal.
13:50.3
In a war between a former, future, and current superpower,
13:53.3
thousands of nuclear weapons could be detonated.
13:57.3
In a scenario with around 4,400 nuclear weapons,
14:00.3
360 million people would perish right away.
14:05.3
We have no other event to even compare the death and destruction to.
14:08.3
It's like humanity dropping an asteroid on itself.
14:12.3
The nuclear wind that follows such an apocalyptic war
14:15.3
would tank human calorie production by as much as 90%.
14:19.3
Not only would almost all of our agriculture take an immediate and deadly hit,
14:23.3
the climate would take at least a decade to recover.
14:26.3
Because a war like this would specifically hit the world regions
14:29.3
that produce most of the food for humanity,
14:32.3
recovery will be much, much harder than with other conflicts.
14:37.3
the global death toll from starvation
14:40.3
could rise to about 5 billion.
14:44.3
That's what the experts say.
14:46.3
They say 5 billion will reach the population
14:50.3
that will really disappear,
14:54.3
after this nuclear war.
14:57.3
Countries like Russia, China, Canada, the US, and much of Europe,
15:01.3
only a few percent of the population might survive.
15:04.3
Humanity will never be the same again.
15:35.7
While nowhere is truly safe,
15:37.3
Some nations in the Southern Hemisphere may fare well enough to endure
15:41.3
while the rest of the world collapses.
15:44.5
All the nuclear weapon states are in the Northern Hemisphere,
15:47.3
so a few countries like Australia, New Zealand, and Argentina
15:50.4
may be able to endure for a bunch of different reasons.
15:55.4
Yan lang po, ito lang tatlong bansa.
15:59.2
Ang possible na makaligtas mga sangkay.
16:02.1
Their nuclear winter would be milder,
16:04.1
they have a lot of livestock that would not be as affected as crops,
16:06.8
so they would probably stop exporting food
16:09.5
and focus on keeping their own people alive,
16:12.4
assuming they aren't invaded.
16:13.9
Sila-sila lang, ang tatlong bansa lang yun
16:15.8
ang makakapag-keep ng kanilang mga supply ng pagkain
16:20.7
so hindi mahihirapan.
16:22.3
Gaano, hindi masyado mahihirapan ang kumundidad nila.
16:25.9
Their food by other starving nations.
16:28.3
It's safe to say that the world would become extremely unpleasant for a long time
16:32.5
and it's impossible to know how many people would have died
16:36.0
when the nuclear winter would come.
16:38.8
In the worst case, human civilization could collapse
16:41.5
and the survivors would be thrown back thousands of years,
16:45.4
slowly trying to recover a world full of scars and graves.
16:49.5
Eventually, when they've rebuilt civilization,
16:53.0
would they ever build nuclear weapons again?
16:58.2
We know for sure that we need to do anything we can
17:01.6
to make sure nuclear war never happens.
17:03.8
This video was supported by Open Philanthropy.
17:06.8
If you want to know what you can do...
17:08.8
Okay, so, yan po ang magiging senaryo, mga sangkay,
17:12.1
just in case na magkakaroon nga po ng nuclear war.
17:16.5
At hindi po akayanin ng sangkatauhan yan, mga sangkay,
17:19.2
kung magaganap ito.
17:20.9
Pero, nakikita po natin ngayon, mga sangkay, yung senaryo.
17:27.6
Diba, NATO against Russia,
17:32.8
North Korea, China against some or many countries,
17:36.8
countries in Asia.
17:39.7
Yan po yung ganap ngayon, mga sangkay.
17:41.1
So, kapag nagkaroon ng full scale ng nuclear war, boom.
17:47.0
Kawawa ang sangkatauhan.
17:50.4
Ang mundo natin ay hindi na magiging katulad sa kung ano ang mayroon ngayon.
17:54.8
Well, ano po ang inyong komento, mga sangkay?
17:58.0
Dapat pa ba talaga tayong humantong sa nuclear war o ang ating mundo?
18:01.5
I-comment nyo po sa iba ba ang inyong mga opinion.
18:04.2
Meron po akong isang YouTube channel, guys.
18:06.8
Ito po, isang revelation.
18:08.9
Hanapin nyo po ito sa YouTube, mga sangkay.
18:10.5
Nag-upload po tayo dito about sa mga nangyayari sa ating mundo
18:13.1
related po sa Bible prophecy.
18:15.2
So, ang gawin nyo lamang,
18:16.8
pag nakita nyo na itong YouTube channel natin,
18:19.4
click the subscribe, click the bell, and click call.
18:21.7
Ako na po ay magpapaalam.
18:22.8
Mag-iingat po ang lahat.
18:23.8
God bless everyone.
