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21:29.3
Yes, a long way to go
21:45.5
Correct, but I'm just saying
21:46.9
The trend line is clear
21:48.2
Hindi na frontrunner si Sara Duterte
21:50.8
Hindi na siya shoo-in for 2028
21:53.0
It's now a competitive race
21:54.9
And so far the Tulfos are in a pole position
21:57.2
Again, we don't know
21:58.9
What's going to happen by 2028
22:00.1
A lot can change until then
22:02.5
But one thing that is very clear right now
22:04.8
Is that nawawala yung grip
22:07.7
Forget about now, but even for
22:10.6
Potential succession question
22:12.1
Well, not potential, but constitutionally
22:14.8
Mandated succession question
22:17.8
So that's very very important
22:19.4
Now to keep this very short
22:21.6
Kasi kailangan akong mahabol sa other things
22:23.5
One of my problems
22:28.6
Opposition analysis
22:30.9
Palating sinasabi
22:31.7
Ah, fake news yan
22:33.1
Disinformation yan
22:34.1
Well, last time I checked
22:37.4
Nagfa-fake news sa mga Tulfos
22:39.8
We all know very well
22:41.5
Bakit ang lakas ng kanilang appeal
22:44.7
Because there's this perception
22:45.7
That they're very helpful
22:46.8
And they're filling in the gaps
22:48.1
As far as our justice system
22:49.8
Our broken justice system is concerned
22:51.5
My good friend historian
22:53.6
Has also done a fantastic job
22:55.8
At least para sa kanya
22:58.5
Should have been actually
22:59.2
Picking much earlier than now
23:01.2
In fact, nauna pa sila kay Digong
23:02.9
In terms of building this kind of
23:06.1
Justice man image
23:08.2
At the national level
23:09.5
At the national level
23:10.6
So nung nanalo si Digong
23:12.4
Wilang Presidente 2016
23:13.6
I naturally always thought
23:17.0
Since hindi na sila
23:23.9
Psychologically, politically
23:25.9
Electorally speaking
23:28.0
Yun yung nakita natin
23:30.4
Hindi pwede idaan na lang lahat sa
23:33.2
You also have to understand voters
23:36.1
You have to understand
23:37.0
The demand side of politics
23:39.2
Hindi pwede yung supply side
23:40.9
Supply side is what?
23:42.0
You're always looking at
23:42.8
Information fed to the people
23:45.2
What the politician do
23:46.7
But you also have to understand
23:49.1
Based on their needs
23:51.2
And their perceptions
23:52.5
Of what they need
23:53.4
As far as leadership is concerned
23:58.3
A long debate about
23:59.6
What we believe is best for Senate
24:04.0
Best people for Senate
24:07.1
Who not only understands
24:08.9
The law very well
24:09.8
And the Constitution
24:10.5
But also understands
24:11.8
Yung mga pangailangan natin
24:15.6
But when it comes to the voters
24:17.8
You have to understand
24:19.0
From the perspective of the voters
24:20.1
From the perspective of the voters
24:21.2
Yung mga binabota nila sa Senado
24:22.7
Or presidency for that matter
24:24.3
Are people that they believe
24:29.3
Because ang baba ng kumpiyansa ng tao
24:32.7
Sa ating demokrasya
24:34.0
Dahil hindi ito nag-deliver
24:35.5
I mean after all of those years
24:37.1
Of reformist administrations
24:38.6
Ang daming mga Pilipino
24:40.1
Na may problema sa ustisya
24:41.6
May mga daming problema sa due process
24:43.8
Ang daming mga kaso na hindi resolved
24:45.6
Ang daming mga pre-trial detainees
24:48.4
Sobrang konti yung investment
24:50.1
Sa judiciary natin
24:51.2
So ang daming problema
24:52.3
Sa ating justice system
24:54.0
Even when yung mga reformists
24:57.0
So naturally you understand
24:58.9
That a lot of Filipinos
24:59.8
Have lost confidence and trust
25:01.6
Dun sa quote-unquote
25:03.2
Democratic institutions
25:04.2
So it's really that frustration
25:06.1
That has made them
25:07.8
More and more amenable
25:09.4
To have someone like Duterte
25:11.4
Even the Marcos is back
25:12.6
But the Tulfos have been there
25:14.6
For quite some time
25:15.5
And they have been constantly
25:16.7
Exposing yung mga shortcomings
25:18.4
Or supposedly exposing
25:20.0
Yung mga shortcomings
25:20.8
Sa ating law enforcement system
25:23.7
Sa ating justice system
25:25.0
And for all criticism
25:27.1
Of their approach
25:32.6
They never called for EJK
25:33.8
They never called for
25:35.8
They never went against
25:36.9
Our democratic system
25:38.6
And please check also
25:40.0
Yung de-clarification
25:41.0
That Rafi Tulfo made
25:44.0
All of those factors
25:45.7
All of those factors
25:50.0
Walang tiwalang mga
25:52.6
Sa ating mga institusyon
25:54.0
Ang nangyari dito
26:00.2
With all the macho-ness
26:01.7
With all of the proactive interventions
26:05.6
That Rafi has been doing
26:07.9
The good positioning
26:08.6
That Erwin Tulfo did
26:10.1
As DSWD Secretary
26:13.7
Endured them more and more
26:16.2
Yung relatability
26:17.5
Perceptions of compassion
26:22.3
Is always a combination
26:23.4
Of fear and compassion
26:25.4
Fear and compassion
26:26.8
Ito ay matapang na tao
26:28.2
He's gonna fight for us
26:30.0
And there's kind of
26:31.9
A reverence for that person
26:34.6
Meaning relatable
26:36.3
And he's gonna fight for me
26:37.3
Or she's gonna fight for me
26:39.9
Mayroong patriarchal tayo
26:41.9
Our notions of strength
26:48.9
Curiousness of toxic masculinity
26:50.2
All curiousness of tone
26:51.3
And everything that you may have
26:52.4
The reality is that
26:58.0
To the shortcomings
26:59.0
And defaults in our system
27:01.7
Ito yung parate ko sinasabi
27:03.0
If you don't take care
27:04.7
Of your democracy
27:05.5
This is what's gonna happen
27:06.9
Because hindi pwede
27:08.0
Hanggang salita lang
27:09.5
Hanggang mga abstract concept lang
27:12.3
Hanggang mga batas lang
27:13.7
Tapos hindi na-implement
27:16.2
People lose confidence
27:18.1
And there's so many
27:21.0
Filipinos are ambivalent
27:22.6
Towards their democracy
27:24.7
They're open to more
27:25.6
Authoritarian leaders
27:26.3
I cite that Pew survey
27:29.4
Throughout all these years
27:31.9
Filipinos are open
27:33.3
To authoritarian leaders
27:34.3
Because napaka-baba
27:35.6
Yung kanilang kumpiyansa
27:37.5
And I cannot blame them
27:40.3
Na we had reformist administration
27:41.6
Yes, there were many
27:42.4
Good improvements
27:44.0
But the reality is that
27:45.7
Hindi tayo nagkaroon
27:46.5
Ng inclusive development
27:47.5
The reality is that
27:49.1
Nag-continue to dominate
27:50.5
The political system
27:52.9
Up to 80% of the congress
27:54.3
Was dominated by dynasties
27:58.3
Of newly created growth
27:59.3
Was taken home by
28:00.1
40 richest families
28:01.3
So even in the best
28:02.2
Reformist era we had
28:05.2
Tremendous amount
28:06.7
Of wealth and power
28:10.2
All of the shortcomings
28:11.1
We had in our justice system
28:13.8
Nahiirapan pa rin
28:17.9
The confidence of people
28:20.1
That's where Riza comes in
28:22.9
Some interesting stuff here
28:26.3
Pa rin klaro kasi
28:28.9
Ano ng opposition
28:31.0
So that's a completely
28:32.1
Different discussion
28:32.9
We can have later on
28:33.7
But in the meantime
28:34.5
You have to understand
28:36.7
Attack the voters
28:39.9
Question their literacy
28:41.2
You have to understand
28:45.3
That they're open
28:46.2
To these kinds of leaders
28:49.2
What are the things
28:49.9
That these leaders
28:52.4
Amenable to people
28:54.0
Kaya nga may term na
28:57.5
Mismo naghahanap ng
29:00.3
To solve problems
29:01.8
Weak institutions
29:02.9
Weak democratic institutions
29:04.0
Have not been able to solve
29:09.0
And proper understanding
29:11.0
Jump into judgments
29:13.1
So I think this is
29:15.7
Thank you very much
29:16.9
I'll try to get back to you
29:18.5
Once we have clear
29:19.5
Image of the data
29:21.1
And numbers that we have
29:22.1
Based on the reports
29:23.3
And then hopefully
29:25.9
Folks from Pulse Asia
29:29.8
Who know a thing or two
29:30.8
About these things
29:32.5
And have discussions
29:33.2
About this latest service
29:34.9
Thank you very much
29:36.2
And talk to you soon