01:31.1
Eto na, kailangan natin mag-prepare for Taiwan.
01:33.4
So, bigyan na kami ng access at bigyan namin kayo ng armas.
01:36.7
Let's go, let's do this, right?
01:38.1
So, are you worried about this?
01:40.2
Are you happy about this?
01:41.3
Are you reprehensive or anxious about this?
01:44.7
Because ako medyo may mixed feelings.
01:46.7
Baka may, again ah, all of us don't like the bullying of China.
01:50.3
Hindi rin tayo agree dun sa mga paleftis-leftist na US ang sinisisi sa lahat ng problema sa mundo.
01:55.9
As if yung China, walang agency, walang morality, whatever.
02:00.3
Baka naman, BBM is going a little bit too fast here.
02:02.7
And you might get locked into this.
02:05.9
Well, una, ay importante yung meeting na yan for BBM.
02:11.8
Dahil may isang columnist nga, kilumparayan dun sa,
02:18.2
With Stalin, with Roosevelt, and with Churchill.
02:22.5
Si Churchill yung pinakalis important.
02:25.0
Pero, ang ganda nung value added sa kanya, dun sa dalawa niyang kasama.
02:29.3
Yung dalawa niyang more powerful na kasama.
02:33.0
May isang columnist.
02:33.9
Bagmat iba yan, no?
02:35.8
Apples and oranges.
02:37.0
Maganda yung image ni BBM.
02:39.1
Kasama yung Prime Minister.
02:40.9
Wait, hindi ba Tehran Conference yan?
02:42.5
I think sa Tehran sila nag-meet, yung tatlo na yan.
02:45.1
But anyway, Yalta.
02:46.1
I think you're saying, Yalta.
02:47.4
There's the Yalta and the Tehran.
02:49.0
Yes, yes, correct.
02:50.7
Tapos, ang beneficiary dyan ay si BBM.
02:57.2
Dahil siya yung pinaka junior-junior partner.
03:00.1
Pero in the global stage, parang ka-level niya si Biden.
03:05.6
Tsaka si President or Prime Minister ng Japan.
03:09.3
So, yun yung partner.
03:10.3
Ikalawa, I doubt kung sa Pilipinas ay positive yan.
03:16.1
ang tingin dyan ng mga Pinoy, another travel.
03:18.6
Hindi naman nila ma-appreciate yung importance niyan.
03:22.1
Maraming mga Pilipino.
03:23.2
Ang makikita lang na, oh, biyahe na naman.
03:26.3
Last month, apat ang biyahe.
03:28.8
Ang kaya nang tumapat yan, yung Richard Heydarian.
03:33.9
Kaya, yun yung magiging tingin.
03:36.2
Just to clear, okay?
03:39.2
Dahil sa mga universidad, mga educational.
03:44.0
Tapos, ang hinahanap ng tao, where's the beef?
03:46.8
Where's the beef?
03:47.7
Sabi nila, out of the $100 billion na commitments, may pumasok na $14 billion.
03:54.4
Sabi ni Pasquale.
03:56.2
Pero, nasaan yun? Where is it?
03:57.7
Hindi natin mahanap yung $14 billion.
03:59.7
So, ang titingnan dyan ng mga tao is, where is the beef?
04:03.1
Pero, yung ika-apat na tingin ko pwedeng maging positive ay,
04:06.9
for the first time, nagiging emotional yung issue ng West Philippine Sea.
04:13.3
Tumataasin di lamang sa ratings.
04:16.1
In terms of emotional content.
04:17.6
Kaya, hindi ako magugulat kung in the next election, sa midterm, and in 2028,
04:23.0
the geopolitics, the foreign policy, the West Philippine Sea will be an election issue.
04:28.8
Dahil before, lahat ng election natin, di naman naging issue ang foreign policy.
04:32.7
Tingin ko, itong parating namang election, midterm and 2028,
04:37.6
pwedeng maging election issue because of the emotions,
04:41.1
because of the emerging patriotism ng mga Pilipino.
04:44.1
Dahil dito sa aggression.
04:45.2
Yan yung pwedeng gamitin ni BBM para mabawasan yung slide ng kanyang approval.
04:52.9
Gamitin niya yan pang kontra ron sa slide.
04:56.1
At gamitin niya yan going into the midterm election.
04:59.1
Ipinta niya yung kanyang mga kalaban na pro-China.
05:02.3
Ipinta niya yung kanyang mga kalaban na betrayal of the Pilipino people.
05:09.3
So, yan yung kwant.
05:10.1
Bagamat, kung titignan natin yung personality ni BBM,
05:15.2
hindi siya ganun eh.
05:16.5
Hindi siya Richard Heidarian o Ronald Llamas na pala-away.
05:21.5
Hindi siya ganun eh.
05:22.8
Pero nakita rin natin itong nakaraang buwan na nag-scale up na siya.
05:27.6
Very sharp yung kanyang banat eh.
05:30.0
Tapos very sharp yung kanyang pagkuhan ng support sa mga Pilipino
05:34.6
sa issue ng West Philippine Sea.
05:36.9
Kaya tingin ko itong fourth variable na ito,
05:39.9
more than the meeting itself,
05:42.2
more than the importance given,
05:46.5
more than the trip itself,
05:48.2
ito yung pwede niyang idikit dyan.
05:50.7
The emotion about the West Philippine Sea,
05:53.6
about Chinese aggression,
05:54.6
the emotion about an emerging new patriotism,
05:58.7
yan ang gamitin niya.
06:01.3
But emotion directed in a certain way, right?
06:04.5
The implication being the other side are China's puppets.
06:07.3
Last time I checked, this month, the other one is planning to go to Beijing again.
06:11.4
So, I suspect China doesn't need him anymore.
06:14.1
Kasi mukhang used to say that.
06:15.3
I don't know if he's still invited but,
06:18.2
di ba, yan ang pagkakalam natin.
06:20.5
Gamitin niya yung vulnerability na yun,
06:22.4
ang kanyang mga kalaban, hindi lang ng China.
06:24.3
At gamitin niya yung wellspring of emotional support
06:30.2
sa issue ng West Philippine Sea.
06:34.5
Ang tingin ko, nagsisimula siya mag-scale.
06:38.7
Nakikita ko rin yung kanyang communication team, yung PCO,
06:42.7
nagsisimulang gamitin yan.
06:45.2
And also yung mga ibang politiko na nakikiposition for 2025.
06:49.7
Alam na natin, sino mga ito, ito yung mga tayimig dati,
06:52.1
tapos ngayon biglang bayani na lahat.
06:54.6
Pero alam nila, vulnerable sila eh.
06:58.6
Ang tingin ko lang, it has to be really,
07:01.2
I don't want to use the term weaponized,
07:03.6
but it has to be really explicit na para sa bayan.
07:07.0
Abila yung mga traidor.
07:08.2
Essentially ganoon.
07:09.5
Yes, it has to be weaponized.
07:11.6
At saka quick burn.
07:12.4
Ako, pwede kong gamitin yung salitang weaponized.
07:20.3
Pero quick burn, it has to be quick burn.
07:22.6
Hindi ito pwedeng slow burn.
07:25.8
The slow burn is not working.
07:27.5
Look at these numbers.
07:31.3
Hirap pa rin si BBM eh.
07:32.9
Ano yung mga last year, nagsabi siya na magka-cabinet re-bump siya.
07:37.3
Paano? Nag-deep siya last year eh.
07:39.3
Pero hindi nangyari eh.
07:41.7
Ngayon, baka kung hindi siya mag-cabinet re-bump,
07:45.2
ay magpapatuloy ang deep na yan.
07:50.6
But then again, I mean, going back to this issue of
07:53.1
Philippine-Japan-US,
07:55.8
ang worry ko na naman, ang mangyari dito is
07:57.7
puro naman boots and bases ang pag-usapan.
08:01.2
Kailangan talaga natin pera sa economy natin.
08:05.1
Alam mo naman yung banat ng kabila eh.
08:07.1
Ang banat ng kabila,
08:08.5
ito naman mga Amerikano, wala naman pera mga yan.
08:11.1
Mga Japon naman, wala na rin mga yan.
08:15.2
They have to put their money where their mouth is.
08:17.9
Dahil di pa natin nakikita eh.
08:19.7
Puro commitments eh.
08:20.8
Yung galing dito si Kwan,
08:24.0
Secretary of Trade ng US.
08:26.4
Secretary Raymundo.
08:28.1
Secretary Raymundo, exactly.
08:30.4
May dala siya na,
08:31.5
initially kasi 200 businessmen yun eh.
08:34.4
Ang dinala niya, 30.
08:37.0
Including Apple, the app.
08:39.6
At yung 30 na yun,
08:41.3
hindi manufacturing.
08:45.2
wala masyadong impact sa economy.
08:47.0
Eh, kung gano'n yung
08:47.9
yung i-deliver ng US sa atin,
08:52.6
hihimukin tayo na sumama sa Taiwan issue.
08:55.8
na hindi united yung Pilipino.
08:59.2
West Philippine Sea na yung unite tayo.
09:04.4
At pwedeng gamitin ang mga kalaban niya.
09:07.7
yung presidente natin,
09:08.7
dadalin tayo in harm's way.
09:11.8
Et cetera, et cetera.
09:18.1
The optics is bad
09:19.3
if it's just purong
09:20.1
defense-defense deals.
09:23.3
tayo lang mag-host
09:26.2
Ganon-ganon, di ba?
09:27.1
That's gonna be a problem.
09:28.5
They have to show
09:29.8
some economic issue,
09:31.4
some non-military issue,
09:32.7
para hindi mukhang
09:33.3
hate-hate sa China lang
09:35.0
or purong ma-away-away
09:36.3
or war hang dating.
09:37.8
they really have to have deliverables.
09:39.2
I don't know if they're pulling
09:40.3
the right strings
09:41.1
to tell Japan and US
09:42.3
na hindi pwede boots and bases lang.
09:45.0
and the idea of Japanese troops
09:46.8
back in the Philippine soil,
09:48.7
I don't think it's gonna happen
09:50.3
but easy can be weaponized
09:52.0
by the makapili club.
09:54.5
makapili 2.0 pala.
09:56.5
Pro-China kasi ito.
09:57.6
Yung makapili na first
10:01.3
yung Balikatan ngayon
10:02.2
is very provocative.
10:04.0
parang nandun sila
10:05.3
sa border ng EEZ.
10:07.7
doon sila pupunta
10:08.3
itong Balikatan na ito.
10:10.6
part ng Balikatan
10:11.9
pupunta sa norte.
10:15.6
Pupunta sila dyan, no?
10:18.2
it's a scaling up,
10:20.2
pero wala namang scaling up
10:21.5
in terms of economic investments.
10:28.9
I hope na intindihan din.
10:31.1
Ang problema ko kasi,
10:32.4
yung mindset siguro
10:36.2
kailangan naman tayo
10:37.1
ng mga yan sa military.
10:38.2
So, kahit anong bigay natin,
10:39.8
Tapos yung mga hapon naman,
10:41.6
matagal na namin binibigay
10:45.0
Hindi na tayo mabigay,
10:46.0
Kasi nag-shrink na yung population nila,
10:47.7
nag-shrink yung economy,
10:48.8
di na sila number three,
10:50.2
di na sila number two.
10:51.5
May limitasyon din ng Japan.
10:52.8
They're technically in recession, no?
10:55.8
both are recession,
10:56.6
Germany and Japan,
10:57.5
except mas worse yung Japan,
10:58.8
kaya nag-bump up yung Germany
11:00.8
Kaya nga weird ng feelings
11:01.7
ng mga alaman, eh.
11:02.8
Pababa yung economy nila,
11:03.9
pero umakit yung ranking nila.
11:05.6
Bigos yung situation ng Japan,
11:07.8
So, it's a weird feeling
11:09.4
that people are having there.
11:12.6
putting billions of dollars
11:14.2
into semiconductors,
11:18.0
yun na naman yung feeling ko,
11:19.5
Pero yung mga investors nila
11:20.5
pumunta sa Vietnam.
11:22.7
Pumunta sa India.
11:24.2
O, yung mga gana,
11:24.8
eh, wala namang paki sa atin,
11:26.0
wala namang paki sa USs,
11:27.9
Wala namang paki sa
11:30.0
ng China yung iba dyan, eh.
11:31.7
Thailand pro-China yan, eh.
11:34.9
Pero, as usually,
11:35.8
pinag-uusapan natin
11:36.7
sa mga previous episodes
11:38.6
kailangan din naman lang
11:39.4
konting improvement
11:40.3
sa ating comparative advantage.
11:42.5
Kailangan din naman natin
11:44.6
we have to meet halfway,
11:46.5
Kailangan din natin
11:47.2
ng deliverables, no?
11:49.1
Ease in doing business.
11:50.7
Ang daming pipirmahan,
11:51.9
ang daming humihingi,
11:56.4
infrastructure, no?
11:58.2
Mukhang nag-i-improve naman
12:01.5
yung airport natin,
12:02.9
Nawala na yung surot.
12:04.8
Tsaka yung mga daga.
12:07.5
tatapas yata yung
12:08.3
airport tax na naman natin.
12:10.7
Ayun na naman tayo, eh.
12:14.3
doble yung presyo.
12:17.8
yun ang pinaka-worry ko
12:20.6
there has to be really
12:25.2
is strategic scouting.
12:29.2
Yung isa-scout mo
12:30.0
yung hindi yung perfect pa.
12:31.3
Yung may potential pa.
12:33.2
ilalagay mo ng konting
12:34.1
trust and confidence
12:36.1
Pero as you correctly pointed out,
12:38.2
that unvarnished talent,
12:39.6
that rough diamond
12:40.4
also has to do something
12:43.8
the ultimate question, Ronald.
12:46.6
when you have a president
12:49.7
his conflict avoidance,
12:52.4
and then yung kabinete mo,
12:54.2
may sariling pag-iisip
12:56.2
So maybe he should have
12:58.4
Maybe he should have
13:01.7
kasi if you wanna
13:02.9
clean up the system,
13:04.6
tingnan mo si Modi,
13:07.0
Parati may number two
13:07.9
ang mga ganun tao
13:08.6
ay yung mga populist
13:13.3
Wala siyang number two
13:17.5
can go after drug lords,
13:20.9
here and there, right?
13:22.5
May tunay na big strategy.
13:24.2
Wala siyang ganun eh.
13:29.5
tunay na ruling party.
13:36.5
political strategist.
13:43.1
ito yung lulusog.
13:44.8
Ito yung attack dog.
13:47.5
for lack of a better example,
13:48.8
parang atrilianes.
13:50.9
Atrilianes na attack dog.
13:53.2
Wala siyang ganun eh.
13:56.5
office for political affairs.
14:01.7
Wala kang ruling party.
14:02.9
Wala kang ruling coalition.
14:04.9
political operatives.
14:09.4
Baka kayang punuan
14:11.7
klaseng back yun.
14:24.1
Baka kunin pa rin
14:27.7
Ewan ko kahit gadon.
14:29.0
Umaasa na lang siya
14:32.8
siyang pumasa dyan.
14:35.5
from out of nowhere,
14:36.8
Tahimik at tahimik siya
14:37.8
since na-appoint siya.
14:39.0
nagsalita na lang
14:40.2
something ludicrous,
14:43.0
for a guy like him.
14:45.2
there are levels.
14:46.3
Talaga naghahanap
14:47.0
siya ng importance, eh, no?
14:49.2
Kasi di siya pinapansin
14:51.2
Very pathetic, no?
14:52.2
It's very pathetic, no?
14:54.9
ng Middle Ages, no?
14:56.1
Yung ganyang klaseng
14:58.1
they fall on their swords.
15:00.1
They do as a puko.
15:01.4
Kaya mukha naman to.
15:03.4
Pati yung sword yata neto,
15:06.4
Para-para, Sir Ronald,
15:08.5
si BBM snob yan, eh.
15:09.9
Kung hindi ka sosyalin,
15:13.2
Hindi ka papansin niya
15:14.1
kahit advisor ka.
15:15.3
At kung sobra kang yabang,
15:16.7
tapos wala ka naman laman.
15:18.1
Yun lang yung problema.
15:21.5
Pero yung meron kang
15:24.1
mayabang mo lang, ha?
15:25.2
Wala ka pang laman, no?
15:27.5
Eh, doon ka sa doghouse.
15:31.3
Okay, Sir Ronald,
15:32.1
speaking of which,
15:33.6
let's do a super mini episode
15:38.1
ayon kay Buljack,
15:40.1
magbubulgar na sila
15:41.3
ng mga pulvoronic videos.
15:43.2
Pag-usapan natin.
15:46.5
April lang naman talaga.
15:47.9
Sige, pag-usapan natin.