PBBM, ALL-OUT NA BA SA U.S. AT JAPAN?
02:21.6
So, are you worried about this? Are you happy about this?
02:25.9
I'm not, ah, reprehensive or anxious about this, because ako medyo may mixed feelings ako dito eh, baka may, again ah, all of us don't like the bullying of China,
02:34.0
hindi rin tayo agree dun sa mga paleftis-leftist na US ang sinisisi sa lahat ng problema sa mundo, as if yung China walang agency, walang morality, whatever.
02:42.8
But still, diba, baka naman BBM is going a little bit too fast here, and not, and you might get locked into this.
02:49.2
Well, una, ay importante yung meeting na yan for BBM.
02:55.9
May isang columnist nga kinumparayan dun sa treaty sa Malta, no, with Stalin, with Roosevelt, and with Churchill.
03:06.1
Si Churchill yung pinakalis important, pero ang ganda nung value added sa kanya, dun sa dalawa niyang kasama, no, yung dalawa niyang more powerful na kasama.
03:16.7
May isang columnist, baka iba yan, no, apples and oranges. Maganda yung image ni BBM, kasama yung Prime Minister.
03:24.5
Wait, hindi ba Tehran Conference?
03:25.9
I think sa Tehran sila nag-meet, yung tatlo na yan. But anyway, Yalta, I think you're saying. Yalta and the Tehran, yes, yes, correct.
03:34.3
Tapos ang beneficiary dyan ay si BBM, dahil siya yung pinaka junior-junior partner. Pero in the global stage, parang ka-level niya si Biden, tsaka si President or Prime Minister ng Japan.
03:52.8
So, yun yung partner.
03:55.9
I doubt kung sa Pilipinas ay positive yan, no, because ang tingin dyan ng mga Pinoy, another travel. Hindi naman nila ma-appreciate yung importance niyan, no, maraming mga Pilipino.
04:06.8
Ang makikita lang na, oh, biyahe na naman, no, biyahe na naman. Last month, apat ang biyahe, no, ang kaya nang tumapat yan, yung Richard Heydarian, no, sa kakabiyahe, no. Kaya yun yung magiging tingin.
04:22.7
Dahil sa mga universidad, mga education.
04:25.9
Tapos ang hinahalap ng tao, where's the beef? Where's the beef? Sabi nila, out of the $100 billion na commitments, may pumasok na $14 billion, sabi ni Pascual. Pero nasaan yun? Where is it? Hindi natin mahalap yung $14 billion.
04:43.0
So, ang titingin dyan ng mga tao is where is the beef? Pero yung ika-apat na tingin ko pwedeng maging positive ay for the first time, nagiging emotional yung issue ng West Philippine Sea as never before.
04:55.9
No? Tumataas hindi lamang sa ratings, tumataas in terms of emotional content. Kaya hindi ako magugulat kung in the next election, sa midterm, and in 2028, the geopolitics, the foreign policy, the West Philippine Sea will be an election issue.
05:12.1
Dahil before, lahat ng election natin, hindi naman naging issue ang foreign policy. Tingin ko, itong parating namang election, midterm and 2028, pwedeng maging election issue because of the emotions, because of the emerging politics.
05:25.9
Ito yung patriotism ng mga Pilipino dahil dito sa aggression. Yan yung pwedeng gamitin ni BBM para mabawasan yung slide ng kanyang approval. Gamitin niya yan pang contra ron sa slide. At gamitin niya yan going into the midterm election.
05:42.6
Ipinta niya yung kanyang mga kalaban na pro-China. Ipinta niya yung kanyang mga kalaban na betrayal of the Filipino people.
05:52.7
So, yan yung question. Bagamat kung titignan natin yung personality ni BBM, hindi siya ganun. Hindi siya Richard Heidarian o Ronald Llamas na palaaway. Hindi siya ganun.
06:06.2
Pero nakita rin natin itong nakaraang buwan na nag-scale up na siya. Very sharp yung kanyang banat. Tapos very sharp yung kanyang pagkuhan ng support sa mga Pilipino sa issue ng West Philippine Sea.
06:20.1
Kaya tingin ko itong fourth variable na ito, more than the meeting itself, more than the importance given to him, more than the trip itself, ito yung pwede niyang idikit dyan.
06:34.3
The emotion about the West Philippine Sea, about Chinese aggression, the emotion about an emerging new patriotism, yan ang gamitin niya.
06:43.3
But emotion directed in a certain way, right? The implication being the other side are China's puppets.
06:51.4
Last time I checked, this month, the other one is planning to go to Beijing again. So, I suspect China doesn't need him anymore.
06:57.5
I don't know if he's still invited, but yan ang pagkalam natin.
07:04.2
Gamitin niya yung vulnerability na yun, ang kanyang mga kalaban, hindi lang ng China. At gamitin niya yung wellspring of emotional support.
07:11.5
Gamitin niya yung wellspring of emotional support.
07:11.6
At gamitin niya yung wellspring of emotional support.
07:11.6
At gamitin niya yung wellspring of emotional support.
07:12.6
At gamitin niya yung wellspring of emotional support.
07:13.3
support sa issue ng West
07:20.0
nagsisimula siya mag-scale.
07:23.4
yung kanyang communication team,
07:25.4
yung PCO, nagsisimulang gamitin
07:28.6
And also yung mga ibang politiko
07:31.1
na nakikiposition for 2025.
07:33.3
Alam na natin sino mga ito. Ito yung mga
07:34.9
tahimik dati, tapos ngayon biglang bayani na lahat.
07:38.2
Pero alam nila, vulnerable
07:42.3
Ang tingin ko lang,
07:43.3
it has to be really,
07:44.8
I don't want to use the term weaponized,
07:47.2
but it has to be really explicit na
07:50.6
Abila yung mga traidor.
07:51.9
It has to be weaponized.
07:55.2
At saka quick burn. Ako, pwede kong gamitin yung
07:57.1
salitang weaponized.
07:59.1
Guess normal ako, diba?
08:02.4
You have to be quick burn.
08:05.1
It has to be quick burn.
08:06.3
Hindi to pwede slow burn.
08:08.6
The slow burn is not working.
08:11.0
Look at these numbers. It's going down.
08:13.7
hirap pa rin si PBM eh.
08:16.5
Alam nyo, last year, nagsabi siya na
08:18.8
magka-cabinet rebump siya.
08:20.9
Paano? Nag-deep siya last year eh.
08:22.9
Pero hindi nangyari eh.
08:24.5
Hindi nangyari. Ngayon, baka kung hindi
08:26.5
siya mag-cabinet rebump,
08:28.6
ay magpapatuloy ang deep na yan.
08:34.3
But then again, I mean, going back to this issue of
08:36.7
Philippine-Japan-US,
08:39.5
ang worry ko na naman,
08:40.4
ang mangyari dito is puro naman boots and bases.
08:44.8
Kailangan talaga natin pera sa
08:48.8
Alam mo naman yung banat ng kabila eh.
08:50.7
Ang banat ng kabila, eto naman mga Amerikano,
08:53.4
wala naman pera mga yan.
08:54.7
Mga Japon naman, wala na rin mga yan.
08:56.7
They have to put their money where their mouth is.
08:59.4
Diba? They have to put their money where their mouth is.
09:01.5
Dahil di pa natin nakikita eh.
09:03.4
Puro commitments eh.
09:04.4
Yung galing dito si Kwan,
09:06.1
si, sino ba yan? Secretary of Trade ng US.
09:09.6
Secretary Raymundo.
09:11.7
Secretary Raymundo.
09:12.9
May dala siya na,
09:15.8
initially kasi 200 businessmen yun eh.
09:18.0
Ang dinala niya, 30.
09:20.4
Including Apple the app.
09:23.1
At yung 30 na yun,
09:25.2
hindi manufacturing.
09:28.5
So wala masyadong impact sa economy.
09:30.6
Eh kung gano'n yung
09:31.8
i-deliver ng US sa atin,
09:35.4
Tapos hihimukin tayo na sumama sa
09:39.1
Na hindi united yung
09:42.9
West Philippine Sea na i-unite tayo.
09:45.5
Pero sa Taiwan, divisive yan.
09:48.1
At pwedeng gamitin ang mga kalaban niya.
09:50.3
Na, oh, i-presidente natin.
09:52.4
Dadalhin tayo in harm's way.
09:55.4
Etcetera, etcetera.
09:56.4
So, ingat siya dyan.
10:01.6
The optics is bad if it's just
10:03.4
purong defense-defense deals.
10:05.7
At purong mga, tayo lang mag-host
10:07.8
ng mga ibang bansa.
10:09.9
Ganon-ganon, di ba?
10:10.6
That's gonna be a problem.
10:12.9
They have to show some economic issue,
10:15.0
some non-military issue, para hindi mukhang
10:17.0
hate-hate sa China lang,
10:18.7
or purong ma-away-away or war hang dating.
10:20.9
So, they really have to have deliverables.
10:22.9
I don't know if they're pulling the right strings
10:24.7
to tell Japan and US na hindi pwede boots and bases lang.
10:28.3
And the idea of Japanese troops
10:30.4
back in the Philippine soil,
10:32.2
I mean, I don't think it's gonna happen anytime soon,
10:33.9
but it can be weaponized by the
10:37.6
Ironically, Makapili 2.0 pala.
10:40.1
Pro-China kasi ito.
10:41.2
Yung Makapili na first,
10:44.4
Alimawa, yung Balikatan ngayon is very provocative.
10:47.5
Parang nandun sila
10:49.0
sa border ng EEZ.
10:50.7
Di ba? Doon sila pupunta itong Balikatan na ito.
10:53.4
At mukhang part ng
10:55.0
Balikatan, pupunta sa norte.
10:57.3
Sa teritoryo mo, Big R.
10:59.1
Pupunta sila dyan.
11:00.5
So, it's a scaling up,
11:03.8
pero wala namang scaling up
11:05.2
in terms of economic investments.
11:12.9
I hope naiintindihan din.
11:14.9
Ang problema ko kasi,
11:16.0
yung mindset siguro sa Amerika is,
11:19.0
ah, Pilipinas, kailangan naman tayo
11:20.7
ng mga yan sa military.
11:21.9
So, kahit anong bigay natin, okay naman yan.
11:23.5
Tapos yung mga hapon naman,
11:25.0
eh, matagal na namin binibigay
11:27.4
Bala na tayo mabigay.
11:29.4
Di ba? Kasi nagsishrink na yung population nila.
11:31.4
Nagshrink yung economy.
11:32.5
Di na sila number three.
11:33.8
Di na sila number two.
11:35.1
May limitation din ng Japan.
11:36.4
They're technically in recession, oh?
11:39.0
Actually, both are recession.
11:40.3
Germany and Japan.
11:41.2
Except, mas worse yung Japan.
11:42.9
Ang pop-up yung Germany to number three.
11:44.5
Kaya nga weird ng feelings ng mga alaman, eh.
11:46.4
Pababa yung economy nila,
11:47.6
pero umakit yung ranking nila.
11:49.3
Bigos yung situation ng Japan, di ba?
11:51.4
So, it's a weird feeling
11:53.0
that people are having there.
11:55.4
Japan is putting billions of dollars
11:57.8
into semiconductors, etc.
12:00.8
But, yun na naman yung feeling ko, Ronald, eh.
12:03.2
Pero yung mga investors nila,
12:04.2
pumunta sa Vietnam.
12:06.4
Pumunta sa India.
12:07.8
O, yung mga gana.
12:08.4
Eh, wala naman paki sa U.S.
12:11.6
Wala naman paki sa
12:12.4
mga ginagawang ng China yung iba dyan, eh.
12:15.5
Thailand, pro-China yan, eh.
12:16.8
India, may isip yan.
12:18.6
Pero, as usually,
12:19.5
pinag-uusapan natin sa mga previous episodes last year,
12:22.3
kailangan din naman lang
12:23.0
konting improvement sa ating comparative advantage.
12:26.8
Kailangan din naman natin ng konting...
12:28.2
We have to meet halfway, di ba?
12:30.1
Kailangan din natin ng deliverables, no?
12:32.8
Ease in doing business.
12:34.4
Ang daming pipirmahan,
12:35.5
ang daming humihingi, no?
12:38.9
At least, konting mga lang infrastructure, no?
12:41.3
Mukhang nag-i-improve naman yung ating entry point,
12:45.1
yung airport natin, no?
12:46.6
Na wala na yung surot.
12:48.4
Tsaka yung mga daga.
12:50.7
Kaya lang tatahas yata yung airport tax na naman natin.
12:54.4
Ayan naman tayo, eh.
12:55.8
Wala naman libre sa atin.
12:57.0
Pag may gumanda, doble yung presyo.
13:00.0
Again, Ronald, yun nga.
13:01.6
Yun ang pinaka-worry ko talaga dito na
13:04.2
there has to be really...
13:07.6
Ako, ang term ko dyan is strategic scouting.
13:10.7
Yung parang sa...
13:11.3
Sa sports, di ba?
13:12.8
Yung isa-scout mo yung hindi yung perfect pa.
13:14.9
Yung may potential pa.
13:16.2
Alam mo na kung ilalagay mo ng konting
13:17.8
trust and confidence, akyan, gyan.
13:19.7
Pero as you correctly pointed out,
13:21.0
that talent, that unvarnished talent,
13:23.2
that rough diamond,
13:24.3
also has to do something for itself.
13:26.5
Which brings us to the ultimate question, Ronald.
13:29.6
In a situation when you have a president
13:31.2
na his instinct, his temperament,
13:33.3
his conflict avoidance, risk averse,
13:36.1
and then yung kabinete mo, well,
13:37.8
may sariling pag-isip lahat mo yan,
13:39.6
so maybe he should have a hatchet,
13:41.3
maybe he should have his own kind of
13:43.3
consigliere to really...
13:45.3
If you want to clean up the system,
13:47.6
like kunyari, tingnan mo si Modi,
13:49.3
mayroon siya, amit siya.
13:50.7
Parating may number two ang mga gano'n tao,
13:52.3
yung mga populist na disruptive.
13:57.0
Wala siyang number two na hatchet man
13:59.1
na can go after oligarchs,
14:01.2
can go after drug lords,
14:02.8
can do some difficult deals here and there, right?
14:06.1
May big strategy.
14:07.8
Wala siyang gano'n eh.
14:11.3
previously, di ba?
14:12.6
Wala siyang tunay na ruling party.
14:15.8
Wala siyang tunay na ruling koalisyon.
14:18.6
At wala siyang tunay na
14:20.2
political strategist.
14:26.1
Ito yung lulusog.
14:28.4
Ito yung attack dog.
14:30.5
Halimbawa, for lack of a better example,
14:32.5
parang atrilianes.
14:34.6
Atrilianes na attack dog.
14:36.8
Wala siyang gano'n eh.
14:37.5
Wala yung position for office,
14:41.3
political affairs,
14:43.8
So, lahat wala ka.
14:45.3
Wala kang ruling party,
14:46.5
wala kang ruling koalisyon,
14:48.1
wala kang political operatives,
14:52.8
Baka kayang punuan ni Big R
14:54.9
yung ganyang klaseng vacuum.
15:02.3
Submit mo na yung TV mo.
15:07.7
Baka kunin pa nga doon yan.
15:09.5
Alam mo, Sir Ronald.
15:10.4
Alam mo, kahit gano'n.
15:12.6
Umaasa na lang siya
15:13.5
na gawin 80 senators
15:15.4
para may pagkasa siyang bumasa.
15:18.4
From out of nowhere, di ba?
15:20.4
Tahimik at tahimik siya
15:21.5
since na-appoint siya.
15:22.4
Biglang nagsalita nga lang
15:23.8
something ludicrous.
15:25.5
Even surprising for a guy like him.
15:28.3
I mean, there are levels.
15:30.0
Talaga nagahanap siya ng importance.
15:32.5
Kasi di siya pinapansin ni President.
15:35.8
It's very pathetic.
15:37.2
Usually, yung mga ganyan,
15:38.6
yung Middle Ages,
15:39.3
yung ganyang klase,
15:41.8
they fall on their swords.
15:43.8
They do as a puko.
15:45.0
Kaya mukha naman to.
15:47.0
Pati yung sword yata nito,
15:48.4
medyo palpak din ang sword nito.
15:50.0
Pero, pero, Sir Ronald.
15:53.5
Kung hindi ka sosyalin,
15:55.0
nagaling sa posh,
15:56.9
Hindi ka papansin niya
15:57.8
kahit advisor ka.
15:58.9
Kaya kung sobra kang yabang,
16:00.4
tapos wala ka naman laman.
16:01.8
Yun lang ang problema.
16:03.6
Okay na naman magyabang ka.
16:05.2
Pero yung meron kang wherewithal.
16:07.8
Mayabang mo lang ha.
16:08.7
Wala ka pang laman.
16:10.4
Eh, doon ka sa doghouse.
16:15.0
Okay, Sir Ronald.
16:15.7
Speaking of which,
16:17.3
let's do a super mini episode short.
16:19.6
Kasi, as you know,
16:21.7
ayon kay Bulljack,
16:23.7
magbubulgar na sila
16:25.0
ng mga pulvoronic videos.
16:26.8
Pag-usapan natin.
16:29.5
Ay, akala ko Aprilan mo talaga.
16:31.5
Sige, pag-usapan natin.
16:37.7
Nagustuhan nyo ba
16:38.5
ang ganitong pagtalakay?
16:41.2
Informador FB page
16:43.5
sa Informador YouTube channel.
16:45.8
Ang Informador ay nilikha
16:47.8
ni Atty. Ricky Tumuturgo
16:50.9
upang lalong lumawak
16:53.0
ng pagpapalaganap