SOLUSYON SA AYUNGIN SHOAL, AYON KAY TRILLANES

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Ito naman parang ano lang ito. This is just to give China an idea na we're not alone in this. Pwede yan yung freedom of navigation patrols operations pero malayo yan yung pinagpatrolya ng quad doon sa Ayungin.

Now, if we would send our grey ships doon sa Ayungin to resupply, ano to? Pwede mong gawin yan pero kailangan kakalculate mo din ano ba yung magiging response nila.

So pataasin ng pataas yan, escalate ng escalate yan. So until magkakaroon ka ng standoff, then doon ka ngayon.

Babalik ka doon sa situation doon sa 2012 na ano yun, depende na yun sa kausap.

Pero I believe the backchannel approach that worked in 2012 may not work this time around because again of the foreign policy shift of the Xi Jinping administration

which is ano na, open expansion na at ano na sila.

So parang bordering road state na sila. Nawala na yung belt and road, economic, kumbaga they were trying to charm the whole world with their economic might.

Pero ito hindi na. Natipong sige, we will stand toe to toe with you on this.

Now, yung sinasabi natin pwede, another approach is, and I've been suggesting this,

pwede naman heliborne yung operations.

Yung ating ship, kahit coastguard ship yan, may heliborne capacity yan.

So magdadala sila doon, 10 minutes away, ayungin, they will drop the supplies.

Then, eventually nga, pwede tayong maglagay ng helideck dyan sa BRP Sierra Madre.

So yung rotation, pwede rin ganon through that.

So pagka ganon kasi ginawa, sino yung maharangan nila? Hindi nila maharang yun.

If they do anything aggressive towards that helicopter at mag-crash yun, iba na yun. Problema nila yun.

As you mentioned, yun.

Tama na mutual defense treaty yan. Because very clear ang at least Trump and Biden na any attack on our vessels, aircrafts, and soldiers and personnel will activate the mutual defense treaty.

And kaya nga nakita mo, diba?

As you observed, inaano nila, iniskirt nila yung they, they're just, was this, doon lang sa gray zone sila.

Kasi anything beyond the red line, magti-trigger ng mutual defense treaty.

So maraming ways to resupply.

As I mentioned, pwede nilang gawin itong ginagawa nila. Mag-charter kayo ng wooden ship, mukha kang underdog talaga.

Pero itago mo yung mga tao mo para hindi sila masasaktan.

Pero gusto mo nang medyo sturdy siya, or all-weather ship, yung coast guard, meron silang ganyang vessels that can withstand typhoons, so kayang-kaya nilang water cannon, and they can proceed.

Just ignoring the water cannons of China, or they can do what the Japanese did during the Senkaku standoff, magpotokan sila ng water cannon, diba?

Or they can do the Heliborne approach.

These are just some of the ways na pwedeng gawin without escalating or the tension by the Americans.

Or directly involving the Americans.

Kasi feeling ko medyo ahead of time, medyo advanced mag-isip yung iba na, hey, dapat yung kasama yung U.S. sa resupply.

Ako kasi ang concern ko dito is, we don't want to come off as Tutan America or masyadong dependent sa America.

Because I think we're very much capable of doing this on our own.

Tama po sabi na, medyo malalaki-laki na yung mga coast guard vessels natin.

Mayroon na rin yung ibang warships natin.

So, in fairness kay Pinoy, and throughout the past decade, medyo nag-modernize naman yung capabilities natin.

But siguro the U.S., do you think they should still have an over-the-horizon presence?

Maybe just a frigate in the area or some drone, just in case, to make the Chinese think twice.

I mean, they have been doing that anyway, but even more explicit institutionalized.

Okay, they have been doing that, and you know why?

Because ano sila, stakeholders sila doon sa mutual?

Kaya binabantayan nila yung ating resupply missions.

Because they would be able to know firsthand kung kailangan nilang i-trigger yung mutual defense treaty.

And yun din ang pinakang guard mo against over-aggressiveness of China.

To the point na may masasaktan o mamamatay na Navy personnel.

Nagustuhan nyo ba ang ganitong pagtalakay?

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Ang Informador ay nilikha ng mga staff ni Atty. Ricky Tumuturgo, aka Insurecto,

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