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Business Outlook | ANC (18 April 2024)
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00:00.0
Welcome to the Business Outlook. I'm Ron Kerr.
00:10.5
And I'm Salve Duplito.
00:11.9
The headlines.
00:12.8
Signs of recovery in the financial markets as U.S. futures and European markets rise.
00:18.3
Three Filipinos are confirmed dead from the massive flooding in Dubai.
00:22.3
And we talked to Hannibal Camo of the Philippine Business for Education or PBED
00:26.7
on their mission to future-proof the Filipino workforce.
00:32.2
A check on European markets.
00:34.4
They are mostly higher in afternoon trade as the earnings season in the region gathers steam.
00:39.6
The French CAC 40 up a third of a percent while the German DAX is flat.
00:44.6
As for Wall Street, futures are inching higher after yesterday's sell-off.
00:49.2
Investors also digesting comments from Fed officials with Cleveland Fed President Loretta Messer
00:54.6
saying she expects price-points.
00:57.0
The Fed has said that the U.S. inflation may have stalled due to economic pressures to ease further this year allowing the central bank to reduce borrowing costs.
01:02.0
Fed Governor Michelle Bauman on the other hand said progress on lowering U.S. inflation may have stalled.
01:08.0
On the economic data front, initial jobless claims are on tap.
01:14.0
Here are some stocks to watch out for.
01:16.0
We're monitoring shares of hypnosis.
01:18.0
The Music Intellectual Property Investment Company announced its board has recommended a sale to music rights investor Concord,
01:26.0
valuing the firm at $1.4 billion.
01:28.0
The stock surged 30% on the news.
01:32.0
Also in focus, shares of Nokia after the company posted a smaller-than-expected increase in first-quarter profit,
01:38.0
but its outlook remains unchanged.
01:40.0
Nokia shares last traded higher by half a percent.
01:44.0
We're also keeping a close watch on shares of Alaska Air Group,
01:48.0
which forecast a better-than-expected profit for the current quarter driven by strong travel demand.
01:54.0
Alaska Air Group shares are out of stock.
01:56.0
They're up 0.3% in pre-market trading.
02:00.0
Meanwhile, Asian markets ended Thursday trade higher as a relief rally takes hold.
02:05.0
The South Korean KOSPI outperformed, rising 2%.
02:09.0
The Hong Kong Hang Seng meanwhile trimmed some gains to close 0.8% higher.
02:15.0
Here at home, the local market extended its rebound on bargain hunting,
02:19.0
with the main index climbing back above the 6500 level.
02:24.0
All things being equal, we maybe have a sight towards the 7,000-7200 levels.
02:34.0
Even if we just chug along where we are, the down tide is really, you know, external events
02:44.0
like the Middle East conflict, continued or sustained high inflation.
02:53.0
And, you know, US and the Philippines not acting on interest rate movement.
03:00.0
So, towards maybe the second half of the year when these are expected and they don't come in,
03:05.0
then we probably will either not meet our targets for the PSE.
03:12.0
As for the Philippine peso, it again weakened slightly against the US dollar for its sixth day of depreciation.
03:21.0
It closed at 57.19, slightly lower than yesterday's 57.18.
03:28.0
There's so much development over a span of a short time and I think a lot of what's happening is really just
03:33.0
not thinking too much about it or think too much here.
03:37.0
If you see rate cuts coming into play in the next several months, then there's also the dollar should start to weaken, right?
03:47.0
So, I think that that's how we should generally escape.
03:49.0
So, I think that's how we should generally escape.
03:50.0
So, I think that's how we should generally escape.
03:51.0
All right.
03:55.0
The Philippine Economic Team makes a case for the Philippines as a compelling destination of choice for investors.
04:01.0
During the Philippine investors' dialogue held in Washington, D.C. Wednesday,
04:05.0
Manila's economic managers highlighted efforts to improve the investment climate in the country,
04:10.0
including reforms to streamline government processes and prudent fiscal management.
04:15.0
They also touted the accelerated rollout of the Marcos administration's infrastructure program
04:20.0
which is valued at over 160 billion dollars.
04:24.0
NEDA Secretary Arsenio Balissacan said the Philippine government continues its proactive approach
04:30.0
in seeking out investment and trade opportunities despite various external risks.
04:36.0
Three Filipinos are confirmed dead in the massive flooding in Dubai.
04:41.0
According to the Department of Migrant Workers Officer in Charge Hans Kakdak,
04:44.0
two of the Filipinos died due to suffocation inside their vehicle,
04:48.0
while the third was due to a vehicular accident.
04:52.0
He assures the families of the victims assistance will be given to them.
04:56.0
A rare storm dumped a year's worth of rain in just one day in the United Arab Emirates.
05:02.0
Heavy rainfall also battered neighboring Oman where 19 people have died.
05:08.0
President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. named as one of Time magazine's 100 most influential people for this year.
05:14.0
Time cited Marcos' efforts to rehabilitate his family's needs.
05:18.0
Marcos is the son of the late dictator Ferdinand Marcos Sr. who plundered billions
05:23.0
and declared martial law which left thousands dead.
05:26.0
Time also cited the younger Marcos' success in steadying the Philippines' post-pandemic economy
05:32.0
as well as elevating the country on the world stage.
05:35.0
Malacanang says Marcos' inclusion in the list reflects his brand of leadership
05:39.0
that puts national interest and the welfare of Filipinos above all else.
05:44.0
U.S. President Joe Biden calls for a peace agreement.
05:48.0
A tripling of tariffs on Chinese steel.
05:51.0
He told members of the Pennsylvania's United Steelworkers Union
05:55.0
that move would protect U.S. jobs against unfair competition.
05:59.0
Biden called Beijing xenophobic claiming Chinese prices on steel and aluminum are unfairly low
06:06.0
and that their actions have cost American steelworkers thousands of jobs.
06:12.0
My administration takes it very seriously that U.S. steelworkers along with four other unions
06:18.0
have asked us to investigate whether the Chinese government is using
06:21.0
anti-competitive practice to artificially lower prices in the shipbuilding industry.
06:26.0
We've heard you.
06:27.0
And if the Chinese government is doing that,
06:30.0
and the unfair taxes undermine free and fair trade competition in the shipping industry,
06:34.0
I will take action.
06:37.0
Beijing for its part slammed Biden's xenophobic comment calling it hypocritical.
06:43.0
The Chinese foreign ministry said the U.S. is full of false accusations
06:47.0
and is only blaming China for its own industrial problems.
06:53.0
And we're taking a quick break.
06:55.0
Up next, a discussion on future-proofing the workforce
06:58.0
with Philippine Business for Education's Hannibal Camua.
07:17.0
We'll be right back.
07:21.0
Up next, a discussion on future-proofing the workforce
07:30.0
with Philippine Business for Education's Hannibal Camua.
07:38.0
Welcome back.
07:40.0
The Human Rights Commission last year reported that Filipino youth are struggling to find jobs
07:44.0
due to a lack of soft skills,
07:46.0
and technical expertise.
07:48.8
And the rise of AI has only underscored
07:50.9
that need to upskill the workforce.
07:53.8
The Philippine Business for Education's Jobs Next program
07:57.0
is paving the way to future-proof the Filipino workforce.
08:00.4
And to tell us more about that,
08:01.8
we have PBED Deputy Executive Director for Programs,
08:05.2
Hannibal Camua.
08:06.3
Did I pronounce it right?
08:07.5
Correct.
08:08.6
So, Ron and I have been having a lot of anxiety attacks
08:11.8
about how many jobs AI will replace.
08:14.8
And your number was 18 million by 2025.
08:22.5
Yes, this is according to a study conducted
08:24.9
by the International Labor Organization.
08:27.1
18 million of the Filipino workforce are at risk
08:30.6
of losing their jobs due to automation and digitization.
08:35.5
How long is 2025 from now?
08:38.3
Just a couple of months.
08:40.0
18 million by 2025.
08:41.9
Exactly.
08:42.2
And so the preparation,
08:43.4
so that our people will not be left jobless,
08:48.3
should be starting already.
08:49.9
And PBED has started this actually last year
08:52.8
in the Jobs Next program.
08:54.3
Tell us about this.
08:55.4
Well, the Jobs Next program is really to prepare
08:57.7
our young entrants to the workforce,
09:00.9
the Filipino youth,
09:02.1
on to the jobs or training them for the jobs of tomorrow.
09:06.1
So when we say jobs of tomorrow,
09:07.9
it would include digital skills,
09:10.5
like, for example, basic data analytics,
09:13.4
data presentations.
09:15.2
Then it could even go onto specifics
09:18.2
like cybersecurity, cloud computing.
09:21.2
So by providing the young Filipino workforce
09:25.2
with these kinds of training,
09:26.9
we are opening them up to more opportunities
09:29.5
that the digitization and automation would bring.
09:34.2
And we believe, and of course,
09:35.9
there's evidence that points to this,
09:38.4
that the majority of the jobs of tomorrow
09:41.5
are actually driven
09:42.5
by automation, digitization, and AI.
09:46.9
Just a clarification, Bal.
09:48.3
Is this program already ongoing?
09:51.5
Or I read somewhere that it was a proposal
09:54.8
by Congressman Vargas.
09:56.6
It was filed in the previous Congress.
09:58.1
We're not sure if it has been filed
10:00.2
for the 19th Congress.
10:02.8
But this program of PBED has been running.
10:05.1
Yes, correct.
10:06.2
PBED has been implementing the Jobs Next project
10:09.3
since last year.
10:11.0
This is in partnership with the City,
10:12.5
the Foundation.
10:13.6
And part also of our advocacy in PBED
10:16.5
is to also push for legislative measure.
10:20.1
And that's also the reason why
10:21.5
when we partnered with the office of representative,
10:25.0
then representative, Alfred Vargas,
10:27.6
to file a bill that would institutionalize
10:30.0
this skills voucher program
10:32.1
to prepare our young workforce
10:33.9
for the jobs of the future
10:35.2
and the jobs of tomorrow.
10:36.5
So that's the reason why
10:37.4
the Jobs Next bill was filed.
10:39.5
Why did it have to take PBED
10:41.7
to succeed?
10:42.5
And if we started this program,
10:44.5
don't we have a program like that
10:46.3
being implemented by the different agencies
10:49.4
of the government that are related to education?
10:51.4
We have the DepEd, we have the CHED,
10:52.9
even maybe the TESTA.
10:54.3
Don't they have a coordinated effort to do this?
10:56.5
I think we all do fairness.
10:58.4
I think there's also that effort
11:01.3
from our government agencies
11:03.1
to make sure that the existing training programs
11:06.2
are also towards the direction of making sure
11:11.2
that the current workforce is exposed to our education.
11:11.6
that the existing training programs are also towards the direction of making sure that the current workforce is exposed to our education.
11:12.5
for the digital skills and automation.
11:15.4
But I think the value add of PBED's implementation of Jobs Next
11:19.8
is we wanted it to be more industry-specific.
11:22.9
We wanted it to be industry-driven,
11:25.4
such that we first look at the current labor market information,
11:30.1
local labor market information,
11:32.4
and make sure that when we train the youth for this certain job,
11:38.8
or for this certain skills, there are jobs waiting for them.
11:42.2
So technically, it's making sure that we address the skills gap.
11:47.5
We do not widen the skills gap.
11:48.9
We'd rather address it, make it narrower,
11:50.9
by making sure that the training is actually connected with an industry partner
11:56.0
and there are employment opportunities that are awaiting thereafter.
12:00.2
I think this is addressing a huge pain point in the Philippines.
12:03.5
You have a lot of graduates of BA Commerce.
12:08.5
A lot of Filipinos are actually graduates,
12:11.5
but there are no jobs.
12:12.2
There are no jobs available to them.
12:13.4
And with the AI trend, that's going to worsen.
12:17.6
Exactly.
12:18.2
I think this kind of program,
12:22.6
if we're being implemented as early,
12:25.0
or in this case, we expose our, let's say, senior high school students
12:28.3
that there are job opportunities in this area or in this sector,
12:34.7
it would, let's say, encourage them to build up a career in the sector.
12:40.0
And I think starting with...
12:42.2
Starting with a skills program,
12:44.3
starting with a foundational skills training that Jobs Next would offer,
12:48.0
and then specialized training already on the advanced learning pathways
12:51.8
of cybersecurity, data analytics,
12:55.0
that would actually bring them closer to the sector of digitization and automation,
13:02.6
which is what I've said.
13:04.5
And if evidence would point to this,
13:06.7
that most, majority of the jobs would be, of course, automated in this case.
13:12.2
Wait, wait, wait.
13:12.9
AI-driven.
13:13.5
Let me jump on this soapbox of mine.
13:15.9
That's going to make a college degree no longer extremely necessary.
13:21.4
It's going to make, you know, getting all of these certifications in six months,
13:25.5
you have a job, and it doesn't cost too much.
13:28.8
Exactly.
13:29.4
And I think that's one of our biggest advocacies in PBED,
13:33.2
that there's no need for a college degree
13:36.5
in order to land a decent and a well-paying job,
13:40.8
especially in this...
13:42.1
in the sectors wherein skills are, let's say,
13:45.3
the primary currency of that sector's labor market or labor...
13:49.1
in that sector's labor market.
13:50.7
So let's say, for example,
13:52.2
just in the field of, let's say, data analytics, right?
13:55.8
If you are trained or if a senior high school student would train,
14:02.1
let's say, on a specific data analytics training course,
14:05.2
after the training course, let's say, for three months or more or less,
14:08.4
a maximum of six months,
14:10.4
there are job opportunities,
14:11.8
waiting for that senior high school graduate,
14:15.3
particularly on being a data encoder.
14:17.9
And then what is even more interesting with this
14:20.9
is you can actually stock up this credentials.
14:24.9
So while you're being employed,
14:27.0
you can upskill further.
14:29.2
So you're from a level one, you become level two, three,
14:31.6
so on and so forth.
14:32.5
So as you upskill and you become...
14:35.1
you're trained on more specialized skills,
14:38.2
you're, of course, your salary or your pay gets higher and higher.
14:41.9
I am all for that, but I'm going to act as a devil's advocate.
14:45.3
If it's just going to be certification courses for students
14:48.7
and they don't have to finish a whole course in college,
14:51.8
won't they miss anything?
14:53.5
Maybe the basics and the foundations that are being taught
14:55.8
in senior high school and in college?
14:57.5
That's the reason why in the Jobs Next program,
15:00.4
we have a required foundational skills training,
15:04.5
wherein, of course, this does not mean that it would replace,
15:08.0
let's say, the general education that you learn in college,
15:11.8
but at the very least, this would prepare you for the real world of work.
15:14.5
So the foundational skills that would include basic communication skills,
15:18.4
critical thinking, problem solving,
15:21.7
and even just managing conflict in the workplace.
15:24.8
So these are actually required by the Jobs Next program
15:28.3
before our trainees can proceed to an advanced learning pathway.
15:32.4
Well, the GE education in regular schools are too long anyway.
15:37.6
And you don't even get financial education as part of that, right?
15:40.9
Now, Val,
15:41.8
tell us about how this came to be,
15:45.4
how many graduates you already have,
15:47.9
and what's your target for this year?
15:49.3
Well, the Jobs Next program is actually a partnership with the City Foundation.
15:54.1
Through the gracious grant from the City Foundation,
15:56.8
we're able to conceptualize this project
16:00.3
so that we are able to reach for the first year of implementation,
16:04.0
which was last year, our target levels, 1,000 youth trained.
16:07.7
And we are able to train more than 1,000.
16:10.3
And in the second iteration,
16:12.0
which is on this year of implementation,
16:14.2
we're looking to reach 4,000 youth.
16:17.0
And we're also adding up an employment target already.
16:21.2
So we're looking at those trained youth
16:24.4
should be transitioned to employment right after the training.
16:28.5
So I think it's also a model that we wanted to push with our local governments,
16:33.6
particularly with the mandate of decentralization.
16:36.4
So we want to model or to provide a proof of concept for local governments
16:41.3
that,
16:41.8
training programs,
16:43.2
workforce development training programs like this
16:45.5
that would benefit their youth and young workforce constituents
16:49.7
can be done at a local scale,
16:52.8
but then the impact would be,
16:54.2
like there's a bigger impact to the community.
16:56.5
How about the not so young anymore?
16:58.6
Does the PBED have any program for them?
17:00.8
I ask you this because we've talked about this in Singapore.
17:04.1
They would subsidize those people in the workforce
17:07.6
who are 40 years old and above in wanting to upskill themselves.
17:11.3
Does that work?
17:11.5
Does that work?
17:11.8
Does the PBED have some sort of a program for them?
17:14.0
Not necessarily with PBED,
17:15.7
but we are part of the EDCOM2.
17:19.2
If you're familiar with the Second Congressional Commission for Education.
17:23.3
And EDCOM2 is also focusing on lifelong learning,
17:26.7
wherein it's not training and skilling,
17:30.0
reskilling and upskilling.
17:31.1
It's not just, let's say, for the young workforce,
17:32.8
but also for, let's say, the older workforce,
17:35.2
which you're correct,
17:36.2
it's patterned from the Singapore Skills Future Model.
17:39.5
So I think the,
17:41.8
the Second Congressional Commission for Education
17:43.7
is really looking at that.
17:45.1
Right.
17:45.6
Because it's the existing workforce that's going to be concerned.
17:50.4
We're talking about 18 million jobs by 2025.
17:53.2
Correct.
17:53.6
Those already working now may lose their jobs by next year.
17:58.2
And just to add, it's not just on the new entrants,
18:01.4
as you said.
18:02.9
It's not just on the new entrants to the labor market,
18:05.8
but also already those who are in the sector,
18:08.6
but they need to level up.
18:09.9
They need to upskill so that,
18:11.8
that their current skill sets would be able to keep up
18:15.5
with the demands, let's say,
18:16.5
of a digitized or an automized job market.
18:19.8
Overall, the vision is,
18:21.5
because I'm seeing a lot of impact.
18:23.8
Of course, there's impact on the household level
18:25.9
so that more Filipinos are able to get the jobs
18:29.9
that they need with higher paying jobs.
18:32.6
You also have impact on the business level.
18:34.9
Correct.
18:35.3
Because we won't be as competitive as other countries.
18:39.4
Because big corporations will not be coming here.
18:41.9
If they don't get the workforce that they want.
18:44.1
And on the national level, of course, employment.
18:47.8
To make that happen, you have partnerships with everybody.
18:52.0
I feel like you have partnerships with LGUs.
18:54.3
Correct.
18:54.6
Who are these that are already in the fold?
18:56.6
And then you have partnerships with AWS
18:59.1
and what kind of other business corporations have already partnered with.
19:02.5
That's correct.
19:03.1
In terms of local government units, because that's what I've said,
19:05.9
we wanted to pilot a working model for local government units
19:10.1
that it's workable within.
19:11.7
And at the local level, so we've partnered with big cities
19:14.9
like Quezon City, of course.
19:17.6
Cagayan de Oro in Mindanao, we're also partners with them.
19:21.0
And also the Samar Province, we're partners with Samar Province,
19:25.3
Municipality of Arteche in Eastern Samar.
19:29.9
The Municipality of Irosin in Sorsogon, we're also partners with them.
19:34.4
Laguna Province, we're looking to strike a partnership with them
19:37.1
for the second iteration of JobsNEXT.
19:40.0
You have ILO-ILO as well.
19:41.2
ILO-ILO.
19:41.7
ILO-ILO Province, yes, of course.
19:43.1
Bacolod City, and then Himamaylan in Negros Occidental.
19:47.3
Because that's the beauty of doing training and then eventually employment in the digital world.
19:52.4
You can be anywhere in the world, you can be anywhere in the Philippines,
19:55.7
but again, you're gainfully employed just using your computer with an internet connection.
20:00.4
And that's where the investments of local governments come in.
20:03.1
If I may just highlight, some of our local government partners
20:07.8
have already made investments so that they are,
20:10.1
that there would be stable,
20:11.4
internet connections in their area.
20:13.0
So they've purchased Starlinks so that their JobsNEXT hubs,
20:17.7
where computers are located and where the youth could be able to access these programs,
20:22.9
would have stable internet connections.
20:24.7
So we're seeing promise there.
20:26.8
And the corporations, because you know,
20:28.6
it's very important that everybody who's listening will know it's AWS,
20:33.1
global companies who have come here to actually set up offices
20:36.9
and they need better and qualified employees.
20:40.6
Correct.
20:41.4
Okay.
20:42.0
So from the private sector side, so we have Amazon Web Services.
20:45.9
They have a very good training program,
20:48.2
which they call us the Restart Program.
20:50.3
And this is a skills training also for cloud computing,
20:56.3
also on cybersecurity.
20:58.6
Not necessarily that if they take a skills training on Amazon Web Services,
21:03.2
they would be employed by Amazon,
21:05.7
but rather because the certification issued by Amazon is actually recognized across the sector.
21:11.4
that would need services
21:13.4
on cloud computing, cloud
21:15.5
storage, would actually need
21:17.4
the skills of, let's say, a cloud
21:19.6
technician, or in this case, a
21:21.5
cybersecurity expert. So, Amazon Web Services
21:23.7
is a partner. We're also partners
21:25.4
with IBM, with
21:27.6
their Skills Build program. We're
21:29.4
partners with them. We also have
21:31.6
partners with training institutions
21:33.1
that actually helped us create and
21:35.5
co-develop the training programs that
21:37.4
are in our Jobs Next
21:39.1
microsite. What's the
21:41.4
hope or the vision
21:43.5
of having this institutionalized
21:45.8
by
21:46.7
hoping that it
21:49.4
would become a law in the
21:51.6
future? Correct. I think
21:53.6
the promise
21:55.6
of a scale for the
21:57.6
Jobs Next project is really there,
21:59.6
particularly just in terms of reach
22:01.3
and then of impact, and the
22:03.4
potential impact. So, of course,
22:05.6
we're working with our partners in
22:07.5
the government so
22:09.4
that we are able
22:11.3
to institutionalize this, either
22:13.0
through a law. In the previous
22:14.9
Congress, we were able to work with the office
22:16.9
of Representative
22:18.8
Alfred Vargas, and currently
22:21.0
we're exploring how are we
22:23.0
able to work with the Philippine government
22:25.1
so that these
22:26.7
mechanisms, or in this case,
22:29.1
these processes that we have established
22:31.0
in the implementation of Jobs Next can be
22:33.0
mainstream and be part of
22:35.0
the government's overall training
22:36.9
and skilling programs, perhaps through
22:38.6
TESDA, or perhaps through
22:41.3
the training programs also
22:43.3
that are offered by DICT.
22:45.5
But, of course, the promise, or
22:47.3
let's say, the idea,
22:49.4
the hope that it would be passed into
22:51.3
a law is still there. We're
22:53.1
working with our partners in
22:55.2
the House of Representatives and
22:57.1
in the Senate as well, so that
22:58.9
this can be institutionalized by
23:01.0
a law. I guess
23:03.2
the only thing remaining to be discussed
23:05.3
is assessing how good the
23:07.1
certification programs are. Like, are there
23:09.2
people who fail them?
23:11.3
Do you measure proficiency after
23:13.2
six months? So, there's actually
23:15.4
we did an impact study
23:16.8
from the previous implementation of Jobs
23:19.2
Next, from our Jobs Next 1.0.
23:21.6
But, from our implementation
23:23.2
of that, we didn't have an employment
23:25.3
metric.
23:27.5
So, after
23:29.3
we've trained the trainee and this
23:30.9
trainee had completed
23:32.7
the training, so the assessment
23:35.3
would be more on the post-test of
23:37.2
how adept
23:39.5
or how, let's say,
23:41.3
the levels of knowledge that this
23:43.4
trainee had already gained
23:45.6
from undergoing the foundational
23:47.5
skills training program and also the
23:49.4
advanced learning pathway.
23:51.2
We're also happy to report that
23:53.2
while we don't have an employment metric
23:55.2
for the Jobs Next 1.0,
23:57.3
we did have a feedback from our
23:59.3
impact study that
24:00.7
our trainees were employed.
24:03.0
There are some trainees that are already employed
24:05.1
with private sector companies.
24:07.1
That's great, Val. I hope to
24:09.2
invite you again when...
24:11.3
When the next impact assessment
24:13.7
report comes out.
24:15.1
And talk about the other programs.
24:17.0
About education. That's Ron's
24:19.1
personal favorite. Thank you, Val.
24:21.2
Thank you very much.
24:22.7
And that's your Vistas Outlook. I'm Ron Cruz.
24:24.6
And I'm Salve Dupito. The world tonight comes
24:26.9
your way at the top of the next hour.
24:29.0
Keep it here on ANC.