NAGTAMPO NGA BA ANG MGA DUTERTE? DAHILAN DAW KUNG BAKIT NAMUO ANG HIDWAAN NG DALAWANG PAMILYA
01:35.0
at mukhang as early as 2022, itong promisa na ito at the minimum ay pinagdudahan o isinuku na.
01:42.6
Kaya napaaga yung away.
01:44.6
Well, indirectly sinasabi niya, pinapakilala niya si Sara as the successor.
01:50.6
Kung yung agreement na yan ay solid is another thing.
01:54.7
Pero definitely, yung ganong klaseng...
01:59.1
Promisa, kung yun man ay nangyari, ay nawala as early as 2022.
02:05.1
Dahil nagsimula na dyan yung issue ng Tambalus Laws.
02:08.4
The Tambalus Laws incident defined the recent mga bakbakan since last year.
02:17.1
At lalo yan nag-scale up with the Charter Change Proposal.
02:21.9
Which hindi law sa mga Duterte.
02:23.9
Is an attempt para baguhin yung political system.
02:29.1
Para maging pabor dun sa pinsan si Speaker Romualdez.
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Yun yung tingin ng mga Duterte.
02:35.8
Kaya napaaga yung bakbakan.
02:39.9
At ngayon, nag-scale up na.
02:41.9
Well, dagdag dyan yung nangyari sa Berlin.
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Nung pinanatan siya na siya ay naglalamierda lang at nagbabakasyon,
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sinagot niya, pinakita niya yung kanyang schedule.
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Pero hindi mo na pinapatulan, no?
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Dalawa yung dilema ng presidente.
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Yung mga banat sa kanya ay very fundamental na.
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Insurrection, uprising, sedition, even a hint of assassination.
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On that level, kailangan niya sumagot.
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Or else, magmumuka siyang weak leader.
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Pero dapat pipiliin din niya yung kanyang battles.
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Hindi lahat papatulan niya.
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At ikatlo, dapat yung kanyang cabinet,
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yung kanyang mga kaalyado,
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ang nagdedepensa sa kanya.
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Hindi ko masyado nakikita yun.
03:25.0
Yun yung role ng mga cabinet secretary.
03:29.5
Parang nawawala yun eh.
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Parang ang engagement between the principals kaagad eh.
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The ex-president Duterte at saka the incumbent president.
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So, ang kaibahan, si Digong kasama yung kanyang allies.
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Bumabanat si Pantalion Alvarez,
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bumabanat si Vic Rodriguez, na dating executive secretary,
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bumabanat yung kanyang anak, si Bastet.
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At indirectly, bumabanat si vice president.
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nung rally ng sekta ni Kibuloy,
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pumunta ron si vice president Sara Duterte.
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Very clear yung sigaw doon sa rally na yun.
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Pabagsakin si Bongbong Marcos.
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Wakasan yung kanyang pamumuno.
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Kaya indirectly, medyo uncomfortable yung ganyang posisyon.
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Lenny Robredo, wasn't only demonized,
04:19.8
tinanggan siya sa cabinet.
04:21.6
Hindi lang yung housing.
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Ginawa kasi siyang drug czar, kung maalala mo.
04:27.4
Nagmumawa sa kanyang drug czar.
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Pero nung nagsasalita si vice president Lenny Robredo,
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na ang solusyon sa drug problem ay hindi yung extrajudicial killings.
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Ang solusyon ay pigilan yung supply.
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E tinanggal siya.
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Maliban sa denemolized pa siya.
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So tama ka, very quick yung desisyon ni Duterte.
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Whether it is just or not is another thing.
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Pero very decisive siya na ito ay hindi na loyal sa akin.
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Kaya tinanggal niya.
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Denemolized niya.
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E ngayon, yung vice president na pumunta nga sa rally na balak siyang pabagsakin.
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At hindi nagsalita.
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O ang sabi niya, no comment doon sa pambubuli, doon sa pananakit sa ating kababayan sa West Philippine Sea.
05:13.9
Ang sabi pa ni presidente ay hindi naman niya trabaho yun as secretary of education.
05:18.2
Pero clearly, trabaho niya yun.
05:19.9
Ang trabaho ng vice president as secretary of education, yung kamulatan ng ating kabataan.
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At mahalaga dyan, yung usapin ng ating...
05:26.8
karapatan sa West Philippine Sea.
05:28.8
Kaya medyo, medyo malabo yung pagdepensa niya.
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Tingin ko, yung dahilan ay gusto pa rin niya ipakita na may semblance of unity.
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At least with the vice president.
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Dahil nanalo siya based on unity.
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So gusto niya ipakita na mayroon pang ganun klaseng semblance.
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Kahit in substance, wala na.
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Tingin ko, it is not.
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Dahil the lines have been drawn eh.
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No, this past few months.
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Humpty dumpty na yan eh.
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All the king's men cannot put them together again.
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Kahit anong gawin niya.
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Kaya dapat mag-devise na siya ng bagong narrative na sa kanya.
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Dahil tama ka, dahil sa kanyang passive-aggressive attitude,
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dahil sa kanyang conflict-averse attitude,
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ang nagdidikta ng narrative are the Duterte.
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Yun yung magiging major fundamental weakness ni presidente.
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The one dictating the narrative are the Duterte.
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Dahil sa kanyang klaseng passive-aggressive attitude.
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Dapat diretso na eh.
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Yung horrified statement niya ay dapat ganun na yung kanyang narrative.
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Huwag na niyang i-backpedal.
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Hindi tatamaan siya as a weak leader.
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Tatamaan siya as an indecisive leader.
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At baka pagtawanan pa siya trying to mend a fundamental disunity.
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Well, I do not want to second-guess yung kanyang strategy.
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But this cannot be a long game.
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This cannot be a slow burn.
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Dahil yung mga banat sa kanya are very fundamental at saka antagonistic.
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Hindi lang ito simple differences.
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Ikalawa, parating yung midterm election.
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Which may undermine his leadership.
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Kung yung nakakuha ng Senate ay yung kanyang kalaban.
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At ikatlo, ito yung elephant in the room.
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We are in the middle of the great game ng superpowers.
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Ibig sabihin nakikialam dito yung China.
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Ang dami na nga nilang proof na nakikialam internally.
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Kaya hindi ito pwedeng slow burn.
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It has to be a quick burn, a quick decisive action to show his leadership.
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Lalo na moving into the midterms.
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Kung titignan mo Karen, hindi malinaw kung ano yung ruling party.
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Usually a president has a ruling party or a ruling coalition.
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In this case, hindi.
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In this case, hindi ganun kalinaw.
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Wala namang sumeseryoso doon sa partido federal.
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It's a bagong partido lang.
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Tapos yung ruling coalition ay nakasentro lamang sa isang partido.
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Yung lakas ng kanyang pinsan, si Speaker Alvarez.
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So kailangan din niya mag-scale up politically.
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Ano yung ruling party?
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At saka yung kanyang cabinet, kailangan magsimula ng depensahan siya.
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Or baka kinakailangan niyang paltan yung cabinet through a revamp.
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Partly to change the narrative.
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Partly kumuha ng mga tao na mas effectively de-depensahan siya.
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Opposite naman ito.
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Parang nung panahon ni Duterte, takot na takot yung tao.
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Dahil ang daming bumabagsak sa kalsada.
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Ang daming extrajudicial killings in their thousands.
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Ngayon, parang yung presidente ayayaw i-confront head-on itong mga antagonistic attacks on him.
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Mayroon mo insurrection? Uprising?
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Kaya nung interview niya kahapon sa FOCAP, yung tanong ay maganda naman yung sagot niya.
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I am no longer just a Marcos. I am a president.
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Then as a president, he should act as a president.
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Kailangan i-adjust niya yung kanyang personality, yung kanyang conduct as a president.
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As a president, you have all the power.
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Ngayon nga, napaka-weak na nung kanyang image.
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Ang balat pa sa kanya nung Dabao Rally, authoritarian.
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Yung balat sa kanya, authoritarian.
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Kaya dapat i-withdraw yung support.
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Pero yung opposite nga, yung kanyang attitude.
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To put on the defensive his enemies.
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Para masurvive niya itong mid-term going into 2028.
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Kailangan niya mag-scale up. Kailangan niya magbago.
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Sabi niya kahapon, need to lower niya sa Marcos.
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Well, sabi ko nga kanina,
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he should get his house in order.
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Ibig sabihin, ayusin niya yung ruling coalition.
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Dahil isa to sa magiging major defender niya going into the mid-terms.
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Ikalawa, ayusin niya yung kanyang cabinet.
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The cabinet should be defending him.
10:00.8
Hindi dapat tahimik lang sila.
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At ikatlo, yung narrative niya doon sa kanyang statement na horrified, yun yung dapat niyang gawin.
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Ibig sabihin, lumalabas naman eh.
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This is practically treason and betrayal.
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Without directly saying it.
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So yun yung tono na dapat niyang i-scale up.
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At dapat niyang gamitin itong usapin ng West Philippine Sea.
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Dahil 90% ng populasyon ay pwede siyang supportahan.
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At galit doon sa mga supporters ng China.
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Na clearly, yun yung attitude ngayon ng mga Duterte at saka ng mga allies niya.
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I-weaponize niya.
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Itong issue ng West Philippine Sea against his enemies.
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Which are clearly the Duterte.
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In terms of tone.
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Well, wala na siyang magagawa sa kanyang sister.
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Very fundamental na yung kanilang mga differences.
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Although, may cracks na rin sa relasyon ng kanyang sister with the Duterte.
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Binanata ni Bastet, si Aimee.
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Binanata ni Panelo.
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Meron silang mga binabanggit na mga agreement na hindi natuloy.
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At hindi sinuportahan ni Aimee.
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Yung calls for secession, calls for insurrection, calls for mutiny.
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So medyo yung relasyon niya sa Duterte hindi na rin ganun kasolid.
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Pero ang sinasabi ko kasing scaling up.
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Getting his house in order.
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Ay yung kanyang ruling coalition.
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Alimbawa, yung lahat ng sumusuporta sa kanyang partido.
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I-formalize na niya as a ruling coalition.
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Yun naman ang nangyayari sa lahat ng presidente.
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Kung mahalala mo, Karen. Diba?
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Ngayon, absent yun. Wala yun.
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At hindi klaro, sino ba ang kanyang mga political operators, political strategies, etc.
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Alimbawa, si Vice President Sara Duterte, malinaw.
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Yung kanyang campaign manager at saka chief operator.
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Si former Secretary Evasco.
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Kay BBM, hindi malinaw.
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So wala ka ng ruling coalition.
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Wala ka pa ang mga political strategies and operators.
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At hindi ka pa nag-scale up as a leader.
12:09.8
Well, kung titignan natin yung lahat ng survey, yung Pulse Asia, yung OCTA, etc.
12:14.8
Ang sinasabi, malaking bahagi ng populasyon ngayon ay nagiging disenchanted.
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Meron kang 50% na hati between the Duterte and the Marcos.
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30% sa Marcos, 20% sa Duterte.
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Pero meron kang napakalaki, 45% na ayaw sa pareho at saka 15% na disenchanted.
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Sa ngayon, ang nakikilabang dyan si TULPO.
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Pero that 45% is a huge potential.
12:41.8
That's almost half of the voting population.
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So sino yung makakaharness dyan?
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Alimbawa, merong emerging new kind of patriotism mga mga Pilipino.
12:52.8
Dati passive yan eh.
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Ngayon, medyo active.
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Dahil doon sa aggression sa West Philippine Sea.
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Kaya nga sinasabi ko kanina, that can be weaponized as never before.
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Dahil nagiging emotional yung West Philippine Sea issue.
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Ibig sabihin, this is the first time foreign policy can play into the election.
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Dahil emotional siya.
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So yan ay bahagi, probably, nung 45% to 50% na disenchanted.
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Na walang namuuno sa kanila.
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At ito yung pwedeng pakinabangan ng isang black swan.
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Kung hindi mag-i-scale up yung two major contenders.
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Yung the Duterte and the Marcos.
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Na parehong bumaba ba ah?
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Pinapakita ng survey.
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Kaya tama ka, malaking bahagi ng populasyon nagkahanap ng alternative.
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O nagkahanap ng leadership.
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Sa ngayon, medyo doon mahina ang presidente.
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Doon niya kinakailangan ayusin.
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Change the political narrative in your favor.
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Dahil sa ngayon, iba ang nagdidictate ng political narrative.
14:03.8
Sa Informador YouTube Channel.
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Ang Informador ay nilikha ng mga staff ni Atty. Ricky Tomotorgo,
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aka Insurecto, upang lalong lumawak ang inaabot ng pagpapalaganap ng katotohanan at labanan ang
